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2
CB-MSME Loans / GDP, %
13.5%
16.8% 17.4% 16.6% 17.4% 17.7% 18.2%20.1%
21.8%23.9% 23.3%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 9M16
• Georgian CB/MSME loans to GDP at 23.3%
Source: NBG, GeoStat
(2014→9M’2016)
• 25.01% GEL vs. USD devaluation
• BOG response was cautious, absorbing effects of devaluation risk
• Sluggish GDP growth
• Increasing efforts to deconcentrate CB portfolio
CB Real Gross Portfolio (2010 ex. rates)CB Nominal Gross Portfolio
3
→
1,262 1,448
1,774 1,910
2,232 2,250 2,196
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Sep-2016
GEL
mill
ion
s
GEL
mill
ion
s
1,262
1,522
1,876 1,943 2,139
1,728 1,756
6.3%7.2%
6.4%
3.4% 4.6%2.8% 2.6%
4-5%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
Loan Portfolio w/o FX Effect GDP Real Growth rate
• Corporates have digested high leverage – 18.1% real drop over last 2 years (2014→9M’2016)
• Going forward:
• Positive GDP growth outlook: short term: 4 - 5%; medium-to-long term: 5 - 6%
• Implementing Estonian Model, releases ~500-600mln GEL free cash for corporate businesses (~10-15%growth prospect for banking sector)
• Resulting:
• Estimated 10%+ p.a. loan book growth over the next 3 years
Source: CB Standalone, NBG
Market Share - Loans To Legal EntitiesCIB Net Income & ROE
4
GEL
mill
ion
s
CIB Deposit PortfolioCIB Loan Portfolio
GEL
mill
ion
s
GEL
mill
ion
s
57 47 70
78 71 69
101 15.3%
13.7%
18.5%17.5%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2013 2014 2015 2016 (9m)
9M Profit Y Net Income ROE
36.3% 35.9%
31.7%29.5%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
2013 2014 2015 2016 (9m)
1,924
2,251 2,331 2,217
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
2013 2014 2015 2016 (9m)
1,901 1,991
2,871 2,580
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
2013 2014 2015 2016 (9m)
*Consolidated CIB includes Corporate Banking, WM, WM Rep. Offices, GLC & G&T
• CIB consolidated ROE currently stands at 17.5%
116.7 107.9
25.6 19.8
27.8 32.5
5.8 7.7
175.8 167.9
-
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
2015 (9m) 2016 (9m)
Net other banking income Net banking foreign currency gain
Net fee and commission income Net banking interest income
GEL
mill
ion
s
CIB Revenue Breakdown
5
GEL
mill
ion
s
CIB Net Fee & Commissions
• Net fee and commission income decreased
by 22.4% Y-o-Y
• FX income remains relatively stable despite
contraction of overall operations’ volume
• Drop in the net fee and commission income
was mainly attributable to contraction of
documentary business (-27.5% Y-o-Y), due
to:
• Being cautious on infrastructure
financing
• Eliminating business related to high
risk clients
• Major shift in government
infrastructural spending towards SME
sector
16.8
12.2
8.8
7.7
25.6
19.8
-
4.0
8.0
12.0
16.0
20.0
24.0
28.0
2015 (9m) 2016 (9m)
Net fees - Guarantees and LCs
Net fee and commission income
Manufacturing
26.3%
Trade
13.3%
Real estate
9.6%Service
8.2%
Hospitality
6.3%
Transport &
Communication
5.1%
Electricity, gas
and water
supply
1.8%
Construction
8.3%
Financial
intermediation
3.7%
Mining and
quarrying
4.5%
Health and
social work
3.1%
Other
9.6%
Top 10 Clients as a % of Total Loan Book
6
CIB Loan Book
• During 2010-2015, we engaged in big positions with large, single clients
• This delivered high profitability but resulted in large exposure to top clients
• We are currently targeting reduction of top 10 concentration to 9.0%-10.0%
New target of
<10.0 %
30 September 2016
CIB standalone
16.8% 16.6%
15.7%
12.7%
11.9%
10%
20%
2012 2013 2014 2015 Sep-2016
Top 10 Concentration:
7
Resume loan portfolio growth
Reduce concentration risk
• Limit maximum exposures
• Syndicate large exposures
Growth of fee business
2
3
1
8
GEL
mill
ion
s
CB Top 10 Client Concentration
5,237
704
5,941
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
Sep-16
CB Top 10 Clients
Total Banking Business Loan Book
11.9%
Syndication and de-concentration partnerships
IFIs Foreign Banks Local Banks Bonds
• EBRD • Credit Suisse • TBC • BOG WM
• IFC • Isbank • Pasha Bank
• FMO • Pasha Bank • Isbank
• EIB • Basis Bank
• DEG • VTB Bank
• Proparco
• More in depth sector analysis in cooperation with G&T
• Try to synchronize clients accounting system with I-
banking platform, thus receiving client information on a
regular basis
• Launching Moody’s risk management and scoring
software
• Knowing better cyclical sectors
• Better “Probability of Default” measurement
• Industry benchmarking
2
…resulted in increase of bonds related products in WM portfolio
9
Decreased cost of funds rates…
5.28%
6.55%6.00%
7.67%
4.66%
7.90%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
2016 (9m)201520142013
CB RB WM
• Significant existing demand for higher yield products, creatingpotential for further bond issues
GEL
mill
ion
s
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 (9m)
Curren&Demand Term CD Clearable CD Local & Intl Securities Global Notes
Local&Intl Securities – 15%
Share of AUM, 9M 2016
Clearable CD –2%
CD – 46%
Term – 11%
Current & Demand – 20%
Global Notes – 6%
1 2
fueled regional fixed income coverage and…3
• Broker-dealer service to hard-to-reach CIS frontier markets, such as: Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Belarus, Russia, Turkey, Uzbekistan, etc.
• Expanding product distribution capacity to more institutional clients
…creation of customized investment products4
• G&T Brokerage• REPOs for institutional clients
• Securitized products
• Fixed income fund
• G&T TRADER• Futures on commodities (for CIB clients)
• Principal-hedged ETFs and Indices
3
10
Trading and custody capabilities of
international assets on all major
international exchanges
GEORGIA
• Equities
• Fixed Income
• CFDs
Onshore economy with offshore benefits
No capital gain tax on the internationally traded securities
No accounts reporting liability
High account safety
Fast and easy way to open account and transfer in/out assets/funds
WM CLIENTS GEORGIA & BOGINTERNATIONAL
ASSETS
INVEST AND
KEEP ASSETS
VIA
BANK OF GEORGIA
3
• Benefits of the Georgian jurisdiction has never been communicated to portfolio investors
• Therefore, almost no knowledge among investors community about Georgian jurisdiction benefits
• Government of Georgia must be involved in promoting Georgian jurisdiction to financial investors and international tax houses
11
Reduce
concentration risk
2
Growth of fee
business
3
Initiative Target results
Top 10 clients < 10% of total loan book
Regional wealth management and
brokerage powerhouse
ROE: 20%+
Resume loan
portfolio growth
1
10%+ p.a. loan book growth over the
next 3 years
12
13
BOG Properties For Sale