69
101 CHAPTER 4 STUDY AREA DESCRIPTION AND DATABASE GENERATION 4.1 DESCRIPTION OF THE STUDY AREA Tamil Nadu is the Southern most state on the East coast of India with a coastline of 1076km. The study area falls under three coastal districts of Tamil Nadu namely Tiruvallur, Chennai and Kancheepuram. The study region is bound by Kattivakkam village in the North (Easting 80 o Northing 13 o o Northing 12 o In total, there are 25 administrative divisions including Town Panchayats, wards, villages and one uninhabited village. Of these Kattivakkam, Eravanur and Tiruvottiyur belong to Tiruvallur district; Tandaiyarpet, East Vallalar Nagar, South Vallalar Nagar, Chindaripet, Chepauk, Zambazar, Krishnampet, Karaneeswarpuram, Mylapore, Avvainagar, Urur; and Thiruvanmiyur belong to Chennai district and Kottivakkam, Palavakkam, Neelankarai, Injambakkam, Sholinganallur, Uthandi, Kannathur Reddy Kuppam, Muthukadu, Kunnakadu and Kovalam belong to Kancheepuram district (Figure 4.2). The 12 kilometer long Marina the world. The total area of study is 91.88 sq.km with a coastline of approximately 50 kms. Administrative boundaries of the villages, towns and wards are considered for the landward extent of the study as shown in the map.

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101

CHAPTER 4

STUDY AREA DESCRIPTION AND

DATABASE GENERATION

4.1 DESCRIPTION OF THE STUDY AREA

Tamil Nadu is the Southern most state on the East coast of India

with a coastline of 1076km. The study area falls under three coastal districts

of Tamil Nadu namely Tiruvallur, Chennai and Kancheepuram. The study

region is bound by Kattivakkam village in the North (Easting 80o

Northing 13o o

Northing 12o

In total, there are 25 administrative divisions including Town

Panchayats, wards, villages and one uninhabited village. Of these

Kattivakkam, Eravanur and Tiruvottiyur belong to Tiruvallur district;

Tandaiyarpet, East Vallalar Nagar, South Vallalar Nagar, Chindaripet,

Chepauk, Zambazar, Krishnampet, Karaneeswarpuram, Mylapore,

Avvainagar, Urur; and Thiruvanmiyur belong to Chennai district and

Kottivakkam, Palavakkam, Neelankarai, Injambakkam, Sholinganallur,

Uthandi, Kannathur Reddy Kuppam, Muthukadu, Kunnakadu and Kovalam

belong to Kancheepuram district (Figure 4.2). The 12 kilometer long Marina

the world. The total area of study is 91.88 sq.km with a coastline of

approximately 50 kms. Administrative boundaries of the villages, towns and

wards are considered for the landward extent of the study as shown in the

map.

102

India Tamil Nadu

Study Region

Figure 4.1 Location of the study area

103

Figure 4.2 Administrative boundaries of the study area

104

The entire study area is occupied by settlements mainly belonging

to the coastal community. Major industries like fertilizer and rubber factories,

steel rolling industries, and petrochemical companies are located on the

northeast coast of Chennai. Beach resorts, farmhouses, aquaculture ponds,

theme parks, tourist spots, and artificial parks are mainly located on the

southeast coast of Chennai. Fishing is the main occupation of the people

living in the suburban coastline, whereas in the urban coastline, the

occupation is not only fishing but also depends upon urban resources like

industries and government and non-government organisations (Kumar et al

2008).

4.2 DATABASE GENERATION

4.2.1 Data Source and Software

The data related to the study area and hazards have been collected

from various sources and a detailed database has been generated. The data

used in the study comprises of Satellite data, collateral data and attribute data.

The base or reference map has been digitized from Survey of India

topographical sheets numbering 66C04, 66C08, 66D01 AND 66D05,

published in the year 1970-1971, in the scale of 1:50000. Transverse Mercator

projection with WGS 84 datum has been used for the maps.

4.2.2 Satellite data and other data

Georeferenced satellite imagery of IRS-1C (LISS III) + IRS-P6

(LISS IV) merged data of November 2004 (Figure 4.3), with a spatial

resolution of 5.8 m, and IKONOS-2 PAN data of January 2001 (Figure 4.4),

with a spatial resolution of 1 m, have been used for creating a spatial database

for landuse/landcover and other thematic layers. The path/row details of IRS

105

data are 102/64B and 102/64D for the present study region. The features have

been identified based on field knowledge, background information of the

study area and using image characteristics such as tone, texture, pattern,

shape, size, location, shadow and association. The satellite imagery have been

obtained from NRSA data center, Hyderabad, India and Space Imaging Inc.,

USA. Attribute data on demography, climatic and wave conditions and hazard

related information have been collected and stored in the database (Table 4.1).

Table 4.1 Details of data collected

Data Period Purpose Source

Demographical data 2001 Estimation of population density and socio-economic parameters

Department of Census, Government of India

Erosion rate 2001 To estimate the coastal erosion trend in the study region

Public Works Dept., Government of Tamil Nadu

Rainfall data 1995-2005 To estimate the precipitation variability

Indian Meteorological Dept

Elevation data

ETOPO5

1998 To create an elevation model

U.S. National Geophysical Data Center and UNEP/GRID Center

Tsunami run-up and inundation level

2004 To map the inundation extent during tsunami

Institute of Remote Sensing, Anna University

Wave height and Tide height

1997-2005 To observe the mean wave and tidal heights for each year

Port Trust of India, Chennai

Location of epicentres 1679-2006 To locate the epicenters and radius of impact

Amateur Seismic Centre, Pune

Cyclone tracks 1946 -2006 To compute the proximity of land to cyclone tracks

Joint typhoon warning center

Bathymetry 1991 To study the continental shelf and slope pattern

Naval hydrographic Office, Dehradun

106

Figure 4.3 Satellite imagery of IRS-1C + IRS-P6 merged data showing

a part of study area

107

Figure 4.4 Satellite imagery of IKONOS of study area

108

4.2.3 Software used

ArcGIS version 9.0, developed by ESRI (Environmental Systems

Research Institute) has been used for digitization and spatial analysis of the

thematic layers of the study area (Figure 4.5). ArcGIS is a suite of integrated

applications of ArcMap, ArcCatalog and ArcToolbox which helps in

performing simple to advanced tasks including mapping, data management,

geographic analysis, data editing and geoprocessing. The following

extensions of ArcGIS have been made use of, ArcGIS Spatial Analyst for

powerful spatial modeling and analysis, analyze raster and vector data and

ArcGIS 3D Analyst to effectively visualize and analyze surface data.

ArcScene application serves as an interface for viewing multiple layers of

three-dimensional data and for creating and analyzing surfaces.

Figure 4.5 View of ArcGIS work environment

109

ERDAS Imagine version 8.5 (http://www.erdas.com) has been used

to interpret the satellite imagery of the region and derive the various landuse

and geomorphologic categories. Also the topographic features of the study

area have been extracted using this software. The elevation profile has been

analysed using Global Mapper version 6.0 (http://www.globalmapper.com).

The multi-criteria analysis has been performed using Criterium

Decision Plus version 3.0.4 (http://www.infoharvest.com/infoharv/). CDP is a

graphical user interface that generates a decision hierarchy directly from a

brainstorming model which comprises the alternatives and criteria. Graphic

analysis of the results by criteria, weights or sensitivity to changes in weights

are useful in reviewing the results. For statistical analysis and

graphs/maps/charts preparation purposes, Microsoft-Access, Microsoft-Excel

and Microsoft-Word have been used.

4.3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCENARIO

Visual Interpretation based on the tonal characteristics of IRS

satellite imagery, coastal geomorphological and landuse categories have been

demarcated using ERDAS Imagine software and have been plotted on the

base map prepared using the SOI topographical maps on 1:50,000 scale.

Digitization of geocoded IRS 1C (LISS III) + IRS P6 (LISS IV) merged

satellite data have been carried out for deriving the primary dataset of various

themes. The classification scheme follows the NRIS (National- Natural

Resources Information System) standard developed by the Department of

Space (NRIS 1997). Other collateral information like tidal data, wave data

etc. have been collected through secondary sources. These data have been

integrated in spatial framework in GIS environment for analysis.

110

4.3.1 Geomorphology

The satellite imagery has been visually interpreted into geomorphic

units/ landforms based on image elements such as tone, texture, shape, size,

location and association, physiography, genesis of landforms, nature of rocks/

sediments, and associated geological structures. The topographic information

in SOI toposheets has been helpful in interpreting the satellite imagery. Major

geomorphic units have been mapped based on physiography and relief.

