Canadian Media Outlook 2012-2016

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 7/27/2019 Canadian Media Outlook 2012-2016

    1/25

    Global Entertainment &

    Media Outlook 2012 -2016

    The end of the digital beginning

    Association of Canadian Advertisers

    Au ust 2 2012

    pwc.com/ca/emoutlook

    Michael Paterson & Aurlie Olives

  • 7/27/2019 Canadian Media Outlook 2012-2016

    2/25

    The end of the digital beginning

    Mobile advertisingcoming to your device

    Digital is business asusual

    PwC LLP pwc.com/ca/emoutlook

    The value of socialnetworks

    Location basedadvertising

    Mobile distribution ofcontent

    Slide 2

  • 7/27/2019 Canadian Media Outlook 2012-2016

    3/25

    What we said 5 years ago about 2012

    Mobile television willbe available in 2008and become a $100m

    market by 2011 as newtechnology enables

    2012 will see abroad scale rollout of IPTV andVOD will stealrevenue from

    PwC LLP

    speeds

    The Internet

    will constitute 19% of advertising

    in 2012

    Sports rights andsponsorship dealswill become morelucrative. Value of

    online and mobilerights will also rise

    significantly.

    - -

    Slide 3

  • 7/27/2019 Canadian Media Outlook 2012-2016

    4/25

    % Growth

    2011 Actual Vs ForecastedSegments with Strong Growth

    Internet Access

    Internet Advertising

    17.5%Vs.

    12.1%

    22.8%Vs

    18.2%

    PwC LLP Slide 4

    0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

    Out-of-Home Advertising

    Radio

    TV Subscriptions

    TV Advertising

    Actual Growth

    Projected Growth

    Slide 4

  • 7/27/2019 Canadian Media Outlook 2012-2016

    5/25

    2011 Actual Vs ForecastedSegments with Weak Growth

    % Growth

    -3.5%

    Video Games

    Filmed Entertainment

    PwC LLP Slide 5

    1.7%

    -3.0%Vs.

    0.6%

    -8% -6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6%

    Recorded Music

    Newspaper Publishing

    Consumer Magazine Publishing

    Consumer and Educational Book Publishing

    Actual Growth

    Projected Growth

    Slide 5

  • 7/27/2019 Canadian Media Outlook 2012-2016

    6/25

    Entertainment and media growth rates

    20122016

    France

    3.4%

    Germany2.7%

    UK3.1%

    Japan

    China12.0%

    Russia10.1%

    Canada6.5%

    PwC LLP

    5.2%2.8%

    India14.3%

    Brazil10.6%

    Mature: 4.1% BRIC: 11.8%

    Slide 6

  • 7/27/2019 Canadian Media Outlook 2012-2016

    7/25

    What will be the fastest growing segmentover next five years?

    a) Out of home advertising

    Poll Question

    PwC LLP

    b) Television Subscriptions

    c) Television advertising

    d) Video Games Spending

    e) Filmed Entertainment

    Slide 7

  • 7/27/2019 Canadian Media Outlook 2012-2016

    8/25

    TelevisionSubscriptions

    +8.6%

    ...and the answer is

    Out-of-HomeOut-of-Home

    PwC LLP

    FilmedEntertainment

    +2.5%

    TelevisionAdvertising

    +5.4%

    Video GameSpending

    +5.3%

    +6.0%

    Slide 8Text emoutlook and your question to 37607 or Tweet #EMOutlook to @eusisdm

    FilmedEntertainment

    +2.5%

    TelevisionAdvertising

    +5.4%

    Video GameSpending

    +5.3%

    +6.0%

  • 7/27/2019 Canadian Media Outlook 2012-2016

    9/25

    Money Makers: Advertising Segments

    Internet Advertising

    +15.7%Television Advertising

    + 5.4%

    PwC LLP Slide 9

    Out of Home Advertising

    +6.0%Radio Advertising

    +4.3%

    Online Newspaper

    Advertising

    + 11.1%

  • 7/27/2019 Canadian Media Outlook 2012-2016

    10/25

    Global advertising spending segment

    Television36%

    Other

    InternetAdvertising

    18%

    2011

    Television36%

    InternetAdvertising

    27%

    2016Global advertisingCAGR to 2016: 6.4%

    PwC LLP

    Segment data here includes online/mobile advertising in the segments and excludes it from theInternet Advertising total

    Slide 10

    Newspapers18%

    Radio6%

    ConsumerMagazines

    6%

    Out-of-Home6%

    10%

    Newspapers14%Radio

    5%

    ConsumerMagazines

    5%

    Out-of-Home

    6%

    Other7%

  • 7/27/2019 Canadian Media Outlook 2012-2016

    11/25

    Televisionadvertising

    28%

    Internetadvertising

    22%

    Canada 2011

    Canadian advertising spending by segment

    Canadian advertisingCAGR to 2016: 6.6%

    Televisionadvertising

    27%

    Internetadvertising

    33%

    Canada 2016

    PwC LLP

    Newspapers18%

    Radio13%

    Consumermagazine

    5%

    Out-of-home4%

    Others10%

    Segment data here includes online/mobile advertising in the segments and excludes it from theInternet Advertising total

