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The entrepreneurial Process & How to Evaluate my Business Idea. Sharon Itzkovich - Technion
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1
The Entrepreneurial Process & How to Evaluate my Business Idea
Sharon Itzkovitch – Technion
Workshop 1: Idea Management
Agenda
• The high-tech entrepreneurial process
• Criteria for opportunity evaluation
• Tools for evaluating industry and idea
• Innovating in existing markets
The Entrepreneurial Process in High Tech
OpportunitySource
NewTechnology/Innovation
OpportunityDiscovery
OpportunityEvaluation
Expectedvalue
Assemblingresources
Opportunityexploitation
Performance:• Exit value
• Sales/Growth• Profits
The entrepreneurial team
Business Plan
1. Technology Changes/Inventions
2. In-efficiencies and incongruity between reality as it is and as it ought to be
3. Changes in the way we live, learn, work, etc
4. Demographic trends
5. Market changes-value chain disruption, deregulation
OpportunitySources
OpportunityDiscovery
Sources ofOpportunities
Technology as a Source of Opportunity
Incremental
Radical
- Extension of existing product
- Demand-side market / customer pull
- New technology creates new market
- Supply-side market / technology push
Can you shortly describe:• The product or service you want to offer• Your customers (in very specific terms)• The unique value proposition to these
customers- something that will make a difference to them
• Why are you better than competitors
OpportunitySources
OpportunityDiscoveryAn opportunity
OpportunitySource
NewTechnology/Innovation
OpportunityDiscovery
OpportunityEvaluation
Expectedvalue
Assemblingresources
Opportunityexploitation
Performance:• Exit value
• Sales/Growth• Profits
The entrepreneurial team
Business Plan• Sufficient expected value to go for it and to recruit resources• Sufficient expected capability to execute
The Entrepreneurial Process in High Tech
Opportunity Discovery• Industry domain know-how• Understanding customer’s need• Specific expertise in at least one area
Opportunity Evaluation
• Industry domain expertise• Understanding the process from a technology to a manufacturable and sellable product• Understanding market access and its costs
Issues Facing Young Entrepreneurs
Expectedvalue
Assemblingresources
• Establishing company as legal entity
• Recruiting personnel
• Raising money
• Renting a place
• Selecting service providers
• Choosing partners
Assembling Resources
Assemblingresources The entrepreneurial team
Founder Teams are preferable:• Complementary skills and capabilities• Emotional support• Wider network• Higher rate of success, therefore investors like teams
However, be ready for conflicts in team:• Make a founder’s agreement• Have a trusted third party• Remember- conflicts could be good for the venture
The Entrepreneurial Team
Opportunityexploitation
Performance:• Exit value
• Sales/Growth• Profits• An iterative process with continuous
adaptation of product/service offering
and business model
• Balancing fire fighting and long term planning
• In parallel: build marketing & sales; R&D; HR
policies; build alliances and do fund raising
• Hard work, persistency, self-confidence
Opportunity Exploitation
Criteria for Opportunity Evaluation
1. Unique Value proposition: Do we fulfill and important customer need? Who has this need- who is our target market? Do we do it in an unique way? How will we
differentiate our company from what is already out there?
Value Appropriated
Value Created
Examples of Delta betweenValue created and Value appropriated:-Search engines-Music downloads-Some medical treatments
Criteria for Opportunity Evaluation
2. Revenue Model: How are we going to make money?
Criteria for Opportunity Evaluation
3. Are we in the right industry/ market?
Is the industry growing / mature?
How big is your market in dollars (market size) ? How fast is it growing (market growth)?
How many competitors do you have and of what quality are they? What are the barriers to entry?
Electric cars
Industry Life Cycles and Business Opportunities
Time
Marketsize
Blue Oceans:-New market space; value innovation -Starbucks, SW Airlines
Mini TV’S
TV in mobile phone
• Fast growth• Fragmented markets• Many players• No standards
Criteria for Opportunity Evaluation
4. Do we know the risks and the time and money needed to become profitable?
Time, money and risk to product (Pharma versus Internet)
Time, money and risk to market
Time , money and risk to money
Criteria for opportunity evaluation
5. Can we as team do it?
- Self confidence essential
- Over confidence often necessary
otherwise you would never start but listen to
team members and advisors
- If you do not passionately believe in your idea and
capabilities nobody else will, but if you are the only
one you may have a problem…
Social traffic and navigation app
• Customer value proposition?• Revenue Model ?• Right Industry ?• Risks and time to money?• Can they do it ?
