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Angels in the Crowd: Evidence from Online Equity Crowdfunding
Wanxin Wang and Jingyu Zhang
Imperial College London
Key Words: Online Equity Crowdfunding, Angel Investors, Entrepreneurial Financing
Executive Summary
Traditional business angels are a group of mysterious, high-networth, elite investors in private
equity markets. With rapid advances in digital technology and innovative financial services,
online fundraising platforms have been fast developing into a disruptive alternative to
traditional angel investing and entrepreneurial financing. Though there has been a growing
literature about rewards-based or microloan-based (“P2P”) crowdfunding, there is still little
work about equity crowdfunding due to data availability issues, especially for the US online
equity crowdfunding markets with data starting only from 2016Q3. In consequence, finance
academics, practitioners and regulatory authorities know very little regarding the investment
behaviour of angel investors via online equity crowdfunding.
This paper presents first-hand empirical evidence documenting the coinvestment behaviour
within angels’ online equity crowdfunding communities. Our proprietary data from a leading
equity crowdfunding platform in the UK allow us to comprehensively investigate how angel
leader-follower pairs make pledging decisions during the 2012Q3-2017Q3 period.
Here is a list of our major empirical findings that provide new insights and broaden our
knowledge about the new angel investing communities via online fundraising platforms:
Angel followers with better coinvestment experiences with an angel leader tend to
pledge sooner in the next campaign she leads.
Pledges of angel followers are positively responsive to the angel leader’s pledge.
Pledges of angel followers with better coinvestment experiences with the angel leader
are less sensitive to the angel leader’s pledge.
Angel followers are more likely to pledge to industries they never have if receiving
high-quality private information from the angel leader.
Angel leaders tend to pledge more money if their previous campaigns ended up with
unsuccessful fundraising outcomes.
Angel pairs take turns to act as the angel leader and the strength of this “role-switching”
motive depends on their coinvestment experiences and information sharing activities.
Overall, these empirical findings jointly suggest that angel leader-follower pairs form mutual
trust via their previous coinvestment, incorporate private information and previous fundraising
outcomes into their pledging decisions, and maintain their positions in angel investing
communities via sharing private information of investment opportunities.
Angels in the Crowd: Evidence from Online Equity Crowdfunding
Wanxin Wang and Jingyu Zhang1
Imperial College London
[Preliminary draft: November 2018]
Abstract
Online fundraising platforms have been developing rapidly as a disruptive alternative to
traditional angel investing and entrepreneurial financing. This paper presents first-hand
empirical evidence documenting angel investors’ coinvestment behaviour via online equity
crowdfunding. We comprehensively investigate how angel leader-follower pairs make
pledging decisions for campaigns launched at a leading equity fundraising platform in the UK.
We find that angel followers with better coinvestment experiences with an angel leader tend to
pledge sooner in the next campaign she leads. Besides confirming that pledges of angel
followers are positively responsive to the angel leader’s pledge, we further show that pledges
of angel followers with better coinvestment experiences with the angel leader are less sensitive
to the angel leader’s pledge. Further empirical evidence shows that, if receiving high-quality
private information from the angel leader, angel followers are more likely to pledge to
industries they never have. Additionally, our empirical evidence confirms that angel leaders
tend to pledge more money if their previous campaigns ended up with unsuccessful fundraising
outcomes. Finally, we find empirical evidence indicating that angel pairs take turns to act as
the angel leader and the strength of this “role-switching” motive depends on their coinvestment
experiences and information sharing activities. Overall, these empirical findings jointly suggest
that angel pairs form mutual trust via their previous coinvestment, incorporate private
information and previous fundraising outcomes into their pledging decisions, and maintain
their positions in angel investing communities via sharing private information of investment
opportunities.
Key Words: Online Equity Crowdfunding, Angel Investor, Entrepreneurial Financing
JEL Codes: G11, G24
1 Wang and Zhang are both with Imperial College Business School. We are grateful to the CEO of this leading
equity crowdfunding platform in the UK for generously sharing comprehensive campaign-related information.
