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BILLITON’S JUNIOR EXPLORATION STRATEGY IN
AUSTRALIA
www.billiton.com
BILLITON
• UK based, LSE listed diversified mining company (floated July 1997)
• Roots in Gencor (South Africa) and the metals assets of Shell
• Number 39 in the Footsie 100• Market capitalisation A$23 Bn
(Rio Tinto A$41 Bn BHP A$38 Bn)
Summary of Investment Programme
Investment breakdown since LSE listing (US$ millions)
Source: Annual reports; Group Finance records; Note: Values include expansion capex & acquisition enterprise values
Commodity 1998 1999 2000 2001 YTD Total
Aluminium 105 390 400 1,558 2,453
Base Metals 1,644 1,644
Coal 208 761 152 386 1,507
Nickel 32 340 309 102 783
Steel & Ferroalloys 128 416 64 29 637
Iron Ore 327 327
E&D 63 51 45 18 177
Other 65 14 11 27 117
Less: SustainingCapex
-110 -180 -209 -131 - 630
Total 491 1,792 772 3,960 7,015
Scope of Business in Australia
Net Operating Assets: US$3.2B (approx 1/3 of group total)
Alumina: Worsley Joint Venture (86% interest)Nickel: QNI (100% owned)
Yabulu refineryManganese: GEMCO & TEMCO (60% owned)
Samancor joint ventureCoal: COAL (100% owned)
Hunter Valley operations
Base Metals: New Business Division Initiatives
E & D Locations
Johannesburg
Melbourne
Beijing
Kunming
Santiago
Lima
Vancouver
The Hague
London
CentralWestEastChina
Grand Falls
Distribution of Exploration Spend
US$ M 1999 / 2000 1998 / 1999
• Latin America 6 14• Africa 3 10• Australasia 5 6• China 4 3• Other 8 3
• TOTAL 26 36(excl. Rio Algom)
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
Exploration Expenditure/Revenue
Discovery Track Record
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 310
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
DISCOVERIES PER
5 YEAR PERIODSENIOR COMPANY
EXPLORATION
EXPENDITURES
DIS
CO
VE
RIE
S
EX
PL
OR
AT
ION
, US
DO
LL
AR
S
1971 2000Sources: CRU, Gamah, 2000
Business Environment Drivers, 1998/99
MAJORS• Poor industry performance - imperative to cut costs• Disillusionment with “big company” exploration• Impatience with long lead times• Questioning value of exploration
JUNIORS• Many well managed, with attractive property portfolios• Venture capital drying up (post BreX, falling gold price)• Even in a tight market funding 50% of global exploration
-100000
-50000
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
A$ 0
00
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Nu
mb
er
of
Co
mp
an
ies
Exploration Expenditure Net Cash: Increase / Decrease No of Companies
Junior Explorer’s Cash Flow
Our Hypothesis
• The exploration business needs to address: – Discovery costs/rates
• A route forward - Strategic alliances with quality junior companies
• Groups establishing strategic alliances now will dominate the marketplace in a few years - look at the pharmaceuticals
Discovery Big Pharma & Biotech
• Junior sector developed in 1973– Response to high discovery costs and low
success rate– Trade-off some discovery value for external
R&D investment• Sector valued at $US 200 billion today • Dominant supplier of new products to Big
Pharma
US Biotech Performance
100 TOP BIOTECHS MERCK
SALES $6.6 BILLION $26.9 BILLION
MARKET CAP $100 BILLION $168 BILLION
PHASE III TESTS 145 5
Source: BioVenture Consultants Stock Report 6/25/99
US Biotech Acquisitions
By Producers
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42
US
$M
ILL
ION
S
Source: BioVenture Consultants, BioWorld
PIERINA
INDIVIDUAL ACQUISITIONS (Names not shown)
VOISEYS BAY
Biotechnology vs Exploration
1400 companies Can. $10 billion
expenditure 5000 new compounds 5 Stage III tests One FDA approved
drug $250 million per
discovery
1500 companies Can $800 million
expenditure 1000 new projects 5 discoveries 1 new mine $100-200 million per
discoverySource: Discovery data Fenton Scott
Source: Robbins Roth
BIOTECHNOLOGY
JUNIOR EXPLORATION
Fully supported by Big Pharma
Partial support from majors
Implications for Exploration
• R&D success rates are improved in small entrepreneurial firms
• Cost per discovery also reduced• Exploration is comparative with biotech R&D from
an investing perspective• Senior companies must play a lead role in
changing market perceptions of junior exploration
Deal Structures
COMPANY PROJECTEQUITY+JV INTEREST
COMPANY PROJECTEQUITY INTEREST
MiningCo.
