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    UNITED STATES BANKRUPTCY COURT

    DISTRICT OF DELAWARE

    . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

    IN RE: . Case No. 10-11780(JKF)

    .

    SPECIALTY PRODUCTS HOLDING .CORPORATION, et al., .

    .

    Debtors. .

    . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

    SPECIALTY PRODUCTS HOLDING . Adv. Pro. No. 10-51085(JKF)

    CORP., BONDEX INTERNATIONAL,.

    INC., .

    .

    Plaintiffs, .

    .

    v. . 5414 U.S. Steel Tower

    . 600 Grant StreetTHOSE PARTIES LISTED ON . Pittsburgh, PA 15219

    EXHIBIT A TO COMPLAINT AND .

    JOHN AND JANE DOES 1-1000, .

    . January 9, 2013

    Defendants. . 8:18 a.m.

    . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

    TRANSCRIPT OF ASBESTOS LIABILITY ESTIMATION TRIAL

    BEFORE HONORABLE JUDITH K. FITZGERALD

    UNITED STATES BANKRUPTCY COURT JUDGE

    Audio Operator: Janet Heller

    Proceedings recorded by electronic sound recording, transcript

    produced by transcription service

    ______________________________________________________________

    J&J COURT TRANSCRIBERS, INC.

    268 Evergreen AvenueHamilton, New Jersey 08619

    E-mail: [email protected]

    (609) 586-2311 Fax No. (609) 587-3599

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    2

    APPEARANCES:

    For the Debtor: Jones Day

    By: GREGORY GORDON, ESQ.

    DANIEL B. PRIETO, ESQ.

    THOMAS R. JACKSON, ESQ.2727 North Harwood Street

    Dallas, TX 75201

    Evert, Weathersby, Houff

    By: C. MICHAEL EVERT, JR., ESQ.

    3405 Piedmont Road, Suite 200

    Atlanta, GA 30305

    Evert, Weathersby, Houff

    By: EDWARD F. HOUFF, ESQ.

    120 E. Baltimore Street, Suite 1300

    Baltimore, MD 21202

    For the Committee of Montgomery, McCracken, Walker &

    Asbestos Personal Injury Rhoads

    Claimants: By: NATALIE RAMSEY, ESQ.

    MARK B. SHEPPARD, ESQ.

    K. CARRIE SARHANGI, ESQ.

    KATHERINE M. FIX, ESQ.

    123 South Broad Street

    Philadelphia, PA 19109

    Montgomery, McCracken, Walker &

    RhoadsBy: MARK FINK, ESQ.

    1105 North Market Street

    Wilmington, DE 19801

    Motley Rice LLC

    By: NATHAN D. FINCH, ESQ.

    1000 Potomac St. NW, Suite 150

    Washington, DC 20007

    Waters Kraus Paul

    By: SCOTT L. FROST, ESQ.

    222 N. Sepulveda Blvd., Suite 1900

    El Segundo, CA 90245

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    3

    APPEARANCES (cont'd):

    For Future Claimants Young Conaway Stargatt & Taylor LLP

    Representatives: By: EDWIN J. HARRON, ESQ.

    SHARON ZIEG, ESQ.

    JOHN T. DORSEY, ESQ.ERIN EDWARDS, ESQ.

    The Brandywine Building

    1000 West Street, 17th Floor

    Wilmington, DE 19801

    For RPM International: Thorp, Reed & Armstrong

    By: WILLIAM M. WYCOFF, ESQ.

    JERRI A. RYAN, ESQ.

    One Oxford Centre

    301 Grant Street, 14th Floor

    Pittsburgh, PA 15219

    TELEPHONIC APPEARANCES:

    For the Debtors: Jones Day

    By: JOHN H. CHASE, ESQ.

    2727 North Harwood Street

    Dallas, TX 75201

    Richards, Layton & Finger, P.A.

    By: DANIEL DeFRANCESCHI, ESQ.

    ZACHERY SHAPIRO, ESQ.

    920 North King Street

    Wilmington, DE 19801

    For the Committee of Montgomery, McCracken, Walker &

    Asbestos Personal Injury Rhoads

    Claimants: By: LAURIE KREPTO, ESQ.

    DAVIS L. WRIGHT, ESQ.

    123 South Broad Street

    Philadelphia, PA 19109

    For Wachovia Capital Otterbourg, Steindler Houston

    Finance Corp.: & Rosen, P.C.

    By: ANDREW M. KRAMER, ESQ.ROBERT GONNELLO, ESQ,

    230 Park Avenue, 29th Floor

    New York, NY 10169

    For Honeywell: McDermott Will & Emery

    By: NAVA HAZAN, ESQ.

    340 Madison Avenue

    New York, NY 10173

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    5

    I N D E X

    PAGE

    WITNESSES

    DR. CHARLES H. MULLIN, JR.

    Continued Cross Examination by Mr. Sheppard 8

    Cross Examination by Mr. Dorsey 33

    Redirect Examination by Mr. Evert 57

    DR. KIM E. ANDERSON

    Direct Examination by Mr. Houff 60

    Cross Examination by Mr. Mr. Finch 90

    Redirect Examination by Mr. Houff 132

    SUSAN RATERMAN

    Direct Examination by Mr. Frost 143

    Cross Examination by Mr. Houff 175

    Redirect Examination by Mr. Frost 182

    DR. ARNOLD BRODY

    Direct Examination by Mr. Frost 183

    Cross Examination by Mr. Houff 208

    Redirect Examination by Mr. Frost 215

    JAMES SINCLAIR

    Direct Examination by Mr. Sheppard 218

    Cross Examination by Mr. Jackson 231

    MARK IOLA

    Direct Examination by Ms. Ramsey 241

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    6

    EXHIBITS ID. EVD.

    D-127 Dr. Anderson C.V. 60 62

    D-57 PowerPoint Presentation

    (Demonstrative Exhibit) 60

    D-58 Dr. Anderson Report

    (Demonstrative Exhibit) 61ACC-1007 Nine View Points by Sir

    Austin Bradford Hill 109

    ACC-1008 Dr. Lemens Article 111

    ACC-1009 IARC Executive Summary 114

    ACC-1011 Berman and Crump Paper 126

    D-59 Response to Mr. Brodkin 133

    D-60 Response to Mr. Dement 133

    E-384 Video 156

    M-136 Raterman C.V. 174

    M-135 Raterman Report 174

    ACC-1004 PowerPoint Presentation 174

    ACC-1005 Photo 175M-131 Brody C.V. 184

    M-130 Brody Report 185

    ACC-1006 Slide Show Presentation 185

    ACC-87 James Sinclair C.V. 238

    ACC-1012 James Sinclair Report

    (Demonstrative Exhibit) 238

    ACC/FCC 304 Document 241

    ACC/FCR 338 Document 241

    ACC/FCR 176 Document 241

    ACC/FCR 113 Document 241

    ACC/FCR 95 Document 241

    ACC/FCR 196 Document 241

    ACC/FCR 385 Document 241

    ACC/FCR 386 Document 241

    ACC/FCR 227 Document 241

    ACC/FCR 388 Document 241

    ACC/FCR 390 Document 241

    ACC/FCR 179 Document 241

    ACC/FCR 414 Document 241

    ACC/FCR 123 Verdict Sheet 241

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    7

    MR. SHEPPARD: Good morning, Your Honor.1

    THE COURT: Please be seated. Dr. Mullin, I see they2

    did not give you a day to sleep in.3

    (Laughter)4

    THE COURT: Okay. This is the continuation of the5

    evidentiary hearing on estimation in the Specialty Products6

    Holdings case. The list of participants I have by phone, Laura7

    Ascher, Dan Casiero, John Chase, Daniel DeFranceschi, Robert8

    Gonnello, Karen Grivner, Jonathan Guy, Nava Hazan, Andrew9

    Kramer, Laurie Krepto, Jamie OConnell, Kathleen Orr, Domenic10

    Pacitti, Bronwyn Rinehart, Zachary Shapiro, Paul Sheaffer,11

    Nikki Wakeman, Davis Wright and Richard Wyron. Are there any12

    changes in entries of appearance in court?13

    MR. SHEPPARD: None for the ACC, Your Honor.14

    MR. HARRON: None for the FCR.15

    MR. GORDON: None for the debtors, Your Honor.16

    THE COURT: Okay. Are you ready, Dr. Mullin?17

    DR. MULLIN: I am.18

    THE COURT: Youre still under oath, sir.19

    DR. MULLIN: I understand.20

    DR. CHARLES H. MULLIN, WITNESS, PREVIOUSLY SWORN21

    THE COURT: Okay. When youre ready.22

    MR. SHEPPARD: May I, Your Honor?23

    THE COURT: Yes, Mr. Sheppard. Good morning.24

    MR. SHEPPARD: Just one matter of brief housekeeping,25

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    Mullin - Contd Cross/Sheppard 8

