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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY There were 387 respondents to the 2014 CBRE online survey of European investor intentions, drawn from across the property investment community. Comparisons with the 2013 survey results highlight significant shifts in investor sentiment and preferences, against the background of improving economic conditions and higher investment activity in European markets. Investor confidence in Europe is up sharply this year, with over 70% of investors choosing Western Europe as the most attractive global region for investment purchases. Thirty-six percent of investors will invest outside Europe this year, mainly in North America and Developed Asia. Within Europe, the UK has regained its position as the most popular country for investment this year with a fall in the proportion favouring Germany, last year’s first choice. The 2014 survey shows a striking increase in the proportion of investors viewing Spain as most attractive for purchases, putting it in third place. London is again the most attractive city for investment, with Madrid in second place this year; Barcelona also makes the list of top ten choices. Germany has three cities in the top ten (Berlin, Munich, Hamburg) together with Paris, Amsterdam, Dublin and Warsaw. Investor preferences for offices as the most attractive sector increased significantly this year. Logistics was the second most popular sector. Fewer investors favoured shopping centres and retail warehouses compared with 2013. Investors are moving up the risk curve. Two out of three respondents said the most attractive types of assets to purchase were outside the prime/core category. Almost half said their risk appetite for secondary was higher than in 2013. The survey found wide-ranging exposure to ‘alternative’ sectors with 51% of respondents already invested in one or more alternative sectors; leisure property and student housing were the most popular. Investors are committing more capital to European real estate. Over half (56%) expect their purchasing activity in 2014 to be more than 10% higher compared with 2013. Three-quarters will be net investors. The biggest obstacles to making acquisitions in Europe facing investors are the availability of assets, asset pricing and competition from other investors. The greatest threat to European property markets is the perception that property has become over- priced. Other significant threats identified were US tapering/rising interest rates and government economic measures/austerity policies. Over 60% of investors said if the UK voted to leave the EU it would make the UK less attractive as a location for investment. www.cbre.com/research MARCH 2014 © 2014, CBRE Limited EMEA CBRE EUROPEAN REAL ESTATE INVESTOR INTENTIONS 2014 by Dr Peter Damesick, Chairman, EMEA Research

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Page 1: CBRE EMEA - e-biurowce.pl · 2014-04-14 · Source: CBRE European Investor Intentions Survey 2014 Investing Outside Europe In 2014 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Yes, more than in

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

• Therewere387respondentstothe2014CBREonlinesurveyofEuropeaninvestorintentions,drawnfromacrossthepropertyinvestmentcommunity.Comparisonswiththe2013surveyresultshighlightsignificantshiftsininvestorsentimentandpreferences,againstthebackgroundofimprovingeconomicconditionsandhigherinvestmentactivityinEuropeanmarkets.

• InvestorconfidenceinEuropeisupsharplythisyear,withover70%ofinvestorschoosingWesternEuropeasthemostattractiveglobalregionforinvestmentpurchases.

• Thirty-sixpercentofinvestorswillinvestoutsideEuropethisyear,mainlyinNorthAmericaandDevelopedAsia.

• WithinEurope,theUKhasregaineditspositionasthemostpopularcountryforinvestmentthisyearwithafallintheproportionfavouringGermany,lastyear’sfirstchoice.

• The2014surveyshowsastrikingincreaseintheproportionofinvestorsviewingSpainasmostattractiveforpurchases,puttingitinthirdplace.

• Londonisagainthemostattractivecityforinvestment,withMadridinsecondplacethisyear;Barcelonaalsomakesthelistoftoptenchoices.

• Germanyhasthreecitiesinthetopten(Berlin,Munich,Hamburg)togetherwithParis,Amsterdam,DublinandWarsaw.

• Investorpreferencesforofficesasthemostattractivesectorincreasedsignificantlythisyear.Logisticswasthesecondmostpopularsector.Fewerinvestorsfavouredshoppingcentresandretailwarehousescomparedwith2013.

