United States Department of Agriculture Foreign ... · Barley is forecast up 1.0 million tons to 6.0 million reflecting near-record production and expectations for robust global demand

United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service

Grain: World Markets and Trade

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May 2019

Global Grain Supply and Use to Expand

For 2019/20, global corn production is projected up with larger area in many countries. For key exporters, crops for Argentina and Brazil are projected at record levels, while Ukraine and the United States reach near-record crops. Global consumption continues to outpace production driven by higher feed use, particularly for growth in poultry production. Corn for non-feed use also expands, primarily driven by growth in China. With larger consumption, global trade is expected to expand. Global ending stocks are projected down at the world level as a decline in China more than offsets stock-building outside of China. For 2019/20, global wheat production is forecast up with larger crops in most major exporting countries. Production for Argentina, Australia, Canada, the European Union, Russia, and Ukraine are all forecast higher than the previous year. Food consumption continues to rise due to changing diets and growing incomes, especially in developing regions of Asia and Africa. Feed and residual use is expected to be higher this year on lower prices from large global wheat supplies. With consumption and production up, trade is also forecast higher. Global ending stocks are forecast to grow as well, with China continuing to account for about half of the total. For 2019/20, global rice production is forecast down with smaller crops in top-producing countries China and India. In contrast, global consumption is forecast to rise, particularly in Sub-Saharan Africa where affordable Asian rice is growing as a staple for a rising population. Global trade is forecast at a near-record level, with India continuing to dominate exports. Notably, while China is the top importer, it has also grown in prominence as a significant exporter. Global stocks are up, with China accounting for 68 percent of the total. The increase in stocks, both globally and in China, is the smallest in a decade.

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Global Corn Consumption Strong

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Rising Rice Consumption Despite Reduced Production Forecast


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Record Global Wheat Production Outpaces Consumption




COARSE GRAINS

2019/20 OVERVIEW Global coarse grain production is projected to rise, driven by corn, barley, oats, and rye. Global corn production is projected to expand, with record crops for Argentina, Canada, Brazil, Egypt, India, and Indonesia; and near-record crops for the European Union and Ukraine. For the United States, projected larger planted area in the March Prospective Plantings report and a trend yield are expected to result in a near-record crop. For other countries, area expands on expectations of favorable market prospects relative to other crop options. Global trade expands as importing countries seek competitively priced feedstuffs to satisfy rising needs. Consumption grows, outpacing production for the third year in a row, supported by feed demand for poultry sectors throughout the world. Moreover, stronger demand in China for processing boosts food, seed, and industrial usage at the global level. As a result, global ending stocks are projected to decline modestly. Global barley production is projected to rise to its largest level since 2008/09 driven by Canada, the European Union, Russia, and Ukraine. The Canadian crop reaches its largest level in 6 years (since 2013/14) with expanded area, while production for the others returns to more historical levels. Global trade expands moderately, supported by stronger import demand primarily for Morocco and Saudi Arabia. The lack of rainfall in Morocco earlier in 2019 has impacted both barley and forage production. Saudi Arabia’s concern over water availability favors wheat production over forage crops. Tighter supplies of forage in both countries are expected to boost barley imports. With only moderate growth in global consumption for food, seed, industrial, and feed use, ending stocks are projected to rebound after 2 years of decline.

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Corn Leads Coarse Grains Production Expansion

2018/19 2019/20

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Coarse Grain Feed Use Grows Across Regions, Except China

2018/19 2019/20

Asia: all countries in East, Southeast, and South Asia excluding China

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 22 May 2019Office of Global Analysis

Selected Importers • China corn is projected up 2.0 million tons to 7.0 million on expectations of stronger

demand for competitively priced feedstuffs. Domestic corn prices in southern China have strengthened in recent months, while prices in the world market have declined on supply pressure. Barley imports rise 500,000 tons to 7.0 million on greater use for food, industrial, and feed purposes. Sorghum is projected at 700,000 tons, the same level as 2018/19, under the assumptions that the underlying commercial risks and retaliatory duty (25 percent) on U.S. sorghum limit trade prospects.

• Egypt corn is projected up 300,000 tons to 10.0 million with stronger feed demand for poultry, dairy, and aquaculture. Moreover, new feed mills have come onto operation in 2018/19 producing corn-based poultry and dairy feed.

• European Union corn is expected down 3.5 million tons to 20.0 million, reflecting abundant domestic supplies of corn, barley, and wheat for feed. Feed demand in the European Union is expected to be strong, supported by Chinese demand for pork imports. FSI corn use will see modest gains in biofuels, starch, and other industrial products.

• Indonesia corn is halved to 400,000 tons on expectations of a record crop. Feed use continues to grow steadily, and larger planted area and improvements in yield will push the country closer to realizing its goal of corn self-sufficiency.

• Iran corn is expected to rise 1.0 million tons to 10.5 million on growing feed demand. The country has been a key market for Brazil, Russia, and Ukraine.

• Japan corn is expected to rise 100,000 tons to 15.6 million on very modest growth in FSI use, mainly driven by the beverage sector. Feed demand is expected to remain flat.

• Kenya corn is projected up 1.1 million tons to 1.3 million to offset a substantially smaller crop. The import ban on biotech corn and preference for white corn limits potential purchases from neighboring countries and Mexico.

Global sorghum production is projected down as a sharp decline in the United States more than offsets larger crops for Australia, China, India, and Mexico. The decline in the U.S. crop is driven by a smaller area, the lowest since 2011/12. Global trade is expected to fall moderately, reflecting weak demand in China and availabilities of other competing feed grains, namely corn and barley (and feed-quality wheat). Global ending stocks fall to the lowest level since 2006/07. World oats production is also projected higher, with gains in Australia, Canada, the European Union, and Russia. Canada’s production rises due to a decline in canola area and relatively favorable prices. Global consumption is forecast up led by the European Union. Global trade is projected larger with higher imports for China and the United States. Global ending stocks are forecast to rebound after hitting a historical low in 2018/19.


• Mexico corn is projected up 1.0 million tons to a record 18.5 million on growing feed demand for the poultry, swine, and cattle sectors. The country predominantly produces white corn, which is mainly used for food and exports, while importing yellow corn for feed use.

• Morocco barley is up 900,000 tons to 1.2 million reflecting a smaller crop impacted by the lack of rain during the growing season early in 2019. The harvest season for barley is May-July.

• Saudi Arabia barley is forecast up 900,000 tons to 8.5 million, while corn is expected to rise 500,000 tons to 5.5 million. With concerns over water availability, the country favors food crop (i.e. wheat) production over forage crops. Imported barley and corn substitute for limited supplies of forage in feed rations.

• South Korea corn is projected up 300,000 tons to a 10.5 million on modest growth in feed demand for the poultry and swine sectors.