We are not aware of any conflicts of interest with this platform, and this paper only represents our own views for
academic research. The findings in this paper do not represent the views or advice from this equity crowdfunding
platform. All errors are ours. Please send all correspondence to Jingyu Zhang, email: [email protected],
Doctoral Program Office, Imperial College Business School, South Kensington Campus, London, UK, SW7 2AZ.
Financial support from Imperial College London is highly acknowledged.
1
1. Introduction
Online crowdfunding platforms provide investors with easy access to early-stage investment
opportunities due to their features of low transaction fees and low information costs (Agrawal,
Catalini and Goldfarb (2014)). Traditional business angels hold regular meetings, listen to
entrepreneurs’ pitches, exchange ideas over those meetings, and make their investment
decisions.2 Unlike traditional angel investing, online crowdfunding was considered to largely
rely on the “wisdom of the crowd” rather than the expertise of traditional business angels.
Actually nowadays, online crowdfunding platforms not only attract retail investors but have
been developing very fast as a disruptive alternative for sophisticated angel investors to access
early-stage investable campaigns.
However, there is little work in the literature that directly documents angel investing behaviour
via online equity crowdfunding3; our paper aims to fill in this gap in the literature and provides
first-hand empirical evidence regarding how angel investors coinvest with their angel peers in
equity fundraising campaigns that are open to all investors (“the crowd”). In this paper, we
focus on online money-pledging angel investors with high net worth, professional expertise of
investing in certain industries, and their own circles of exchanging private information about
investable campaigns. We directly explore how they exchange information with each other and
make their coinvestment decisions for online equity fundraising campaigns. The unique
features of our data covering the 2012Q3-2017Q3 period from a leading UK equity
crowdfunding platform enable us to identify the angel leader of a campaign and her angel
2 Naturally, most associations of traditional business angels provide exclusive access to early-stage investable
campaigns only for their members. Kerr, Lerner and Schoar (2014) provide comprehensively detailed information
regarding the investment procedure for two traditional angel groups in the US. 3 We follow Freedman and Nutting (2015) and do not count “Regulation D offering platforms” as equity
crowdfunding portals since these platforms are only open to “accredited investors” and not open to the crowd.
2
followers. In particular, we present empirical evidence at the level of angel leader-follower
pairs and investigate the underlying forces that drive their coinvestment behavior.
We conjecture that angel pairs can form mutual trust through their previous coinvestment
experiences. We also argue that angel followers can obtain high-quality private information
regarding the prospect of a campaign if invited by the angel leader to have face-to-face
conversations with the campaign’s founders and co-founders. Two simplifying assumptions
are made to better understand our empirical setup. First, the angel leader of a campaign is
assumed to be perfectly informed about the campaign’s prospect. That is, there is assumed to
be no information asymmetry between the angel leader and the campaign’s founders and co-
founders. Second, the angel leader invites her angel followers to have face-to-face talks with
the entrepreneurs and acquire better-quality private information than could be otherwise
obtained via angel followers’ own social network, due diligence and research. These two
assumptions enable us to focus on the information asymmetry between the angel leader of a
campaign and her angel followers.
We find that angel followers with better coinvestment experiences with the angel leader tend
to invest sooner in the next campaign she leads. The number of successful campaigns
coinvested with the angel leader serves as the proxy for an angel pair’s previous coinvestment
experience. This effect remains if we alternatively focus on the most recent coinvested
campaign. We then investigate how angel followers react to the angel leader’s investment. Our
empirical evidence confirms that pledges of angel followers are positively related to the angel
leader’s pledge. This is consistent with a framework where angel followers interpret how much
the angel leader pledges to a campaign as a signal regarding the campaign’s future prospect.
Further empirical evidence indicates that angel followers respond differentially to the angel
leader’s pledge, depending on their own coinvestment experience with the angel leader. We
3
find that pledges of angel followers with better coinvestment experiences with the angel leader
are less sensitive to the angel leader’s pledge. This evidence confirms our hypothesis that angel
followers are better able to interpret the angel leader’s pledge and evaluate a campaign’s
prospect if they have formed deeper mutual trust with the angel leader.