• Investorsaremovinguptheriskcurve.Twooutofthreerespondentssaidthemostattractivetypesofassetstopurchasewereoutsidetheprime/corecategory.Almosthalfsaidtheirriskappetiteforsecondarywashigherthanin2013.

• Thesurveyfoundwide-rangingexposureto‘alternative’sectorswith51%ofrespondentsalreadyinvestedinoneormorealternativesectors;leisurepropertyandstudenthousingwerethemostpopular.

• InvestorsarecommittingmorecapitaltoEuropeanrealestate.Overhalf(56%)expecttheirpurchasingactivityin2014tobemorethan10%highercomparedwith2013.Three-quarterswillbenetinvestors.

• ThebiggestobstaclestomakingacquisitionsinEuropefacinginvestorsaretheavailabilityofassets,assetpricingandcompetitionfromotherinvestors.

• ThegreatestthreattoEuropeanpropertymarketsistheperceptionthatpropertyhasbecomeover-priced.OthersignificantthreatsidentifiedwereUStapering/risinginterestratesandgovernmenteconomicmeasures/austeritypolicies.

• Over60%ofinvestorssaidiftheUKvotedtoleavetheEUitwouldmaketheUKlessattractiveasalocationforinvestment.

www.cbre.com/research MARCH 2014

©2014,CBRELimited

EMEACBRE

EUROPEAN REAL ESTATE INVESTOR INTENTIONS 2014by Dr Peter Damesick, Chairman, EMEA Research

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int WHICH GLOBAL REGION IS MOST ATTRACTIVE?

Respondentstothe2014surveyoverwhelminglyfavouredWesternEuropeoverotherglobalregionsasmostattractiveforinvestmentpurchasesthisyear.WiththemajorityofrespondentsbasedinEurope,astrongpreferenceforthehomeregionisnotsurprisingbutitisnotablethatinvestors’confidenceinWesternEurope,chosenby71%ofrespondentsasmostattractive,appearsfarhigherthanthe2013survey.ThemuchstrongersentimenttowardsWesternEuropehasemergedagainstabackgroundofimprovingeconomicconditionsandreduceduncertaintyoverthepastyear.CentralandEasternEurope(CEE)wasinsecondplacewith14%ofthevote,similartolastyear.TherewerecorrespondingfallsisthepopularityofbothNorthAmericaandAsiacomparedwiththe2013survey.

Justoveronethird(36%)ofinvestorssaidtheyintendedtoinvestoutsideEuropein2014.Theproportionwaslower(24%)amonginvestorsbasedintheUKandhigheramongthosedomiciledoutsideEurope(72%).MostoftheinvestorsintendingtoinvestoutsideEuropein2014indicatedtheywouldinvestthesameoragreateramountoutsidetheregionthanin2013.Overall,20%ofrespondentssaidtheyintendedtoinvestagreateramountoutsideEuropein2014thanin2013.

Percent

Which Global Region Is Most Preferred For Investment?

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

802013 2014

Western Europe Cen & Eastern Europe North America Asia South America Pacific Africa/Middle East

Source: CBRE European Investor Intentions Survey 2014

Investing Outside Europe In 2014

10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%0%

Yes, more thanin 2013

Yes, same amountas in 2013

Yes, less thanin 2013

No

Source: CBRE European Investor Intentions Survey 2014

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FouroutoffiverespondentsintendingtoinvestoutsideEuropeindicatedtheywouldbeinvestinginNorthAmerica.MarketsinDevelopedAsiawerenextmostpopular,chosenby50%ofthoseinvestingoutsideEurope.EmergingAsiaandthePacificregionwereeachattractivetojustover20%.

MOST ATTRACTIVE COUNTRY IN EUROPE FOR INVESTMENT PURCHASES The2014surveyrevealssomenotableshiftsininvestorsentimenttowardsdifferentnationalmarketsacrossEuropecomparedwithtwelvemonthsago.TheUKregainsitspositionthisyearasthesinglemostattractivecountryformakingpurchases,selectedby29%ofinvestors.TheUKeconomicrecoveryhasgatheredpaceoverthepastyearandiseasilyoutpacingtheeurozone.