    Your Honor. With our demonstrative exhibit yesterday weve1

    taken the liberty of re-marking it so that -- if I can hand2

    this up to the Court? If I may?3

    THE COURT: Oh. Thats -- I have a set. Okay.4

    Thank you.5

    MR. SHEPPARD: They were not exactly in the order6

    that I had put them yesterday.7

    THE COURT: Oh. Okay. Thanks.8

    MR. SHEPPARD: And let the record reflect that Ive9

    provided a copy to debtors counsel and to the witness.10

    THE COURT: Thank you.11

    CONTINUED CROSS EXAMINATION12

    BY MR. SHEPPARD:13

    Q Dr. Mullin, good morning.14

    A Good morning.15

    Q I may have to go back just a little bit to reorient us, if16

    thats okay. Im certainly not going to try to mischaracterize17

    your testimony. All right?18

    A Thats fine.19

    Q Lets go back to Slide 2, please?20

    THE COURT: The ELMO?21

    MR. SHEPPARD: Oh. Can you switch it from the ELMO?22

    Im sorry.23

    Q Dr. Mullin, weve talked a little bit about this24

    yesterday, and I just want to make sure, again, that we -- that25

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    Mullin - Contd Cross/Sheppard 9

    I understand that we understand exactly what it is that youre1

    measuring here with at least one of your forecasts. You2

    testified that youve done a number of different forecasts, is3

    that right?4

    A Correct.5

    Q And that youre recommending that all of them, in some6

    fashion or another, could be accepted by the Court depending on7

    her findings on rulings of law, isnt that right?8

    A Thats correct. I tried to quantify the loss under9

    alternative theories.10

    Q Now, speaking specifically about the -- what I call the --11

    the damages, or several liability measure, which is the first12

    one that you opined in your report, correct, the $95 million13

    estimate?14

    A The several share of liability. Yes.15

    Q Yes. Youre not suggesting, Dr. Mullin, that the16

    plaintiffs would accept those disaggregated amounts in17

    settlement, are you?18

    A Im not suggesting that in a joint and several State Court19

    that thats what they would accept, because that has transfers20

    of liability imbedded into the State Court rules. So, in that21

    framework I dont think they would accept that amount. If they22

    were in a several jurisdiction they may, but its a different23

    set of obligations.24

    Q And as I understand your report, the vast majority of25

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    Mullin - Contd Cross/Sheppard 10

    states are either joint and several, or hybrid, isnt that1

    right?2

    A I mean, theres been a few different lists of3

    categorizations by various sets of counsel in that regard. I4

    think whats very true, as opposed to counting up states, 98,5

    99 percent of the claims are filed in jurisdictions that have6

    some form of joint and several liability rules.7

    Q Okay. So, in 95 percent of the claims what youre8

    actually measuring has nothing to do with the reality of the9

    tort system, right?10

    A It does. Its just -- its one component of it. This is11

    -- it is liability. Its their share as though all the co-12

    defendants were back with them. So, if -- I said a few times,13

    if Johns Manville, Eagle Picher, U.S.G., all those co-14

    defendants were in the courtroom with them, its under that15

    world what they would pay.16

    Q Okay. But thats not the world of the United States of17

    America tort system, isnt that right?18

    A I mean, those companies have gone through reorganizations.19

    They are not there today.20

    Q So theyre not in the room, correct, Dr. Mullin?21

    A Thats correct.22

    Q And in your theory, Dr. Mullin, you also postulate that23

    there would be some reduction based upon this theory of24

    implicit defense fees, right? I have costs up there, but I25

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    Mullin - Contd Cross/Sheppard 11

    think your term was fees, right?1

    A I mean, its -- as I said, its a reduction relative to2

    what they were paying in the 2000s. Its an increase relative3

    to what they were paying in the 1990s.4

    Q And again, you have no evidence to suggest that a5

    plaintiff would accept that amount, do you?6

    A The -- if you want to look at -- they would need to change7

    how they were choosing to defend claims. I mean, there is8

    evidence that when they individually evaluate the claims, as9

    opposed to doing an inventory deal, they pay less per claim and10

    the claimants do accept less. So, we see that when it depends11

    on the settlement strategy that the defendants take, so when12

    they take a more aggressive defense posture they pay more to13

    their attorneys and they pay less to the claimants.14

    Q Okay. So its only in a group settlement situation where15

    you have any evidence at all that a plaintiff may accept that16

    amount that youre postulating in this theory?17

    A Im saying you can -- I dont think I agree with that.18

    Im not sure exactly where youre going.19

    Q Well, let me try it this way. You said that its possible20

    where a plaintiff engages in a group settlement that they might21

    agree to some reduction based upon implicit defense fees, is22

    that right?23

    A Well, I think we see an empirical fact that they did. So24

    when the claims were individually evaluated, the average25

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    Mullin - Contd Cross/Sheppard 12

    payment to claimants was about 45,000 per claim. When they did1

    large inventory deals, it was about 63,000 per claim. So we2

    can see factually that thats actually what happened there.3

    Q Okay. And I believe you testified yesterday that that4

    average amount that -- between the plaintiff and the debtors5

    was the basis for coming up with the aggregate amount that was6

    used in these group settlements, an average based upon the7

    historical negotiations between the parties, right?8

    A I think what I said yesterday was that if were talking9

    about the second or the third or the fourth group inventory10

    deal, that they would have naturally referred to the earlier11

    large deal that they did. They wouldnt have started the12

    negotiation from scratch. I wasnt there. I didnt see them13

    do that. That seems very logical in a negotiation position.14

    Q So the past average settlement would be at least the15

    starting place for predicting the future, right?16

    A If what you want to predict is if they did another group17

    deal with the Simmons firm, a logical place to start would be18

    what was the previous group deals?19

    Q And I believe you testified yesterday that you would20

    expect that Bondex, if it were in the tort system, would21

    continue with this trend of increasing group deals, right?22

    A The economic incentive for them is when a law firm has a23

    large enough group of claims, that that makes sense to do, its24

    less expensive to them. They can have a net savings, so its25

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    Mullin - Contd Cross/Sheppard 14

    anybody used the term implicit defense fees the way you have1

    here?2

    A Theyve talked about how the transaction costs cause it to3

    deviate.4

    Q Okay. My question was pretty simple. Implicit defense5

    fees. Is it used in any of those --6

    A Thats a term that I just defined a term in my expert7

    report to refer to a concept in the literature.8

    Q So, your theory is so novel that you actually had to make9

    up a term?10

    A No. The theory has been in the literature for 40 years.11

    They didnt have a term. They just called it the transaction12

    cost model of settlement, which is a long, wordy thing to say13

    all the time how the transaction cost model of settlement14

    changes something. I shortened that to implicit defense costs15

    to contrast it with the explicit defense costs. That was my16

    choice of how I wanted to do the exposition, but the concept17

    has been there for 40 years.18

    MR. SHEPPARD: Can we have Defendants Demonstrative19

    51? I think its 51.20

    THE COURT: Im sorry. What are we looking at, Mr.21

    --22

    MR. SHEPPARD: Defendants Demonstrative 51, Your23

    Honor.24

    THE COURT: All right. Thank you.25

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    Mullin - Contd Cross/Sheppard 15

    Q Okay. Dr. Mullin, I think this was one of the slides that1

    Mr. Evert showed you yesterday on direct, correct?2

    A Correct.3

    Q And this has to do with your allocation across the three4

    different companies of the liability, and here were talking5

    about the historical payments, isnt that correct?6

    A Thats correct.7

    Q Okay.8

    MR. SHEPPARD: Your Honor, give me one second,9

    because I had written D-51, but I may have gotten the number10

    wrong.11

    (Pause)12

    MR. SHEPPARD: Is that the one thats up there? Your13

    Honor, Im sorry. We didnt get a marked set yesterday, so I14

    was trying to keep up. Its the historical payments by15

    exposure dates.16

    UNIDENTIFIED SPEAKER: Thats it.17

    MR. SHEPPARD: Okay. Is that up there? All right.18

    Q Sorry about that, Dr. Mullin.19

    A Youre on D-50 now, I think?20

    Q Oh. So, is it DD-50?21

    A This is D-50, I believe.22

    Q Okay.23

    MR. SHEPPARD: Debtors Demonstrative 50. I24

    apologize, Your Honor.25

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    Mullin - Contd Cross/Sheppard 16

