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Center for Entrepreneurship & Technology University of California, Berkeley Technical Brief Smart Home & The Internet of Things Engineering Leadership Professional Program Revision Date: April 5, 2015 David Cohen, Saeid Safavi, Hazel Stoiber, Ron Totah, Long Wang This paper was created in an open classroom environment as part of the Engineering Leadership Professional Program (ELPP) developed and led by Prof. Ikhlaq Sidhu at UC Berkeley. There should be no proprietary information contained in this paper. No information contained in this paper is intended to affect or influence public relations with any firm affiliated with any of the authors. The views represented are those of the authors alone and do not reflect those of the University of California Berkeley.

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Page 1: Center for Entrepreneurship & Technology University of ... · ideas from the public and turn the best ideas into real products through a partnership with GE manufacturing. Over 400

 

 

Center for Entrepreneurship & Technology

University of California, Berkeley

Technical Brief

Smart Home & The Internet of Things

Engineering Leadership Professional Program

Revision Date: April 5, 2015

David Cohen, Saeid Safavi, Hazel Stoiber, Ron Totah, Long Wang This paper was created in an open classroom environment as part of the Engineering Leadership Professional Program (ELPP) developed and led by Prof. Ikhlaq Sidhu at UC Berkeley. There should be no proprietary information contained in this paper. No information contained in this paper is intended to affect or influence public relations with any firm affiliated with any of the authors. The views represented are those of the authors alone and do not reflect those of the University of California Berkeley.

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University of California, Berkeley Center for Entrepreneurship & Technology

CET Technical Brief Smart Home & The Internet of Things

ABSTRACT  Smart homes and home automation (HA) technologies have been around for the past 30 years. Some technologies like the garage door opener and the TV remote have seen wide scale adoption. More advanced technologies have been limited to the very affluent or extreme technophiles. Up to 2010, technologies such as turning on your home’s air conditioner while leaving work or monitoring a home security camera video feed while on vacation were not things the average home owner would even think was possible let alone affordable. Lack of technology readiness and standardization for building a smart home automation eco-system and the high cost of installation have dampened growth and adoption. The value of convenience and comfort functions versus cost could not be justified by mainstream home owners. Today there is a confluence of technologies that should enable a much broader adoption of home automation and could lead to a truly smart home. Wireless technology is proven and approaching commoditization; smart cell phones are ubiquitous and are an ideal controller; cloud-based services for easy data capture and access; artificial intelligence is approaching commercialization; and the cost of developing and deploying an “app” has been greatly reduced. In addition to these technologies coming into alignment, there is a desire on behalf of the consumer to have a smart home. For example, surveys have shown that consumers want a home that can better manage utilities, can offer better security, and can be accessed in a secure way over the Internet. The time is becoming right for the home to undergo the Internet of Things (IoT) transition. Worldwide revenues from shipments of home automation systems are forecast to grow from $2.3 billion in 2010 to nearly $9.5 billion in 2015. This growth will come in the various home automation categories that will be discussed in this report. The home automation industry is also a growth driver for cellular devices and services. Berg Insight forecasts that the number of cellular connections used by home automation systems worldwide will grow at a compound annual growth rate of 85.6 percent from 250,000 in 2010 to 5.5 million in 2015, with most being security and access control systems. i In the end the driving down of costs, increased availability, and intelligence will eventually overcome the hurdles of perceived value and complexity leading to broad adoption of not just smart devices, but integrated systems that deliver the promises of a truly Smart Home.  

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CET Technical Brief Smart Home & The Internet of Things

Contents  ABSTRACT ................................................................................................................ 2  I.   Introduction: Smart Home & The Internet of Things ....................................... 1  II.   Current Landscape ............................................................................................ 2  III.   Smart Home Technology .................................................................................. 4  IV.   Network ............................................................................................................. 6  V.   Internet of things could be cloud of things ....................................................... 8  VI.   IoT technology challenges ................................................................................ 9  VII.   Conclusion ...................................................................................................... 10  VIII.   References ....................................................................................................... 13  

