Chapter 4 - Supply Chain Operations

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    1. Plan: This refers to all the operations needed to planand organize the operations in the other threecategories

    2. Source:Operations included to acquire the inputs tocreate goods and services to meet planned or actualdemand.

    3. Make: transforming goods and services to a finishedstate to meet demand.

    4. Deliver:managing orders, transportation, and

    distribution to provide the goods and services.

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    Role of Forecasting

    in a Supply Chain The basis for all strategic and planning decisions in a supply

    chain

    Used for both push and pull processes

    Examples:

    Production: scheduling, inventory, aggregate planning

    Marketing: sales force allocation, promotions, newproduction introduction

    Finance: plant/equipment investment, budgetaryplanning

    Personnel: workforce planning, hiring, layoffs

    All of these decisions are interrelated

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    All forecasts deal with four major variables that combine todetermine what market conditions will be like. These

    variables are:

    1. Demand : refers to the overall market demand for agroup of relatedproducts or services in aparticular time.Impact of Market growth rate on demand?Demand patterns-- Seasonal demand

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    2. Supply : Supply is determined by the number ofproducers of a product and by the lead timesthat areassociated with a productSupply chain forecasts must cover a time period that

    encompasses the combined lead times of all thecomponents that go into the creation of a final product

    3. Product Characteristics: include the features of a product

    that influence customer demand for the product

    4. Competitive Environment: refers to the actions of acompany and its competitors

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    Chase Strategy Production rate is synchronized with demand by varying

    machine capacity or hiring and laying off workers as thedemand rate varies

    However, in practice, it is often difficult to vary capacityand workforce on short notice

    Expensive if cost of varying capacity is high

    Negative effect on workforce morale

    Results in low levels of inventory Should be used when inventory holding costs are high

    and costs of changing capacity are low

    Works well for make-to-order firms

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    Level Strategy Maintain stable machine capacity and workforce levels with a

    constant output rate

    Shortages and surpluses result in fluctuations in inventorylevels over time

    Inventories that are built up in anticipation of future demandor backlogs are carried over from high to low demand periods

    Better for worker morale

    Large inventories and backlogs may accumulate

    Should be used when inventory holding and backlog costs arerelatively low

    Works well for make-to-stockmanufacturing firms

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    Time Flexibility Strategy Can be used if there is excess machine capacity

    Workforce is kept stable, but the number of hoursworked is varied over time to synchronize production anddemand

    Can use overtime or a flexible work schedule

    Requires flexible workforce, but avoids morale problemsof the chase strategy

    Low levels of inventory, lower utilization

    Should be used when inventory holding costs are highand capacity is relatively inexpensive

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    The Extremes

    Level

    Strategy

    Chase

    Strategy

    Production

    equals

    demand

    Production rate

    is constant

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    Time-phased plan specifyinghow manyand whenthe firm plans to build each end item

    Aggregate Plan(product groups)

    MPS(specific items)

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    What is Master Production

    Scheduling?

    Start with Aggregate plan

    Disaggregates Converts into specific schedule for each end

    item

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    Furniture Mfg Co Ltd.

    Produces 3-types of woodenchairs

    Ladder-back chair

    Kitchen chair

    Desk chair

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    Master Production Schedule

    200

    Ladder-back chair

    Kitchen chair

    Desk chair

    1 2

    April May

    670

    3 4 5 6 7 8

    200

    150

    120

    200

    150

    200

    120

    Aggregateproduction planfor chair family

    670

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    Master Production Scheduling

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    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12Forecast 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

    Available (End) 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5

    MPS 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

    On hand (start) 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5

    level production plan

    Kitchen Chairs MPS

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    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12Forecast 5 5 5 5 5 5 15 15 15 15 15 15

    Available (End) 25 30 35 40 45 50 45 40 35 30 25 25

    MPS 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

    On hand (start) 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 45 40 35 30 25

    Different sales forecast Same total: 120 units, starts lower, goes higher

    Level production plan

    Kitchen Chairs MPS

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    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12Forecast 5 5 5 5 5 5 15 15 15 15 15 15