    Q Okay. And here I think youve described how you1

    allocated, based upon your review of the historical claims the2

    different claims and where they fell in the three different3

    time periods, correct?4

    A This is really just a tabulation of the historical data.5

    Its just purely based on the alleged exposure dates.6

    Q Okay. And if it was in the middle of the column, then7

    that was solely in that era, is that right?8

    A I mean, the first row thats labeled single era means the9

    person is alleging exposure only in one of the three distinct10

    time periods.11

    Q Okay. And then you have some numbers here in the middle12

    that straddle between the two, right?13

    A Correct.14

    Q And if you look at those, 7.7, 7.0, 22.8, 47.7, which15

    represents the amount of liability that is either in Reardon16

    SPHC or SPHC Bondex, or solely SPHC, that comes up to 85.217

    percent, is that right?18

    A Its approximately 85 percent.19

    Q Thank you.20

    MR. SHEPPARD: Can I have D-13? Defendants21

    Demonstrative 13?22

    Q All right. Now, Dr. Mullin, I also think we talked23

    yesterday a little bit about a judgment, and certain24

    assumptions.25

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    Mullin - Contd Cross/Sheppard 17

    A I think we had this issue once yesterday, but this appears1

    to be a truncated version of the exhibit, at least what Im2

    observing.3

    Q Okay.4

    THE COURT: What exhibit is it? Im sorry.5

    MR. EVERT: Demonstrative D-13, Your Honor.6

    THE COURT: Thank you.7

    MR. SHEPPARD: Your Honor, may I approach?8

    THE WITNESS: I have them all. They were up here9

    from yesterday.10

    Q Would you agree with me, Dr. Mullin, that in order to do a11

    forecast any forecaster would have to make certain judgments12

    and assumptions?13

    A Youre going to have to make certain judgments, and14

    theres a reason theres a level of expertise, yes.15

    Q Right. In fact, youve made judgments and assumptions in16

    this case, havent you?17

    A Correct.18

    Q Okay. And I think Mr. Evert, in D-13, took you through19

    one where if you had plotted a straight regression line on that20

    bar graph, you would end up going well past 100 percent of the21

    entire mesothelioma population by -- I guess its somewhere22

    around 2030?23

    A Right. 2030, 2035.24

    Q Okay. And you know that thats simply impossible, right?25

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    Mullin - Contd Cross/Sheppard 19

    Q And then you did the same thing in D-14, right, except1

    this time we went down, and this was on the average2

    settlements, right?3

    A Correct.4

    Q And in fact, by -- it looks like about 2016, 15, it looks5

    like the plaintiffs are paying the defendants, right? Or the6

    debtors? Isnt that right?7

    A I mean, it shows you its nonsensical. Thats right. You8

    cant just simply extrapolate. You need to understand the9

    underlying process of whats going on to develop a reliable10

    estimate.11

    Q Right. And once you understand that you have to make12

    certain judgments, then, on how this line doesnt really fit13

    the reality, right?14

    A Well, I mean, I view it much more as letting the data15

    educate you about whats actually happening. I mean, you dont16

    just make up a theory. You explore the data and you let it17

    educate you about what was the underlying process. I mean,18

    here we saw this was driven down by the advent of the large19

    inventory deals. When we looked at individually evaluated20

    claims that goes away.21

    Q Okay.22

    A And its a process of getting educated from the data.23

    Its not just making an arbitrary decision.24

    Q Okay. Lets go to D-32, Defendants Demonstrative 32.25

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    Mullin - Contd Cross/Sheppard 20

    There youre testifying, Dr. Mullin, this is your $700 million1

    nominal --2

    (Pause)3

    MR. SHEPPARD: Sorry, Your Honor. I think I have the4

    wrong number up here.5

    THE WITNESS: Youre probably looking for 33.6

    MR. SHEPPARD: Exhibit 33?7

    THE WITNESS: Thats -- Im guessing, based on what8

    you said.9

    MR. SHEPPARD: Yes. Thank you. I must have been one10

    number off.11

    Q Now, this is a model of one of the possible alternatives12

    that you suggested to the Court, right?13

    A No. This was -- the one on the screen is not the full14

    image again, but the one Im looking at in front of me is much15

    more like what I started on the first couple demonstratives I16

    put up. This is simply doing a blind extrapolation, just17

    overlying the Nicholson curve on the history without looking18

    into the data again. So its that simple extrapolation once we19

    have a picture of the history, and says that comes out in the20

    neighborhood of $700 million.21

    Q Okay. And unlike your several share analysis, youre22

    including all the claims here, including group settlements,23

    right?24

    A Thats correct.25

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    Mullin - Contd Cross/Sheppard 21

    Q Okay. And I think the only difference then is that you1

    have a different starting point than Dr. Vasquez and Dr.2

    Peterson in terms of how you calculate average settlement3

    amount, isnt that right?4

    A The only difference between what?5

    Q Between their forecast method and yours in this particular6

    scenario.7

    A No.8

    Q Okay. Thats -- youre not doing just a basic9

    extrapolation? Isnt that what you said?10

    A Well, one, I -- this isnt a forecast I put out. I said11

    this is a simple extrapolation. I wouldnt characterize it as12

    a forecast. I dont think it has the rigor behind it.13

    Q Okay.14

    A What I did subsequently I would. If you want me to15

    contrast this to what Dr. Vasquez or Dr. Peterson did, Dr.16

    Vasquez and Dr. Peterson both went in, took an incidence curve.17

    I believe youre correct that Dr. Peterson used the Nicholson18

    curve. Dr. Vasquez used KPMG curve, as well as the Peto19

    method, so he used a different forecast of futures. Then they20

    went in and each of them forecast fairly different pay rates.21

    They forecast fairly different propensities to sue, and they22

    forecast very different average settlement amounts. So they23

    went in and did each of those components. We could get into a24

    whole discussion of what those components are and how they did25

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    Mullin - Contd Cross/Sheppard 22

    them, but Im saying its not -- its not just as simple as you1

    stated that its a difference in the average settlement value.2

    They -- theres differences in every single one of those3

    components that went into their forecasts.4

    Q But then you extrapolated out in basically the same5

    amount?6

    A I mean, Dr. Peterson extrapolated along the Nicholson7

    curve. Dr. Vasquez used the KPMG curve, which is fairly8

    indistinguishable from the Nicholson over this time period, but9

    then he also used a methodology called the Peto method, which10

    forecasts approximately 20 percent more claims in his report11

    than the Nicholson curve would forecast, and he took a weighted12

    average of the two, 50/50. So, his trend line is higher13

    because of putting half weight on the Peto method. So, there14

    is a distinction there.15

    MR. SHEPPARD: Okay. We can take that one down.16

    Q I think you testified yesterday, Dr. Mullin, that in doing17

    your analysis you looked at different types of data, including18

    data from the CCR, isnt that right?19

    A I looked at data from the CCR to confirm that the20

    methodologies I was using were reliable.21

    Q In fact, you said you took great comfort from that data,22

    isnt that right?23

    A I mean, across all the validity checks that I did on the24

    econometrics I was using, those reinforced the reliability of25

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    Mullin - Contd Cross/Sheppard 23

    the methods I employed.1

    Q Okay. And, Dr. Mullin, you chose to use for your data set2

    from the CCR the period of 1997 to 2000, correct?3

    A Correct.4

    Q Okay. You didnt include all the mesothelioma claims, did5

    you?6

    A I included all the mesothelioma claims in that time7

    window.8

    Q Okay. But you excluded anything outside that time window?9

    A I did.10

    Q Okay. So you made a judgment to use this period, 1997 to11

    2000, and to ignore these other claims?12

    THE COURT: Im sorry. I apologize, but Im lost.13

    Are you talking about the comparison with the CCR data? I14

    thought that was non-malignant data. Am I -- did I15

    misunderstand something?16

    MR. SHEPPARD: He used both, Your Honor, as I17

    understand it. But Im talking now about just the18

    mesotheliomas.19

    THE COURT: Okay. Well then, somebody has to go back20

    and show me where the CCR data was malignant data versus non-21

    malignant, because maybe I misunderstood something in the22

    testimony.23

    MR. EVERT: Your Honor, Dr. Mullins direct, we only24

    presented his testimony, youre correct, in regard to non-25

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    malignant data.1

    THE COURT: Okay. Then Im not sure what the line of2

    questions is all about.3

    MR. SHEPPARD: Well, Your Honor, in his report he4

    relied upon the mesothelioma cases as well, but if theyre only5

    presenting the non-malignant data, then --6

    Q Is that for the same period, 1997 to 2000?7

    A The non-malignant claims?8

    Q Yes.9

    A Yes.10

    Q Okay. Isnt that less than half of the CCR data that was11

    available to you?12

    A I dont know the exact counts. Its likely.13

    Q And you also testified -- okay. In your report, Dr.14

    Mullin, Exhibit 13 in your report in your case-in-chief, plots15

    out the CCR mesothelioma payments.16

    A Can you give me a second to catch up with you?17

    Q Sure.18

    A Thank you.19

    THE COURT: Now -- Im sorry, but where are we now?20

    MR. SHEPPARD: Your Honor, I am in Dr. Mullins21

    report, Exhibit 13, Page 39.22

    THE WITNESS: I actually dont have a copy of my23

    original report up here.24

    THE COURT: Its -- yes. I dont think one has been25

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    Mullin - Contd Cross/Sheppard 27