• Turkey corn is expected to rise 500,000 tons to 2.7 million on growing feed demand. The feed sector has steadily expanded over the past 10 years and is expected to continue growing, driven by demand for ruminant and poultry feed. Barley is forecast down 200,000 tons to 100,000 with a projected record crop.

• Vietnam corn is up 500,000 tons at 10.5 million under expectations of growth in poultry and aquaculture feed use, more than offsetting uncertain prospects in the swine sector.

Selected Exporters • U.S. corn is projected unchanged at 58.0 million on expectations of strong competition from

Argentina, Brazil, and Ukraine, where exportable supplies are abundant. Sorghum is forecast down 100,000 tons to 2.5 million reflecting the current trade tensions with China and plentiful supplies of corn, the major competing feed grain.

• Argentina corn is projected to surge 4.0 million tons to a record 32.0 million on a record crop. Large exportable supplies and competitive prices bode well to meet rising demand for feed in the Middle East, North Africa, and Southeast Asia. Barley is projected down 400,000 tons to 2.7 million on smaller exportable supplies.

• Australia barley is forecast up 500,000 tons to 5.0 million on a larger crop and expected demand from Asia. Oats are forecast up 250,000 tons to 500,000 for the same reasons.

• Brazil corn rises 2.0 million tons to 34.0 million on projected record production and growing feed demand in developing countries. Even with record production, imports are expected at 1.0 million tons, the same level as a year earlier, particularly to southern states where swine and poultry production is concentrated but feed grain supplies are somewhat limited.


• Canada corn is forecast down 500,000 tons to 1.5 million, reflecting strong competition from major exporters, while imports are down sharply by 1.2 million tons to 1.0 million on record production. Barley is forecast down 200,000 tons to 2.0 million on stronger competition from other exporters, namely Australia, the European Union, and Russia. Oats are projected up 200,000 tons to 1.8 million supported by greater demand and relatively higher prices in the United States. About 90 percent of oats exports are typically destined to the United States.

• European Union corn is projected down 200,000 tons to 2.0 million. Barley is forecast up 1.0 million tons to 6.0 million reflecting near-record production and expectations for robust global demand in markets such as Saudi Arabia.

• Russia corn is forecast up 1.5 million tons to 4.5 million with expected robust demand from the Middle East, North Africa, and East Asia. Barley is forecast up 500,000 tons to 5.3 million with a larger expected crop. In addition, exports are supported by robust demand in the Middle East and East Asia and logistical advantages to supply the region.

• Ukraine corn is forecast down 2.5 million tons to 27.0 million on reduced exportable supplies. Ukraine is expected to be a key supplier to the European Union due to geographic proximity. Barley is projected up 300,000 tons to 4.5 million on larger crop prospects and higher demand in Saudi Arabia and other Middle Eastern markets.


CORN PRICES

Global: South American bids remained lower than last month, reflecting abundant exportable supplies. Argentine bids were down $1/ton to $158, while Brazilian bids were down $4/ton to $161 on favorable prospects for second-crop corn. Black Sea bids fell $4/ton to $170, pressured by ample global supplies despite steady demand from the European Union. U.S. bids fell $5/ton to $165 on abundant supplies from South America, although concerns over planting delays persist.

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International Daily FOB Export Bids

Argentina - Corn Brazil - Corn US - Corn Black Sea - Corn

Source: IGC

OVERVIEW FOR 2018/19 Global corn production is up this month driven by larger crops primarily for Argentina, Brazil, Ethiopia, and Mali. Global trade is up with larger imports by Canada, the European Union, Mexico, and Peru more than offsetting a reduction for Vietnam. Exports are larger for Argentina and Brazil, reflecting abundant exportable supplies and competitive prices. The U.S. season-average farm price is down $0.05 cents to $3.50 per bushel.


TRADE CHANGES IN 2018/19 (1,000 MT) Country Commodity Attribute Previous Current Change Reason

Argentina Corn Exports 28,000 29,000 1,000 Larger crop and competitive prices

Brazil Corn Exports 31,000 32,000 1,000 Larger exportable supplies Canada Corn Imports 1,700 2,200 500 Trade pace to date

China Barley Imports 7,500 6,500 -1,000 Reflects slowing purchases mainly from Australia

European Union

Corn

Exports 2,000 2,200 200 Trade to date

Imports 22,500 23,500 1,000 Higher trade to date based on Customs surveillance data

Barley Exports 5,300 5,000 -300 Lower supplies and consistent domestic use

Jordan Barley Imports 600 900 300 Trade to date Kenya Corn Imports 700 200 -500 Trade to date

Mexico Corn Imports 16,700 17,500 800 Stronger year-to-date sales from the United States

Exports 1,000 800 -200 Slow pace mainly to Venezuela Moldova Corn Exports 700 500 -200 Trade pace to date

Peru Corn Imports 3,400 3,600 200 Larger sales from the United States

United States Corn Imports 1,100 850 -250 Trade to date Sorghum Exports 2,600 2,300 -300 Trade to date

Venezuela Corn Imports 1,200 1000 -200 Slowing pace from Mexico

Vietnam Corn Imports 11,000 10,000 -1,000 Trade pace to date, per Vietnam Customs data


ENDNOTES REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies, Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, U.S. Virgin Islands South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia, Taiwan South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea


OTHER NOTES Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period at the onset of the main harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2016/17 starts in 2016); except for summer grains in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second year begins the LMY (2016/17 starts in 2017). Key exporter LMY’s are:

Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May) Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun) Russia (Jul/Jun) Turkey (Jun/May) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) United States (Jun/May)

For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website (https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/): go to Reports, Reference Data, and then Data Availability. Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year. EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent the European Union (Croatia plus the former EU-27) and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through 1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10, plus Bulgaria, Romania, and Croatia, exists only prior to 1999/00. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains. Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database.


https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/

The Global Commodity Analysis Division, Office of Global Analysis, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington, DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-3448. Note: For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production May 2019. This circular is available in its entirety on the Internet via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov

Andrew Sowell (202) 720-0262 [email protected] Wheat Shelbi Knisley (202) 690-2361 [email protected] Wheat Rachel Trego (202) 720-1073 [email protected] Rice/Wheat Nicole Podesta (202) 720-8252 [email protected] Rice Yoonhee Macke (202) 690-4199 [email protected] Coarse Grains Kevin Min (202) 720-0626 [email protected] Coarse Grains Daniel Alvarado (202) 690-4476 [email protected] Coarse Grains


https://www.fas.usda.gov/data/world-agricultural-production

http://www.fas.usda.gov/

mailto:[email protected]







DATA TABLES

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All Grain Summary Comparison

Million Metric Tons

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2019/202018/192017/182019/202018/192017/182019/202018/192017/18

