Anglophone West School District (ASD-W) Multi-year

Anglophone West SchoolDistrict (ASD-W)

Multi-year infrastructureplanning

McAdam Study (K to 12)

New Brunswick Department of Educationand Early Childhood Development (EECD)

31 March 2020

Table of ContentsScope 3Summary of options 9Appendix A – Overview of the feed schools in the McAdam catchment area 13Appendix B – Vital Statistics (NB Birth Rates) 16Appendix C – 2016 Census and enrolment data 19Appendix D – Scenario 1 (Re-configure McAdam High School to K-12 andclose McAdam Elementary School) 28

Appendix E – Scenario 2 (Close both McAdam schools and replace with anew K-12 school) 35

Appendix F – Scenario 3 (Re-configure McAdam Elementary School to K-8and 9-12 attend Harvey High) 38

Appendix G – Scenario 4 (Re-configure McAdam High School to K-8 and 9-12 attend Harvey High) 51

Appendix H – Scenario 5 (New K-8 McAdam School and 9-12 attend HarveyHigh) 54

Appendix I – Scenario 6 (Keep McAdam Elementary and close McAdamHigh, with 6-12 attending Harvey High) 57

Appendix J – Scenario 7 (New K-5 McAdam Elementary School, with 6-12attending Harvey High) 65

Appendix K – Scenario 8 (Close both McAdam schools and add thecatchment areas to the Harvey schools) 68

Page 3

Scope – ASD-W has initiated a review of the two schools inMcAdam to examine potential scenarios for long-terminfrastructure planning

McAdam SchoolsSubject schools – year builtMcAdam Elementary School (K to 5 – 1945)

McAdam High School (6 to 12 – 1924)

Average age of the subject infrastructure:86 years

Other schools that may be affected in thescenario planning include:

Harvey Elementary School (K to 5 – 1966)

Harvey High School (6 to 12 – 1980)

Source: EECD sub-district map 5 for ASD-W.

Note:There is no Early French Immersion (EFI) or Late FrenchImmersion (LFI) Programs at the McAdam schools. There is aEFI Program in Harvey.

Note:McAdam Elementary School is a two-storey metal framedstructure originally constructed in 1945 and had extensiverenovations/additions completed in 1982.McAdam High School is a two-storey wood framedstructure originally constructed in 1924 and had a numberof renovations with the most recent taking place in 1984.Roof #13 was replaced in 2013 and the 31 heat pumpswere replace between 2011 and 2013. New flooring wasinstalled in 2007.

Page 4

Scope – Consultations between the District and EYnarrowed the scope to eight potential scenarios to besummarized for the infrastructure review (1 of 3)The following scenarios were included within the scope of the McAdam infrastructure planningreview. Each scenario was based on space requirements identified in the EECD PlanningGuidelines for Educational Facilities, with enrolment projections for the schools developed bymapping 2016 Census data (Statistics Canada) and Service New Brunswick Vital Statistics tothe school boundaries in order to determine future space requirements:

§ Scenario 1 (K-12): Close McAdam Elementary School and re-configure McAdam HighSchool to a K-12 school and determine what (if any) renovations/additions would berequired based on the EECD Planning Guidelines for Educational Facilities (141combined student enrolment in 2018-19). Develop a Class “D” (± 30%) estimate for theconstruction costs of the renovations/additions.

§ Scenario 2 (K-12): Close both McAdam Elementary School and McAdam High Schooland replace with a new K-12 school (141 combined student enrolment in 2018-19).Develop a Class “D” (± 30%) estimate for the construction costs of the new school.

§ Scenario 3 (K-8): Re-configure McAdam Elementary School to a K-8 school anddetermine what (if any) renovations/additions would be required based on the EECDPlanning Guidelines for Educational Facilities (95 combined student enrolment in2018-19). Close McAdam High School with the 9-12 students to attend Harvey HighSchool. Determine what (if any) renovations/additions would be required and develop aClass “D” (± 30%) estimate for the construction costs of the renovations/additions.

Note: Construction estimates in the report are for planning purposes only to be used in scenario comparison. Actual costs can be wide-ranging depending on softcosts (design work, real estate costs, project management, etc.), size, topography, geotechnical engineering, and other existing conditions. Estimates areconsidered class “D” (± 30%) estimate for the construction costs of the new schools based on the space requirements identified in the EECD PlanningGuidelines for Educational Facilities.

Page 5

Scope – Consultations between the District and EYnarrowed the scope to eight potential scenarios to besummarized for the infrastructure review (2 of 3)

§ Scenario 4 (K-8): Close McAdam Elementary School and re-configure McAdam HighSchool to a K-8 school (95 combined student enrolment in 2018-19). The McAdam 9-12students would attend Harvey High School and determine what (if any)renovations/additions would be required. Develop a Class “D” (± 30%) estimate for theconstruction costs of the renovations/additions based on the space requirements.

§ Scenario 5 (K-8): Close both McAdam Elementary School and McAdam High Schooland replace with a new K-8 school (95 combined student enrolment in 2018-19). TheMcAdam 9-12 students would attend Harvey High School and determine what (if any)renovations/additions would be required. Develop a Class “D” (± 30%) estimate for theconstruction costs of the renovations/additions and the new school.

§ Scenario 6 (K-5): Close McAdam High School and the 6-12 students would attendHarvey High School (283 combined student enrolment in 2018-19) and determine what(if any) renovations/additions would be required. Review the deferred maintenance listfor McAdam Elementary School and include in the estimate. Develop a Class “D”(± 30%) estimate for the construction costs of the renovations/additions (if any).


Page 6

Scope – Consultations between the District and EYnarrowed the scope to eight potential scenarios to besummarized for the infrastructure review (3 of 3)

§ Scenario 7 (K-5): Close McAdam High School and the 6-12 students would attendHarvey High School (283 combined student enrolment in 2018-19) and determine what(if any) renovations/additions would be required. Close McAdam Elementary and replacewith a new K-5 school. Develop a Class “D” (± 30%) estimate for the construction costsof the new school and the renovations/additions (if any).

§ Scenario 8 (K-5): Close both McAdam Elementary and McAdam High School and havethe K-12 students attend each of the schools in Harvey High School (264 combined K-5and 283 combined 6-12 students based on the enrolments in 2018-19). Determine what(if any) renovations/additions would be required to the two Harvey Schools. Develop aClass “D” (± 30%) estimate for the construction costs of the new school and therenovations/additions (if any).


Page 7

Context – Visual comparison of space types in the schoolsillustrates both some of the extra and/or missing pedagogicalspace compared to the EECD Planning Guidelines (1 of 2)

• Both McAdam Elementary and McAdam High are classified as smallschools in the EECD Planning Guidelines.

• Both McAdam Elementary and McAdam High school do not have acafeteria (the high school one is not operational due to school size).

• The average sized classroom is smaller than EECD PlanningGuidelines specified for kindergarten and grades 9-12.

• Specialty space, such as both gyms and the elementary school libraryare undersized based on the EECD Planning Guidelines.

• Accessibility has not been identified as an issue on the deferred list.

Multi-Purpose Gymnasium (Elementary)Guidelines: 280 m2 / Actual 205 m2

Music Classroom (Elementary)Guidelines: 110 m2 / Actual 92 m2

Music Room (Middle/High School)Guidelines: 130 m2 / Actual 72 m2

Double Gymnasium (High School)Guidelines: 821 m2 / Actual 359 m2

Source: ASD-W school site visits, EECD school drawings, EECD Planning Guidelines for Educational Facilities, and ASD-W District Projects List.

McAdam High School (4,424 m2)(6-12), built in 1924, last renovation 1984

McAdam Elementary School (2,098 m2)(K-5), built in 1945, renovated with addition in 1982

General ClassroomGuidelines: 90 m2 for K / 70 m2 for G1-5Actual Average 68 m2

LibraryGuidelines: 100 m2 (based onenrolment) / Actual 66 m2

General ClassroomGuidelines: 81 m2

Average 63 m2 to 72 m2

MSTE and BBTGuidelines: Combined in small schoolsGuidelines: 250 m2 / actual total 127 m2

Vocational technology workshopGuidelines: Combined in small schoolsGuidelines: 300 m2 / actual total 176 m2

Combined Art and ScienceGuidelines: 130m2 / Actual 79m2 + 58m2

m2

Art, Music and Science Room

Page 8

Harvey Elementary School (1,958 m2)(K-5), built in 1966

• Both Harvey Elementary and Harvey High are classified as smallschools in the EECD Planning Guidelines.

• Harvey Elementary does not have a sprinkler system, cafeteria orregulation sized gymnasium and will have two mobile classrooms.

• Harvey Elementary has been on bottled water for the past elevenyears due to well contamination.

• The average sized classroom is smaller than EECD PlanningGuidelines specified for kindergarten and grades 9-12.

• Harvey High School has limited storage.• Accessibility has not been identified as an issue on the deferred list.

Resource RoomGuidelines: 35 m2 / Actual 13 m2

Double Gymnasium (High School)Guidelines: 821 m2 / Actual 609 m2

Source: ASD-W school site visits, EECD school drawings, EECD Planning Guidelines for Educational Facilities, and ASD-W District Projects List.

General ClassroomGuidelines: 81 m2 for 9-12Actual Average 68 m2

Harvey High School (5,287 m2)(6-12), built in 1980

Mobile Classroom on end of school,2nd mobile has been requested for2020-21.

Joint branch of York Regional Library

CafeteriaGuidelines: 125 m2 / actual total 186 m2

Woodworking and auto shopTotal: 439 m2 including storage andtechnology classroom space


Context – Visual comparison of space types in the schoolsillustrates both some of the extra and/or missing pedagogicalspace compared to the EECD Planning Guidelines (2 of 2)

Multi-Purpose Gymnasium (Elementary)Guidelines: 280 m2 / Actual 247 m2

Back wall of room removedduring elevator additon

Storage

General ClassroomGuidelines: 90 m2 for K / 70 m2 for G1-5Actual Average 67 m2

LibraryGuidelines: 100 m2 (based onenrolment) / Actual 106 m2

Woodworking and auto shopTotal: 439 m2 including storage andtechnology classroom space


Page 9

Scenarios 1 and 2 (K-12) are estimated to be $2.0M* and$18.3M* respectively, recommend any addition scenariohave building assessment studies completed

*Note: Class "D" estimate (± 30%) based on the EECD Planning Guidelines for Educational Facilities, as an estimate for this report only. Estimates will be adjusted whenEECD Infrastructure and the project team establish the actual space allocation.

► Scenarios 1 and 2 both have a minimum effect on school busing, as the school boundary remains the same for a K-12 school.► All scenarios with highlighted enrolments are considered small schools. The estimated space allocations are for planning purposes only.

The Planning Guidelines note, “if expected utilization rates fall below 50%, options will be examined on how combined uses or reduced areaallocations might suit the given scenario for delivering all curriculums required.”

► Lawrence Station Elementary School (27 K-5 students in 2018-19) is 35 km from McAdam High and 34 km to St. Stephen Middle School.There may be an opportunity to discuss with ASD-S to see if there is interest in joining any of the scenarios.

► Recommend a building assessment be performed to confirm the investment in any additional costs to the schools in the scenarios withinscope (originally built between 1924 and 1980) are not outweighed by the potential repair costs of a mid-life upgrade.

Scenario 1 Scenario 2

Close McAdam Elementary andRe-configure McAdam High School to K-12.

Close McAdam Elementary, McAdam Highand Replace with a New K-12.

Re-configured K-12 School New K-12 SchoolMcAdam McAdam

Enrolment Number of Students 133 (2019-20) 133 (2019-20)Projections Number of Students 155 (2027-28) 155 (2027-28)

<200 E, <300 M, <500 H <200 E, <300 M, <500 HBenchmark School(s) of Similar Size? Yes - Five Schools Yes - Five Schools

English Prime 12 12Early French Immersion (EFI) 0 0Late French Immersion (LFI) 0 0Total 12 12

Utilization For Schools 46% 46%Number to Build 0 1Number to Close 1 2Existing 2,098 m2 (Elementary) 6,522 m2

Addition/New Schools Addition: 323 m2 New School: 5,474 m2

Net Increase/(Decrease) (1,775 m2) (1,048 m2)Cost Avoidance Deferred Maintenance $0.3M $0.4MEstimated Cost* New School $18.3M*

Addition/Renovation $2.0M*Total for Scenario $2.0M* $18.3M*

Operational Costs Increase (excluding staffing) ($30K) ($7K)

Percentage of Replacement Cost for Same Area 11%

Schools

Area

Recommended Upper Limit - Number of Students

GeneralClassrooms

Note: There are calculation variationsin operational cost per square meterfor the different scenarios. This isresulting from different schools beingselected for each grade configurationfor the baseline comparison.e.g.: For the K-12 scenarios:Cambridge Narrows CommunitySchool (K-12 for 161 students,operational costs of $31.10/m2) andCanterbury High School (K-12, 134students, operational costs of$32.15/m2) were used to approximatea new K-12 school for 155 students.For the K-8 scenarios: BathCommunity School (K-8 for 128students, operational costs of$36.47/m2) and CentervilleCommunity School (K-8, 194students, operational costs of$32.20/m2) were used to approximatea new K-8 school for 110 students.

Page 10

Scenarios 3, 4 and 5 (K-8) are $8.9M*, $5.5M* and $17.5M*respectively, and school transportation for the 9-12students would last about 25 to 30 minutes longer


► All three scenarios impact school busing with the 9-12 traveling to Harvey High. Although the McAdam school boundary is large, includingportions of NB-630, NB-3 and NB-4. The vast majority of students in the school boundary actually live in McAdam. Harvey High andMcAdam High are 32 km (25 minutes no stops) apart via NB-4. There are six students living in St. Croix (41 km or 32 minutes) to Harvey.