    in the computer code, which wasnt material to the analysis,1

    but as it turned out we had had age at death, I believe, as2

    opposed to age at diagnosis, when age at diagnosis was what we3

    intended to use. We subsequently ran it with the intended4

    variable and it doesnt change it, but that was an error in the5

    original calculation.6

    Q So, it was an error in your computer code which resulted7

    in you aging the plaintiffs in this case, isnt that right?8

    A Correct. I mean, in the -- we intended to run all the9

    ages consistently across all the analyses we did. In this one10

    there was a mistake in the computer code, and it picked up the11

    wrong age variable, and as I said, it didnt make any material12

    difference to the analysis, but that error did exist in the13

    code.14

    Q Another way that you checked this analysis was by looking15

    at Texas. Do you recall that in your report?16

    A So, I think were switching now?17

    Q Yes, we are.18

    A When we say this analysis, were switching to the joint19

    and several --20

    Q The joint and several analysis.21

    A Oh. Correct. That was one of the three things I did was22

    I looked at, I think what I referred to earlier as a -- kind of23

    a quasi-natural experiment that existed in Texas.24

    Q And I believe your theory there is that because Texas went25

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    Mullin - Contd Cross/Sheppard 30

    damages. Its the damages the claimant suffered, so if a1

    claimant is younger they have more years of lost life and they2

    tend to have higher damages. Thats what we saw in the verdict3

    data thats a very strong empirical relationship. Its --4

    liability is a question distinct from damages.5

    Q As I understand it, though, the reason that you chose age6

    was because it was so closely correlated with those damages,7

    isnt that right?8

    A It is very closely correlated with damages.9

    Q And you had to choose a variable and you decided in your10

    judgment to choose age, right?11

    A Correct.12

    Q Okay. Take a look at the graph I have which is part of13

    ACC/FCR Demonstrative 1002. If you assume, Dr. Mullin, that we14

    did an R-squared analysis of these other factors, pain and15

    suffering, state, law firm, group settlement, the higher the16

    R-squared value the more closely correlated the factor is,17

    isnt that correct?18

    A I think -- well, first, youre doing an analysis on19

    verdicts here? Is this verdict data? What are the bars20

    representing? What analysis -- what are you analyzing?21

    Q Were analyzing all settlements and all data.22

    A So this is settlements, not verdicts?23

    Q Yes.24

    A So this includes all the transaction costs that are25

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    Mullin - Contd Cross/Sheppard 32

    These are the settlements that are driven by transaction costs.1

    Thats why age and alive or dead doesnt matter so much,2

    because the damages isnt effecting the settlement. So if you3

    were to replicate this graph once for all the settlements below4

    $200,000, the age bar will be almost zero. Alive versus dead5

    will be almost zero. The other numbers will be higher. If you6

    look above 200,000 and you do this graph the age bar is high,7

    and all the other ones get very low. And thats the point.8

    You know, damages is really only coming into play on the9

    variables that are connected with damages on the high value10

    settlements. The rest of them they dont because its not11

    damages that are driving the settlement, so this is exactly12

    what youd expect if you look at the settlements instead of the13

    damages that the claimant suffered.14

    Q Now Im not going to mince words with you, Dr. Mullin. I15

    guess the last thing is on the PIQs, there was a substantial16

    amount of data that came in on those, isnt that right?17

    A Yes.18

    Q Okay. And it required a lot of going through papers and19

    coding things, right?20

    A Many responded with documents as opposed to filling out21

    the forms, so you had to review all the documents.22

    Q And youre certainly not assuming that that data23

    collection process was ever free, right?24

    A Oh, no. Its never error free. If you go through 200025

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    Mullin - Cross/Dorsey 34

    Q Now, Im not going to use the exact numbers, Dr. Mullin,1

    because Im awful at math, so Im just going to use2

    hypothetical numbers.3

    A Thats fine.4

    Q So if we assume, on the group settlements, the 17 group5

    settlements that youve testified about, if we assume there6

    were 1,000 claims that were resolved as a group of that group7

    settlement, okay? Are you with me so far?8

    THE COURT: All 17, or one?9

    MR. DORSEY: All 17, Your Honor.10

    THE COURT: All right.11

    Q Its more than that, but Im just using a round number.12

    So, 1,000 claims were resolved by that group settlement. So,13

    across those docket things 100 claims would have been dismissed14

    in those group settlements, is that fair?15

    A About ten percent.16

    Q About ten percent?17

    A About ten percent were dismissed.18

    Q Okay. So that left 900 claims -- 900 claims that were19

    resolved by those group settlements. And then what the debtors20

    did was say were just going to pay a flat amount, we dont21

    care how you, plaintiff lawyers, whack it up among those 90022

    claimants, were just paying you a flat amount to settle those23

    claims. Is that fair?24

    A My understanding is that that occurred at the point of the25

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    Mullin - Cross/Dorsey 36

    to 75.1

    Q 75?2

    A It falls between 70 and 75 percent.3

    Q Lets use 70, again, for a round number.4

    A Sure.5

    Q Okay. So you assumed that 700 of those 1,000 cases would6

    have been dismissed?7

    A Had they been individually evaluated.8

    Q Okay. That left 300 claims, correct?9

    A Correct.10

    Q And then what you did was take those 300 claims and11

    allocate them between high, low and medium-value claims. Is12

    that fair?13

    A Correct.14

    Q Okay. So, lets say -- how many would you have assigned15

    to -- of the 300 to high value?16

    A I dont remember the statistics that well from here.17

    Q Well just use round numbers hypothetically, lets say 50.18

    A About 55 out of 275, so its going to be 60, 65, probably,19

    something in that range.20

    Q Okay. Well make it 50 again for my easy math problem.21

    Okay?22

    A Okay.23

    Q So, 50 would have been high value. And then how many24

    would have been -- would you have assigned to a mid value? Can25

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    Mullin - Cross/Dorsey 39

    was to get the count of claims in each category. That was my1

    motivation for doing it. I mean, Ive said repeatedly its2

    true, the group settlements had an extra transaction cost3

    premium of about 18,000 per claim, that was the --4

    Q So it would have -- Im sorry.5

    A -- gap between that and $45,000.6

    Q Okay. So it would have reduced the average claim value7

    down to $45,000? Is that fair?8

    A Individually evaluated, the average is 45,000.9

    Q Okay. And then you took that 45,000 average claim value10

    and you used that to estimate the future liabilities of the11

    debtors? Is that correct?12

    A Well, not from the groups. I took -- and I think youre13

    trying to simplify my analysis, it sounds like, into the14

    framework that Drs. Vasquez and Peterson used. I didnt use a15

    single average settlement value. Thats not how I think is the16

    right way to do it. That may be the overall average resolution17

    value. The 45 includes all the zeros. It includes everything18

    when you individually evaluate a claim. I feel like its much19

    more reliable to break them down into the groups where theres20

    the high value, the mid value, the low value, and the21

    dismissed. Clearly the dismissals get zero. The low value in22

    the tort system were getting 25,000. The mid value were23

    getting 120,000 on average, and the high value were getting24

    475. When you view it that way its a stable world, so I25

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    Mullin - Cross/Dorsey 41

    to incorporate the claims that got resolved in these big1

    inventory deals to know that the counts are actually stable.2

    And if you dont do that step your analysis could be3

    unreliable. So thats why it was important for me to go and4

    include those counts in what I was doing.5

    Q Well, isnt it more reliable to rely on what the actual6

    history was, rather than rewriting the group history into an7

    individual evaluation history?8

    A Again, this depends on what youre trying to accomplish.9

    If what youre trying to say is -- if the purpose of the10

    exercise is to take into account the merits of the claims, the11

    individually evaluated claims are the ones where the merits of12

    an individual claim was taken into account in the history, but13

    in the group settlements it wasnt. They never took any14

    discovery. You cant map those claims. You dont know what15

    they look like. You cant map them into what the pendings look16

    like on the PIQs because you dont have any data because none17

    was taken in discovery to know what are the claim18

    characteristics.19

    So, if the -- I think I said this yesterday, but if20

    the exercise you wanted to do was to say were going to settle21

    all claims sight unseen and let the plaintiffs attorneys pick22

    what everybody gets, the group settlements are a good proxy for23

    that process. If what you want to do is say -- you want to24

    evaluate claims based on their merits, we have the PIQ data for25

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    Mullin - Cross/Dorsey 43