MiningCo..
COMPANY PROJECTJV INTEREST
MiningCo.
The Billiton Australia Generic Deal
• Billiton subscribes for shares in “A”
• Billiton subscription funds spent on project “1”
• Billiton has option to own 70% in “1” by disproportionate funding after expenditure of subscription
• “A” is manager and charges fee
• “A” spends other treasury funds at its discretion on “2” etc
Billiton Investors
Junior“A”
Junior Project“2” etc
Junior Project“1”
Right to J.V.
The Australian Generic Deal
SubscriptionPhase
UJV : 51% Earn-in
UJV :70% Earn-in
UJV :Pre-FS to production
Billiton projectequity
Partner projectequity
0 % 51% at vesting 51% to 70%
100 % 49% at vesting 49% to 30%
Billiton: enter UJVor ‘walk’
Billiton: earn more, ‘sit’ or sell
Partner: opt for royalty or abate
Jointly 70 : 30,fund to 90%,
or 100%
Jointly 30 : 70,abate to 10% & loan carry,or royalty (COPI or NSR)
The Alliance Strategy
Billiton Partner
Financial strength Fast acting
Technology Risk seeking
Project management Low cost
Innovative Venture capital oriented
Respective strengths of large & small companies allied for mutual benefit
Due Diligence Criteria
• Management and Technical Teams - capabilities, history, performance, skills, experience, ethics (business, safety, environmental), personal references, previous jobs
• Quality of Drill Targets - remodel selected data, field visit, check assays, maps and sections
• Corporate - ASX compliance, filings, financial status and history, previous deals, liabilities, housekeeping
• Legal - validity of mineral title, outstanding litigation
What’s in it for Billiton
• Immediate access to capabilities and projects
• Exploration better valued
• Possibility to leverage exploration dollars
• Participation in market response to “bonanza” discovery
What’s in it for our Partner
• Technology - geophysics (covered areas)
• Billiton’s name, reputation and expertise
• Equity subscribed at more than current market
• Ability to leverage the Billiton subscription
• Pre-agreed terms for funding to commercial production
• Alliance partnership
Existing Deals
• Minotaur Resources Ltd– Project generation -> Bonython Hill, Mabel Ck.,
Andamooka, Lake Eyre, Mt Woods JV’s
• Malachite Resources NL– Project generation -> Dalmuir,
• Giants Reef Mining Ltd– Bluebush, Barkly, Alexander, Rosella
• Gunson Resources Ltd– Mt Gunson tenements
• Pegmont Mines NL– Pegmont Deeps, May Downs, Gun Ck.
• Equinox Resources Ltd– Norbotten (Sweden), Ethiudna
Yabulu
Bayswater
Worsley
TEMCO
GEMCO
Malachite
Minotaur
Gunson
Ravensthorpe Ni (QNI)
Equinox(Sweden)
NiS JV’s (QNI)
Giants Reef
Pegmont
Equinox
Australia – Operations & Exploration Venture Locations
Some Issues
• Deal Stream for large base metal targets limited
• Future generative activities?
• Integrating the Rio Algom philosophy
• The scale trap
• Last but not least, merge with BHP
The Scale Trap
• $500 Million MiningCo.– $50 million project is 10%- many to be found
• $5 Billion MiningCo.– $500 million project is 10%- very rare
• Future $50 Billion MiningCo.– $5 billion project is 10%- non existent– Exploration becomes irrelevant to growth