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| 1 | USD INDEXED BOND
MATURITY 2019 - 2023
COSTS 1,50%
| 2 | BNI TERM DEPOSITS
6M 12M
100K - 5M
>5M - 50M
>50M - 100M
100M+
AMOUNT 1M 2M 3M
10,90%
11,40%
11,90%
12,40%
11,05%
11,55%
12,05%
12,55%
11,20%
11,70%
12,20%
12,70%
11,35%
11,85%
12,35%
12,85%
11,50%
12,00%
12,50%
13,00%
01 02 CROSS CURRENCY MATRIX
BNI: INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES
BRENT OIL PRICE
19th August 2019
Source: XECurrency
0403
Graphic 2 | Source: EIA - Energy Information Administration Source: XECurrency
MARKET ANALYSIS0605
MARKET BULLETIN
BOND MARKET07BT - Treasury Bills
BT - Treasury Bills
BT - Treasury Bills
OTX - Bonds Indexed to USD
OTX - Bonds Indexed to USD
OTX - Bonds Indexed to USD
91 DAYS
182 DAYS
364 DAYS
3 YEARS
4 YEARS
5 YEARS
16,15%
20,25%
23,90%
7,00%
7,50%
7,75%
Greater Security for your business,more comfort for your customers.
Saudi Arabia has deployed the whatever-it-takes weapon to increase oil prices. This is not the first time the Kingdom has committed itself to do the same, in May 2017, energy minister Khalid Al-Falih used that exact phrase when Brent crude had slipped below $50 a barrel. It sparked a brief rally, followed by a brief dip again, that ultimately segued into a sustained march toward $86 by the fall of 2018 (Graphic nº 2).
During the organization actually had some favourable trends going its way. One of these was its own hesitancy to deliver on the production cuts agreed in late 2016. Apart from Saudi Arabia and the involuntary “discipline” of Venezuela and Angola, the rest of the group didn't collectively get with the program until toward the end of 2017.
In other words, there was plenty of room in May 2017 for many members just to do something, none of this holds true today. Saudi Arabia already bears a disproportionate share of the OPEC+ cuts and relies on just a handful of others (including Russia) to maintain credibility on this front. Iran's output is down by 1.6 million barrels a day already. And the balance between global oil demand growth and non-OPEC supply has reversed completely (Graphic nº 2).
According to the National Institute of Statistics (INE) the National Consumer Price Index (IPCN) for July 2019, the year-on-year change reached 17.24%, a decrease of 1.77% compared to the same period of the previous year. This increase, between June and July, also boosted the 12-month accumulation, which went from 16.94% to 17.24%, the first increase since the beginning of 2019. The Housing, Water, Electricity and Fuels ” category with a rise of 3.53%, was the one that registered the biggest price increase.(Graphic nº 3).
BNI - Direcção Financeira Internacional
CERTIFICAÇÃO INTERNACIONAL DE QUALIDADE
BNI - Banco de Negócios InternacionalAvenida Che-Guevara nº 42 - A, Bairro Maculusso, Distrito da Ingombota. Caixa Postal 578. Luanda - AngolaTel: (+244) 222 632 900 / (+244) 222 632 901 / Fax: (+244) 222 371 887
www.bni.ao
PASSION FOR ANGOLA.To realise, develop and participate in Angola’s growth.This is where we apply our passion. To always do better.
Graphic 1 | Source: Bloomberg
Graphic 3 | Source: BNA
NATIONAL CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
AOA
USD
GBP
EUR
ZAR
1 00000,
0,00276
0,00228
0,00249
0,04238
361,981
1,00000
0,82514
0,90055
15,3391
438,693
1,21192
1 00000,
1,09139
18,5897
401,957
1,11044
0,91626
1,00000
17,0330
23,5987
0,06519
0,05379
0,05871
1,00000
1 AOA 1 USD 1 GBP 1 EUR 1 ZAR
2017 2018 2019
$ per barrel 90
80
70
60
50
40
Brent Crude Oil Price
OIL GLOBAL DEMAND / NON-OPEC SUPPLY
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
3
2
1
0
-1
Global Demand Non-OPEC Supply
17,30%
17,20%
17,10%
17,00%
16,90%
16,80%
16,70%Jun 2019 Jul 2019
Millio
n B
arrels a day