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BALLARD.COM 1 BALLARD.COM Power to Change the World ® 1 Alfred Wong Managing Director, Asia Pacific Ballard Power Systems Inc. 10 October 2019 ICEF 2019, Tokyo Japan Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation

Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

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Page 1: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 1 BALLARD.COM Power to Change the World® 1

Alfred Wong

Managing Director, Asia Pacific

Ballard Power Systems Inc.

10 October 2019

ICEF 2019, Tokyo Japan

Application of

Hydrogen Fuel Cells

in Transportation

Page 2: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 2 BALLARD.COM Power to Change the World® 2

Our Vision

We deliver fuel cell

power for a

sustainable planet

Page 3: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 4

Power to Change the World®

Hydrogen Mobility Driving Forces

Freight increase (+40% by 2040)

Digital world

(E-commerce)

Climate change

Macro Trends

Market Drivers

Technology evolution

Air pollution

impact

Urbanization

New vehicle utilization

(car share, autonomous)

Electrification of transport (battery technology)

Autonomous vehicles

GHG emission reduction

targets

Page 4: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 5 BALLARD.COM Power to Change the World® 5

Extreme weather

from climate

change is the

world’s greatest

threat

Page 5: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 8 BALLARD.COM Power to Change the World® 8

COP21 Paris

Agreement will

result in

decarbonization

Page 6: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 9 BALLARD.COM Power to Change the World® 9

Hydrogen Council

formed in 2017

Page 7: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 10 BALLARD.COM Power to Change the World® 10

Fuel cell technology

is needed for deep

decarbonization of

transportation

Page 8: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 11 BALLARD.COM Power to Change the World® 11

Many cities are

committing to

clean

transportation

Page 9: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 12

Power to Change the World®

Electric vehicle targets have also been set by Austria, China, Denmark, India, Ireland, Japan, London, Los

Angeles, Netherlands, S.Korea, Paris, Portugal, Spain, 8 U.S. States

Increasing world wide regulations against

fossil fueled vehicles

Page 10: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 13 BALLARD.COM Power to Change the World® 13

Electrification of

powertrain is

already disrupting

the automotive

industry

Page 11: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 14 BALLARD.COM Power to Change the World® 14

Battery electric

and fuel cell

technologies are

complementary

Page 12: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 15

Power to Change the World®

Roadmap for hydrogen mobility

2018 2020 2025 2030

2,000 fuel cell buses and trucks in Shandong Province

Weichai

>350 FCEBs on the road in

Europe (JIVE)

40,000 vehicles on the road in Japan by 2021

Japan roadmap

10 to 15 million fuel cell cars and 500,000 trucks on the road 1 in 10 trains on non-electrified tracks Hydrogen Council vision 100 FCEBs at

Tokyo 2020 Olympics

50,000 FCVs in service, in China, among which 10,000 units are FC commercial vehicles, and 40,000 units FC passenger cars by 2025 China road map 2018

> 15,000 fuel cell forklifts in

daily operation

5,000 fuel cell cars on the road

500+ fuel cell buses and

trucks in service

5,000 FC vehicles on the road in China by 2020 China road map 2018

+600 FCEBs on the road in Europe H2Bus Project

1 million FC vehicles on the road in China by 2030 China road map 2018

10 million Fuel Cell Vehicles

25,000 Fuel Cell Vehicles

1000 FC trucks in Switzerland

200 fuel station in California by 2025

6 million FC car produced by 2040 Korea road map 2019

Page 13: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 16 BALLARD.COM Power to Change the World® 16

What is driving the

momentum behind

hydrogen mobility?

Page 14: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 17 BALLARD.COM Power to Change the World® 17

1. Accelerating

improvement on

product cost and

performance

Page 15: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 18

Power to Change the World®

Fuel cell technology is following

adoption curves of Solar and Wind

Page 16: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 19

Power to Change the World®

Dramatic price reduction with scale

Source: Bloomberg

Page 17: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 20 BALLARD.COM Power to Change the World® 20

2. Early adoption

in medium and

heavy duty motive

applications

Page 18: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 21

Power to Change the World®

Value proposition of FCEVs

10 1,000+

Average mileage per day/trip (km)

Weig

ht

(ton

s)

1

10

100

1,000

Source: McKinsey & Company, “Hydrogen Scaling Up” for Hydrogen Council, November 2017, p. 31

10,000

100

BEV

FCEV – Fuel Cell

Electric Vehicles

Bio & (H2-based)

synthetic fuels

Small cars / urban mobility

Medium-to-

Large Cars,

Fleets &

Taxis

Bubble size

represents

the relative

annual

energy

consumption

of this vehicle

type in 2013 Light Commercial

Vehicles

City Buses

Trains & Trams

Heavy Trucks

Passenger Ships Planes

Page 19: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 22

Power to Change the World®

Fuel cells delivers significant value

proposition to heavy duty vehicles Zero emission mobility with no operation compromise:

Range - Asset Utilization - Payload

Source

Fuel cells delivers a significant value

proposition to heavy duty vehicles

Page 20: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 23 BALLARD.COM Power to Change the World® 23

3) The China Factor

Page 21: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 24 Commercial Confidential

0.5x

– Hainan province

– Dongguan

– Shanghai

– Xi’an

– Beijing

– Chengdu

– Nantong

2019 national subsidies for FCVs

Vehicle type Subsidy Standard

(RMB)

Upper limit of subsidy

(RMB)

Rated power of fuel

cell system NDRC

Ratio

0.3 ≤ r < 0.4 0.4 ≤ r < 0.5 r ≥ 0.5

Fuel Cell Passenger vehicle 6000/kW 200,000/car ≥10kW

300km 0.8x 0.9x 1.0x Fuel Cell Light Duty Bus & Truck N/A 300,000/car ≥30kW

Fuel Cell Heavy Duty Bus & Truck N/A 500,000/ar ≥30kW

National & Local Subsidies

Set out ambitious plan for FCV

development, aiming to build 28 HRSs

in 2019 and to put 1,000 FC buses

into use.