    Available (End) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    MPS 5 5 5 5 5 5 15 15 15 15 15 15

    On hand (start) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    Same demand as Fig 2Production adjusts to meet demandChase production strategy

    Kitchen Chairs MPS

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    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12Forecast 5 5 5 5 5 5 15 15 15 15 15 5

    Available (End) 15 10 5 30 25 20 5 20 5 20 5 15

    MPS 0 0 0 30 0 0 0 30 0 30 0 0

    On hand (start) 20 15 10 5 30 25 20 5 20 5 20 5

    Lot size of 30 units

    Produce if projected balance falls below 5 unitsExtra on-hand inventory is cycle stock5 unit trigger is safety stock

    Kitchen Chairs MPS

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    24

    Materials Requirement Planning

    MRP-A computer-based materials management system. Thematerials requirement plan calculates the exact quantities, needdates, & planned order releases for components & raw materialsrequired to manufacture the final products listed on MPS.

    MRP requires:

    The independent demand information. Parent-component relationships from the bill of

    materials.

    Inventory status of the final product & all of thecomponents.

    Planned order releases (output of the MRP system)

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    What operations Manager should know in the MRP

    model?

    Effective use of MRP requires that the operations managerknow :

    1. Master Production Schedule (what is to be made and when)

    2. Specifications or bill-of-material (how to make the product)

    3. Inventory availability (what is in stock)

    4. Purchase orders outstanding (what is on order), and

    5. Lead times (how long it takes to make or get various

    components)

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    Bill of Materials

    List of components & quantities needed

    to make product

    Provides product structure (tree)

    Parents: Items above given levelChildren: Items below given level

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    Bill of Materials

    Seat cushion

    Seat-frame

    boards

    Front

    legs ALadder-back

    chair

    Back

    legs

    Leg supports

    Back slats

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    Bill of Materials

    Back slats Seat cushion

    Seat-frame

    boards

    Leg supports

    FrontlegsBacklegs A

    Ladder-back

    chairJ (4)Seat-frame

    boards

    C (1)

    Seat

    subassembly

    D (2)

    Front

    legs

    B (1)

    Ladder-back

    subassembly

    E (4)

    Leg

    supports

    ALadder-back

    chair

    I (1)

    Seat

    cushion

    H (1)

    Seat

    frame

    G (4)

    Back

    slats

    F (2)

    Back

    legs

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    Dependent vs. Independent Demand

    Demand for chairs

    A finished product

    Demand for front legs (Independent)

    A component or subassembly

    Dependson the demand for chairs (parent)

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    Materials WithIndependent Demand

    Materials WithDependent Demand

    DemandSource

    Company Customers Parent Items

    MaterialType

    Finished Goods WIP & Raw Materials

    Method ofEstimatingDemand

    Forecast & BookedCustomer Orders

    Calculated

    Planning

    Method

    EOQ & POQ MRP

    R i f Eff i U f D d

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    Requirements for Effective Use of Dependent

    Demand Inventory Models-MRP

    master production schedule

    specifications or bills-of-material

    inventory availability

    purchase orders outstanding

    lead times

    You might add to this list that the operations manager must know

    that inventory records, bill-of-materials, etc., are accurate.

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    Lead-Time Elements

    Queue

    time waiting before operation begins

    Setup

    time getting ready for operation Run

    time performing operation

    Wait

    time waiting after operation ends Move

    time physically moving between operations

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    Cooperstown Cars, Inc.

    Produces toy cars

    Body

    Wheel Assembly (2)

    Axles (2)

    Wheels (4)

    Toy Car

    WheelAssembly(2)

    Body

    Axle (1) Wheels (2)

    Bill of Materials for Toy Car

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    Cooperstown Cars, Inc.

    - Each componenthas a known

    lead time

    Toy Car

    LT = 1

    WheelAssembly(2)

    LT = 1

    Body

    LT = 2

    Axle (1)

    LT = 2

    Wheels (2)

    LT = 1

    Bill of Materials for Toy Car

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    Cooperstown Cars, Inc.