    the pending and future claims based on their merits, so Im1

    using the historical claims that were evaluated the same way.2

    So, Im not taking anything out. Im saying Im evaluating3

    these pending claims based on their merits. To do that you4

    have to look at the historical claims that were evaluated based5

    on their merits. If you want to do a different exercise and6

    not evaluate them on their merits you can produce a higher7

    number.8

    Q And dont you want to -- isnt the purpose here to9

    determine what the debtors would have paid if they had remained10

    in the tort system?11

    A I think now we go back to -- I think the parties have12

    different theories on that as to what is supposed to be13

    estimated. I have tried to lay out different sets of14

    estimates. Its not my job to decide which one is right.15

    Q Okay. So if the Judge determines that the purpose of this16

    exercise is to determine what the debtors would have paid if17

    they had remained in the tort system, your analysis of the18

    group settlements and the elimination of all the other19

    transactional costs and the several share costs would be20

    completely unhelpful to the Court, correct?21

    A No. I think the analysis that Ive done --22

    THE COURT: Isnt that my determination to make,23

    whether something is helpful to me? How can the witness24

    determine whats helpful to me?25

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    Mullin - Cross/Dorsey 45

    defense costs are going to be included or not is a legal1

    determination Im going to have to make.2

    MR. DORSEY: Absolutely.3

    THE COURT: Its a fact from what this witness has4

    testified to, and what everybody has been saying, that the5

    settlements did, in fact, include some portion of fees that the6

    debtor otherwise would have paid to lawyers. I mean, this7

    witnesss own testimony is that the settlements were higher in8

    the group settlements than they were on individual review, and9

    hes explained from his point of view why that is. Now, people10

    can disagree or not -- or agree with that concept, but its a11

    legal determination whether Im going to include those12

    transaction costs, and if so, how, and to what extent. So I13

    just dont see how you can ask him whats helpful to me, and I14

    dont see how you can ask him what would have happened had the15

    debtor still been in the tort system. I mean, people can try16

    to predict that, but how do we know what would happen?17

    MR. DORSEY: Well --18

    THE COURT: Are you going to give me some evidence19

    that indicates that these three law firms that allegedly20

    settled their entire inventory still have massive numbers of21

    claims so that there may have even been a possibility of group22

    settlements? I mean, so far nobody has even provided me with23

    facts. Facts would be helpful.24

    MR. DORSEY: I understand, Your Honor. Let me ask25

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    Mullin - Cross/Dorsey 46

    the witness --1

    Q You recall I took your deposition in the Leslie Control2

    case, correct?3

    A I believe thats right. That was a while ago.4

    Q It was a while ago. And I asked you in that case, and5

    Ill put up on the ELMO, if we can bring that up, this6

    deposition transcript, do you have another copy?7

    MR. EVERT: Your Honor, Id offer an objection. Is8

    this for impeachment of an answer thats been given?9

    MR. DORSEY: Yes.10

    MR. EVERT: Oh. Im sorry. Okay.11

    MR. DORSEY: I believe the witness testified that12

    couldnt determine what the cost would be in the tort system.13

    May I approach, Your Honor?14

    THE COURT: Yes. I dont think that was the15

    witnesss testimony, however. Do you want to go back and16

    refine that portion of the testimony, please?17

    Q Well, let me ask you that, Dr. Mullin. Can you predict18

    what the debtors liabilities would have been if they had19

    remained in the tort system?20

    A I said I could do scenario analysis. This is something I21

    do frequently, whether its in financial reporting, insurance22

    coverage, different frameworks, you do scenario analysis under23

    different assumptions about how the tort system would evolve,24

    and under those alternative assumptions you could look but you25

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    Mullin - Cross/Dorsey 50

    implicit defense, and all those other things? Have you done1

    that analysis?2

    A Under what assumptions?3

    Q Under the assumption that they remained in the tort4

    system.5

    A Thats -- I mean -- let me rephrase. I mean, thats6

    really enough for me to give you an answer? Remaining in the7

    tort system, okay. What are we assuming the tort system looks8

    like in 2020 when you ask that question?9

    Q Well, do you have any understanding of what the tort10

    system is going to look like in 2020, Doctor?11

    A Well, I think thats one of the problems with asking a12

    question where youre talking about how are future transaction13

    costs going to affect what they pay in the tort system.14

    Procedural rules, changes in the tort system affect those15

    numbers. They dont affect liability, but they do affect those16

    other factors.17

    Q But you didnt take into account any changes in the tort18

    system in producing your estimation in this case, did you?19

    A When youre looking at liability theres many fewer things20

    that could affect that as opposed to when youre looking at21

    transaction costs. Transaction costs are driven by the costs22

    of the litigation, so procedural changes matter. Theres a23

    whole set of things that come into play. Who names you? A24

    nuisance -- more nuisance claims naming the debtors drive up25

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    Mullin - Cross/Dorsey 53

    it or not.1

    Q If youd turn to Page 228 of that deposition, sir?2

    THE COURT: This is the deposition of November 15th?3

    MR. DORSEY: That is correct, Your Honor.4

    THE COURT: And Page 228?5

    MR. DORSEY: 228.6

    THE COURT: All right. Thank you.7

    MR. DORSEY: Beginning at Line 21.8

    Q You were asked the question, In terms of the forecast9

    that you prepared in this case is it true to say that you, in10

    your expert opinion, you are not making any effort to predict11

    future changes in the tort law? Answer: I did not make an12

    effort to do that. Is that what you said in your deposition,13

    sir?14

    A Yes. I think that what I just said a moment ago, too.15

    But, yes. I didnt try to forecast the future changes in the16

    tort system.17

    Q Okay. Well, you gave an answer that talked about --18

    MR. EVERT: Excuse me. Id ask that you read the19

    rest of the answer, please, which continues on Page 229?20

    COURT CLERK: Mr. Evert, if you could just turn on21

    the mic.22

    MR. EVERT: I'm sorry.23

    MR. JACKSON: Its on. Hes just not speaking24

    towards it.25

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    Mullin - Cross/Dorsey 56

    the several share thats not what the settlement data that1

    allows me to estimate these numbers comes from. And so I chose2

    to be conservative and still only take a one and a half3

    percentage point offset instead of, you know, a three4

    percentage point offset, or a 2.9 percentage point offset. I5

    think when youre looking at a total tort spend number for6

    which the data is the direct data at which I can compute these,7

    its appropriate to take the full offset. So, this was done in8

    the context of the report where I did just that $125 million9

    number. I chose to be conservative in that regard because10

    theres not a perfect alignment of the data.11

    Q Can you show me where in your report you mentioned the 1.912

    percent reduction on the impact of aging on the pay rate?13

    A I mean, the report doesnt mention the one percent or the14

    1.9. It says 1.5 percent reduction to account for the aging of15

    the population. That 1.5 percent, in my working papers that I16

    turned over, shows the one percent and the 1.9 as all laid out17

    as to the analysis that underlines whats just a summary18

    statement here.19

    Q So, it was in your working papers, not in your report? Is20

    that what youre saying?21

    A The foundation for why I made the adjustment is in my22

    working papers. Thats correct.23

    Q So someone would have to go through your working papers24

    and figure out what you were trying to say when you did that25

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    Mullin - Cross/Dorsey 57

    reduction rather than just explicitly stating it in your1

    report, is that correct?2

    A You would -- my working papers were very clear. I mean,3

    every number in my report showed exactly the computer code and4

    everything that produced it. But, yes, if youve never looked5

    at my working papers theres many numbers in my report that you6

    wouldnt be certain exactly how I calculated them. I didnt7

    try to make the math of every number explicit in the text. It8

    was long enough as it is. I would have had a 400 page report9

    if I had done that.10

    Q So, adding 1.9 percent would have just made it a much more11

    longer report? Is that what youre telling me?12

    A No. What Im telling you is I chose in general not to put13

    all the math behind every number. If that was the only that I14

    had done it to, no. You know, I dont know which one youre15

    going to pick. As I said, all the other numbers in the report,16

    I dont tell you in the table below the exact math for every17

    single one of those numbers, either. You have to go to the18

    working papers which show the computer code that produces every19

    single one of those numbers. And my working papers were very20

    well documented and showed exactly how I produced every number21

    in my report.22

    MR. DORSEY: Okay. Nothing further, Your Honor.23

    THE COURT: Redirect, Mr. Evert?24

    MR. EVERT: Your Honor, extremely briefly.25

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    Anderson - Direct/Houff 60