► As per the guidelines, there are not enough students in the scenarios to include a cafeteria (McAdam High cafeteria is currently shutdown).In scenario 3, the gym at 205 m2 is undersized and does not have a stage. The general classrooms are smaller than the specification of81 m2 for middle school students.

► Recommend reviewing the site requirements at the McAdam schools with scaled drawings to confirm there is space for an addition.McAdam Elementary appears to have limited potential, while McAdam High appears to have no space for an addition for scenario 1 (notneeded for scenario 4).

► Historical enrolments indicate Harvey High could add the students without the need of an addition. However, our site visit confirmed thespecialty classrooms were compensating for the general classroom capacity and an addition was added to the scenarios.

Re-configured K-8 School Addition Re-configured K-8 School Addition New K-8 School AdditionMcAdam Harvey McAdam Harvey McAdam Harvey

Enrolment Number of Students 95 (2019-20) 250 (2019-20) 95 (2019-20) 250 (2019-20) 95 (2019-20) 250 (2019-20)Projections Number of Students 110 (2029-30) 280 (2024-25) 110 (2029-30) 280 (2024-25) 110 (2029-30) 280 (2024-25)

<200 E, <300 M, <500 H <200 E, <300 M, <500 H <200 E, <300 M, <500 H <200 E, <300 M, <500 H <200 E, <300 M, <500 H <200 E, <300 M, <500 HBenchmark School(s) of Similar Size? Yes - Five Schools Yes - Five Schools Yes - Five Schools Yes - Five Schools Yes - Five Schools Yes - Five Schools

English Prime 9 11 9 11 9 11Early French Immersion (EFI) 0 5 0 5 0 5Late French Immersion (LFI) 0 0 0 0 0 0Total 9 16 9 16 9 16

Utilization For Schools 48% 55% 48% 55% 48% 55%Number to Build 0 0 0 0 1 0Number to Close 1 0 1 0 2 0Existing 4,424 m2 (High School) 2,098 m2 (Elementary) 6,522 m2

Addition/New Schools Addition: 850 m2 Addition: 1,121 m2 Addition: 1,121 m2 New School: 3,351 m2 Addition: 1,121 m2

Net Increase/(Decrease) (2,453 m2) (977 m2) (2,050 m2)Cost Avoidance Deferred Maintenance $0.1M $0.0M $0.3M $0.0M $0.4M $0.0MEstimated Cost* New School $12.7M*

Addition/Renovation $4.1M* $4.8M* $0.7M* $4.8M* $4.8M*Total for Scenario $8.9M* $5.5M* $17.5M*

Operational Costs Increase (excluding staffing) ($47K) ($42K) ($33K)

Percentage of Replacement Cost for Same Area 32% 23% 6% 23% 23%

GeneralClassrooms

Schools

Area

Scenario 5Close McAdam Elementary and McAdam High,Build New K-8 and 9-12 to Attend Harvey High.

Scenario 3 Scenario 4Close McAdam High, Re-configure McAdam

Elementary to K-8 and 9-12 to Attend Harvey High.Close McAdam Elementary, Re-configure McAdam

High to K-8 and 9-12 to Attend Harvey High.


Page 11


► There are not enough students in any of the scenarios at McAdam schools to have a French Immersion Program, same as the current state.► Scenario 6 has and undersized gym at McAdam Elementary (smaller than the specified multi-purpose gym) and there is no stage. The

planned addition includes space for Early Childhood Development and Special Care.► The addition at Harvey High in these three scenarios to include the 6-12 McAdam students is not much larger than it was for the K-8

scenarios (137 m2 difference), as the adjustments for the speciality space was the largest driver within the scenarios.► Scenario 8 is not deemed feasible, as the $11.1M* estimate for the school addition, renovations and deferred maintenance based on the

guidelines at Harvey Elementary is 67% of the cost of a new school prior to a building assessment. The current footprint is small and hasvery limited specialty classroom space and will have two mobiles in 2020-21. Additionally, the school also requires a sprinkler system.

► All of the new school scenarios reduce the average age of the ASD-W infrastructure and do not require a building assessment. As with anynew school request, there is a potential risk of being unable to secure capital funding from the Government of New Brunswick (GNB).

Update K-5 School Addition New K-5 School Addition Addition AdditionMcAdam Harvey McAdam Harvey Harvey (K-5) Harvey (6-12)

Enrolment Number of Students 66 (2019-20) 279 (2019-20) 66 (2019-20) 279 (2019-20) 250 (2019-20) 279 (2019-20)Projections Number of Students 75 (2026-27) 310 (2024-25) 75 (2026-27) 310 (2024-25) 245 (2026-27) 310 (2024-25)

<200 E, <300 M, <500 H <200 E, <300 M, <500 H <200 E, <300 M, <500 H <200 E, <300 M, <500 H <200 E, <300 M, <500 H <200 E, <300 M, <500 HBenchmark School(s) of Similar Size? Yes - Five Schools Yes - Three Schools Yes - Five Schools Yes - Three Schools Yes - Five Schools Yes - Three Schools

English Prime 6 12 6 12 8 12Early French Immersion (EFI) 0 5 0 5 7 5Late French Immersion (LFI) 0 0 0 0 0 0Total 6 17 6 17 15 17

Utilization For Schools 52% 62% 52% 62% 69% 62%Number to Build 0 0 1 0 0 0Number to Close 1 0 2 0 2 0Existing 4,424 m2 (High School) 6,522 m2 6,522 m2

Addition/New Schools Addition: 235 m2 Addition: 1,258 m2 New School: 2,503 m2 Addition: 1,258 m2 Addition: 2,693 m2 Addition: 1,258 m2

Net Increase/(Decrease) (2,931 m2) (2,761 m2) (2,571 m2)Cost Avoidance Deferred Maintenance $0.1M $0.0M $0.4M $0.0M $0.4M $0.0MEstimated Cost* New School $10.4M*

Addition/Renovation $2.0M* $5.2M* $5.2M* $11.1M* $5.2M*Total for Scenario $7.2M* $15.6M* $16.3M*

Operational Costs Increase (excluding staffing) ($62K) ($71K)

Percentage of Replacement Cost for Same Area 19% 23% 23% 67% 23%


GeneralClassrooms

Schools

Area

Scenario 6 Scenario 7 Scenario 8Close McAdam High, Update McAdam Elementary to

K-5 Guidelines and 6-12 to Attend Harvey High.Close McAdam Elementary and McAdam High, Build

New K-5 and 6-12 to Attend Harvey High.Close McAdam Elementary and McAdam High,

K-5 and 6-12 to Attend Harvey Schools.

Scenarios 6, 7 and 8 (K-5) are $7.2M*, $15.6M* and ($16.3M*- with Scenario 8 not feasible), and would impact schooltransportation for the 6-12 students by 25 to 30 minutes

Page 12


► As noted on page 11, scenario 8 is not deemed feasible due to the cost of the addition required at Harvey Elementary.► There is no room for an addition on McAdam High School in scenario 1 based on a high level review of the site plan. Scenario 1 does not

appear to be feasible unless the addition for gaps to the planning guidelines is excluded.► All of the scenarios (excluding scenario 2) are recommended to have building assessments performed before investing in additions to the

existing schools.► Scenarios 1-7 all keep one school within the village of McAdam. Scenarios 1 and 4 retain the 96 year old McAdam High School, scenarios 3

and 6 retain the 75 year old McAdam Elementary School, while scenarios 2, 5 and 7 would require capital approval for building a new smallschool in McAdam.

► Scenarios 6 and 7 would have the McAdam students join the Harvey students at the same time at Harvey High in grade 6, while scenarios3-5 would have the McAdam high school students integrated into Harvey High after the starting point of grade 6.

For feasible scenarios – options range from $5.5M* to$8.9M* without the inclusion of a new school, and rangefrom $15.6M* to $18.3M* with a new school for McAdam

Total EstimatedConstruction Cost

SchoolsBuilt

SchoolsClosed

AdditionsNet Increase/Decrease

in AreaAverage Age of

Remaining SchoolsCost

AvoidanceStudents to

Bus to Harvey

1 $2.0M* 0 1 1 (1,775 m2) 63.3 $0.3M 0

2 $18.3M* 1 2 0 (1,048 m2) 47.0 $0.4M 0

3 $8.9M* 0 1 2 (2,453 m2) 56.3 $0.1M 38

4 $5.5M* 0 1 1 (977 m2) 63.3 $0.3M 38

5 $17.5M* 1 2 1 (2,050 m2) 47.0 $0.4M 38

6 $7.2M* 0 1 1 (2,931 m2) 56.3 $0.1M 67

7 $15.6M* 1 2 1 (2,761 m2) 47.0 $0.4M 67

8 $16.3M* 0 2 2 (2,571 m2) 47.0 $0.4M 133

Close McAdam Elementary and McAdam High,Build New K-5 and 6-12 to Attend Harvey High.

Close McAdam Elementary and McAdam High,K-5 and 6-12 to Attend Harvey Schools.

Scenario

Number of

Close McAdam High, Re-configure McAdamElementary to K-8 and 9-12 to Attend Harvey High.

Close McAdam Elementary andRe-configure McAdam High School to K-12.

Close McAdam Elementary, McAdam High andReplace with a New K-12.

Close McAdam Elementary, Re-configure McAdamHigh to K-8 and 9-12 to Attend Harvey High.

Close McAdam Elementary and McAdam High,Build New K-8 and 9-12 to Attend Harvey High.

Close McAdam High, Update McAdam Elementaryto K-5 Guidelines and 6-12 to Attend Harvey High.

Page 13

Appendix A – Overview of the feed schools in theMcAdam catchment area

Page 14

Harvey High School(grades 6-12)

McAdam High School(grades 6-12)

Harvey Elementary School(grades K-5)

Source: ASD-W: English Prime and French Immersion Program Statistics.

McAdam EFI students would go toHarvey ElementarySchool (Enrolment data indicatesthat this does not occur)

McAdam ElementarySchool

(grades K-5)

Overview of feed schools in the McAdam catchment area –The EFI Program is in the Harvey schools

Page 15

Overview of feed schools in the McAdam catchment area –Existing school boundaries for McAdam and Harvey

McAdam Elementary SchoolMcAdam High SchoolHarvey Elementary SchoolHarvey High School

Harvey HighSchool Boundary

Source: ASD-W school transportation software - Busplanner.

McAdam High SchoolBoundary

United States

Brockway

ChristieRidge

Skiff LakeGrassyLake Kilburn

Lake

LakeGeorge

HarveyLake

Page 16

Appendix B – Vital Statistics (NB Birth Rates)

Page 17

Provincial birth rates have continued to decline since 2014,indicating a potential decrease in future school enrolmentdepending on immigration levels

► In 2018-19, the NB K-12 enrolment increased for the first time in 28 years (since 1990-91).The increase was 140 students (97,755 to 97,895) between 2017-18 and 2018-19. Thiscoincides with the addition of the Syrian Newcomers in 2016-17 and the 1,279 increase inbirths between 2007 and 2011 compared to 2002 to 2006 now in the K-12 system.

► However, birth rates have declined between 2014 (6,904) and 2019 (6,158*). The loss inbirth rate will need to be offset through immigration to continue the positive trend.

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Number of Live Residential Births in NB by Year

Number of Live Births NB Linear (Number of Live Births NB)

K-12 (Assuming entry into K at age 5)

Source: Service New Brunswick, Vital Statistics, Table 1: Vital Statistics Summary, New Brunswick 2013-2018, 2008-2012, 2003-2007, 1998-2002, 1994-2008, andService New Brunswick News Release: New Brunswick’s Birth Numbers and Top Baby Names for 2019 (27 December 2019), Fredericton, NB.

* Preliminary (December2019) Service NewBrunswick (SNB)estimates for NB birthswere 5,355. This wasprojected to 6,158 basedon the percentage of lateregistrations for 2018.

Page 18

York County live birth have declined later than theprovincial birth rates have since 2014

► SNB vital statistics for York County birth trend from 2014 to 2019:1,006, 1,004, 1,019, 985, 920 and 942. York County births did not drop until 2017 compared to theprovincial birth rate, which started dropping in 2014.

► The CBC News 9 February 2020 article titled 10,000 Immigrants Won’t Come to NB if Housing IsBeyond Reach (by Elizabeth Fraser) states, “The Premier announced in his state of the provincespeech that he wants to attract 10,000 immigrants to the province a year by 2027”. This strategyis targeted to offset the decline seen in provincial birth rates and to generate population growth.

Source: Service New Brunswick, Vital Statistics, Table 2A: Vital Statistics by County of Residence, New Brunswick (1998-2018), and Service New Brunswick NewsRelease: New Brunswick’s Birth Numbers and Top Baby Names for 2019 (27 December 2019), Fredericton, NB.

800

850

900

950

1,000

1,050

1,100

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Number of Live Births in York County by Year

Number of Live Births York County Trend Line

K-12 (Assuming entry into K at age 5)

* Preliminary (December2019) Service NewBrunswick (SNB)estimates for NB birthsestimated using historicalaverage percentage oftotal births for the county.

Page 19

Appendix C – 2016 Census and enrolment data

Page 20

2016 Census data – McAdam K-12 schools projected to seea stable to small increase in enrolment (based on populationage grouping data), excluding net migration (1 of 2)

*Sources: Statistics Canada. 2017. McAdam, VL [Census subdivision], New Brunswick. Census Profile. 2016 Census. Statistics Canada Catalogue no. 98-316-X2016001. Ottawa. Released November 29, 2017. Vital Statistics, New Brunswick Table 4: Vital Statistics by Cities, Towns and Villages of Over 1,000 Population,

New Brunswick (2014-2018), and Top Baby Names for 2019 (27 December 2019), Fredericton, NB.