    Demand for Toy Car in June 8 is 100

    Schedule production for: Toy car assembly

    Wheel assembly

    Body

    Axle Wheels

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    1 2 3 4 5 6 7

    Wheel assembly Gross requirements 160

    Scheduled receiptsProjected on-hand |10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

    Planned order receipts 150

    Planned order releases 150

    Wheels Gross requirements 300

    Scheduled receiptsProjected on-hand | 30 30 30 30 30 30 30

    Planned order receipts 270

    Planned order releases 270

    Net Requirements Plan

    DAY+A9

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    MRP Matrix

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    Materials Requirement Planning- Cont.

    Terms used in Materials Requirement Planning

    1. Parent: Item generating the demand for lower-level components.2. Components: parts demanded by a parent.

    3. Gross requirement:A time-phased requirement prior to netting outon-hand inventory & the lead-time consideration.

    4. Net requirement: The unsatisfied item requirement for a specific timeperiod. Gross requirement for that period minus the current on-handinventory.

    5. Scheduled receipt: A committed order awaiting delivery for a specific

    period.6. Projected on-hand inventory: Projected closing inventory at the end

    of the period. Beginning inventory minus the gross requirement, plusthe scheduled receipt & planned receipt & planned receipt fromplanned order releases.

    7. Planned order release: Specific order to be released to the shop or to the supplier.

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    39

    Materials Requirement Planning- Cont.

    Terms used in Materials Requirement Planning- Cont.

    8. Time bucket: Time period used on the MRP. Days or weeks.9. Explosion:The process of converting a parent items planned

    order releases into component gross requirements.

    10. Planning factor: Number of components needed to produce a

    unit of the parent item.11. Pegging: Relates gross requirements for a part to the planned

    order releases the reverse of the explosion process.

    12. Low-level coding: assigns the lowest level on the bill of

    materials to all common components to avoid duplicate MRPcomputations.

    13. Lot size:The order size for MRP logic

    14. Safety Stock: Protects against uncertainties in demand supply,quality, & lead time.

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    Planning

    ReportsPerformance

    Reports

    Changes to

    Planned Orders

    Planned Order

    Schedule

    Orders /

    Forecast of

    Service

    Parts

    Master

    Production

    Schedule

    Bills of

    Material File

    MRP System

    Inputs MRP Computer Program Outputs

    Inventory

    Status File

    Inventory

    TransactionsData

    Exception

    Reports

    Primary

    Outputs

    Secondary

    Outputs

    ELEMENTS OF MRP

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    BENEFITS AND COSTS OF MRP

    Potential Benefits:

    Lower inventories. The ability to plan ahead and the flexibilityto reschedule rather than maintain large safety stocks allowssignificant reduction in inventory levels.

    Improved customer service. Late orders and stock-outs is

    reduced. Reduced overtime and idle timethe result of smoother and

    better planned production.

    Improved response to market demands.

    Ability to modify the master schedule and respond tounanticipated changes in demand.

    Reduced subcontracting and purchasing cost.

    The largest cost of any MRP system is the cost of installing

    the MRP system (computer system)

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    Capacity Requirement

    Planning

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    Capacity Requirements

    Planning (CRP) Capacity requirements planning is a computerized tool

    that is used to determine the available and requiredcapacity to help alleviate bottlenecks and to helpidentify potential problems before they occur

    Creates a load profile Identifies under-loads and over-loads Inputs

    Planned order releases Routing file Open orders file

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    Defining Capacity

    Capacity is the amount of work that can be done in aperiod of time

    Capacity = Available time x Utilization x Efficiency

    Actual Hours ChargedUtilization =

    Scheduled Available Hours

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    CRP

    MRP plannedorder

    releases

    Routingfile

    Capacityrequirements

    planning

    Openorders

    file

    Load profile foreach machine center

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    What is a load?

    Load refers to the standard hours of workassigned to a facility.

