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© 2010 ARC Financial Services Private Limited, All rights reserved. Nishant Rustagi: [email protected] I www.arc-fs.com
Strategies for your Success
Stock Markets: Welcoming the budget for the FY’11 and lower fiscal deficit
projection, BSE Sensex gained 1.5% over the last week close to end at 16,430 and the
NSE gained 1.6% or 77 points during the week to end at 4,922
Biggest loser and Gainer:
Hindalco was the top gainer for the week with a gain of 7.7%
While ITC was the top loser for the week with a loss of 6.5%
Foreign Exchange Reserves: India's foreign exchange reserves fell by $528M for the
week ended 19 Feb’10 to $278.7B as compared to $279.2B in the previous week
Inflation: Annual food price inflation fell to 17.58% for the week ended 13
Feb’10, partially lower than the 17.97% recorded in the previous week
Crude oil: Crude Oil jumped nearly 2% on 26 Feb’10 toward $80 a barrel, marking a
more than 9%rise for the month. On a monthly basis, NYMEX crude rose $6.77, or 9.3%
from Jan’10, garnering the biggest monthly percentage gain since May’09. Crude Oil for
Apr’10 delivery for the week ended at $79.66 a barrel
Gold: US gold futures for Apr’10 delivery on the COMEX division of NYMEX settled at
$1,118.90 an ounce. On a monthly basis Gold rises 2% in Feb’10. Silver ended at $16.44
an ounce and Platinum ended at $1,537.50 an ounce
16,237
16,28616,256
16,254
16,430
22 Feb 23 Feb 24 Feb 25 Feb 26 Feb
BSE Sensex
10,383
10,282
10,374
10,321
10,325
22 Feb 23 Feb 24 Feb 25 Feb 26 Feb
Dow Jones
20,377
20,623
20,46820,400
20,609
22 Feb 23 Feb 24 Feb 25 Feb 26 Feb
Hang Seng
BSE Sensex P/E
BUSINESS THIS WEEK - India
22 Feb 23 Feb 24 Feb 25 Feb 26 Feb
19.9420.00 19.97
19.93
20.15
1
Index Closing
26 Feb’10
Absolute
Change%
Change
BSE Sensex 16,430 238 1.5%
NSE Nifty 4,922 77 1.6%
Dow Jones 10,325 (77) (0.7%)
S&P 500 1,105 (4) (0.4%)
NASDAQ 2,238 (6) (0.3%)
FTSE 100 5,355 (4) (0.1%)
Nikkei 10,126 2 0.0%
Hang Seng 20,609 715 3.6%
02 March 2010
© 2010 ARC Financial Services Private Limited, All rights reserved. Nishant Rustagi: [email protected] I www.arc-fs.com
Strategies for your Success
Mergers, Acquisitions and Joint Ventures
BUSINESS THIS WEEK - India
2
Telecom, Media & Technology:
Meltwater Group, which provides media monitoring
services, acquired BuzzGain Inc., a social media monitoring
company for $4M
Post this transaction, BuzzGain's technology will provide
platform to Meltwater to enhance its existing social media
monitoring service
BuzzGain has its offices in Bangalore
Transcend Infrastructure Ltd (TIL), a subsidiary of
American Tower Corporation, acquired Essar Telecom
Infrastructure Private Limited (ETIPL) in an all cash deal
The transaction values ETIPL at an enterprise value of ~INR
20B
The deal is subject to certain post closing adjustments and is
expected to be completed in approximately three months
Earlier, ATC acquired two companies to expand its tower
portfolio
– Transcend Infrastructure for a sum of INR 950M in oct’09
– XCEL Telecom Pvt. Ltd. for INR 8B in May’09
Reliance ADAG intends to increase stake in Fame to 75%
from 12%
The biggest multiplex chain Reliance ADAG is looking to
increase its stake in Fame movie chain to 75%
Reliance ADAG already holds a little over 12% in Fame that it
has purchased through open market purchases over the last
three weeks
Consumer Goods & Retail:
Shree Renuka Sugars acquired 51% stake in the
Brazil’s seventh largest sugar producer Equipav S.A.
