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7/30/2019 BpmToolbox 6.0-Forecast Business Planning Model Example (Basic)
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Best Practice ModellingForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
Primary Developer: BPM
Cover Notes
- This is a simple example of a best practice forecast business planning model.
-
- To navigate or view the content of this model, click on the 'Go to Table of Contents' hyperlink above.
- Subscribe to the Best Practice Modelling Network to be notified of new best practice example models.
- For more information see: Model Notes
Go to Table of Contents
IMPORTANT NOTE: BPM does not provide any warranties or guarantees relating to the correctness of
the formulas or outputs contained in this model.
The purpose of this model is to provide an example of a forecast business planning model developed using bpmToolbox in
accordance with the Best Practice Spreadsheet Modelling Standards.
http://www.bestpracticemodelling.com/network/subscribehttp://www.bestpracticemodelling.com/network/subscribehttp://www.bestpracticemodelling.com/network/subscribe7/30/2019 BpmToolbox 6.0-Forecast Business Planning Model Example (Basic)
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Table of ContentsForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
Section & Sheet Titles Page
4
56
78
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- -
11
1213
1415
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- -
- -- -
- -
- -
Range Naming Key
2. Assumptions
2.1. Time Series Assumptions
2.2. Forecast Assumptionsa. Assumptions
Taxation - Assumptions
Other Balance Sheet Items - Assumptions
1.2.
Formats & Styles KeySheet Naming Key
a. Model Notes
Go to Cover Sheet
Keysa. Keys
Capital - Assumptions
Working Capital - Assumptions
Assets - Assumptions
Operational - Assumptions
a. Time Series Assumptions
1. Overview
1.1. Notes
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Table of ContentsForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
Section & Sheet Titles Page
Go to Cover Sheet
20
2122
- -
- -
- -
- -
- -
- -
3031
32
34
- -
- -
- -3738
39
4041
- -
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44
45
48
49
Total Pages: 49
4. Appendices
c. Dashboards - Lookup Tables
4.2. Lookup Tables
a. Time Series Lookup Tablesb. Capital - Lookup Tables
Error Checks
Sensitivity Checks
Alert Checks
4.1. Checksa.
3.2. Financial Statements
Working Capital - Outputs
Assets - Outputs
Operational - Outputs
Other Balance Sheet Items - Outputs
Forecast Outputsa. Outputs
Capital - Outputs
Taxation - Output Summary
Capital Providers - Cash Flow ReconciliationDashboard Outputsa. Business Planning Summary
a. Income Statement
b. Balance Sheet
c. Cash Flow Statement
Direct Cash Flow Statement
Indirect Cash Flow Statement
3. Outputs
3.1.
Checks
3.3.
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OverviewSection 1.Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
Section Cover Notes
Contains notes explaining the purpose and use of this model and where more help can be obtained.
Contains diagrams summarising designated components of the model.
Also contains keys explaining the Formats & Styles, Sheet Naming & Range Naming principles used in this model.
Go to Table of Contents
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NotesSub-Section 1.1.Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
Sub-Section Cover NotesContains general notes about the purpose and use of this model.
Also contains contact details for BPM.
Go to Table of Contents
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Notes_SSC
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Model NotesForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
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Area: Notes
+613 9244 9800
Go to Table of Contents
This model has been designed to provide an example of how bpmToolbox 6.0 can be used within
Microsoft Excel to efficiently build a basic forecast business planning model in strict accordance with
the Best Practice Spreadsheet Modelling Standards & Conventions.
This model has been developed for those who:
Many components of this model have been significantly simplified to prevent confusion.
This model has been built in accordance with Version 6.0 of the Best Practice Spreadsheet Modelling
Standards. For more information on the standards go to www.ssrb.org.
This workbook has been built using the bpmToolbox 6.0 default theme - i.e. Styles, Colors, Page
Setups, etc. These settings may differ from your personal or corporate theme settings.
Brief notes have been included throughout the Section Cover Sheets and Assumption Sheets within this
workbook. These notes have been included in accordance with Best Practice and are not designed to
provide detailed insight into how this model was developed or how it could be improved or enhanced.
- Have purchased bpmToolbox 6.0;
BPM specializes in the provision of Best Practice Spreadsheet Modelling products and services,
including the provision of training and support services. This training and support ranges from our base
courses (such as the bpmToolbox Fundamentals course) to courses customized to meet specific client
needs. For more information on BPM's training and support services, contact BPM on the details
provided below.
Telephone:
Address:
www.bestpracticemodelling.com
To order the Best Practice Spreadsheet Modelling Standards, go to:
www.bestpracticemodelling.com/downloads/standardsDownloads:
Email:
Website:
BPMLevel 8, 330 Collins Street
Melbourne, Victoria
Australia 3000
- Are currently trialing bpmToolbox; or- Are interested in understanding the benefits of using bpmToolbox.