    A load is identified as the standard hours of work assigned to afacility. The load needs to be determined to calculate a loadpercent.

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    What Is Load Percent?

    Load percent is the ratio of load to capacity.

    LoadLoad percent = x 100

    Capacity Russell and Taylor

    When you know the load and capacity, you can find the load percent bydividing the load by the capacity and multiplying by 100. A load percentof 100 or less can be accomplished by the work center. If the loadpercent is greater than 100, adjustments would need to be made.

    Load % Example

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    Load % Example

    A local road construction company needs to develop engineeringspecifications prior to doing any pre-surfacing preparation. The

    company has been awarded the bid on four projects. They have oneengineer. It takes 4 hours per mile to develop the engineeringspecifications. The first project is 30 miles long and must be startedby March 15th to complete on schedule. The second project is 20miles long and must be started by April 1st. The third project is 5

    miles long and must be started by May 1st. The fourth project is 15miles long and must be started by May 23rd. It is now February 15th.

    The engineer works a 40 hours week and is very experienced so heoperates at 100% efficiency. Assume one project can not be starteduntil the previous project is completed. Does the engineer haveenough time to accomplish the specifications on time?

    This is an example of how CRP would be used in a road construction company todetermine if it is cost effective to bid on four projects. By using CRP a company cancalculate the load percent and therefore will be able to plan the amount of work they canproduce.

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    Engineering Calculations (Capacity)

    Numbers of hours = 40

    Shifts = 1

    Efficiency = 100%

    Utilization = 80%

    Capacity = 40 x 1 x 0.8 x 1.00 = 32 hours

    Project 1 capacity = 4 (weeks) x 32 = 128

    Project 2 capacity = 2 (weeks) x 32 = 64

    Project 3 capacity = 4 (weeks) x 32 = 128

    Project 4 capacity = 3 (weeks) x 32 = 96

    Engineering Calculations (Load)

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    Engineering Calculations (Load)

    Project 1 = 30 x 4 hours per mile = 120 hours

    (start by February 15thmust be completed by March 15th)

    Project 2 = 20 x 4 hours per mile = 80 hours

    (start March 16thmust be completed by April 1st)

    Project 3 = 5 x 4 hours per mile = 20 hours (start April 2ndmust be completed by May 1st)

    Project 4 = 15 x 4 hours per mile = 60 hours (start by May 2ndmust be completed by May 23rd)

    To calculate the load we take the miles of the project times the hours it

    takes per mile. Project 1 is 30 miles long and it takes 4 hours per mile so the load is calculated at 120 hours.

    Project 2 is 20 miles long times the 4 hours per mile so the load for project 2 is 80 hours.

    Project 3 is 5 miles long times the 4 hours per mile so the load for project 3 is 20 hours.

    Project 4 is 15 miles long times the 4 hours per mile so the load for project 4 is 60 hours.

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    Road Construction Bidding

    In analyzing the engineering calculations, the company must decide if it

    cost effective to accept the bid on project 2. Based on the currentcapacity, the engineer is not able to complete the engineeringspecifications as needed. If the company accepts the bid, one of thefollowing adjustments will need to be made:

    Add extra shift (weekend or evening)

    Schedule overtime

    Add personnel temporarily

    There are several adjustments the company could calculate to determine if is cost effective to

    bid on project 2. The adjustments include adding extra shifts, which would require havingthe engineer work overtime by working evenings or weekends. Another alternative wouldbe adding a temporary engineer to assist the current staff. All of the costs on theseadjustments will be calculated by the company prior to submitting a bid on the project or if abid is submitted the additional costs involved with these adjustments will be added onto thebid when submitted. By using Capacity Requirements Planning the company will take allcosts into consideration when submitting a bid. Without a method of calculating the costs,the company could submit the bid only to find that the actual cost of the project is more

    than the bid submitted and they will lose money on the project.