► Service New Brunswick (SNB) Vital statistics for McAdamVillage birth trend from 2014 to 2018: 8, 14, 14, 16, and 11.The total for this most recent 5-year period is 63 births,projecting a stable to small enrolment growth depending onimmigration.

► Preliminary SNB estimates for New Brunswick births show5,355* children were born in 2019, a decrease of 1.7%* to the5,448* born in 2018. (*Note: Final statistics for NB to be released in April, they will be closer to the 2017 birth total after all of the birth certificates have been compiled.)

McAdam, PNorth Lake, P

Canterbury, P

Age Groups Male Female Total0 to 4 years 20* 25* 505 to 9 years 25 30 5510 to 14 years 25 30 5515 to 19 years 40 25 65*Rounding errors (to groups of 5), does not add to total.

Population By Five-Year Age Groups, 2016

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

0 to 4 years 5 to 9 years 10 to 14 years 15 to 19 years

McAdam (VL) Total Population By Five-Year Age Groups (2016)

Trend LineFuture Enrolment

Page 21

*Source: Statistics Canada. 2017. McAdam, VL, McAdam Parish [Census subdivisions], New Brunswick (table). Census Profile. 2016 Census. Statistics Canada Catalogue no. 98-316-X2016001. Ottawa. Released November 29, 2017, and CBC News**, MacDonald, Michael. McAdam’s Sale of $1 Housing Lots A Success, Mayor Says

(dated 6 November 2019).

► The inclusion of McAdam Parish does not affect theprojections from McAdam Village.

► McAdam started an initiative to sell $1 housing lots to try andattract newcomers to the village. CBC News** noted in 2019that, “10 of the 16 lots have been sold and the remaining 6have deals pending. Additionally, the village planned to teardown derelict homes and buildings to improve propertyvalues. The village’s population has grown by 100.”

Parishes surrounding McAdam

2016 Census data – McAdam K-12 schools projected to seea stable to small increase in enrolment (based on populationage grouping data), excluding net migration (2 of 2)

McAdam, VL

NorthLake, P

Canterbury, P

SaintJames, P

UnitedStates

Age Groups Male Female Total0 to 4 years 20* 30* 555 to 9 years 25* 30* 6010 to 14 years 25* 35* 5515 to 19 years 45* 30* 70*Rounding errors (to groups of 5), does not add to total.


(Note: Only a small amount of the enrolment in McAdam schools come fromthe Parish, the increase is 15 when including McAdam Parish from ages0 to 19 compared to only McAdam Village.)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80


McAdam (School Boundary) Total Population By Five-Year Age Groups (2016)

Trend Line

Future Enrolment

Page 22

2016 Census data – Harvey K-12 schools projected to see adecrease in enrolment (based on the population age groupingcensus data), excluding net migration (1 of 2)

*Source: Statistics Canada. 2017. Minto, VL [Census subdivision], New Brunswick and Queens, CT [Census division], New Brunswick (table). Census Profile. 2016Census. Statistics Canada Catalogue no. 98-316-X2016001. Ottawa. Released November 29, 2017, and Vital Statistics, Table 2A: Vital Statistics by County of Residence,

New Brunswick and Table 4: Vital Statistics by Cities, Towns and Villages of Over 1,000 Population, New Brunswick (2013-2017).

► Service New Brunswick (SNB) vital statistics for York Countybirth trend from 2014 to 2018: 1,006, 1,004, 1,019, 985, and920.

► Table 4 of SNB Vital statistics does not have data for Harvey,as the village has less than a 1,000 population.

► The Harvey schools’ catchment area draw the majority of theenrolment from the surrounding parishes.

MannersSutton, P

McAdam, P

Dumfries, P

Age Groups Male Female Total0 to 4 years 10* 5* 205 to 9 years 20 10 3010 to 14 years 10 15 2515 to 19 years 10* 10* 15*Rounding errors (to groups of 5), does not add to total.


0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35


Harvey (VL) Total Population By Five-Year Age Groups (2016)

Trend Line

Future Enrolment

Page 23

*Source: Statistics Canada. 2017. Harvey, VL, Manners Sutton Parish, Prince William Parish [Census subdivisions], New Brunswick and York, CT [Census division], New Brunswick(table). Census Profile. 2016 Census. Statistics Canada Catalogue no. 98-316-X2016001. Ottawa. Released November 29, 2017.

► Enrolment decrease has come from the birth declinein both the surrounding parishes and Harvey Village.

► Over the past 10 years there has been a 24%decrease in K-12 enrolments between 2010-11 (518)to 2019-20 (396).

2016 Census data – Harvey K-12 schools projected to see adecrease in enrolment (based on the population age groupingcensus data), excluding net migration (2 of 2)

Age Groups Male Female Total0 to 4 years 70 45 1155 to 9 years 90 70 16010 to 14 years 80* 70* 14515 to 19 years 105* 75* 170*Rounding errors (to groups of 5), does not add to total.


0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180


Harvey (School Boundary) Total Population By Five-Year Age Groups (2016)

Trend LineFuture Enrolment

Parishes surrounding Harvey

Harvey, VL

McAdam, P

Page 24

Mapping 2016 Census data – The dissemination areas of the2016 Census are not an exact match to the schoolboundaries and assumptions were required in mapping

Source: Google Maps, ASD-W school transportation software – Busplanner, and Statistics Canada https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-recensement/2016/dp-pd/prof/index.cfm?Lang=E .

Page 25

Mapping 2016 Census data – ASD-W 2019-20 enrolmentprojections were compared to the 2016 Census mappingresults and the discrepancy between the two was within 3.6%

► Since the dissemination areas of the 2016 Census are not an exact match with the school boundaries, theassumptions in mapping were validated by comparing the K-12 enrolments in 2019-20 to the number ofstudents determined with the census statistics.

► The total number of students (ages 2 to 14) in the 2016 Census for the McAdam and Harvey schools beforeassumptions was more than ASD-W had enrolled for 2019-20.

► Discrepancies between the census and enrolment data can be explained in several ways, including:§ Some students may be in the Francophone school system;§ The census rounds dissemination areas to the nearest interval of 5;§ The census does not fit the school boundaries perfectly and had to be mapped as closely as possible;§ Some people do not file their census returns (not a 100% data collection);§ Students with later birth months (i.e.: October/November/December) may choose to start school at age 6 instead of age 5;§ The census is a point in time; people move in/move out of the school boundaries; and§ Some children within the selected school boundaries are home schooled.

*Source: Statistics Canada Statistics Canada https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-recensement/2016/dp-pd/prof/index.cfm?Lang=E, and ASD-W 2019-20 enrolment.

SchoolASD-W 2019-20Enrolment

At FI (AnotherSchool)

At English Prime(Another School)

Attending Schoolfor FI fromAnother School

Attending Schoolfor English Primefrom AnotherSchool

Total StudentsLiving In SchoolBoundary

MappingAssumptionsCensus 2016(Ages 2 to 14)

Discrepancy ofCensus MappingAfterAssumptions

%DiscrepancyAfterAssumptions

McAdam Elementary School (K-5) 66 1 0 0 0McAdam High School (6-12) 67 0 1 0 -1Harvey Elementary School (K-5) 184 0 0 -1 0Harvey High School (6-12) 212 0 1 0 -1Total 529 1 2 -1 -2 529 548 19

% Discrepancy 3.6%

134 138 4 3.0%

395 410 15 3.8%

Page 26

Sources: Statistics Canada. 2017. McAdam, VL [Census subdivision], New Brunswick and York, CT [Census division], New Brunswick (table). Census Profile. 2016Census. Statistics Canada Catalogue no. 98-316-X2016001. Ottawa. Released November 29, 2017. Vital Statistics, Table 2A: Vital Statistics by County of Residence,

New Brunswick and Table 4: Vital Statistics by Cities, Towns and Villages of Over 1,000 Population, New Brunswick (2013-2018), and ASD-W 2000-2019enrolment data.

Mapping 2016 Census data – K-12 enrolment in the McAdamcatchment area projected to increase based on census andvital statistic birth data and the village’s plan for newcomers

► Note: The Census data quality reported by Statistics Canada is 4.1% for McAdam Village (short-form – worstcase scenario) and this was used to forecast the upper limits in the enrolment projections.

Preschool to Grade 5 Middle School High School Total13% 12% 100%

Preschool K-5 6-8 9-12 Total37% 38% 13% 12% 100%

*Note: Age split based on Government of Canada Report: Recent Immigrants inMetropolitan Areas: Canada - A Comparative Profile Based on the 2001 Census

74%

Assumed Distribution of Newcomer Students*Age 0 to 14*

88%Age 15+*

12%

2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29Projection (+4.1%) 133 144 152 158 160 162 163 164 165 160

Projection 133 131 139 145 147 149 150 151 152 147

Projection (-4.1%) 133 118 126 132 134 136 137 138 139 134Historical Enrolment 307 293 283 272 254 249 242 228 214 207 196 188 181 165 164 155 147 141 133

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Total K-12 Enrolment In McAdam Catchment Area

Page 27

Sources: Statistics Canada. 2017. Harvey, VL [Census subdivision], New Brunswick and York, CT [Census division], New Brunswick (table). Census Profile. 2016Census. Statistics Canada Catalogue no. 98-316-X2016001. Ottawa. Released November 29, 2017. Vital Statistics, Table 2A: Vital Statistics by County of Residence,

New Brunswick (2013-2018), and ASD-W 2000-2019 enrolment data.

Mapping 2016 Census data – Total enrolment for K-12 in theHarvey catchment area projected to continue downwardbased on census mapping and vital statistics

► Note: The Census data quality reported by Statistics Canada is 5.5% for Harvey Village (long-form – worstcase scenario) and this was used to forecast the upper and lower limits in the enrolment projections.

2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30Projection (+5.5%) 396 418 417 414 418 421 410 399 397 395 391Projection 396 389 388 385 389 392 382 372 370 368 364

Projection (-5.5%) 396 360 359 356 360 363 354 345 343 341 337

Historical Enrolment 577 572 568 565 560 552 540 517 531 518 486 490 465 445 425 419 410 406 396

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

Total K-12 Enrolment In Harvey Catchment Area

Page 28

Appendix D – Scenario 1 (Re-configure McAdam HighSchool to K-12 and close McAdam Elementary School)

Page 29

Scenario 1 (Re-configure McAdam High School to K-12)would use the existing K-5 and 6-12 school boundaries, asboth encompass the entire McAdam catchment area

Scenario 1: Re-configure to K-12• The proposed school boundary in scenario 1 would

use the existing school boundaries from theMcAdam catchment area. McAdam ElementarySchool would close and McAdam High Schoolwould be re-configured from 6-12 to K-12.

• The northeastern part of the school boundaryextends from the York County Line below OromoctoLake and includes NB-3 at Brockway before NB-4.

• The northwestern part of the school boundary isbounded by lakes (East Brook, below Skiff, BigDuck and Magaguadavic). This includes a sectionof NB-630 and NB-4 (before intersection at NB-3).

• The southern part of the school boundary is definedby the York County Line.

• The western part of the school boundary startsalong the St. Croix River and then extends north.

• The re-configured school would be made of thefollowing composition of existing schools based on2019-20:

K-12 school boundary for an amalgamation of McAdamElementary and McAdam High schools

Re-configure McAdam High School to K-12 (Scenario 1)


EastBrookLake

United States

Brockway

McAdam

McAdam High School

NB-3

ChristieRidge

NB-4


Lake BigDuckLake

McAdam Elementary (K-5) 66 66 100%McAdam High (6-12) 67 67 100%

Harvey Elementary (K-5) 184 0 0%Harvey High (6-12) 212 0 0%

Total 529 133 25%

SchoolCurrent

EnrolmentTo Re-configured

SchoolPercentage Composition

of Former School

Note: This page is also applicable for Scenario 2 (new K-12 for McAdamcatchment area).

Harvey

Page 30

LFIK 21 11 11 1 211 21 11 11 1 212 21 11 11 1 213 26 11 11 1 264 28 11 11 1 285 28 16 16 1 286 28 15 15 1 287 29 10 10 1 298 29 11 11 1 29

Empty 29 0 0107 9 231

Grades SizeLimit

French Immersion English Prime Total ClassRooms

Projected Utilization: 46.3%

K-8 (107 Students) Requirements in New K-12 McAdam School Space Requirements

EFI

Total:

MaximumCapacity

Year K 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Total2019-20 11 10 10 9 16 10 10 10 9 9 10 7 12 1332020-21 10 11 10 10 9 16 10 10 10 9 9 10 7 1312021-22 15 10 11 10 10 9 16 10 10 10 9 9 10 139 Year 1 Estimated new2022-23 16 15 10 11 10 10 9 16 10 10 10 9 9 145 Year 2 school construction2023-24 11 16 15 10 11 10 10 9 16 10 10 10 9 147 Year 32024-25 11 11 16 15 10 11 10 10 9 16 10 10 10 149 Year 4 (depending on start time)2025-26 11 11 11 16 15 10 11 10 10 9 16 10 10 1502026-27 11 11 11 11 16 15 10 11 10 10 9 16 10 1512027-28 11 11 11 11 11 16 15 10 11 10 10 9 16 1522028-29 11 11 11 11 11 11 16 15 10 11 10 10 9 1472029-30 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 16 15 10 11 10 10 149

Review of 10-year planning horizonProjections used for school design in review

Projections for New K-12 School (McAdam)

Based on enrolment projections, a K-12 school forMcAdam would be sized for 155 students or fewer andhave 12 general classrooms (depending on start time)

Source: ASD-W: 2019-20 enrolment statistics, EECD Policy, Planning Summary Statistics, Statistics Canada. 2017. McAdam, V [Census subdivision], New Brunswick and York,CT [Census division], New Brunswick (table). Census Profile. 2016 Census. Statistics Canada Catalogue no. 98-316-X2016001. Ottawa. Released

November 29, 2017, and Service New Brunswick, Vital Statistics, Table 2A: Vital Statistics by County of Residence, New Brunswick (1998-2018).

