China’s Aggressive Actions

1.Political2.Economic3.Military

POLITICAL AGGRESSION

CLAIMS TO MOST ISLANDS AND ALL RESOURCES IN THE EAST CHINA AND LARGE PARTS OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA

ENABLING THE UNSTABLE NORTH KOREAN REGIMES TO SURVIVE AND THREATEN THE US AND ITS ALLIES

SECURITY COUNCIL OPPOSITION

STILL FOCUSED ON TAKING TAIWAN

ECONOMIC AGGRESSION

NEO-MERCANTILIST POLICIES IN VIOLATION OF WTO AGREEMENT

MASSIVE STATE SUBSIDIES

FREQUENT PRODUCT DUMPING INTO US

FAILURE TO ENFORCE PATENTS/COPYRIGHTS

FAILURE TO LIVE UP TO CONTRACTS WITH FOREIGN COMPANIES

MILITARY AGGRESSION

CYBER INTRUSIONS INTO US GOVERNMENT NETWORKS (2010-2012)

EXPANDING CYBER WARFARE CAPABILITY

15 MILITARY RELATED SATELLITE LAUNCHES SINCE 2010

SEABORNE CLASHES WITH JAPAN, VIETNAM, MALAYSIA, BRUNEI, AND PHILLIPINE SHIPS

MILITARY AGRESSION (CONTINUED)

OFFENSIVE WEAPONS BUILDUP

AIRCRAFT CARRIERS (3 MORE BY 2020)

LONG RANGE MISSILES

LONG RANGE STEALTH AIRCRAFT

From the Chinese State-Run Global TimesOctober 2011 with reference to clashes with

SE Asian Countries over islands and resources in the East and South China Seas…..

“If these countries don’t want to change their ways with China, they will need to prepare for the sounds of cannons …… It may be the only way for the disputes in the sea to be resolved.”

Demystifying China’s “Assertiveness” Xiaoyu PU

(PhD, Ohio State)

Assistant Professor of Political Science

University of Nevada, Reno

National Security Forum, Reno, NV

November 14, 2013

The Emergence of an “Assertive China”?

Frequency of U.S. News Articles That Refer to “Assertive” within Five Words of “China”(Quoted from Johnston 2013, P.10)

Rising Power: Wolf or Sheep?

Sheep in a Sheep’s

Clothing

ealism)

Sheep in a Wolf’s

W

Clothing

(Under-theorized?)

Wolf in a Sheep’s

Clothing

(Strategic Deceptions)

Wolf in Wolf’s Clothing

(Offensive Realism)

Rising Powers and Their Images

Sheep in a Sheep’s Clothing(Defensive)

Sheep in a Wolf’s Clothing(Exaggerated Threat)

Wolf in a Sheep’s Clothing(Strategic Deceptions)

Wolf in Wolf’s Clothing(Offensive)

Three Types of Assertiveness

Assertive=Aggressive?

Expansionist Assertiveness

Defensive Assertiveness

Constructive Assertiveness

Expansionist Assertiveness

Increasing its power through expansion

China’s strategic thinking= Reject the expansionist approach

Defensive Assertiveness

Increasing the capabilities to defend the existing claims

Constructive Assertiveness

China’s Security Concerns

Domestic Security (Top)

Regional Security

Global Security

Domestic Security

National Security vs. Regime/State Security

Economic growth and regime security

Regional Security

China’s geopolitical environment: circled by nuclear powers; US alliance system in East Asia

US Pivot to Asia and China’s Reponses

Economic diplomacy

Marching westward

Global Security

Limited power and presence

Anti-piracy effort in the Gulf of Aden

Conclusion (I): The “[New] German Analogy”

“I will probably be the first Polish foreign minister in history to say so, but here it is: I fear German power less than I am beginning to fear German inactivity.”

Radosław Sikorski,

Foreign Minister of Poland, 2011

Conclusion (II): Panda Huggers vs. Dragon Slayers

China is still a Panda?