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    Load Sources

    Open Orders

    MRP - Planned Order Releases

    Other Sources

    Rework

    Quality problems

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    Routing Data

    Operation identification code

    Operation description

    Planned work center

    Standard setup time

    Standard run time per unit

    Tooling requirements

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    Initial Load Profile

    Hoursofcapacity

    1 2 3 4 5 6

    Time (Weeks)

    Normalcapacity

    120

    110

    100

    90

    80

    70

    60

    50

    40

    30

    2010

    0

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    Reducing Over-load Conditions

    1. Eliminating unnecessary requirements2. Rerouting jobs to alternative machines, workers, or

    work centers3. Splitting lots between two or more machines4. Increasing normal capacity5. Subcontracting6. Increasing efficiency of the operation7. Pushing work back to later time periods8. Revising master schedule

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    Test Exercise of Load %

    A local hospital prides themselves in top quality patient care.They have 5 registered nurses on each of the 3 shifts and eachnurse cares for 5 patients. Each patient requires 1.5 hours ofRNs time. For week one they have projected the patient load to

    be 200 patients, week two the patient load will be 225 patients,week three the patient load will be 180 patients and week fourthe patient load will be 195 patients. The staff consists of about30% student graduate RNs; therefore the efficiency is 70%.

    Each nurse works 36 hours per week. Unitization factor to beconsidered is 80 %. Does the hospital have sufficient staff toprovide care for the patients?

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    Calculations

    Registered Nurse Calculations (Capacity) Number of hours = 36 Shifts = 5 x 3 = 15 Utilization = 4/5 = 80% Efficiency = 70% Capacity = 36 x 15 x 0.80 x 0.70 = 302.40 hours

    Week 1 = 200 x 1.5 = 300 Week 2 = 225 x 1.5 = 337.5 Week 3 = 180 x 1.5 = 270 Week 4 = 195 x 1.5 = 292.5

    Week 1 = 300 / 302.4 = 99% = Can be accomplished Week 2 = 337.5 / 302.4 = 111.6% = Can not be accomplished Week 3 = 270 / 302.4 = 89% = Can be accomplished Week 4 = 292.5 / 302.4 = 97% = Can be accomplished

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    Inventory Definition

    A stock of items held to meet

    future demand

    INVENTORY MANAGEMENT

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    Types of Inventory

    Inputs Raw Materials

    Purchased parts

    Maintenance andRepair Materials

    Outputs Finished Goods

    Scrap and WasteProcess

    In Process Partially Completed

    Products and

    Subassemblies

    (in warehouses, or

    in transit)

    (often on the

    factory floor)

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    Types of Inventory

    Work in

    process

    Work in

    process

    Work in

    process

    Finished

    goods

    RawMaterials

    Vendors Customer

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    Water Tank Analogy for Inventory

    Supply Rate

    Inventory Level

    Demand Rate

    Inventory Level

    Buffers Demand

    Rate from Supply

    Rate

    Independent and Dependent Demand

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    Independent and Dependent DemandInventory

    Independent demand items demanded by external customers (Kitchen

    Tables)

    Dependent demand items used to produce final products (table top, legs,

    hardware, paint, etc.)

    Demand determined once we know the type andnumber of final products

    Independent and Dependent Demand

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    Independent and Dependent DemandInventory Management

    Independent demand Uncertain / forecasted

    Continuous Review / Periodic Review

    Dependent demand Requirements / planned

    Materials Requirements Planning / Just in Time

    R T H ld I t

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    Reasons To Hold Inventory

    Meet variations in customer demand: Meet unexpected demand Smooth seasonal or cyclical demand

    Pricing related: Temporary price discounts

    Hedge against price increases

    Take advantage of quantity discounts

    Transit Time

    R T NOT H ld I t

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    Reasons To NOT Hold Inventory

    Carrying cost Financially calculable

    Takes up valuable factory space Especially for in-process inventory

    I C S

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    Inventory Cost Structures

    Ordering costThe costs of placing and receiving an order.