Germanywasinsecondplaceininvestors’preferencesthisyearwith21%ofthevote,downfrom35%inthe2013surveywhenitwasfirstchoice.Poland,FranceandtheNordicsalsoallregisteredreductionsintheirrelativeattractivenessinthisyear’ssurveycomparedwiththe2013results.

Percentage of respondents who will invest outside Europe

Most Attractive Regions For Investment Outside Europe In 2014

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

North America Developed Asia Emerging Asia Pacific South America Africa Middle East

Source: CBRE European Investor Intentions Survey 2014. Respondents could choose more than one region.

Most Attractive Country In Europe For Investment Purchases

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

UK Germany Spain Poland Netherlands France Italy Nordics Other CEE Other

2013 2014

Source: CBRE European Investor Intentions Survey 2014

Percent

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int Themoststrikingshiftininvestors’countrypreferencesrevealedinthisyear’ssurveyisthemarkedlyincreased

proportion(19%)ofinvestorsselectingSpainasthemostattractivemarketforpurchases,puttingitinthirdplacecloselybehindGermany.ThesharpincreaseininvestorinterestinSpainfollowsaverystrongproportionateriseinturnoverintheSpanishinvestmentmarketoverthecourseofthepastyear,withsalestotalling€5.0billionin2013overall,morethandoublethelevelin2012.ResurgentinvestmentdemandinSpainreflectstheabatementoftheeurozonesovereigndebtcrisisandpositiveinvestorperceptionsofrecoverypotentialintheSpanishmarket,includingrecentlyimprovingemploymentindicators.

Alsonoteworthy,althoughmuchlessdramatic,aretheincreasedproportionsofinvestorsinthe2014surveyidentifyingtheNetherlandsandItalyasmostattractive.Boththesemarketssawincreasedinvestmentactivityoverthepastyearasinvestorstookamoreconfidentviewoftheirrelativevalueandrecoveryprospects.

MOST ATTRACTIVE CITY FOR INVESTMENT PURCHASESRespondentwereaskedtoidentifywhichindividualcityinEuropetheyconsidermostattractiveforinvestmentin2014.Investors’choiceswererelativelyconcentratedandtencitesaccountedfor82%ofthetotalresponses.Londonwasagaintheclearfavourite,with30%ofthevote,verysimilartolastyear’sresult.TheLondoninvestmentmarketsawexceptionallystrongactivityin2013,withstronginflowsofglobalcapitaltakingdealvolumeabovethepreviouspeakof2007.

WhileLondon’stop-rankingpostioncontinuesprevioustrends,thepositionsofothercitiesinthetoptenchoicesshowsomenotablechanges.Madridnowtakessecondplace,upfromninthlastyearandinlinewiththesignificantriseinSpain’sattractivenessforinvestmentrecordedinthisyear’ssurvey.Barcelonaalsomakesitintothetoptenthisyear.Investorappetiteforopportunitiesin‘recoverymarkets’isfurtherevidencedbytheinclusionofAmsterdamandDublinamongthetopten.

RisinginvestorinterestinMadridappearspartlytohavebeenattheexpenseofcertainnorthernEuropeanmarkets.Berlinagainoccupiesthirdplaceintherankingwithaverysimilarshareofthevotetolastyear,butMunichandHamburgsawsomeslippageintheirpositions,asdidParisandWarsaw.

Most Attractive City For Investment In 2014

5%

Barcelona

Hamburg

Warsaw

Dublin

Amsterdam

Paris

Munich

Berlin

Madrid

London

10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%0%

2013

2014

Source: CBRE European Investor Intentions Survey 2014

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WHICH PROPERTY SECTORS ARE MOST ATTRACTIVE?Officeswerethemostattractivesectortoinvestorsinthisyear’ssurvey,recordinganotablyhighershareofthevote(39%)thanin2013(29%).Theincreasedpreferenceforofficesin2014seemstobeattheexpenseoflogisticspropertyandshoppingcentres.Lastyear’sstrongsurveyresultontheattractivenessoflogisticspropertypresagedamajorincreaseininvestmentactivityinthesectorduring2013comparedwiththepreviousyear.Logisticsremainsthesecondmostpopularsectorthisyear,albeitwithasomewhatlowervote(16%)thanin2013(20%)Theproportionofinvestorschoosinglightindustrialpropertyasmostattractiveincreasedto8%thisyear.