Project start-up woulddepend on DEC andGNB approval

Scenario 1: Re-configure to K-12• Enrolment projections indicate a small increase in

K-12 student population during the 10-yearplanning horizon (as seen in 2016 Census data).

• 2027-28 was projected with the most classroomrequirements after a potential construction period.

• McAdam High School is considered a small highschool having less than 500 students, as well asthe middle school component which has less than300. The EECD Planning Guidelines notes whenenrolment falls below 200 for elementary, 300 for amiddle school or 500 for a high school, theopportunity for combining a wider range of gradelevels will be considered.

• For comparison, based on 2018-19 schoolstatistics, GNB had 17 K-12 schools. Of these,nine schools were considered small sized schools.The average student enrolment for this small sizedK-12 school was 196.

• Schools in the size range of the projected K-12school include the five smallest K-12 in 2018-19:

• Saint Mary’s Academy (176)• Cambridge-Narrows Community (166)• Canterbury High School (150)• Campobello Island Consolidated (124)• École Régionale de Baie-Sainte-Anne (118)

Say 155

Note: The school would be designed for the peak enrolment/classroom requirements(depending on start time of the project). The design utilization would be 46% for theK-8 students and would require 9 classrooms assuming no French ImmersionPrograms (current state) and no combined classes.The EECD Planning Guidelines has a general formula for calculating the amount ofclassrooms required in a high school. The designs are usually related to schools of500 students or larger, as high schools generally have a larger catchment area thanother schools types. The formula assumes all rooms will have a 75% utilization rate,representing 90% of the maximum class size: 3 high school classrooms needed fora total of 12.


Note: This page is also applicable for Scenario 2(new K-12 for McAdam catchment area).

Page 31

Proposed Addition Quantity Square Meters Total Square MetersEarly Childhood Development Room 1 110 110Multi-Function Room 1 110 110Overall Systems and Services 103

Sub-total 323$0.7

$0.2

$0.2$0.1$1.2

Proposed Renovations Quantity Square Meters Total Square Meters124864444

Sub-total 298$0.6$0.0$0.2$0.8

Estimated Cost $2.0M*

= Total Estimated Construction Costs of Addition (in millions)

Space to be Renovated/Refurbished

Renovation of Room 303 into 2 Classrooms (moveable wall)Renovation of Unused Kitchen and Cafeteria into ClassroomConference Room to Resource Room and Visiting Professional

x Construction Cost Estimate ($2,120/m2) (in millions)

+ Deferred Maintenance in School Physical Plant Report

Space to be Added x Construction Cost Estimate ($2,120/m2) (in millions)+ Assume 6% of $3.0M Civil Costs for Renovation (Addition is6% of new K-12 construction costs)x Soft Costs (25%)

= Total Estimated Construction Costs of Renovations (in millions)

1 Section of Library to Resource Room and Visiting Professional

+ Assume no Civil Costs for Renovationx Soft Costs (25%)

Class “D” estimate*: $2.0M* would be required for theschool addition and renovations in the re-configuration ofMcAdam High School to K-12

*Note: Class "D" estimate (± 30%) based on the EECD Planning Guidelines for Educational Facilities, as an estimate for this report only. Estimates will be adjusted whenEECD Infrastructure and project team establish the actual space allocation. Source: EECD School Asset Data, School Physical Plant Status Report for Deferred Maintenance.

Note: In order to accommodate the 12 projected classrooms (without adding onnew ones), Room 303 (124 m2) is assumed to be split into two classrooms of62 m2 with a moveable wall. The cafeteria and kitchen are not in use becausethere are not enough students for it to run. Since small schools are not providedwith a cafeteria in the planning guidelines at this size range, it has beenassumed this total space 86 m2 could be converted into a general classroom.The ASD-W school profiles note McAdam Elementary is currently using 5general classrooms and McAdam High School is using 6 (total 11).


Scenario 1: Re-configure to K-12 (McAdam)• Re-configuring the school to a K-12 does not mean

that all the space in the school is fit for purpose forthe elementary students. An attempt was made toseparate the youngest students (K-5 on floor A2)from the 6-12 school students on floors A1 and A3.In addition, some renovations would be required,such as bathrooms.

• Most of the space currently within the school issmaller than specifications (e.g.: generalclassrooms are smaller than 81 m2).

• The estimated space allocations are for planningpurposes only, as McAdam would have a limitedenrolment totaling 155 K-12 students. The EECDPlanning Guidelines note, “if expected utilizationrates fall below 50%, options will be examined onhow combined uses or reduced area allocationsmight suit the given scenario for delivering allcurriculums required.”

• The estimate does not include any refurbishmentclassified as a mid-life upgrade (this was not inscope and would require a building assessmentstudy). It is recommended that an assessment beperformed before investing in the school (originallybuilt in 1924).

• A Class “D” estimate* for the proposed newaddition/renovations for scenario 1 is $2.0M*.

Grade Level Count

K-5 201 202 203 204 205 206 6

6-12 303 split 303 split 307 308 309 Reno Cafeteria 6

Floor A2(Administration Level)

Room Number of General Classrooms

Floors A1 and A3

Page 32

Spend of an ASD-W(K-12) - 161students*D.

Spend of an ASD-W(K-12) - 134students**E.

Total spend for a reconfiguredK-12 school Plus AdditionF. = (Avg. D_ECost Per Squa re Metre

X Total Square Metres)

Total spend for Other SchoolG. = (Avg. D_ECos t Per Square

Metre X Total Square Metres)Utilities: Not Required for ScenarioLights/power $73,975 $43,137Water/sewage $0 $0Heating fuel/natural gas $0 $40,297Sub-total $73,975 $83,434Maintenance/cleaning:Garbage removal $10,348 $3,290Snow ploughing $11,038 $8,100Cleaning supplies $5,836 $3,283Other minor repairs $10,946 $24,894Sub-total $38,168 $39,568Total Cost $112,143 $123,002 $150,119 $0Number of students 161 134 155 0Total square metres 3,606 3,826 4,747 0Cost per square metre $31.10 $32.15 $31.62 $0.00

H. = Ftotal + Gtotal I. = Ctotal J. Htotal - Itotal

$150,119 $180,401 -$30,282* Cambridge Narrows Community School: (K-12) used to approximate operating costs of a K-12 school for 155 students.

** Canterbury High School: (K-12) used to approximate operating costs of a K-12 school for 155 students.

Based on March 2019 ASD-W Operational Cost

Operational cost increase:

The annual operational costs in scenario 1 are estimated tobe approximately $30K less (excluding staffing), based onhistorical costs for a similarly sized K-12 schools

Scenario 1: Operational Costs• Scenario 1 closes one existing school

(McAdam Elementary). McAdam HighSchool would re-configured into a K-12.

• Based on the current EECD PlanningGuidelines and student enrolmentprojections, the total school footprintwould see a decrease in net squaremeters of 1,775 m2 for scenario 1.

• A review of annual operational costs(excluding staffing) for schools of similarsized school configuration in ASD-Windicates that annual operational savingswould be approximately $30K.

Source: EECD School Asset Data and ASD-W file: Operational Costs for March 2019.

Say -$30K

Schools (For Scenario 1) Area (m2)McAdam Elementary School 2,098Total for potential school closures: 2,098Addition to McAdam High School 323Total new space for schools: 323Increase in total m2: (1,775)

McAdamElementaryA.

McAdam HighSchoolB.

Total for proposedschool closuresC.= (A + B)

Utilities:Lights/power $39,346 $71,214 $110,560Water/sewage $7,876 $8,078 $15,953Heating fuel/natural gas $0 $0 $0Sub-total $47,222 $79,292 $126,513Maintenance/cleaning:Garbage removal $1,477 $2,288 $3,765Snow ploughing $7,131 $9,281 $16,412Cleaning supplies $3,266 $3,358 $6,624Other minor repairs $14,488 $12,598 $27,087Sub-total $26,362 $27,526 $53,887Total $73,583 $106,817 $180,401



Page 33

McAdam High School site appears to have no space for anaddition (only 3.7 acres of land in total)


Scenario 1: Re-configured K-12• McAdam High School is located at

29 Lake Avenue off of Route 4. Theschool property has approximately3.7 acres of land.

• For comparison, EECD Guidelinesrecommend a school sized for 155students be built on 20.5 acres of land(may be reduced when land availabilityis limited).

• Based on this high-level illustration,there is no space available for anyaddition unless the athletic field is usedfor a school addition and any requiredparking space changes.

• The addition in scenario 1 is 323 m2 foran Early Childhood Development roomand a multi-function room for identifiedgaps to the planning guidelines. Thisscenario does not appear to befeasible, unless the addition isexcluded. It is recommend this beconfirmed through scaled drawings ifthis is the preferred solution.

Source: GeoNB Viewer: http://geonb.snb.ca/geonb/, and EECD Planning Guidelines for Educational Facilities.

McAdam HighSchool

Athletic Field

Page 34

The schools in McAdam are in close proximity to eachother, busing and travel times are not expected tosignificantly change in scenario 1 with one K-12 school

Impact of proposed new school boundary on busing• McAdam Elementary and McAdam High schools are 1.2 km (2 minutes) apart via NB-4. Thus, the distance between

the two schools is within the area of parental responsibility around a school (i.e.: within 2.4 km).• The two schools are located on opposite sides of the railway tracks.

• All of the McAdam students live within the village except for six students who are in St. Croix.• The close proximity of the schools in McAdam indicates that busing and travel times are not expected to

significantly change in scenario 1 with McAdam High School re-configured to a K-12 school (This would be thesame for scenario 2 – new K-12 school in McAdam).

• The total number of students currently being bused are 83 (K-12).

Source: ASD-W school transportation software - Busplanner., Google Maps, and ASD-W – nbed.nb.ca: Transportation Information Page.

Note: For estimation purposes only; in scenario 2, the actual distances and times would depend on where the proposed new K-12 McAdam schoolis located, the busing routes and number of stops.

Oak Street

1

McAdamElementary

School

Lake Avenue

NB-4

McAdam HighSchool

1


McAdam

Harvey

NB-4St. Croix

2

2

Legend:Students -

Page 35

Appendix E – Scenario 2 (Close both McAdam schoolsand replace with a new K-12 school)

Page 36

School Levels: K-12Number of Students (2027-28): 155Spaces - Surface (m2)

General - 12 classrooms and related space 1,189Specialized Instruction - 1 music room, 1 chemistry lab, 1 combinedart and science

374

Physical Education - 1 double gym (has high school component), 1 setof ancillary spaces (toilets, change rooms and shower sets)

987

Technology Education - 1 combined BBT/MSTE, 1 vocational shop 391Business Education - 1 computer lab 81Family Studies - 1 combined food lab/human development 81Student Services - 2 resources rooms, 1 special needs with changeroom, guidance and visiting professionals, 1 multi-function room

277

Library / Learning Commons 110Kitchen and Stage 108Personnel Centre / Staff Room 44Administration 55Custodial 27

Sub-total 3,724+ Systems and Services 1,750

Total Surface (m2) 5,474x Construction Cost Estimate ($2,120/m 2 ) (in millions) $11.6+ 2 to 3 million civil costs (assume $3M) $3.0x Soft Costs 25% $3.7= Total Estimated Construction Costs (in millions) $18.3

Scenario 2: New K-12 (McAdam School)• Close McAdam Elementary and McAdam High

schools and replace with a new K-12 school.• Class “D” estimate* for a new K-12 school is

approximately $18.3M, depending on the cost ofland and any topographical challenges.

• EECD Planning Guidelines recommend a site sizeof approximately 20.5 acres for a school of thissize (Note: in urban areas, site size may bereduced when land is at a premium and/or existingcommunity field/facilities are used offsite).

• The cost avoidance for deferred maintenance atthe two proposed amalgamated schools would be$0.4M, as identified in the EECD School PhysicalPlant Status Report.

• Based on the current EECD Planning Guidelines,the total school footprint would see a decrease innet square meters of 1,048 m2 for scenario 2:Schools (For Scenario 2) Area (m2)McAdam Elementary School 2,098McAdam High School 4,424Total for potential school closures: 6,522New K-12 School 5,474Total new space for schools: 5,474Increase in total m2: (1,048)

Class “D” estimate*: $18.3M* would be required for theconstruction of a new K-12 school for McAdam with $0.4Min deferred maintenance cost avoidance


A new K-12 school in McAdam would be considered a small mixed school having lessthan 300 students. The estimated space allocations are for planning purposes only, asMcAdam would have a limited enrolment totaling 155 K-12 students.The EECD Planning Guidelines notes, “if expected utilization rates fall below 50%,options will be examined on how combined uses or reduced area allocations might suitthe given scenario for delivering all curriculums required.”Since the school is considered small, scenario 2 has assumed reduced area allocationsfor some of the speciality space to regular sized classroom space (81 m2) (e.g.:BBT/MSTE 250 m2, computer lab 90 m2, family studies 110 m2). The project teamwould determine the actual space allocation during the planning phase.

New K-12 McAdam School (Scenario 2)

Page 37

Spend of an ASD-W(K-12) - 161students*D.


Total spend for a newK-12 schoolF. = (Avg. D_ECost Per Squa re

Metre X Total Square Metres)

Total spend for AdditionG. = (Avg. D_ECos t Per Squa re

Metre X Total Square Metres)Utilities: Not Required for ScenarioLights/power $73,975 $43,137Water/sewage $0 $0Heating fuel/natural gas $0 $40,297Sub-total $73,975 $83,434Maintenance/cleaning:Garbage removal $10,348 $3,290Snow ploughing $11,038 $8,100Cleaning supplies $5,836 $3,283Other minor repairs $10,946 $24,894Sub-total $38,168 $39,568Total Cost $112,143 $123,002 $173,110 $0Number of students 161 134 155 0Total square metres 3,606 3,826 5,474 0Cost per square metre $31.10 $32.15 $31.62 $0.00


$173,110 $180,401 -$7,291* Cambridge Narrows Community School: (K-12) used to approximate operating costs of a K-12 school for 155 students.