General
Intended Audience
Simplification
Standards
Applied Theme
Annotations
Further Training
Contact BPM
http://www.ssrb.org/http://www.ssrb.org/mailto:[email protected]?subject=Inquiry%20-%20Re%20Forecast%20Business%20Planning%20Model%206.0http://www.bestpracticemodelling.com/http://www.bestpracticemodelling.com/downloads/standardshttp://www.bestpracticemodelling.com/downloads/standardshttp://www.bestpracticemodelling.com/mailto:[email protected]?subject=Inquiry%20-%20Re%20Forecast%20Business%20Planning%20Model%206.0http://www.ssrb.org/http://www.ssrb.org/http://www.ssrb.org/http://www.ssrb.org/http://www.ssrb.org/http://www.ssrb.org/7/30/2019 BpmToolbox 6.0-Forecast Business Planning Model Example (Basic)
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KeysSub-Section 1.2.Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
Sub-Section Cover NotesContains Formats & Styles, Sheet Naming and Range Naming Keys explaining the approaches adopted throughout this model.
Go to Table of Contents
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KeysForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
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Formats & Styles Key
Color Name Color Description / Purpose
Font Colors
Fill Colors
Hyperlink Type Hyperlink Description / Purpose
Output (Black) Indicates ranges contain 100% formulas / output calculations. Output
Mixed CellMixed Cell (Green) Indicates ranges contain a mixture of input text / numbers and formulae
/ output calculations.
Go to Table of Contents
Example
Input (Blue) Indicates ranges contain 100% input text / numbers. Input
Assumption Sheet (Grey) Indicates sheet is an Assumption Sheet.
Work in Progress (WIP) (Yellow) Indicates ranges contain data or formulae that remain uncertain or are
subject to change.
ErrorError (Red) Indicates calculation errors normally used as a conditional format.
HyperlinkHyperlink Indicates ranges contain Hyperlinks to other ranges within the workbook
or to other linked models.
Cover Hyperlink Links Contents Sheet to Cover Sheet. Go To Cover Sheet
Home Hyperlink Links worksheets to Contents Sheet. Go To Table of Contents
Hidden White (White) Indicates Assumption Cel ls when used on the interior of Assumption
Sheets.
Example
Sheet Left Hyperlink Links active worksheet to the previous visible worksheet. Sheet Right Hyperlink Links active worksheet to the next visible worksheet.
Custom Hyperlink Links worksheet ranges to other worksheet ranges in the model. Linked Cell Text
Sheet Top Hyperlink Scrolls worksheet to the upper-most viewable section.
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KeysForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
x h OGo to Table of Contents
Sheet Naming Key
Base Sheet Type Sheet Description / Purpose
Notes
* The names of the Cover and Contents sheets are always "Cover" and "Contents" respectively.
** Model Import and Export Sheet suffixes are used in addit ion to the other sheet naming suffixes.
Section Cover Indicates the start of a workbook section. SC
Sub-Section Cover Indicates the start of a workbook sub-section. SSC
Suffix
Cover* Indicates the start of a workbook. Cover
Contents* Contains the workbook Table of Contents. Contents
Blank Output Residual category (contains outputs). BO
TOTime Series Output Contains time series titles for calculating outputs over a set time frame.
Blank Assumption Residual category (contains assumptions). BA
TATime Series Assumption Contains time series titles for entering assumptions over a set time
frame.
Chart Contains a chart. Cht
MIModel Import** Contains formulas that reference worksheet ranges in another workbook.
LULookup Contains lookup data for use in forms / controls and in worksheet
formulas.
Model Schematic Contains model diagrams and flow charts. MS
MEModel Export** Contains worksheet ranges that are referenced by formulas in another
workbook.
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KeysForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
x h OGo to Table of Contents
Range Naming Key
Range Type / Purpose Range Description / Purpose
Row Array Single row, multiple column, single area array. RA_
Column Array Single column, multiple row, single area array. CA_
Prefix
Base Cell Single cell base cell (for OFFSET function reference, etc). BC_
Lookup Names a Lookup Table Array on a Lookup Sheet. LU_
Block Array Single area, multiple cell, non-row, non-column array. BA_
Multiple Area Array Multiple area (includes areas of any type). MAA_
Drop Down Box Drop down box cell link. DD_
List Box List box cell link. LB_
Hyperlink Hyperlink cell reference. HL_
Check Box Check box cell link. CB_
Scroll Bar Scroll bar cell link. SB_
Residual Residual category (i.e. single cell non-base cells, etc). No Prefix
Option Button Option button cell link. OB_
Spin Button Spin button cell link. S_
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AssumptionsSection 2.Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
Section Cover Notes
Contains base case assumptions used to generate the base case outputs.
Go to Table of Contents
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Time Series AssumptionsSub-Section 2.1.Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
Sub-Section Cover Notes:
Contains assumptions used to drive the time series analysis within the model.
Go to Table of Contents
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Time Series AssumptionsForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
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Time Series Assumptions
Core Time Series Assumptions
Title
Periodicity
Financial Year End 31 12
Start Date
Periods
Denomination
Historical & Forecast Period Titles
Include in Period Titles?
Actual PeriodsBudget Periods
Data & Projections - Timing Assumptions
Data Term Basis
Data - Active Periods
Projections - Start Date
Notes
- A Financial Year End assumption of 28th of February is assumed to be a month end financial year end, even in a leap year.- The "Model Denomination" assumption will not necessarily automatically change the denomination of the outputs of this model.
- A "Budget Period" refers to either a period in the current financial year or periods containing combined actual and forecast data.
- "Data & Projections - Timing Assumptions" are used as the basis for related data and projections time series sheets.