Within each zone different geomorphic units have been mapped based on

landform characteristics, their areal extent, depth of weathering and thickness

of deposition (Table 4.2). The features have been labeled as per the NRIS

(National-Natural Resources Information System) coding scheme and linked

to the Look-Up-Table (LUT) (NRIS 1997). The coverage has been projected

and transformed into Transverse Mercator projection and coordinate system

in meters. The transformation process involves geometric rectification

through Ground Control Points (GCPs) identified on the input coverage and

corresponding SOI map.

Geomorphologically, the study area comprises younger and older

coastal alluvial plains. The younger coastal plain is characterised by narrow to

wider beaches followed by beach sand ridges, which are gently sloping

towards sea side and swale complexes of swamps/ marshes, mud flat and salt

flats. The area is a vast coastal plain characterized by several strandlines,

lagoon , mangroves, salt marsh, estuaries, creek , barred dunes, spits and

beach terraces (Figure 4.6). The salt flats are utilized as saltpans around

Muthukadu.

The Beach runs continuously all along the study area from

Kattivakkam to Kovalam river mouth, except where coastal inlets/creeks are

present. There are several stabilized sand dunes with vegetation growth.

111

Towards onshore, the East Coast road has dissected the dunes. Berms are

present almost in the entire study area. At Kovalam, they are present in the

fore shore region where wave action is dominant.

Table 4.2 Geomorphic Classification (NRIS 1997)

Zone Geomorphic Unit Sub-Category

Pediplain Pediplain Weathered/

buried

Shallow weathered/shallow buried

Pediplain

Moderately weathered/moderately

buried Pediplain

Coastal

Plain

Old Coastal Plain Older mudflat(Old Coastal Plain)

Older Coastal Plain Deep

Young Coastal Plain

Beach ridge(Young Coastal Plain)

Swale(Young Coastal Plain)

Brackishwater creeks

Coastal Plain Deep

Mud flat(Young Coastal Plain)

Beach(Young Coastal Plain)

Salt Pan

There are seawater inlets/creeks present in the study area, namely

Ennore creek, and Muthukadu creek that is present north of Kovalam.

Buckingham canal runs parallel to shore throughout the length of the region.

The Coastal wetlands run west of the Buckingham canal. Also, tidal flats are

spread around the Buckingham Canal. The shoreline is appreciably straight,

open and continuous. The beaches vary in width from 35 metres to 1000

metres and beaches of about 50 m in width are very common and show

normally well developed foredunes and backshore berms. The foreshore has a

gentle slope and the surf zone wide.

112

Figure 4.6 Geomorphology of the study area

113

Small rocky outcrops, close to the seawater front exist at Kovalam

beach of Kovalam creek. The rocky outcrops are garnetiferous charnockite/

granitic gneiss with coarse to medium grained granitic texture. Rock

cleavages and slip planes are seen along biotite enriched portions. At the mid

point of the bay, rocky exposures occur in the foreshore region, which are

weathered due to wave action.

Beyond the berm region, acidic charnockite is present. In the wave

cut terrace, sandy layers of heavy mineral bands are formed. Towards the

mouth of Muthukadu creek, all along the foreshore and berm, heavy mineral

concentrations occur. The entire coastline exhibits bundles of beach ridges

which act as potential zones of ground water.

4.3.2 Geology

Classification and mapping of lithologic units/rock types is

performed through visual interpretation of image characteristics and terrain

information, supported by the a priori knowledge of general geologic setting

of the area. The tone (colour) and landform characteristics, and relative

erodibility, drainage, soil type, land use/cover and other contextual

information are used in classification. The rock types are mapped and labeled

as per NRIS classification scheme (Table 4.3) (NRIS 1997).

The geology of the study area comprises of mostly clay, shale and

sandstone. The Chennai city is classified into three regions based on geology:

sandy areas, clayey areas and hard-rock areas. Sandy areas are found along

the river banks and coasts. Igneous/metamorphic rocks are found in the south

of Chennai; marine sediments containing clay-silt sands and charnockite

rocks are found in the eastern and northern parts; and the western parts are

composed of alluvium and sedimentary rocks.

114

Clayey regions cover most of the city. The thickness of soil

formation ranges from a few meters in the southern part to as much as 50

meters in the northern and central parts (Figure 4.7). The geological

formations are beach sands at Quaternary and recent periods. Cuddalore

sandstone of Mio- Pliocene age, shoals and sand stone of upper Gondwanas

and Chornockites of Archaean era also occur.

Table 4.3 Lithologic Unit Classification (NRIS 1997)

Lithologic Unit Rock Type Stratigraphy

Clay Fluvial-Flood basin deposits Quaternary

Clayey sand Fluvio-Marine Quaternary

Sand, Silt and

Clay Partings

Alluvium-Fluvial Quaternary

Sand and silt Alluvium- Fluvial Quaternary

Sandstone Cuddalore Formation Mio-pliocene\Cainozoic

Charnockite Charnockite Group Archaean

The coastal zone between Kattivakkam and Kovalam is basically

comprised of recent coastal Alluvium, with a mixture of fine-grained light

white sands with broken shell pieces. The alluvium consists of sand, silt and

clay. The thickness of alluvium varies from 10 m to 28 m with a maximum observed of 9.6 m.

The presence of thick black clay followed by fossil bed below

alluvium is a common feature. Fluvial marine and erosional landforms have

been found. The coastal sands lie over the Charnockite basement with an

average depth ranging from 12- 20m and intercalated with occasional reddish brown clays.

115

Figure 4.7 Geology of the study area

116

4.3.3 Drainage and Hydrology

The classification covers perennial, seasonal and peripheral

categories (NRIS 1997). Minor streams and rivers have been represented by

line, while the major rivers with edges in the SOI map have been represented

by polygons. Two rivers meander through the study region, the Cooum (or

Koovam) in the central region and the Adyar in the southern region.

A protected estuary of the Adyar forms the natural habitat of

several species of birds and animals. These two rivers are almost stagnant and

do not carry enough water except during rainy seasons. The Buckingham

Canal travels parallel to the coast, linking the two rivers. The Otteri Nullah,

an east-west stream runs through north Chennai and meets the Buckingham

Canal at Basin Bridge (Figure 4.8).

The Chennai city is served by two major ports namely the Chennai

Port which is one of the largest artificial ports and the Ennore Port. A smaller

harbour at Royapuram is used by local fishing boats and trawlers. Numerous

perennial and dry tanks are spread over the study region.

The primary layers of hydrologic units upto watershed have been

created (Figure 4.9). The classification scheme follows the hierarchical

system of watershed delineation developed by AISLUS (All India Soil and

Landuse Survey). Each water resources region is delineated into basins and

each basin is subdivided into catchments. Each catchment is divided into

subcatchments and each sub-catchment is divided into watersheds, drained by

a single river or group of small rivers or a tributary of a major river.

117

Figure 4.8 Drainage of the study area

118

Figure 4.9 Watershed of the study area

4.3.4 Hydro-Geology

Ground water occurs in the beach environment under perched

condition at shallower depth with an average depth of 3 to 4 m and the fresh water is collected from monsoonal rains. Ground water occurs under water

119

table conditions, the major water bearing formation being the coastal sands. Groundwater occurs in water table under semi-confined to confined

conditions in the porous alluvial formations. Near the boundary and in the low

lying areas, estuarine deposits and the fluvial action by rivers have deposited

very irregular lenses of sand and silt layers. The important aquifer systems in the Tiruvallur district are constituted by unconsolidated and semi-

consolidated formations, weathered and fractured crystalline rocks. The

general gradient and ground water flow in Kancheepuram district is towards

east. In the creeks, low lying areas, salt pans and along the Buckingham channel, water is always saline due to the sea water incoming into the channel

during high tides.

4.3.5 Bathymetry

Bathymetric maps show the depth and slope of the ocean floor near

the shore and are used to assess the potential impacts of storm surges and tides on coastal areas. The bathymetric maps are helpful in knowing the

coastal configuration with respect to depths of the sea. The bathymetry map for the study area has been prepared by digitizing the hydrographic chart of

Mamallapuram to Point Pudi published by the Naval Hydrographic Office,

Dehradun using ArcGIS software. The scale of the map is 1: 150000.

The bathymetric profile of the Eastern continental margin of India

shows that the shelf is in general steep and narrow in the south (except off

Chennai), whereas it is relatively wider and gentle in the north. The coastline

is oriented in N S direction. The width of the continental shelf is 43 km off

Chennai and depth at which shelf-break occurs is 200m at Chennai (Figure

4.10). South of Chennai, the shelf is non-basinal where the inner and middle

shelf is smooth and featureless; outer shelf shows bottom irregularities as

much as to 4 to 6 m, related to karstic structures, pinnacles and smooth dome

shaped reef structures.