  Figure  1      Smart  Home  Interest  on  the  Internet  ...........................................................................  1  Figure  2      Gartner  Hype  Curve  ..............................................................................................................  2  Figure  3      Smart  Home  Tech  -­‐  Like  to  have  &  %  already  own  .................................................  2  Figure  4      Nest  Thermostat  ....................................................................................................................  3  Figure  5      SimpliSafe  IoT  Home  Security  ..........................................................................................  3  Figure  6      Quirky  Egg  Minder  ................................................................................................................  3  Figure  7      Various  Elements  in  a  Smart  Home  ...............................................................................  4  Figure  8      Physical  Connectivity  Enablers  in  a  Smart  Home  ....................................................  7  Figure  9      Key  Networking  Technologies  .........................................................................................  8  Figure  10  Global  Smart  Home  Device  Shipments  .....................................................................  11  

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CET Technical Brief Smart Home & The Internet of Things 1  

I. INTRODUCTION: SMART HOME & THE INTERNET OF THINGS  Consumers  desire  products  which  deliver  convenience  and  value,  especially  in  their  homes.  In  60’s  Americans  were  realizing  the  convenience  of  the  TV  remote  control,  and  watched  the  potential  of  a  truly  smart  home  on  the  animated  series  “The  Jetson’s.”  Unfortunately  the  dream  of  a  “Smart  Home”  has  still  not  been  fully  realized,  unless  you  are  Bill  Gates  and  can  spend  millions  of  dollars  to  create  the  custom  Smart  Home  experience.  The  rest  of  the  consumer  market  will  have  to  wait  for  a  more  general  purpose  solution  which  can  deliver  the  value  of  a  Smart  Home  at  a  price  point  that  in  line  with  this  value.  The  consumer  interest  is  clearly  high  per  a  

recent  IOT  Analytics  report,  where  it  ranked  #1  in  consumer  interest  by  far,  even  over  wearablesii.  Consumers  desire  products  like  HVAC  control,  lights,  locks  and  appliances  to  all  be  internet  connected.  This  is  fueled  by  “The  Internet  of  Things”,  or  IoT,  which  is  the  growing  paradigm  where  everyday  devices  are  becoming  smart  and  Internet  connected.  

IDC  predicts  that  this  trend  will  continue  and  by  2020  there  will  be  over  212  billion  “things”  globally,  more  than  40  times  the  number  of  people  on  the  planet!  iii    The  result  of  IoT  in  the  home  is  an  increase  in  the  number  smart  devices  and  appliances  in  the  home  at  a  reasonable  price  point.  However  it  is  tying  these  IoT  devices  together  in  a  complete  system  which  will  deliver  on  the  promise  a  truly  Smart  Home.  A  Smart  Home  system  will  ensure  the  devices  coordinate  functions  of  access  to  your  home,  turning  on  lights,  making  your  morning  coffee,  turn  up  the  heat,  playing  your  favorite  music,  etc…  and  respond  to  your  needs.      Market  Size  

Figure  1  Smart  Home  Interest  on  the  Internet  

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CET Technical Brief Smart Home & The Internet of Things 2

The  size  of  the  Smart  Home  market  is  challenging  to  determine,  as  it  depends  on  what  level  of  devices  you  include,  the  IoT  devices  themselves,  the  control  systems,  applications,  etc…  However  the  clear  indication  is  that  it  is  a  rapidly  growing  market.  For  example,  Business  Insider  predicts  that  IoT  will  drive  $14  TRILLION  in  revenue  over  the  next  

decadeiv,  and  although  some  of  this  will  not  be  devices  in  the  home,  we  can  guess  that  at  least  half  of  it  will  be.  A  better  way  to  look  at  the  market  potential  may  be  number  of  units,  where  Business  Insider  estimates  the  number  of  Connected-­‐Home  devices  may  exceed  1.8B  by  2019v.  The  value  of  this  is  hard  to  predict  as  the  cost  per  device  can  vary,  but  clearly  this  is  a  huge  market  in  the  tens  of  billions,  and  a  high  growth  opportunity  with  CAGR  over  50%.  Of  course  all  of  this  excitement  needs  to  be  balanced  with  the  hype  that  happens  with  any  new  technology.  Gartner,  who  tracks  technology  through  their  adoption  cycle,  places  IoT  at  the  top  of  the  “Hype  Curve”,  where  technology  is  at  the  peak  of  inflated  expectations,  before  falling  to  disillusionment  and  potentially  towards  adoption.  For  our  team,  the  question  is  not  so  much  “if”  Smart  Home  will  happen,  it’s  “when”.      

