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    Cap

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    Answers

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    Transition Wars

    Non-unique: transition wars are happening now

    Transition wars inevitable

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    Generics

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    Terrorism DA

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    Terror threat high

    More people are being recruited b terrorist groups than !"#

    estimates: !"# director $ames Come said that thousands o%

    people are being recruited on encrpted websites that the !"#can&t penetrate'

    McCaul( chairman o% )ouse )omeland *ecurit Committee sas

    there has been an increase in threat streams against local

    police and militar bases'

    Threat o% a lone o+ender is increasing' )omegrown violent

    e,tremists pose the most liel threat to .* domestic securit'

    The #nternet maes terror attacs in the .* e,tremel liel

    and allows #*#* to reach out to a large number o% people'

    #*#*& leader urged Muslims everwhere to /ght in his land in a

    01 minute audio recording'

    Garland( Te,as shooting on Ma 2th is an e,ample o%

    homegrown domestic terror in the .* inspired b #*#*'

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    .* surveillance increasing

    3bama administration has drasticall increased intelligence

    gathering a%ter warnings o% potential terrorist attacs'

    The .'*' militar has ordered an increase in securit at its

    bases around the .nited *tates %or the /rst time in nearl %our

    ears because o% general threats at home'

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    N*A e

    There is no alternative 4 other organi5ations onl trac nown

    terrorists( but it is the unnown terrorist who will in6ict the

    greatest harm'7#% ou&re looing %or a needle in a hastac( ou have to get

    the hastac /rst8

    *ecret surveillance programs helped prevent more than 29

    potential terror attacs worldwide'

    The resident&s ;eview Group sas that the lac o% mass

    surveillance would result in a loss o% signi/cant intelligence

    and impede our abilit to respond to new threats'

    29 incidents o% potential terrorism at home and abroad were

    stopped b the set o% N*A surveillance programs'

    !"# arrested at least 09 Americans on terrorism-related

    charges this ear on 7lone-wol%8 plots( all inspired b #*#*

    propaganda'

    At least ?? attacs' The overwhelming ma@orit

    have been thwarted thans to timel( operational intelligence

    about the threats'

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    Nuclear terrorism

    Terrorists have the abilit to direct individuals to conduct

    small-scale attacs in the .* 4 could pose threat o% WMD'

    Garland( Te,as

    C#A ocial sas that it is not %ar %etched that #*#* or other

    terrorist groups could gain access to weapons o% mass

    destruction'

    Nuclear terrorism is e,tremel liel under Bawahiri a%ter

    anal5ing his

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    Fven a %ew thousand deaths would result in escalation'

    Turns econ: would result in hundreds o% thousands o% %atalities

    and massive propert damage' !ear would erode public

    con/dence'

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    China-Taiwan War

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    War will happen

    China thins the can win a war with the .*' *imulations show

    China beat the .* because o% our diminished /ghter

    capabilities'

    China concerned o% Taiwanese government seeing

    recognition( meaning it&s now or never %or China to invade'

    eaders in "ei@ing concerned over Taiwanese elections' The

    thin Tsai #ng-wen( the D candidate( will win' revious D

    president was hostile to China'

    ;ecent A drills in region are a simulation o% possible

    invasion o% Taiwan'

    Chinese leaders have alwas de%erred invasion because o%

    cross-strait tals but recentl Taiwanese leaders have rebu+ed

    tals'

    A has ?(299 missiles aimed at Taiwan'

    Taiwanese militar budget decrease allows A to be ahead'

    Taiwan and China have overlapping claims in the *outh China

    *ea( increases tension'

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    Fconom

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    Globali5ation decreases war

    *tocholm #ntl eace #nstitute sas number o% con6icts

    decreased due to increasing trade and globali5ation'

    Fconomies more connected( means countries decreased

    incentive to have war'

    Allows countries to acquire wealth through trade instead o%

    conquest( less need %or war'

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    "ad econ leads to war

    #ncreases terrorism and radical politics( because mainstream

    politics clearl isn&t helping politics' The warrant %or this is

    )itler'

    Fconomic worries lead states to pursue nuclear ambitions %or

    domestic securit'

    Con6icts over resources re-emerge 4 protectionism and neo-

    mercantilist policies increase in times o% economic decline'

    !iscal stimulus turns to militar( buildup o% militaries lead toincreased tensions and counterbalancing'

    Dicult to cooperate in economic decline'

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    overt in .*

    More than H o% Americans live in povert

    Ccle o% povert: people become trapped in povert'

    Children in povert %ace lower cognitive development(

    increased rates o% incarceration( lower li%etime earnings'

    overt hurts everone( taes awa government resources

    that could be invested in other areas'

    Child povert in .* costs more than 299 billion annuall'

    eople in povert %ace higher rates o% illness and lower li%ee,pectancies( because the can&t a+ord their basic needs'

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    #nterest ;ates

    !ederal ;eserve is sending mi,ed messages with its interest

    rates'

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    ow #nterest ;ates

    ow interest rates harm baners'

    ow interest rates create bubbles and economic crashes'

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    Middle Class su+ering

    Middle class incomes stagnating 4 econom has grown 0H but

    incomes haven&t increased'

    ?H American counties have lower median income than be%ore'

    )ousing bubble crash means man middle class people have

    houses worth %ar less than what the paid %or 4 huge loss o%

    monetar value and decreased incentive %or home

    construction'

    Middle class is e to demand 4 stagnant incomes meansdemand won&t be able to match growing econom'

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    #ncome #nequalit e,ists

    " 9?

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    Ta,ation Good

    With ta,es are more able to provide public education( medical

    care( li%e insurance( and wel%are and citi5ens are more able to

    /nd opportunities %or @obs instead o% constantl worringabout their ne,t meal or getting their child a proper education'

    )arvard "usiness *chool stud shows increasing %ood stamp

    program increased amount o% household businesses b ?

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    Ta,ation "ad

    eads to ta, evasion( H o% .* GD o% uncollected ta, dollars'

    #;* can&t solve 4 H reduction in /eld e,aminers while

    worload increased ?

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    Whistleblowing

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    ow

    eople are a%raid to whistleblow 4 riss losing @ob and %riends'

    #n some cases the %ear %or their lives( and get little support

    %rom governments and courts'

    .* lawers reluctant to protect whistleblowers because

    the&re unliel to win'

    !inancial malpractice is top concern o% worers et more than

    hal% o% concerns go ignored'

    Currentl no wa to report concerns con/dentiall'

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    Good

    #nvaluable public service 4 .* government sas whistleblowers

    e to discovering corporate %raud'

    Whistleblowing presence creates transparenc in corporations'

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    "ad

    Fncouraging whistleblowing encourages people to stretch the

    truth @ust to mae mone 4 whistleblower law in ?=< gives

    them 09H cut o% mone recouped b government'