Acucar e Alcool (Equipav) in Brazil for INR 15.3B
The deal will help the company to become third biggest
sugar company in the world and a clear number one
sugar firm in India (as against close rival Bajaj Hindustan)
The company is funding the deal without any debt
As per the deal, Shree Renuka Sugars will use INR 5B
raised recently through a QIPs, besides promoters'
contribution of INR 1.85B (through conversion of
warrants) with the balance money being met through
internal accruals
This is the second acquisition by the company in Brazil
– Last November, it bought Vale Do Ivai SA for $82M
Education:
Edserv Softsystems Ltd, acquired SchoolMate, a
Hyderabad-based firm offering CRM & ERP for
educational institutes, for an undisclosed sum
Post this acquisition, Edserv plans to adopt, run, and
manage around 250 schools in the next 12 months
Earlier in Oct’09, Edserv Softsystems acquired online
education portal 2tion.com
Edserv expects over INR 400M revenue from school
services in the next 12 months
02 March 2010
© 2010 ARC Financial Services Private Limited, All rights reserved. Nishant Rustagi: [email protected] I www.arc-fs.com
Strategies for your Success
Mergers, Acquisitions and Joint Ventures
BUSINESS THIS WEEK - India
3
Industrials:
Baroda-based Banco Products India Ltd, an auto
ancillary firm, acquired privately held Dutch firm
Nederlandse Radiateuren Fabriek BV for €17.7M (over
INR 1.07B)
Under the agreement, Banco will purchase all the equity
shares of its shareholders
Banco is engaged in the manufacturing of gaskets and
radiators, used in sealing and cooling applications in
automotive and industrial engines. It currently has four
manufacturing plants in Baroda
02 March 2010
© 2010 ARC Financial Services Private Limited, All rights reserved. Nishant Rustagi: [email protected] I www.arc-fs.com
Strategies for your SuccessBUSINESS THIS WEEK - India
Capital Raising (PE, VC, Right Issue)
4
Consumer Goods & Retail:
Siva backed firms ups stake in Ruchi Soya from 3.8% to
6.4%
Sivasankaran firms hiked stake in the Indore-based
company, Ruchi Soya from 3.8% to 6.4% over the last one
month through a mix of market and off market purchases
Global Franchise Architects (GFA), the franchisor of
specialty retail brands, plans to raise PE funding to fund its
expansion plans in India
The company plans to make India the largest market by 2011
The company is scouting for corporate and master
franchisees for expansion in the west and north India
In India, the company runs 70 stores under four brands, Pizza
Corner, Coffee World, The Donut Baker and The Cream &
Fudge Factory
02 March 2010
Education:
Manipal Universal Learning, the corporate education arm
of the education-cum-healthcare Manipal Group, raised
INR 2B ($43.3M) PE investment from PremjiInvest
The company will use the funds in project works such as
building a new campus in Dubai, second phase of campus in
Antigua, investments related to addition of a dental stream in
Malaysia and expansion in Nepal
PremjiInvest along with other PEs would hold a minority stake
in the education company
Telecom, Media & Technology:
DQ Entertainment raised INR 256.9M through pre IPO
placement by selling ~5.97% stake
The company sold ~5.97% diluted equity to a group of
investors led by IDFC Investment Advisors Limited (IDFC) for
INR 256.9M
The company had also filed its prospectus for IPO of 16M
shares few months back with SEBI
Earlier, the company had raised PE funding from India Value
Fund and Peepul Capital in 2007
Healthcare & Life sciences:
Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Ltd., plans to raise ~$30M in
PE funding for its Apollo Reach initiative
Under the Apollo Reach, Apollo is planning to set up hospitals
in eight towns like Nellore (Andhra Pradesh), Bhubaneshwar
(Orissa), Karaikudi (Tamil Nadu) and Nashik (Maharashtra), in
the near future
Earlier in 2007, the company raised PE funding from Apax
