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Supporting Information for
Inventory of methane emissions from livestock in China from 1980
to 2013
Jiashuo Yu1, Shushi Peng1*, Jinfeng Chang2, Philippe Ciais2, Patrice Dumas3,4, Xin
Lin2, Shilong Piao1
1 Sino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and
Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China
2 Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, CEA CNRS UVSQ, Gif-
sur-Yvette 91191, France
3 Centre de coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le
Développement (CIRAD), 34398 Montpellier, France
4 Centre International de Recherche sur l’Environnement et le Développement
(CIRED), 94736 Nogent-sur-Marne, France
Corresponding author: Shushi Peng ([email protected])
1
Text S1:
Data of livestock population and production
The annual livestock population (stock and indigenous slaughtered) at species
level from Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO)
(FAOSTAT, 2013) and China Statistical Yearbook (CSY) (NBSC, 2013) were
collected in this study. The difference between FAO and CSY can be used to set an
uncertainty for livestock population. The livestock population data at both provincial
and national levels are provided by CSY (NBSC, 2013). But FAO only provides
national population estimates, therefore we used the ratios of provincial statistics from
CSY (NBSC, 2013) to disaggregate the FAO national data into provincial data. Note
that due to discrepancies between the national statistics and the provincial totals
reported by CSY during the period 2000-2005, the provincial livestock population
was adjusted proportionally to match the national total for the period (The provincial
cattle and goat (sheep) populations were adjusted by 5-28%). In addition, since only
the total cattle population and the sum of goat and sheep population are documented
in CSY, we used complementary information about proportion of cattle stock
population (dairy cattle, non-dairy cattle and buffalo) from the China Agricultural
Statistical Yearbook (CASY) (CASYEC, 2013) and slaughtered populations of cattle,
goat and sheep from FAO to obtain the populations of non-dairy cattle, dairy cattle,
buffalo, goat and sheep separately. Further, the age structure (mature and young) and
sex ratios (male and female) for each livestock type (only for stock livestock) in the
year 2005 provided by National Development and Reform Commission of China
(NDRCC, 2014) were applied to each year for the period 1980-2013, due to lack of
other statistical data for these variables. Using the time series of LBW (live body
weight) of mature and young livestock and ABW (average body weight) of
slaughtered livestock, the age structure of slaughtered livestock can be interpreted.
The sex ratios of slaughtered livestock were assumed to be the same with that of stock
livestock. With this, two datasets (from FAO and CSY, Figure S1) of the annual living
2
stock and slaughtered population for each animal type at provincial level, including
age structures and sex ratios, were prepared for the calculation of methane emissions
from livestock.
The annual milk yield per capita of dairy cattle were collected from FAO and
CSY for the period 1980–2013 (Figure 2). The annual carcass weights of non-dairy
cattle from 1980 to 2013 were derived from FAO and CSY, and the annual carcass
weights of buffalo, goat and sheep were obtained from FAO only. Note that there is an
abrupt shift in the time series of carcass weight of non-dairy cattle and buffalo from
FAO (in 1987-1993 for non-dairy cattle and in 1981-1986 for buffalo, Figure S1).
This shift of non-dairy cattle mass is not present in CSY, and may be an artifact of
FAO data (Figure S1). Thus, we corrected the shift in the FAO time series of carcass
weights of non-dairy cattle and buffalo by reducing the values in the shift periods and
concatenating the time series before and after the shift periods. The consistent time
series after correction are shown in Figure S1. Carcass weight data is used for body
weight estimation, which impacts EF values (section 2.4).
The spatial distribution maps of livestock population density were obtained from
the “Gridded Livestock of the World” (GLW) with a resolution of 1 km (Robinson et
al., 2014). They were used to produce gridded CH4 emissions maps, by distributing
provincial emissions. Then we resampled the spatial patterns of CH4 emission into
0.1°×0.1° and displayed them in the Figure 6.
The approach of GE calculation
We use the approach of IPCC, (2006) is applied to calculate GE (Eq. S1).
¿=[ ( NEm+NEa+NEl+NEwork+NE pREM )+(NE g+NEwoolREG )DE%100
] (S1)
Where NEm, NEa, NEl, NEwork, NEp, NEg and NEwool represent net energy required by
the animal for maintenance, activity, lactation (only for mature female), work,
3
pregnancy (only for mature female), growth (only for young animal) and wool
prodction (only for goat and sheep), respectively. REM and REG are functions of DE
(digetible energy), representing ratio of net energy available in a diet for maintaince
and growth to digetible energy consumed, respectively. Among the net energy
required by animals, NEm, and NEg are the largest contributors, which are calculated
by Eq.S2 and Eq.S3, respectively.