Production

United States (Jun-May) 47.4 51.3 51.6 5.7 7.1 6.9 371.1 366.3 381.8

Other 714.8 680.3 725.9 489.3 492.8 491.5 706.8 752.7 752.0

World Total 762.2 731.6 777.5 495.0 499.9 498.4 1,077.9 1,119.0 1,133.8

Domestic Consumption


Other 711.7 705.9 723.9 478.0 485.2 489.1 777.3 816.1 825.5

World Total 741.1 735.1 754.5 482.3 489.5 493.5 1,091.3 1,126.0 1,140.5

Ending Stocks


Other 251.4 244.3 262.0 161.2 168.2 170.3 284.9 272.7 251.6

World Total 281.3 275.0 293.0 162.1 169.9 172.2 339.3 325.9 314.7

TY Imports


Other 174.8 171.3 175.8 44.7 43.4 44.1 148.5 162.7 166.1

World Total 179.2 175.1 179.6 45.6 44.3 45.0 149.3 163.6 167.0

TY Exports


Other 159.9 151.7 160.1 44.7 43.8 44.7 88.5 110.0 113.3

World Total 183.0 178.0 183.6 47.5 46.9 48.0 152.1 168.0 171.3

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and

exports and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.Marketing years for U.S. grains are:

Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat

only.


World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20

May

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TY Exports

34,80532,20527,09626,10525,29121,003 Argentina

6,1755,4257,16210,2586,3897,286 Australia

34,01032,04525,14719,79735,41521,954 Brazil

5,4605,9305,7535,0424,6933,604 Canada

8,3557,5557,8288,19210,97915,068 European Union

1,9702,0601,459859851508 Kazakhstan

2,0152,2151,4811,7672,6633,031 Paraguay

10,0908,19011,3799,2588,4659,155 Russia

2,0702,7858762,4471,5933,001 Serbia

31,68533,92521,40026,86821,45624,208 Ukraine

8,9957,99010,2449,3437,9448,636 Others

145,630140,325119,825119,936125,739117,454 Subtotal

60,60560,43568,73461,78859,23056,419 United States

206,235200,760188,559181,724184,969173,873 World Total

none

TY Imports

4,6204,6754,4924,5335,2244,863 Algeria

1,8001,6001,1451,1811,036485 Bangladesh

1,6501,6501,5273,1772,1231,023 Brazil

2,6202,4301,9761,5801,7211,707 Chile

15,05012,35016,42516,05517,49925,699 China

6,0055,7555,3945,0134,8244,747 Colombia

1,5001,5001,3291,2941,3511,202 Dominican Republic

10,0209,7309,5418,7958,7957,938 Egypt

21,00525,00519,32315,63314,4909,408 European Union

1,4001,3001,0919511,027881 Guatemala

13,50012,50011,60010,0008,3008,000 Iran

2,3402,0052,1451,9401,5091,601 Israel

17,37017,27017,58017,00017,07316,726 Japan

1,7501,7001,4281,5881,7131,448 Jordan

1,4503501,0411,146258717 Kenya

10,65510,37510,1929,30810,21310,274 Korea, South

4,1004,0003,6453,5314,1223,243 Malaysia

19,01018,11016,39615,28314,82711,640 Mexico

4,2023,1022,6482,6323,1822,217 Morocco

3,7603,7373,4583,4383,0832,863 Peru

14,01012,61011,69211,82513,99211,115 Saudi Arabia

4,2004,2004,5134,2674,7813,938 Taiwan

1,6001,7501,6351,7451,7131,525 Tunisia

2,8052,5053,3181,7127132,719 Turkey

10,65010,1259,5778,6618,1796,852 Vietnam

20,54022,72719,64322,28324,25223,397 Others

197,612193,061182,754174,571176,000166,228 Subtotal

5,6234,9582,8793,7394,9884,350 Unaccounted

3,0002,7412,9263,4143,9813,295 United States

206,235200,760188,559181,724184,969173,873 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.


World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20

May

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Production

56,55956,92439,32048,56938,43936,782 Argentina

12,74610,89411,90717,26712,55012,614 Australia

104,457103,43585,058101,57568,64987,671 Brazil

29,76026,24026,24326,62325,76922,107 Canada

262,475265,405266,821271,163271,932256,523 China

16,30016,50015,92615,64115,73114,442 Ethiopia

157,825147,146152,308152,829152,665170,670 European Union

46,65042,72046,97043,47038,70143,076 India

13,30012,60011,90010,90010,5009,000 Indonesia

33,10032,49933,19133,26232,37832,689 Mexico

19,90019,91919,43919,52419,05218,341 Nigeria

38,40034,99841,71540,76537,42740,386 Russia

14,54811,63113,55218,1178,65811,079 South Africa

14,55113,65112,27110,77614,1819,311 Turkey

43,10044,50334,07139,21733,38739,389 Ukraine

167,783173,545162,874168,482154,927164,855 Others

1,031,4541,012,610973,5661,018,180934,946968,935 Subtotal

394,222379,920384,387402,607367,007377,279 United States

1,425,6761,392,5301,357,9531,420,7871,301,9531,346,214 World Total

none

Domestic Consumption

19,93918,45817,46316,04414,22114,232 Argentina

73,55270,54368,18164,03259,82360,009 Brazil

24,36023,59523,23021,97120,90921,299 Canada

295,450290,650284,150276,098250,370232,709 China

17,83817,13816,77916,02715,80314,832 Egypt

16,57516,37516,15315,64215,71513,680 Ethiopia

168,320167,970162,570160,840157,150162,655 European Union

46,61544,46544,86942,37540,20140,474 India

17,72016,72015,82014,52014,02012,020 Iran

17,61117,51417,74617,25217,25816,876 Japan

51,99050,25548,41046,84544,71542,175 Mexico

20,20020,16919,55019,80318,99018,132 Nigeria

27,95027,26731,01532,07529,71531,139 Russia

16,96116,16115,23112,89114,02112,951 Turkey

14,55014,12513,67713,05012,2799,452 Vietnam

271,018268,492258,428259,830249,647251,053 Others

1,106,3871,086,4301,051,8601,055,340957,263969,774 Subtotal

327,383322,756324,277327,518312,597311,384 United States

1,433,7701,409,1861,376,1371,382,8581,269,8601,281,158 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