- Use the bpmToolbox "Update Time Series Columns" tool to hide inactive data and projections time series periods.
Go to Table of Contents
Primary
Annual
1-Jan-10
10
2
TRUE
-
-
1
3
1-Jan-13
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Forecast Assumptions
Sub-Section 2.2.Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
Sub-Section Cover Notes:
Contains forecast assumptions for all areas within the underlying business.
Go to Table of Contents
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AssumptionsForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
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Year Ending 31 December 2010 (F) 2011 (F) 2012 (F) 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)
Operational - AssumptionsBase Amount Periodic Growth Rate (%)
Revenue 125.0 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
Cost of Goods Sold 25.0 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
Operating Expenditure 40.0 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
Capital Expenditure - Assets 15.0 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
Capital Expenditure - Intangibles 2.5 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
Notes
1. Revenue and expense base amount assumptions are specified in $Millions.
2. Revenue and expense assumptions are entered as positive numbers.
Working Capital - AssumptionsOpening Balance Debtors/Creditors Days
Accounts Receivable 21.0 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30
Accounts Payable 16.0 45 45 45 45 45 45 45 45
Error Check (Invalid Days Assumption) - - - - - - - - -
Notes
1. Opening balance assumptions are specified in $Millions.
2. Debtors/creditors days assumptions cannot be greater than the number of days in that period.
Assets - AssumptionsOpening Balance Depreciation/Amortization - % of Capital Expenditure
Assets 145.0 90.0% 90.0% 90.0% 90.0% 90.0% 90.0% 90.0% 90.0%
Intangible Assets 11.5 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0%
Notes
1. Opening balance assumptions are specified in $Millions.
Go to Table of Contents
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AssumptionsForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
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Year Ending 31 December 2010 (F) 2011 (F) 2012 (F) 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)
Go to Table of Contents
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AssumptionsForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
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Year Ending 31 December 2010 (F) 2011 (F) 2012 (F) 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)
Go to Table of Contents
Capital - Assumptions
Debt - Assumptions
Funds Drawn ($Millions)
Opening Balance 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 55.0 55.0 55.0
Debt Drawdowns - - - - 50.0 - - -
Debt Repayments - - - - 45.0 - - -
Closing Debt Balance 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 55.0 55.0 55.0 55.0
Drawdowns/Repayments % into Period 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0%
Interest Expense
Opening Interest Payable -
Base Interest Rate (% p.a.) 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00%
Margin (% p.a.) 1.50% 1.50% 1.50% 1.50% 1.50% 1.50% 1.50% 1.50%
All-In Interest Rate (% p.a.) 6.50% 6.50% 6.50% 6.50% 6.50% 6.50% 6.50% 6.50%
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AssumptionsForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
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Year Ending 31 December 2010 (F) 2011 (F) 2012 (F) 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)
Go to Table of Contents
Ordinary Equity - Assumptions
Ordinary Equity Balances ($Millions)
Opening Balance 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0
Equity Raisings - - - - - - - -
Equity Repayments - - - - - - - -
Closing Ordinary Equity 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0
Dividends Payable & Paid
Opening Balance -
Dividend Determination Method: 1
Dividend Declaration Period? Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Dividend Payout Ratio - % of NPAT 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0%
Assumed Dividends - Not Applied - - - - - - - -
###
###
Notes
1. Dividends cannot be negative.
2. Dividends cannot exceed accumulated Retained Profits (Opening Retained Profits + Net Profit After Tax) in any period.
Include Opening Retained Profits in NPAT?
Limit dividends to prevent negative Cash at Bank?
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AssumptionsForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
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Year Ending 31 December 2010 (F) 2011 (F) 2012 (F) 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)
Go to Table of Contents
Taxation - Assumptions
Tax Payable ($Millions)
Opening Tax Payable 3.5
Taxation Rate
Corporate Taxation Rate 30.0%
Notes
1. Tax is assumed to be paid in the period after tax expense is incurred.
2. The Corporate Taxation Rate is limited to a minimum of 0% and a maximum of 100%.
3.Tax calculations do not allow for tax losses, deferred tax assets or deferred tax liabilities - i.e.
negative tax expense will result in cash tax receipts.
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AssumptionsForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
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Year Ending 31 December 2010 (F) 2011 (F) 2012 (F) 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)
Go to Table of Contents
Other Balance Sheet Items - Assumptions
Cash at Bank ($Millions)
Opening Cash at Bank 15.0
Other Balance Sheet Items ($Millions)Opening Balance
Other Current Assets 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0
Other Current Liabilities 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0
Other Non-Current Assets 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0
Other Non-Current Liabilities 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 13.0
Notes1. Opening balance assumptions are specified in $Millions.
2. Retained Profits are used to balance the Opening Balance Sheet.
3. Other Current Assets and Other Current Liabilities assumed to impact Other Operating Cash Flows.
4. Other Non-Current Assets and Non-Other Current Liabilities assumed to impact Other Investing Cash Flows.
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OutputsSection 3.Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
Section Cover Notes
Contains base case outputs - i.e. includes only the impacts of base case assumptions.
Go to Table of Contents
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Forecast OutputsSub-Section 3.1.Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
Sub-Section Cover Notes:
Contains forecast outputs for all areas within the underlying business other than financial statements.