NEm=Cf i∗Weight0.75 (S2)
Where Weight represent body weight, and Cfi is a coefficient varying for animal type
(Table S3).
NEg=22.02∗BWC∗MW
∗WG1.097 (S3)
Where BW is the average body weight, C is a coefficient with a value of 1, MW is the
mature body weight of an female in moderate condition, and WG is the daily weight
gain of the animals (kg day-1). Here, WG of goat and sheep are 0.15 kg day-1 (Xu et
al., 2017) without considering temopral change, since the magnitude is small. Change
in WG of non-dairy cattle and buffalo are estimated by Eq. S4
WG=(W m−W y)
(Agem−Agey ) (S4)
Where Wm, Wy, Agem, Agey are the weight of mature animals, weight of young
animals, age of mature animals, age of young animals, respectively. Ages of mature
and young non-dariy cattle are assumed to be constant as 6 months and 24 months,
respectively (Wang et al., 2011a).
The evaluation of average life span (ALS)
The ALS of each species (Table S2) was estimated by the ALS and proportions of
subcategories (stock and slaughtered, young and mature animals). For each type of
livestock, ALS of each subcategory in a calendar year was determined by their
average ages and assumed to be temporally constant (Table S1). For instance, the
average ages of mature and young cattle were assumed as 24 months and 6 months,
4
respectively (Wang et al., 2011a), thus the stock mature and young cattle emit CH4 in
12 months and 6 months in a calendar year, respectively. We assumed that the
slaughtered cattle were slaughtered evenly in January to December in each year, thus
the slaughtered mature cattle averagely emit CH4 in 6 months in a calendar year. The
young cattle slaughtered in January to June emit CH4 in 0.5~5.5 months in a calendar
year, respectively, while young cattle slaughtered after June emit CH4 in 6 months in
this calendar year. Thus the ALS of slaughtered young cattle is 4.5 months. The
methods of ALS calculation of other species were the same as cattle. The ALS of
slaughtered livestock are shorter than the ALS of stock livestock, thus the increasing
fraction of slaughtered livestock can decrease the ALS in one year of this species.
5
Figure S1. Carcass weights of (a) non-dairy cattle and (b) buffalo from FAO. Blue
dots indicate the original time series from FAO, and red dots indicate the adjusted
time series. Orange line in (a) represents data from CSY.
6
Figure S2 Relationship between milk production per head and enteric fermentation
CH4 emission factor of dairy cattle (the dots are the reference values from IPCC Tier
1). The dashed lines show the 95% confidence interval of the regression.
7
Figure S3 The increasing body weight of non-dairy cattle. The green line shows the
average carcass weight of non-dairy cattle reported by FAO and YB. The red lines and
blue lines show two scenarios (S1: body weight increased linearly with the increasing
trend in the 1980s and early 1990s, and S2: the average of YB and FAO). The solid
and dashed lines show body weight of mature animals and young animals,
respectively. The shaded area shows ±1 standard deviation from the mean. The orange
dots are samples of annual live body weight of non-dairy cattle reported by China
Agricultural Products Cost-benefit Information Compilation (CAPCIC) during the
period 2004-2013.
8
Figure S4 Changes of CH4 emissions from a) non-dairy cattle, b) buffalo, c) dairy
cattle, d) goat and e) sheep in China (including emissions from enteric fermentation
and manure management). The solid line indicates CH4 emissions estimated by
dynamic products-dependent emission factors and dynamic average life span. The
blue and red solid lines in (a) represent EFs from the two scenarios (S1 and S2) of
increasing body weight non-dairy cattle, respectively. The dashed line indicates CH4
emissions estimated by default constant emission factors from IPCC Tier 1 and
constant average life span.
9
Figure S5 Livestock productions in China, Europe and the United States (the carcass
weights of buffalo and goat in US are not available from FAO).
10
Figure S6 The regression coefficient between 0.75 power of body weight and
emission factor of livestock estimated in this study and Herrero et al. (2013). The gray
bar is the coefficient estimated by observations; the blue bars are coefficients
estimated by Tier 2 method (A for average, F for feedlot and G for graze); the orange
bars are coefficients provided by Herrero et al. (2013) which considered 8 systems
(LGA for livestock grazing arid, LGH for livestock grazing humid, LGT for livestock
grazing temperate, MXA for mixed arid, MXH for mixed humid, MXT for mixed
temperate, URBAN for urban systems and OTHER for other systems). The numbers
represent proportions of animals in each type of system in total population (including
stock and slaughtered animals).
