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BUSINESS SESSION I• Welcome
• Energy Transfer UpdateBeth Hickey – Sr. Vice President, Interstate Pipelines
• Commercial UpdateJoey Colton – Sr. Director, Marketing & Optimization
• Interconnect UpdateJohn Reid – Sr. Director, Business Development
• Market ServicesBrad Holmes – Vice President, Market Services
2
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURESThis communication is based on information which Panhandle Eastern Pipe Line
Company, LP, Sea Robin Pipeline Company, LLC, Trunkline Gas Company, LLC and
Trunkline LNG Company, LLC (collectively, “Company”) believes is reliable. However,
Company does not represent or warrant its accuracy. The statements and opinions
expressed in this communication represent the views of Company as of the date of
this report. These statements and opinions may be subject to change without notice
and Company will not be responsible for any consequences associated with reliance
on any statement or opinion contained in this communication. Company disclaims any
intention or obligation to update any statements or opinions contained in this
communication. This communication is confidential and may not be reproduced in
whole or in part without prior written permission from Company.
3
ENERGY TRANSFER UPDATE
Beth Hickey, Senior Vice President – Interstate Pipelines
ENERGY TRANSFER ASSETSETP Assets SXL Assets
Lone Star Express Pipeline
Development Projects
Lake Charles LNG
Rover Pipeline
Dakota Access Pipeline
Marcus Hook
Nederland
Eagle Point
Crude Conversion Pipeline
REGENCY MERGER
ETP AssetsRegency Assets Lone Star PipelineETP StorageETP Plant FacilityLake Charles LNGRegency Plant Lone Star Storage FacilityLone Star Fractionator
6
REGENCY MERGER PEPL/Trunkline and Rover pipelines
are highly complementary to Regency’s asset position
Capitalize on ETP’s unique franchise and broad capabilities with SXL’s “Mariner East/West” franchise
Ability to replicate in this region:
- Integrated Midstream / NGL business model
- Existing Mariner South NGLs export model with SXL at Marcus Hook
ETP Assets
Regency Assets
SXL Assets
SXL Storage
SXL Inkster Cavern
Marcus Hook
Eagle Point
Marcellus
Utica
7
NEW ADDITIONS TO OUR INTERSTATE FAMILY
Midcontinent Express Pipeline• Placed in service in 2009• 500 miles; 1.4 Bcf/day capacity• Access to supply from the
Midcontinent region and the Barnett Shale
• Interconnects with multiple interstates (1)
• 50/50 joint venture between Energy Transfer and Kinder Morgan (operator)
Gulf States Transmission• 10 miles from East Texas processing
plants to just across the Louisiana border (interconnect with RIGS)
Perryville
(1) ANR, CenterPoint, Columbia Gulf, Destin, NGPL, Sonat, Tennessee, Texas Eastern, Texas Gas, Transco
Gulf States
8
INTERSTATE COMMERCIAL TEAM
Beth HickeySenior Vice President
Market Services
Panhandle / Trunkline / Sea Robin
Marketing and Business
Development
Gas Control and Facility Planning
Transwestern / Tiger / FEP / Gulf States
Marketing and Business
Development
Gas Control and Facility Planning
Florida Gas Transmission
Marketing and Business
Development
Gas Control and Facility Planning
Regulatory Affairs
9
COMMERCIAL UPDATE
Joey Colton, Senior Director – Commercial Marketing & Optimization
ROVER PIPELINE
Rover - New Build
Rover – Firm Capacity on Vector
Dawn
Rover is a new 3.25 Bcf/day interstate pipeline designed to transport from processing facilities in the prolific Marcellus and Utica Shale areas to market hubs that can reach Midwest, Gulf Coast, Canadian, and U.S. Northeast markets. 11
ROVER – SOUTHBOUND PATH
Trunkline Gas Panhandle Eastern Rover Pipeline
To Trunkline Zone 1A
Defiance to Trunkline
12
ROVER SUPPLY ZONE CAPACITIES (MMCF/D)
Sherwood800
Seneca800
Clarington750
Majorsville400
Fox1,000
Cadiz1,250
13
ROVER TIMELINE
For more information visit www.roverpipelinefacts.com
In Service to Market Zone
North
June 2017
In Service to Midwest Hub
December 2016
Construction Authorization Anticipated