Theproportionofrespondentsviewingshoppingcentresasmostattractivethisyeardroppedto11%from17%lastyearandtherewasfurthershrinkageintheproportionfavouringretailwarehousestoonly2%(downfrom9%twoyearsago).HighStreetRetailheldontoabout9%ofthevote.CautionamonginvestorstowardsshoppingcentresandretailwarehousescanberelatedtotheheadwindsforretailpropertycreatedbyweaknessinretailsalesinmanyEuropeanmarketsoverrecentyearsandtheimpactofgrowthinonlinesales.InmostWesternEuropeanmarketsoutsidetheUK,retailsalesgrowthremaineddisappointingoverthelatestChristmastradingperiod.Itwouldseemthatinvestorscurrentlyseemoreevidenceofeconomicrecoverybringingimprovementtooccupiermarketsforofficesrelativetoretail.

Residentialpropertywasagainselectedby11%respondentsasmostattractiveforpurchases,thisyearonaparwithshoppingcentres.

Most Preferred Sector For Investment Purchases

50%

Other

Retail Warehouses

Hotels

Light Industrial

Retail High St

Residential

Shopping Centres

Logistics

Office

0%

20132014

10% 20% 30% 40%

Source: CBRE European Investor Intentions Survey 2014

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int WHAT TYPE OF ASSETS IS MOST ATTRACTIVE?

Respondentswereaskedwhattypesofpropertyassetsbyqualityandriskcharacteristicsweremostattractivetopurchase.Investors’responsesindicatedageneralmoveuptheriskcurvecomparedwithlastyear’ssurvey.Thereisstillsubstantialdemandforprimeorcoreassetsbuttheproportionofinvestorssayingtheseweretheirmostpreferredassettypedecreasedfrom42%to35%,whilethoseviewing‘goodsecondary’asmostattractiveincreasedto33%from25%lastyear.Therewasalsoanincreaseintheattractivenessof‘opportunistic/value-add’assets.Aclearmajority(65%)ofinvestorsinthisyear’ssurveyseethemostattractivetypesofassetsoutsideprime/core.

Furtherevidenceofinvestorsmovinguptheriskcurvecameinanswerstothequestion:“Whatisyourriskappetiteforsecondaryassetscomparedto2013?”Almosthalf(49%)oftherespondentsindicatedthattheirriskappetiteforsecondarywashigherthanin2013.Only7%saiditwaslower.Theevidenceofgreaterrisktoleranceandstrongerappetiteforsecondaryassetscanbeattributedtoacombinationoffactors.First,investorsarelikelytoviewsecondarymorepositivelyaseconomicrecoverybringsgeneralimprovementtooccupationalmarkets.Second,othersurveyevidencepointstocoremarketsbecomingmorecompetitiveandexpensive,promptinginvestorstotargetawiderrangeofopportunities.

Most Preferred Asset Type For Purchases

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

Prime or core assets Good secondary Opportunist/value-added Distressed assets

2013 2014

Source: CBRE European Investor Intentions Survey 2014

Risk Appetite For Secondary Assets In 2014 Compared With Last Year

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

50%

45%

Much higher Higher Same Lower Much lower

Source: CBRE European Investor Intentions Survey 2014

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INVESTMENT AND INTEREST IN ALTERNATIVE SECTORSThe2014surveyexploredinvestors’exposuretoandinterestinarangeofalternativerealestatesectorsoutsidethemainstreamcommercialcategories.Investmentexposuretoalternativesectorsprovedtobewidespreadamonginvestorsinthesurvey;justoverhalf(51%)werealreadyinvestedinoneormoreofsevenalternativesectors.Thetwomostcommonlyinvestedsectorswereleisureproperty(27%)andstudentaccommodation(25%),followedbyautomotive/carparksandhealthcareproperty,bothwitharound17%ofrespondentsalreadyinvested.