8,5447,2243,5586,6983,2684,274 Argentina

8,64710,1527,70514,4927,0108,235 Brazil

4,4943,5224,5675,5624,9713,513 Canada

192,437210,422223,377224,343213,334174,300 China

15,11712,96216,33615,11415,65118,822 European Union

2,7381,9382,1381,5152,1203,451 Iran

4,3555,7356,1815,9995,8354,832 Mexico

40,56242,58146,58550,65948,32052,153 Others

276,894294,536310,447324,382300,509269,580 Subtotal

66,72257,17457,91962,16848,11246,948 United States

343,616351,710368,366386,550348,621316,528 World Total


Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

May

2019/20

TY Imports none

16,658 North America 19,914 19,475 21,159 23,111 23,042

3,456 Central America 3,938 3,799 4,001 4,450 4,550

2,444 Caribbean 2,597 2,659 2,446 2,940 2,940

13,355 South America 13,855 15,059 14,581 15,227 15,870

9,408 European Union - 28 14,490 15,633 19,323 25,005 21,005

743 Former Soviet Union - 12 546 827 683 837 1,028

27,608 Middle East 29,734 30,541 33,567 34,701 37,666

18,228 North Africa 20,819 19,468 19,246 20,857 21,642

4,083 Sub-Saharan Africa 6,057 6,667 3,512 3,806 4,836

56,684 East Asia 49,600 46,723 48,757 44,245 47,325

14,886 Southeast Asia 15,395 14,169 15,529 16,665 16,690

1,970 Others 3,036 2,965 2,876 3,958 4,018

169,523 Total 179,981 177,985 185,680 195,802 200,612

Production none

432,075 North America 425,154 462,492 443,821 438,659 457,082

139,743 South America 122,016 163,989 138,658 174,928 175,504

170,670 European Union - 28 152,665 152,829 152,308 147,146 157,825

10,960 Other Europe 9,294 11,535 7,245 10,207 10,084

92,077 Former Soviet Union - 12 82,805 92,908 88,922 93,997 95,238

17,036 Middle East 21,738 19,047 19,400 19,987 23,564

10,989 North Africa 10,514 11,940 9,617 12,813 12,134


259,203 East Asia 274,664 273,803 269,483 268,117 265,192

54,649 South Asia 50,627 56,499 60,085 56,408 60,572

30,949 Southeast Asia 31,988 34,006 34,636 35,453 36,973

13,292 Oceania 13,242 17,884 12,416 11,484 13,369

4,723 Others 4,265 5,089 4,997 4,754 4,724

1,346,214 Total 1,301,953 1,420,787 1,357,953 1,392,530 1,425,676

Domestic Consumption none

374,858 North America 378,221 396,334 395,917 396,606 403,733

98,735 South America 98,450 103,717 111,174 114,836 119,974

162,655 European Union - 28 157,150 160,840 162,570 167,970 168,320

8,380 Other Europe 8,576 9,055 7,908 8,159 8,488


45,556 Middle East 51,831 51,015 53,349 55,357 59,356

30,180 North Africa 31,431 31,840 30,765 32,723 33,495


266,489 East Asia 284,746 309,552 318,935 325,617 330,794

52,617 South Asia 53,841 56,559 60,535 60,511 63,164

41,253 Southeast Asia 44,038 45,979 47,407 48,645 50,070

5,855 Oceania 6,435 6,760 6,482 6,364 7,396

10,345 Others 10,704 11,377 11,482 12,276 12,486

1,265,072 Total 1,287,434 1,356,813 1,377,549 1,402,653 1,428,032

Ending Stocks none

55,293 North America 58,918 73,729 68,667 66,431 75,571

15,905 South America 13,605 24,662 15,011 20,858 20,678

18,822 European Union - 28 15,651 15,114 16,336 12,962 15,117

1,102 Other Europe 963 1,725 880 1,063 1,374


8,999 Middle East 9,156 6,232 6,712 5,798 7,392

5,462 North Africa 4,839 4,549 3,214 4,201 4,532


178,202 East Asia 217,696 228,521 227,794 214,479 196,142

5,328 South Asia 3,100 4,188 4,923 3,021 2,810

4,221 Southeast Asia 5,157 3,990 2,959 3,447 4,005

1,665 Oceania 1,619 2,751 2,010 2,037 2,067

1,156 Others 1,240 1,410 1,314 1,167 880

316,528 Total 348,621 386,550 368,366 351,710 343,616

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are

reported using local marketing years.