Go to Table of Contents
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OutputsForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
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Year Ending 31 December 2010 (F) 2011 (F) 2012 (F) 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)
Operational - Outputs
Revenue 125.0 128.1 131.3 134.6 138.0 141.4 145.0 148.6
Cost of Goods Sold 25.0 25.6 26.3 26.9 27.6 28.3 29.0 29.7Operating Expenditure 40.0 41.0 42.0 43.1 44.2 45.3 46.4 47.5
Capital Expenditure - Assets 15.0 15.4 15.8 16.2 16.6 17.0 17.4 17.8
Capital Expenditure - Intangibles 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.9 3.0
Go to Table of Contents
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OutputsForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
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Year Ending 31 December 2010 (F) 2011 (F) 2012 (F) 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)
Go to Table of Contents
Working Capital - Outputs
Accounts Receivable Balances ($Millions)
Opening Balance 21.0 10.3 10.5 10.8 11.1 11.3 11.6 11.9
Revenue 125.0 128.1 131.3 134.6 138.0 141.4 145.0 148.6
Cash Receipts (135.7) (127.9) (131.1) (134.3) (137.7) (141.1) (144.7) (148.3)
Closing Balance 10.3 10.5 10.8 11.1 11.3 11.6 11.9 12.2
Closing Balance Periodic Growth (% per Year) 2.5% 2.2% 2.8% 2.5% 2.5% 2.2% 2.8%
Debtors Days 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30
Total Error Checks Result - - - - - - - - -
Accounts Payable Balances ($Millions)
Opening Balance 16.0 8.0 8.2 8.4 8.6 8.8 9.1 9.3
Costs 65.0 66.6 68.3 70.0 71.7 73.5 75.4 77.3
Cash Payments (73.0) (66.4) (68.1) (69.8) (71.5) (73.3) (75.2) (77.0)
Closing Balance 8.0 8.2 8.4 8.6 8.8 9.1 9.3 9.5
Closing Balance Periodic Growth (% per Year) 2.5% 2.2% 2.8% 2.5% 2.5% 2.2% 2.8%
Creditors Days 45 45 45 45 45 45 45 45
Total Error Checks Result - - - - - - - - -
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OutputsForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
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Year Ending 31 December 2010 (F) 2011 (F) 2012 (F) 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)
Go to Table of Contents
Assets - Outputs
Assets Balances ($Millions)
Opening Balance 145.0 146.5 148.0 149.6 151.2 152.9 154.6 156.3
Capital Expenditure - Assets 15.0 15.4 15.8 16.2 16.6 17.0 17.4 17.8
Depreciation (13.5) (13.8) (14.2) (14.5) (14.9) (15.3) (15.7) (16.0)
Closing Balance 146.5 148.0 149.6 151.2 152.9 154.6 156.3 158.1
Total Error Checks Result - - - - - - - - -
Intangibles Balances ($Millions)
Opening Balance 11.5 13.4 15.3 17.3 19.3 21.4 23.5 25.7Capital Expenditure - Intangibles 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.9 3.0
Amortization (0.6) (0.6) (0.7) (0.7) (0.7) (0.7) (0.7) (0.7)
Closing Balance 13.4 15.3 17.3 19.3 21.4 23.5 25.7 27.9
Total Error Checks Result - - - - - - - - -
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OutputsForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
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Year Ending 31 December 2010 (F) 2011 (F) 2012 (F) 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)
Go to Table of Contents
Capital - Outputs
Debt - Outputs
Funds Drawn ($Millions)
Opening Balance 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 55.0 55.0 55.0
Debt Drawdowns - - - - 50.0 - - -
Debt Repayments - - - - (45.0) - - -
Closing Debt Balance 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 55.0 55.0 55.0 55.0
Interest Expense
Base Interest Rate (% p.a.) 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00%
Margin (% p.a.) 1.50% 1.50% 1.50% 1.50% 1.50% 1.50% 1.50% 1.50%
All-In Interest Rate (% p.a.) 6.50% 6.50% 6.50% 6.50% 6.50% 6.50% 6.50% 6.50%
Months in Financial Year 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12
Period % of Full Year 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Drawdowns/Repayments % into Period 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0%
Average Debt Outstanding 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 52.5 55.0 55.0 55.0
Interest Expense 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.6 3.6 3.6
Opening Interest Payable - - - - - - - -Interest Expense 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.6 3.6 3.6
Interest Paid (3.3) (3.3) (3.3) (3.3) (3.4) (3.6) (3.6) (3.6)
Closing Interest Payable - - - - - - - -
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OutputsForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
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Year Ending 31 December 2010 (F) 2011 (F) 2012 (F) 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)
Go to Table of Contents
Ordinary Equity - Outputs
Ordinary Equity Balances ($Millions)
Opening Balance 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0
Equity Raisings - - - - - - - -
Equity Repayments - - - - - - - -
Closing Ordinary Equity 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0
Dividends Payable & Paid
Opening Balance - - - - - - - -
Dividends Declared During Period 14.9 15.3 15.7 16.2 16.5 16.9 17.4 17.8