Partners, which currently holds around 14%
Famy Care may get funding from Baring PE
Baring PE is most likely to buy 15% stake for $40M (INR
1.85B) in Mumbai based drugmaker Famy Care
The PE is looking forward to invest $150M (INR 7B) in the
pharma sector in next few months
Currently, the PE firm is in talks with 3-4 drug contract
manufacturing companies, with each deal ranging between
$35M and $50M
© 2010 ARC Financial Services Private Limited, All rights reserved. Nishant Rustagi: [email protected] I www.arc-fs.com
Strategies for your SuccessBUSINESS THIS WEEK - India
Capital Raising (PE, VC, Right Issue)
5
02 March 2010
Energy & Power:
International Finance Corporation (IFC), the private
investment arm of the World Bank, plans to invest up to
$10M in Auro Mira Energy Company Private Ltd (AME), a
Chennai-based company in renewable energy space
With this investment, IFC will pick a substantial minority
stake in an 18-MW biomass project being developed by
Auro Mira Bio Systems Kanyakumari Pvt. Ltd., a wholly
owned subsidiary of AME
IFC had already committed a debt investment of ~$6.25M
in the company
IFC’s earlier investments in energy space include $82M
(debt-cum-equity) investment in Bhilwara Energy Limited
and $10M in Azure Power, a New Delhi-based solar
energy services provider
Outsourcing:
B2R gets funding from Aavishkaar Micro capital
Aavishkaar fund has invested an undisclosed amount in rural
BPO firm B2r technologies
The company plans to scale up to 100, 50-seater delivery
centers in 7 years
Earlier in last 8 months, Aavishkaar has closed many deals
with companies in water purification, organic cotton
trading, naturopathy clinic and hospitals and sanitation
solutions
Banking, Financial Services & Insurance:
Religare Enterprises Ltd, picked up a majority stake in
California-based PE firm Northgate Capital
The deal will mark Religare’s big-bang entry into the fund-of-
funds business
The deal is expected to be closed by the first half of 2010
Rights Issue:
SBI plans to raise INR 200B through rights issue
The Bank is planning to raise INR 200B through the rights
issue to invest in technology
In 2008, SBI raised INR 167.4B
© 2010 ARC Financial Services Private Limited, All rights reserved. Nishant Rustagi: [email protected] I www.arc-fs.com
Strategies for your SuccessBUSINESS THIS WEEK - India
6
IPOs Listing
Year IPOs*
2010 YTD 13
2009 17
2008 37
2007 103
2006 75
2005 39
Date of Filling Company Name Industry
25 Feb’10 Gyscoal Alloys industrial
26 Feb’10 Career Point Infosystems Education
23 Feb’10 Mittal Corp Industrial
23 Feb’10 Inventure Growth & Securities BFSI**
Company Issue Price
(INR)
Issue Size (INR) Listing Price (INR)
Hathway Cable & Datacom Ltd. 240 6.7B 246.00
Emmbi Polyarns 45 430.8M 45.50
DB Realty 468 15B 430.00
Aqua Logistics 220 1.5B 219.40
IPOs Closed
Company Issue Price (INR) Price Band (INR) Issue Size Subscription
United Bank of India NA 60-66 INR 3.30 B 33.38x
Future Plans
Company Issue Size (INR) Shares Issue Opens Issue Closes Rating Price Band (INR)
Kalpataru Properties 10B NA NA NA NA NA
DRHP Filled
IPOs Listed
02 March 2010
*On the basis of Listing, **Banking, Financial Services & Insurance
© 2010 ARC Financial Services Private Limited, All rights reserved. Nishant Rustagi: [email protected] I www.arc-fs.com
Strategies for your SuccessBUSINESS THIS WEEK - India
7
In Focus
Government offers 10% stake in IOC refinery to Saudi Aramco
The government has offered a 10% stake in the upcoming Paradip refinery of state-run Indian Oil Corp to Saudi Aramco for
~$650M
The govt. has also offered stakes to Saudi Basic Industries Corp (SABIC) in petrochemical projects to be set up by Oil and
Natural Gas Corp in the western Gujarat state and in the southern Karnataka state
Disinvestment
The government has upped the revenue target from sale of government equity in PSUs at INR 400B in FY’11 from the INR
250B targeted in the current fiscal