World Corn Trade


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20

May

none

TY Exports

32,00029,00024,20022,95121,67918,448 Argentina

34,00032,00025,14219,79435,38221,909 Brazil

1,5002,0001,9731,5441,767395 Canada

2,0002,2001,7492,1891,9534,027 European Union

1,5008009581,5391,559784 Mexico

2,0002,2001,4761,7572,6623,012 Paraguay

4,5003,0005,5325,5894,6913,213 Russia

2,0002,7008192,4141,5602,964 Serbia

1,5001,6002,3611,816759746 South Africa

27,00029,50018,03621,33416,59519,661 Ukraine

5,3254,9996,2385,2735,2256,400 Others

113,325109,99988,48486,20093,83281,559 Subtotal

58,00058,00063,63655,59351,09846,831 United States

171,325167,999152,120141,793144,930128,390 World Total

none

TY Imports

4,5004,4004,0463,9894,3294,116 Algeria

1,8001,6001,1451,1811,036485 Bangladesh

1,0001,0009432,4391,566534 Brazil

1,0002,2001,7676869581,536 Canada

2,5002,3001,8931,4841,5391,516 Chile

7,0005,0003,4562,4643,1745,516 China

5,7005,5005,2014,7544,4584,496 Colombia

1,5001,5001,3291,2941,3511,202 Dominican Republic

10,0009,7009,4648,7738,7227,839 Egypt

20,00023,50018,46514,97314,0088,908 European Union

1,4001,3001,0919511,027881 Guatemala

10,5009,5008,9007,8006,6006,100 Iran

2,0001,7001,8611,5391,1561,294 Israel

15,60015,50015,66815,16915,20414,657 Japan

1,3002009001,000200600 Kenya

10,50010,20010,0189,22010,12110,168 Korea, South

4,1004,0003,6453,5314,1223,243 Malaysia

18,50017,50016,12914,61413,95711,341 Mexico

3,0002,8002,2832,2212,2241,941 Morocco

3,6003,6003,4023,2692,9852,741 Peru

5,5005,0003,9833,4213,5832,904 Saudi Arabia

4,1004,1004,4104,1634,6563,810 Taiwan

1,1001,1009611,2441,0171,042 Tunisia

2,7002,2002,7151,4215672,377 Turkey

10,50010,0009,4008,5008,1006,800 Vietnam

16,76817,31215,39217,91619,75118,942 Others

166,168162,712148,467138,016136,411124,989 Subtotal

4,3074,4372,8072,3266,7372,592 Unaccounted

8508508461,4511,782809 United States

171,325167,999152,120141,793144,930128,390 World Total



World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20

May

none

Production

49,00049,00032,00041,00029,50029,750 Argentina

101,000100,00082,00098,50067,00085,000 Brazil

15,40013,90014,09513,88913,68011,606 Canada

254,000257,330259,071263,613264,992249,764 China

7,2006,8006,4006,0006,0005,960 Egypt

8,0008,3008,0007,8477,8827,235 Ethiopia

64,20063,40162,03061,88458,74875,734 European Union

29,00027,80028,72025,90022,57024,170 India

13,30012,60011,90010,90010,5009,000 Indonesia

27,00026,70027,56927,57525,97125,480 Mexico

11,00011,00011,00010,41510,56210,059 Nigeria

8,1007,7007,9808,0876,9667,671 Philippines

13,00011,41513,20115,30513,16811,325 Russia

14,00011,00013,10417,5518,21410,629 South Africa

33,00035,80524,11527,96923,33328,450 Ukraine

104,802109,959105,666103,99699,614103,962 Others

752,002752,710706,851740,431668,700695,795 Subtotal

381,780366,287371,096384,778345,506361,136 United States

1,133,7821,118,9971,077,9471,125,2091,014,2061,056,931 World Total

none

Total Consumption

15,00013,80012,40011,2009,3009,300 Argentina

69,50066,50064,50060,50057,50057,000 Brazil

14,70014,50014,01512,94912,02912,823 Canada

279,000275,000263,000255,000229,000206,000 China

16,90016,20015,90015,10014,85013,900 Egypt

81,50087,00076,50074,00073,50077,880 European Union

29,00029,00026,70024,90023,55022,350 India

13,40012,90012,40012,30012,10012,200 Indonesia

11,40010,6009,8009,3008,8007,400 Iran

15,60015,50015,60015,20015,20014,600 Japan

10,60010,30010,0009,43510,12310,250 Korea, South

45,50043,90042,50040,40037,30034,550 Mexico

11,40011,30011,10010,90010,6009,900 Nigeria

12,30012,30012,10012,66310,97011,650 South Africa

14,40014,00013,50012,90012,2009,400 Vietnam

185,291183,305177,266170,406165,341163,721 Others

830,037822,441776,157771,645682,951690,149 Subtotal

314,975309,893313,970313,828298,844301,837 United States

1,145,0121,132,3341,090,1271,085,473981,795991,986 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