** Canterbury High School: (K-12) used to approximate operating costs of a K-12 school for 155 students.




Scenario 2: Operational Costs• Scenario 2 closes two existing schools

(McAdam Elementary School andMcAdam High School). The schoolswould be replaced with a new K-12school.

• Based on the current EECD PlanningGuidelines and student enrolmentprojections, the total school footprintwould see a decrease in net squaremeters of 1,048 m2 for the new school.



Say -$7K

McAdamElementaryA.

McAdam HighSchoolB.




New K-12 McAdam School (Scenario 2)

Page 38

Appendix F – Scenario 3 (Re-configure McAdamElementary School to K-8 and 9-12 attend Harvey High)

Page 39

Scenario 3 (Re-configure McAdam Elementary to K-8)would use the existing K-5 and 6-12 school boundaries, asboth encompass the entire McAdam catchment area (1/2)

Scenario 3: Re-configure to K-8• The proposed school boundary in scenario 3 would

use the existing school boundaries from theMcAdam catchment area. McAdam High Schoolwould close and McAdam Elementary School wouldbe re-configured from a K-5 to a K-8.





• The re-configured school would be made of thefollowing composition of existing schools based on2019-20:

K-8 McAdam School Catchment Area

Re-configure McAdam Elementary School to K-8 (Scenario 3a)


McAdam Elementary School

Note: This page is also applicable for Scenario 4 (re-configure McAdam HighSchool to K-8) and for Scenario 5 (new K-8 for McAdam catchment area).



Total 529 95 18%

School CurrentEnrolment To K-8 School Percentage Composition

of Former School

EastBrookLake

United States

Brockway

McAdam

NB-3

ChristieRidge

NB-4


Lake BigDuckLake

Harvey

Page 40

Scenario 3 (9-12 from McAdam/6-12 Harvey) would combinethe existing McAdam and Harvey school boundaries, as bothencompass the entire catchment area (2/2)

Scenario 3: 9-12 McAdam at Harvey High• The proposed new 6-12 school boundary would

combine the existing 6-12 of Harvey High Schoolwith the 9-12 from McAdam High School.

• The northern part of the 6-12 school boundary isalong the Saint John River at Lower Prince Williamand Kings Landing near NB-102.

• The western part of the school boundary extendsalong Magaguadavic Lake and includes NB-635.

• The eastern part of the school boundary includesaround Yoho Lake and then follows the York CountyLine, including parts of NB-640 and NB-645.

• The southern part (9-12 from McAdam) of theschool boundary extends along the York CountyLine to the St. Croix River, including parts of NB-3,NB-4 and NB-630.

• The new catchment would be made of the followingcomposition of existing schools based on 2019-20:

Proposed new school boundary for Harvey High (9-12 McAdam and 6-12 Harvey)

9-12 McAdam to attend 6-12 Harvey High School (Scenario 3b)


9-12 school boundary for McAdamProposed new school boundary forHarvey High School+

Existing 6-12 school boundary for HarveyHigh School



Total 529 250 47%

SchoolCurrent

EnrolmentTo Harvey High


of Former SchoolHarvey High School

EastBrookLake

UnitedStates

NB-3

Brockway

McAdam

ChristieRidge

NB-4


Lake

Harvey

Note: This page is also applicable for Scenario 4 (re-configure McAdam HighSchool to K-8) and for Scenario 5 (new K-8 for McAdam catchment area).

LakeGeorge

HarveyLake

Page 41

LFIK 21 12 12 1 211 21 12 12 1 212 21 11 11 1 213 26 11 11 1 264 28 11 11 1 285 28 11 11 1 286 28 11 11 1 287 29 16 16 1 298 29 15 15 1 29

Empty 29 0 0110 9 231Total:


New K-8 McAdam School Space Requirements

Grades SizeLimit


MaximumCapacityEFI

Year K 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Total2019-20 11 10 10 9 16 10 10 10 9 952020-21 10 11 10 10 9 16 10 10 10 962021-22 15 10 11 10 10 9 16 10 10 101 Year 1 Estimated new2022-23 16 15 10 11 10 10 9 16 10 107 Year 2 school construction2023-24 11 16 15 10 11 10 10 9 16 108 Year 32024-25 11 11 16 15 10 11 10 10 9 103 Year 4 (depending on start time)2025-26 11 11 11 16 15 10 11 10 10 1052026-27 11 11 11 11 16 15 10 11 10 1062027-28 11 11 11 11 11 16 15 10 11 1072028-29 11 11 11 11 11 11 16 15 10 1072029-30 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 16 15 108



Based on enrolment projections, a K-8 school for McAdamwould be sized for 110 students or fewer and have 9general classrooms (depending on start time)




Scenario 3: Re-configure to K-8• Enrolment projections indicate a small increase in

K-8 student population during the 10-year planninghorizon (as seen in 2016 Census data).


• The EECD Planning Guidelines notes that aregular sized mixed school (K-8) is typically sizedbetween 300 and 650 students.

• The K-8 school would be considered a smallmixed school at an estimated 110 students.

• For comparison, based on 2018-19 schoolstatistics, GNB had 81 K-8 schools. Of these,52 schools were considered small sized schools.The average student enrolment for this small sizedK-8 school was 164. The school would be smallerthan the averaged sized small K-8 school (19% ofthe K-8 schools would be smaller).

• The top five schools in the size range (bottomquartile) of the K-8 projected in 2018-19 include:

• École L'Étincelle (135)• Hillcrest School (130)• François-Xavier-Daigle (128)• École Notre-Dame (123)• École Léandre-LeGresley (121)

Say 110

Note: The school would be designed for the peak enrolment/classroom requirements(depending on start time of the project). The design utilization would be 48% andwould require 9 classrooms. Grades K-1 were adjusted to make the estimate 110.This is assuming no French Immersion Programs at the new school (current state)and there are no combined classes.


Note: This page is also applicable for Scenario 4(re-configure McAdam High School to K-8) and forScenario 5 (new K-8 for McAdam catchment area).

Page 42

LFI25 15

9 12

19 14

Empty 29 0Note: this excludes use of combined classes 94 6 172

58

Total:Projected Utilization: 54.7%

8 29 33 2

56

7 29 21 2 58

6 28 40 2

6-8 (94 Students) Requirements in Amalgamated 6-12 School Space Requirements

Grades SizeLimit


MaximumCapacityEFI

Year 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Total2019-20 39 39 24 31 41 37 39 2502020-21 31 39 39 33 31 41 37 251 Year 1 Estimated school2021-22 31 31 39 49 33 31 41 255 Year 2 Refurbishment2022-23 33 31 31 49 49 33 31 257 Year 32023-24 21 33 31 41 49 49 33 257 Year 4 (depending on start time)2024-25 39 21 33 47 41 49 49 2792025-26 29 39 21 42 47 41 49 2682026-27 20 29 39 31 42 47 41 2492027-28 29 20 29 49 31 42 47 2472028-29 28 29 20 40 49 31 42 2392029-30 26 28 29 30 40 49 31 233


6-12 School Projections (9-12 McAdam High and 6-12 Harvey High Amalgamation)

Based on enrolment projections, the 9-12 from McAdamHigh at Harvey 6-12 would be sized for 280 students orfewer and have 16 general classrooms (depending on start)

Source: ASD-W: 2019-20 enrolment statistics, EECD Policy, Planning Summary Statistics, Statistics Canada. 2017. McAdam, V [Census subdivision] and Harvey, V [Censussubdivision], New Brunswick and York, CT [Census division], New Brunswick (table). Census Profile. 2016 Census. Statistics Canada Catalogue no. 98-316-X2016001.

Ottawa. Released November 29, 2017, and Service New Brunswick, Vital Statistics, Table 2A: Vital Statistics by County of Residence, New Brunswick(1998-2018).


Scenario 3: 9-12 McAdam at Harvey High• Enrolment projections indicate a small increase in

6-12 student population during the 10-yearplanning horizon (as seen in 2016 Census data).

• 2024-25 was projected with the most classroomrequirements (16) after a potential constructionperiod. Harvey High currently has 11 generalclassrooms while also utilizing specialty space.

• The EECD Planning Guidelines notes that aregular sized mixed school (6-12) is sized largerthan 300 students.

• An amalgamated school would be considered asmall sized school at an estimated 280 students.

• For comparison, based on 2018-19 schoolstatistics, GNB had 11 6-12 schools. Of these,nine were considered small sized schools. Theaverage student enrolment for this small sized6-12 school was 197. The school would be thelargest of the small sized 6-12 schools.

• The top five schools in the small size range of theprojected amalgamated 6-12 in 2018-19 include:

• Dalhousie Regional High School (272)• Caledonia Regional High School (264)• Belleisle Regional High School (228)• Central New Brunswick Academy (222)• Harvey High School (209)

Say 280

9-12 McAdam High at 6-12 Harvey High (Scenario 3b)

Note: The rounding from 279 to 280 was added to grade 6. The school program isdesigned for the peak enrolment/classroom requirements (depending on start timeof the project). The design utilization would be 55% for the 6-8 students and wouldrequire 6 classrooms assuming no Late French Immersion Programs (currentstate) and no combined classes.The EECD Planning Guidelines has a general formula for calculating the amountof classrooms required in a high school. The designs are usually related to schoolsof 500 students or larger, as high schools generally have a larger catchment areathan other schools types. The formula assumes all rooms will have a 75%utilization rate, representing 90% of the maximum class size: 10 high schoolclassrooms needed for a total of 16.

Page 43

Proposed Addition Quantity Square Meters Total Square MetersEarly Childhood Development Room 1 110 110Music Room 1 110 110Middle School Technology (MSTE) 1 81 81Special Care and Change Room 1 52 52Health Room 1 13 13Multi-function Room 1 110 110Library and Seminar Room 1 110 110Overall Systems and Services 264

Sub-total 850$1.8

$0.8

$0.6$0.3$3.5


Renovation of Room 8 Methods and Resource to Classroom 6866

Sub-total 201$0.5$0.0$0.1$0.6

Estimated Cost $4.1M*= Total Estimated Construction Costs of Renovations (in millions)

Renovation of Room 5 Computer Lab to General Classroom

Renovation of Library (Room 12) into Resource and ProfessionalsSpace to be Renovated/Refurbished x Construction Cost Estimate ($2,120/m2) (in millions)+ Assume no Civil Costs for Renovationx Soft Costs (25%)

Space to be Added x Construction Cost Estimate ($2,120/m2) (in millions)+ Assume 25% of $3.0M Civil Costs for Renovation (Addition is17% of new K-8 construction costs)x Soft Costs (25%)+ Deferred Maintenance in School Physical Plant Report= Total Estimated Construction Costs of Addition (in millions)

Class “D” estimate*: $4.1M* would be required for theschool addition and renovations based on the planningguidelines to re-configure McAdam Elementary to K-8


Scenario 3: Re-configure to K-8• Re-configuring the school to a K-8 does not mean

that all the space in the school is fit for purpose forthe middle school students. (e.g.: some renovationswould be required, such as bathrooms).

• Our estimated space allocations are for planningpurposes only. The EECD Planning Guidelinesnote, “if expected utilization rates fall below 50%,options will be examined on how combined uses orreduced area allocations might suit the givenscenario for delivering all curriculums required.”

• Based on the planning guidelines there was notenough students to include a cafeteria. The gym isundersized at 205 m2 (compared to 380 m2 in theguidelines) and it does not have a stage. Thegeneral classrooms are smaller than thespecification of 81 m2 for middle school.


• A Class “D” estimate* for the proposed newaddition/renovations for McAdam ElementarySchool in scenario 3 is $4.1M*.

McAdam Elementary School would be considered a small mixed school having lessthan 300 students. The estimated space allocations are for planning purposes only.Since the school is considered small, scenario 3 has assumed reduced areaallocations for some of the speciality space to regular sized classroom space (81 m2)(e.g.: MSTE 250 m2). The library was undersized to the standard, so it planned forrenovation into resource and visiting professional office space with a new libraryincluded. The computer lab is not in the Elementary/Middle standard. The projectteam would determine the actual space allocation during the planning phase.


Page 44

Room 209 (38 m2) – originally for resourcespace, now general classroom (standard: 81 m2)

Source: ASD-W school site visits, EECD school drawings, and EECD Planning Guidelines for Educational Facilities.