II. CURRENT LANDSCAPE  IoT  Categories  While true Smart Home adoption today is the playground of wealthier consumers who are early adopters of new technology, consumers are definitely interested in integrating such capabilities into their homes. Figure 1 shows that Smart Home applications are the leading category for Internet of Things. Within the Smart Home categories, there are many types of devices already available today. Figure 3 shows the results of a survey indicating the kinds of technologies that consumers would like to have in their homes.vi Each of these

Figure  2  Gartner  Hype  Curve  

Figure  3  Smart  Home  Tech  -­‐  Like  to  have  &  %  already  own

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CET Technical Brief Smart Home & The Internet of Things 3

technologies already have experienced a level of penetration in the market. The categories with the highest penetration are programmable thermostats, wireless home security systems, home theater systems, and multi-zone HVAC systems. Smart  Home  Products  For illustration purposes, here are three companies with sizeable market penetration that specialize in smart, internet-enabled devices for the home consumer. Nest makes two products. The most popular is the Nest Thermostat, which learns the home’s schedule, programs itself, and can be controlled from a smart phone. Nest Protect is a smoke and carbon monoxide detector. When an incident is detected, the device pinpoints its location and sends a message to a linked phone. By 2013, Nest had robust sales, moving 40,000-50,000 thermostats per month. Estimates in 2014 were that Nest was up to 100,000 units per month. Therefore, Nest was on track for over $300 million in annual revenue when it was acquired by Google, for 10 times revenue ($3.2 billion). For Google, this was more than a technology acquisition. It was a foray into building a suite of connected devices to help complement Google’s software and services. vii SimpliSafe Home Security Systems manufacture a do-it-yourself, expandable, internet connected security system. The system can be customized from among it’s variety of sensors, which includes motion sensors, window break sensors, water sensors, freeze sensors, entry sensors, and others. The system communicates with smart phones for easy monitoring. For example, a homeowner can be alerted by text when visitors enter the home, cabinets are opened, or certain rooms have been entered. There is also the option

to pay $15 per month for professional remote monitoring that interfaces with local law enforcement. A basic system starts at $230 and includes motion and entry sensors. Total sales have grown from $1.4 million in 2010 to $38.4 million in 2013. In 2014, SimpliSafe raised $57 in additional venture capital to facilitate further growth.viii

A very interesting Smart Home supplier is a company called Quirky. They take product ideas from the public and turn the best ideas into real products through a partnership with GE manufacturing. Over 400 products have been developed to date, and Quirky divides revenue with the inventors with a 90/10 split. GE invested $30 million in Quirky to experiment

Figure  4  Nest  Thermostat

Figure  5  -­‐  SimpliSafe  IoT  Home  Security  

Figure  6  -­‐  Quirky  Egg  Minder

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CET Technical Brief Smart Home & The Internet of Things 4

with faster manufacturing practices. Products on the market include connected LED light bulbs with a control hub, a wall outlet with an energy monitor, a smart window air conditioning unit, and Egg Minder. Egg Minder allows consumers to use their smart phone to monitor how many eggs they have left and keep track of the age of each egg. The egg minder is an excellent example of where the benefit is not near the value of the product at the $50 list price. All Quirky products interface with a single smart phone app called Wink. ix

