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Team 25 2020 Eighth Annual Case Competition

Case Competition 2020 Eighth Annual - University of California, …actuary/caseCompetition/2020_Team_2… · Case Competition. TABLE OF CONTENTS Case Objectives 01 Analysis Based

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Page 1: Case Competition 2020 Eighth Annual - University of California, …actuary/caseCompetition/2020_Team_2… · Case Competition. TABLE OF CONTENTS Case Objectives 01 Analysis Based

Team 25

2020 Eighth Annual Case Competition

Page 2: Case Competition 2020 Eighth Annual - University of California, …actuary/caseCompetition/2020_Team_2… · Case Competition. TABLE OF CONTENTS Case Objectives 01 Analysis Based

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Case Objectives01

Analysis Based on Bands

02Renewal Probability Model

03

Business Strategy 04

Implications05

Page 3: Case Competition 2020 Eighth Annual - University of California, …actuary/caseCompetition/2020_Team_2… · Case Competition. TABLE OF CONTENTS Case Objectives 01 Analysis Based

●●● →

BLOCKDENTAL

Page 4: Case Competition 2020 Eighth Annual - University of California, …actuary/caseCompetition/2020_Team_2… · Case Competition. TABLE OF CONTENTS Case Objectives 01 Analysis Based

CASE OBJECTIVES 01

Page 5: Case Competition 2020 Eighth Annual - University of California, …actuary/caseCompetition/2020_Team_2… · Case Competition. TABLE OF CONTENTS Case Objectives 01 Analysis Based

PROBLEM SOLUTION

Page 6: Case Competition 2020 Eighth Annual - University of California, …actuary/caseCompetition/2020_Team_2… · Case Competition. TABLE OF CONTENTS Case Objectives 01 Analysis Based

ANALYSISBASED ON

BANDS 02

Page 7: Case Competition 2020 Eighth Annual - University of California, …actuary/caseCompetition/2020_Team_2… · Case Competition. TABLE OF CONTENTS Case Objectives 01 Analysis Based

Win Rate

Page 8: Case Competition 2020 Eighth Annual - University of California, …actuary/caseCompetition/2020_Team_2… · Case Competition. TABLE OF CONTENTS Case Objectives 01 Analysis Based

Loss Ratio

Page 9: Case Competition 2020 Eighth Annual - University of California, …actuary/caseCompetition/2020_Team_2… · Case Competition. TABLE OF CONTENTS Case Objectives 01 Analysis Based

Net Dental Renewal Increase

Page 10: Case Competition 2020 Eighth Annual - University of California, …actuary/caseCompetition/2020_Team_2… · Case Competition. TABLE OF CONTENTS Case Objectives 01 Analysis Based

Renewal Probability Model03

Page 11: Case Competition 2020 Eighth Annual - University of California, …actuary/caseCompetition/2020_Team_2… · Case Competition. TABLE OF CONTENTS Case Objectives 01 Analysis Based

Renewal Probability Model

Page 12: Case Competition 2020 Eighth Annual - University of California, …actuary/caseCompetition/2020_Team_2… · Case Competition. TABLE OF CONTENTS Case Objectives 01 Analysis Based

Demand for Dental Insurance

Inflation Rate

Without Inflation

Same Coverage

Assumptions

Page 13: Case Competition 2020 Eighth Annual - University of California, …actuary/caseCompetition/2020_Team_2… · Case Competition. TABLE OF CONTENTS Case Objectives 01 Analysis Based

Renewal Probability Model

Classify Groups into

Different Bands

Study on Average

Group Size

●●

Analyze by Group Stage(closed won/ closed lost)

Page 14: Case Competition 2020 Eighth Annual - University of California, …actuary/caseCompetition/2020_Team_2… · Case Competition. TABLE OF CONTENTS Case Objectives 01 Analysis Based

Renewal Probability Model

Classify Groups into

Different Bands

Study on Average

Group Size

Analyze by Group Stage(closed won/ closed lost)

Page 15: Case Competition 2020 Eighth Annual - University of California, …actuary/caseCompetition/2020_Team_2… · Case Competition. TABLE OF CONTENTS Case Objectives 01 Analysis Based