Next, we explore angel followers’ investment decisions in a trade-off framework between their
professional expertise and portfolio diversification motives. Angel investors usually invest in
a small number of industries where they have social networks or previous professional
experience, while portfolio diversification motives encourage them to pledge to a new industry
they have never invested in. Our empirical evidence shows that angel followers are more likely
to invest in a new industry if receiving high-quality private information from the angel leader.
That is, portfolio diversification motives are more likely to dominate professional expertise
considerations when angel followers are invited to have personal conversions with the
entrepreneurs.
Besides, we look into angel leaders’ investment behavior and investigate the effects of past
fundraising outcomes on future pledging decisions. We use the cumulative number of
successful campaigns led by an angel leader as a proxy for her past fundraising outcomes. Our
empirical evidence shows that an angel leader tends to pledge more money to her current
campaign if she has led fewer successful campaigns. This effect remains if we further control
for the fundraising outcome of her most recent campaign. These results are consistent with an
angel leader using her pledge to a campaign as a signal to her angel followers regarding the
campaign’s true quality. Our evidence supports a signaling story where an angel leader chooses
to pledge more money in her next campaign if she has relatively unsuccessful records in the
past or an unsuccessful outcome for her most recent campaign.
4
Finally, we find empirical evidence consistent with angel investors taking turns to share their
own private knowledge of investable campaigns to maintain their positions within angel
investing communities. Specifically, our evidence indicates that an angel follower, having
received private information in the previous campaign coinvested with the angel leader, is more
likely to take the leader role in their next coinvested campaign. Moreover, we find that this
role-switching pattern actually works through the channel of previous successful coinvestment
experience within an angel pair. That is, this role-switching motive within an angel pair is
stronger as they have experienced a larger number of successful coinvested campaigns.
To our best knowledge, this paper is the first to provide direct empirical evidence on angel
investors’ coinvestment behavior via online equity crowdfunding platforms. 4 Anecdotal
evidence suggests that private face-to-face conversations with the entrepreneurs are fairly
important sources to acquire valuable information about investable campaigns within angel
investing communities (Freedman and Nutting (2015)). Our empirical evidence regarding the
investment behaviour of angel investors at a leading UK equity fundraising platform confirms
the importance of acquiring valuable information through such channels. Our findings about
the interactions within an angel pair also lay out the empirical foundations for future theoretical
research to model the strategic motives of such interactions in a unified framework.
Importantly, our empirical findings regarding equity crowdfunding campaigns in the UK also
contribute to the growing literature of crowdfunding in general, but online equity crowdfunding
in particular. We have obtained comprehensive campaign-related information from a leading
UK equity crowdfunding platform covering the 2012Q3-2017Q3 period. This relatively long
sample period enables us to explore how angel investors of online equity crowdfunding interact
4 Equity crowdfunding is crucially different from microloan crowdfunding. There is a growing literature of peer-
to-peer lending: Zhang and Liu (2012), Lin, Prabhala and Viswanathan (2013), Iyer et al. (2016), Wei and Lin
(2017), and many others.
5
with each other and provides empirical references for the regulatory authorities in other
jurisdictions to enact, amend or update their supervisory approaches.5
The rest of this paper will proceed as follows. Section 2 introduces the institutional background
about angel investing and online equity crowdfunding platforms. Section 3 reviews related
literature and develops hypotheses for empirical tests. Section 4 describes our datasets and
present summary statistics. Section 5 provides empirical evidence and the associated
interpretations, and Section 6 concludes.
2. Background Information
2.1 Equity Crowdfunding
Equity crowdfunding (ECF) refers to the online platforms where individuals pledge money to
early stage ventures and obtain ownership stake in return for their pledged money (Vulkan et
al. (2016) and Vismara (2016)). This newly created means of private equity financing has been
described as the “most disruptive” among all FinTech (Terry et al. (2013)). Equity
crowdfunding has been moving “mainstream” rapidly and becoming a global phenomenon,
especially after a series of regulatory changes (i.e., Jumpstart Our Business Startups Act) took
place in the US (Zhang et al. (2015)). So far, the equity-crowdfunding sector has been steadily
growing and well developed in Europe, with UK and Germany taking the lead. It has generated
a transaction value of 1,130m USD in the UK in 2018 and is expected to grow to 2,829m USD
by 2022 (Statista (2018)). Around 21% of all early-stage financing in the UK is channelled via
ECF (Beauhurst (2015)).