    COURT CLERK: Please be seated.1

    (Pause)2

    THE COURT: It doesnt move.3

    DIRECT EXAMINATION4

    BY MR. HOUFF:5

    Q Dr. Anderson, good morning.6

    A Good morning, Mr. Houff.7

    Q Sir, I think you have with you, and I want to identify8

    before we get started -- well, first, let me just ask you to9

    introduce yourself to the Court, stating your name, your10

    professional address, and your profession, please?11

    A Yes, sir. Kim E. Anderson. I am with GZA12

    GeoEnvironmental, Inc. The address of our office is 2090013

    Swenson Drive, Suite 150, Waukesha, Wisconsin.14

    Q Okay. And your profession, sir?15

    A I am a toxicologist, human toxicologist, more precisely.16

    Q And as I was saying, we have three documents that I wanted17

    to identify, and which I think you already have up there with18

    you. First is whats been identified as Debtors Exhibit 127,19

    which is your curriculum vitae. Do you have that in front of20

    you, sir?21

    A Yes, sir. I do.22

    Q Okay. Is this a fair and accurate and up to date copy of23

    your curriculum vitae?24

    A Yes, sir. Its dated December of this year.25

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    MR. FINCH: Might I just approach the podium, just so1

    we have it -- no objection to the C.V. for substantive2

    purposes. No objection to the slides and the report as long as3

    its for demonstrative purposes only.4

    MR. HOUFF: And that is accurate, Your Honor, and5

    its Debtors Exhibit 127, which is the C.V.6

    THE COURT: The futures?7

    MR. DORSEY: No objection, Your Honor.8

    THE COURT: All right. Exhibit 127 is admitted, and9

    27 (sic) and 28 (sic) for demonstrative purposes only.10

    MR. HOUFF: Thank you, Your Honor.11

    Q Doctor, can we agree that all of your opinions today will12

    be expressed to a reasonable degree of scientific certainty13

    used in your profession?14

    A Yes, sir.15

    Q And in support of your statement that youre a16

    toxicologist, have you prepared some slides to talk about those17

    issues?18

    A Yes, sir. I have.19

    Q Okay. You are a toxicologist? What does a toxicologist20

    do?21

    A Specifically, a human toxicologist studies disease and22

    chemical, physical and biological agents which may have a role23

    in the disease. Its actually called the science of poisons.24

    Q Okay. And what types of materials do you use and25

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    Anderson - Direct/Houff 63

    regularly refer and analyze in your work as a human1

    toxicologist?2

    A Mr. Houff, I use a variety of means and measures. For3

    example, I would use studies that are conducted by others that4

    include exposure studies. I would also include studies that5

    are prepared and published by others which we might term6

    epidemiological studies. Then, at times I will actually have7

    the opportunity to measure certain exposures and to evaluate8

    facts related to those exposures.9

    Q And youre also trained in industrial hygiene, are you10

    not, sir?11

    A Yes, sir.12

    Q And what is an industrial hygienist, and what types of13

    work have you done in industrial hygiene?14

    A Ill divide the questions. First, my training includes a15

    Masters of Science degree in industrial hygiene, with16

    industrial hygiene being defined as the art and science related17

    to the recognition, evaluation and control of materials and18

    substances to which a worker may be exposed. During my 40 year19

    career I have been engaged and employed as an industrial20

    hygienist with the Johnson Space Center, with the United States21

    Department of Labor, the Occupational Safety and Health22

    Administration, with A.O. Smith Corporation, and in the latter23

    22 years of my career in consulting.24

    Q And you are not a medical doctor, correct, sir?25

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    Anderson - Direct/Houff 67

    that time.1

    Q And then you did some work with the Oklahoma Environmental2

    Protection Agency. Can you tell the Court briefly about that?3

    A Yes, sir. While I was completing my baccalaureate degree4

    and before I started my masters program I accepted a position5

    at -- at that time what was termed the Oklahoma Environmental6

    Protections Agency as an environmental engineer in Pontotoc7

    County. Thats the department where I essentially established8

    the water quality laboratory for that county through the state9

    of Oklahoma.10

    MR. HOUFF: Your Honor, at this time I would offer11

    Dr. Anderson as an expert toxicologist, human toxicologist,12

    industrial hygienist and risk assessor.13

    MR. FINCH: No voir dire, Your Honor.14

    UNIDENTIFIED ATTORNEY: No voir dire, Your Honor.15

    THE COURT: All right. He is so accepted.16

    MR. HOUFF: Thank you, Your Honor.17

    Q Dr. Anderson, Dr. Feingold testified earlier in the week18

    regarding the history of science and asbestos, and gave us some19

    of the epidemiology, and you have prepared some slides here,20

    have you not, to explain what you call the science of asbestos?21

    A Yes, sir. I have.22

    Q Okay. Would you please use the slides and explain to the23

    Court your opinions and what the materials shown on Slides 9 to24

    12 demonstrate about the science of asbestos as they relate to25

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    Anderson - Direct/Houff 75

    A Yes, sir. From my research, and again, doing this kind of1

    stuff for 40 years, there have been four key studies that have2

    looked at relative risk, or potency, or both, comparing3

    amphiboles, and in some cases specifically -- some specific4

    commercially available amphiboles to chrysotile. The first5

    study was the 2000 Hodgson & Darnton study that essentially6

    compared the potencies from chrysotile to amosite to7

    crocidolite, and they found increased risk of chrysotile at8

    one, amosite at 100, and crocidolite at 500.9

    Recently some have tried to say that when Hodgson &10

    Darnton looked at the updated Loomis cohort, which was one of11

    22 cohorts included in this study that Hodgson stated in a12

    brief publication that that would change the potency factors by13

    a factor of ten. In my direct communications via e-mail with14

    Mr. Hodgson, he clarified that meaning that it should only15

    change the potencies in that Loomis study only, not the16

    entirety of every one of the 22 studies used to calculated17

    these potency factors.18

    Q And that e-mail exchange was included as an exhibit in19

    your deposition when Mr. Finch took it, correct?20

    A Yes, sir.21

    Q Okay.22

    A The second study --23

    Q Did I go too far?24

    A The second study --25

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    Anderson - Direct/Houff 76

    Q Right.1

    A The second study essentially has been debated very2

    stringently by a committee that was empaneled by the U.S. EPA3

    to study to study the work of Berman and Crump. I dont4

    present this as being the primary basis of my opinion, but5

    nonetheless it is utilized to illustrate the different risk and6

    potencies that a committee empaneled by the U.S. EPA at one7

    time calculated. In this study Berman and Crump, again, using8

    chrysotile at a factor of one, found for amphiboles in9

    combination that the increased relative risk would be at 80010

    for amphiboles. The third study was by Peto and Hodgson, where11

    they looked and examined the potencies and relative risk12

    predicated upon a comparison of chrysotile and amphiboles. And13

    essentially -- I think if we click it one more time, Mr. Houff,14

    it may -- go more --15

    Q There it is.16

    A The authors state we gave no weight to chrysotile. In17

    that comparison they did find the relative risk at a hundred18

    percent related to exposures to amphiboles and mesothelioma.19

    The last of the four studies that I used is the 2006 Yarborough20

    study, again, where Yarborough found no association and gave no21

    weight to chrysotile and gave a hundred percent weightiness to22

    amphiboles in respect to the increased risk. The next slide23

    will essentially show the comparison of all four of these24

    different studies. And again, Im not suggesting that the 200325

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    Anderson - Direct/Houff 77

    Berman and Crump study has been validated. Nonetheless it does1

    show in comparative fashion what, during their review of the2

    literature they found with the other three studies being, in my3

    opinion, more conclusive.4

    Q Dr. Anderson, have you also -- turning to the subject of5

    dose response and thresholds for the induction of mesothelioma,6

    do you have an opinion concerning whether the studies relied7

    upon by plaintiffs experts reasonably support their contention8

    that there is no safe level of exposure to asbestos in the9

    induction of mesothelioma?10

    A Well, I would relate this to two steps. I didnt find11

    reference to any of the seven studies of actual drywall workers12

    or workers that include drywall work practices in any of the13

    reports or any of the deposition transcripts. Rather, I have14

    found at least seven studies of which large cohorts of drywall15

    workers or workers engaged in some form of drywall work16

    practices, and these seven studies in large cohorts with some17

    limitations related to the use of death certificates where we18

    have found either no excess cases, no statistically valid case19

    numbers, or in some of the studies no cases at all of20

    mesothelioma, again, in these very large cohort of workers.21

    Q What does Slide 23 show, sir?22

    A It has been interesting over the years to see the reliance23

    of others on defining the importance of the fact that the24

    Consumer Product Safety Commission in 1977 and 1978 banned the25

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    Anderson - Direct/Houff 79

    the fact that theres no safe threshold. The no safe threshold1

    is an anomaly thats predicated upon, again, mathematics. This2

    slide attempts to show the --3

    Q This slide being 25, sir?4

    A 25. Yes, sir.5

    Q Thank you.6

    A This slide attempts to show what is known and what isnt7

    known to derive the no safe threshold statement thats often8

    made. On the right half of this slide we see the plotting of a9

    specific study with a specific range of doses. On that right10

    side of the slide a line of best fit then is mathematically11

    calculated to show what the predicted relationship or observed12

    relationship may be. The left hand side of the slide is13

    completely hypothesized. Essentially to show linearity, the14

    top dotted line of the possible responses is the downward15

    extrapolation to provide the intersect of the zero response16

    with the zero dose, completely hypothesized. We have no basis17

    for that. But with that zero response at zero dose we have a18

    no safe threshold. Ive also plotted two other potential19

    hypothesized responses that one might find. Essentially we20

    could use any response if we were not convinced that we wanted21

    to go to the zero dose at zero response.22

    Q So, the bottom line here, Dr. Anderson, as I understand23

    your testimony, and please correct me if Im wrong, is that the24

    only thing that we actually know about threshold appears from25

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    Anderson - Direct/Houff 81