Foreign Direct Investment
India received Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) equity inflows of $20.9B during Apr’09 – Dec’09
02 March 2010
© 2010 ARC Financial Services Private Limited, All rights reserved. Nishant Rustagi: [email protected] I www.arc-fs.com
Strategies for your SuccessBUSINESS THIS WEEK - India
Union Budget 2010-11
Taxation:
Goods and Service Tax (GST) and Direct Tax Code (DTC)
• Implementation of GST and DTC by Apr’11
Individual
Additional INR 20,000 tax benefit on Infrastructure bonds under
section 80C
Enhance tax audit limits for professionals to INR 1.5M
Corporate
The surcharge on corporate taxes has been reduced from 10%
to 7.5%
Service Tax remains unchanged at 10%
Central Excise Duty increased from 8% to 10%
Weighted deduction from 150% to 200% for in-house R&D
Limits for turnover for purpose of presumptive taxation of small
business enhanced to INR 6M
MAT
Minimum Alternate Tax increased from 15% to 18%
02 March 2010
Banking, Financial Services & Insurance:
Bank licenses – Proposal to give banking licenses to new private
players and NBFCs in-line with RBI policies
Sets aside INR 165B for PSU banks to get minimum 8% tier 1
capital by Mar’11
Farm loan waiver extended by 6 months to Jun’10
Interest subvention for new farm loans from 1% to 2%
To provide 2% loan subsidy to farmers
Proposes to increase subvention to 5% in repayment of farmer
loans
IIFCL disbursements at INR 90 B by Mar’10
Allocates INR 1B for new pension scheme, to benefit 0.1M low
income citizens
All villages with 2,000+ population to get banking facilities by 2012
Housing loan: 1% interest subvention scheme extended to
Mar’11, allocation INR 7B
Income (INR M)Men (%) Women (%)
Old New Old New
Up to 0.16 Nil Nil Nil Nil
0.16 - 0.19 10 10 Nil Nil
0.19 - 0.3 10 10 10 10
0.3 - 0.5 20 10 20 10
0.5 – 0.8 30 20 30 20
Above 0.8 30 30 30 30
Income Tax Slabs
Fiscal Deficit:
Fiscal deficit to be at 5.5 % for FY’11, 4.8% for FY’12 and
4.1% in FY’13
Fiscal deficit at INR 3,810B in FY’11
Government Borrowing – INR 3,450B less than
expectation of INR 3,690B
Debt-GDP targeted at 68% from 82% in FY’09 to meet
FRBM targets by FY’15
Divestment target increased to INR 400B in FY’11 vs. INR
250B in FY’10
In addition, 3G auction expected at INR 360B
Subsidies capped at INR1,160M
8
© 2010 ARC Financial Services Private Limited, All rights reserved. Nishant Rustagi: [email protected] I www.arc-fs.com
Strategies for your SuccessBUSINESS THIS WEEK - India
Union Budget 2010-1102 March 2010
Agriculture:
To provide INR 4B to extend green revolution to eastern India
Sets aside INR 2B for a new agricultural initiative
Allocates INR 12 B for drought mitigation
Agri credit flow target for FY’11 increased to INR 3,750B from INR
3,250B last year
To set up 5 more mega food park projects
INR 3B for Rashtriya Krishi Yojna
INR 1B allocated for women farmers
External commercial borrowing will be available for food storage
industries
To provide subsidy in cash instead of bonds to fertilizers
companies
Allocated INR 3 B for Rashtriya Krishi Yojna
Infrastructure & Engineering:
46% of total plan outlay allocated to infrastructure
INR 1,736B for infrastructure
Increase infra investments to 9% of GDP
Road – Allocation increased by ~13% to INR 198.9B from
INR 175.2B
Rail – INR 165B, increase of INR 9.5B YoY
IIFCL – Disbursement INR 90B by Mar’10 and INR 200B
by Mar’11. Refinance bank lending – INR 30B by Mar’’10
& INR 60B by Mar’11
Proposal for infra bonds positive for Infrastructure
companies
Delhi - Mumbai industrial corridor taken up for development
IT/ITES:
UID authority given INR 19B
Commitment to SEZs to promote exports
Social Spending:
NREGA – INR 401B vs. INR 390B
Bharat Nirman – up 20% to INR 480B
Rural development – INR 661B
Education – INR 310B (up 16%) from INR 268B
Unit cost under Indira Awas Yojana increased to INR 450B
in the plain areas and to INR 485B in the hilly areas.
