BIG DATA AND YBERDIPLOMATS - DiploFoundation · PDF fileterabyte TB 1012, petabyte PB 1015, exabyte EB 1018, zettabyte ZB 1021, yottabyte YB 1024 BIG DATA: collections of data measured

BIG DATA AND CYBERDIPLOMATS

BIG OPPORTUNITIES OR

BIG PROBLEMS?

W. Edwards Deming once said: “In God we trust;

all others must bring data” (Wael Ghonim)

dott. Francesco Vitali - Webinar 11-10-2013 © 2013 Francesco Vitali

EVERYTHING IS DATA

Using a byte as the unit of measurement, we have the following: kilobyte kB 103, megabyte MB 106, gigabyte GB 109,

terabyte TB 1012, petabyte PB 1015, exabyte EB 1018, zettabyte ZB 1021, yottabyte YB 1024

BIG DATA: collections of data measured in petabytes, exabytes, zettabytes,

vast amounts of information which can no longer be stored and analysed in

standard databases using traditional tools.

2012: From iPv4 to iPv6

Ipv4 was based on 32-bit codes,

and so was “only” able to handle

4.3 billion numerical addresses,

too few for today’s needs.

Ipv6, based on 128 bit codes, will

be able to handle 2128 (around

340 billion billion billion billion)

addresses!

© 2013 Francesco Vitali

Smartphones

Tablets

M2M

Smart watch

Kindle like

Kinects like

....

SENSORS’ TIME

ENABLING OBJECTS:

GRIDS..

electricity smart grid

smart video surveillance systems

electronic payment instruments, from standard mobile to NFC

Geolocalisation nets (triangulation of cellular networks ,Wi-Fi networks, or GPS, or RFID)

…


THE THREE DIMENSIONS

1. CIVIL SERVANT -- (JOB RELATED)

2. INDIVIDUAL -- (ONE)

3. CONNECTED PERSON -- (THE WORLD: PERSONAL & JOB RELATED)

THE DIPLOMAT “IN” THE GAME


TECHNOLOGY AT WORK FOR US (slide borrowed from Stefano Baldi)


NEW GEOGRAPHICAL CONCEPTS

Relations

Exchanges

Movements

Sharing of interests

Centres of influence

…


THE HIDDEN COSTS OF A PIZZA


EVERY DAY FUNNY QUESTIONS :

- Pardon, can I hold your wallet and agenda?

- Can I listen to your phone call to help you?

- Can I get your private picture?

- Can I download your diplomatic appointments and all

you private contacts in order to alert you on your friends’

birthday?

- Can I follow you, to suggest you the nearest pizzeria?

PLEASE, HAVE MY WALLET!

THE ECONOMIC GAME

VS FANTASTIC

BENEFITS

HIDDEN

COSTS


• information about appointments

• a complete contact list (sometimes with pictures)

• private and work correspondence

• photographs accompanied by a host of metadata

• films watched and music listened to

• data on bank accounts accessed online

• payments made through technologies integrated with one’s mobile phone

• books or articles read

• fingerprints (?!)

GET EVERYTHING… THE SURFACE LEVEL (!)

HACK? CYBER THREATS?

NO… YOU ACCEPT!!


GET EVERYTHING… THE INNER LEVEL

THE WATER CLOSET AND THE LEADER’S HEALTH


• information about health

• facial expressions’ reading

• spatial movements

• eyes and gaze movements tracker

Key data for determining appropriate “collative

stimuli” or for gaining a better understanding

of what our “executive attention” is influenced

by, or for determining the type of routine that

we adopt…

APPLIED COGNITIVE PSYCHOLOGY

AND NEUROSCIENCE

Effects…

o Data “enrichment” and the de-

anonymisation process

o Data cross-referencing from real world and

online world

o …

Need to cross reference:

o Pattern-Based Aggregation algorithms

o Sentiment Classification algorithms

o Genetic algorithms and neural networks

“BASIC” NEW STATISTICAL

TECHNIQUES

GIVE ME YOUR EYES

LONG TERM - REAL TIME – MONITORING


1) THE TIME FOR MULTIPLE IDENTITIES IS OVER

2) STATISTICAL SAMPLING VS ENTIRE POPULATION ANALYSIS

3) PERSONAL DATA.. IN CONNECTION

The value is not only in

personal data… but it is given

by the connection of my

personal data with those of the

other people…

A) Time

B) connection with “real” life

Every SINGLE INDIVIDUAL has become analyzable both in terms of his or her

UNIQUENESS and in terms of his or her SOCIAL BEHAVIOR in virtual

aggregations (see social networks) or in real aggregations (as in the case of

demonstrations) with other individuals.

DATABASE MATCHING


ATTACK

- AGAINTS THE INDIVIDUAL - THE DIPLOMAT

- AGAINTS A COLLECTIVE GROUP/AUDIENCE

WHAT IF THE TARGET IS “YOU”?


TO BE OR NOT TO BE… CONNECTED?!

FAKE OPTION … Who is not connected.. just doesn’t exist


Companies are transferring client

databases, financial services, Crm

(customer relationship management),

cash flow monitoring data and inventory

management …

THE CLOUD COMPUTING HOLE

Ordinary citizens, almost always

unbeknownst to them, are

transferring a clone of their

lives….


PLAIN GOOD INTELLIGENCE: DATA CONTROL

The European Union case

The Brazilian case

The “normal intelligence control” of the President and of energetic

key players… but what about the population?

Rousseff’s communications were

monitored to figure out if the Brazil

was… friend, enemy, problem


THE BIG DATA ERA: the capacity to monitor reactions to specific

events in real time at the outset… and to influence them

ADVANCE INTELLIGENCE

UNDERSTANDING THE WAVE & FORECASTING THE CLIMAX

Most information is made

accessible by users or sent

automatically by machines.

The Arab spring case

The killer application


E.g. of Darpa, Iarpa and their sisters’ projects

The FUTUREMAP Project (Futures Markets Applied to Prediction)

Crowdsourcing for Intelligence

Social Media in Strategic Communication programme

CREATING AND PREVENTING STRATEGIC SURPRISE

In 2011 it launched a call for tenders for

research projects to fund “revolutionary”

projects in the field of strategic

communications on social networks,

developing new sciences and technologies,

with the aim of “creating and averting

unexpected events in the strategic sphere”


ABILITY TO USE THE DATA

A NEW KEY GEOPOLITICAL AND ECONOMIC POWER FACTOR

NEW WORLD ORDER

Countries – Multinationals (?)

countries able to exercise control through external assistance

countries equipped with autonomous control tools

countries capable of progressing from control to forecasting and manipulation of

individual and social behavior


QUESTION TIME…

THANK YOU


Global iP traffic is forecast to quadruple over the 2011–2016 five-year period, from 369

exabytes of data transmitted to 1.3 zettabytes (110 exabytes per month)

In 2016 the Asia-Pacific region will account for most iP traffic (40.5 exabytes per

month), outstripping North America (27.5 exabytes per month)

The greatest growth rate will not be in global fixed Ip data traffic, but in wireless

networks

In 2016 global mobile data traffic will increase 18 times over the volume recorded in

2011, reaching a monthly volume of approximately 10.8 exabytes (10,804,321 terabytes).

Over 10 billion mobile Internet devices

connected: over 8 billion mobile devices will be

connected and approximately 2 billion M2M

module connections

The flow of mobile data in the Middle East

and Africa, between 2011 and 2016, will

increase 36 times.

SOME FORECASTS ABOUT IP TRAFFIC (2011-2016)


Documents

BIG DATA AND YBERDIPLOMATS - DiploFoundation · PDF fileterabyte TB 1012, petabyte PB 1015, exabyte EB 1018, zettabyte ZB 1021, yottabyte YB 1024 BIG DATA: collections of data measured