120

Figure 4.10 Bathymetric map of the study area

121

Off Chennai the width of the continental slope is narrow (9km) with a steep gradient (250 m/km) (Rao et al 1992) and appears to be devoid of

gullies and valleys (Table 4.2). The shallow bays associated with basinal

areas are more affected by the crossing of cyclones and storm surges, due to

wider shelf with gentle slope.

Table 4.4 Continental Shelf Characteristics of Chennai

Location Water depth

at shelf break m

Shelf edge distance form

coast km

Shelf gradient

Ratio

Slope gradient

Ratio

Depth at which

marginal high is

recorded m

Chennai 200 55 1:200 1:8 2700

4.3.6 Structural Details

Different types of primary and secondary geological structures

(attitude of beds, schistocity / foliation, folds, lineaments, circular features)

could be visually interpreted from imagery by studying the landforms, slope

asymmetry, outcrop pattern, drainage pattern, and stream/ river courses.

Lineaments (faults, fractures, shear zones, and thrusts) appear as linear and

curvilinear lines on the satellite imagery, and are often indicated by the

presence of moisture, alignment of vegetation, straight drainage courses and

alignment of tanks / ponds. Lineaments are further sub-divided based on

image characteristics and geological evidence (NRIS 1997).

Structural maps, which show the location of the major geological

fault systems and related geological features, are used to identify the loci of

earthquakes and zones of earth movement (Figure 4.11). A NW SE trending

mega lineament occurs from Chennai on the east coast. The structural map for

122

the study region has been obtained from the Institute of Remote Sensing,

Anna University, Chennai. Palar fault, located at a distance of 68 km from the

Chennai city has been identified as a future seismic source for the city

(Boominathan et al 2007).

From previous literature (Gitis and Weinstock 2001, Kathuria and

Ganeshaiah 2002), the presence of faults and lineaments in 100 km around the

study area has been studied. Numerous active and potentially active faults

considered capable of generating earthquakes have been documented within

100-kilometer radius of the site. A buffer polygon of 100 km radius has been

generated in ArcGIS around the study region (Figure 4.12).

Figure 4.11 Buffer for Structural Map

123

Figure 4.12 Structural map of the study area

124

The structural map and the buffer maps have been overlayed and

the faults and lineaments present in the buffer region have been extracted. The

structural classification and statistics is given (Table 4.5).

Table 4.5 Geologic Structure Classification (NRIS 1997)

S.No. Structure Number present within 100 km of study region

1 Dip/Strike 12 2 Fault inferred 2 3 Fracture 28 4 Inferred lineament 58 5 Lineament 300 6 Ridge crest 22 7 Structural trends 7

4.3.7 Land Use/ Land Cover

Land-use maps show human use of the land. Depending on the

scale, they may indicate various subdivisions of settlement use, cropping

patterns, pasture lands and forest plantations (Figure 4.13). The land use /

cover map has been prepared as per the NRIS classification scheme (NRIS

1997). The land use/cover categories have been visually interpreted using

ERDAS Imagine software and classified. The interpretation process has

involved reference to collateral data such as SOI toposheets. All surface

waterbodies (reservoirs, lakes, and tanks) have been mapped from SOI map,

and updated for recent constructions with reference to the satellite data. The

classified map has been labeled and linked to the LUT through ArcGIS (Table

4.4).

125

Table 4.6 Landuse/ Landcover classification (NRIS 1997)

Level I Level II Level III Level IV

Built-up Towns/cities (Urban)

Residential Industrial Salt pans

Commercial Airport Harbour/Port

Recreational

Parks/Gardens Play Grounds Stadium Race Course Beaches

Public & Semi- Public

Educational Institution

Mixed Built- up land

Open Spaces/ Vacant Land

Others Villages (Rural)

Agriculture Fallow

Current Fallow Permanent Fallow

Plantations

Forest Mangroves (Littoral Swamp Forest) Sparse

Wastelands

Salt Affected Land Land with scrub Land without scrub Barren Rocky/ Stony Waste/ Sheet Rock

126

Table 4.6 (Continued )

Level I Level II Level III Level IV

Water bodies

River Water channel area River Island River bed Vegetation

Tanks Water spread area Sandy area Tank bed vegetation

Bay Back waters Creek

Canal

Wetlands Inland Wetlands Water logged

Coastal Wetlands Marsh Vegetation Sand

Grass land / Grazing Degraded

Chennai is a large commercial and industrial centre and is known

for its cultural heritage. The Buckingham canal runs almost parallel to the

coast within the limits of 5 kms from the shore. The city is intersected by two

languid streams, the Cooum and the Adyar. These two rivers are almost

stagnant and do not carry enough water except during rainy seasons. Twenty-

ation is classified as living in slum conditions.

Residential skyscrapers and urban sprawl have increased leading to high land

prices and lack of space.

127

Figure 4.13 Landuse of the study area

128

4.3.8 Elevation

The elevation for the study region has been analysed using the

Global Mapper software (Figure 4.14).The present study uses an elevation

dataset prepared from fairly accurate 1-m contour map prepared by the PWD,

Govt. of Tamilnadu. The hard copy map has been scanned and georeferenced

with the help of SOI topographical sheets. The contours have been digitized

using ArcGIS software (Figure 4.15(a)). Correspondingly, Triangulated

Irregular Network (TIN) model of the region has been created using ArcGIS

3D Analyst extension(Figure 4.15(b)). The elevation dataset has been

generated in GIS environment using Arc Scene application. The ETOPO5

global data from UNEP has been utilized to generate contours (Figure

4.15(c)) and a raster elevation dataset (Figure 4.15(d)) by interpolating the

elevation points for the study area using Global Mapper software.

Figure 4. 14 View of the Global Mapper software environment

129

(a) (b)

(c) (d)

Figure 4.15 (a) Contours from PWD Map (b) TIN model (c) Contours

from ETOPO5 data (d) Raster elevation dataset

130

The 'ETOPO5' data set represents the digital terrain values as

integrated from existing five and ten-minute digital sources. The data set has

elevation values spaced at every five-minute latitude / longitude crossing on

the global grid (approx. nine km.-sq. spatial resolution, or 12 12

pixel/degree), and a one-meter contour interval. Bathymetric values are

included in this data set, starting at approximately 10,000 meters below sea

level, while the elevation values, extend up to heights of approximately 8,000

meters above sea level. The interpolated dataset has been imported into GIS

environment and the elevation model generated. The city has been found to

have an average elevation of 6 meters (20 feet), its highest point being 60 m

(200 ft). The elevation of Chennai rises slightly as the distance from the sea-

shore increases but the average elevation of the city is not more than 6 m

above mean sea-level, while most of the localities are just at sea-level and

drainage in such areas remains a serious problem.

4.3.9 Slope

The study region is located on a flat coastal plain known as the Eastern Coastal Plains. Chennai has 25.60 kms of sea coast which is flat and sandy for about a km. from the shore. The bed of the sea is about 42' deep and slopes further in gradual stages for a distance of about 5 kms from the coast attaining a depth of about 63'. Width of the backshore sandy beach zone is about 4.5 km along Chennai coast. The study region has an almost flat terrain with a slope between 0-1% with certain areas having 1-3% slope (Figure 4.16). Slope of the Chennai coast at Besant Nagar is 1 in 39 upto 100 m. Kancheepuram district has a natural slope from West to East with a fall of 42 ft. Chennai city plateau is extremely flat with almost no hills. Most points of the city are within 4-5 m above the Mean Sea Level (MSL). The city is predominately flat, without any elevation. Its average slope is 0.7 m per Kilometre towards the sea.

131

Figure 4.16 Slope of the study area

132

4.3.10 Climate and Rainfall

The climate of this stretch is temperate; neither extreme heat nor extreme cold but humidity is considerable. Both the monsoon occurs here and in summer heat is considerably mitigated in the coastal area by sea breeze. Average daily temperature in Chennai during January is around 24 °C (75.2 °F), though the temperature rarely falls below 18 °C (64.4 °F). The total rainfall varies as much as 500 to 1500 mm per year with more than 60 % falling during the northeast monsoon. The average monthly air temperatures vary between 37 oC in May and June to about 20 oC during December and January. The average maximum monthly values of the relative air humidity remain above 90% throughout the year. The annual rainfall during 2004-05 at Chennai and Kancheepuram is 1001-1200mm and in Tiruvallur is 801-1000 mm. Rainfall data has been averaged for each month extending for 10 years ranging from 1995-2005 (Table 4.7).