Width: 4.15 m (13.6 ft)

Harvey High School – illustrated usage of specialty space toprovide general classroom space, ASD-W school profilenotes there are 12 classrooms with 16 classrooms in use

Room 204 (112 m2) – science lab (standard: allseating provided in lab stations, 110 m2)

Room 148 (90 m2) – originally for computer lab(standard: 29 stations, 90 m2), now math class

Room 142 (110 m2) – food lab (standard:contains lecture area with 30 desks, 110 m2)

Room 157 and BBT (total 187 m2) – combinedMSTE/BBT in 6-12 schools (standard: 250 m2)

Room 157: 100 m2 was for Power andPlanning Lab, now used as classroom

Room 143 (100 m2) – performing arts/musicteaching station (standard: 130 m2)

High School component,standard includes 120 m2 forfitness studio, some equipmentin Room 143


Page 45

Proposed Addition Quantity Square Meters Total Square MetersGeneral Classrooms and Storage 5 84.5 422.5Project Work Area 1 35 35Fitness Studio 1 120 120Special Care and Change Room 1 52 52Visiting Professionals and Wait Area 1 23 23Multi-function room for middle school 1 110 110Overall Systems and Services 358

Sub-total 1,121$2.4

$0.5

$0.8$0.5$4.2


Sub-total 212$0.5$0.0$0.1$0.6


Renovation of Room 204 Science LabRenovation of Room 157 (Power and Plan Lab) into Art RoomSpace to be Renovated/Refurbished x Construction Cost Estimate ($2,120/m2) (in millions)

Space to be Added x Construction Cost Estimate ($2,120/m2) (in millions)+ Assume 17% of $3.0M Civil Costs for Renovation (Addition is17% of new 6-12 construction costs)x Soft Costs (25%)+ Deferred Maintenance in School Physical Plant Report= Total Estimated Construction Costs of Addition (in millions)

+ Assume no Civil Costs for Renovationx Soft Costs (25%)= Total Estimated Construction Costs of Renovations (in millions)

Class “D” estimate*: $4.8M* would be required for theschool addition and renovations based on the planningguidelines to shift 9-12 McAdam to Harvey High School


Scenario 3: 9-12 McAdam at Harvey High• Harvey High School has 212 students enrolled in

2019-20. Between 2001 and 2012, the high schoolhad over 300 students with the highest being 336.The projections in 2024-25 indicate the schoolwould have 280 students including the 9-12 fromMcAdam. This history indicates the school couldadd the students without the need of an addition.However, our site visit indicated the specialtyclassrooms were compensating for the lack ofgeneral classroom capacity.



• A Class “D” estimate* for the proposed newaddition/renovations for Harvey High School inscenario 3 is $4.8M*.


Harvey High School would be considered a small mixed school having less than 300students. The estimated space allocations are for planning purposes only.Since the school is considered small, scenario 5 has assumed reduced areaallocations for some of the speciality space to regular sized classroom space (81 m2)(e.g.: BBT/MSTE 250 m2). The chemistry lab would be refurbished to includeadditional student stations. Room 157 (currently used part of the time) would berefurbished into an art classroom with storage. The project team would determinethe actual space allocation during the planning phase.As seen on the previous page, Harvey High is currently using speciality space forgeneral classroom usage and the addition would limit this need.

Page 46

Spend of an ASD-W(K-8) - 128 students*D.


Total spend for re-configuredK-8 McAdam Elementary (Avg.D_ECost Pe r Square Me tre X TotalSquare Metres)

Total spend for Addition atHarvey High SchoolG. = (Avg. D_ECos t Pe r Square

Me tre X Total Square Metres)Utilities:Lights/power $29,315 $96,022Water/sewage $6,632 $8,691Heating fuel/natural gas $51,757 $0Sub-total $87,703 $104,713Maintenance/cleaning:Garbage removal $3,453 $3,892Snow ploughing $2,485 $17,800Cleaning supplies $4,335 $6,559Other minor repairs $41,849 $22,246Sub-total $52,123 $50,496Total Cost $139,826 $155,209 $101,220 $32,152Number of students 128 194 110 280Total square metres 3,834 4,820 2,948 1,121Cost per square metre $36.47 $32.20 $34.34 $28.68


$133,372 $180,401 -$47,029* Bath Community School: (K-8) used to approximate operating costs of a K-8 school for 110 students.

** Centreville Community School: (K-8) used to approximate operating costs of a K-8 school for 110 students.




(McAdam High School). McAdamElementary would re-configured into aK-8 and the 9-12 students would attendHarvey High School.




Say -$47K

McAdamElementaryA.

McAdam HighSchoolB.


Utilities: Remaining OpenLights/power $71,214 $71,214Water/sewage $8,078 $8,078Heating fuel/natural gas $0 $0Sub-total $0 $79,292 $79,292Maintenance/cleaning:Garbage removal $2,288 $2,288Snow ploughing $9,281 $9,281Cleaning supplies $3,358 $3,358Other minor repairs $12,598 $12,598Sub-total $0 $27,526 $27,526Total $0 $106,817 $106,817


Re-configure McAdam Elementary to K-8 with 9-12 students attending at Harvey High (Scenario 3)


Schools (For Scenario 3) Area (m2)McAdam High School 4,424Total for potential school closures: 4,424Addition to McAdam Elementary School 850Addition to Harvey High School 1,121Total new space for schools: 1,971Increase in total m2: (2,453)

Page 47

McAdam Elementary School site appears to have limitedspace for an addition (only 3.4 acres of land in total)

Scenario 3: Re-configured K-8• McAdam Elementary School is located

on 29 Rose Street just off of Route 4(Harvey Road). The school propertyhas approximately 3.4 acres of land.There is approximately 126 feet fromthe school to the property line parallelto Pleasant Avenue.

• For comparison, EECD Guidelinesrecommend an elementary schoolsized for 66 students be built on19 acres of land (may be reducedwhen land availability is limited).

• Based on this high-level illustration andthe standard, the site appears to havelimited space for a school addition andany required parking space changes.

• The gym was used to scale a two floorextension that has approximately a410 m2 footprint. An extension couldaffect natural lighting in twoclassrooms on the second floor.

• Recommend to review the siterequirements with EECD and confirmthrough scaled drawings (if required).


Re-configured K-5 McAdam Elementary School to K-8 (Scenario 3a)

McAdamElementarySchool

FOR lLLUSTRATIVE PURPOSES ONLY – NOT TO SCALE

Potential Addition

Note: The extension, renovations and deferred maintenance would be 32% of thereplacement cost of a new school prior to the completion of a building assessment.

Page 48

Harvey High School site appears to have enough space foran addition; recommend that a scaled drawing confirm anaddition would be possible (if required)

Scenario 3: 9-12 Attend Harvey High• Harvey High School is located at 2055

Route 3. The school property hasapproximately 23.5 acres of land.

• For comparison, EECD Guidelinesrecommend an elementary school sizedfor 212 students be built on 21 acres ofland (may be reduced when landavailability is limited).

• Based on this high-level illustration, thesite appears to have enough space for aschool addition and any required parkingspace changes.



Harvey HighSchool

9-12 McAdam Students to Attend Harvey High School (Scenario 3b)

Note: The extension, renovations and deferred maintenance would be 23% of thereplacement cost of a new school prior to the completion of a building assessment.

Page 49

The two communities are 32 km apart, busing/travel timeswould be impacted in scenario 3 and the magnitude woulddepend on the location of travel within the boundary (1/2)

Impact of proposed new school boundary on busing• McAdam High School and Harvey High School are 32.3 km (25 minutes) apart via NB-4.• NB-630 by the county line (the southwestern extent of the McAdam catchment area) is 48.3 km (37 minutes no stops)

from Harvey High via NB-4. It is 15 km (12 minutes no stops) from McAdam High School. If the 9-12 switch schools, thetravel time from this location would approximately triple.

• NB-3 near Brockway (the southeastern extent of the McAdam catchment area) is 30.7 km (22 minutes no stops) fromHarvey High via NB-3. It is 36.4 km (26 minutes no stops) from McAdam High School. If the 9-12 switch schools, thebusing from this location would be approximately 5.7 km shorter.

Source: Google Maps

1

Harvey HighSchool

BrockwayNB-630 NearYork County

Border

2

McAdam

1

2

McAdam

Brockway

Harvey HighSchool

Note: For estimation purposes only; the actual distances and times would depend on where the student lived in the school zone, the busing routesand number of stops.


Page 50

Impact of proposed new school boundary on busing• McAdam High School and Harvey High School are 32.3 km (25 minutes) apart via NB-4.• NB-630 also known as the Canterbury Road (this sparsely populated area is the northwestern extent of the McAdam

catchment area) is 63.8 km (56 minutes no stops) from Harvey High School via NB-3. It is 32.1 km (34 minutes no stops)from McAdam High School. If the 9-12 switch schools, the travel time from this location would almost double.

• However, graphics 1, 2 and 3 illustrate the furthest extends of the school boundary. No students currently attending theschools in McAdam live in these areas. All of the McAdam students live within the village except for six students who are inSt. Croix (approximately 41.2 km, 32 min non-stop from to Harvey High School).

• The total number of students currently being bused are 15 in grades 9-12.

Source: ASD-W school transportation software – Busplanner, and Google Maps.

3

3


Harvey HighSchool

NB-630 NearSchool

Boundary

McAdam

The two communities are 32 km apart, busing/travel timeswould be impacted in scenario 3 and the magnitude woulddepend on the location of travel within the boundary (2/2)

Note: For estimation purposes only; the actual distances and times would depend on where the student lived in the school zone, the busing routesand number of stops.

Canterbury

McAdam

Harvey

NB-4St. Croix

4

Legend:Students -

4

Page 51

Appendix G – Scenario 4 (Re-configure McAdam HighSchool to K-8 and 9-12 attend Harvey High)

Page 52

Proposed Addition Quantity Square Meters Total Square MetersNo Addition Required

Sub-total 0$0.0$0.0$0.0$0.1$0.1


Sub-total 200$0.5$0.0$0.1$0.6


Renovation of Computer Lab into Early Childhood Development

+ Assume no Civil Costs for Renovationx Soft Costs (25%)= Total Estimated Construction Costs of Renovations (in millions)

Renovation of Chem Lab/Prep (304) into Multi-Function Room

Space to be Renovated/Refurbished x Construction Cost Estimate ($2,120/m2) (in millions)

Space to be Added x Construction Cost Estimate ($2,120/m2) (in millions)+ Assume 0% of $3.0M Civil Costs for Renovationx Soft Costs (25%)+ Deferred Maintenance in School Physical Plant Report= Total Estimated Construction Costs of Addition (in millions)

Class “D” estimate*: $0.7M* would be required for theschool renovations in the re-configuration of McAdam HighSchool to K-8


Re-configure McAdam High School to K-8 (Scenario 4a)

Scenario 4: Re-configure to K-8 (McAdam)• Re-configuring the school to a K-8 does not mean

that all the space in the school is fit for purpose forthe elementary students. Some renovations wouldbe required, such as bathrooms.

• Most of the space currently within the school issmaller than specifications (e.g.: generalclassrooms are smaller than 70 m2).

• The estimated space allocations are for planningpurposes only, as McAdam would have a limitedenrolment totaling 110 K-8 students. The EECDPlanning Guidelines note, “if expected utilizationrates fall below 50%, options will be examined onhow combined uses or reduced area allocationsmight suit the given scenario for delivering allcurriculums required.”


• A Class “D” estimate* for the proposed renovationsfor scenario 4 is $0.7M*.

A re-configured K-8 McAdam High School would be considered a small mixedschool having less than 300 students. The estimated space allocations are forplanning purposes only.Since the school is considered small, scenario 4 has assumed reduced areaallocations for some of the speciality space to regular sized classroom space (81m2) (e.g.: MSTE 250 m2). The project team would determine the actual spaceallocation during the planning phase. The computer lab is not in theElementary/Middle standard and it was planned to be renovated to Early ChildhoodDevelopment. There is no chemistry lab in the middle school standard and this wasplanned to be renovated to a multi-function room.There is other space remaining in the school that would not be in theelementary/middle school standard such as the weight room, vocational shop,cafeteria (not used), and the food lab.The project team would determine the actual space allocation during the planningphase.

Page 53

McAdamElementaryA.

McAdam HighSchoolB.


Utilities: Remaining OpenLights/power $39,346 $39,346Water/sewage $7,876 $7,876Heating fuel/natural gas $0 $0Sub-total $47,222 $0 $47,222Maintenance/cleaning:Garbage removal $1,477 $1,477Snow ploughing $7,131 $7,131Cleaning supplies $3,266 $3,266Other minor repairs $14,488 $14,488Sub-total $26,362 $0 $26,362Total $73,583 $0 $73,583



Say -$42K

The annual operational costs in scenario 4 are estimated tobe approximately $42K less (excluding staffing), based onhistorical costs for the McAdam schools and Harvey High

Re-configure McAdam High to K-8 with 9-12 students attending at Harvey High (Scenario 4)


(McAdam Elementary School). McAdamHigh would re-configured into a K-8 andthe 9-12 students would attend HarveyHigh School.

• Based on the current EECD PlanningGuidelines and student enrolmentprojections, the total school footprintwould see a decrease in net squaremeters of 977 m2 for scenario 4.

• A review of annual operational costs(excluding staffing) for the McAdamschools and Harvey High indicates thatannual operational savings would beapproximately $42K.

Schools (For Scenario 4) Area (m2)McAdam Elementary School 2,098Total for potential school closures: 2,098Addition to Harvey High (same as scenario 3) 1,121Total new space for schools: 1,121Increase in total m2: (977)

The estimated additional operation costs at Harvey High School for the 1,121 m2addition was $32K. Removing this from the savings of $74K from McAdamElementary leaves an annual savings of:

Page 54

Appendix H – Scenario 5 (New K-8 McAdam School and9-12 attend Harvey High)

Page 55


General - 9 classrooms and related space 878Specialized Instruction - 1 music room, 1 combined art and science 240Physical Education - 1 single gym (has middle school component),1 set of ancillary spaces (toilets, change rooms and shower sets)

546

Technology Education - 1 combined MSTE (general class size) 81Business Education -Family Studies - 1 combined food lab/human development -Student Services - 1 resources room, 1 special needs with changeroom, guidance and visiting professionals, 1 multi-function room

233


Sub-total 2,311+ Systems and Services 1,040



schools and replace with a new K-8 school.Grades 9-12 would attend Harvey High School.

• Class “D” estimate* for a new K-8 school isapproximately $12.7M, depending on the cost ofland and any topographical challenges.

• EECD Planning Guidelines recommend a site sizeof approximately 19 acres for a school of this size(Note: in urban areas, site size may be reducedwhen land is at a premium and/or existingcommunity field/facilities are used offsite).

• The cost avoidance for deferred maintenance atthe two proposed amalgamated schools would be$0.4M, as identified in the EECD School PhysicalPlant Status Report.