Respondentswerealsoaskediftheywereactivelyinterestedineachofthealternativesectors.Therewerefewerresponsesbyinvestorsactivelyinterestedbutnotalreadyinvestedinthedifferentsectors,suggestingthatinterestinthealternativeswassomewhatlimitedbeyondthoseinvestorswhoalreadyhadexposure.Studentlivingwasthemostpopularofthealternativesectorsoverall,witharound12%ofinvestorsinthe’activelyinterestedbutnotyetinvested’category.Healthcare,infrastructureandretirementlivingwererecordedassectorsofactiveinterestby8%–10%ofrespondents.

EXPECTED PURCHASING ACTIVITY IN 2013TotalinvestmentturnoverinEuropeanrealestatemarketsin2013was30%higherthanthepreviousyear.AverystrongfinalquartersawgrowthintransactionsconcentratedintheUKandtheperipheryoftheeuroarea.The2014surveypointstoincreasedpurchasingactivitythisyearcomparedto2013.Alargemajority(67%)ofinvestorsexpecttheirpurchasingactivitytobehigherin2014,upfrom59%inresponsetothesamequestioninlastyear’ssurvey.Asmanyas35%ofthisyear’ssurveyrespondentsexpecttheirpurchasestobemorethan20%higherthanin2013.Only5%ofinvestorsexpecttobespendinglessin2014.

Investorswerealsoaskediftheirpurchaseswouldexceedtheirsalesin2014.Seventy-fivepercentanswered‘yes’,indicatingtheywouldbenetinvestorsandconfirmingthepictureofinvestorscommittingmorecapitaltoEuropeanmarketsthisyear.

Investment And Interest In Alternative Sectors

5%0%

Self Storage

Retirementliving

Infrastructure

Automotive/Car Parks

Healthcare

StudentLiving

Leisure

10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Actively InterestedInvested

Source: CBRE European Investor Intentions Survey 2014

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OBSTACLES TO ACQUIRING ASSETS IN EUROPEInaclearreflectionofthegatheringstrengthofinvestmentdemandandcapitalcommitmentsdirectedatEuropeanrealestate,investorsidentifiedtheavailabilityofstockasthesinglebiggestobstacletoacquisitions,followedbyassetpricingandcompetitionfromotherinvestors.Theseobstaclestoinvestmentaresymptomaticofcrowdedandkeenlypricedmarkets.Thefindingsarealsoconsistentwiththesurveyevidenceofinvestorsshowinggreaterriskappetiteandviewingassetsoutsidetheprime/corespaceasmostattractive.

Otherobstaclestoacquisitionswereselectedbyrelativelysmallproportionsofinvestors.Itisnoteworthythatonly7%ofrespondentsthisyearcitedthecostoravailabilityofdebtasthegreatestobstacle.Thisisasignificantchangefromoursurveyevidenceoverthepasttwoyearswhentheabilitytosourcedebtwasamorepotentconstraintonactivity.ThisfindingisreinforcedbyotherrecentCBREresearchwhichhasshownanincreasingnumberoflendersbecomingactiveinEuropeanmarketsandsignificantrelaxationinlendingtermsoverthepasttwelvemonthsbothintermsoflendingmarginsandavailableloantovalueratios.

Expected Purchasing Activity This Year Compared With Last Year

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

More than 20% higher

Between 10% - 20% higher

Up to 10% higher About the same Up to 10% lower Between 10% - 20% lower

More than 20% lower

0%

2013 2014

Source: CBRE European Investor Intentions Survey 2014

What Is The Biggest Obstacle To Acquiring Assets In Europe?