Table 4.7 Mean monthly values of rainfall

Year Mean annual rainfall for Station (mm)

Nungambakkam (Chennai) Kovalam (Kancheepuram) 1995 127.08 108.38 1996 130.54 128.45 1997 167.96 107.98 1998 89.93 95.55 1999 95.93 100.17 2000 89.97 102.06 2001 7.78 112.45 2002 116.6 97.63 2003 61.58 75.81 2004 100.83 89.55 2005 10.09 10.82

(Source: Regional Meteorological Department, Chennai, India)

133

4.3.11 Winds

The predominant wind directions in the study area are NE, ENE,

SSW, SW, ESE and SE. Based on monsoon, the climate of Chennai could be

divided into three seasons , namely, SW monsoon, NE monsoon and non-

monsoonal. During the northeast monsoon the winds blow predominantly

from the northeast with a speed of 5.8-7.5 m/s and direction of 49-87o with

respect to north, reaching a force of 7 on the Beaufort scale. During the SW

monsoon the winds blow predominantly from the southwest, with a speed is

2-12 m/s and direction of 153-263o, reaching a force of 6 on the Beaufort

scale. Thunderstorms occur throughout the year accompanied by wind gusts

of up to 130 km/hr.

4.3.12 Waves and Tides

The general wave direction in the region is 100-160o with respect to

north during SW monsoon and 60-90o during NE monsoon. Wave heights

associated with cyclones could be as high as 5 to 8 m. Tides along Chennai

coast have a period of 12 hours 20 minutes. The wave height on the Chennai

Coast during SW monsoon, range from 0.4 to 1.6 m and from 0.4 to 2.0 m

during the NE monsoon period (Narasimha Rao 1984). The tides in the region

are of semi-diurnal type with mean spring tide ranges of 1.10 m and mean

neap tide ranges of 0.8 m based on characteristics of the tide on the Chennai

coast with respect to Chart Datum specified by the National hydrographic

office, India. The significant wave heights at the Chennai Port have been

collected for 2000-2005 (Table 4.8).

134

Table 4.8 Significant Wave height observations (in metres)

Year 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Month Height Height Height Height Height Height

January * 0.75 0.90 1.00 1.00 1.00 February * 0.60 0.60 0.90 1.00 1.00 March 0.75 0.60 0.75 1.00 1.00 1.00 April 1.00 0.60 1.00 0.90 1.00 1.00 May 0.75 0.60 0.90 1.00 1.00 1.00 June 1.25 0.60 0.75 1.00 0.75 1.00

July 0.90 0.75 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 August 0.60 0.60 0.90 0.90 1.00 1.00 September 0.75 0.60 0.75 0.90 1.00 1.00 October 1.00 1.00 0.90 1.00 1.00 1.5 November 2.5-3.0 1.00 1.50 1.50 1.00 1.5 December 0.75 1.00 1.00 2.5-3.0 1.00 1.5

* Data not available (Source: Port Trust of India)

The wave conditions in the vicinity of Chennai coast is strongly

influenced by the monsoons blowing over the coast. The directions of wave

approach coincide with the monsoonal seasons and the heights are also

influenced by the cyclonic conditions prevailing during the monsoons. The

storm surge height is usually between 2.5 and 3 m during the months of

November and December (Figure 4.17). The maximum values in each year

indicate the storm surge heights which occurred during cyclonic disturbances

near the study area.

135

Significant Wave Height

00.5

11.5

22.5

33.5

Month

200020012002200320042005

Figure 4.17 Significant Wave Heights during 2000-2005

The wave heights inferred by Sundar (1986) from visually observed

wave data of Chennai Port trust from April 1974 to March 1984 are of the

range 0.4 to 2.5 m and wave periods vary between 5 and 15 secs. The study

region could receive waves as high as 8m during the NE monsoon and during

SW monsoon maximum wave height varies between 4 and 5m. The tides at

Chennai are semi-diurnal with a maximum tidal range in the order of 1.4 m.

Characteristics of the tide and values of spring and neap tides observed by the

Chennai Port trust are shown (Table 4.9 and Table 4.10):

Table 4.9 Characteristics of tide at Chennai

Description Value

Highest High Water 1.50 m

Mean High Water Spring 1.10 m

Mean High Water Neap 0.80 m

Mean Sea level 0.54 m

Mean Low Water Spring 0.40 m

Mean Low Water Neap 0.10 m

136

Table 4.10 Spring and Neap tides from 1997 to 2005

Month/ Year 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Spring Neap Spring Neap Spring Neap Spring Neap Spring Neap Spring Neap Spring Neap Spring Neap Spring Neap

January 1.38 0.06 1.18 -0.08 1.36 0.08 1.22 0.04 1.30 0.04 1.30 -0.08 1.32 0.02 1.19 0.00 1.25 0.02

February 1.18 -0.12 1.18 -0.08 1.30 0.08 1.22 0.00 1.28 0.02 1.30 0.05 1.25 0.04 1.11 -0.03 1.31 -0.02

March 1.20 -0.10 1.16 -0.10 1.22 0.00 1.20 0.06 1.13 -0.14 1.23 -0.20 1.18 -0.10 1.16 -0.09 1.29 -0.25

April 1.18 -0.10 1.24 -0.04 1.48 0.08 1.26 0.00 1.22 0.12 1.28 -0.06 1.16 -0.10 1.23 -0.11 1.21 -0.07

May 1.24 -0.08 1.34 0.16 1.40 0.06 1.30 0.20 1.30 0.06 1.30 0.02 1.44 0.02 1.37 0.00 1.19 -0.13

June 1.24 -0.06 1.32 0.14 1.28 -0.06 1.32 0.04 1.32 -0.08 1.24 0.12 1.27 -0.04 1.45 0.09 1.29 -0.05

July 1.20 -0.10 1.36 0.10 1.20 -0.06 1.38 0.02 1.32 0.10 1.22 0.10 1.11 -0.09 1.27 0.04 1.40 0.11

August 1.28 -0.10 1.36 0.12 1.20 -0.08 1.30 0.04 1.28 0.02 1.23 -0.04 1.25 0.01 1.30 0.00 1.40 0.09

September 1.18 -0.10 1.42 0.14 1.40 -0.10 1.22 0.08 1.24 -0.02 1.20 -0.10 1.34 0.01 1.27 0.00 1.36 0.03

October 1.30 0.00 1.50 0.18 1.54 0.12 1.36 0.14 1.52 0.18 1.40 -0.04 1.63 0.15 1.43 0.02 1.43 0.16

November 1.40 0.10 1.56 0.18 1.60 0.26 1.52 0.28 1.59 0.34 1.48 0.08 1.45 0.05 1.40 0.05 1.57 0.25

December 1.30 0.04 1.58 0.20 1.46 0.16 1.44 0.16 1.48 0.14 1.37 0.06 1.45 0.13 3.07 -0.27 1.67 0.15

Mean 1.26 -0.05 1.35 0.08 1.37 0.05 1.31 0.09 1.33 0.07 1.30 -0.01 1.32 0.01 1.44 -0.03 1.36 0.02

(Source: Port Trust of India, Chennai)

137

The spring and neap tide heights from 1997 to 2005 have been

taken from the observations at the Port Trust of India, Chennai. Figure 4.18

shows the mean values of spring and neap tides during 1997 2005.

Mean Tidal range

-0.5

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

Year

Spring Neap

Figure 4.18 Mean Values of Spring and Neap Tides during 1997 - 2005

4.3.13 Currents

Currents near the river mouths are greatly influenced by tides, but

the regions along the open coast within 2 km from the coastline are mostly

dominated by wind and seasonal circulation pattern. The two principal

currents, first from the north and second from the south flow parallel to the

coast. The former sets in about the middle of October and continue till

February while the latter starts by about August and continues till the burst of

the north-east monsoon in mid October. The current velocity generally ranges

between 0.2 and 0.5 m/sec and currents are strongest in the region between 50

and 100 m from the shore corresponding to water depths of 1 and 2 m

respectively.

138

4.4 SOCIAL SCENARIO

4.4.1 Infrastructure

The Chennai city is served by an international airport and two

major ports and it is connected to the rest of the country by five national

highways and two railway terminals. The Chennai Metropolitan area has a

broad industrial base in the automobile, technology, hardware manufacturing,

and healthcare industries. The region is well connected by roads, rail network

including the Mass Rapid Transit System (MRTS), bridges and

telecommunications. The road and rail alignments from satellite imagery and

SOI map have been mapped and symbolized as per the NRIS classification

scheme (NRIS 1997). All roads have been classified into specified categories,

while all rail tracks have been shown as single category (Figure 4.19). The

port of Chennai is the largest and most advanced port facility within the

region, reportedly handling 20% of all throughputs for India (ASCE 2005).