1Qtr 2016
Anticipated Issuance of
FERC Certificate
November 2015 – January
2016
Filed FERC Certificate Application
February 2015
FERC Pre-Filing Request
July2014
14
TRUNKLINE ABANDONMENT
Abandonment to be
Completed no Later than 12/31/2015
FERC Approved Implementation
Plan
TC Filed Implementation
Plan
January 2014
FERC Approved
Abandonment
November 2013
FERC issued EA
April2013
Initial FERC filing for
Abandonment
July2012
February2014
December2015
15
LAKE CHARLES LNG
• Liquefaction transforms Lake Charles LNG into a bi-directional facility capable of importing and exporting LNG
• Second largest liquefaction facility planned in U.S. after Cheniere’sSabine Pass
• BG responsible for design, construction management, operations and off-take
– Will utilize ETP’s pipeline network to deliver gas to the facility– Minimum 25yr firm transportation contract
• DOE FTA & non-FTA approval conditionally granted• Final investment decision expected by 2016• Train 1: commissioning & start-up no later than Q2 2020• Trains 2 & 3: subsequent in-service at ~6 month intervals
16
LAKE CHARLES LNGTIMELINE
Train 1 In-service
Anticipated Q1/Q2
2020
FID
Construction Anticipated to begin in 2016
2016
FERC Filing
March2014
PDA
October2013
DOE Non-FTA Approval
August2013
DOE FTA Approval
July2011
17
WHAT’S NEXT?
Trunkline
Sea Robin
18
INTERCONNECT UPDATE
John Reid, Senior Director – Business Development
PANHANDLE –NEW SUPPLY CONNECTIONS
More than 800 MMcf/d of recent supply additions with an additional 140 MMcf/d possible by 1st Quarter 2016
20
PANHANDLETENAWAHAVEN PROCESSING PLANT
• 1.3 Bcf/day straddle plant - will process the entire gas stream going through PEPL’s Haven, Kansas compressor station
• Fully operational May 2015
Haven
21
Interstate Pipeline AssetsPANHANDLE & TRUNKLINEMARKET AREA SUPPLY
Marcellus/Utica
TGC / REX
PEPL / REX
PEPL / TETCO
• TETCO Gas City (PEPL) – receipt capacity of 425,000 Dth/d; Q4 2015• REX Putnam (PEPL) – increase to 275,000 Dth/d; Q3 2015• REX Douglas (TGC) – increase to 275,000 Dth/d; Q3 2015
22
TRUNKLINE –CREOLE TRAILS DELIVERY POINT
New 1 Bcf/d delivery meter
Trunkline
23
MARKET SERVICES
Brad Holmes, Vice President – Market Services
INTERSTATE MARKET SERVICES TEAM
Brad HolmesVice President
Lindy DonohoContract Admin
Points
Capacity Release
NAESB
Richard MorenoPanhandle / Trunkline /
Sea Robin
Nominations
M+ Support
Accounting
Kathy WashingtonTranswestern / Tiger /
FEP/Gulf States
Customer ServiceNoms &
Scheduling
Accounting
Transfer Support
Cynthia RiversFlorida Gas
Transmission
Customer ServiceNoms &
Scheduling
Accounting
Transfer Support
25
INTERSTATE SYSTEM MIGRATION
PEPLTGCSER
PEPL
TGC
SER
Gulf States
Rover
FGT
TW
Tiger
FEP
PEPLTGCSERGulf StatesRoverFGT
PEPLTGCSERGulf StatesRover
PEPLTGCSERGulf States
TransferFGTTWFEPTiger
TransferFGTTWFEPTiger
TransferFGTTWFEPTiger
TransferTWFEPTiger
2015 2016 2017 2018
26
MESSENGER +
27
MESSENGER +
28
FERC INITIATIVE ON GAS & ELECTRIC COORDINATION• In February 2012, FERC issued a notice (Docket AD12-12) for comment on
gas-electric interdependence
• Five regional technical conferences were held through the summer of 2012. The conferences explored scheduling and market structures; communications, coordination and information sharing; reliability concerns
• Regional conferences spurred further technical conferences in 2013:
– February 13th – Improving communications and data sharing
– April 25th – Gas and electric trading day differences and scheduling
– May 16th – RTO and ISO update on winter operations
• Communications NOPR (Docket RM13-17) – July 2013
– Provide authority for interstate pipes and utilities that transmit electricity to share non-public, operational information for the purpose of promoting reliable service or operational planning for either party
29
FERC NOPR AND INITIATIVESIssued March 20, 2014
• RM14-2– Start of the Gas Day to 4:00 a.m.– Timely Nomination deadline to 1:00 p.m.– Two additional Intraday cycles– Multi party transportation contracts for aggregated firm service