Dividends Paid During Period (14.9) (15.3) (15.7) (16.2) (16.5) (16.9) (17.4) (17.8)Closing Dividends Payable - - - - - - - -
Total Error Checks Result - - - - - - - - -
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OutputsForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
x h O
Year Ending 31 December 2010 (F) 2011 (F) 2012 (F) 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)
Go to Table of Contents
Dividends Payable & Paid - Calculation
Dividend Determination Method: % of NPAT
Dividend Declaration Period? Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Opening Retained Profits - 60.9 76.2 92.0 108.1 124.7 141.6 158.9
Net Profit After Tax (NPAT) 29.8 30.6 31.5 32.3 33.1 33.8 34.7 35.7
Maximum Dividends Allowed 29.8 91.6 107.7 124.3 141.2 158.5 176.3 194.6
Opening Cash at Bank 15.0 38.6 50.7 63.2 76.0 94.1 107.5 121.2
Cash Flow Available for Dividends 38.5 27.5 28.2 29.0 34.6 30.3 31.2 32.0
Total Available Cash For Dividends 53.5 66.0 78.9 92.2 110.6 124.4 138.6 153.2
Dividend Payout Ratio - % of NPAT 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0%
Assumed Dividends - Not Applied - - - - - - - -Target Dividends Declared 14.9 15.3 15.7 16.2 16.5 16.9 17.4 17.8
Actual Dividends Declared 14.9 15.3 15.7 16.2 16.5 16.9 17.4 17.8
Alert Check (Limited Dividends) - - - - - - - - -
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OutputsForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
x h O
Year Ending 31 December 2010 (F) 2011 (F) 2012 (F) 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)
Go to Table of Contents
Taxation - Output Summary
Tax Expense ($Millions)
Revenue 125.0 128.1 131.3 134.6 138.0 141.4 145.0 148.6
Cost of Goods Sold (25.0) (25.6) (26.3) (26.9) (27.6) (28.3) (29.0) (29.7)
Operating Expenditure (40.0) (41.0) (42.0) (43.1) (44.2) (45.3) (46.4) (47.5)
Depreciation (13.5) (13.8) (14.2) (14.5) (14.9) (15.3) (15.7) (16.0)
Amortization (0.6) (0.6) (0.7) (0.7) (0.7) (0.7) (0.7) (0.7)
Interest Expense (3.3) (3.3) (3.3) (3.3) (3.4) (3.6) (3.6) (3.6)
Net Profit Before Tax (NPBT) 42.6 43.8 44.9 46.2 47.2 48.3 49.6 51.0
Accounting Taxable Profit / (Loss) 42.6 43.8 44.9 46.2 47.2 48.3 49.6 51.0
Corporate Taxation Rate 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0%
Tax Expense / (Benefit) 12.8 13.1 13.5 13.8 14.2 14.5 14.9 15.3
Tax Payable (& Paid)
Opening Balance 3.5 12.8 13.1 13.5 13.8 14.2 14.5 14.9
Tax Expense / (Benefit) 12.8 13.1 13.5 13.8 14.2 14.5 14.9 15.3
Tax Paid (3.5) (12.8) (13.1) (13.5) (13.8) (14.2) (14.5) (14.9)
Closing Balance 12.8 13.1 13.5 13.8 14.2 14.5 14.9 15.3
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OutputsForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
x h O
Year Ending 31 December 2010 (F) 2011 (F) 2012 (F) 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)
Go to Table of Contents
Other Balance Sheet Items - Outputs
Other Current Assets ($Millions)
Opening Balance 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0
Movement 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Closing Balance 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0
Other Current Liabilities ($Millions)
Opening Balance 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0
Movement 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Closing Balance 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0
Other Non-Current Assets ($Millions)
Opening Balance 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0
Movement 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Closing Balance 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0
Other Non-Current Liabilities ($Millions)
Opening Balance 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0
Movement 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Closing Balance 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 13.0
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Financial StatementsSub-Section 3.2.Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
Sub-Section Cover Notes:
Contains the forecast Income Statement, Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement.
Go to Table of Contents
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Income StatementForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
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Year Ending 31 December 2010 (F) 2011 (F) 2012 (F) 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)
Income Statement - Base Case ($Millions)
Revenue 125.0 128.1 131.3 134.6 138.0 141.4 145.0 148.6
Cost of Goods Sold (25.0) (25.6) (26.3) (26.9) (27.6) (28.3) (29.0) (29.7)
Gross Margin 100.0 102.5 105.1 107.7 110.4 113.1 116.0 118.9
Operating Expenditure (40.0) (41.0) (42.0) (43.1) (44.2) (45.3) (46.4) (47.5)
EBITDA 60.0 61.5 63.0 64.6 66.2 67.9 69.6 71.3
Depreciation & Amortization (14.1) (14.5) (14.8) (15.2) (15.6) (16.0) (16.4) (16.8)
EBIT 45.9 47.0 48.2 49.4 50.6 51.9 53.2 54.5
Interest Expense (3.3) (3.3) (3.3) (3.3) (3.4) (3.6) (3.6) (3.6)
Net Profit Before Tax 42.6 43.8 44.9 46.2 47.2 48.3 49.6 51.0
Tax Expense / (Benefit) (12.8) (13.1) (13.5) (13.8) (14.2) (14.5) (14.9) (15.3)