    three different data sets. First, from the time I was first1

    retained by Bondex in early 2004 until their bankruptcy I had2

    actually been retained on 130 cases. Some of those cases went3

    away because of bankruptcy, and have been included elsewhere.4

    Some of the cases were settled before I reviewed the data. And5

    some of the cases were for disease or disease processes other6

    than mesothelioma. So resulting, I have 101 cases for which I7

    have drafted reports.8

    The second data set I used was a data set of 9079

    cases that were resolved prior to bankruptcy that was provided10

    to me by Bates White. Included in those 907 were actually 1511

    of my cases of which I had drafted a report that are included12

    in 101 cases. And then, thirdly, I was provided information13

    related to 2,753 PIQs of which -- 2,765 PIQs, of which 1,51314

    had received quality control evaluation by Bates White or15

    Logan, or both. I selected ten percent of those, or 151.16

    When I looked specifically, then, at each of those17

    data sets, of the 101 cases for which I drafted reports I could18

    stratify these 101 cases into five categories. DIY-ers,19

    drywallers, bystanders, laundry exposure, and a combination of20

    the above.21

    Q DIY-ers means do-it-yourself-er?22

    A Yes, sir.23

    Q Okay. Thank you.24

    A Weve kind of developed our own vernacular for this stuff,25

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    Anderson - Direct/Houff 85

    Q Please state those conclusions as they appear or elaborate1

    on them as they appear on Slides 30 and 31.2

    A As we discussed earlier, I would first conclude that any3

    difference or differences in the toxicity including any dose4

    response relationship and potency in asbestos fiber types are5

    profound. Secondly, I have found, and I would like anyone to6

    show me any epidemiological study of drywall workers that found7

    excess cases of mesothelioma in drywall workers. Drywall8

    workers, in general -- if we look at the literature in 19889

    Carey published a study based on census findings that between10

    150 and 160,000 drywall workers that the average employment as11

    a drywaller was 5.7 years. If we apply the 2.1 fiber per cc12

    for premixed joint compound and 4.5 fiber per cc for dry mix13

    time-weighted averages a lifetime drywall worker then would14

    have a dose that exceeded five fiber years per cc.15

    Q Can we take just one second and talk about what a16

    time-weighted average is, as opposed to some of the other17

    things that weve seen?18

    A A time-weighted average provides in this instance the19

    weighted values for all work practices for which a drywall20

    worker would be engaged using joint compound. For dry powder21

    it would include mixing, applying, sanding and cleanup. For22

    premix it would include applying, sanding and cleanup. From23

    those work practices, Verma and Middleton evaluated and24

    established percentages of the day that would be devoted to25

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    Anderson - Direct/Houff 87

    the intercept of zero dose and zero effect is a no threshold1

    found for asbestos. And lastly, my review of information and2

    facts of 1,159 Bondex cases, including 151 PIQs, revealed that3

    in approximately seven percent of the cases a material asbestos4

    dose, and that should be chrysotile asbestos dose, resulting5

    from the use, or being around the use of Bondex asbestos6

    containing materials including joint compound may have7

    occurred.8

    Q Doctor, thank you very much.9

    MR. HOUFF: I have no further questions at this time,10

    Your Honor.11

    THE COURT: One second, please.12

    MR. FINCH: Your Honor, maybe if we have a moment to13

    just switch. We dont need a recess, just --14

    THE WITNESS: I think shes got some questions.15

    THE COURT: Doctor, just so I understand your point,16

    Number 5 as it relates to chrysotile and amphibole asbestos,17

    could you clarify for me please how youre relating your18

    finding, Number 5, to what you observed in the 1,159 cases?19

    THE WITNESS: Yes, maam. Number 5 is, actually, a20

    more universal statement which with great specificity that as I21

    attempted to show earlier in order to have linearity to this22

    zero intercept regulatory agencies and others have shown the no23

    threshold. Regardless of the no threshold, that does not mean24

    that we have causation. That means, at best, we could show an25

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    Anderson - Direct/Houff 89

    be reflected in the epidemiological studies relating to drywall1

    workers?2

    A Yes, sir, it would.3

    Q Okay. And once again, your understanding of the4

    literature relating to epidemiology and drywall workers shows5

    what with respect to the development of mesothelioma?6

    A We either have no excess cases, we have no statistical7

    establishment of excess cases, or in some studies we have no8

    cases at all of mesothelioma in large cohorts of drywall9

    workers or other workers engaged in drywall work practices.10

    MR. HOUFF: Thank you. I have nothing further, Your11

    Honor.12

    THE COURT: Did those studies include any -- well, I13

    dont know how to ask that question -- any workers who would be14

    using Bondex products? I thought that you had indicated15

    earlier that the studies were from other parts of the world,16

    not necessarily here.17

    THE WITNESS: No. If I led you to that conclusion,18

    Im sorry. The studies were of United States workers --19

    THE COURT: All right.20

    THE WITNESS: -- but theres no identity of any21

    materials that they allegedly used, much less Bondex.22

    THE COURT: All right. Thank you.23

    MR. HOUFF: Ill pass the witness at this time, Your24

    Honor.25

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    Anderson - Cross/Finch 94

    Q And thats not an epidemiology study, thats just a1

    description of what dose reconstruction is, correct?2

    A Its a little broader based than that, but yes, sir. It3

    does include dose reconstruction.4

    Q Okay. It was not an epidemiology study?5

    A Thats correct.6

    Q And well get to that paper maybe in a little while. The7

    second paper you wrote was a review paper with no original8

    research in it, correct?9

    A Thats correct.10

    Q What you did is you reviewed the work of other scientists11

    who had published things in the Peer Reviewed literature and12

    you wrote a paper about it. Thats what a review paper is,13

    right?14

    A Thats correct.15

    Q You used to be at OSHA, correct?16

    A I was.17

    Q While you were -- you know that OSHA has regulations18

    concerning asbestos exposure, correct?19

    A I --20

    Q Not why -- you were aware that it has regulations. My21

    question is just does it -- it does have regulations relating22

    to asbestos exposure, correct?23

    A It does.24

    Q And in the late 1980s and early 1990s, OSHA had hearings25

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    Anderson - Cross/Finch 97

    Q Inc. Its a 600 employee company, correct?1

    A I think we have a scooch over, but around 600 employees,2

    yes, sir.3

    Q And youve been paid $408 per hour for testimony in4

    connection with the Bondex case, correct?5

    A I havent been paid yet. I hope to be paid.6

    (Laughter)7

    Q Okay. Youre company bills out at $408 per hour for8

    testimony, correct?9

    A In this case, yes, sir.10

    Q In this case. And its $240 per hour to look at documents11

    and to do analysis and write the report that you generated,12

    correct?13

    A Yes, sir.14

    Q And you were paid -- as of the time of your deposition,15

    you had been paid about two hundred -- or your company had been16

    paid about $200,000 by Bondex in this case, correct?17

    A I dont know that weve been paid everything, but I18

    believe we billed around 200,000.19

    Q Okay. This isnt obviously the first time youve worked20

    for Bondex. You have worked for Bondex in over a hundred cases21

    in asbestos litigation, correct?22

    A Yes, sir.23

    Q There is a company called Georgia Pacific that once upon a24

    time made asbestos containing joint compound, correct?25

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    Anderson - Cross/Finch 99

    Q And youve worked for them in over 50 cases, correct?1

    A Yes, sir.2

    Q Youve worked for Kelly-Moore, correct?3

    A A couple times, yes, sir.4

    Q Kelly-Moore is a company that has had asbestos, chrysotile5

    asbestos incorporated into either joint compound or paint6

    texture products, correct?7

    A I dont recall the paint texture, but I do recall joint8

    compound.9

    Q Okay. They made joint compound with asbestos in it just10

    like Bondex and Georgia Pacific and Kaiser Gypsum, right?11

    A Yes, sir.12

    Q And youve worked for them too, right?13

    A Yes, sir.14

    Q Youve worked for THAN, T-h-a-n, correct?15

    A Thats correct.16

    Q THAN is a company that supplies asbestos fiber to other17

    companies, correct?18

    A Well, my understanding was THAN did a lot of things. That19

    was one of their business lines.20

    Q Okay. And do you have the understanding that THAN was a21

    supplier of fiber to Bondex?22

    A I dont know that I know that.23

    Q Okay. And we might come back to THAN in a minute. Youve24

    also worked for various other defendants that I havent listed25

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    Anderson - Cross/Finch 103