5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Low markettransparency

Transactioncosts / time

Lack of investmentpartners

Cost / availabilityof debt

Competition fromother investors

Asset pricing

Availabilityof assets

0%

Source: CBRE European Investor Intentions Survey 2014

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THREATS TO EUROPEAN PROPERTY MARKETS Inlinewiththeevolvingeconomicbackdropandshiftinmarketconditions,itisnotsurprisingthatinvestors’perceptionsthisyearofthegreatestthreatstothehealthofEuropeanpropertymarketsshowmarkedchangesfrompreviousconcerns.Twoyearsagoapotentialbreak-upoftheeurozoneandalackofdebtwereamongthebiggestperceivedthreatstothemarket.Inearly2013recessionwasinvestors’biggestconcern.

Thisyeartheperceptionthatpropertyhasbecomeover-pricedisatthetopofinvestors’collectivelistofthreatstothemarket,citedby32%ofrespondents.Thisclearlyechoesinvestors’concernsoverstockavailability,assetpricingandcompetitionasobstaclestoinvestmentin2014.

Thenextmostfrequentlyidentifiedthreatsarerelatedtoeconomicpolicy–essentiallythewithdrawalofmonetarystimulusandtheongoingneedtoreducefiscaldeficits.TheUSFederalReservehasbegunreducingitsassetpurchasesandhigherinterestratesareanticipated,althoughwithmajoruncertainlyovertheirtimingandpace.Around15%ofinvestorsviewedtheUStaperandhigherinterestratesasthebiggestthreattotheEuropeanpropertymarket.Asimilarproportionidentifieddomesticeconomicpolicies/austeritymeasuresasthemainthreat.

Lessspecificconcernsaboutpossiblefinancial/politicalcrisesoreconomicslowdownelsewherewereregisteredbysmallerproportionsofrespondents.Abreak-upoftheeurozoneandtheinabilitytosourcenewdebthavebeenrelegatedtothelowerranksofinvestors’concernsthisyear.

IMPLICATIONS OF A UK EXIT FROM THE EU TheUKisattemptingtoembarkonarenegotiationofthetermsofitsEUmembershipandthecurrentPrimeMinisterhascommittedtoholdingan‘in/out’referendumonEUmembershipafterthenextgeneralelectionduein2015,assuminghispartyisingovernment.TherehavebeengrowingsignsofuneasinessamongbothdomesticandforeignbusinessintheUKregardingthepotentialconsequencesofexitfromtheEU.OursurveyaskedinvestorsfortheirviewsonwhateffectitwouldhaveontheUK’sattractivenessasapropertyinvestmentlocationiftheUKvotedtoleavetotheEU.

What Is The Greatest Threat To European Property Markets?

Increased forced sales by banks or others

Economic slowdown/weaknessin Asia Pacific

Inability of investors to source new debt

A break-up of the euro zone

Government policy measures relatingto property

Economic slowdown/weaknesselsewhere in the world

Other financial/political crisis

Domestic economic measures/government austerity policies

US tapering, rising interestrates and/or threat of inflation

Perception that property has becomeover-priced

5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%0%

Source: CBRE European Investor Intentions Survey 2014

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ResponsesshowedclearlythatavotetoleavetheEUwouldbenegativefortheUK’sattractivenessasalocationforinvestment.Over60%ofbothUKandnon-UKinvestorsindicateditwouldmaketheUKlessattractiveforinvestment.Asmanyas36%ofnon-UK-basedinvestorssaiditwouldmaketheUK‘muchlessattractive’,with22%ofUK-basedinvestorstakingthesameview.UK-basedinvestorsweremorelikelytojudgethatanEUexitwouldmaketheUK‘slightlylessattractive’.

ThesurveyfindingsimplythataUKvotetoleavetheEUwouldposeapotentiallysignificantdownsiderisktoinvestmentdemandintheUK.ThisisunderlinedbythehighproportionofUKpropertyinvestmentactivityaccountedforbyforeigncapital.In201348%ofallinvestmentsalesintheUKweretoforeignbuyers,with38%toglobalinvestorsfromregionsoutsideEurope.