• Based on the current EECD Planning Guidelines,the total school footprint would see a decrease innet square meters of 2,050 m2 for scenario 5:

Schools (For Scenario 5) Area (m2)McAdam Elementary School 2,098McAdam High School 4,424Total for potential school closures: 6,522New K-8 School 3,351Addition to Harvey High (same as scenario 3) 1,121Total new space for schools: 4,472Increase in total m2: (2,050)

Class “D” estimate*: $12.7M* would be required for theconstruction of a new K-8 school for McAdam with $0.4M indeferred maintenance cost avoidance


A new K-8 school in McAdam would be considered a small mixed school having lessthan 300 students. The estimated space allocations are for planning purposes only, asMcAdam would have a limited enrolment totaling 110 K-8 students.The EECD Planning Guidelines note, “if expected utilization rates fall below 50%,options will be examined on how combined uses or reduced area allocations might suitthe given scenario for delivering all curriculums required.”Since the school is considered small, scenario 5 has assumed reduced area allocationsfor some of the speciality space to regular sized classroom space (81 m2) (e.g. MSTE250 m2). The project team would determine the actual space allocation during theplanning phase.

New K-8 McAdam School (Scenario 5a)

Page 56



Total spend for a newK-8 schoolF. = (Avg. D_ECos t Per Square Me tre

X Total Square Metres)

Total spend for Addition atHarvey High SchoolG. = (Avg. D_ECost Per Square

Me tre X Total Square Metres)Utilities:Lights/power $29,315 $96,022Water/sewage $6,632 $8,691Heating fuel/natural gas $51,757 $0Sub-total $87,703 $104,713Maintenance/cleaning:Garbage removal $3,453 $3,892Snow ploughing $2,485 $17,800Cleaning supplies $4,335 $6,559Other minor repairs $41,849 $22,246Sub-total $52,123 $50,496Total Cost $139,826 $155,209 $115,058 $32,152Number of students 128 194 110 280Total square metres 3,834 4,820 3,351 1,121Cost per square metre $36.47 $32.20 $34.34 $28.68


$147,209 $180,401 -$33,191* Bath Community School: (K-8) used to approximate operating costs of a K-8 school for 110 students.

** Centreville Community School: (K-8) used to approximate operating costs of a K-8 school for 110 students.




(McAdam Elementary School andMcAdam High School). There would be anew K-8 McAdam school and grades9-12 would attend at Harvey High.




Say -$33K

New K-8 at McAdam with 9-12 students attending at Harvey High (Scenario 5)

McAdamElementaryA.

McAdam HighSchoolB.





Page 57

Appendix I – Scenario 6 (Keep McAdam Elementary andclose McAdam High, with 6-12 attending Harvey High)

Page 58

Scenario 6 (Keep McAdam Elementary K-5) would use theexisting K-5 school boundary, as it encompasses theentire McAdam catchment area (1/2)

Scenario 6: K-5 McAdam Elementary• The proposed school boundary in scenario 6 would

use the existing K-5 school boundary from theMcAdam catchment area. McAdam High Schoolwould close and amalgamate with Harvey High.





• The elementary school would be made of thefollowing composition of existing schools based on2019-20:

K-5 McAdam School Catchment Area

Keep McAdam Elementary School K-5 (Scenario 6a)


Note: This page is also applicable for scenario 7 (new K-5 McAdam School).



Total 529 66 12%

SchoolCurrent

Enrolment To K-5 SchoolPercentage Composition

of Former School

McAdam Elementary School

EastBrookLake

United States

Brockway

McAdam

NB-3

ChristieRidge

NB-4


Lake BigDuckLake

Harvey

Page 59

Scenario 6 (Amalgamate McAdam/Harvey High) wouldcombine the existing McAdam and Harvey school boundaries,as both encompass the entire catchment area (2/2)

Scenario 6: 6-12 Amalgamation at Harvey• The proposed new 6-12 school boundary would

combine the existing 6-12 of Harvey High Schoolwith the 6-12 from McAdam High School.

• The northern part of the 6-12 school boundary isalong the Saint John River at Lower Prince Williamand Kings Landing near NB-102.



• The southern part (6-12 from McAdam) of theschool boundary extends along the York CountyLine to the St. Croix River, including parts of NB-3,NB-4 and NB-630.


Proposed new school boundary for amalgamated Harvey High School (6-12)


Note: School busing is the same as scenario 3.

Note: This page is also applicable for scenario 7 (new K-5 McAdam School)and for scenario 8 (amalgamate both McAdam schools in Harvey schools).

6-12 Amalgamation at Harvey (Scenario 6b)



Total 529 279 53%

SchoolCurrent

EnrolmentTo Harvey High


of Former School

Existing 6-12 school boundary for McAdamProposed new school boundary forHarvey High School+

Existing 6-12 school boundary for HarveyHigh School

Harvey High School

EastBrookLake

UnitedStates

NB-3

Brockway

McAdam

ChristieRidge

NB-4


Lake

Harvey

LakeGeorge

HarveyLake

Page 60

LFIK 21 11 11 1 211 21 11 11 1 212 21 11 11 1 213 26 11 11 1 264 28 16 16 1 285 28 15 15 1 28

Empty 28 0 075 6 145

Grades SizeLimit

French Immersion English Prime TotalEFI

New K-5 McAdam School Space RequirementsClass

RoomsMaximumCapacity


Year K 1 2 3 4 5 Total2019-20 11 10 10 9 16 10 662020-21 10 11 10 10 9 16 662021-22 15 10 11 10 10 9 65 Year 1 Estimated new2022-23 16 15 10 11 10 10 72 Year 2 school construction2023-24 11 16 15 10 11 10 73 Year 32024-25 11 11 16 15 10 11 74 Year 4 (depending on start time)2025-26 11 11 11 16 15 10 742026-27 11 11 11 11 16 15 752027-28 11 11 11 11 11 16 712028-29 11 11 11 11 11 11 662029-30 11 11 11 11 11 11 66



Based on enrolment projections, a K-5 school for McAdamwould be sized for 75 students or fewer and have 6 generalclassrooms (depending on start time)




Scenario 6: K-5 McAdam Elementary• Enrolment projections indicate a small increase in



• The EECD Planning Guidelines notes that aregular sized elementary school (K-5) is sizedbetween 200 and 500 students.

• The K-5 school would be considered a smallelementary school at an estimated 75 students.

• For comparison, based on 2018-19 schoolstatistics, GNB had 83 K-5 schools. Of these,37 schools were considered small sized schools.The average student enrolment for this small sizedK-5 school was 107. The school would be smallerthan the averaged sized small K-5 school (16% ofthe K-5 schools would be smaller).

• The top five schools in the size range (bottomquartile) of the K-5 projected in 2018-19 include:

• Nashwaak Valley School (112)• Chipman Elementary School (109)• Upper Miramichi Elementary School (95)• Apohaqui Elementary School (91)• Bristol Elementary School (86)

Say 75

Note: The school would be designed for the peak enrolment/classroom requirements(depending on start time of the project). The design utilization would be 52% andwould require 6 classrooms. This is assuming no French Immersion Programs at thenew school (current state) and there are no combined classes.


Note: This page is also applicable for Scenario 7(new K-5 McAdam School).

Page 61

LFI22 15 14

9 22

19 23

Empty 29 0Note: this excludes use of combined classes 124 7 200

TotalGrades

6-8 (124 Students) Requirements in Amalgamated 6-12 School Space RequirementsSizeLimit

French Immersion English Prime ClassRooms

MaximumCapacityEFI

6 28 51 3 84

7 29 31 2 58

58


8 29 42 2

Year 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Total2019-20 49 49 33 31 41 37 39 2792020-21 41 49 49 33 31 41 37 281 Year 1 Estimated school2021-22 47 41 49 49 33 31 41 291 Year 2 Refurbishment2022-23 42 47 41 49 49 33 31 292 Year 32023-24 31 42 47 41 49 49 33 292 Year 4 (depending on start time)2024-25 49 31 42 47 41 49 49 3082025-26 40 49 31 42 47 41 49 2992026-27 30 40 49 31 42 47 41 2802027-28 44 30 40 49 31 42 47 2832028-29 44 44 30 40 49 31 42 2802029-30 37 44 44 30 40 49 31 275


6-12 School Projections (McAdam High and Harvey High Amalgamation)

Based on enrolment projections, an amalgamated 6-12school at Harvey would be sized for 310 students or fewerand have 17 general classrooms (depending on start time)



Project start-up woulddepend on DEC andGNB approval Scenario 6: 6-12 Amalgamation at Harvey

• Enrolment projections indicate a small increase in6-12 student population during the 10-yearplanning horizon (as seen in 2016 Census data).

• 2024-25 was projected with the most classroomrequirements (17) after a potential constructionperiod. Harvey High currently has 11 generalclassrooms while also utilizing specialty space.

• The EECD Planning Guidelines notes that aregular sized mixed school (6-12) is sized largerthan 300 students.

• An amalgamated school would be considered aregular sized school at an estimated 310 students.

• For comparison, based on 2018-19 schoolstatistics, GNB had 11 6-12 schools. Of these, twowere considered regular sized schools. Theaverage student enrolment for this regular sized6-12 school was 643. The school would becomethe third largest 6-12 schools.

• The top five schools in the size range of theprojected amalgamated 6-12 in 2018-19 include:

• École Sainte-Anne (705)• Fundy Middle and High School (581)• Dalhousie Regional High School (272)• Caledonia Regional High School (264)• Belleisle Regional High School (228)

Say 310


Note: The rounding from 308 to 310 was added to grade 6. The school would bedesigned for the peak enrolment/classroom requirements (depending on start time ofthe project). The design utilization would be 62% for the 6-8 students and wouldrequire 7 classrooms assuming no Late French Immersion Programs (current state)and no combined classes.The EECD Planning Guidelines has a general formula for calculating the amount ofclassrooms required in a high school. The designs are usually related to schools of500 students or larger, as high schools generally have a larger catchment area thanother schools types. The formula assumes all rooms will have a 75% utilization rate,representing 90% of the maximum class size: 10 high school classrooms neededfor a total of 17.

Page 62

Proposed Addition Quantity Square Meters Total Square MetersEarly Childhood Development Room 1 110 110Special Care and Change Room 1 52 52Overall Systems and Services 73

Sub-total 235$0.5

$0.3

$0.2$0.3$1.3


Renovation of Rooms 1 and 2 into Multi-function Room 132Renovation of Room 8 to Resource and Visiting Professionals 68

Sub-total 267$0.6$0.0$0.1$0.7


Renovation of Room 5 Computer Lab to General Classroom

Space to be Renovated/Refurbished x Construction Cost Estimate ($2,120/m2) (in millions)+ Assume no Civil Costs for Renovationx Soft Costs (25%)

Space to be Added x Construction Cost Estimate ($2,120/m2) (in millions)+ Assume 9% of $3.0M Civil Costs for Renovation (Addition is9% of new K-5 construction costs)x Soft Costs (25%)+ Deferred Maintenance in School Physical Plant Report= Total Estimated Construction Costs of Addition (in millions)

Class “D” estimate*: $2.0M* would be required for theschool addition and renovations to bring McAdamElementary up to the current K-5 planning guidelines


Scenario 6: K-5 McAdam Elementary• The enrolment forecast and the current footprint of

the McAdam Elementary School was compared tothe K-5 planning guidelines to identify potentialgaps to the specifications.


• Based on the planning guidelines there was notenough students to include a cafeteria. The gym isundersized for at 205 m2 (compared to 280 m2 inthe guidelines) and it does not have a stage. Thelibrary and general classrooms are smaller than thespecification of 70 m2 for elementary school.


• A Class “D” estimate* for the proposed newaddition/renovations for McAdam ElementarySchool in scenario 6 is $2.0M*.

McAdam Elementary School would be considered a small elementary school havingless than 200 students. The estimated space allocations are for planning purposesonly.Since the school is considered small, scenario 6 has a multi-purpose gym and nocafeteria. The library was left in its current location, although undersized to thestandard. The computer lab is not in the elementary standard and is planned to beconverted to a general classroom. The missing multi-function room would be madefrom rooms 1 and 2. This would leave the projected 6 general classrooms on floorplan level A-2. The project team would determine the actual space allocation duringthe planning phase.The extension, renovations and deferred maintenance would be 19% of thereplacement cost of a new school prior to the completion of a building assessment.


Page 63

Proposed Addition Quantity Square Meters Total Square MetersGeneral Classrooms and Storage 6 84.5 507Project Work Area 1 35 35Fitness Studio 1 120 120Special Care and Change Room 1 52 52Visiting Professionals and Wait Area 1 32 32Multi-function room for middle school 1 110 110Overall Systems and Services 402

Sub-total 1,258$2.7

$0.5

$0.9$0.5$4.6


Sub-total 212$0.5$0.0$0.1$0.6


Renovation of Room 204 Science LabRenovation of Room 157 (Power and Plan Lab) into Art RoomSpace to be Renovated/Refurbished x Construction Cost Estimate ($2,120/m2) (in millions)+ Assume no Civil Costs for Renovationx Soft Costs (25%)


Class “D” estimate*: $5.2M* would be required for theschool addition and renovations based on the planningguidelines to shift 6-12 McAdam to Harvey High School


Scenario 6: 6-12 Amalgamation at Harvey• Harvey High School has 212 students enrolled in

2019-20. Between 2001 and 2012, the high schoolhad over 300 students with the highest being 336.The projections in 2024-25 indicate the schoolwould have 310 students including the 6-12 fromMcAdam. This history indicates the school couldadd the students without the need of an addition.However, our site visit indicated the specialtyclassrooms were compensating for the lack ofgeneral classroom capacity.



• A Class “D” estimate* for the proposed newaddition/renovations for Harvey High School inscenario 6 is $5.2M*.