ECF platforms typically operate under the “All or Nothing” business model, meaning that
fundraisers, i.e. the entrepreneurs, can be granted the money raised only if the fundraising
5 For example, in the USA, the JOBS Act was enacted in 2012 with the final rules adopted in late 2015. The Title
III exemption took effects from May 2016. Researchers using US online equity crowdfunding data would have to
deal with the short sample period starting only from the second half of 2016.
6
campaign reaches its pre-set target or gets overfunded (i.e., successful). Otherwise, the
campaign is deemed failed and investors will get fully refunded. To gauge for fundraising
success, platforms typically encourage entrepreneurs to approach their existing contacts (e.g.,
family and friends, angels, and other lending bodies); entrepreneurs that have already soft-
circled certain amount of money from before going crowdfunding are usually considered as
with higher quality and are more likely to be successful.
In our studied platform, for example, entrepreneurs have a private link to their campaign
webpage where relevant introductory contents are displayed. Only investors that receive such
link via direct contacts are able to pledge money. Entrepreneurs present funds that they raise
in such way onto the webpage so that they strengthen the power of the quality signal. This
fundraising period is called private launch period and has flexible duration so that
entrepreneurs can reach out to their existing contacts until they saturate their internal resource.
Once they decide to close private launch period and start raising funds publicly at the platform
(i.e., public launch), the entrepreneurs have a fixed 60-day time frame to reach their desired
amount of money. All funds received during private and public launch are visible to all
investors once the public launch period starts.
The campaign webpage contains rich information about each start-up. We generally categorize
all observable information into two broad categories: campaign attributes and campaign
dynamics. Specifically, campaign attributes refer to those time-invariant characteristics of a
campaign that are fixed throughout its lifetime. These characteristics include campaign’s pre-
set fundraising target, share of equity offered, pre-money valuation by entrepreneurs, founder
profiles, and campaign introductory materials including narratives, images, or videos, to name
a few. Campaign dynamics refer to those time-variant measurements that are updated in real-
time manner. These dynamic features of a campaign would typically include cumulative
number of investors, cumulative amount of money raised, and news feed from the
7
entrepreneurs, to name a few. In particular, each campaign has a list on its page where all the
pledges are ranked by amount and displayed in descending order. Investors can choose to reveal
their name and social network accounts (e.g., LinkedIn and Twitter) so that other potential
investors can get access to.
2.2 ECF Angels
In recent years, equity crowdfunding seems to be less about the “crowd”: Some commentators
have started to note an increasing trend of angel investors and venture capitalists (VCs) joining
ECF platforms (AIG (2016)). Angels are generally defined as “high net worth individuals who
invest their own money, either alone or with others, directly in unquoted businesses in which
there is no family connection” (Mason et al. (2016)). However, the whole angel population are
heterogeneous and are getting younger more open to digital investment opportunities as
opposed to traditional and offline-only angels (Wright et al. (2015)). Hence, micro-lending and
crowdfunding platforms are gaining popularity amongst angels seeking convenience and
passive investments in portfolio (Harrison (2017), Wright et al. (2015), Landström and Mason
(2016)). For example, the most recent study on the UK angels by British Business Bank (BBB)
and UK Business Angel Association (UKBAA) (2017) finds that 36% of UK angels have
invested via ECF. On the one hand, major ECF platforms actively encourage coinvestment
with angels and hail it as an advantage for those investing with them.
Recently, there has been a strong growth in investments made via angel networks that further
increases the impact of angel financing (Baldock and Mason (2015) and Mason et al. (2016)).
