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Chapter 6 1 CHAPTER 6 CASE STUDIES IN BANK VALUATION AND PERFORMANCE

CHAPTER 6

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CHAPTER 6. CASE STUDIES IN BANK VALUATION AND PERFORMANCE. LEARNING OBJECTIVES. To apply accounting and market performance measures to various financial and bank holding companies, banks, and other financial-services firms - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: CHAPTER 6

Chapter 6 1

CHAPTER 6

CASE STUDIES IN BANK VALUATION AND PERFORMANCE

Page 2: CHAPTER 6

Chapter 6 2

LEARNING OBJECTIVES To apply accounting and market performance

measures to various financial and bank holding companies, banks, and other financial-services firms

To understand the financial statements and unique financial characteristics of various financial and bank holding companies, banks, and other financial-services firms

Page 3: CHAPTER 6

Chapter 6 3

CHAPTER THEME In 1974, a noted bank-stock

analyst said, regarding the first billion-dollar bank failure in the U.S.,

“People who can read a balance sheet were out of there long ago.”

A self-serving statement for sure for an analyst of bank stocks

Page 4: CHAPTER 6

Chapter 6 4

How To Read a Balance Sheet (and other financial statements)

It’s important to the various stakeholders in a bank including Owners/directors/managers Creditors (uninsured vs. insured) Safety-net managers (regulators and

deposit insurers) Analysts and rating agencies

Page 5: CHAPTER 6

Chapter 6 5

Analyzing Bank/BHC Financial Statements: Approaches and Caveats

“du Pont” model -- ROE

decomposition analysis

ROE = PM x AU x EM

Pro-Forma Analysis (forecasting)

Page 6: CHAPTER 6

Chapter 6 6

Analyzing Bank/BHC Financial Statements: Approaches and Caveats

Four Pieces of Accounting DataNeeded to Start ROE Analysis

Net Income (profits) Total Operating Income (“sales”) Total Assets Total Equity Capital

Page 7: CHAPTER 6

Chapter 6 7

Analyzing Bank/BHC Financial Statements: Approaches and Caveats

Ratio Components of the ROE Model ROE = Net Income / Equity Capital ROA = Net Income / Total Assets PM = Net Income / Operating Income AU = Operating Income / Total Assets EM = Total Assets / Equity Capital

Page 8: CHAPTER 6

Chapter 6 8

Exercises For the case studies that follow, if

the companies still exist, find the most recent accounting data and, if available, market data and determine how the company has performed compared to the data presented here

Page 9: CHAPTER 6

Chapter 6 9

CitigroupThe Largest FHC in the United States

Overview of holding company (3-31-00)

Unit Assets Net inc. ROA Citicorp 400.1 8.580 2.15% Salomon226.7 3.952 1.74 Travelers 107.3 2.094 1.95 Citigroup 738.2 14.360 1.95% Note: $ billions for assets and NI

Page 10: CHAPTER 6

Chapter 6 10

Overview of Travelers (3-31-00) Unit Assets Net inc. ROA Ins. Co. 67.9 0.704 1.04% Life&Annuity 8.5 0.066 0.78 P&C Corp. 30.9 1.324 4.28 Citigroup 107.3 2.094 1.95% Note: $ billions for assets and NI

Page 11: CHAPTER 6

Chapter 6 11

CitigroupThe Largest FHC in the United States

Total Assets = 738,205

Total Equity Capital = 50,326

Total Operating Income = 95,448

Net Income = 14,360

($ Millions, March 31, 2000)

Page 12: CHAPTER 6

Chapter 6 12

CitigroupThe Largest FHC in the United States

ROE = 0.2853 = 0.0195 x 14.67

ROA = 0.0195 = 0.1504 x 0.1293

PM = 0.1504

AU = 0.1293

EM = 14.67

Page 13: CHAPTER 6

Chapter 6 13

Bank of AmericaThe Largest BHC in the United States

Total Assets = 656,113 Total Equity Capital = 45,299 Total Operating Income = 56,528 Net Income = 8,960 ($ Millions, 3-31-00)

Page 14: CHAPTER 6

Chapter 6 14

Bank of AmericaThe Largest BHC in the United States

ROE = 0.1978 = 0.01367 x 14.48

ROA = 0.0137 = 0.1558 x 0.0862

PM = 0.1585

AU = 0.0862

EM = 14.48

Page 15: CHAPTER 6

Chapter 6 15

KeycorpA Superregional BHC

Total Assets = 84,412 Total Equity Capital = 6,507 Total Operating Income = 2,186 Net Income = 1,229 ($ Millions, 6-30-00)

