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Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications - examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology [email protected]

Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

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Page 1: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo

for climate model applications

-

examples using MPI-ESM

Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz,

Swantje Preuschmann

Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology

[email protected]

Page 2: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

Surface albedo

• ... of major importance for

climate

– local, regional (water & energy)

SWnet

G

LWnetLE H Qs

Qg

P

Page 3: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

Surface albedo

• ... of major importance for

climate

– local, regional (water & energy)

– global

Snowball Earth

Page 4: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

Surface albedo

• ... of major importance for

climate

– local, regional (water & energy)

– global

• Small numbers

– How small is small enough (accuracy

requirements, sensitivities)?

Page 5: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

„Small“ effect big

impact ...

Page 6: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

Sahelian drought

• largest climate

anomaly observed so

far (recent times)

• Severe impact on

humans

• Vegetation/surface

albedo feedback as

amplifier

Page 7: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

Meteosat surface albedo

Page 8: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

Surface albedo feedback

Positive

vegetation-feedback

(amplifier)

surface albedo

vegetation

precipitation

SST

+

+

+

-

-

+ LE

+

+

Charney, 1977; Schnitzler et al., 2001, Zheng & Yoon, 2009, Taylor et al., 2011

Page 9: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

Reliable albedo data helps for

improved rainfall simulations

Loew, A., Raddatz, T., Bader, J.: Annual to decadal Sahelian rainfall variability: the role of

surface albedo. in preparation

With albedo prescribed

Meteosat surface albedo

(EUMETSAT)

Page 10: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

Earth system models

ATMOSPHERE (ECHAM6)

MPI-ESM

LAND

(JSBACH)

OCEAN

(MPI-OM)

OCEAN

Biochemistry

(HAMOCC)

Sea iceTypical Resolutions T31 – T127 (100-400 km)

Energy

Momentum

Energy

MomentumWater

Carbon

COUPLER

(OASIS)

Page 11: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

Globalbedo & MPI-ESM

1.Usability of GlobAlbedo for

climate model evaluation?

2.How does usage of GlobAlbedo

alter the simulated climate?

(feedback)

Page 12: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

Climate model evaluation

• Objective: Value of GlobAlbedo

for climate model benchmarking?

Page 13: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

Automated model evaluation

Simulations OBS

Regridding

Spatial,

temporal

means

Land/sea

mask

Metric /

Statistics,

maps

pyCMBS = python Climate Model Benchmarking Suite

Page 14: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

Automated model evaluation

Simulations OBS

Regridding

Spatial,

temporal

means

Land/sea

mask

Metric /

Statistics,

maps

pyCMBS = python Climate Model Benchmarking Suite

Page 15: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

https://github.com/pygeo/pycmbs

Page 16: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

Work performed

Integration of GlobAlbedo (BHR, DHR)

data into pyCMBS framework

Use GlobAlbedo for evaluation of

CMIP5 model simulations

Use results as part of CMIP5 surface

radiation assessment paper

Page 17: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

Monthly mean surface albedo

• Surface albedo model: 𝐹↑

𝐹↓

• Observations:

– CLARA-SAL (CM-SAF) = BSA

– MODIS WSA

– CERES

– Globalbedo (BHR, DHR)

Blue sky albedo

product would be

probably usefull

Page 18: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

CMIP5 radiation assessment

Multimodel mean land surface albedo

Climatological difference with ...

... MODIS ... GA BHR

... GA DHR ... CLARA SAL

Page 19: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

Model ranking

HISTORICAL

AMIP

Page 20: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

CMIP5 radiation assessment

• Surface solar

radiation flux

components

• Whole CMIP5

archive (AMIP,

HISTORICAL)

Loew et al., 2014, submitted, JC

Page 21: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

Towards integrated model evaluation

Meehl et al., 2014

CMIP6

Page 22: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

Summary evaluation

• GlobAlbedo provides a useful and

competetive data product that is usefull

for climate model benchmarking similar to

other existing datsets.

• Recommendation: study value for regional

climate studies (interannual anomalies)

• Integration of GlobAlbedo in ESMValTool

for continuous model benchmarking in CMIP6

Page 23: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

GlobAlbedo as boundary

condition in MPI-ESM

Page 24: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

Does it matter?

• Objective: Using GlobAlbedo as

model boundary condition.

GlobAlbedo MPI-ESMImpact

assessment

Page 25: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

Tasks

Integrate GlobAlbedo as

boundary condition in MPI-ESM

Perform dedicated (AMIP like)

model simulations

Validate model results and

assess impact on climate

Page 26: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

Data and methods

• MPI-ESM

• GlobAlbedo 0.5° product

• CMIP5 simulations (as independent

reference + internal variability)

1. Perform CTRL simulation with

standard model setup (AMIP)

2. Perform EXPERIMENT with GlobAlbedo

as boundary condition

Page 27: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

Results

GA improves Antarctic temperature simulations

Page 28: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

Effect on temperature

Page 29: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

Effect on temperature

Motivation to improve ice albedo parameterization!

Page 30: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

Temperature analysis

• Where are larger differences

between CTRL and EXPERIMENT?

IPCC regions

3

78 5

6161 13

1126

Page 31: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

Temperature analysis

• Where are larger differences

between CTRL and EXPERIMENT?

IPCC regions

3

78 5

6161 13

1126

Page 32: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

Do we get improvement?

3

78 5

6161 13

1126

Difference between temperature observations and simulations

RMSD

Page 33: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

Summary impact assessment

• Impact mainly on regional scale

• Mainly slight improvement of

T2m simulations using

GlobAlbedo

• Improvement of ice albedo

required in MPI-ESM

Page 34: Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model ... · Assessment of ESA GlobAlbedo for climate model applications -examples using MPI-ESM Alexander Loew, Thomas Raddatz, Swantje Preuschmann

Conclusions

• GlobAlbedo turned out to be a

very usefull dataset for

different aspects of climate

modelling

• More regional analyis required

• More longterm data record

required (temporal anomalies);

QA4ECV