III. SMART HOME TECHNOLOGY  Technical  Elements  of  Smart  Home  Automation  To assess the readiness of IoT Smart Home Automation for wide adoption by mainstream households today and by 2020, it is important to understand the basic requirements of building a smart home. To start with, sensors are scattered around the home to collect data. The home automation controller (or home hub) receives this data, processes it, and then makes decisions. The controller may autonomously act on the data and give instructions to actuators, switches or motors. The controller may also send out a notification to the home owner and wait for their reply, or request another controller (or cloud) to make a decision. The controller also needs software, as does the user interface running on the owner’s smart phone. Software also drives the artificial intelligence in which the devices adapt to user behavior. Wireless technology is required to connect all the home

automation devices to the controller through the wireless router or gateway to the internet. Cloud servers and cloud storage are also essential, particularly when remote access is needed. Figure 7 shows how the various Smart Home elements interact with each other and with remote devices through the cloud.  Business  Landscape We have grouped the he Smart Home IoT businesses into five categories. In this section, we will describe some of the players in each of these categories, however there are many players in this growth market and more appearing every day. Makers  of  IoT  Devices  With an increased focus on standardization and interoperability of smart devices and eco-system, and with the cost of hardware modules, chipsets and software needed for

Figure  7  Various  Elements  in  a  Smart  Home

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CET Technical Brief Smart Home & The Internet of Things 5

manufacturing IoT devices trending down, manufacturing companies like LIFX, GE, Philips, Lutron, Honeywell, Leviton, Cree, Kidde, Chamberlain, and Kwikset are integrating wireless smart devices and solutions into their product lines. These companies offer either discrete smart devices, standalone automation, or home automation through their partners for centralized control of lighting, thermostat and HVAC (heating, ventilation and air conditioning), door locks, sprinkler systems, alarms, and video monitoring systems. In 2014, there were more than 2 million internet connected LED lightsx deployed and by 2020 estimates are there will be over 100 million worldwide.xi IoT  Software  Providers  Software companies such as WeMO, Mformation, iControl networks, indigo domotics, openHAB, Exosite, and Zonoff specialize in development of IoT related software platforms for vertically integrated solutions, managing interfaces, managing different wireless communication protocols and standards, cloud computing, data storage, and apps for using mobile devices. Large companies such as Apple, Microsoft, Oracle, Google, Cisco, and GE are developing platform solutions with integrated cloud and AI technologies. Acquisition of emerging software companies with successful IoT software platform solutions by the larger companies is happening. These software solutions play a major role in enabling smart home automation as it allows bundling and makes smart home installation easier and less expensive. Vertically  Integrated  Products  Companies that provide vertically integrated solutions such as Nest, Revolv, Smartthing, Apple, Quirky, Comcast, AT&T and Verizon are beginning to report non negligible revenue. You can currently walk into Home Depot and buy a home IoT kit. In addition to four wireless devices and a hub, the kit comes with a software platform and apps to connect you remotely from your smart phone to your home kit through a cloud server. DropBox sells Internet ready video cameras and will store one day, one week, or one month of video on their cloud servers for a monthly service charge. In addition to providing practical and functional features, product offering also emphasizes on luxury experiences and trendiness provided by smart home automation. Cloud  Services  Cloud server companies are benefiting from the growth of smart home automation. The cloud offers companies that provide vertically integrated solutions the ability to provide whole solutions without having to build out their own internet infrastructure. Cloud service providers are companies like Google, Amazon, IBM, and others. In fact, the Internet of Things is becoming the next cloud battleground, where companies rush to build out data storage, data mining and processing with AI capability, security and privacy, and ease of remote access with encryption. There are a number of challenges

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CET Technical Brief Smart Home & The Internet of Things 6

that are slowing growth in this area of business – security, enterprise, consumer privacy, data, storage management, server technologies, and data center networks.xii Full  Service  Provider  Businesses  Traditional high end audio video home theatre, home monitoring installation and automation companies such as Crestron, HiDefAudioVideo, Century Stereo, VHT, Control4, Vivint, Western audio/video, and Gator Home Tech Inc. are leveraging the smart home IoT technology readiness to further automate home experiences and make installation easier for home owners. The readily available wireless technology in consumer electronics and technology requirements in smart home eco-system has driven down the cost for wiring, sensors and controllers setup. A lot more software platform and App solutions are available in the market to aggregate different systems and customize for home owner’s life-style and preferences.