• FPA Section 206– ISO’s and RTO’s must file to adjust the posting of day ahead energy market and reliability
unit commitments
• NGA Section 5 Show Cause– Interstate pipelines must make compliance filings by May 19th to revise their tariffs to
provide for the posting of offers to purchase capacity
30
CURRENT NAESB NOMINATION AND SCHEDULING TIMELINE
Nomination Cycle
NominationDeadline (CCT)
Notification ofSchedule (CCT)
NominationEffective (CCT)
Bumping of Interruptible Transmission (IT)
Timely 11:30 a.m. 4:30 p.m. 9:00 a.m. Next Day N/A
Evening 6:00 p.m. 10:00 p.m. 9:00 a.m. Next Day Yes
Intra-Day 1 10:00 a.m. 2:00 p.m. 5:00 p.m. Current Day Yes
Intra-Day 2 5:00 p.m. 9:00 p.m. 9:00 p.m. Current Day No
31
NAESB SCHEDULE GAS ELECTRIC HARMONIZATION (GEH) FORUM - 2014
• April 3rd - NAESB Board of Directors Meeting– GEH recommendations to change the annual plan and identify standards that would require changes to
support the Rule Making
• From April 4th to June 5th - GEH Forum Meetings
• June 4th – BOD review and vote on Alternative Consensus Proposal
• June 9th – Status report to FERC if no consensus is reached
• July 18th – Complete recommendation to support consensus standards
• August 22nd – WGQ review of recommendations
• September 29th – NAESB files Consensus Standards with FERC
• November 27th - Comments on NOPR Due At FERC32
NOMINATION AND SCHEDULING TIMELINE BY CONSENSUS AT NAESB
Nomination Cycle NominationDeadline (CCT)
Notification ofSchedule (CCT)
Bumping of Interruptible Transportation (IT)
Timely 1:00 p.m. 5:00 p.m. N/A
Evening 6:00 p.m. 9:00 p.m. Yes
Intra-Day 1 10:00 a.m. 1:00 p.m. Yes
Intra-Day 2 2:30 p.m. 5:30 p.m. Yes
Intra-Day 3 7:00 p.m. 10:00 p.m. No
No consensus was reached on the Start of the Gas Day33
ORDER 809 (Issued April 2015)
• Start of the Gas Day remains at 9:00 AM• Tariff records to be filed February 1, 2016• Implementation on April 1, 2016 34
QUESTIONS?
35
BUSINESS SESSION II• Welcome
• Market OutlookShannon Spencer – Manager, Market Analysis
• Guest SpeakerMichelle Bloodworth – MISO, Executive Director, External Affairs
36
MARKETUPDATE
Shannon Spencer, Manager – Market Analysis
MARKET SPECULATIONSBECOMING REALITY• Oil and gas supply boom: led to plummeting prices
– How have producers responded?
• Demand renaissance: still on the horizon but the view is clearer
• Pipeline re-plumbing: in service or underway
38
0200400600800
1,0001,2001,4001,6001,800
Jan-
14
Feb-
14
Mar
-14
Apr
-14
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug
-14
Sep
-14
Oct
-14
Nov
-14
Dec
-14
Jan-
15
Feb-
15
Mar
-15
Apr
-15
May
-15
U.S. Rig Count
Oil
Gas
Source: Baker Hughes
• Marcellus is up 3.3 Bcf/d from last April despite the lowest rig count in the play in four years
• Utica production increased 26% (Q414 vs. Q413)
• Oklahoma production up 0.5 Bcf/d in 2014
– averaged 6.3 Bcf/d in 2014, the highest since 1990
– Jan-Feb ‘15 averaging 0.5 Bcf/d higher than the same period last year
RIGS DROP BUT PRODUCTION MARCHES ON
39
PRODUCER RESPONSES• Drilling but not producing (waiting on price or infrastructure)
• Refrac of existing wells
• Longer laterals
• Faster drilling times
• High grading
• Pad drilling
40
SUPPLY READY TO REBOUND
Well backlog inventory has grown from 3,000 at the beginning of the year to nearly 5,400 now*
Baker Hughes estimates that up to 20% of new wells being drilled this year have not been completed
* As of April 2015. Per Wood Mackenzie
Draw-down of these uncompleted wells supports supply growth later this year and into next year…
Uncompleted well backlog by play
41
SHORT-TERM PRODUCTION OUTLOOK
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Northeast
Gulf of Mexico
Gulf Coast
Mid-Con
Permian
San Juan
Rockies/West
Source: Wood Mackenzie North American Gas Markets ST Outlook, April 2015 42
WE’RE NOT RUNNING OUT OF GAS ANYTIME SOON
Source: Potential Gas Committee, released April 8, 2015.EIA Proved Reserves latest update (2013): 333.8 Tcf. 43
OFFSHORE SUPPLY:OVER? DID YOU SAY OVER?
