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TSX:ALS | OTCQX:ATUSF Annual 2019 Financial Results Conference Call March 12, 2020

Annual 2019 Financial Results Conference Callaltiusminerals.com/storage/webcasts/Q4-and-Annual... · Outlook † • No change to our previously stated 2020 revenue guidance of $75-$80

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Page 1: Annual 2019 Financial Results Conference Callaltiusminerals.com/storage/webcasts/Q4-and-Annual... · Outlook † • No change to our previously stated 2020 revenue guidance of $75-$80

TSX:ALS | OTCQX:ATUSF

Annual 2019 Financial Results Conference Call

March 12, 2020

Page 2: Annual 2019 Financial Results Conference Callaltiusminerals.com/storage/webcasts/Q4-and-Annual... · Outlook † • No change to our previously stated 2020 revenue guidance of $75-$80

This document includes certain statements that constitute “forward‐looking statements” and “forward-looking information” within the meaning of

applicable securities laws (collectively, “forward‐looking statements”). Forward-looking statements include statements regarding Altius Minerals

Corporation’s (“Altius”) intent, or the beliefs or current expectations of Altius’ officers and directors. Such forward-looking statements are typically

identified by words such as “believe”, “anticipate”, “estimate”, “project”, “intend”, “expect”, “may”, “will”, “plan”, “should”, “would”, “contemplate”,

“possible”, “attempts”, “seeks” and similar expressions. Forward‐looking statements may relate to future outlook and anticipated events or results.

By their very nature, forward‐looking statements involve numerous assumptions, inherent risks and uncertainties, both general and specific, and

the risk that predictions and other forward‐looking statements will not prove to be accurate. Do not unduly rely on forward‐looking statements, as a

number of important factors, many of which are beyond Altius’ control, could cause actual results to differ materially from the estimates and

intentions expressed in such forward‐looking statements.

Forward‐looking statements speak only as of the date those statements are made. Except as required by applicable law, Altius does not assume

any obligation to update, or to publicly announce the results of any change to, any forward‐looking statement contained herein to reflect actual

results, future events or developments, changes in assumptions or changes in other factors affecting the forward‐looking statements.

Non-IFRS Measures

Attributable revenue, adjusted EBITDA and adjusted operating cash flow is intended to provide additional information only and do not have any

standardized meaning prescribed under IFRS and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared

in accordance with IFRS. Other companies may calculate these measures differently. For a reconciliation of these measures to various IFRS

measures, please refer to our Management Discussion and Analysis.

Forward Looking Statements

Page 3: Annual 2019 Financial Results Conference Callaltiusminerals.com/storage/webcasts/Q4-and-Annual... · Outlook † • No change to our previously stated 2020 revenue guidance of $75-$80

2019 Corporate Highlights

3

Shareholders

Return

Organic Growth Begins to Dominate

ARR Generating Royalties Ahead of ScheduleAltius

Renewable

Royalties

Mine

Royalties

• Royalty Revenue growth of 16% despite no major cash flowing royalty acquisitions

• Strong performance from iron ore and potash components

• Chapada bought by Lundin who is seeking to expand

• Coal royalties declined to 16% of revenue and considerably less than that as a percentage of NPV

• First royalty project, Canyon Wind (360 MW), sold in October 2019; Operations expected to begin in H2 - 2021

• Woodford Wind (300+ MW) sold in December 2019 with commercial production anticipated in 2021

• TGE development pipeline increased to over 2,500 MW (even after the 660+ MW project sales to date)

• Flatland Solar (180 MW) sold subsequent to year end

Dividends

$3M

Dividends

$5M

Dividends

$7MDividends

$7M

Dividends

$8M

Share buy back

$2M

Share buy back

$2M Share buy back

$5M

Share buy back

$9M

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Project GenPortfolio Growth

• Project generation value at $54 million at year end and sales net of investments have generated cash of $17

million in 2019

Page 4: Annual 2019 Financial Results Conference Callaltiusminerals.com/storage/webcasts/Q4-and-Annual... · Outlook † • No change to our previously stated 2020 revenue guidance of $75-$80

2019 Financial Highlights

4

ATTRIBUTABLE REVENUES

$6M$28M $33M

$46M

$67M$78M

FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 2018 2019

• Attributable royalty revenue of $78 million for the year

ended December 31, 2019

• Fifth consecutive year of revenue and cash flow

growth, with 2019 revenues up 16% from $67.0 million

reported in 2018.

• Adjusted operating cash flow of $44.1 million or $1.03

per share in 2019

• This is a 27% increase from the $34.7 million or $0.80

per share generated in 2018

$3M $1M$15M

$26M$35M

$44M

FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 2018 2019

ADJUSTED OPERATING CASH FLOW

Page 5: Annual 2019 Financial Results Conference Callaltiusminerals.com/storage/webcasts/Q4-and-Annual... · Outlook † • No change to our previously stated 2020 revenue guidance of $75-$80

Q4 – 2019 Financial Highlights

5

Quarterly Attributable Revenues

$17.9M $17.6M

Q4-2018 Q4-2019

Quarterly Adjusted Operating Cash flow

$9.8M $9.4M

Q4-2018 Q4-2019

Adjusted Operating Cash flow

• Q4 - 2019 adjusted operating cash

flow of $9.4 million consistent with

the $9.8 million reported in Q4 –

2018 but down from the reported Q3

- 2019 of $14.4 million, consistent

with revenue.

Earnings

• Adjusted earnings per share of

$0.12, compared to Q4 – 2018

of $0.05 and Q3 – 2019 of

$0.10.

Attributable Revenues

• Q4 - 2019 revenue of $17.6 million

consistent with Q4 - 2018 revenue

of $17.9 million, down from Q3 –

2019 of $19.3 million due to weaker

base metal prices and weather-

related demand issues.

Page 6: Annual 2019 Financial Results Conference Callaltiusminerals.com/storage/webcasts/Q4-and-Annual... · Outlook † • No change to our previously stated 2020 revenue guidance of $75-$80

▪ Net earnings for 2019 were $17.5 million or $0.41 per share

▪ Adjusting for one-off items noted below would result in adjusted earnings of $23.4 million for 2019, or $0.55 per share

2019 Earnings ($M)

2019 Earnings ($/share)

Adjusted Net Earnings

6

Page 7: Annual 2019 Financial Results Conference Callaltiusminerals.com/storage/webcasts/Q4-and-Annual... · Outlook † • No change to our previously stated 2020 revenue guidance of $75-$80

Royalty Revenue By Commodity

7

Base

Metals

37%

Steel Making

Coal

4%

Iron Ore

20%

Potash

21%

Thermal

(Electrical)

Coal

16%

2019

Revenue

Commodity Mix

Other 2%

Coal to RenewablesFossil Fuel to Clean Energy

Conversion

Cu, Co, Ni, Li

Clean Iron Ore Products

Lower Emission Steel Making

Soil Quality/Agricultural Yield Improvements

Transportation Electrification

Potash

Macro-TrendAltius

Royalty Exposure

Aligned with Global Sustainability Macro Trend

Page 8: Annual 2019 Financial Results Conference Callaltiusminerals.com/storage/webcasts/Q4-and-Annual... · Outlook † • No change to our previously stated 2020 revenue guidance of $75-$80

ARR Development Progress Accelerating

GBR formed and

begins working

on business

concept with

Altius

Developed and refined

renewable royalty structure

and offering (legal, tax, etc.)

First renewable

royalty on small

hydro/solar

project in VT

GBR acquired by Altius

(through Altius Renewable

Royalties)

$30MM royalty investment in

Tri Global Energy

Silverpeak acquired Canyon Wind

(TX) from TGE with 1st embedded

royalty on a TGE project

CIP acquired Woodford

Wind (IL) from TriGlobal

Energy with 2nd embedded

royalty attributable to Altius

$35MM+ royalty investment

in Apex Clean Energy

2017 2018 20202019

8

Silverpeak acquired

Flatland Solar (TX) from

TGE with 3rd embedded

royalty on a TGE project

Page 9: Annual 2019 Financial Results Conference Callaltiusminerals.com/storage/webcasts/Q4-and-Annual... · Outlook † • No change to our previously stated 2020 revenue guidance of $75-$80

$22M$33M

$54M $54M$11M

-$3M -$6M

$17M

April 2016 April 2017 December2018

December2019

9

PG Business Growth

57 Projects

$17M

Converted to new royalties and

junior equities since 2016 market

bottom

Positive cash generation in 2019

Junior Equity Portfolio Growth

PG Net Monetizations

1stGunnison starting up to mark first

PG created royalty to reach

production stage

9

168 kmPlanned drilling by partners and

exposure to exploration

Page 10: Annual 2019 Financial Results Conference Callaltiusminerals.com/storage/webcasts/Q4-and-Annual... · Outlook † • No change to our previously stated 2020 revenue guidance of $75-$80

Balance Sheet

10

† Altius converted its financial reporting period to calendar year-end in 2017 from its previous fiscal year-end of April 30.

• Value of combined cash and publicly traded investments $169 million with $109 million debt at quarter end

• Repaid $5 million on term debt in Q4 (2019: $20 million)

• Cash and public equity holdings as of December 31, 2019 includes $22 million cash + $54.1 million junior equities portfolio

position + $93.1 million LIORC position

10

$M

$75M

$150M

$225M

Debt Investments Cash

F 2016 F2017 2017 2018 2019

Net Debt $11M - $19M - $126M - $52M - $60M

Page 11: Annual 2019 Financial Results Conference Callaltiusminerals.com/storage/webcasts/Q4-and-Annual... · Outlook † • No change to our previously stated 2020 revenue guidance of $75-$80

Outlook

†• No change to our previously stated 2020 revenue guidance of $75-$80 million.

• The degree of uncertainty related to this estimate is considered higher than during any period since we began providing

revenue guidance due to the inability to determine potentially significant impacts to commodity pricing and production

volumes that may result from adverse economic impacts due to the COVID-19 pandemic and / or any related economic

stimulus measures that may result.

11

2020

Revenue

Guidance

$75-$80 million

Page 12: Annual 2019 Financial Results Conference Callaltiusminerals.com/storage/webcasts/Q4-and-Annual... · Outlook † • No change to our previously stated 2020 revenue guidance of $75-$80

Appendix

Page 13: Annual 2019 Financial Results Conference Callaltiusminerals.com/storage/webcasts/Q4-and-Annual... · Outlook † • No change to our previously stated 2020 revenue guidance of $75-$80

Royalty Operators Margin

Notes

• All amounts USD. Spot as at March 9, 2020. Spot Potash is FOB Midwest.• Chapada margin calculated using Lundin’s guidance of 2020 C1 cash costs of copper per pound (NI43-101 report October 10, 2019) after precious

metal by-product credits. Chapada cash costs do not include the effects of copper stream agreements which will be a component of the copperrevenue and will impact realized revenue per pound.

• Nutrien and Mosaic per tonne margins calculated by taking FOB Midwest Spot over Cost of Product Manufactured. COPM = Potash COGS for the2019 excluding depreciation and amortization expense and inventory and other adjustments divided by the production tonnes for the period. ForMosaic, we used the 2019 four quarter average actuals cash costs of production (excluding brine) – MOP ($/tonne)

• Voisey’s Bay margin calculation using SNL Modeled Cost Curve for Total Cash Cost per pound of nickel net of by-product credits.• IOC margin based on Altius modeled $45/t cash costs for concentrate and $65/t cash costs for pellet.• Gunnison is expected to be in commercial production in 2020. Total cash cost pe pound of copper is derived from the Base Case of the Feasibility

Study dated January 16, 2017• Manitoba Operations margin calculated using Hudbay’s annual actuals year ended December 31, 2019. Cash cost per pound of copper produced, net

of by-product credits.

Operator MineCommodity Benchmark

Spot Price Operating Margin

Lundin Chapada Copper $2.56 112%

Nutrien All Operations Potash $255 211%

Mosaic All Operations Potash $255 245%

Vale Voisey's Bay Nickel $5.96 106%

Rio Tinto IOC Fe Concentrate $91 102%

Rio Tinto IOC Fe Pellet $132 103%

Excelsior Gunnison Copper $2.56 194%

Hudbay Manitoba Operations Copper $2.56 701%

13

Page 14: Annual 2019 Financial Results Conference Callaltiusminerals.com/storage/webcasts/Q4-and-Annual... · Outlook † • No change to our previously stated 2020 revenue guidance of $75-$80

CommodityGuidance

Price

Spot

Price

(Δ)

Nickel US$6.30 / lb 8%

Copper US$2.80 / lb 9%

Iron (65% Fines) US$90 / tonne 16%

Iron (Pellets) US$125 / tonne 7%

Lead US$0.86 / lb 2%

Gold US$1,520 / oz 9%

Silver US$17.95 / oz 5%

Potash US$290 / tonne 12%

Zinc US$1.08 / lb 16%

Commodity Price Performance

14

Page 15: Annual 2019 Financial Results Conference Callaltiusminerals.com/storage/webcasts/Q4-and-Annual... · Outlook † • No change to our previously stated 2020 revenue guidance of $75-$80

Commodity Price Sensitivity

Commodity Price LeverageAverage Prices†

(2019)

Price

(+/- 10%)

EBITDA

(∆ per year)

Copper US$2.75/lb $0.28 $2.0M

Zinc US$1.15/lb $0.12 $0.3M

Potash $378/tonne $37.80 $1.7M

Metallurgical coal $215/tonne $21.50 $0.3M

Exchange Rate (USD/CAD) $1.33 $0.13 $3.4M

Thermal coal No commodity price exposure

†Average prices are in CAD unless noted.15