    Examples: Clerical costs, documents etc

    Carrying (or holding) cost: Cost of capital

    Cost of storage

    Cost of obsolescence, deterioration, and loss

    Stock out cost

    Cost Of acquisition: , shipping costs , labor cost, taxes,duties paid etc

    I t M t S t

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    Inventory Management Systems

    Functions of Inventory Management

    Track inventory

    How much to order

    When to order

    Prioritization

    Inventory Management Approach EOQ

    Continuous / Periodic

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    ABC Prioritization

    Classification of items as A, B, or C often

    based on $ volume.

    Purpose: set priorities for management

    attention.

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    Annual Usage of Items by Dollar Value

    Item

    Annual Usage in

    Units Unit Cost Dollar Usage

    Percentage ofTotal Dollar

    Usage

    1 5,000 1.50$ 7,500$ 2.9%

    2 1,500 8.00 12,000 4.7%

    3 10,000 10.50 105,000 41.2%4 6,000 2.00 12,000 4.7%

    5 7,500 0.50 3,750 1.5%

    6 6,000 13.60 81,600 32.0%

    7 5,000 0.75 3,750 1.5%

    8 4,500 1.25 5,625 2.2%9 7,000 2.50 17,500 6.9%

    10 3,000 2.00 6,000 2.4%

    Total 254,725$ 100.0%

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    ABC Chart For Previous Slide

    0.0%

    5.0%

    10.0%

    15.0%

    20.0%

    25.0%

    30.0%

    35.0%

    40.0%

    45.0%

    3 6 9 2 4 1 10 8 5 7

    Item No.

    Perce

    ntUsage

    0.0%

    20.0%

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    60.0%

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    120.0%

    Cumulative%

    Usage

    Percentage of Total Dollar Usage Cumulative Percentage

    A B C

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    ABC Prioritization

    A items: 20% of SKUs, 80% of dollars

    B items: 30 % of SKUs, 15% of dollars

    C items: 50 % of SKUs, 5% of dollars

    Three classes is arbitrary; could be any number.

    Percents are approximate.

    Danger: dollar use may not reflect importance ofany given SKU!

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    Economic Order Quantity

    Given the cost structure of a company, there isan order quantity that is the most cost effectiveamount to purchase at a time. This is called the

    economic order quantity (EOQ)

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    EOQ Lot Size Choice

    There is a trade-off between lot size andinventory level.

    Frequent orders (small lot size): higher ordering

    cost and lower holding cost. Fewer orders (large lot size): lower ordering cost

    and higher holding cost.

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    EOQ

    EOQ = (square root of 2UO / hC)

    where:

    U = annual usage rate

    O = ordering cost

    C = cost per unit

    h = holding cost per year as a percentage of unitcost

    Economic Order Quantity (EOQ)

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    Economic Order Quantity (EOQ)

    Model

    Annual Demand rate U is constant, recurring, andknown

    Amount in inventory is known at all times

    Ordering cost O per order is fixed Lead time L is constant and known.

    Unit cost C is constant (no quantity discounts)

    Annual carrying cost / Holding Cost His known No stockouts allowed.

    Material is ordered or produced in a lot or batch and

    the lot is received all at once

    Answer to Inventory Management Questions

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    for EOQ Model

    For instance, lets say that Item Z has an annual

    usage rate (U) of 240,000 / year a fixed cost perorder (O) of $5.00, a unit cost (C) of $7.00, and

    an annual holding cost (h) of 30 percent per unit.If we do the math, it works out as:

    EOQ = 1069.044 and rounded to the nearestwhole unit, it is 1070

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    Re-order Point Example

    Demand = 240,000 units/year

    Lead time = L = 10 days

    When inventory falls to R, we order so as not to runout before the new order comes in.

    R = ?

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    Re-order Point Example

    Demand = 240,000 units/year

    Daily demand = 240,000 / 365 = 657.553 units/day

    Lead time = L = 10 days

    R = D*L = (657.553)(10) = 6575.34 units or 6576 Units

    (usually can neglect issues of working days vs weekends,

    etc.)

    Dont forget to convert to consistent time units!

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    EOQ Question

    Why Re-order Point quantity is larger thanEOQ lot size?