CHAPTER 22 Thrift Operations. Chapter Objectives n Describe the key sources and uses of funds for savings institutions n Evaluate the exposure of savings

CHAPTER

2222Thrift

Operations

© 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning

Chapter ObjectivesChapter Objectives

Describe the key sources and uses of funds for savings institutions

Evaluate the exposure of savings institutions to various types of risk

Estimate the valuation of a savings institution Describe the savings and loan crisis and its

resolution

Background on Savings InstitutionsBackground on Savings Institutions

Savings institutions have federal or state charters

Mutual ownership means the institution is owned by its depositors

Mutual-to-stock conversions are popular Characteristics of stock ownership

Manager/owners have greater potential to benefit Opportunity to increase capital More susceptible to unfriendly takeovers

Background on Savings InstitutionsBackground on Savings Institutions

Savings banks have characteristics similar to S&Ls Mutual and stock ownership State or federal charter

Key differences between S&Ls and savings banks is that savings banks Are concentrated in the northeastern U.S. Have traditionally had more diverse asset

investments

Sources of FundsSources of Funds

Deposits can include: Passbook savings Certificates of deposit

Consumer Jumbo

Money market accounts


Borrowed funds are an added source of funds Sources of borrowed funds include

Federal funds The Federal Reserve’s discount window Repurchase agreements

Long-term sources Mortgage-backed securities Subordinated debentures


Capital is composed of retained earnings and funds from issuing stock

If earnings are strong, capital increases via retained earnings

Regulators set minimum capital standards Capital is a source of funds Serves to absorb loan and security losses Provides base to leverage deposits Serves to maintain confidence in institution


Mortgage-backed securities are issued by larger institutions to obtain funds Other institutions/investors purchase mortgage-

backed securities Thrift earns origination fee and may continue to

service the mortgages Prepayment risks exist if mortgages are repaid or

prior to their maturity Provides liquidity for thrift for reinvestment in

mortgages

Uses of FundsUses of Funds

Cash and due from accounts Satisfies reserve requirements for checking

services--enforced by the Federal Reserve Meets liquidity needs if customers decide to

withdraw funds Correspondent accounts are cash balances at other

institutions maintained in return for various services

Due from accounts assist in the check clearing process


Mortgages are the primary asset of savings institutions

Characteristics of mortgages at savings institutions Long-term maturities—15 and 30 year maturities Can be prepaid by borrowers Most are for homes or multifamily dwellings Standardized contracts that can be sold in the secondary

market Credit risk and interest rate risk assumed with mortgages


Mortgaged-backed securities may be purchased Receives interest and principal from pool of

mortgages Risks include:

Credit risk Price risk Prepayment risk– especially when interest rates fall

Provides diversified income source from borrowers outside market area


Other securities include U.S. Treasury, agency, and corporate bonds Savings banks hold a greater proportion of

securities as compared to savings and loans Past investments in junk bonds or high-risk bonds

created problems that led to a regulatory response States imposed limits Additional investment in junk bonds prohibited in 1989

legislation


Consumer and commercial loans are of increasing importance on the asset side of the balance sheet

Legislation in 1980 and 1982 expanded guidelines for federally charted S&Ls

Many state-chartered S&Ls gained added asset powers


Making corporate and consumer loans and reducing the concentration of mortgage loans affects overall risk Interest rate risk is reduced Credit risk increases

Other uses of funds Reverse Repurchase agreements—securities

purchased under agreement to resell Federal funds sold

Regulation of Savings InstitutionsRegulation of Savings Institutions

Regulators assess savings institutions using criteria similar to those used to evaluate commercial banks Capital adequacy Asset composition Management Earnings Liquidity

Regulators conduct on-site examinations

Regulation of Savings InstitutionsRegulation of Savings Institutions

Deregulation of services allowed institutions more flexibility to diversify their investments and services

Flexibility can offer customers the advantage of one-stop shopping

Sudden deregulation caused sudden investments that later contributed to losses

Exposure to RiskExposure to Risk

Liquidity risk exists because institutions use short-term liabilities to fund longer-term assets

If deposits are not sufficient, institutions obtain funds from financial market sources for short-term Repurchase agreements Federal funds

Sell marketable assets in exchange for cash U.S. Treasury securities Mortgages


Credit or default risk Conventional mortgages are not insured like

Federal Housing Authority and Veterans Administration loans

To manage the risk savings institutions Private mortgage insurance Perform credit analysis Geographically diversify their loans


Interest rate risk Commonly measured by the gap or difference

between rate-sensitive assets and liabilities Gap measurement depends on the criteria used to

classify assets and liabilities Institutions may calculate duration and use this as

an alternative measure of risk Regulators monitor interest rate risk assumed by

savings institutions

Exhibit 22.5 Average Duration of Assets Exhibit 22.5 Average Duration of Assets Versus LiabilitiesVersus Liabilities

