Capital Budgeting Final (1)

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    Should webuild this

    plant?

    Capital Budgeting

    1/5/12 1

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    Presented by:

    Krishna Jalan

    Snehal Khannukar Sowmya C G

    Chandasish Baissya

    Shrey R Dhanawadkar2

    Financial

    Manage

    ment

    The Team

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    Intro: Factors

    Decision Making Criteria

    Types of Projects:Process

    Evaluation Criteria

    Discounting Criteria:

    NPVIRR

    PI

    Non-Discounting Criteria:PBP

    ARR5/16/2012 3

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    5/16/2012 4

    Capital budgeting is defined as The firms formal

    process for the acquisition and investmentof capital.

    Planning for purchasing long-term assets.

    Consists of planning of the available capital to

    maximize profits.

    Definition

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    Availability of funds.

    Structure of capital.

    Taxation policy.

    Government policy.

    Lending policies of financial institutions.

    Immediate need of the project.

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    Decision-Making Criteria in Capital Budgeting

    How do we decide if

    a capital

    investment project

    should be

    accepted or

    rejected?

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    The Ideal Evaluation Method should:

    a) Includes All cash flows that occur during the life

    of the project.

    b) Consider the Time value of money.

    c) Incorporate the Required rate of return on the

    project.

    Contd

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    Firms invest in Three types of projects:

    Independent projects.

    Mutually exclusive projects.

    Contingent Investments.

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    SELECTION PHASE

    5/16/2012 9

    PLANNING PHASE

    PROPOSALS

    ONLINE PROJECTS

    PROJECTS

    ACCEPTED PROJECTS

    PROJECT TERMINATION

    PROPOSALS

    IMROVEMENTIN

    PLANNINGANDEVALUATION

    PROCEEDURE

    NEWI

    NVESTMENTOPPORTUNITIES

    EVALUATION PHASE

    IMPLEMENTATION PHASE

    CONTROL PHASE

    AUDITING PHASE

    The Process

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    EVALUATION CRITERIA

    DISCOUNTING

    CRITERIA

    NON DISCOUNTING

    CRITERIA

    NET

    PRESENT

    VALUE

    INTERNAL

    RATE OF

    RETURN

    ACC. RATE

    OF

    RETURN

    PAYBACK

    PERIOD

    PROBLTY

    INDEX

    (PI)

    5/16/2012 10

    MODIFIED

    IRR

    DISCD

    PBP

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    Discounting Criteria

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    Decision Rule:

    If NPV is positive, Accept.

    If NPV is negative, Reject.

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    Net Present Value Method

    The total PV of the

    annual net cash flowsThe initial outlay.

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    Year Cash Flows NPV @ 14% PV @ 14%

    0 -1100 1.000 -1100

    1 358 0.877 313.966

    2 246 0.769 189.174

    3 325 0.675 219.375

    4 385 0.592 227.92

    5 467 0.519 242.373

    6 349 0.456 159.144

    TOTAL NPV 251.952

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    Considers Time value of

    money.

    Relies on discount rate

    and estimated cash

    flows.

    Consistent in maximizing

    the owners wealth.

    Merits

    Demerits

    Merits & Demerits of NPV

    Difficult to ascertain

    future cash flows.

    Biased towards long

    term projects.

    May not give reliableresults while dealing

    with projects under

    unequal project life.

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    Also known as the Marginal Rate of Return or

    Time Adjusted Rate of Return.

    It is the discount rate at which the present value of

    cash inflows equals the present value of cash

    outflows. i.e. NPV = 0

    The rate of discount is determined by the Trial and

    Error method.

    5/16/2012 15

    Internal Rate Of Return Method

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    Year Cash Flows IRR @ 22.21% PV @ 22.21%

    0 -1100 1.000 -1100

    1 358 0.818 292.844

    2 246 0.709 174.414

    3 325 0.565 183.625

    4 385 0.448 172.48

    5 467 0.366 170.922

    6 349 0.300 104.7

    TOTAL NPV (1.015)

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    If IRR is greater than or equal to the required rate of

    return, ACCEPT.

    If IRR is less than the required rate of return, REJECT.

    5/16/2012 18

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    Considers Working

    Capital and Scrap

    value

    Considers cash flows

    during the whole

    project life.

    Maximizes the wealth

    of the equity share

    holders.

    Merits

    Demerits

    Lengthy, Based on

    trial & error

    Assumes that future

    cash flows are

    reinvested at the rate

    equal to IRR

    NPV is more reliable.

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    Merits & Demerits of IRR

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    The calculation of the IRR implicitly assumes

    that the cash flows are reinvested at the IRR.This may not always be realistic.

    Percentages can be misleading (would you rather

    earn 10% on a Rs.100 investment, or 10% on a

    Rs.10,000 investment?)

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    NPV and IRR do not always select the same project

    in mutually exclusive decisions.

    In the event of a conflict the selection of the NPV

    method is preferred.

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    9-22

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    The modified internal rate of return (MIRR) is the

    compound average annual rate that is calculated

    with a reinvestment rate different than the projects

    IRR.