Example(1): Opportunity Evaluation
Glasses for developing countriesThe amount of liquid in lens can be adjusted with a pump.
Universal Glasses developed by Prof. Joshua Silver , nuclear scientist of Oxford
• Customer value proposition?• Revenue Model ?• Right industry ?• Risks and time to money ?• Can he do it ?
Example(2): Opportunity Evaluation
www.israeltoremet.org
To connect between small donors and NGO’s in Israel. Entrepreneur: Yonatan Ben DorOpportunity : 27,000 NGO’s in Israel looking for donations
• Customer value proposition?• Revenue model ?• Right business ?• Risks and time to money ?• Can he do it?
Example(3): Opportunity Evaluation
מחקר שוק- מטרות הכרת הענף, המתחרים ושרשרת הערך
זיהוי לקוחות והבנת הדרישות שלהם
הערכת הביקוש הנוכחי ופוטנציאל השוק
זיהוי הזדמנויות וסיכונים
תחזיות של מכירות ונתחי שוק
Tools for Evaluating Industry and Idea
מחקר שוק- מה בודקים?
הענף והתחרות:הכרת המתחרים כולל פתרונות / טכנולוגיות חלופיות שחקנים ומוצרים לאורך שרשרת הערך תחרות פוטנציאלית מתעשיות אחרות היקף וגודל השוק
זיהוי פלחי לקוחותהצורך והכאב דרישות רגישות למחיר
פתיחות / התנגדויות בשוק
גישה ללקוחות
מקבלי ההחלטות בארגון
סקר שוק- מקורות בעלות נמוכה
לקוחות פוטנציאליים תערוכות וכנסים :אינטרנט Crunchbase; patent search; Google... פרסומים מקצועיים חוקרים ומובילי דעה בתחום ...מקורות ממשלתיים: משרד התמ"ת, מכון היצוא מחקרי שוק שנעשו ע"י חברות מחקר (כגון IDC ,
D&B(
Threat of New Potential Entrants
Bargaining Power of Suppliers
Bargaining Power of Buyers
Threat of Substitutes
Industry Competitors
Rivalry
“The Five Forces”
TechnologicalChange
EcologicalChange
ChangingBusiness Practices
Macroeconomicdevelopment
PoliticalSituation
RegulationDe-regulationRe-regulation
Changes inCustomers’Customers
Demographic/Psychographic
Changes
Adapted from Porter, Michael (1980), Competitive Strategy, Free Press
Industry Analysis
Competitors Analysis
Competitor’s offer to customers
Competitor’s strategy
Competitor’s assumptionsabout the industry
Competitor’s keystrengths and weaknesses
How will you be different than competitors?
How will the competitorrespond to your initiatives?
Who are your direct and indirect competitors?
PetSmart.comDrsFosterSmith.
comPetMeds.com
Products on home page
Yes Yes Yes
Retail store locator
Yes No No
Expedited shipping options
Yes Yes Yes
Non-pet-type categories
No Yes Yes
Presenting the Competitive Analysis
1. Simple Yes-No Value
Presenting the Competitive Analysis
Key industry success factors
weightComp #1Comp#2Us
Product Innovation
Extensive distribution
Customer service
Price
Total Score
2. Competitive Array
Presenting the Competitive Analysis
3. Two by Two
Analysis S.W.O.T
ניתוח הסביבה הפנימית
strengthSחוזקות
weaknessesWחולשות
ניתוח הסביבה החיצונית
opportunitiesOהזדמנויות
threatsTאיומים
Analysis S.W.O.T
Strengths -Weaknesses -
Opportunities -Threats-
לדוגמא: חוסר במשאבים כספיים- חוסר ניסיון- תאימות נמוכה- לא ניתן להתנסות במוצר לפני -
הרכישה
לדוגמא: טכנולוגיה מתקדמת- פטנט- מוצר פשוט לשימוש, יתרונות ברורים-)advisory board צוות יועצים (-
לדוגמא: מתחרה חזק- ספק חזק- משבר כלכלי-
לדוגמא: תחום חם- סטנדרט טכנולוגי חדש- שינויים רגולטורים-
Questions ?