Brazil as Emerging Economy

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    AN EMERGING

    ECONOMY

    BRAZIL

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    GROUP MEMBERS

    SABINA NISAR

    ZAIN ALI BAKIR

    ABIR AFRIDI

    SHAMIM ORAKZAI

    TAHIRA HUSSAIN

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    INTRODUCTION

    Emerging economies have rebounded relatively quickly

    from the financial crisis, and despite various challenges

    they face resulting from the European sovereign debt crisis,

    they face bright economic futures. While many observers have focused on China and India,

    Brazil is an emerging economy that has enjoyed increasing

    visibility. This Article examines Brazils evolution into an

    emerging economy.

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    EMERGING MERKETS & BRIC

    Emerging markets were characterized by growing

    economies and increased wealth with low-to-middle per

    capita income.

    Such as the East Asian Tigers of the 1980s (South Korea,Singapore, Hong Kong, and Taiwan), were emerging

    because they were becoming significant players in the

    modern global economy.

    in 2001, Goldman Sachs singled out Brazil, Russia, India,and China - the BRICs - as countries that, because of their

    increased global clout.

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    BRIC

    An emerging marketis a nation with social or business

    activity in the process of rapid growth and industrialization.

    The economies of Brazil, Russia, India and China are

    considered to be the largest. According to The Economistmany people find the term outdated, but no new term has

    yet to gain much traction.

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    WELCOME TO BRAZIL

    Largest and most popular country in South America.

    5th largest country geographical area 8.5 million km2.

    4th most populous democracy in the world.

    Top 5 investment destination.

    12% of worldsfresh water is with them.

    Has fertile soil for farming & good access to ports for trading.

    5th most populated country

    193.9 m people in 2012 50 years

    72.7 million in 1960 Change 167%

    Population growth rate 0.9% annual change (2011)

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    STUCK IN THE MUD

    Colonialism:

    22April 1500 -7 Sep 1822 A.D

    Royal system:

    1822-1889

    Autocratic Governments:

    1889-1985

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    ON ITS WAY UP

    1982 - IMF loan (focus on industrialization).

    1985 - military regime over.

    1989 - Fernando Collor de Mello.

    A liberal international trade regime (i.e., lower barriers

    to imports) and privatized many state-owned businesses

    the first in a decade of reform that set the stage for Brazils

    current growth and wage freezes, price freezes, and a fixed

    exchange rate. Inflation (45%) continued to be a problemuntil 1994.

    1994 - Fernando Henrique Cardoso (The Real Plan).

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    EMERGING OF BRAZIL

    The Real Plan

    The Plan introduced a new currency (the Real), de-indexed the economy (prices were no longer hooked to therate of inflation), tightened monetary policy, introduced a

    managed floating exchange rate regime, and increasedtaxes. There were also provisions to lower tariff barriers forforeign importers whose competition, in theory, wouldprevent Brazilian monopolies and oligopolies from raisingprices unilaterally. Tariffs ultimately fell from an average of

    51% in 1988 to 14% in 1994.It was also successful in raising the standard of livingthroughout the country by lowering inflation from 45% in1994 to less than 1% in two years.

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    EMERGING OF BRAZIL

    1999 - Real Crisis

    2002Lula

    Very liberal and appease foreign investors

    protect private property

    assert fiscal discipline

    increasing tax collection

    Interest rates fell to 6%

    Higher capitalization standards protected banks

    Public sector revenues were rising money to pay debts

    Increased agricultural production kept food prices stable

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    BRAZIL IS BEING DYNAMIC

    Four main policies have played, and continue to play, an

    important role in pushing Brazil forward:

    1) its emphasis on building the infrastructure necessary to

    support a diverse and fully developed economy.2) a commitment to reducing poverty and inequality to

    ensure the maximum number of citizens can contribute to

    economic growth.

    3) an increasing openness to the world.4) its movement to reform domestic institutions to foster

    efficiency.

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    IMPORTANT SECTORS

    Contribution to GDP Labor force employment

    Agriculture (5.4%) (20%)Services Industry (67.2%) (66%)

    Banking Industry

    Manufacturing industry (27.4%) (14%)

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    AGRICULTURE

    2ndsoya beans producer & #1 exporter.

    1stCoffee producer & #1 exporter.

    Major other products: Sugarcane, potatoes, cocoa,

    peanuts, Rice, beef, Cattle, pork, Oranges, Wheat, DryBeans, Cotton, Tomatoes

    Sugarcane :- contributes US $ 36 billion to Brazils GDP.

    GDP: 5.4%

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    MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY

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    NATURAL RESOURCES

    2ndEthanol (fuel) producer .

    4thTimber producer .

    3rdLargest iron producer & 4thLargest iron reserve.

    3rdLargest manganese Reserve & 6th Largest producer .

    Reserves of Iron ore, Bauxite, Nickel, Granite, limestone,

    clay, sand, tin, Gold, platinum, Uranium, Gems, Petroleum,

    Phosphates, Timber.

    Amazon River (Roots of trade, Hydro electric power, easy

    access to brazil).

    Rain Forest (Rubber, gloves, mattresses).

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    GREEN ENERGY

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    PHARMA MARKET

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    EXPORTS & IMPORTS

    Brazils 60% exports are manufactured and semi-

    manufactured goods.

    The total value of Brazils exports are.US$199.7 billion.

    Brazil primarily exports electronics, soybeans, footwear,transport equipments, automotive parts and coffee.

    The total value of Brazils imports are US$187.7 billion.

    Brazil primarily imported chemical products, machinery,

    oil, and transportation equipments.

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    INCOME PER CAPITA

    According to the World Bank data, the average per capitaincome for the period 2008-2012 was:

    Period 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012Brazil 8,623 8,373 10,978 12578 11340

    The average per capita income of Brazil increased.

    Revenues $911.4 billion (2012 est.)

    Expenses $846.6 billion (2012 est.)

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    GDP

    GDP per capita $12,789 (2013)

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    GDP GROWTH RATE

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    TOP 5 INVESTMENT

    DESTINATION

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    4THLARGEST ECONOMY BY

    2050

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    WHY ISNT BRZAIL THERE

    YET?!

    The most commonly mentioned problems Brazil faces are:

    1) policy failures that inhibit economic activity.

    2) a cumbersome regulatory and legal framework that

    limits efficiency.3) excessive inequality that prevents full and equal

    economic participation for all Brazilians.

    4) external factors that inhibit Brazilian economic interests.

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    WINDIND UP

    Brazil has come a long way since its days as home to the

    Western Hemispheres lowest GDP per capita. The prudent

    leadership of Presidents Fernando Henrique Cardoso and

    Luiz Incio Lula da Silva has resulted in quick growth,declining poverty, and an increased say in international

    affairs.

    Brazils goal of becoming an advanced economy has not yet

    been met. It must continue to diversify its economy, reduce

    regulatory and legal inhibitors to efficiency, and fight

    poverty through social spending and education.

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    QUESTIONS/ QUERRIES

    THANKYOU !