IV. NETWORK  The  Network  Role  is  Critical  As the race towards practical realization of the Internet of Things (IoT) and its important derivative “Smart Home” continues, networking technologies for connected home are increasingly becoming key contributors to the overall evolution of the IoT. Accordingly, these technologies and their capabilities for efficient and widespread connectivity of consumer electronic (CE) devices, home appliances, sensors/actuators, and connectivity to the cloud are evolving at a fast pace. It is important to note that such a fast emerging connectivity paradigm is enabled by rapid advances in communication and information technologies that allow embedding various aspects of smartness and device connectivity in the home. These smart homes are the ones that can interact intelligently with smart devices and provide in-home comfort and safety. Such interaction can include a wide variety of usage scenarios ranging from a simple control of room temperature to context-aware mobile agent based services. In this regards, wireless networks and sensors/actuators act as key enablers of the new connected home paradigm with smartness realized by some form of pervasive computing. Wired  vs.  Wireless  Although the first generation of smart home connectivity technologies initially relied on wired infrastructure of homes (e.g Ethernet, Poweline, etc.) the widespread growth in wireless end-user devices is shifting the big picture towards an all-wireless solution, so devices can communicate (directly or through a wireless hub) with the smart “things” inside a home. An all wireless solution also makes sense economically, simplifying installation, especially in retrofits, and avoid the need to connect between wired and wireless devices. Standard bodies, such as IEEE & ITU, are working on standards for this

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integration1, however these efforts have not been widely adopted by the industry due to the limitations and variations in wired infrastructure and the fast growth of wireless technologies and their protocols.xiii In particular, technologies like WiFi with its wide bandwidth & low power mode capabilities, can easily surpass most of the wired technology options (e.g. HomePlug, MoCA, etc.). To accommodate low power, technologies such as WiFi and Bluetooth have evolved into low power versions WiFi-PS (Power Save mode) and BLE  (Low Power Bluetooth). These allow for connectivity of a variety of small battery powered devices, which are not usually rechargeable and can be located in difficult to of reach locations. This includes various sensors and actuators that are required to sustain reliable operations and service for several years, merely on their batteries.xiv Wireless  Physical  Connectivity  Figure 8 illustrates the physical connectivity paradigm in a smart home and various potential connectivity enabler technologies.

 Three major categories of connectivity are needed to establish the requirements of a connected smart home. In the first networking category, various

“Things” (Home Hubs, Devices, Appliances, Sensors, and Actuators) connect to one another based on the application scenario. The network also allows connectivity to the Internet by connecting to a broadband router, which allows a user to connect to the smart home system remotely from any web-enabled device. In the future, the home hub is likely to disappear and the “hub stack” absorbed by another piece of hardware in the home, such as a wireless router or a set-top box. The second category requires connectivity of location tracking tags for users and things, to a server/controller that is in charge of location tracking within the smart home. Location tracking of users is critical for smart homes, as it tries to adapt the environment around each user to their level of comfort. The above processing role can be accommodated by the home hub or in the cloud. The most important technologies in this                                                                                                                1  In  an  effort  to  establish  hybrid  networks  standards  bodies  such  as  IEEE  1905  and  ITU-­‐T  G.hn  have  been  looking  at  possibilities  of  integration  various  wired  and  wireless  technologies.  These  solutions  are  trying  to  perform  an  L2-­‐L3  Bridging  (Seamless  Bridging)  by  introducing  a  software  layer  between  layers  2  and  3  that  abstracts  the  particular  operating  details  of  each  interface  in  use.        

Figure  8  Physical  Connectivity  Enablers  in  a  Smart  Home  

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category include passive and active RFID technologies. Passive RFID tags are of interest as they are cheap and light, and can be attached to the devices or clothing. The third technology category includes cellular or hotspot connectivity technologies (such as 3G, 4G, and WiFi) that provide Wide Area Networking (WAN), connecting a user to her/his smart home from anywhere at any time.  As can be seen, there are different alternative technologies for each category, so it is important to study the future in terms of sustained technologies. The widespread growth of wireless networks including cellular, WiFi, and Bluetooth, as well as RFID technologies result in their usage in many different aspects of day-to-day life. As such, it is envisioned that a combination of these standards will be used to construct the smart home. Although all wireless technologies that can support some form of remote data

transfer, may be considered candidates for inclusion in the smart home portfolio, WiFi and Bluetooth will be the key networks shaping future smart homes. In fact, we believe that mass deployment and adoption of Low-power Wi-Fi chips and their integration with Bluetooth is a new trend that will bring the price per chip down to a level that can surpass other smart home technologies such as Zigbee.xv Figure 9 compares each technology category and our prediction of the likelihood of future widespread adoption.

V. INTERNET OF THINGS COULD BE CLOUD OF THINGS  The  Need  for  IoT  and  Cloud  Integration  IoT connects billions of devices and sensors to create new and innovative applications. In order to support these applications, a powerful, reliable, and flexible platform is essential. Cloud computing is the most promising enabling platforms to support IoT. IoT devices can benefit from the unlimited capabilities and resources of Cloud to overcome their technological limitations such as storage, processing, energy, size, etc.

Figure  9  Key  Networking  Technologies

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Cloud can offer management, data capture and analysis, and centralized application access. The cloud can benefit from IoT by extending its reach into the real world, and potentially allow delivery of new services in real life scenarios. The Cloud acts as intermediate layer between the IoT and the applications, where the cloud hides the complexity required to support the backend of IoT devices for the Smart Home, while delivering access to the data for user based applications. The cloud can act as a storage resource for IoT devices that may have limited space for storage, allowing centralized storage, and access for processing or application access. Most IoT/Smart Home devices have limited processing power due to cost, power, and space. As the cloud has virtually unlimited processing capabilities, it can process data collected, allowing data-driven decision-making and prediction algorithms or provide information for user response delivering the “Smart” in Smart Home. Another reason for cloud integration is communications. One of the requirements of IoT is to make IP-enabled devices communicate through dedicated hardware, and the support for such communication can be very expensive. Cloud offers an effective and cheap solution to connect, track, and manage anything from anywhere at any time using customized portals and built-in apps. With the availability of high speed networks, it enables the monitoring and control of remote things their coordination, their communications, and the real-time access to the produced data. IoT is characterized by a very high number of heterogeneity of devices, technologies, and protocols. Therefore, scalability, interoperability, reliability, efficiency, availability, and security can be very difficult to obtain. The integration with the Cloud solves most of these problems, while also providing additional features such as ease-of-use/access, and reduced costs. Specific areas which the cloud can support and improve Smart Home include:  

• Manage your radio frequency and your neighbor frequency through cloud • Cloud computing makes it possible for IoT devices even with limited

computational capabilities, to perform intricate computations • Cloud can upgrade your devices immediately to cover any security holes and

could detect abnormal behavior in your devices • Cloud may be one way of resolving the problems associated with the need to

build out ostensibly two separate (and costly) infrastructures to deal with storage, access and management of the data collected by the devices

• Not All IoT Data Is Important - Rather than analyze all IoT data that is collected, analytic models used in cloud can find patterns in IoT data before it is stored

VI. IOT TECHNOLOGY CHALLENGES  Lack  of  Standardization  The lack of open standards manifests itself at the Institutional level within the IoT space. For example, the Internet Engineering Task Force or IETF incorporates inputs from multiple stakeholders, which include a broad mix of policy makers to engineers to formulate the framework for future development on the Internet. No such organization

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exists for the Internet of Things, even though the technology borrows liberally from both hardware and web development practices Too often manufacturers are using their own standards and protocols, resulting in a slew of high-tech, useful devices which are unable to communicate with each other  Radio  Frequency  in  home  is  unmanaged  The broadly adopted 2.4Ghz WiFi bandwidth is over-crowed with other devices including Bluetooth, BT, Zigbee, Micro-wave, baby monitors, coreless phones and other devices, making it challenging to continue to add additional IoT devices and have a reliable network.

The newer 5Ghz WiFI networks have more channels and fewer devices, however with the growth of IoT devices could be crowed once you have many100+ devices in home. Also neighboring 5G devices could cause interference, especially in apartment complexes. Also LTE-U, a cellular 5G network, may also add to the challenges.