Time

0.0

Dec March June Sept Dec March June Sept Dec March

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

200019991998 2001

Assets

Liabilities

Management of Interest Rate RiskManagement of Interest Rate Risk

Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARM) have rates tied to market-determined rates and are adjusted on a periodic basis using the formula stated in the ARM contract

Reduces the risk from rising rates but also reduces the favorable impact from declining rates

Borrowers are exposed to interest rate risk because their payment can change with varying rates

Management of Interest Rate RiskManagement of Interest Rate Risk

Interest rate futures contracts A standardized contract allowing the institution to buy or

sell a specified amount of a specified instrument for a specified price at a specified future point in time

Negatively GAPed thrift might sell T-bond futures to hedge against rising rates

Interest rate swaps A swap is an agreement between two parties to exchange

one set of interest rate payments for another Thrifts often swap fixed interest income for variable-rate

income to offset negative GAPed position

Valuation of Savings InstitutionsValuation of Savings Institutions

Value of a savings institution depends on its expected cash flows and required rate of return

V = f [E(CF), k]

V = Change in value of the institution

k = Change in required rate or return

Where:

E(CF) = Change in expected cash flows

+

Exhibit 22.6 Framework for Valuing a Exhibit 22.6 Framework for Valuing a Savings InstitutionSavings Institution

EconomicGrowth

ExpectedCash Flows

to Be Generatedby the

Commercial Bank

Required Returnby InvestorsWho Invest in

the CommercialBank

Inflation MoneySupply

BudgetDeficit

Risk-FreeInterest

Rate Risk Premiumon the

Commercial Bank

Value of theCommercial Bank

Abilitiesof the

SavingsInstitution’sManagers

IndustryConditions(such as

Regulations,Technology, and

Competition)

Valuation of Savings InstitutionsValuation of Savings Institutions

Factors that affect cash flows

E(CF) = Expected cash flow

Rf = Risk free interest rate

INDUS = Prevailing industry conditions

Where:

E(CF)= f (ECON, Rf , INDUS, MANAB)

ECON = Economic growth

MANAB = The ability of the institution’s management

+ +?

Valuation of a Savings InstitutionValuation of a Savings Institution

Investors required rate of return

k = f(Rf , RP)++


Where:

RP = Risk premium


Change in the risk-free rate

Rf = f (INF, ECON, MS, DEF)

INF = Inflationary expectations


MS = Money supply


Where:

DEF = Budget deficit

++ +


Change in the risk premium

INDUS = Prevailing industry conditions for the institution

Where:


MANAB = The ability of the institution’s management

RP = Risk premium

RP = f (ECON, INDUS, MANAB)?

Performance of Savings InstitutionsPerformance of Savings Institutions

Performance Trends Lower net interest margins—earning asset yields

declined faster than interest expense Noninterest income improvement Declining loan loss provisions Lower non interest expense Net earnings (ROA) improving

Exhibit 22.9 Income Statement Per Total Exhibit 22.9 Income Statement Per Total Assets for Savings InstitutionsAssets for Savings Institutions

1 9 96 1 9 98 2 0 0 0

Interest Income 7.02% 6.53% 6.67%

– Total interest expense 4.10 3.85 4.14

= Net interest income 2.92 2.68 2.53

– Loan loss provision .24 .16 .16

+ Noninterest income .73 .84 .90

– Noninterest expense 2.50 2.16 2.03

= Earnings before tax .91 1.20 1.24

Savings and Loan CrisisSavings and Loan Crisis

During the 1980s many S&Ls failed Reasons for failure

Losses on loans and securities Loan losses related to commercial real estate Junk bond losses

Fraud as illustrated by a wide variety of examples Lack of liquidity


Provisions of the FIRREA New regulations designed to solve the crisis Bailout bill contained numerous provisions

Resolution Trust Corporation formed to deal with insolvent S&Ls until it was dissolved in 1995

Several methods for dealing with failures


Bailout of savings institutions was financed from several sources including Sale of failed S&L assets Taxpayers Surviving S&Ls

Impact of the bailout Stronger capital positions Higher asset quality More consolidation


Institutions have performed well since FIRREA based on a number of criteria

Future outlook for the industry Increase efficiencies by

Reducing noninterest expenses Divest inefficient assets

Continue to diversify asset mix Conflict between diversification and specialization

Savings Institutions in Other CountriesSavings Institutions in Other Countries

Institutions in other countries have not had problems similar to those in the United States

Institutions in other countries have characteristics that let them reduce susceptibility to economic conditions Reduced interest rate risk Less regulated; more asset diversification

Different regulations apply to institutions in different countries

Documents

CHAPTER 22 Thrift Operations. Chapter Objectives n Describe the key sources and uses of funds for savings institutions n Evaluate the exposure of savings