    Slide 11

    Newspapers13%

    Radio11%

    Consumermagazine

    4%

    Out-of-home4%

    Others8%

  • 7/27/2019 Canadian Media Outlook 2012-2016

    12/25

    Money Makers: Consumer Segments

    Mobile TV +38% Over-the-topStreaming +18%

    PwC LLP

    Recorded DigitalMusic +12.8%eBooks +46%

    Satellite Radio+12%

    Slide 12

  • 7/27/2019 Canadian Media Outlook 2012-2016

    13/25

    Digital spending drives global growth

    Digital is defined as: online and mobile

    Internet advertising

    mobile TV subscriptions

    digital music

    electronic home video

    online and wireless videogames

    digital consumer32%

    39%

    1500000

    2000000

    2500000

    n

    PwC LLP

    magazine circulationspending

    digital newspapercirculation spending

    digital trade magazinecirculation spending

    electronic consumer,educational, and

    professional books satellite radio

    subscriptions

    broadband and mobileInternet access

    82% 68%61%

    18%

    0

    500000

    1000000

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

    $millio

    Non-digital Digital

  • 7/27/2019 Canadian Media Outlook 2012-2016

    14/25

    Canada- Digital spending will grow

    at a CAGR of 13.7% from 2012-2016

    50,000

    60,000

    70,000

    36%

    PwC LLP

    -

    10,000

    20,000

    30,000

    40,000

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

    $million

    Non-digital Digital

    29%

    71%64%

    85%

    15%

  • 7/27/2019 Canadian Media Outlook 2012-2016

    15/25

    Key Trends

    Social Mobile

    PwC LLP

    Local

    Slide 15

  • 7/27/2019 Canadian Media Outlook 2012-2016

    16/25

    SocialMobile

    Local

    Social

    PwC LLP Slide 16

  • 7/27/2019 Canadian Media Outlook 2012-2016

    17/25

    2011 2016

    MobileUnit Sale of Smart Devices

    Local

    Social Mobile

    PwC LLP Slide 17

    355MSmartphones

    65MTablets

    23Mebooks

    88Mebooks

    330MTablets

    940MSmartphones

    Slide 17

  • 7/27/2019 Canadian Media Outlook 2012-2016

    18/25

    MobileInternet access spending & advertising

    Mobile is still an underutilized advertising medium given the time peoplespend with the mobile devices on uses other than calling.

    Local

    Social Mobile

    $5,000

    Mobile internet access in Canada

    $400

    $500

    Mobile internet advertising

    PwC LLP Slide 18

    $0

    $1,000

    $2,000

    $3,000

    ,

    2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

    $0

    $100

    $200

    $300

    2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

  • 7/27/2019 Canadian Media Outlook 2012-2016

    19/25

    LocalLocation-Based Marketing

    Social Mobile

    Local

    PwC LLP Slide 19

  • 7/27/2019 Canadian Media Outlook 2012-2016

    20/25

    The Entertainment & Media Value

    Chain

    PwC LLP Slide 20

  • 7/27/2019 Canadian Media Outlook 2012-2016

    21/25

    Integrating digital across the business-Key Priorities

    Cost optimisation andprocess integration

    Rights and royaltyoptimisation

    Metadata modellin

    PwC LLP

    Back catalogue consolidationand commercialisation

    Digital content andpublishing integration

    Talent . . .

    Slide 21

  • 7/27/2019 Canadian Media Outlook 2012-2016

    22/25

    What will be your biggest challenge to monetizedigital content or earn digital advertising revenue innext five years?

    a) Internal skills, resources or systems not adequate

    Poll Question

    PwC LLP

    b) Consumers believe they should pay less or not payfor digitally distributed contentc) Piracyd) Finding the right business model(s)e) The general economy

    Slide 22

  • 7/27/2019 Canadian Media Outlook 2012-2016

    23/25

    The raw materials

    - talent and innovation

    The proportion of E&M CEOs who told ustalent constraints have caused them to

    PwC LLP

    cance or e ay a ey strateg cinitiative in the past year:

    Slide 23

    Text emoutlook and your question to 37607 or Tweet #EMOutlook to @eusisdm

  • 7/27/2019 Canadian Media Outlook 2012-2016

    24/25

    The Millennials challenge

    PwC LLP

    Talent and innovation

    ...set free by leaders

    who understandbehavior

  • 7/27/2019 Canadian Media Outlook 2012-2016

    25/25

    PwC LLP Slide 25