4.4.2 Demography

Chennai has an estimated population of 7.5 million (2008)

(www.world-gazetteer.com), making it the fourth largest metropolitan city in

India. The overall population density of Tamil Nadu is 6,351 per km² (Census

of India, 2001), whereas the density varies for the individual villages and

towns (Table 4.11). The population density has been calculated for each unit

and classified by Natural breaks (Jenks) method. The five classes are based on

natural groupings inherent in the data. The break points have been identified

using ArcMap software by picking the class breaks that best group similar

values and maximize the differences between classes. The features are divided

into classes whose boundaries are set where there are relatively big jumps in

the data values (Figure 4.20).

139

Figure 4.19 Infrastructure of the study area

140

Figure 4.20 Population and Literacy of the study area

141

Table 4.11 Demographic Details of the Study Area

S.No. Village/Town/Ward Area (sq.km) Households Population Literates Literacy rate % Pop. Density (persons/sq.km)

1 Kattivakkam 5.612745 7282 32590 22772 69.87 5806 2 Eravanur- UI 6.148365 - - - - - 3 Tiruvottiyur 5.967354 49068 212281 160248 75.48 35573 4 Tandaiyarpet 10.612562 6784 32373 20449 63.16 3050 5 East Vallalar Nagar 1.339720 4532 22797 17507 76.79 17016 6 South Valr. Nagar 1.723276 5013 24788 16996 68.56 14384 7 Chindaripet 4.081409 4168 22068 18665 84.57 5406 8 Chepauk 0.527247 2732 15285 13024 85.20 28990 9 Zambazar 0.746021 3193 15121 11965 79.12 20268 10 Krishnampet 0.942358 4360 21557 14651 67.96 22875 11 Karaneeswarpuram 1.077983 4507 20483 15308 74.73 19001 12 Mylapore 1.447168 4367 18234 15085 82.73 12599 13 Avvainagar 1.635668 12806 53152 41349 77.79 32495 14 Urur 1.606722 5984 62921 52025 82.68 15282 15 Thiruvanmiyur 5.095952 28673 119634 93693 78.31 23476 16 Kottivakkam 3.169262 3258 13884 9656 69.54 4380 17 Palavakkam 2.110306 3327 14361 10424 72.58 6805 18 Neelankarai 2.961774 3604 15367 10803 70.29 5188 19 Injambakkam 5.254416 2408 10117 7267 71.82 1925 20 Sholinganallur 15.595824 3590 15557 10878 69.92 997 21 Uthandi 3.580903 3370 15423 10994 71.28 4307 22 Kannathur Reddy Kuppam 3.286486 869 4078 2908 71.30 1240 23 Muthukadu 5.014400 572 2698 1577 58.45 538 24 Kovalam 2.342664 793 3955 2601 65.76 1688 25 Kunnakadu 1.687127 84 384 206 53.64 227

142

4.4.3 Human Development

The notion of human well-being includes not only the consumption

of goods and services but also the accessibility of all sections of the

population to the basic necessities of a productive and socially meaningful

life. The conventional measures of well-being, such as Gross Domestic

Product (GDP) or per capita income and their alternatives are inherently

limited in capturing the wider aspects of the process of development.

The human development indicators of any country with respect to

hazard risk management include GDP/capita , Gini coefficient, Literacy,

Incidence of poverty, Life expectancy, Insurance mechanisms, Degree of

urbanization, Access to public health facilities, education, Community

organisations, planning regulations, warning and protection from natural

hazards, Institutional and decision-making frameworks and political stability

(UNDP 2000). The indicators have been grouped under various categories

such as economic attainment, educational attainment, health attainment and

demography. The human development index for the whole of country has

been computed as 0.619 by the United Nations Development Programme.

4.5 HAZARD SCENARIO

The major coastal hazards affecting the study area, as seen from

previous literature and historical data, are: Cyclones, Storm surges,

Earthquakes, Tsunami, Coastal Erosion and Sea level rise. Hazards associated

with volcanic eruptions including lava flows, falling ash and projectiles,

mudflows, and toxic gases and landslides including slides, falls, and flows of

unconsolidated materials have not occurred in the known history of the study

area. Hence these hazards are not considered for the present analysis.

143

In India, the climate and weather are dominated by the largest

seasonal mode of precipitation in the world, due to the summer monsoon

circulation. Indeed, rainfall during a typical monsoon season is by no means

uniformly distributed in time on a regional/local scale, but is marked by a few

active spells separated by weak monsoon or break periods of little or no rain.

Thus, the daily distribution of rainfall at the local level has important

consequences in terms of the occurrence of extremes.

Areas that receive up to 60 centimeters of rainfall annually are the

most drought-prone. Hence, after a thorough observation of the rainfall data

of the study area, impacts of precipitation variability have not been considered

for the present analysis.

4.5.1 Cyclones and Storm Surges

The Bay of Bengal is one of the major centres of the world for

breeding of tropical storms. Cyclones over the Bay of Bengal usually move

westward, northwestward, or northward and cross the East coast of India.

Frequency of formation of cyclones is 5-6 times more in Bay of Bengal as

compared to Arabian Sea (IMD 1979). The cyclone affected areas of the

country are classified in 50 and 55 m/s zones. During cyclonic period, wind

speed often exceeds 100 km/h (27.8 m/s).

While the total frequency of cyclonic storms that form over the Bay

of Bengal has remained almost constant over the period 1887-1997, an

increase in the frequency of severe cyclonic storms appears to have taken

place in recent decades. Cyclone data over the Bay of Bengal since 1891

indicates that on average, a moderate to severe cyclone hits the Tamil Nadu

coast every two years (Table 4.12).

144

A storm surge of approximately once in 5 years has a height of

about 7 m. The Tamil Nadu coast has observed surge heights in the range of

1 to 6 m. The height of the surges is limited, due to the depths in the bay, to a

maximum of about 12 m. The frequency of a wave with a height of 12 m is

approximately once per 20 years. The probable maximum surge height along

the coastal area of Chennai district according to the vulnerability atlas of India

1997) is found to be 5.45m.

Table 4.12 Details of wind systems formed in the Bay of Bengal and

affected the east coast of India during the period 1891-2000

(Mascarenhas 2004)

Type of disturbance

Cyclonic disturbance

Depression / deep depression

Cyclonic storm

Severe cyclonic storm

Number 1087 635 279 173 Yearly average 10 6 3 1.5

Wind speed km/h 31-118 31-61 61-88 88-118

District wise analysis show that Kancheepuram, Tiruvallur and

Chennai districts experienced 17 cyclones of which 5 were severe and 1 was

very severe during the last century (NATCOM 2004). The life span of a

severe cyclonic storm in the Indian seas averages about 4 days from the time

it forms until the time it enters the land. A tropical cyclone forming in the Bay

of Bengal may have a lifetime of one week or longer. About 26% of the

cyclones that form in the Bay of Bengal makes landfall along Tamil Nadu

every year.

145

4.5.1.1 Cyclone tracks

Hazard map for cyclones has been prepared by using data inputs of

past climatological records. Historic Data about cyclonic disturbances

affecting the study region and its surrounding area from 1945 to 2006 have

been compiled (Data courtesy: Joint Typhoon Warning Center;

http://weather.unisys.com).

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center, Pearl Harbour Hawaii, is

responsible for providing tropical cyclone forecasts. Data from geostationary

satellites as well as polar and equatorial orbiting satellites are used to assess

synoptic features and to ascertain cyclone position, intensity and size.

Increased use of microwave imagery and scatterometer data has also been

done to improve the temporal and spatial continuity of analysis.

Some of the satellites from which data is collected include GOES

(Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites), DMSP (Defense

Meteorological Satellite Program) and NOAA (National Oceanic and

Atmospheric Administration) and sensors including TRMM (Tropical

Rainfall Measuring Mission) and SSM/I (Special Sensor Microwave Imager).

The satellite data along with surface observations, upper air

observations, satellite derived winds, radar observations, aircraft observations

and model forecast output help in maintaining a continuous meteorological

watch over the Indian Ocean.

A text based table of tracking information denoting the position in

latitude and longitude, maximum sustained winds in knots, and central

pressure in millibars and the map depicting the cyclone tracks has been

collected for each track (Table 4.13).

