Upload
others
View
0
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Sources: BREKO network operators across Germany, if not indicated otherwise
BREKO Broadband Study 2015 Key results for European decision-makers
Market survey among BREKO
carriers
Regional network operators are driving innovation and investment in Germany
2
Market survey 2015
The BREKO member survey is representative
for the fixed broadband market
in Germany
3
BREKO in a nutshell:
o 130 network operators (230 member
companies in total)
o > € 1.5 billion investments each year
oUniting more than 70% of broadband
network operators in Germany and thus
representing the “voice of competition”
o The leading fibre association in Germany
oBuilding the network: a strong partner for
cities and municipalities
Investment record: Alternative network operators
significantly increase their investments once again
4
(Source: BNetzA, BREKO Research)
€ 7.4 bn investments in 2014
€ 3.2 bn
€ 4.2 bn
€ bn
2.6 2.4 2.7
3.3 3.3 2.9 2.8 3.0 2.8 2.9
3.2 3.1
3.4 3.8 3.8 3.9
3.2 3.1 3.3 3.6
3.7 4.2
5.7 5.8 6.5
7.1 7.2
6.1 5.9 6.3 6.4 6.6
7.4
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,0
7,0
8,0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Deutsche Telekom competitors (incl. cable) total
BREKO network operators invest in the future
of broadband
• Investment rate (turnover):
22 %
• Investment rate (EBITDA):
103 %
• Compared to:
− Deutsche Telekom: − 14 % (turnover)
− 38 % (EBITDA)
− Unitymedia KabelBW: − 25 % (turnover)
− 40 % (EBITDA)
− Vodafone: − 16 % (turnover)
− 53 % (EBITDA)
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015(exp.)
1.5bn
1.5bn 1.35
bn
1.55bn
1.7bn
1.8bn
5
€ bn
BREKO members lead in fibre deployment
850 000 households in urban
areas
1.6 mn households outside
urban areas
of new NGA* subscriptions
outside urban areas are
provided by BREKO companies
*Next Generation Access: > 30 Mbps, here even > 50 Mbps
78.5%
39.1%
13.8%
82.3%
48.7%
20.5%
städtisch
halbstädtisch
ländlich
NGA deployment 2013 – 2014
(Source: TÜV Rheinland)
55 %
6
urban
semi-urban
rural
Status quo FTTB/H deployment in Germany
0.96 mn hh
47 % 0.48 mn hh
24 %
0.6 mn hh 29 %
BREKO operators Deutsche Telekom others
7
of FTTB/H deployment by
alternative network operators
(Source: BNetzA, BREKO Research, status: mid-2015)
hh = households (homes passed)
Infrastructure objective in Schleswig-Holstein is
effective
8
Schleswig- Holstein
Mecklenburg- Vorpommern*
Berlin*
Hamburg
Bremen*
Bavaria
Baden- Württemberg*
1
2
23 %
14 %
2 %
National average: 4.5 %
households reached with FTTB/H (homes passed)
*below 1 %
(Source: BREKO Research,
Länder Broadband Competence
Centres, status: mid-2015)
Bavaria: € 1.5 bn of public funding
do not lead to increased FTTB/H
deployment Brandenburg*
Lower Saxony
Saxony- Anhalt*
Hesse* Thuringia*
Saxony*
Saarland*
Rhineland- Palatinate*
North Rhine- Westphalia
3
7 %
2 %
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 expected
Fixed line network “to go” Data usage: the indicator of the digital economy
9
3.6 bn GB
4.6 bn GB
5.5 bn GB
7.0 bn GB
8.8 bn GB
10.9 bn GB
27.0 GB 24.4
GB 21.2 GB 17.0
GB 15.1 GB 12.6
GB
of mobile internet usage
takes place in WiFi
“networks” (Source: Mobidia 01-12/2014)
of Germans do not want
to give up fixed line
network (compared to only 65% in
2012 and 80% in 2013)
(Source: D21)
(Source: BNetzA, BREKO Research)
5.70 % 4.15 % 3.05 % 2.23 % 1.41 %
35.0 GB
12.6 bn GB
290 MB mobile
~ factor 100
Demand for high-bitrate connections increases: Need for upload speed will multiply by factor 15
10
7
24
105
30
80
170
Present 2018 2020
Upload Download
BREKO companies’ expected demand until 2020
grows evermore
important
in the medium term
only satisfied by FTTB/H
networks
Mb
ps
11
• Fibre networks play a key role to preserve and increase
prosperity
97.5
151.5
238.1
31.5
48.4
75.6
0 50 100 150 200 250
Residential area
Mixed area
Industrial estate
Demand 2013
Demand 2018
Mbps
(Source: MLR Baden-Württemberg)
Broadband needs 2018
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
very important important less important not important
Broadband is the number one location factor
12
Source: IHK Karlsruhe 2014
for 63 % of businesses the desired
bandwidth is currently not available
at their location (2009: 43 %)
for more than 60 % of businesses
the availability of fast internet has a
significant and decisive impact on
the next decision to choose a
location
Criteria for the choice of location
Competition and diversity put Germany
in a good position especially compared to the United States
• Investment
dominant cable network operators
in the United States currently
invest roughly 1% of their turnover
• Broadband coverage
comparable high-speed supply in
Germany and the United States
• Monopoly structure in the
United States
75% of US households cannot
choose their broadband
connection
• Prices
EU: € 34 vs USA: $ 70
for a 30-100 Mbps connection
13
(Source: Studie Stiftung neue Verantwortung e.V., 06/2015)
Lessons from the United States:
De-Regulation leads to • less investment
• higher prices
• limited choice and quality of service
Regulation is not a barrier: Deutsche Telekom’s
margin is highest in the regulated home market
14
EBITDA margingroup
EBITDA marginGermany
EBITDA marginUnited States
EBITDA marginEurope
EBITDA marginsystems solutions
31.0%
40.5%
25.0%
35.0%
7.3%
29.0%
39.7%
20.0%
33.0%
8.8%
29.0%
39.5%
19.0%
34.0%
9.0%
2012 2013 2014
(Source: Deutsche Telekom Annual Report)
Alternative network operators shoulder about three quarters of the
deployment of ultrafast fibre connections
Local and regional network operators are driving innovation and investment
in Germany
BREKO network operators stand ready to further intensify their fibre roll-out
15
The BREKO Broadband Study shows: