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John Gibb DKS Associates Transportation Solutions

Application of a Disaggregate Quasi-Dynamic Model of Park-and-Ride Lot Choice

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John Gibb DKS Associates Transportation Solutions. Application of a Disaggregate Quasi-Dynamic Model of Park-and-Ride Lot Choice. The Park-and-Ride Problem for Transit Auto Access:. Which park-and-ride transit stop for a trip Getting level of service “skim” values for auto and transit legs - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Application of a Disaggregate Quasi-Dynamic Model of Park-and-Ride Lot Choice

John GibbDKS AssociatesTransportation Solutions

Page 2: Application of a Disaggregate Quasi-Dynamic Model of Park-and-Ride Lot Choice

The Park-and-Ride Problem for Transit Auto Access:

Which park-and-ride transit stop for a trip

Getting level of service “skim” values for auto and transit legs

Assigning auto and transit legs

Page 3: Application of a Disaggregate Quasi-Dynamic Model of Park-and-Ride Lot Choice

Customary Solutions(Trip-Based) Zone-Station links by auto access

“shed” Capacity restraint by art, trial and error Drive legs not assigned

Intermediate zone EMME triple-index (convolution) Multinomial logit Capacity restraint by shadow-price

Page 4: Application of a Disaggregate Quasi-Dynamic Model of Park-and-Ride Lot Choice

Individual trip modeling- as in activity-based model Heterogeneous choice sets &

behavior Time-specific Sub-mode choice

Single outcome per choice Determines auto & transit trips in both

directions

Page 5: Application of a Disaggregate Quasi-Dynamic Model of Park-and-Ride Lot Choice

“Real world”: Parking available to all until full

Time-dependent choice set Arrival time determines individual’s

priority (not drive distance or analyst’s

judgment) Commuter behavior:

Know when lots fillNo frustrated arrivals to full lots

Page 6: Application of a Disaggregate Quasi-Dynamic Model of Park-and-Ride Lot Choice

Original Sacramento Application: Chronological Order One-pass algorithm:

Sort trips by presumed departure time Choose best-utility among available lots Accumulate parking loads; make

unavailable when full

Page 7: Application of a Disaggregate Quasi-Dynamic Model of Park-and-Ride Lot Choice

Limitations of the one-pass method Loss of choices Departure & parking-arrival time varies

among alternatives One can leave earlier to beat a lot’s fill-

time

Improved method for Sacramento update and new Seattle ABM in progress…

Page 8: Application of a Disaggregate Quasi-Dynamic Model of Park-and-Ride Lot Choice

Crawford-Knoer matching algorithm (1981)

Generalizes Gale-Shapely (1962) Hospital-residents, college admissions,

stable marriage problems Iterative rounds of “proposals” until

constraints satisfied. In C-K, rejected proposals are

adjusted & resubmitted

Page 9: Application of a Disaggregate Quasi-Dynamic Model of Park-and-Ride Lot Choice

C-K algorithm for parking, briefly

Iterative rounds Parking choice Latecomer rejection Rejectees adjust departure time to that lot a unit-

step earlier Departure-time adjustment counts against

utility Choice may repeat Trip “accepted” may be “bumped” in a later

round Stop when no parking oversubscribed

Page 10: Application of a Disaggregate Quasi-Dynamic Model of Park-and-Ride Lot Choice

Crawford-Knoer properties User-optimal equilibrium Escalation of early arrival times Last-minute arrival rush No denial of choice Gradual adjustment avoids problems,

can use efficient methods Needs an early-departure utility

parameter

Page 11: Application of a Disaggregate Quasi-Dynamic Model of Park-and-Ride Lot Choice

System equilibration flow

Lot-Full Times

Page 12: Application of a Disaggregate Quasi-Dynamic Model of Park-and-Ride Lot Choice

Thanks!

Questions, requests for reports welcomed at

[email protected]

DKS AssociatesTRANSPORTATION SOLUTIONS

www.dksassociates.com