7,5886,0832,3785,2731,4482,898 Argentina

8,3139,8137,31314,0196,7697,842 Brazil

2,2172,0172,4172,5742,4501,518 Canada

191,815209,835222,525223,017212,017172,855 China

2,4212,1311,8411,8872,2242,358 Egypt

8,2447,5449,8437,5976,9299,626 European Union

3,6495,1495,6495,4095,1594,090 Mexico

27,33230,14332,94633,43030,60434,151 Others

251,579272,715284,912293,206267,600235,338 Subtotal

63,13353,22754,36758,25344,12343,974 United States

314,712325,942339,279351,459311,723279,312 World Total


Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

May

2019/20

TY Imports none

13,686 North America 16,697 16,751 18,742 20,550 20,350

3,456 Central America 3,938 3,799 4,001 4,450 4,550

12,042 South America 12,462 13,719 13,564 13,965 14,545

8,908 European Union - 28 14,008 14,973 18,465 23,500 20,000

498 Former Soviet Union - 12 356 367 440 447 478

15,157 Middle East 14,890 16,944 20,423 21,400 23,700

15,622 North Africa 16,873 16,906 17,246 18,700 19,200


34,198 East Asia 33,189 31,109 33,599 34,850 37,250

14,802 Southeast Asia 15,281 13,968 15,183 16,505 16,505

2,444 Caribbean 2,597 2,657 2,446 2,940 2,940

1,662 Others 2,494 2,372 2,498 3,412 3,607

125,798 Total 138,193 139,467 149,313 163,562 167,018

Production none

398,222 North America 385,157 426,242 412,760 406,887 424,180

127,570 South America 108,837 150,633 125,846 160,893 161,690

75,734 European Union - 28 58,748 61,884 62,030 63,401 64,200

9,162 Other Europe 7,447 9,452 5,376 8,595 8,070


6,904 Middle East 7,789 7,283 7,028 7,487 7,563

6,058 North Africa 6,096 6,130 6,523 6,951 7,321


252,113 East Asia 267,431 265,949 261,417 259,739 256,407

34,398 South Asia 33,221 37,764 40,845 40,571 41,821

3,644 Central America 3,336 3,911 3,878 3,598 3,598

30,655 Southeast Asia 31,693 33,716 34,346 35,163 36,683

1,360 Others 1,148 1,398 1,306 1,305 1,403

1,056,931 Total 1,014,206 1,125,209 1,077,947 1,118,997 1,133,782


349,210 North America 348,173 367,177 370,485 368,293 375,175

87,601 South America 87,971 92,273 99,398 103,130 107,680

77,880 European Union - 28 73,500 74,000 76,500 87,000 81,500

6,327 Other Europe 6,542 6,952 5,869 6,250 6,365


21,738 Middle East 23,522 24,513 27,036 28,845 30,850

22,100 North Africa 22,990 23,290 24,400 25,200 26,150


237,127 East Asia 260,967 286,087 295,227 307,550 311,950

33,123 South Asia 35,630 37,885 41,245 44,065 44,385

40,849 Southeast Asia 43,634 45,497 46,777 48,200 49,600

6,855 Central America 7,180 7,540 7,830 8,180 8,340

3,894 Others 3,769 3,989 3,911 4,395 4,530

974,761 Total 1,001,207 1,060,981 1,091,251 1,125,998 1,140,466

Ending Stocks none

49,582 North America 51,732 66,236 62,433 60,393 68,999

13,743 South America 11,209 22,447 13,204 19,042 19,057

9,626 European Union - 28 6,929 7,597 9,843 7,544 8,244

896 Other Europe 849 1,475 686 906 1,186


3,727 Middle East 2,729 2,325 2,681 2,628 2,951

3,259 North Africa 2,988 2,555 2,457 2,898 3,259


176,305 East Asia 215,956 226,814 226,614 213,633 195,320

3,940 South Asia 2,388 3,149 3,756 2,362 2,103

4,215 Southeast Asia 5,151 3,979 2,948 3,436 3,994

796 Central America 889 1,056 1,054 907 700

455 Others 437 452 360 342 287

279,312 Total 311,723 351,459 339,279 325,942 314,712




World Barley Trade


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20

May

none

TY Exports

2,7003,1002,6002,6962,8361,599 Argentina

5,0004,5006,0889,1925,4015,266 Australia

2,0002,2001,8681,8091,1471,386 Canada

6,0005,0005,8575,6838,64410,642 European Union

1,9002,0001,411821776475 Kazakhstan

7070861435981 Moldova

5,3004,8005,6613,6263,7355,807 Russia

200100111404 Turkey

4,5004,2003,1885,3374,6734,332 Ukraine

10010051114243 Uruguay

120135685185166 Others

27,89026,20526,84329,48327,39829,801 Subtotal

70100102125161291 United States

27,96026,30526,94529,60827,55930,092 World Total

none

TY Imports

100250439533864723 Algeria

3001205411371 Belarus

650650584737551489 Brazil

7,0006,5008,1448,1045,8699,859 China

250200136258301249 Colombia

400400231447315269 European Union

10010089325672 India

3,0003,0002,7002,2001,7001,900 Iran

300250234376319278 Israel

1,1001,1001,2531,1971,1541,097 Japan

900900788759902759 Jordan

400450521569511412 Kuwait

200150199262132105 Lebanon

6009004381,0841,3241,001 Libya

1,200300363407958276 Morocco

1501275616998122 Peru

8,5007,6007,7008,40010,4008,200 Saudi Arabia

500650674501696483 Tunisia

500500263501668393 United Arab Emirates

1501251771617952 Vietnam

8111,2461,4841,4161,1651,802 Others

27,11125,51826,52728,51928,08028,472 Subtotal

649667248872-8731,190 Unaccounted

200120170217352430 United States

27,96026,30526,94529,60827,55930,092 World Total



World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20

May

none

Production

2,0501,9509681,0001,3001,300 Algeria

4,0004,5003,7403,3004,9402,900 Argentina

9,2008,3008,90013,5068,9938,646 Australia

1,4001,7001,4201,2531,8491,988 Belarus

9,8008,4007,8918,8398,2577,117 Canada

1,9501,8501,8001,7521,8701,810 China

2,3002,2002,0322,0252,0471,953 Ethiopia

62,00055,96858,80559,86662,09560,609 European Union

1,9501,7701,7501,4401,6131,831 India

3,6002,8003,1003,7243,2003,200 Iran

1,6007809751,5501,5501,000 Iraq

4,0003,9713,3053,2312,6752,412 Kazakhstan

18,00016,73720,21117,54717,08320,026 Russia

8,5007,4006,4004,7507,4004,000 Turkey

9,0007,6048,6959,8748,7519,450 Ukraine

10,54010,5508,68312,4349,7889,850 Others

149,890136,480138,675146,091143,411138,092 Subtotal

3,4183,3333,1194,3534,7503,953 United States

153,308139,813141,794150,444148,161142,045 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,0501,9001,7502,0502,1502,050 Algeria

4,2003,7003,6003,5003,3003,000 Australia

1,7001,8001,4501,4001,8502,000 Belarus

7,2006,8006,7996,7606,9606,471 Canada

9,0008,30010,3009,8007,90011,600 China

2,3252,2252,2252,0251,9901,975 Ethiopia

55,20052,00054,20055,10051,40051,000 European Union

2,0001,8501,9501,6501,5201,400 India

6,3006,1006,0005,2005,2004,600 Iran

2,2002,2002,1502,2002,0002,000 Kazakhstan

2,4002,5001,9503,2002,6502,650 Morocco

12,40012,20014,50014,70013,70014,100 Russia

8,2258,0258,5259,82510,2258,525 Saudi Arabia

8,1007,5006,7005,5006,9005,350 Turkey

4,3004,0004,5004,9004,3005,500 Ukraine

18,28716,96816,67818,71018,64817,045 Others

146,452138,558143,044147,542142,752138,358 Subtotal

3,5493,4843,4654,3754,4084,235 United States

150,001142,042146,509151,917147,160142,593 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