Harvey High School would be considered a regular sized mixed school having morethan 300 students, depending on the actual implementation date. The estimatedspace allocations are for planning purposes only.Since the school has small high and middle school populations (declining to a smallschool after 2 years), scenario 6 has assumed reduced area allocations for some ofthe speciality space to regular sized classroom space (81 m2) (e.g.: BBT/MSTE 250m2). The chemistry lab would be refurbished to include additional student stations.Room 157 (currently used part of the time) would be refurbished into an artclassroom with storage. The project team would determine the actual spaceallocation during the planning phase.


Page 64

The annual operational costs in scenario 6 are estimated tobe approximately $62K less (excluding staffing), based onhistorical costs for the McAdam schools and Harvey High


Say -$62K

McAdamElementaryA.

McAdam HighSchoolB.


Utilities: Remaining OpenLights/power $71,214 $71,214Water/sewage $8,078 $8,078Heating fuel/natural gas $0 $0Sub-total $0 $79,292 $79,292Maintenance/cleaning:Garbage removal $2,288 $2,288Snow ploughing $9,281 $9,281Cleaning supplies $3,358 $3,358Other minor repairs $12,598 $12,598Sub-total $0 $27,526 $27,526Total $0 $106,817 $106,817



(McAdam High School). McAdamElementary would be updated to K-5guidelines and the 6-12 students wouldattend Harvey High School.


• A review of annual operational costs(excluding staffing) for the McAdamschools and Harvey High indicates thatannual operational savings would beapproximately $62K.

Update McAdam Elementary to K-5 Guidelines with 6-12 students attending at Harvey High (Scenario 6)

Schools (For Scenario 6) Area (m2)McAdam High School 4,424Total for potential school closures: 4,424Addition to McAdam Elementary School 235Addition to Harvey High School 1,258Total new space for schools: 1,493Increase in total m2: (2,931)

1. Based on actual cost per square meter, the estimated additional operation costsat McAdam Elementary School for the 235 m2 addition was $9K.

2. The estimated additional operation costs at Harvey High School for the 1,258 m2

addition was $36K.Removing 1. and 2. from the savings of $107K from McAdam High leaves anannual savings of:

Page 65

Appendix J – Scenario 7 (New K-5 McAdam ElementarySchool, with 6-12 attending Harvey High)

Page 66


schools and replace with a new K-5 school. Grades6-12 would attend Harvey High School.

• Class “D” estimate* for a new K-5 school isapproximately $10.4M, depending on the cost ofland and any topographical challenges.

• EECD Planning Guidelines recommend a site sizeof approximately 19 acres for a school of this size(Note: in urban areas, site size may be reducedwhen land is at a premium and/or existingcommunity field/facilities are used offsite).

• The cost avoidance for deferred maintenance at thetwo proposed school closures would be $0.4M, asidentified in the EECD School Physical Plant StatusReport.

• Based on the current EECD Planning Guidelines,the total school footprint would see a decrease innet square meters of 2,761 m2 for scenario 7:

Schools (For Scenario 7) Area (m2)McAdam Elementary School 2,098McAdam High School 4,424Total for potential school closures: 6,522New K-5 School 2,503Addition to Harvey High (same as scenario 6) 1,258Total new space for schools: 3,761Increase in total m2: (2,761)


General - 6 classrooms and related space 625Specialized Instruction - 1 music room 110Physical Education - 1 multi-purpose gym, 1 set of ancillary spaces(toilets and change rooms)

430

Technology Education -Business Education -Family Studies -Student Services - 1 resources room, 1 special needs with changeroom, guidance and visiting professionals, 1 multi-function room

233


Sub-total 1,726+ Systems and Services 777


Class “D” estimate*: $10.4M* would be required for theconstruction of a new K-5 school for McAdam with $0.4M indeferred maintenance cost avoidance


A new K-5 school in McAdam would be considered a small mixed school having lessthan 200 students. The estimated space allocations are for planning purposes only, asMcAdam would have a limited enrolment totaling 75 K-5 students.The EECD Planning Guidelines note, “if expected utilization rates fall below 50%,options will be examined on how combined uses or reduced area allocations might suitthe given scenario for delivering all curriculums required.”Since the school is considered small, scenario 7 provides a multi-purpose room for gymspace and there are not enough students to include a cafeteria. The project team woulddetermine the actual space allocation during the planning phase.

New K-5 McAdam School (Scenario 7a)

Page 67


Spend of an ASD-W(K-5) - 94 students**E.

Total spend for a newK-5 schoolF. = (Avg. D_ECost Per Squa re

Metre X Total Square Metres)

Total spend for Addition atHarvey High SchoolG. = (Avg. D_ECost Per Squa re

Metre X Total Square Metres)Utilities:Lights/power $8,554 $10,856Water/sewage $3,634 $0Heating fuel/natural gas $27,393 $26,219Sub-total $39,581 $37,074Maintenance/cleaning:Garbage removal $1,483 $3,619Snow ploughing $8,296 $11,667Cleaning supplies $3,549 $4,346Other minor repairs $9,166 $9,102Sub-total $22,494 $28,734Total Cost $62,075 $65,808 $72,843 $36,081Number of students 103 94 75 310Total square metres 2,230 2,167 2,503 1,258Cost per square metre $27.84 $30.37 $29.10 $28.68

J. = Htotal + Itotal K. = Etotal L. Jtotal - Ktotal

$108,924 $180,401 -$71,476* Chipman Elementary: (K-5) used to approximate operating costs of a K-5 school for 103 students.

**Upper Miramichi Elementary: (K-5) used to approximate operating costs of a K-5 school for 94 students.





(McAdam Elementary School andMcAdam High School). There would be anew K-5 McAdam school and grades6-12 would attend at Harvey High.




Say -$71K

McAdamElementaryA.

McAdam HighSchoolB.




New K-5 at McAdam with 6-12 students attending at Harvey High (Scenario 7)

Page 68

Appendix K – Scenario 8 (Close both McAdam schoolsand add the catchment areas to the Harvey schools)

Page 69

Scenario 8 (Amalgamate McAdam/Harvey K-5) would combinethe existing McAdam and Harvey school boundaries, as bothencompass the entire catchment area

Scenario 8: K-5 Amalgamation at Harvey• The proposed new K-5 school boundary would

combine the existing K-5 of Harvey Elementary andthe K-5 from McAdam Elementary schools.

• The northern part of the K-5 school boundary isalong the Saint John River at Lower Prince Williamand Kings Landing near NB-102.



• The southern part (K-5 from McAdam) of the schoolboundary extends along the York County Line to theSt. Croix River, including parts of NB-3, NB-4, andNB-630.


Proposed new school boundary for amalgamated Harvey Elementary (K-5)


K-5 school boundary for McAdam School Proposed new school boundary forHarvey Elementary School+

Existing K-5 school boundary for HarveyElementary School

Harvey Elementary School

K-5 Amalgamation at Harvey (Scenario 8a)



Total 529 250 47%

SchoolCurrent

EnrolmentTo HarveyElementary

Percentage Compositionof Former School

EastBrookLake

UnitedStates

NB-3

Brockway

McAdam

ChristieRidge

NB-4


Lake

Harvey

LakeGeorge

HarveyLake

Page 70

LFIK 21 15 14 14 43 3 631 21 13 12 14 39 3 632 21 12 12 14 38 3 633 26 23 14 37 2 524 28 27 17 44 2 565 28 27 17 44 2 56

Empty 28 0 0245 15 353Total:


Grades SizeLimit

French Immersion English Prime TotalEFI

Amalgamated K-5 Harvey School Space RequirementsClass

RoomsMaximumCapacity

Year K 1 2 3 4 5 Total2019-20 40 49 31 42 47 41 2502020-21 30 40 49 31 42 47 239 Year 1 Estimated school2021-22 44 30 40 49 31 42 236 Year 2 Refurbishment2022-23 44 44 30 40 49 31 238 Year 32023-24 37 44 44 30 40 49 244 Year 4 (depending on start time)2024-25 38 37 44 44 30 40 2332025-26 40 38 37 44 44 30 2332026-27 40 40 38 37 44 44 2432027-28 40 40 40 38 37 44 2392028-29 40 40 40 40 38 37 2352029-30 40 40 40 40 40 38 238


Projections for Amalgamated K-5 School (Harvey)

Based on enrolment projections, an amalgamated K-5school at Harvey would be sized for 245 students or fewerand have 15 general classrooms (depending on start time)




Scenario 8: K-5 Amalgamation at Harvey• Enrolment projections indicate a small decrease in



• The EECD Planning Guidelines notes that aregular sized elementary school (K-5) is sizedbetween 200 and 500 students.

• An amalgamated school would be considered aregular sized school at an estimated 245 students.

• For comparison, based on 2018-19 schoolstatistics, GNB had 83 K-5 schools. Of these,46 schools were considered regular sized schools.The average student enrolment for this regularsized K-5 school was 352. The school would benear the bottom of the 2nd quartile of K-5 schools(53% of the K-5 schools would be smaller).

• The top five schools in the size range (2nd quartile)of the projected amalgamated K-5 in 2018-19include:

• Royal Road Elementary School (343)• Barkers Point Elementary School (341)• Westfield School (336)• Garden Creek School (327)• École La Ruche (322)

Say 245


Note: The rounding from 243 to 245 was added to grade K and 1 student wasallocated from grade 1 to K in the model, as kindergarten space utilization was veryhigh. Additionally, the projections indicated some years had up to 44 in K, whichrequires 3 classrooms.The school program is designed for the peak enrolment/classroom requirements(depending on start time of the project). The design utilization would be 69% andwould require 15 classroomsThe EFI program is located in the Harvey schools. Program enrolment has beenprojected based on the historical data for EFI and assumes McAdam students wouldtake EFI at same rate if in a school with the program. As per the current state, it wasassumed there would be no LFI program at the Harvey schools.

Page 71

Harvey Elementary School site appears to have some spacefor an addition in Area 2 (9.2 acres of land in total) –recommend confirm through scaled drawings if required

Scenario 8: K-5 Amalgamation atHarvey

• Harvey Elementary School is located at1908 Route 3. The school property hasapproximately 9.2 acres of land (Area 1has 3.8 acres and Area 2 has 5.4 acres).

• For comparison, EECD Guidelinesrecommend an elementary school sizedfor 184 students be built on 20 acres ofland (may be reduced when landavailability is limited).

• Based on this high-level illustration andthe standard, the site appears to havesome space for a school addition inArea 2 and any required parking spacechanges.


• Harvey Elementary currently has onemobile classroom, with a second beingrequested for 2020-21.


Harvey ElementarySchool

Harvey MemorialCommunity Centre Inc


Page 72

Proposed Addition Quantity Square Meters Total Square MetersKindergarten Classroom 3 90 270General Classrooms and Storage 1 73.5 73.5Breakout Room 2 11 22Early Childhood Development Room 1 110 110Project Work Area 1 35 35Music Room 1 110 110Performing Arts Room 1 110 110Single Gym & Ancillary Spaces 1 530 530Resource Room 1 35 35Special Care and Change Room 1 52 52Visiting Professionals and Wait Area 1 56 56Multi-function Room 1 110 110Library and Activity Room 1 120 120Cafeteria and Kitchen 1 202 202Custodial and Recycling Space 1 21 21Overall Systems and Services 836

Sub-total 2,693$5.7

$1.7

$1.9$1.4$10.7


Sub-total 121$0.3$0.0$0.1$0.4


Renovation of Room 13 Library Into Resource Room and StorageRenovation of Room 8 (Special Needs) into ClassroomSpace to be Renovated/Refurbished x Construction Cost Estimate ($2,120/m2) (in millions)+ Assume no Civil Costs for Renovationx Soft Costs (25%)



Scenario 8: K-5 Harvey Elementary• The enrolment forecast and the current footprint of

the Harvey Elementary School was compared tothe K-5 planning guidelines to identify potentialgaps to the specifications.

• The school would be considered a regular sizedelementary school with more than 200 students.


• The school has no sprinkler system, cafeteria orregulation sized gymnasium.

• The school has been using bottled water for thepast 11 years.

• A Class “D” estimate* for the proposed newaddition/renovations for McAdam ElementarySchool in scenario 8 is $11.1M* (plus a sprinklersystem).

• Since this scenario is more than 60% of the $16.6Mcost of a new K-5 school (4,818 m2) prior to abuilding assessment, this scenario is not deemedfeasible.


Class “D” estimate*: $11.1M* would be required for theschool addition and renovations, therefore the scenario isnot deemed feasible (more than 60% of the new school cost)

The extension, renovations and deferred maintenance would be 67% of thereplacement cost of a new school prior to the completion of a building assessment.

Page 73

EY | Assurance | Tax | Transactions | Advisory

About EY

EY is a global leader in assurance, tax, transaction and advisory services.The insights and quality services we deliver help build trust and confidencein the capital markets and in economies the world over. We developoutstanding leaders who team to deliver on our promises to all of ourstakeholders. In so doing, we play a critical role in building a better workingworld for our people, for our clients and for our communities.

EY refers to the global organization, and may refer to one or more, of themember firms of Ernst & Young Global Limited, each of which is a separatelegal entity. Ernst & Young Global Limited, a UK company limited byguarantee, does not provide services to clients.

For more information about our organization, please visit ey.com.

© 2020 Ernst & Young LLP. All Rights Reserved.A member firm of Ernst & Young Global Limited.

This publication contains information in summary form, current as of the date ofpublication, and is intended for general guidance only. It should not be regarded ascomprehensive or a substitute for professional advice. Before taking any particularcourse of action, contact Ernst & Young or another professional advisor to discussthese matters in the context of your particular circumstances. We accept noresponsibility for any loss or damage occasioned by your reliance on informationcontained in this publication.

ey.com/ca/private

Documents

Anglophone West School District (ASD-W) Multi-year