IOT  devices  will  generate  immensity  data  Data management and storage options are critical components of the Internet of things since massive data would be communicated. It is important to separate private data from the corporate data, which may create real big impact on the application and system designs. The primary value in an IoT system is in the ability to perform analytics on the acquired data and extract useful insight. Sometime, unnecessary data is being continuously transferred, consuming a lot of power, bandwidth, storage space, and processing

Security  and  Privacy  are  key  Hacker can hack PC, phone, they can hack your IOT devices and potentially comprise your data or control devices. Security and privacy will be critical to the success of the Smart Home in these areas:

• Prevent data breaches: Avoid disclosure or leakage of sensitive data to mitigate the cost of a data breach

• Ensure data integrity: Prevent unauthorized changes to data, data structures, configuration files and logs to ensure complete visibility into data access patterns and trends

• Protect privacy: Prevent disclosure of sensitive information by masking or de-identifying data in databases, applications, and reports on demand across the enterprise.

 

VII. CONCLUSION IoT  device  growth  will  be  incredible  over  the  next  5-­‐10  years  according  to  every  industry  analyst  and  expert,  likely  approaching  over  200  billion  devices  by  2020.  The  availability  of  smart  low  cost  devices  will  be  a  key  growth  factor  for  a  smart  connected  home,  however  the  devices  alone  will  not  create  the  Smart  Home,  but  

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rather  integrating  these  disparate  IoT  devices  into  a  unified  solution  that  can  react  and  predict  our  needs  is  what  most  consumers  envision  as  a  truly  “Smart  Home”.      As  IoT  is  the  most  hyped  technology  in  2014  per  Gartner,  it  is  likely  and  expected  that  it  will  hit  many  of  the  technical  challenges  discussed.  These  can  and  are  being  overcome  with  advances  in  networking  technology,  power  reduction,  and  cloud  integration.  It  is  more  likely  the  bigger  challenges  to  broader  adoption  and  integration  into  a  Smart  Home  are  the  more  human  issues  of  cost  in  general,  benefits  vs.  cost,  complexity,  and  privacy  concerns.      Our  belief  is  that  near  term  (next  3-­‐5  years)  these  human  issues  will  limit  broad  adoption  of  Smart  home.  Near  term  adoption  will  continue  to  be  wealthy  or  impresser  type  consumers,  who  can  afford  custom  installations  to  overcome  the  complexity  issues,  or  green  consumers  who  value  energy  and  carbon  savings  and  are  willing  to  pay  for  it.    This  will  sustain  good  growth  in  the  industry,  allow  venture  funding  of  new  and  existing  players,  and  help  overcome  the  challenges  needed  for  broader  adoption.      Post  3-­‐5  years  we  see  several  things  occurring  which  will  allow  the  hockey  stick  growth  seen  in  figure  10  to  occur,  creating  a  huge  opportunity  for  the  many  startups  that  survive  the  slower  period  before  this  accelerated  growth.  The  technical  challenges  will  be  overcome  by  this  time;  Standardization  or  a  heterogeneous  unifying  cloud  interface,  lower  power  &  improved  networking,  and  privacy  concerns  addressed  through  competition  or  regulations  will  be  resolved.  For  the  human  factors,  pricing  in  general  will  be  greatly  reduced  due  to  the  sheer  number  of  IoT  devices  (reducing  chip  set  costs).  The  value  of  various  IoT  devices  will  get  to  a  point  

Figure  10  -­‐  Global  Smart  Home  Device  Shipments  

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where  their  perceived  value  is  high  enough  to  drive  buying  behavior  (as  explained  during  our  presentation,  the  Egg  Minder  at  $50  was  not  a  viable  product,  but  at  $10-­‐12,  its  perceived  value  reached  a  level  where  we  decided  its  cost  was  at  the  right  level  for  its  value  (see  figure  11).    Finally  the  complexity  concerns  will  be  overcome  through  improved  interfaces,  cloud  intelligence  to  work  through  initial  deployment,  updating  and  troubleshooting.  With  all  of  these  technical  and  user  challenges  resolved,  we  will  all  be  living  in  Smart  Homes!    