146

Table 4.13 Occurrences of Cyclone around the Study region

05-10 Dec 1946 13-22 May 1962 15-17 Nov 1976 14-16 Oct 1987

05-11nov 1946 25-29 Nov 1962 22-30 Nov 1976 30 Jan- 4 Feb 1987

14-1 Nov 1946 18-28 Oct 1963 9-13 May 1977 30 May 5 Jun 1987

10-15 Dec 1947 03-08 Nov 1964 14-20 Nov 1977 30 Oct 3 Nov 1987

19-22 Dec 1947 16-28 Nov 1964 03-13 Nov 1978 03-11 May 1990

20-22 May 1949 05-09 Nov 1965 05-13 May 1979 09-16 Nov 1991

15-19 Nov 1950 07-13 Dec 1966 23-25 Nov 1979 9-16 Nov 1991

16-22 Oct 1950 24-30 Nov 1966 27 Oct-1 Nov 1979 06-17 Nov 1992

25-30 Nov 1952 28 Apr-4 May 1966 03-07 Dec 1980 13-22 Oct-1992

22-26 Nov 1953 01-07 Jan 1967 12-17 Dec 1980 31 Oct-8 Nov 1992

9-12 Dec 1954 03-08 Dec 1967 17-20 Nov 1981 27 Nov-5 Dec 1993

19-22 Oct 1954 01-05 Nov 1968 13-16 Oct 1982 28-31 Oct 1994

04-07 May 1955 11-17 Dec 1968 17-19 Oct 1982 26 Nov-7 Dec 1996

04-07may 1955 20-28 Oct 1968 30 Apr-5 May 1982 02 Nov-14 Nov 1997

15-17 Oct 1955 10-13 Dec1969 01-04 Oct 1983 26 Nov-06dec 2000

16-18 May 1955 20-23 Oct 1969 27 Nov-8 Dec 1984 23-28 Dec 2000

28 Nov-1 Dec 1955 01-06 May 1970 9-15 Nov 1984 23-28 Dec 2000

18-20 Nov 1956 18-20 Nov 1970 10-14 Oct 1984 9-12 Nov 2002

26 Apr - 2 May 1956 01-08 Dec 1972 9-14 Dec 1985 11-16 Dec 2003

16-20 Oct 1958 02-05 Oct 1972 13-18 Nov 1985 06-10 Dec 2005

17-29 Nov 1958 15-23 Nov 1972 22-25 May 1985 17-22 Dec 2005

22-24 Jun 1959 23-28 Nov 1974 07-11 Jan 1986 27 Nov-2dec 2005

26-30 Oct 1959 7-12 Nov 1975 02-13 Dec 1987 27-28 Oct 2005

27 Nov 6 Dec1959 24 Nov - 2 Dec 1975 17-23 Dec 1987 24-29 Apr 2006

18-20 Nov 1960 26-27 Oct 1975 8-13 Nov 1987 -

The details of a single cyclone track with the co-ordinates and wind speed are

extracted from the data source (Table 4.14).

147

Table 4.14 Cyclone Track Details

Date: 26 NOV-6 DEC 2000 Sub tropical Storm #3

LATITUDE LONGITUDE TIME WIND DESCRIPTION 10.3 88.1 11/27/00Z 35 TROPICAL STORM 10.7 86.9 11/27/06Z 45 TROPICAL STORM 11 85.8 11/27/12Z 45 TROPICAL STORM

11.2 84.5 11/27/18Z 50 TROPICAL STORM 11.6 83.6 11/28/00Z 55 TROPICAL STORM 11.6 82.5 11/28/06Z 55 TROPICAL STORM 11.5 81.9 11/28/12Z 65 CYCLONE-1 11.5 81.4 11/28/18Z 65 CYCLONE-1 11.5 80.8 11/29/00Z 65 CYCLONE-1 11.6 80.3 11/29/06Z 65 CYCLONE-1 11.6 79.7 11/29/12Z 65 CYCLONE-1 11.5 78.7 11/29/18Z 55 TROPICAL STORM 11.4 77.9 11/30/00Z 45 TROPICAL STORM 11.4 77.3 11/30/06Z 35 TROPICAL STORM 11.5 76.5 11/30/12Z 30 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11.5 75.7 11/30/18Z 25 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11.5 75.1 12/01/00Z 30 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11.6 74.4 12/01/06Z 30 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11.7 73.9 12/01/12Z 25 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11.8 73.2 12/01/18Z 30 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11.9 72.2 12/02/00Z 30 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11.8 70.4 12/02/06Z 30 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11.7 69.8 12/02/12Z 30 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11.6 69 12/02/18Z 30 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11.3 68.5 12/03/00Z 30 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11.2 66.8 12/03/06Z 35 TROPICAL STORM 11.2 65.7 12/03/12Z 35 TROPICAL STORM

The cyclone tracks have been digitized using ArcGIS software

(Figure 4.21). The map depicts the pattern of occurrence of cyclones in the

148

vicinity of the study region. Each line represents the track of a cyclonic storm

during the specified period. The significant cyclonic tracks around the study

region have been compiled and digitized.

Isolated cyclones forming in the South Bay of Bengal move west-

northwestwards and hit Tamil Nadu and Sri Lanka coasts during January to

March. During 29-31 October 1994, a cyclone hit Chennai and around,

leaving 304 killed, with 1 to 2 m surge. On November 12, 1977, a cyclone

that originated in the Bay of Bengal developed winds of 90-110 kilometers

per hour and struck the central coast of Tamil Nadu. During northeast

monsoon of 2005, five cyclonic systems of varying intensities hit the Tamil

Nadu coast.

To estimate the proximity of the region to cyclone track, 10 km

buffers of all the cyclone tracks have been drawn upto a distance of 40 km

(Figure 4.22). The regions near the tracks have greater impact from the

cyclones rather than the far off regions. These buffered tracks have been

overlayed on the study area to estimate the regions falling under different

levels of risk. Based on the proximity to the cyclone tracks the polygons of

the region have been ranked.

High population density in the coastal belt, dependence of a large

proportion on primary sectors, and inappropriate environmental management

in the coastal areas make Tamil Nadu a high disaster risk state with regard to

cyclones.

149

Figure 4.21 Cyclone tracks map of the study region from 1946-2006

150

Figure 4.22 Buffer of cyclone tracks

4.5.2 Earthquakes

Many earthquakes have been recorded from the coastal margin of

the Indian peninsular shield during the last 200 years. Since authentic

historical (200 1000 years B.P.) records of seismicity along the Peninsular

coast are virtually unavailable, the likely recurrence interval between

earthquakes in each sector cannot be gauged. Due to the north northeasterly movement of the Indian plate and its collision with Eurasian plate, the Indian

151

plate has subducted and the huge Himalayan Mountains have risen up. At the same time, the Indian plate is not able to move northerly as the Himalayan

Mountains are obstructing the same. Hence, the Indian plate is whirling like a

worm with a series of East-west trending alternating cymatogenic arches and

deeps from south to north viz: Mangalore - Chennai (Ramasamy et al 1987).

According to GSHAP (Global Seismic Hazard Assessment

Programme) data, the state of Tamil Nadu falls mostly in a region of low seismic hazard with the exception of western border areas that lie in a low to

moderate hazard zone. As per the 2002 Bureau of Indian Standards (BIS)

map, Tamil Nadu falls in Zones II & III. The city of Chennai, formerly in

zone II now lies in zone III (ASC 2006). Historically, parts of this region have experienced seismic activity in the M5.0 range. Recent tremors occurred in

Chennai due to the 2001 Bhuj earthquake (Mw 7.6), 2001 Pondicherry

earthquake (Mw 5.6), and the 2004 Sumatra earthquake

(Mw 9.1). The Earthquake catalogues of National Earthquake Information Catalogue (NEIC), USA shows that 65 earthquakes have occurred within 300

km from Chennai and 450 earthquakes have occurred in Peninsular India since 1800 A.D. (Table 4.15).

The peninsular Indian landmass has been considered to be stable and a region of slight seismicity. The geological framework of the region is

the cumulative effect of geodynamics sequences ranging from Early

Precambrian crustal evolution to young volcanism over its northwest segment

(Parvez et al 2003). It is interesting to note that in South India, barring a few,

majority of earthquake epicenters are confined to the high-grade granulite terrain. The few events in the granite- gneiss greenstone terrain are

distributed on either side of the NW SE Chennai Mumbai line. Also, the

large area confined between north of Chennai line and south of Tapti fault comprising Deccan trap and gneisses is devoid of any seismic activity

(Murthy 2002).