Net Profit After Tax 29.8 30.6 31.5 32.3 33.1 33.8 34.7 35.7
Error Check- - - - - - - - -
Notes
1. Revenues and expenses enter the Income Statement as positive and negative numbers respectively.
Go to Balance Sheet
Go to Table of Contents
229 8 l ff
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Balance SheetForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
x h O
Year Ending 31 December 2010 (F) 2011 (F) 2012 (F) 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)
Balance Sheet - Base Case ($Millions)
Current Assets
Cash at Bank 38.6 50.7 63.2 76.0 94.1 107.5 121.2 135.4
Accounts Receivable 10.3 10.5 10.8 11.1 11.3 11.6 11.9 12.2
Other Current Assets 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0
Total Current Assets 51.8 65.3 79.0 93.1 112.4 127.1 142.1 157.6
Non-Current Assets
Assets 146.5 148.0 149.6 151.2 152.9 154.6 156.3 158.1
Intangibles 13.4 15.3 17.3 19.3 21.4 23.5 25.7 27.9
Deferred Tax Assets - - - - - - - -Other Non-Current Assets 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0
Total Non-Current Assets 164.9 169.3 173.9 178.5 183.2 188.1 193.0 198.0
Total Assets 216.7 234.6 252.9 271.6 295.7 315.1 335.1 355.6
Current Liabilities
Accounts Payable 8.0 8.2 8.4 8.6 8.8 9.1 9.3 9.5
Tax Payable 12.8 13.1 13.5 13.8 14.2 14.5 14.9 15.3
Debt Interest Payable - - - - - - - -
Ordinary Equity Dividends Payable - - - - - - - -
Other Current Liabilities 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0
Total Current Liabilities 24.8 26.3 27.9 29.5 31.0 32.6 34.2 35.8
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Balance SheetForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
x h O
Year Ending 31 December 2010 (F) 2011 (F) 2012 (F) 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)
Go to Table of Contents
Non-Current Liabilities
Debt 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 55.0 55.0 55.0 55.0
Deferred Tax Liabilities - - - - - - - -Other Non-Current Liabilities 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 13.0
Total Non-Current Liabilities 56.0 57.0 58.0 59.0 65.0 66.0 67.0 68.0
Total Liabilities 80.8 83.3 85.9 88.5 96.0 98.6 101.2 103.8
Net Assets 135.9 151.2 167.0 183.1 199.7 216.6 233.9 251.8
Equity
Ordinary Equity 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0Retained Profits 60.9 76.2 92.0 108.1 124.7 141.6 158.9 176.8
Total Equity 135.9 151.2 167.0 183.1 199.7 216.6 233.9 251.8
Total Error Check Result - - - - - - - - -
Alert Check (Negative Cash) - - - - - - - - -
Go to Income Statement
Go to Cash Flow Statement
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Cash Flow StatementForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
x h O
Year Ending 31 December 2010 (F) 2011 (F) 2012 (F) 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)
Direct Cash Flow Statement
Cash Flow from Operating Activities
Cash Receipts 135.7 127.9 131.1 134.3 137.7 141.1 144.7 148.3
Cash Payments (73.0) (66.4) (68.1) (69.8) (71.5) (73.3) (75.2) (77.0)
Interest Paid (3.3) (3.3) (3.3) (3.3) (3.4) (3.6) (3.6) (3.6)
Tax Paid (3.5) (12.8) (13.1) (13.5) (13.8) (14.2) (14.5) (14.9)
Decrease in Other Current Assets (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0)
Increase in Other Current Liabilities 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Net Cash Flow from Operating Activities 56.0 45.4 46.6 47.8 48.9 50.1 51.5 52.8
Cash Flow from Investing Activities
Capital Expenditure - Assets (15.0) (15.4) (15.8) (16.2) (16.6) (17.0) (17.4) (17.8)
Capital Expenditure - Intangibles (2.5) (2.6) (2.6) (2.7) (2.8) (2.8) (2.9) (3.0)
Decrease in Other Non-Current Assets (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0)
Increase in Other Non-Current Liabilities 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Net Cash Flow from Investing Activities (17.5) (17.9) (18.4) (18.8) (19.3) (19.8) (20.3) (20.8)
Cash Flow from Financing Activities
Debt Drawdowns - - - - 50.0 - - -
Debt Repayments - - - - (45.0) - - -Equity Raisings - - - - - - - -
Equity Repayments - - - - - - - -
Dividends Paid During Period (14.9) (15.3) (15.7) (16.2) (16.5) (16.9) (17.4) (17.8)
Net Cash Flow from Financing Activities (14.9) (15.3) (15.7) (16.2) (11.5) (16.9) (17.4) (17.8)
Net Increase / (Decrease) in Cash Held 23.6 12.1 12.5 12.8 18.1 13.4 13.8 14.1
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Cash Flow StatementForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
x h O
Year Ending 31 December 2010 (F) 2011 (F) 2012 (F) 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)
Go to Table of Contents
Indirect Cash Flow Statement
Cash Flow from Operating Activities
Net Profit After Tax 29.8 30.6 31.5 32.3 33.1 33.8 34.7 35.7
(Add Back) Tax Expense 12.8 13.1 13.5 13.8 14.2 14.5 14.9 15.3
(Add Back) Total Debt Interest Expense 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.6 3.6 3.6
(Add Back) Total Book Depreciation & Amortisation 14.1 14.5 14.8 15.2 15.6 16.0 16.4 16.8
Decrease in Accounts Receivable 10.7 (0.3) (0.2) (0.3) (0.3) (0.3) (0.3) (0.3)
Increase in Accounts Payable (8.0) 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3
Interest Paid (3.3) (3.3) (3.3) (3.3) (3.4) (3.6) (3.6) (3.6)
Tax Paid (3.5) (12.8) (13.1) (13.5) (13.8) (14.2) (14.5) (14.9)