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VIII. REFERENCES                                                                                                                i  M2M  Research  Series  Smart,  Homes  and  Home  Automation,  http://www.berginsight.com/ReportPDF/ProductSheet/bi-­‐sh1-­‐ps.pdf      ii  IOT  Analytics,  2015,  The  10  most  popular  Internet  of  Things  applications  right  now,    http://iot-­‐analytics.com/10-­‐internet-­‐of-­‐things-­‐applications/      iii  Larry  Dignan,  Internet  of  things:  $8.9  trillion  market  in  2020,  212  billion  connected  things,  October  2013,  ZDnet,  http://www.zdnet.com/article/internet-­‐of-­‐things-­‐8-­‐9-­‐trillion-­‐market-­‐in-­‐2020-­‐212-­‐billion-­‐connected-­‐things/      iv  Jens  Erik  Gould,  The  'Internet  Of  Everything'  Will  Generate  $14.4  Trillion  Of  Value  Over  The  Next  Decade,  August  2014,  Business  Insider,  http://read.bi/1yDOQQ3      v  Tony  Danova,  The  'Internet  Of  Everything'  Will  Generate  $14.4  Trillion  Of  Value  Over  The  Next  Decade,  March  2015,  Business  Insider,  http://www.businessinsider.com/connected-­‐home-­‐forecasts-­‐and-­‐growth-­‐2014-­‐9      vi  Anonymous,  The  Business  Of  Home  Automation  Is  Enabling  The  Internet  Of  Things,  February  2014,  Distinct  Press,  www.smarthome-­‐wulian.com/the-­‐business-­‐of-­‐home-­‐automation-­‐is-­‐enabling-­‐the-­‐internet-­‐of-­‐things          vii  Yarow,  Jay.  2014.  “Nest,  Google’s  New  Thermostat  Company,  Is  Generating  a  Stunning  $300  Million  in  Annual  Revenue.”  Business  Insider,  http://www.businessinsider.com/nest-­‐revenue-­‐2014-­‐1    viii  Alspach,  Kyle.  2014.  “SimpliSafe  raises  $57  million  for  easy  home  security  device.”  BetaBoston.  http://www.betaboston.com/news/2014/05/21/simplisafe-­‐raises-­‐57-­‐million-­‐for-­‐easy-­‐home-­‐security-­‐device/    ix  Alspach,  Kyle.  2014.  “SimpliSafe  raises  $57  million  for  easy  home  security  device.”  BetaBoston.  http://www.betaboston.com/news/2014/05/21/simplisafe-­‐raises-­‐57-­‐million-­‐for-­‐easy-­‐home-­‐security-­‐device/    x  IoT  market  segments  –  Biggest  opportunities  in  industrial  manufacturing  http://iot-­‐analytics.com/iot-­‐market-­‐segments-­‐analysis/    xi  100  Million  Internet  Connected  Wireless  Lights  by  2020  http://onworld.com/news/100-­‐Million-­‐Internet-­‐Connected-­‐LED-­‐Lights-­‐by-­‐2020.html    xii  The  Internet  of  Things  Will  Transform  the  Data  Center  –  by  Gartner  http://www.gartner.com/newsroom/id/2684616    xiii  1905.1-­‐2013  –  “IEEE  Standard  for  a  Convergent  Digital  Home  Network  for  Heterogeneous  Technologies,”,  IEEE  Standards,    IEEE  

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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         xiv  Tozlu  Serbulent,  Senel  Murat,  Mao  Wei,  and  Keshavarzian  Abtin,  “Wi-­‐Fi  Enabled  Sensors  for  Internet  of  Things:  A  Practical  Approach”,  IEEE  Communication  Magazine,  2013,  Robert  Bosch  LLC    xv  Joire,  Myriam,  2013,  “Broadcom  introduces  low-­‐power  WiFi  and  Bluetooth  chips  for  the  Internet  of  things”,  EndGadget,    http://www.engadget.com/2013/05/30/broadcom      Additional References: 1. Khosrow-Pour, Mehd. 2014. “Encyclopedia of Information Science and Technology, Third Edition 2. Eui-.-­‐‑Nam, Huh, 2014, “Cloud of Things : Smart Cloud” 3. Alessio Botta, Walter de Donato, Valerio Persico, Antonio Pescap´e, 2014, “On the Integration of Cloud Computing and Internet of Things”