Announced three-phrase development

plans with a medium goal of building

50 HRSs, and having 20,000 FC PVs

and 10,000 FC CVs on the road by

2025.

Local subsidies for FCVs 1.0x

– Guangzhou

– Foshan

– Wuhan

– Nanning

– Shanxi province

– Jiangmen

– Wenzhou

Page 22: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 25 Commercial Confidential

Major Regional Activities

• Plan: 2000 vehicles by 2021

• Deployed vehicles: ~100

• HRS: 6 operating/1 under construction

• Key Players: Weichai Power, Broad-Ocean

• Plan: FC tram line, 1500 buses+ 4000 sepecial vehicles by 2020

• Deployed vehicles: ~1800

• HRS: 10 operating / 14 under construction

• Key Players: Nation-Synergy, Re-Fire, Broad-Ocean

• Plan: 2500 vehicles by 2020(Hebei)

• Deployed vehicles: ~280

• HRS: 2 operating / 5 under construction

• Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group

• Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by 2025( Hydrogen Corridor Plan 2019-2030)

• Deployed vehicles: ~980

• HRS: 8 operating / 12 under construction

• Key Players: Re-Fire

• Plan: 700 vehicles by 2020, 3,000 vehicles by 2022

• Deployed vehicles: ~300

• HRS: 1 operating

• Key Players: Hydrav ( Vision Group), Meijin Energy

Yangtze River Delta

Guangdong

Beijing/Hebei

Shandong

Shanxi

Page 23: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 34 BALLARD.COM Power to Change the World® 34

4) Renewable H2

will reach cost

parity with certain

fossil fuels

Page 24: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 35

Power to Change the World®

Unsubsidized LCOE comparison

Page 25: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 36

Power to Change the World®

Source: World Economic Forum Source: ENGIE

Renewable hydrogen will be a part

of the energy mix

Page 26: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 37 BALLARD.COM Power to Change the World® 37

5) Total Cost of

Ownership getting

attractive

Page 27: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 38

Power to Change the World®

H2Bus Europe €5-7 /kg €0.30/km

Page 28: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 39 BALLARD.COM Power to Change the World® 39

6) Expanding to

other mobility

applications

Page 29: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 40 BALLARD.COM Power to Change the World® 40

Enable electrification

of rail without

catenary wires

Page 30: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 41 BALLARD.COM Power to Change the World® 41

Enable zero-

emission ferries

Page 31: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 42 BALLARD.COM Power to Change the World® 42

Enable zero-

emission cruise

ships docked in port

Page 32: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 43 BALLARD.COM Power to Change the World® 43

Enable higher

productivity in

warehouse material

handling

Page 33: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 44 BALLARD.COM Power to Change the World® 44

Enable longer range

and reliability for

UAVs

Page 34: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 45 BALLARD.COM Power to Change the World® 45

Enable high asset

utilization for

autonomous

vehicles and

shared mobility

Page 35: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 46 BALLARD.COM Power to Change the World® 46

The clean

transportation

revolution in

happening now

Page 36: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 47

Power to Change the World®

Source: FCHJU “Hydrogen Roadmap Europe” (Feb 2019)

Commercialization Timeline

Page 37: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 48

Power to Change the World®

What’s next?

2018 2020 2025 2030

2,000 fuel cell buses and trucks in Shandong Province

Weichai

>350 FCEBs on the road in

Europe (JIVE)

40,000 vehicles on the road in Japan by 2021

Japan roadmap

10 to 15 million fuel cell cars and 500,000 trucks on the road 1 in 10 trains on non-electrified tracks Hydrogen Council vision 100 FCEBs at

Tokyo 2020 Olympics

50,000 FCVs in service, in China, among which 10,000 units are FC commercial vehicles, and 40,000 units FC passenger cars by 2025 China road map 2018

> 15,000 fuel cell forklifts in

daily operation

5,000 fuel cell cars on the road

500+ fuel cell buses and

trucks in service

5,000 FC vehicles on the road in China by 2020 China road map 2018

+600 FCEBs on the road in Europe H2Bus Project

1 million FC vehicles on the road in China by 2030 China road map 2018

10 million Fuel Cell Vehicles

25,000 Fuel Cell Vehicles

1000 FC trucks in Switzerland

200 fuel station in California by 2025

6 million FC car produced by 2040 Korea road map 2019

Page 38: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 49

Power to Change the World®

5th Ave, NYC, Easter 1900

Where is the car?

Page 39: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 50

Power to Change the World®

Can you spot the horse?

5th Ave, NYC, Easter 1913

Page 40: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 51

Power to Change the World®

“Disruptive Technology should be framed as a

marketing challenge, not a technological one.”

– Clayton Christensen

Page 41: Application of Hydrogen Fuel Cells in Transportation...2019/10/10  · • Key Players: Sinohytec, Vision Group • Plan: 5,000 vehicles & 40HRS by 2021; 50,000 vehicles & 200HRS by

BALLARD.COM 52

Power to Change the World®

Thank you