Renewal Probability Model

Page 16: Case Competition 2020 Eighth Annual - University of California, …actuary/caseCompetition/2020_Team_2… · Case Competition. TABLE OF CONTENTS Case Objectives 01 Analysis Based

Loss Ratio

(75,100] (100,150] (150,9999]

(-100,0) 97.29% 98.97% 99.25%

0 96.35% 96.31% 97.98%

(0,2] 96.68% 98.21% 99.31%

(2,4] 92.81% 96.21% 98.08%

(4,6] 92.86% 94.14% 99.74%

(6,10] 98.74% 96.77% 97.84%

(10,15] 84.78% 88.52% 85.32%

(15,20] 63.82% 77.07% 95.50%

(20,9001] 64.10% 61.24% 68.16%

Renewal Probability Model - Implementation

revenue rate increase win rate

Page 17: Case Competition 2020 Eighth Annual - University of California, …actuary/caseCompetition/2020_Team_2… · Case Competition. TABLE OF CONTENTS Case Objectives 01 Analysis Based

BUSINESS STRATEGY04

Page 18: Case Competition 2020 Eighth Annual - University of California, …actuary/caseCompetition/2020_Team_2… · Case Competition. TABLE OF CONTENTS Case Objectives 01 Analysis Based

Strategy #1

Target groups with Loss Ratio

> 0.75

Increase premium

Decrease Loss Ratio

Increase Profit

Page 19: Case Competition 2020 Eighth Annual - University of California, …actuary/caseCompetition/2020_Team_2… · Case Competition. TABLE OF CONTENTS Case Objectives 01 Analysis Based

Strategy #2

Target all groups

Optimal Rate Increase

High CustomerRetention

Maximize Revenue

Page 20: Case Competition 2020 Eighth Annual - University of California, …actuary/caseCompetition/2020_Team_2… · Case Competition. TABLE OF CONTENTS Case Objectives 01 Analysis Based

Strategy #1 Strategy #2#1 + #2

profit

large

Combined Renewal Strategy

Loss ratio to under 70%.

revenue

small

OUR STRATEGIES

Page 21: Case Competition 2020 Eighth Annual - University of California, …actuary/caseCompetition/2020_Team_2… · Case Competition. TABLE OF CONTENTS Case Objectives 01 Analysis Based

Combined Strategy

Page 22: Case Competition 2020 Eighth Annual - University of California, …actuary/caseCompetition/2020_Team_2… · Case Competition. TABLE OF CONTENTS Case Objectives 01 Analysis Based

Projected 3 Year Plan

Strategy #1 Implementation

Page 23: Case Competition 2020 Eighth Annual - University of California, …actuary/caseCompetition/2020_Team_2… · Case Competition. TABLE OF CONTENTS Case Objectives 01 Analysis Based

IMPLICATIONS 05

Page 24: Case Competition 2020 Eighth Annual - University of California, …actuary/caseCompetition/2020_Team_2… · Case Competition. TABLE OF CONTENTS Case Objectives 01 Analysis Based

Projected 3 Year Plan

Combined Strategy Desired Outcome

Page 25: Case Competition 2020 Eighth Annual - University of California, …actuary/caseCompetition/2020_Team_2… · Case Competition. TABLE OF CONTENTS Case Objectives 01 Analysis Based

Not Included

SIC

Page 26: Case Competition 2020 Eighth Annual - University of California, …actuary/caseCompetition/2020_Team_2… · Case Competition. TABLE OF CONTENTS Case Objectives 01 Analysis Based

Additional Solutions

Page 27: Case Competition 2020 Eighth Annual - University of California, …actuary/caseCompetition/2020_Team_2… · Case Competition. TABLE OF CONTENTS Case Objectives 01 Analysis Based

Solution:

Page 28: Case Competition 2020 Eighth Annual - University of California, …actuary/caseCompetition/2020_Team_2… · Case Competition. TABLE OF CONTENTS Case Objectives 01 Analysis Based

THANK YOU