11
Figure S7 The spatial patterns of (a) annual CH4 emissions by livestock averaged
over the period 2009-2012, and (b) changes in annual CH4 emissions by livestock
between the periods 2009-2012 and 1980-1984 obtained from EDGARv4.3.2. Note
that the subplots have different color scales and the color bars are non-equidistant.
12
Table S1. Average life span (ALS) in one calendar year of each subcategory of livestock (unit: months)
13
subcategory ALSNon-dairy cattle & BuffaloStock (mature) 12Stock (young) 6
Slaughtered (mature) 6Slaughtered (young) 4.5
Dairy cattleStock (mature) 12Stock (young) 6
Goat & SheepStock (mature) 9Stock (young) 2.5
Slaughtered (mature) 5.6Slaughtered (young) 2.2
Table S2. Annual average life span (ALS) in one calendar year of each type of livestock in China (unit: months)
YearNon-dairy cattle (S1)
Non-dairy cattle (S2)
Dairy cattle
Buffalo Goat Sheep
1980 10.2 10.2 10.5 10.7 6.6 6.61981 10.2 10.2 10.5 10.7 6.5 6.61982 10.2 10.2 10.5 10.7 6.5 6.61983 10.2 10.2 10.5 10.6 6.5 6.61984 10.2 10.2 10.5 10.6 6.4 6.51985 10.2 10.2 10.5 10.6 6.3 6.51986 10.1 10.1 10.5 10.5 6.4 6.51987 10.1 10.1 10.5 10.5 6.3 6.51988 10.1 10.1 10.5 10.4 6.4 6.41989 10.0 10.0 10.5 10.5 6.3 6.41990 10.0 10.0 10.5 10.5 6.3 6.41991 9.9 9.9 10.5 10.4 6.2 6.31992 9.8 9.8 10.5 10.4 6.2 6.31993 9.7 9.7 10.5 10.3 6.2 6.21994 9.6 9.6 10.5 10.2 6.2 6.11995 9.5 9.5 10.5 10.1 6.2 6.11996 9.4 9.4 10.5 10.2 6.2 6.11997 9.3 9.3 10.5 10.1 6.2 6.01998 9.2 9.2 10.5 10.1 6.1 6.01999 9.1 9.2 10.5 10.0 6.1 6.02000 9.1 9.1 10.5 10.1 6.1 6.02001 9.1 9.1 10.5 10.0 6.1 6.02002 9.0 9.1 10.5 10.0 6.1 5.92003 9.0 9.0 10.5 10.1 6.1 6.02004 8.9 9.0 10.5 10.1 6.0 6.02005 8.9 9.0 10.5 10.0 6.0 6.02006 8.8 8.9 10.5 10.1 6.0 6.02007 8.8 9.0 10.5 10.1 6.0 5.92008 8.8 8.9 10.5 10.1 6.0 5.92009 8.7 8.9 10.5 10.1 6.0 5.92010 8.7 8.9 10.5 10.1 5.9 5.92011 8.6 8.9 10.5 10.1 5.9 6.02012 8.6 8.8 10.5 10.0 5.9 6.02013 8.6 8.8 10.5 10.0 5.9 6.0
14
Table S3. Coefficients for calculating net energy for maintenance (NEm)a
CategoryCfi
(MJ d-1 kg-1)Cattle/Buffalo (non-lactating
cows)0.322
Cattle/Buffalo (lactating cows) 0.386Cattle/Buffalo (bulls) 0.370
Sheep (lamb) 0.326Sheep (mature sheep) 0.217
a The coefficients of sheep are also used for goat.
15
Table S4. Digestible energy ratios of livestock from published documentsProductio
nSystem
DE (%) Reference
Non-dairy cattle
Feedlot
67.86 (Gao et al., 2014)60.88 (Yang et al., 2014)52.60 (Wang et al., 2009a)61.90 (Liu et al., 2013)50.98 (Dong et al., 2012)64.12 (Mu et al., 2007)66.60 (Mu, 2006)62.90 (Zhang et al., 2014)54.30 (Zhang et al., 2013)
Grazing 50~55 (IPCC, 2006)Buffalo
Feedlot 50~55 (IPCC, 2006)Goat & Sheep
Feedlot
59.90 (Wang et al., 2014)52.00 (Ren et al., 2010)55.75 (Men et al., 2006)64.54 (Cao et al., 2005)57.56 (Xu et al., 2012a)
Grazing51.80 (Xiao et al., 2002)50~55 (IPCC, 2006)
16
Table S5. Average milk productions and proposed enteric fermentation CH4 emission factors for dairy cattle from IPCC Tie 1.