Decrease in Other Current Assets (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0)
Increase in Other Current Liabilities 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0Net Cash Flow from Operating Activities 56.0 45.4 46.6 47.8 48.9 50.1 51.5 52.8
Cash Flow from Investing Activities
Capital Expenditure - Assets (15.0) (15.4) (15.8) (16.2) (16.6) (17.0) (17.4) (17.8)
Capital Expenditure - Intangibles (2.5) (2.6) (2.6) (2.7) (2.8) (2.8) (2.9) (3.0)
Decrease in Other Non-Current Assets (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0)
Increase in Other Non-Current Liabilities 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Net Cash Flow from Investing Activities (17.5) (17.9) (18.4) (18.8) (19.3) (19.8) (20.3) (20.8)
Cash Flow from Financing Activities
Debt Drawdowns - - - - 50.0 - - -
Debt Repayments - - - - (45.0) - - -
Equity Raisings - - - - - - - -
Equity Repayments - - - - - - - -
Dividends Paid During Period (14.9) (15.3) (15.7) (16.2) (16.5) (16.9) (17.4) (17.8)
Net Cash Flow from Financing Activities (14.9) (15.3) (15.7) (16.2) (11.5) (16.9) (17.4) (17.8)
Net Increase / (Decrease) in Cash Held 23.6 12.1 12.5 12.8 18.1 13.4 13.8 14.1
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Cash Flow StatementForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
x h O
Year Ending 31 December 2010 (F) 2011 (F) 2012 (F) 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F) 2016 (F) 2017 (F)
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Capital Providers - Cash Flow Reconciliation
Net Cash Flow from Operating Activities 56.0 45.4 46.6 47.8 48.9 50.1 51.5 52.8
Net Cash Flow from Investing Activities (17.5) (17.9) (18.4) (18.8) (19.3) (19.8) (20.3) (20.8)(Add Back) Interest Paid 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.6 3.6 3.6
Cash Flow Available To Capital Providers 41.7 30.7 31.5 32.2 33.0 33.9 34.7 35.6
Interest Paid (3.3) (3.3) (3.3) (3.3) (3.4) (3.6) (3.6) (3.6)
Debt Drawdowns - - - - 50.0 - - -
Debt Repayments - - - - (45.0) - - -
Cash Flow Available to Equity (CFAE) 38.5 27.5 28.2 29.0 34.6 30.3 31.2 32.0
Equity Raisings - - - - - - - -
Equity Repayments - - - - - - - -
Cash Flow Available for Dividends 38.5 27.5 28.2 29.0 34.6 30.3 31.2 32.0
Dividends Paid During Period (14.9) (15.3) (15.7) (16.2) (16.5) (16.9) (17.4) (17.8)Net Increase / (Decrease) in Cash Held 23.6 12.1 12.5 12.8 18.1 13.4 13.8 14.1
Total Error Checks Result - - - - - - - - -
Notes
1. All values are stated in $Millions unless stated otherwise.
Go to Income Statement
Go to Balance Sheet
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Dashboard OutputsSub-Section 3.3.Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
Sub-Section Cover Notes:
Contains a dashboard-style presentation output sheet.
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142297758.xlsx.ms_office
Dashboards_SSC
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Business Planning Summary
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Business Planning SummaryForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
Year Ending 31 December 2010 (F) 2011 (F) 2012 (F) 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F)
Revenue 125.0 128.1 131.3 134.6 138.0 141.4
Cost of Goods Sold (25.0) (25.6) (26.3) (26.9) (27.6) (28.3)
Gross Margin 100.0 102.5 105.1 107.7 110.4 113.1
Operating Expenditure (40.0) (41.0) (42.0) (43.1) (44.2) (45.3)
EBITDA 60.0 61.5 63.0 64.6 66.2 67.9
Depreciation & Amortization (14.1) (14.5) (14.8) (15.2) (15.6) (16.0)EBIT 45.9 47.0 48.2 49.4 50.6 51.9
Interest Expense (3.3) (3.3) (3.3) (3.3) (3.4) (3.6)
Net Profit Before Tax 42.6 43.8 44.9 46.2 47.2 48.3
Tax Expense / (Benefit) (12.8) (13.1) (13.5) (13.8) (14.2) (14.5)
Net Profit After Tax 29.8 30.6 31.5 32.3 33.1 33.8
EBITDA Margin 48.0% 48.0% 48.0% 48.0% 48.0% 48.0%
Year Ending 31 December 2010 (F) 2011 (F) 2012 (F) 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F)
Current Assets 51.8 65.3 79.0 93.1 112.4 127.1
Non-Current Assets 164.9 169.3 173.9 178.5 183.2 188.1
Total Assets 216.7 234.6 252.9 271.6 295.7 315.1
Current Liabilities 24.8 26.3 27.9 29.5 31.0 32.6
Non-Current Liabilities 56.0 57.0 58.0 59.0 65.0 66.0
Total Liabilities 80.8 83.3 85.9 88.5 96.0 98.6
Net Assets 135.9 151.2 167.0 183.1 199.7 216.6
Ordinary Equity 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0
Retained Profits 60.9 76.2 92.0 108.1 124.7 141.6
Total Equity 135.9 151.2 167.0 183.1 199.7 216.6
Year Ending 31 December 2010 (F) 2011 (F) 2012 (F) 2013 (F) 2014 (F) 2015 (F)
Cash Receipts 135.7 127.9 131.1 134.3 137.7 141.1
Cash Payments (73.0) (66.4) (68.1) (69.8) (71.5) (73.3)
x h O
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow Statement
Income Statement
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110
115
120
125130
135
140
145
150
155
2010(F)
2011(F)
2012(F)
2013(F)
2014(F)
2015(F)
Revenue
Revenue
Operating Expenditure - CommitteDiscretionary - 2010(F)
36
38
40
42
44
46
48
50
2010(F)
2011(F)
2012(F)
2013(F)
2014(F)
2015(F)
Operating Expenditure
Operating Expenditure
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AppendicesSection 4.Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
Section Cover Notes
Contains checks and lookup tables.