    Therefore, MIRR more accurately reflects the

    profitability of a project.

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    MIRR correctly assumes reinvestment at opportunitycost.

    MIRR also avoids the problem of multiple IRRs.

    Managers prefer MIRR method better for this thanIRR.

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    5/16/2012 25

    The Ratio of payoff to investment.

    Also known as The Benefit cost ratio is the present

    value of forecasted future cash flows divided by the

    initial investment:

    PROFITABILITY

    INDEX

    P/V OF CASH INFLOW

    INITIAL CASH OUTFLOW

    Profitability Index

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    Year Cash Flows NPV @ 14% PV @ 14%

    0 -1100 1.000 -1100

    1 358 0.877 313.966

    2 246 0.769 189.174

    3 325 0.675 219.375

    4 385 0.592 227.92

    5 467 0.519 242.373

    6 349 0.456 159.144

    TOTAL CASH INFLOW 1351.93

    PI:

    1351.93

    1100= 1.22:1

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    Accept the project when PI is greater than one.

    PI > 1

    Reject the project when PI is less than one.

    PI < 1 May accept the project when PI is equal to one.

    PI = 1

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    Allows comparison of

    different scale projects

    Undertakes Time value

    of money

    Provides only relative

    profitability

    Potential Ranking

    Problems

    5/16/2012 28

    Merits & Demerits of PI

    Merits

    Demerits

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    The discounted payback period is the number of

    periods taken in recovering the investment outlay on

    the present value basis.

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    Discounted Payback

    0 1 2 3 4 5

    (500) 250 250 250 250 250

    Discounted CF

    Year Cash Flow @ (14%)

    0 -500 -500.00

    1 250 219.30 1 year280.70

    2 250 192.38 2 years

    88.32

    3 250 168.75 .52 years

    The Discounted Payback

    is 2.52 years

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    Discounts the cash flows

    at the firms required rate

    of return.

    Payback period is

    calculated using these

    discounted net cash

    flows.

    Still does not

    examine all cash

    flows.

    Difficult to ascertain

    future cash flows.

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    Merits & Demerits of DPBP

    Merits

    Demerit

    s

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    Non Discounting Criteria

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    ips

    Defined as the numbers of years required to cover theoriginal cost outlay.

    INITIAL INVESTMENT

    ANNUAL CASH FLOW

    Payback Period

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    Cash out flow = 1100

    crores

    Cash IN Flow Year Amt in crore

    1st Year 3582nd

    Year 246 929 3 years

    3rd

    Year 325 +

    4thYear 385

    171/385=0.44 0.44

    5th

    Year 467

    6th

    year 349 3.44 years

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    5/16/2012 35

    ips

    Simple.

    Emphasizes on earlier

    cash flows.

    Selection or rejection

    of any project is easier.

    Best suited for

    evaluating high-risks

    projects.

    ADVANTAG

    ES

    DISADVANTA

    GES

    Ignores cash after thepayback period.

    Fails to consider time

    value of the money

    Based on the principle

    of rule of thumb.

    No recognition for the

    pattern of cash flows &

    its timing.

    Merits & Demerits of PBP

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    Project Investment is judged by looking at its rate of

    return on book value.

    Evaluates return on accounting profits. i.e. on accrual

    basis. Annual returns are expressed in percentage of net

    investment.

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    AVERAGE PROFIT AFTER TAX

    AVERAGE INVESTMENT

    AVERAGE RATE OF

    RETURN 100

    Average Rate Of Return

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    Project A: Step 1: Annual Depreciation = ( 220 10 ) / 3 = 70

    Step 2: Year 1 2 3

    Cash Inflow (+) 91 130 105

    Salvage Value (+) 10Depreciation* -70 -70 -70

    Accounting Income 16 60 45

    Step 3:

    Average Accounting Income ( 16 + 60 + 45 )

    3

    Step 4:

    Accounting Rate of Return 40.333

    220

    = 40.333

    = 8.3%

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    Project B:

    Step 1: Annual Depreciation = ( 198 18 ) / 3 = 60

    Step 2: Year 1 2 3

    Cash Inflow 87 110 84

    Salvage Value 18Deprecation* -60 -60 -60

    Accounting Income 27 50 42

    Step 3:

    Average Accounting Income = ( 27 + 50 + 42 )3

    Step 4:

    Accounting Rate of Return = 39.666

    198

    Average Rate Of Return

    = 39.666

    =20.0%

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    5/16/2012 39

    ips

    Simple. Considers value of project to

    its economic life.

    Easy to calculate using the

    accounting data.

    Ensured earnings of

    profitability of the project

    using net earnings concept.

    Merits

    Demerit

    s

    It can be affected by non-cash items such as

    depreciation & bad debts

    Fails to consider timevalue of money.

    Ignores the fact that

    profits earned can be

    reinvested.

    Can be calculated in awide variety.

    Merits & Demerits of ARR

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    ips

    Thank YouOpen for Queries