RegionProduction
(kg head-1 yr-1)EF
(kg head-1 yr-1)North America 8400 128Western Europe 6000 117Eastern Europe 2550 99
Oceania 2200 90Latin America 800 72
Asia 1650 68Africa and Middle East 475 46
Indian Subcontinent 900 58
17
Table S6. Measured non-dairy cattle body weights and enteric fermentation CH4 emission factors from published documents.
Body weight(kg)
EF(kg head-1 yr-1)
Reference
354 56.00 (Fan et al., 2006)365 58.94320 56.17319 56.27 (You, 2008)392 63.19356 62.78318 53.94357 59.58347 58.39404 66.94333 59.39395 65.69431 57.42 (Ding and Long, 2010)420 78.75 (Lin et al., 2015)430 67.79308 57.19 (Gao et al., 2014)196 32.10 (Yang et al., 2014)462 45.41 (Wang et al., 2009a)288 42.24 (Liu et al., 2013)54 6.33 (Dong et al., 2012)229 47.40 (Mu et al., 2007)105 30.00 (Mu, 2006)400 43.19 (Zhang et al., 2014)
18
Table S7. Enteric fermentation CH4 emission factors for livestock in China from IPCC Tier 1 method.
CategoryEF
(kg head-1 yr-1)Non-dairy
cattle47
Buffalo 55Dairy cattle 68
Goat 5Sheep 5Swine 1
19
Table S8. Dressing percentages of livestock from published documents.DP (%) Reference
Non-dairy cattle56.00 (Jing et al., 2012)53.00 (Hu, 2001)55.38 (Wang et al., 2011b)54.15 (Zhang et al., 2011)58.87 (Sun et al., 2015)60.00 (Wang et al., 2006b)52.30 (Chen and Zhang, 2008)53.96 (Wang et al., 2012)53.00 (Li et al., 1999)55.61 (Zhang et al., 2007)51.22 (Gao et al., 2011)50.88 (Li et al., 2012)54.32 (Yan, 2003)61.20 (Zhu, 2012)56.08 (Fang, 2007)54.00 (Yang et al., 2007)51.59 (Ge et al., 1998)58.37 (Wen et al., 2007)58.30 (Li et al., 2011)
Buffalo55~59 (Kandeepan et al., 2009)53.00 (Haskell, 2011)50~55 (Naveena and Kiran, 2014)
Goat & Sheep44.32 (Zheng et al., 2007)51.41 (Ding, 2005)49.00 (Zheng et al., 2007)43.80 (Xu et al., 2012b)45.52 (Chen et al., 1996)46.82 (Wang et al., 2009b)47.42 (Yao et al., 1994)48.12 (Li et al., 2004)48.91 (Xiao et al., 2003)47.51 (Wang et al., 2008)40.63 (Liu and Jiao, 2006)45.00 (Yue et al., 2010)45.05 (Luo et al., 2010)45.11 (Li et al., 2005)42.96 (Ma et al., 2012)
20
50.84 (Wang et al., 2006a)
Table S9. Live body weights (LBWs) of livestock from CAPCIC and published documents
Subcategory Year LBW (Kg) ReferenceNon-dairy cattle
Mature male (female) 2004 349.9 (NDRCC, 2013)2005 338.32006 3452007 352.72008 388.72009 383.42010 390.62011 400.72012 396.92013 418.0
Young animal 2004 135.5 (NDRCC, 2013)2005 148.82006 155.62007 152.52008 197.42009 193.52010 205.12011 206.02012 206.72013 216.9
BuffaloMature male 2007-2010 344.0 (Wang et al., 2007; Li et al.,
2009; Li and Liu, 2010)Mature female 2007-2010 335.0Young animal 2007-2010 120.0
Goat & SheepMature male (female) 2004 41.6 (NDRCC, 2013)
2005 40.42006 43.32007 40.72008 39.82009 40.42010 41.42011 41.72012 42.92013 43.0
Young animal 2004 9.6 (NDRCC, 2013)2005 10.32006 10.42007 10.92008 11.22009 12.52010 13.92011 13.82012 14.52013 15.3
21
22
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