Go to Table of Contents
142297758.xlsx.ms_office
Appendices_SC
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ChecksSub-Section 4.1.Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
Sub-Section Cover Notes
Contains error, sensitivity and alert checks.
Go to Table of Contents
142297758.xlsx.ms_office
Checks_SSC
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ChecksForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
x h O
Error Checks
##
Errors Detected - Summary
Total Errors: -
Error Message (Empty if None):
Error Checks
Error Checks Check Include? Flag
Working Capital - Assumptions - Yes -
Accounts Receivable Balances ($Millions) - Yes -
Accounts Payable Balances ($Millions) - Yes -
Assets Balances ($Millions) - Yes -
Intangibles Balances ($Millions) - Yes -
Ordinary Equity - Outputs - Yes -
Income Statement - Yes -
Balance Sheet - Yes -
Cash Flow Statement - Yes -
Total Errors: -
Go to Table of Contents
Include summary in model name?
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ChecksForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
x h OGo to Table of Contents
Sensitivity Checks
##
Sensitivities Detected - Summary
Total Sensitivities: -Sensitivity Message (Empty if None):
Sensitivity Checks
Sensitivity Checks Check Include? Flag
Total Sensitivities: -
Include summary in model name?
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ChecksForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
x h OGo to Table of Contents
Alert Checks
##
Alerts Detected - Summary
Total Alerts: -Alert Message (Empty if None):
Alert Checks
Alert Checks Check Include? Flag
Ordinary Equity - Outputs - Yes -
Balance Sheet - Yes -
Total Alerts: -
Include summary in model name?
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Lookup TablesSub-Section 4.2.Forecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
Sub-Section Cover Notes
Contains model lookup tables.
Go to Table of Contents
142297758.xlsx.ms_office
LU_SSC
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Time Series Lookup TablesForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
Time Series Lookup Tables
Month Days Names
Month Days LU_Mth_Days
1
2
3
4
56
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
1718
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
2829
30
31
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142297758.xlsx.ms_office
TS_LU
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Time Series Lookup TablesForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
Time Series Lookup Tables
Go to Table of Contents
Month Names Names
Month Names LU_Mth_Names
January
February
March
AprilMay
June
July
August
September
October
November
December
Denomination Names
Denomination LU_Denom
$Billions Billions
$Millions Millions
$'000 Thousands
$ Currency
Data Term Basis Names
Data Term Basis LU_Data_Term_Basis
Active Data Periods
Projections Start
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Time Series Lookup TablesForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
Time Series Lookup Tables
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Periodicity Names
Periodicity LU_Periodicity
Annual Annual
Semi-Annual Semi_Annual
Quarterly Qtrly
Monthly Mthly
Period Type Names Names
Period Type Names LU_Period_Type_Names
Year Yr_Name
Half Year Half_Yr_Name
Quarter Qtr_Name
Month Mth_Name
Periods In Year Names
Periods In Year LU_Pers_In_Yr
1 Yrs_In_Yr
2 Halves_In_Yr
4 Qtrs_In_Yr
12 Mths_In_Yr
Conversion Factors Names
Conversion Factors
10 Ten100 Hundred
1,000 Thousand
1,000,000 Million
1,000,000,000 Billion
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Capital - Lookup TablesForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
Capital - Lookup Tables
Dividend Method Lookup Names:
Dividend Method LU_Eq_Ord_Div_Meth
% of NPAT
Assume Dividend Amounts
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Dashboards - Lookup TablesForecast Business Planning Model 6.0 (Basic)
Dashboard Lookup Tables
Selected Period Lookup Names
Selected Period LU_Dashboard_Selected_Period
2010 (F)
2011 (F)
2012 (F)
2013 (F)
2014 (F)
2015 (F)
2016 (F)
2017 (F)
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