CONCLUSIONSThe2014surveyfindingsrevealamarkedchangeintoneandsentimentintheEuropeancommercialpropertyinvestmentmarketcomparedwithayearago.InvestorsshowamuchhigherlevelofconfidenceinEuropeanrealestateandasubstantiallygreaterriskappetite.Moreinvestorsthisyearseegoodsecondaryandopportunistic/value-addassetsasmostattractiveforpurchaseThesurveyalsohighlightsthetransformationininvestorinterestinSpainoverthepastyear,puttingMadridinsecondplacetoLondonasthemostattractivecityforinvestment.

ThesurveyfindingspointtowardsincreasedinvestmentactivityinEuropeanrealestatein2014.Alargemajorityofinvestorsexpecttheirpurchasingactivitytobehigherin2014thanin2013,withoneinthreelookingtospendover20%morethisyearthanin2013.Thewideningspreadofdemandacrossmarketsandassettypeswillseethetrendtowardsreducedmarketpolarisationthatbeganduring2013gatherpacefurtherinthecomingyear.Asinvestorsadvancefurtherontheriskcurve,developmentfundingislikelytobemoreactivelyconsidered.

Thereremainareasofcaution.Investorshowincreasedreadinesstoplacetheirbetsontheofficesectorthisyear,withretailpropertygettingfewervotesintheattractivenessstakes.Relativetoitsmarketsize,currentinvestorsentimenttowardsFranceappearssomewhatmuted.

Thegatheringtempoofinvestmentdemandhasbroughtfreshchallengesandconcernsforinvestors.Theavailabilityofandcompetitionforassetsarenowtestinginvestors’abilitytomakeacquisitions.Thereisevidentconcernthatatleastsomepartsofthemarkethavebecomeovercrowdedandfullypriced,whichinturnispushinginvestorstotargetawiderrangeofopportunities,bylocationandassettype.Europeanmarketscontinuetoshowwidevariabilityineconomicconditionsandrisks.Findingvalueanddeterminingwhatriskstotakeinwhichmarketswillbekeychallengesforinvestorsin2014.

What Effect Would UK Exit From EU Have On UK’s Attractiveness For Investment

5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Makes UK a much lessattractive location

Makes UK a slightlyless attractive location

Makes no difference

Makes UK a slightlymore attractive location

Makes UK a much moreattractive location

45%0%

Investordomicile

Non UKUK

Source: CBRE European Investor Intentions Survey 2014

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SURVEY METHOD AND COMPOSITION OF RESPONDENTS Thesurveywascarriedoutonlinebetween27Januaryand6February2014withatotalof387respondentsspreadacrossarangeoftypesofrealestateinvestors.Themostnumerouswerefund/assetmanagersaccountingfor43%ofsurveyparticipants.Afurther11%werepensionfunds,insurancecompaniesandsovereignwealthfunds.Theothermostnumerousgroupswereprivatepropertycompanies(14%),listedpropertycompanies/REITs(11%)andprivateequity/venturecapitalfirms(10%).

SurveyrespondentswerepredominantlyfromorganisationsdomiciledinEurope(88%).UK-basedinvestorswerethemostnumerous,makingup38%ofthetotal.RespondentsbasedinGermanymadeup23%ofthetotal,withasimilarproportion(22%)domiciledelsewhereinWesternEurope.RespondentsdomiciledoutsideEuropeweremainlybasedinNorthAmerica(%ofthetotal).

Survey Respondents By Type Of Organisation

Survey Respondents By Domicile

Source: CBRE European Investor Intentions Survey 2014

Pension fund/insurance company/soverign wealth

Fund/asset manager

Private equity firm/venture capital

Private property company

Listed property company/REIT

Bank

Other

UK

Germany

France

Netherlands

Other Western Europe

Cen & Eastern Europe

North America

Other

Source: CBRE European Investor Intentions Survey 2014

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CBRE GLOBAL RESEARCH AND CONSULTINGThis report was prepared by the CBRE EMEA Research Team, which forms part of CBRE Global Research and Consulting – a network of preeminent researchers and consultants who collaborate to provide real estate market research, econometric forecasting and consulting solutions to real estate investors and occupiers around the globe.

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