1,0279276278771,2911,304 Algeria

1,5591,5591,4591,8841,0681,120 Australia

1,3207001,2502,1201,5231,260 Canada

5,1463,9464,5785,4215,9245,771 European Union

8875377508397291,510 Russia

1,6991,4141,8292,3444,0593,074 Saudi Arabia

1,191891791338961332 Turkey

5,2934,8635,6537,5707,4048,099 Others

18,12214,83716,93721,39322,95922,470 Subtotal

1,9501,9282,0572,3162,2231,711 United States

20,07216,76518,99423,70925,18224,181 World Total


Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

May

2019/20

TY Imports none

779 North America 615 293 227 180 230

1,169 South America 1,133 1,249 860 1,047 1,110

269 European Union - 28 315 447 231 400 400

124 Other Europe 81 121 79 180 90


12,399 Middle East 14,798 13,563 13,077 13,230 13,910

2,581 North Africa 3,914 2,542 1,990 2,130 2,420

138 Sub-Saharan Africa 40 112 49 45 40

11,080 East Asia 7,136 9,413 9,499 7,725 8,225

22 South Asia 133 341 114 136 136

32 Oceania 7 31 19 25 25

28,902 Total 28,432 28,736 26,697 25,638 27,311

Production none

11,916 North America 13,742 14,170 12,015 12,729 14,228

3,794 South America 5,925 4,714 4,814 5,919 5,404

60,609 European Union - 28 62,095 59,866 58,805 55,968 62,000

1,241 Other Europe 1,258 1,451 1,290 1,213 1,407


8,896 Middle East 12,880 10,831 11,333 11,461 14,983

3,975 North Africa 3,511 4,933 2,195 4,934 3,908


2,136 East Asia 2,159 2,052 2,112 2,149 2,256

2,461 South Asia 2,121 1,845 1,945 1,934 2,305

9,052 Oceania 9,430 13,870 9,198 8,678 9,580

142,045 Total 148,161 150,444 141,794 139,813 153,308


11,556 North America 12,293 12,085 11,274 11,334 11,849

3,397 South America 3,523 3,442 3,382 3,581 3,779

51,000 European Union - 28 51,400 55,100 54,200 52,000 55,200

1,414 Other Europe 1,373 1,451 1,359 1,317 1,397


22,369 Middle East 27,160 25,523 25,226 25,397 27,427

7,132 North Africa 7,503 7,647 5,459 6,568 6,418


13,164 East Asia 9,482 11,446 12,021 9,890 10,590

2,023 South Asia 2,093 2,073 2,213 2,053 2,393

3,450 Oceania 3,750 3,900 3,950 4,100 4,600

143,501 Total 145,101 150,895 146,742 141,552 149,436

Ending Stocks none

3,369 North America 4,132 4,851 3,722 2,999 3,561

750 South America 1,128 832 718 837 722

5,771 European Union - 28 5,924 5,421 4,578 3,946 5,146

160 Other Europe 79 168 132 123 153


5,208 Middle East 6,392 3,887 3,996 3,140 4,416

2,155 North Africa 1,802 1,940 700 1,246 1,216


1,090 East Asia 904 923 513 497 388

294 South Asia 274 294 262 229 227

1,199 Oceania 1,140 1,942 1,496 1,599 1,604

24,181 Total 25,182 23,709 18,994 16,765 20,072




World Sorghum Trade


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20

May

none

TY Exports

100100296457772954 Argentina

6006004495427171,701 Australia

40404334239 China

507575757575 Ethiopia

50251402474122 India

10010010010050100 Nigeria

125120123164119156 Ukraine

110165302268133202 Others

1,1751,2251,5281,6641,9633,319 Subtotal

2,5002,3004,9616,0227,9289,269 United States

3,6753,5256,4897,6869,89112,588 World Total

none

TY Imports

100100495413498 Chile

7007004,4365,2098,28410,162 China

5050560640 Colombia

400800486194119131 European Union

600600594561649903 Japan

15015014114654117 Kenya

4005009854866129 Mexico

10010080607020 Somalia

150150148361987 South Sudan

200200150120200120 Sudan

454509459386609396 Others

3,3043,8596,6977,31410,86312,063 Subtotal

371-335-259328-1,070498 Unaccounted

0151449827 United States

3,6753,5256,4897,6869,89112,588 World Total



World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20

May

none

Production

2,8002,8003,0003,4003,3753,500 Argentina

1,7001,3001,4399941,7912,209 Australia

800780750500835858 Bolivia

2,3002,2782,1361,8651,0322,055 Brazil

1,8001,9301,3661,6631,4361,708 Burkina

1,4001,4001,3521,3391,2171,150 Cameroon

950988946991835922 Chad

3,6003,4503,2002,9852,7502,885 China

5,0005,0004,8164,7524,7664,339 Ethiopia

4,5003,7504,9504,5704,2385,445 India

1,3001,4701,4241,3941,5271,272 Mali

5,0004,7004,5454,6385,5876,270 Mexico

1,8002,1001,9451,8081,9181,426 Niger

6,9006,8006,9397,5567,0056,883 Nigeria

4,0004,5003,7436,4662,7446,281 Sudan

6,9977,3107,0236,8176,8648,003 Others

50,84750,55649,57451,73847,92055,206 Subtotal

7,8749,2719,19212,19915,15810,988 United States

58,72159,82758,76663,93763,07866,194 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,8002,7003,2002,9002,9002,800 Argentina

1,100800950675905505 Australia

2,3002,3002,1001,7001,1502,000 Brazil

1,8001,8001,4001,6401,4651,700 Burkina

1,4251,4251,3671,3691,2321,175 Cameroon

1,0001,0001,000950850930 Chad

4,2004,3007,8008,30011,00012,900 China

5,0004,9004,8004,7004,7004,100 Ethiopia

1,2201,520970790800995 European Union

4,4003,9004,7004,5004,6005,100 India

1,4001,5001,4501,4001,5001,200 Mali

5,2005,1004,7005,3006,3006,600 Mexico

1,9502,1001,8502,0002,0001,450 Niger

6,8006,7506,9507,3506,9056,833 Nigeria

4,2504,7504,1006,4503,1006,000 Sudan

8,4548,6198,2657,6018,3709,375 Others

53,71052,98855,38257,93957,44763,483 Subtotal

5,7156,4773,9976,2826,1302,459 United States

59,42559,46559,37964,22163,57765,942 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

