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SOLUTIONS IN FUTURES ………………………………………………………………..
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BRINGING EFFICIENCY IN AGRI-COMMODITIES MARKET SAMIR SHAHMD & CEO
2
………………………………………………………………..
Pragati Ka Solid Exchange
CHALLENGES TO PULSES ECONOMY
Challenges / Risks
Price Volatility
Storage Limitation
Working Capital
Market Access and
Remunerative Price to Farmers
Raw Material
Availability
Counterparty Risks
SOLUTIONS IN FUTURES………………………………………………………………..
PULSES PRICES FOLLOW CYCLICAL PATTERN
Pragati Ka Solid Exchange
………………………………………………………………..
4
CHANA : LEAST VOLATILE AMONGST ALL PULSES
Apr-
10M
ay-1
0Ju
n-10
Jul-1
0Au
g-10
Sep-
10O
ct-1
0De
c-10
Jan-
11Fe
b-11
Mar
-11
Apr-
11M
ay-1
1Ju
n-11
Aug-
11Se
p-11
Oct
-11
Nov
-11
Dec-
11Ja
n-12
Mar
-12
Apr-
12M
ay-1
2Ju
n-12
Jul-1
2Au
g-12
Sep-
12N
ov-1
2De
c-12
Jan-
13Fe
b-13
Mar
-13
Apr-
13M
ay-1
3Ju
l-13
Aug-
13Se
p-13
Oct
-13
Nov
-13
Dec-
13Ja
n-14
Mar
-14
Apr-
14M
ay-1
4Ju
n-14
Jul-1
4Au
g-14
Oct
-14
Nov
-14
Dec-
14Ja
n-15
Feb-
15M
ar-1
5Ap
r-15
Jun-
15Ju
l-15
Aug-
15
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
NCDEX SPOT PRICES
Chana - NCDEX Tur - NCDEX Urad - NCDEX Moong - AGMARK Masoor - NCDEX
Pragati Ka Solid Exchange
………………………………………………………………..
5
Month
Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
90000
DELIVERIES OF CHANA ON NCDEX PLATFORM
2013 2014 2015
Deliv
erie
s (M
T)
………………………………………………………………..
Pragati Ka Solid Exchange
Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
PERCENTAGE OF NEAR MONTH AVG. OI CONVERTING INTO DE-LIVERY
2013 2014 2015
6
HEDGING PRICE RISK
Source: NCDEX
ACCESS TO WORKING CAPITAL………………………………………………………………..
Pragati Ka Solid Exchange7
2013-14 2014-15 2015-160
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
F UNDING T HROUGH COMT RACK ( in C ro re s )
Financial Year
Loan
Val
ue
SOLUTIONS IN FORWARDS………………………………………………………………..
ACCESS TO NATIONAL MARKETS
Around 28000 MT of
commodities traded
(approx. Rs. 120 crore).
Pragati Ka Solid Exchange
………………………………………………………………..
9
FORWARDS TRADE (QUANTITY IN %)
Castor Seed28%
Maize28%
Chana19%
Sugar7%
Co-riander
11%
Jeera4%
Guar Seed1% R M Seed
1%
Castor SeedMaizeChanaSugarCorianderJeeraGuar SeedR M Seed
TRANSPARENT BUFFER STOCK MANAGEMENT via EXCHANGE
Goal: Involve Private trade in a transparent stock management process
Process:• Set buffer stock targets and permit licensed stockists to participate with exemption
from stock limits.
• Trader can procure domestically or via imports recording procurement prices and
incidental costs.
• Government can notify agencies for retail sale, announce price and quantity for
retail sale.
• Liquidation through transparent, controlled price auction.
• Buyer will process and package stock for sale at Government determined MRP.
Pragati Ka Solid Exchange
………………………………………………………………..
10
SOLUTIONS THROUGH PRIMARY MARKET DEVELOPMENT………………………………………………………………..
MANDI MODERNIZATION – Roadmap to Modern Mandi………………………………………………………………..
Pragati Ka Solid Exchange
CREATED A WIN-WIN FOR ALL
12
13
………………………………………………………………..
Pragati Ka Solid Exchange
Challenges / Risks
C : Price VolatilityVA : Hedging Price Risk in Futures,
for all Value Chain Participants
C : Storage LimitationVA : Increased Number of
Warehouses and Capacity over the Years
C : Working Capital requirementVA : Comtrack and ePledge –
Less Risk – Higher Funding
C: Market Access, Remunerative Prices to FarmersVA : UMP, Mandi Modernization,
Futures, Forwards
C : Raw Material Availability at selected location
VA : Forwards
C : Counterparty RisksVA : Forwards, Hedging
Futures
NCDEX : ADDING ECONOMIC VALUE TO ALL
C : Challenges to market /market participantsVA : Value addition NCDEX has brought to the ecosystem