Innovations for a better world.

Can we feed 9 billion

people sustainably

in 2050? Ian Roberts

8/24/2016 2

Agriculture Storage Transportation Mill Food processor Retailer Consumer

Together we feed

~4 billion people per day Bühler Networking Days 2016

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of global

GHG emissions

is from agriculture

of total

Water usage

come from agriculture

of global energy

goes into food

production from field

to table

of all food

produced

is waste

The cost of feeding the world today

69% 24% 1/3 1/3

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We have exceeded the limits of our planet for 2016

Our planet provides a finite amount of sustainable

resources, including water, CO2 sequestration

capacity, and land use. The day this finite amount is

utilised is Earth overshoot day.

1.6 X the resources

that our planet

can restore.

Bühler Networking Days 2016

http://www.overshootday.org/portfolio/creditor-debtor

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210

240

270

300

330

360

01.01.1970 10.09.1983 19.05.1997 26.01.2011

Every year we ‘achieve’ this earlier and earlier

Months until

we overshoot

by Year.

Carbon Sequestration: Inclusion

of inorganic/atmospheric carbon (CO2)

into organic compounds.

December

November

October

September

August

1970 2016 1999 1985

Bühler Networking Days 2016

http://www.overshootday.org/portfolio/creditor-debtor

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Global warming

unep.org

Part

s p

er

mill

ion

Year-to-Date Global Temperature

2016

2015

2014

2013

2010

2009

2005

1998

Diffe

rence (

°C)

from

the 2

0th

centu

ry a

vera

ge

Scripps Institution of Oceanography NOAA Earth System

Research Laboratory

Scripps Institution of Oceanography NOAA Earth System

Research Laboratory

Atmospheric CO₂

www.esrl.noaa.gov

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Food waste as key greenhouse gas emitter

Countries vs. food waste, 2005:

G

igato

nnes C

O2 e

q

If Food Waste was a

country, it would be

the worlds 3rd biggest

CO2 emitter.

Bühler Networking Days 2016

http://www.fao.org/docrep/018/i3347e/i3347e.pdf

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Undernutrition

159 m stunted

Children, 90% of

whom live in low

and middle income

countries

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2.8% of global GDP

USD 2

trillion

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Challenges

Protein gap: 50%

protein production

increase necessary

until 2050

Bühler Networking Days 2016

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2/3 of global antibiotic use is

in livestock production

50 000 deaths/ y in

EU & USA

USD 100 trillions GDP loss due to antibiotic resistance by 2050

Antibiotic resistance to become a major issue

Bühler Networking Days 2016

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The world population growth

9 bn by 2050

11 bn by 2100

Bühler Networking Days 2016

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We can not wait for politics

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We must drive equitable growth

forcibly displaced

people in 2016

rise in global GDP

2010-2020

richest people own

as much as the

poorest 3.5bn

of world population

are now

middle class

24% 40% 80 65 m

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Industry must step up to the challenge

Develop

sustainable businesses by leading

for future generations.

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Solutions

Sustainability Nutrition Food Safety Internet of

Things

Bühler Networking Days 2016

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Why we will have a protein challenge in future.

Bühler Networking Days 2016

We lose

45% through animal

conversion

meat

consumption We need

50% more protein

in 2050

arable land

per capita

Today, we produce 525 mio t primary proteins

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It needs a systemic change.

Plant proteins

–50% environmental

impact

Plant-based diet Eliminate waste Sustainable feed

Insects

70% Nutrient recycling

from waste

Algae

6x More protein

per hectare

Bühler Networking Days 2016

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How do we feed our gut microbiome?

• 1-3 % of body weight

• 500 - 1000 types in healthy people

• 36000 different types

• highly influenced by diet

• metagenomic patterns for auto immune conditions

(ulcerative colitis, crohns disease or celiacs)

•

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Food safety steps to future

GMP/Hygienic Design

Reduce risk and clean

efficiently

Validation of processes & Kill Steps

Non-Thermal Processing

Maintain the nutrition

Maintain the good bacteria

Selective Kill Steps

Bühler Networking Days 2016

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25% of global crops impacted by mycotoxins

Agriculture Storage Transportation Mill Food processor Retailer Consumer

Bühler Networking Days 2016

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30% of food is lost or wasted Energy efficient drying solutions make the difference

30%

less

energy

Bühler Networking Days 2016

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The digital opportunity enables disruptive business models

Bühler 2016 | Corporate Presentation

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Sensors, low cost data storage, massive connectivity

Bühler 2016 | Corporate Presentation

MyBühler

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Sawyer

Rethink Robotics

3D microelectronics printer

Voxel8

Gimball

Flyability

The dawning of autonomous systems.

Bühler Networking Days 2016

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How big data will change business and life

14 billion connected devices

by 2022

> 10% business productivity

65% of kids today will do

jobs that haven’t been

invented yet

90% of internet users

bank online

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Collaborative Innovation Model

Up to 5% of our turnover are invested in Research & Development.

Strategic partnerships

Entrepreneurial employees Global academic networks

Integration of customers and

suppliers

• 4’000 registered

• 2’000 voted

• 50 trained

• 2 new products

and 2 services

developed

Urs Bühler Innovation Fund

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The global talent pool is already connected

The millenials are coming.

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Can we feed 9 billion people sustainably by 2050?

Collaboration New

technologies

High

transparency

New business

models

Agriculture Storage Transportation Mill Food processor Retailer Consumer

Bühler Networking Days 2016

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Innovations for a

better world.