487587687889952971 Argentina

261261261272233252 Australia

18318825021551194 Brazil

240180370577717706 China

531561516569576561 Ethiopia

183133308198151587 India

413213113172286338 Mexico

1,0651,5631,4551,7161,8462,164 Others

3,3633,6863,9604,6084,8125,773 Subtotal

1,1401,521885850930468 United States

4,5035,2074,8455,4585,7426,241 World Total


Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

May

2019/20

TY Imports none

56 North America 759 592 149 501 400

114 South America 212 60 111 175 175

131 European Union - 28 119 194 486 800 400

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0

24 Middle East 34 30 41 51 31

1 North Africa 1 5 1 0 0


11,142 East Asia 9,011 5,823 5,156 1,420 1,400

14 Southeast Asia 16 19 22 10 10

32 Others 231 6 64 25 25

12,090 Total 10,961 7,358 6,748 3,860 3,304

Production none

17,258 North America 20,745 16,837 13,737 13,971 12,874

326 Central America 284 308 281 272 272

125 Caribbean 123 118 91 106 91

6,967 South America 5,682 6,159 6,142 6,138 6,206

887 European Union - 28 674 632 672 733 725

646 Middle East 430 356 410 432 410

809 North Africa 755 752 754 755 755


2,887 East Asia 2,752 2,987 3,202 3,452 3,602

5,560 South Asia 4,399 4,719 5,104 3,890 4,640


2,209 Oceania 1,791 994 1,439 1,300 1,700

224 Others 191 275 183 194 200

66,194 Total 63,078 63,937 58,766 59,827 58,721


9,059 North America 12,430 11,582 8,697 11,577 10,915

321 Central America 292 308 281 275 275

125 Caribbean 123 120 91 106 91

6,362 South America 5,409 5,623 6,415 6,152 6,356

995 European Union - 28 800 790 970 1,520 1,220

801 Middle East 508 383 447 483 441

785 North Africa 755 752 754 755 755


13,882 East Asia 11,733 8,917 8,522 5,022 4,902

5,247 South Asia 4,981 4,665 4,917 4,065 4,565


505 Oceania 905 675 950 800 1,100

75 Others 75 100 75 75 70

66,122 Total 63,907 63,907 59,599 59,941 59,014

Ending Stocks none

806 North America 1,216 1,022 998 1,734 1,553

26 Central America 17 17 12 9 6

1,310 South America 1,128 1,143 967 853 738

27 European Union - 28 16 24 144 152 52

39 Middle East 0 0 0 0 0

47 North Africa 48 53 54 54 54


765 East Asia 772 629 422 232 292

587 South Asia 151 198 308 133 183

252 Oceania 233 272 261 261 261

69 Others 66 71 56 55 60

6,241 Total 5,742 5,458 4,845 5,207 4,503




World Oats Trade


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20

May

none

TY Exports

500250550455214264 Australia

1,8001,6001,6851,5571,6671,734 Canada

403034272684 Chile

150150128179220231 European Union

1010101250 Kazakhstan

909034141614 Russia

101015194846 Ukraine

1011541011 Others

2,6102,1512,4612,2672,2062,384 Subtotal


2,6402,1812,4922,3112,2432,409 World Total

none

TY Imports

20257113124 Algeria

555644 Bosnia and Herzegovina

101012181722 Canada

350150389278172162 China

551112 Colombia

303039213821 Ecuador

554394 European Union

151519253124 India

505044495047 Japan

252546232129 Korea, South

1001001681197786 Mexico

508021374 Norway

551012 Serbia

404039243146 South Africa

505049544149 Switzerland

121213241315 Others

772607857659544541 Subtotal

16874101122167101 Unaccounted

1,7001,5001,5341,5301,5321,767 United States

2,6402,1812,4922,3112,2432,409 World Total



World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20

May

none

Production

110110110110110110 Algeria

650516492785553525 Argentina

1,3508881,1192,2661,3001,198 Australia

450460500390492522 Belarus

815795634828351307 Brazil

3,9003,4503,7333,2313,4252,977 Canada

550473573713533421 Chile

625575550525350255 China

8,3007,6448,0878,0447,5247,821 European Union

330336285335244226 Kazakhstan

9010372718593 Mexico

300144283359286283 Norway

5,0004,7155,4484,7504,5275,267 Russia

230230250225250210 Turkey

450423481510498610 Ukraine

324330285309293263 Others

23,47421,19222,90223,45120,82121,088 Subtotal

8718157209381,2981,019 United States

24,34522,00723,62224,38922,11922,107 World Total

none

Total Consumption

130135117132141126 Algeria

630500525760550525 Argentina

8506908501,5001,025950 Australia

450450500400500500 Belarus

805775675775345305 Brazil

2,0001,9002,0351,8541,6201,682 Canada

495465575655495355 Chile

950850850710500400 China

7,9507,8507,9007,9507,4007,730 European Union

330330275274245225 Kazakhstan

190205200195190175 Mexico

350250320315296295 Norway

4,9004,7005,4004,8004,6005,200 Russia

240240240240240225 Turkey

450450480450450600 Ukraine

547571540508507490 Others

21,41020,46921,61421,70919,19519,727 Subtotal

2,5662,3652,3612,5372,7002,447 United States

23,97622,83423,97524,24621,89522,174 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

826756896565 Argentina

868613841914393 Australia

854744784703947693 Canada

1411162411525937 China

496291642637690770 European Union


10292167147199289 Russia

209195272370226196 Others

2,0311,6622,3752,5922,3562,176 Subtotal

481481595731824780 United States

2,5122,1432,9703,3233,1802,956 World Total


Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

May

2019/20

TY Imports none

1,875 North America 1,626 1,667 1,714 1,610 1,810

30 South America 48 31 46 40 40

4 European Union - 28 9 3 4 5 5

62 Other Europe 53 63 76 140 110


4 Middle East 0 0 5 5 5

24 North Africa 31 15 9 27 22


238 East Asia 243 350 479 225 425

24 South Asia 31 25 19 15 15

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

2,308 Total 2,076 2,189 2,391 2,107 2,472

Production none

4,089 North America 4,808 4,240 4,525 4,368 4,861

1,281 South America 1,478 2,372 1,742 1,842 2,068

7,821 European Union - 28 7,524 8,044 8,087 7,644 8,300

414 Other Europe 421 502 426 288 451


210 Middle East 250 225 250 230 230

147 North Africa 152 125 145 173 150


257 East Asia 351 526 551 576 626

0 South Asia 0 0 0 0 0

1,233 Oceania 1,329 2,309 1,154 913 1,383

22,107 Total 22,119 24,389 23,622 22,007 24,345


4,304 North America 4,510 4,586 4,596 4,470 4,756

1,244 South America 1,453 2,268 1,865 1,837 2,023

7,730 European Union - 28 7,400 7,950 7,900 7,850 7,950

482 Other Europe 488 515 520 456 560


225 Middle East 240 240 240 240 240

163 North Africa 183 151 152 200 172


479 East Asia 571 784 940 929 1,026

24 South Asia 31 25 19 15 15

985 Oceania 1,054 1,540 885 718 880

22,230 Total 21,804 24,055 23,843 22,726 23,833

Ending Stocks none

1,479 North America 1,775 1,437 1,383 1,227 1,337

102 South America 140 240 122 126 161

770 European Union - 28 690 637 642 291 496

46 Other Europe 35 82 62 34 35


11 Middle East 21 6 21 16 11

1 North Africa 1 1 3 3 3


39 East Asia 62 154 244 116 141

0 South Asia 0 0 0 0 0

93 Oceania 143 422 141 86 89

2,956 Total 3,180 3,323 2,970 2,143 2,512




World Rye Trade


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20

May

none

TY Exports

202008240 Belarus

16013022713211289 Canada


2003001522923121 Russia

509538142113 Ukraine

000001 Others

630745509322340391 Subtotal


635750513326346394 World Total

none

TY Imports

202000 Canada


20152141218 Israel

202021241622 Japan

553454 Korea, South

5205426 Norway

552346 Switzerland

001582411 Others

25736520663102163 Subtotal

128115-189127-31 Unaccounted

250270325172217262 United States

635750513326346394 World Total



World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20

May

none

Production

10510086796197 Argentina

650650670651753867 Belarus

400235342436226218 Canada

7,6006,2567,3987,4407,8338,864 European Union

2,0001,9142,5402,5382,0843,279 Russia

320320320300330300 Turkey

300396510394394475 Ukraine

171120176155186186 Others

11,5469,99112,04211,99311,86714,286 Subtotal

279214260339295183 United States

11,82510,20512,30212,33212,16214,469 World Total

none

Total Consumption

10510086796197 Argentina

303030293029 Australia

650650665700800850 Belarus

200140199180119134 Canada

7,5506,5007,7007,6007,9008,600 European Union


552954266746 Norway

1,7501,7502,5002,4002,1503,250 Russia

320320320300330325 Turkey

305305480380420475 Ukraine

1111031059991108 Others

11,18310,03712,20711,85212,02313,984 Subtotal

578537484496515406 United States

11,76110,57412,69112,34812,53814,390 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

2141614199166 Belarus

103611161655142 Canada

5735236679891,2091,386 European Union

111123 Japan

174124260291158264 Russia

141414141414 Turkey

1065697775106 Ukraine

04161244 Others

8968331,2041,5901,6121,985 Subtotal


9148501,2191,6081,6242,000 World Total


Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

May

2019/20

TY Imports none

262 North America 217 172 327 270 252

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

96 European Union - 28 39 16 137 300 200



24 Middle East 12 4 21 15 20


26 East Asia 21 28 24 25 25

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

425 Total 319 235 531 635 507

Production none

401 North America 521 775 602 449 679

106 South America 69 91 97 113 117

8,864 European Union - 28 7,833 7,440 7,398 6,256 7,600

83 Other Europe 108 70 93 51 96


300 Middle East 330 300 320 320 320


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

30 Oceania 30 29 30 30 30

14,469 Total 12,162 12,332 12,302 10,205 11,825


540 North America 634 676 683 677 778

106 South America 69 91 97 113 117

8,600 European Union - 28 7,900 7,600 7,700 6,500 7,550

97 Other Europe 113 77 100 76 106


343 Middle East 342 304 341 335 340


27 East Asia 22 29 24 25 25

29 Oceania 30 29 30 30 30

14,385 Total 12,520 12,322 12,658 10,499 11,688

Ending Stocks none

57 North America 63 183 131 78 121

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

1,386 European Union - 28 1,209 989 667 523 573



14 Middle East 14 14 14 14 14


3 East Asia 2 1 1 1 1

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

2,000 Total 1,624 1,608 1,219 850 914




Documents

United States Department of Agriculture Foreign ... · Barley is forecast up 1.0 million tons to 6.0 million reflecting near-record production and expectations for robust global demand