Page 16: CHAPTER 6

Chapter 6 16

KeycorpA Superregional BHC

ROE = 0.1889 = 0.0146 x 12.97

ROA = 0.0146 = 0.2049 x 0.0711

PM = 0.2049

AU = 0.0711

EM = 12.97

Page 17: CHAPTER 6

Chapter 6 17

Compass BancsharesA Regional BHC

Total Assets = 18.972

Total Equity Capital = 1.325 Total Operating Income = 1.950

Net Income = 0.191

($ Millions, 6-30-00)

Page 18: CHAPTER 6

Chapter 6 18

Compass BancsharesA Regional BHC

ROE = 0.1442 = 0.0101 x 14.32

ROA = 0.0101 = 0.0979 x 0.1028

PM = 0.0979

AU = 0.1028

EM = 14.32

Page 19: CHAPTER 6

Chapter 6 19

Market Data The preceding banking companies

have market data available while the ones that follow do not

Tables 6-3 (p. 165) and 6-6 (p. 171) show some of the variables based on market data that can be used to assess bank performance

Page 20: CHAPTER 6

Chapter 6 20

Variables for Market Profiles Stock price (P) Market capitalization (P x N, where N

= number of shares outstanding) EPS, DPS, and dividend yield (DPS/P)

and payout [DPS/(EPS + DPS)] P/E (P/EPS) and market-to-book ratios Beta Holding-period return (HPR)

Page 21: CHAPTER 6

Chapter 6 21

First American Bank & TrustA Community Bank

Total Assets = 163.999

Total Equity Capital = 17.722 Total Operating Income = 13.346

Net Income = 2.016

($ Millions, 3-31-00)

Page 22: CHAPTER 6

Chapter 6 22

First American Bank & TrustA Community Bank

ROE = 0.1138 = 0.0123 x 9.254

ROA = 0.0123 = 0.15 x 0.0814

PM = 0.15

AU = 0.0814

EM = 9.254

Page 23: CHAPTER 6

Chapter 6 23

Citizens Trust BankA Minority - Owned Bank

Total Assets = 252.736

Total Equity Capital = 19.243 Total Operating Income = 24.294

Net Income = 3.042

($ Millions, 6-30-00)Note: Correction on p. 177 of the text: flow data should

read with decimals point not commas

Page 24: CHAPTER 6

Chapter 6 24

Citizens Trust BankA Minority - Owned Bank

ROE = 0.1581 = 0.0120 x 13.13

ROA = 0.0120 = 0.1252 x 0.0961

PM = 0.1252

AU = 0.0961

EM = 13.13 Note: Typo on p. 177 of the text, ROE is 0.1581 as shown

above and not 0.1768

Page 25: CHAPTER 6

Chapter 6 25

NetBankA Pure-Internet Savings Bank

Total Assets = 1,225

Total Equity Capital = 218 Total Operating Income = 21.302

Net Income = 0.408

($ Millions, 12-31-99)

Page 26: CHAPTER 6

Chapter 6 26

NetBankA Pure-Internet Savings Bank

ROE = 0.0019 = 0.0003 x 5.76

ROA = 0.0003 = 0.0192 x 0.017

PM = 0.0192

AU = 0.017

EM = 5.76

Page 27: CHAPTER 6

Chapter 6 27

Bankers’ Banks and The Bankers Bank: A Correspondent-Banking Innovation

Qualifications to be a Bankers’ Bank

1.Be organized solely to do business with

other financial institutions

2.Be owned primarily by the financial

institutions with which it does business

3.Not do business with the general public

Page 28: CHAPTER 6

Chapter 6 28

Bankers’ Banks and The Bankers Bank: A Correspondent-Banking Innovation

Total Assets = 840.414

Total Equity Capital = 48.694 Total Operating Income = 76.812

Net Income = 4.168

($ Millions, 3-31-00)

Page 29: CHAPTER 6

Chapter 6 29

Bankers’ Banks and The Bankers Bank: A Correspondent-Banking Innovation

ROE = 0.0856 = 0.005 x 17.26

ROA = 0.0050 = 0.0543 x 0.0914

PM = 0.0543

AU = 0.0914

EM = 17.26

Page 30: CHAPTER 6

Chapter 6 30

Decision-Making Lessons On a pre-tax basis, ROA is driven by

three key factors: 1. Net interest income or its ratio net

interest margin (NIM) – the efficiency of the intermediation business

2. Provision for loan loss – loan quality 3. Net noninterest income (“burden”) –

the efficiency of operations and fee generation

Page 31: CHAPTER 6

Chapter 6 31

Decision-Making Lessons(continued) A bank’s portfolio and related cash

flows drive its market performance Investors focus on the timing, size, and

riskiness of future cash flows and what they are worth today (present value)

Banks that mismanage credit risk have a difficult maximizing shareholder value

Page 32: CHAPTER 6

Chapter 6 32

CHAPTER SUMMARY From a giant FHC, like Citigroup,

down to the thousands of community banks, the ROE model provides an analytical framework for analyzing bank performance based on accounting data

When available, market data provide more timely and accurate measures of bank performance