• Gulf of Mexico activity has been remarkably resilient with several new developments and more expected within the next 18 months
• Recent major developments:• Delta House (LLOG Exploration1/) in
Mississippi Canyon• First production on April 17th
• Estimated 350 Bcf of gas• Targeting peak rate of 154 MMcf/d by 2017
• Hadrian South (ExxonMobil2/) in KeathleyCanyon
• First production on March 30th
• Estimated 612 Bcf of gas• Targeting peak production of 300 MMcf/d by
2016
1/ Joint venture partner is Blackstone Energy Partners, co-owners are Ridgewood Energy, Red Willow Offshore, LLC, Calypso Exploration, LLC and Deep Gulf Energy II, LLC,2/ Petrobras and ENI have ownership interest. 44
WHAT ABOUT DEMAND?Power• MATS - went into effect April 16th
• Clean Power Plan - EPA to issue final rules this Summer
Industrial• Final Investment Decisions being made
• Dow Chemicals: “We’re putting $6 billion here in the U.S. Gulf Coast, betting that the gas advantage maintains for us to get a suitable return on that investment, which is into the next decade” 1/
• Raymond James: “we project a total of 6 Bcf/d in incremental demand over the 2014-2019 timeframe”. – Energy Stat of the Week, May 4, 2015
LNG• We are no longer years away, but months away
• Other projects are further along with contracting, FERC, DOE
1/ Doug May, Dow’s business president of olefins, aromatics, and alternatives, during the Kellogg School of Management Energy Conference at Northwestern University.
45
MEXICOPOWER AND PIPELINE GROWTH
• Mexico is in the midst of one of the largest pipeline construction periods in its history
• The country has dozens of new gas-fired power plants to support growth and replace fuel oil
• Sempra announced plans to make Costa Azul an export facility
46
MEXICOINDUSTRIAL GROWTH
• Major car manufacturers are moving assembly operations to Mexico• Production has doubled in the last five years• The country is currently the fourth largest exporter of cars and trucks and the 8th
largest producer• Cheap labor• Free Trade Agreements
• More than $20 billion in new investment as of mid-2014• Nissan has 21 million square foot factory• Announcements last year included BMW, Kia, Mercedes, Infiniti, Audi• Announced last month:
• Toyota - $1 billion to make Corollas in Central Mexico• Ford - $2.5 billion to expand existing plant and build another• Jaguar/Land Rover - considering a plant to build Land Rovers 47
MEXICOEXPORT FORECASTS
-
1
2
3
4
5
6
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Bcf
/day
US Net Exports to MexicoForecast Comparison
ICF
Simmons
WoodMac
EIA
Sources: North American Gas Markets Long-Term Outlook 2H14 (Wood Mackenzie), Annual Energy Outlook 2014 (EIA), Range Resource’s investor presentation (Simmons & Co.); FERC presentation (ICF).
Mexican exports are averaging 2.4 Bcf/d so far this year• 0.6 Bcf/d higher than the
first four months of 2014
Another 3 Bcf/d of pipeline exit capacity is coming online through 2017
Source: PointLogic
Consensus 2.5 – 3.5 Bcf/d (avg.) by 2016
48
INFRASTRUCTURE• First wave of projects –
get out of the Northeast• Second wave of projects
– get to the export points
* Represents announced projects; does not include backhauls using existing capabilities
~25 Bcf/d* of exit capacity planned to the West or South
49
THANK YOU!WE APPRECIATE YOUR BUSINESS.