Allocation for this scheme increased to INR 100B
Allocation to Backward Region Grant Fund enhanced by
26% from INR 58B in FY’10 to INR 73B in FY’11
Additional central assistance of INR 12B provided for
drought mitigation in the Bundelkhand region
Oil & Gas:
Petroleum products: basic duty of 5% crude , 7.5% on diesel &
petrol; 10% on refined products
Extra Excise duty of INR1 per litter will be charged on petrol and
diesel
To provide subsidy in cash instead of bonds to oil companies
9
© 2010 ARC Financial Services Private Limited, All rights reserved. Nishant Rustagi: [email protected] I www.arc-fs.com
Strategies for your SuccessBUSINESS THIS WEEK - India
Union Budget 2010-1102 March 2010
PSU:
Divestment target increased to INR 400B in Fy’11 vs. INR 250B in
Fy’10
1.2M houses for weaker sections to be constructed under Indira
Awaas Yojana
Textile:
Extends interest subvention of 2% for exports of
handlooms, handicrafts and SMEs for 1 year
Exclusive skill development program in textile and garment
sector
Khadi institutes get INR 4B
Signed $150M deal with ADB for implementing Khadi
program
One time grant of INR 2B to Tamil Nadu for textiles
Telecom:
Mobile accessories market to get tax breaks
Defence:
INR 1,417B for defense
Tourism:
To boost tourism investment, offers investment linked tax
deductions
Power:
To facilitate 20,000 MW of solar power by 2022
To have a coal regulator for allocation of coal blocks
To levy clean energy cess on imported coal
Funds for power allocation raised from INR 22.32B to INR
51.32B
Propose to hike allotment for renewable energy by 61%
For solar mission, solar power generating units rates are to
be reduced by 5%
10
© 2010 ARC Financial Services Private Limited, All rights reserved. Nishant Rustagi: [email protected] I www.arc-fs.com
Strategies for your Success
ARC Financial Services Private Limited
311, Ansals Majestic Tower
PVR Complex, Block G, VikasPuri
New Delhi – 110018
India
Tel: +91 11 4560 1622
Tel: +91 11 4562 2127
Website: www.arc-fs.com
Email: [email protected]
© 2010 ARC Financial Services Private Limited, All rights reserved. Nishant Rustagi: [email protected] I www.arc-fs.com
Strategies for your Success
This Programme by ARC Academia – WST India, provides the delegates with an in-depth and practical overview of financial
analysis and forecasting techniques. During the 4 days training programme the delegates will learn:
Valuation of a company using different valuation techniques
Financial modeling techniques in excel
Forecasting the financial statements
Calculation and analysis of WACC and FCF
Day 1 - Basic Concepts Day 2 - Relative Valuation Day 3 - Financial Modeling Day 4 - Financial Modeling
Introduction to MS Excel
Different Company Filings
Financial Statement
Analysis
Minority Interest
Ratio Analysis
Enterprise Value
Diluted Shares
Trailing Twelve Months
Choosing right set of peers
Adjusted / Clean numbers
EV Based Multiples
Trading Multiples
Application of multiples
Introductory Model
Projection of Financials
Free Cash Flows
Cost of Capital (WACC)
Terminal Value
Intrinsic Value per share
Sensitivity Analysis
Fee: USD 225 / INR 10,000
Dates: 17, 18, 24, 25 April 2010
Time: 10 a.m. to 5 p.m.
Venue: Hotel Spice Art, Prabhat Kiran Building,
Rajendra Place, New Delhi
* USD 200 / INR 9,000 for registration before 1st April 2010
“We Bridge the
gap between:
“What is
available in the
market, And, Wh
at Corporate
Houses look for”
4 Days Corporate Valuation & Financial Modeling Programme(Starting 17th April 2010 Programme runs from 1000 hrs to 1700 hrs)
India office of
Training the Capital Markets Aspirants and Participants®