152

Table 4.15 Significant Earthquakes in Tamil Nadu (ASC 2006)

S.No. Date of Quake Place of occurrence Intensity/ Magnitude

1 28 January 1679 Felt at Fort George in Chennai. -

2 09 December 1807 Poonamalee-Avadi area 13.100 N, 80.100 E

VI

3 10 December 1807 Chennai area 13.100 N, 80.300 E

-

4 16 September 1816 Chennai area 13.100 N, 80.300 E

VI

5 02 March 1823 Sriperumbudur-Chettipattu area 13.000 N, 80.000 E

VI

6 12 August 1889 Chennai area 13.100 N, 80.300 E

VI

7 26 December 2006 Chennai area (Sumatra-Andaman Earthquake:03.298 N, 95.778 E) Mw 9.1

As per the microzonation profile created by Centre for Disaster

Mitigation and Management (CDMM) of Anna University, Chennai, parts of

the city such as areas in and around Adyar, Guindy, Vadapalani,

Nungambakkam and Vyasarpadi may well fall within Zone IV (high to very

high seismic risk). Of the Faults and lineaments found within 100 km from

Chennai, 4 faults, 2 major lineaments and several other minor lineaments

have been found to occur prominently. Palar fault, located at a distance of 68

km from the Chennai city has been identified as a future seismic source for

the city. According to a study by Boominathan et al (2007), the maximum

magnitude ranges from 3.5 to 6.5 in the chennai region calculated from

various faults and lineaments using the formula by Wells and Coppersmith

(1994). Also, the seismotectonic atlas by the Oil and Natural gas Commission

(ONGC) shows that the Palar fault and fault no.24 are the two active faults

near Chennai city. Epicenter maps show the location of earthquake epicenters

and give the date and depth of an epicenter and the magnitude of the related

earthquake (Figure 4.23).

153

Figure 4.23 Location of epicenters in the study area

Chennai has been found to have loose soil till 15 metres of depth.

Though the city is prone to quakes of the intensity of 5.8 on the Richter scale,

the loose soil leads to seismic amplification in the range of 6.3 to 7.2 on the

154

Richter scale according to a study by CDMM, Anna University, Chennai.

High seismic hazard areas have been found distributed in the whole of

Chennai with North Chennai having the largest area of very high to high

hazard prone areas.

4.5.3 Tsunamis

On 26th December 2004, the Indian coastline experienced the most

devastating tsunami in recorded history. The tsunami was triggered by an

earthquake of magnitude Mw 9.3 at 3.316°N, 95.854°E off the coast of

Sumatra in the Indonesian Archipelago at 06:29 hrs making it the most

powerful in the world in the last 40 years. More than 80% of the world's

tsunamis were caused by earthquakes and over 60% of these were observed in

the Pacific where large earthquakes occur as tectonic plates are subducted

along the Pacific Ring of Fire. Tsunamis have caused damage locally in all

ocean basins. On the average, there are two tsunamis per year somewhere in

the world which cause damage near the source (Figure 4.24).

Figure 4.24 Epicentre of all tsunamigenic earthquakes (Source: National Geophysical Data Center / World Data Center, 2008)

155

For the Indian region, two potential sources of tsunami have been identified,

namely Mekran coast and Andaman to Sumatra region. The Indian coast was

affected five times due to tsunamis during the last 122 years (1883-2004).

While the frequency of tsunamis in the Pacific Ocean is five per year,

tsunamis in India have a lesser frequency of once in 24 years. The Maximum

inundation limit of different villages of the study area measured during the

recent tsunami of 2004 range from 100 to 500 m and the run up ranges from

1 to 4 m. there has been no significant damage to the Chennai port due to the

tsunami. Some of the tsunamis that have occurred in the past have been

documented (Table 4.16)

Table 4.16 Past occurrences of Tsunami episodes in India

Year of occurrence Location

19 August 1868 Andaman Islands

31 December 1881 Andaman Islands, Nagapattinam

27 August 1883 Karatoa;

1.5 m tsunami at Madras coast

26 June 1941

8.1 quake in the Andaman Sea; Tsunami

with amplitudes from 0.75 to 1.25 m on

East coast of India

27 November 1945 8.25 quake off Karachi; Gulf of Kutch,

Mumbai and Karwar

26 December 2004

9.1 quake off north Sumatra coast;

Tsunamis in the Andaman and Nicobar

Islands and East and southwest coasts of

India

Source: MHA 2005 and Van Dorn 1982

156

4.5.3.1 Tsunami inundation

Inundation maps depict the extent of flooding due to tsunami

waves. Physical Resources assessment for the December 2004 tsunami has

been carried out from Ennore to Mamallapuram by the Institute of Remote

Sensing, Anna University, to understand the coastal erosion, deposition and

damages to physical structures Buildings, Houses, Huts, Roads, Fishing

Boats etc. The field observations (Table 4.17) indicate that Tsunami waves

have acted forcefully entered 100 250m in the coastal areas with an

inundation of more than 1 2 km in the creeks and rivers of Adyar and

Cooum, thus breaching the dune ridges of Adyar Mouth Sand Bar, Cooum

Sand Bar and Muthukadu Creek. The unconsolidated sandy materials along

the coast have been eroded and re-deposited during the backwash. Based on

the data from field investigations, the points of the maximum inundation

extent have been transferred over the study area map. The inundation points

have been combined to form the inundation line using ArcGIS (Figure 4.25).

From field observations, it has been noted that the hinterland

unprotected by coastal dunes, had higher inundation values compared to dune

protected coast. The run-up heights have been higher in the northern regions

of Tamil Nadu coast probably due to the offshore bathymetry in that region

and narrow continental shelf (Jayakumar et al 2005).

The Marina beach of Chennai city which was affected by the

tsunami is a convex coast and hence the same should not have been affected.

But the occurrence of long jetty of Chennai harbor in the north would have

diffracted the tidal waves and such diffracted ones have, in combination

violently invaded the Marina beach of Chennai. Elevation of the beach and

presence of sand dunes have been the controlling factors for water excretion.

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Table 4.17 Tsunami run-up and inundation

Location Latitude Longitude Inundation

(m) Run up

(m)

Ennore Creek 13o 80o 500 3 - 4

Kattivakkam 13o 80o 225 -

Ernavur 13o 80o 180 -

Tiruvottiyur 13o 80o 107 -

Chepauk 13o 80o 470 3.5

Marina Beach 13o 80o 800 4 - 5

Light House 13o 80o 700 3.5

Foreshore Estate 13o 80o 400 4.51

Srinivasapuram 13o 80o 1200 5-6

Besant Nagar Beach 12o 80o 200 2.76

Thiruvanmiyur 12o 80o 100 3.65

Kottivakkam 12o 80o 300 4.85

Injambakkam 12o 80o 250 3.2

Muthukadu 12o 80o 310 4.1

Kovalam 12o 80o 1 106 5.71

Source: Institute of Remote Sensing, Anna University and Narayan et al 2005

The Chennai areas showed less landward penetration of seawater

(45 to 200m) due to prevalence of wider elevated beach (2.8m), which have

acted as barriers. It has been noticed that there has been local increase of

tsunami damage near the mouth of the rivers due to refraction of tsunami

waves. The place of local increase of damage has been dependent on river

orientation and direction of arrival of tsunami. For example, damage north of

Adyar river has been heavy compared to south of Adyar river.

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Figure 4.25 Tsunami inundation map

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The presence of alternating ridges and swales also helped in modifying the

inundation as the advancing water mass after overtopping the first ridge

flowed along the intervening swale with force. Such geomorphic set up has

been observed in Kanchipuram district from Thiruvanmiyur to

Mamallapuram. This prevented reducing the distance of inundation but still

the damages were seen where structures were located in the swale area.

The creeks and the river systems having direct easterly opening to

the sea act as a carriers and carry the tsunami waves far inside on to the land.

The Ennore and Kovalam creeks have acted as carriers of tsunami waves due

to their lineament and fault controlled nature, which have aided the free flow

of tsunami waves on to the land. The construction of groynes and protection

of shore with rubble packing has saved many villages from the Tsunami

waves.

4.5.4 Coastal Erosion

The maximum rate of erosion along Tamil Nadu coast is about

6.6 m/yr near Royapuram, between Chennai and Ennore port. Thiruvottiyur is

exposed to large sea erosion due to tidal waves during monsoon. The net rate

of littoral drift or transport gives the total volume of sediment moved in a

particular direction over a year. Northerly and southerly components of

annual sediment transport along the Chennai coast is 0.89 and 0.60 106 m3

respectively. This results in a net northerly drift of about 0.30

106 m3 / annum (Mani 2001).

The Chennai coastline experiences a sediment transport of the order

of 1.6 million m3 per year towards north and 0.6 million m3 per year towards

south resulting in a net sediment transport of 1 million m3 per year towards

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north. From the results of a sediment transport model by Ram (1987), the

annual net littoral transport has been studied (Table 4.18).

Table 4.18 Annual net littoral transport (Ram 1987)

Location Net littoral transport

(in 103 cubic metres/year) Ennore to Tiruvottiyur +502.2 Chennai Harbour to Tiruvanmiyur +503.2 Tiruvanmiyur to Muthukadu +502.6 Muthukadu to Kovalam Headland +491.4 Kovalam Stretch +485.7

During June to December the South-West monsoon produces

waves approaching from the south west, the average wave approaching

Chennai being 145o after accounting for refraction. This of course, produces

northward sand transport along the coast. The wave periods are between 8 and

9 secs and the wave heights variable, reaching a maximum of about 3 meters.