    Q Okay. I think were on the same page. And you -- I think1

    I -- I think I understood your testimony on direct -- and Im2

    just going to switch just quickly here. You also talked about3

    two other categories. You looked at the 107 summaries and you4

    looked at some personal injury questionnaires, correct?5

    A Yes, sir.6

    Q And that slide up in front of you shows roughly the number7

    of cases in each bucket that you looked at, right?8

    A Yes, sir.9

    Q Okay. And thats a slide I believe Mr. Houff showed --10

    thats the slide you helped him put together on direct,11

    correct?12

    A Yes, sir.13

    Q And what you found was essentially all the cases had14

    amphibole exposure in the 101 cases for which you drafted15

    reports when Bondex prior to going into --16

    THE COURT: I cant hear you, Mr. Finch.17

    MR. FINCH: Sure.18

    Q All -- essentially of the 101 cases, all of them had19

    amphibole exposures identified, right?20

    A Yes, sir.21

    Q Okay. And then you looked at the 907 cases and you found22

    no meaningful differences as compared to the 101 cases for23

    which you had drafted reports for Bondex before it went into24

    bankruptcy, right?25

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    Anderson - Cross/Finch 104

    A Thats correct.1

    Q Okay. And then you looked at the 151 personal injury2

    questionnaires, and again I found no meaningful differences as3

    compared to either the 101 pre-bankruptcy cases you worked on4

    or the 907 reports that you -- or cases that were resolved5

    prior to bankruptcy, correct?6

    A Thats correct.7

    Q Okay. This is a slide Dr. Feingold presented. There he8

    found that there were -- ten percent of the cohort he looked at9

    had direct joint compound exposure alone. Thats different10

    than what you found, correct?11

    A He looked at -- Im trying to interpret this -- 229 cases12

    where Ive looked at over 1000 and of the 229 cases that youre13

    saying Dr. Feingold looked at he found 25 or 10.92 percent as14

    compared to approximately seven percent that I found.15

    Q No. But the difference is you said that for the 101 cases16

    and the 907 cases and the 151 that virtually all of them had17

    amphibole exposure, right?18

    A Yes, sir.19

    Q Dr. Feingolds slide says that ten percent of the ones he20

    looked at had only joint compound exposure.21

    THE COURT: Pardon me. I dont think thats what22

    Dr. Feingolds testimony was, Mr. Finch. Maybe we better go23

    back and look. I thought what he said was that ten percent of24

    the cases showed that they -- from the information he had there25

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    Anderson - Cross/Finch 108

    tremolite in it or not, correct?1

    A Yes, sir.2

    Q And there is also -- its generally recognized by3

    scientists around the world that there is a causal relationship4

    between chrysotile asbestos and pleural plaques, right?5

    A Yes, sir.6

    Q Thats a disease that affects the pleura of the lung,7

    which is the lining around the lung, right?8

    A Yes, sir.9

    Q And the pleura of the lung is the same place where10

    mesothelioma occurs, correct?11

    A In and around, yes, sir.12

    Q And you would agree that the scientists around the world13

    have agreed that there is a causal relationship between14

    chrysotile asbestos and pleural plaques regardless of whether15

    or not the chrysotile has tremolite in it, correct?16

    A I believe so.17

    Q You would agree that there is a causal relationship18

    between chrysotile asbestos and lung cancer, correct?19

    A Some types of lung cancer, yes, sir.20

    Q And that scientists around the world are in general21

    agreement that chrysotile asbestos -- there is causal22

    relationship between chrysotile asbestos and various types of23

    lung cancer, correct?24

    A I believe so.25

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    Anderson - Cross/Finch 112

    A I believe Ive seen it before, yes, sir.1

    Q Its a, article published by Dr. Lemen. Chrysotile2

    asbestos is a cause of mesothelioma application of the Hill3

    causation model, see that?4

    A His commentary on such, yes, sir.5

    Q And he reviewed the nine Bradford Hill criteria and isnt6

    it correct that Dr. Lemen concluded chrysotile asbestos meets7

    Hills nine proposed criteria establishing chrysotile asbestos8

    as a cause of mesothelioma?9

    A Can you direct me to the page?10

    Q In the abstract, the last sentence before key words, see11

    that?12

    A Yes, sir. Thats what it says.13

    Q You used to be at OSHA, correct?14

    A Yes, sir.15

    Q OSHA has concluded, has examined the question and16

    concluded that there is a causal relationship between17

    chrysotile and mesothelioma, correct?18

    A Through their risk assessment, yes, sir.19

    Q The Environmental Protection Agency has concluded that20

    theres a causal relationship between chrysotile and21

    mesothelioma, correct?22

    A Correct.23

    Q The ATSDR, which is the Agency for Toxic Substances and24

    Disease Registry, has concluded theres a causal relationship25

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    Anderson - Cross/Finch 116

    with the Pira paper, correct?1

    A Yes, sir.2

    Q The Pira paper was a paper published in 2009, right?3

    A I dont see the date, but I think that would be the4

    approximate time.5

    Q Okay. And youre familiar with the Pira paper because you6

    have reviewed it in the past, right?7

    A Yes, sir. I think its --8

    Q And we talked about it at your deposition, right?9

    A We did or didnt?10

    Q We did.11

    A Yes, sir.12

    Q And the Pira paper is again a group of -- its a -- this13

    is actually a epidemiology study that -- looking at the same14

    chrysotile from Balangero Italy, correct?15

    A Yes, sir.16

    Q And there they found -- we found a significant excess17

    mortality from pleural cancer only, four deaths, SMR 4.67, and18

    pleural and peritoneal cancers combined, five deaths, SMR 3.16.19

    Thats what they found, right?20

    A Thats correct.21

    Q And pleural cancer is mesothelioma, correct?22

    A I assume thats what they meant.23

    Q Okay. And the chrysotile that comes from Balangero,24

    Italy, there isnt any tremolite in it, right.25

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    summary section -- I have the article if you would like to have1

    the whole copy -- but he says the case that chrysotile is a2

    potent causative factor in producing mesothelioma is a strong3

    one. It is shown to be so in a comparison of more than 404

    studies of different fiber exposure circumstances, he writes5

    that, right?6

    A He wrote that. And the 40 studies, again, are ones we7

    talked about where we dont have sole exposure to chrysotile.8

    Q And then he goes on to say, all available data suggests9

    that it -- and hes talking about chrysotile -- youd agree10

    with me that hes -- that the it means chrysotile?11

    A I believe so.12

    Q Okay. It dominates the risk in those circumstances where13

    it is the principle fiber used. The risk of chrysotile in14

    producing mesothelioma is similar to that of amosite on a per15

    fiber exposure basis. Thats what he wrote in 2001, right?16

    A Yes, sir.17

    Q Okay. And youre aware that in 2008, the Environmental18

    Protection Agency went out and convened a science advisory19

    board to look at the potency factor analysis done by some20

    people called Berman and Crump, correct?21

    A I talked about that earlier, yes, sir.22

    Q Okay. And you havent published anything in the Peer23

    Review literature about the results of the fiber potency24

    analyses done by the EPA, correct?25

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    Anderson - Cross/Finch 123

    prepare during my deposition if I recall.1

    MR. FINCH: Okay. Im going to try this one more2

    time and I know Mr. Evert has criticized my drawing ability, so3

    Im going to try to do -- can you see this, Your Honor?4

    THE COURT: Yes.5

    Q Okay. So what Ive drawn here is a chart where the dose6

    is on the X axis going out, right, Dr. Anderson?7

    A Yes, sir.8

    Q And the response, which is the incidence of disease that9

    you see from a given dose is on the Y axis going up and down,10

    vertical, right?11

    A The vertical, primarily be some type of increased risk,12

    not --13

    Q Increased risk of getting a disease, thats what you have14

    on your chart up there, right?15

    A I just put risk, but --16

    Q You put risk --17

    A -- it implies vertically it moves from zero to some18

    number.19

    Q And this is where you have observed data on various20

    cohorts. You mean you can -- this is where the -- for example21

    up there you have observed and then you have hypothesized, do22

    you see that on your chart?23

    A Yes, sir.24

    Q Okay. And then you talked about a linear, no threshold25

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    Anderson - Cross/Finch 126

    Q Okay. So there is -- but this is the shape of a1

    supralinear dose response curve, correct? Its above, its2

    higher risk than a linear no threshold curve, correct?3

    A It could be a hypothesized supralinear response curve.4

    Q Okay. In your report, Reference Number 114, I believe it5

    is, you cite -- do you have your report with you?6

    A I do.7

    Q Let me just see if were on the same page here. You cite8

    to Berman and Crump, update of potency factors for asbestos9

    related lung cancer and mesothelioma in something called10

    critical reviews and toxicology, do you see that, sir?11

    Reference 114?12

    A Im trying to get there, Nate, if you can give me a second13

    please. Yes, sir.14

    MR. FINCH: Your Honor, may I approach the witness?15

    THE COURT: Yes.16

    Q Another copy of that one, thats Berman and Crump 2008.17

    Thats the paper that you cited as one of your papers you were18

    relying on for your opinions in this case, right, Dr. Anderson?19

    A Yes, sir.20

    THE COURT: Mr. Finch, let me just interrupt. Is21