During the North-East monsoon of October to January the transport

is in the opposite direction, the waves approaching Chennai from above 65o

N. But this return transport is much smaller, yielding a net annual littoral drift

to the north, evaluated to be at 5 105 cubic metres/year. Net erosion rates are

large, having persistently been on the order of 20 metres/year for nearly a

century. Due to heavy siltation south of the Chennai harbour, a sand bar has

formed blocking the mouth of the Cooum river stagnating it (Table 4.19).

Basic wind speed at 10 m above ground level along the Indian coast

varies from 39 to 50 m/s. The average wind speed during the southwest

monsoon period is about 35 km/h (9.7 m/s), frequently rising up to

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45 55 km/h (12.5 15.3 m/s). The average wind speed during northeast

monsoon prevails around 20 km/h (5.6 m/s). On open coasts with a smaller

tidal range, storm wave energies attacking the shoreline are concentrated

within a smaller vertical range and hence are likely to cause more rapid

erosional recession over a series of storms.

Table 4.19 Rate of erosion along the coast

S. No.

Location Length in

km Accretion/

Erosion Rate in m/year

1 Pulicat 0.71 Erosion 3.20

2 Ennore 3.27 Accretion 1.30

3 Royapuram 5.38 Erosion 6.60

4 Marina 2.97 Accretion 1.7

5 Foreshore Estate 2.3 Accretion 1.09

6 Elliot/Astalakshmi temple site 2.08 Erosion 1.28

7 Kanathur 0.24 Erosion 1.4

8 Kovalam 3.15 Erosion 0.81

9 Mahabalipuram 5.45 Accretion 0.25 (Source: Tamil Nadu Public Works Department 2002)

4.5.4.1 Shoreline change

The accurate demarcation and monitoring of shoreline are

necessary for understanding of coastal processes (Nayak 2002).The shoreline

of the study area has been mapped for three periods. Shoreline change

mapping (1970, 1990 and 2004) for the study region has been carried out

using IRS Satellite Imagery on a scale of 1: 50000.

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The shoreline during the period 1970-71 has been digitized from

SOI toposheets in the scale of 1:50,000. The study region falls in three

toposheets. The toposheets numbering 66 C-7, 66 C-8 and 66 D-1&5 have

been used for the study. The three coastlines including some major features

like rivers and canal have been digitized manually from the toposheets and

three hardcopy maps obtained respectively for the three toposheets.

The shoreline of the study area during 1990 has been mapped

manually from hard copy satellite imagery. The imagery details are IRS-1A of

1990 with path 23 and row 59, in the scale of 1:50000. These maps have been

prepared by the joint efforts of the Institute of Remote Sensing, Anna

University and the Space Applications Centre, Ahmedabad under the project

The three maps comprising the study area have been scanned using

a high resolution drum scanner. The scanned sheets have been georeferenced

and transformed to the Transverse Mercator projection system. The shorelines

have been digitized from the scanned sheets using ArcGIS software. The three

shorelines from the respective maps have been combined to obtain the

complete shoreline profile of the coast from Kattivakkam to Kovalam.

The shoreline of 2004 has been geenrated from IRS-1C LISS III +

IRS-P6 merged satellite imagery of 2004 in the scale of 1:50000. An

unsupervised classification procedure using the Isodata algorithm has been

adopted to demarcate the land-water boundary in ERDAS Imagine software.

This boundary has been digitized in vector format using ArcGIS. The

generated shoreline profiles have been overlayed in GIS environment (Figure

4.26). The accretion and erosion areas have been demarcated from the map.

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Figure 4.26 Shoreline trend for the study area

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4.5.5 Sea-Level Rise

One of the immediate responses of ocean warming is Sea-level rise.

India has been identified as one amongst 27 countries which are most

vulnerable to the impacts of global warming related accelerated sea level rise

(UNEP 1989). Satellite altimeter observations show that global sea level has

been rising over the past decade at a rate of about 3 mm/yr, well above the

centennial rate of 1.8 mm/yr (Miller and Douglas 2001). Past observations on

the mean sea level along the Indian coast indicate a long-term rising trend of

about 1.0 mm year-1 on an annual mean basis. The corresponding thermal

expansion related sea level rise is expected to have a value of 15 to 38 cm by

the middle of the 21st century and 46 to 59 cm by the end of the century

(Aggarwal and Lal 2004).

According to TERI (1996) report, the potential impact of one metre

sea level rise on coastal land uses for Tamil Nadu, fraction of land likely to be

affected is given as: Cultivated land 0.39, Cultivable land 0.39, Forest

0.00, and Land not available for agriculture 0.21. The North Indian ocean

sea level anomaly showed a linear increasing trend of 0.31 mm/yr during

1958 2000 from a study by Thompson et al (2008). The study has been

conducted by using the Modular Ocean Model version 4.

In the coastal regions of Tamil Nadu, salinity of groundwater due to

the intrusion of seawater into the subsurface aquifer is a major problem

(Subramanian 2000). Due to excess withdrawal of groundwater, the water

table has fallen too far below thereby allowing seawater to percolate. Even

though the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has predicted

a global sea level rise between 0.09 and 0.88 m, with a central figure of 0.48

m, by the year 2100, regional variations differ from the values due to non-

uniform patterns of temperature and salinity changes in the ocean, which, in

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atmosphere, and on ocean transport mechanisms. Tide gauge data analysis by

Emery and Aubrey (1989) concluded that Chennai showed a sea level rise of

0.36mm/year during 1916-1977.

Using the available models, global sea-level rise of 10-25 cm per

100 years has been predicted due to the emission of GHGs. To separate the

influences due to the global climatic changes the available mean sea-level

historical data from 1920 to 1999 at 10 locations have been evaluated. The

values for Chennai indicate sea-level variations per year as -0.36 mm/year. A

minus figure indicates a relative increase in the mean sea level with respect to

the land (NATCOM 2004).

4.6 HIGH TIDE LINE AND CRZ MAP

According to the Coastal Zone regulation notification of 1991, in

India, coastal stretches of bays, estuaries, backwaters, seas and creeks which

are influenced by tidal action upto 500 m from High tide line (HTL) and

intertidal area as well as 100-150 m or width of the tidal water bodies

(whichever is less) and the land between the Low Tide line (LTL) and the

HTL has been declared as the Coastal Regulation Zone (CRZ) (Nayak 2002).

For regulating developmental activities, the coastal stretches within 500 m of

HTL of the landward side have been classifies into CRZ-I, CRZ-II, CRZ-III

and CRZ-

influence over a substantial period along the study area has been mapped

(Data courtesy: Institute of Remote Sensing, Anna University). The HTL has

been mapped by the Institute of Remote Sensing, Anna University with data

collected for maximum tidal inundation points for a considerable time period

(Figure 4.27).

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Figure 4.27 HTL and CRZ in the study area

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4.7 MITIGATION STRUCTURES

A close look at the dynamics of coastal spaces reveals that

anthropogenic modifications of natural landforms affect coastal hazard

response. Numerous protection structures like sea walls, breakwaters, and

groynes have been constructed along the coastal area of the study region

(Figure 4.28).

Figure 4.28 A view of Groynes near Tiruvottiyur

The stretch of about 15 km from Ennore towards its south upto

Royapuram comprise of number of fishing hamlets. The coast north of

Chennai harbour for a distance of 9km has already been protected by groin

fields designed by IITM (Indian Institute of technology Madras), has served

as an effective measure against coastal erosion (Sundar 2005). Ever since the

formation of Chennai harbour with breakwaters, the coast on its north has

168

been subjected to erosion at a rate of about 8 m per year to the predominant

northerly drift (Figure 4.29). A part of the national highway and the

residential area nearer to this coastline has already been sacrificed to the sea.

Figure 4.29 A part of Ennore High Road with rubble mounted sea wall

The Chennai port is quasi-protected by groins and sea walls. In

spite of the provision of a seawall, the erosion continues along few pockets

along the coast. Numerous temporary and permanent cyclone shelters have

been constructed along the coast in certain pockets like Kattivakkam,

Tiruvottiyur and Kovalam (Figure 4.30). Tsunami Rehabilitation and Relief

Centres including newly built houses for tsunami affected families exist near

Kannathur Reddy Kuppam and Muthukadu (Figure 4.31).

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Figure 4.30 A Cyclone Shelter at Tiruvottiyur

Figure 4.31 Tsunami Rehabilitation near Muthukadu