These networks are comparable to investor-led ECF platforms (e.g., Angel’s Den, Syndicate
Room) where investors pledge by following a lead investor (Agrawal et al. (2016)). As equity
crowdfunding platforms grow and evolve, even investors pledging via company-led ECF
8
platforms (like the one we study) where no formal syndicates are formed are found to start
building networks (Estrin et al. (2018)).
3. Related Literature & Hypothesis Development
3.1 Signaling and Information Exchange Among Angels
Information asymmetry between investees and investors and their signaling interactions have
always been the major issue in the capital structure literature of corporate finance (Leland and
Pyle (1977), Ross (1977)). Similar to other early-stage financing markets, equity crowdfunding
is typically characterised with high level of information asymmetry between entrepreneurs and
investors (Short et al. (2017)). So far the vast literatures have studied a variety of entrepreneur-
sent signals including project valuation, ownership stake offered and retained, and
entrepreneurs’ human (Ahlers et al. (2015) and Vismara (2016a)). A more recent stream of
research has emerged focusing on inter-investor signaling and have focused on the co-existence
and interactions between large and small investors, and between investors with distinct levels
of investment- and industry-relevant expertise (Kim and Viswanathan (2018) and Vismara
(2016b)).
More importantly, recent empirical studies have recognized that the investment activities of a
segment of large ECF investors who are business angels or are wealthy yet time-constrained
individuals that behave angel-like. For example, Wallmeroth et al. (2018) have categorized
investors with average pledge size higher than EUR 5,000 as angel-like or semi-professional.
Wang et al. (2018) identified investors with top 1% portfolio (in terms of total amount invested)
and provided statistical and qualitative evidences showing that these investors can be well
classified as angels in terms of investment behaviors and demographics. More importantly, the
authors find the crucial role played by angel investment in helping campaigns gauge success
and strong effect of information exchange between angels.
9
Adopting the angel identification developed in Wang et al. (2018), this paper focuses on
signaling and information exchange specifically between angel investors in ECF market within
and across fundraising campaigns. Due to the private nature of angel investing (Prowse, 1998),
literature on angel behaviors has been relatively scarce. The rise of angel have brought certain
angel activities online and extant studies shed some light on how angel networks recruit new
members and make joint decisions networks (Mason et al. (2016)). However, how angels
exchange information and interact when making individual investments remains unexplored.
The world of finance values networks (Allen and Barbus (2008) and Pichler and Wihelm
(2001)), and many financial markets are characterised with their “strong relationships and
networks” (Hochberg et al. (2007)). To reap the benefits of cooperation, syndications are
commonly found among investment banks (Wilson (1968) and Ross et al. (1999)), in
entrepreneurial finance market among venture capitalists (Wright and Lockett (2003)) and
business angels (Paul and Whittam (2010). Investors often rely on their syndicate partners to
more accurately evaluate venture quality, spread financial risks, share management resources,
diffuse sector- and location-specific expertise, and experience better market exit (Brander et al.
(2002) and Hochberg et al. (2007)). Compared with ordinary investors who are mostly
uninformed and make occasional investments, the investment behaviors of angels are more
informed and are more likely to involve active information exchange.
With the increasing entanglement of angel population with equity crowdfunding, it is critical
to understand from a theoretical perspective how angel investors interact with each other in
this market. Specifically, anchoring at signaling and information exchange literature, we
explore angels’ behavioral drivers and propose communication intensity and reputation as two
mechanisms that are associated with a series of angel interaction patterns in the context of
equity crowdfunding.
10
3.2 Communication Intensity
Classic signaling theories have put significant focus on factors explaining differing signal
effectiveness from the perspectives of signal sender and receiver (Connelly et al. (2011)). The
fact that entrepreneurs raise funds from a small circle or personal contacts during private launch
means high level of communication intensity not only between entrepreneurs and investors but
also between investors. In contrast, communications between two investors in private and
public launch period, respectively should be significantly lower. This is because the value of
crowdfunding is mainly about providing convenience with both sides of the market: it relives
investors from due diligence and costly communications and gives entrepreneurs easy access
to a large base of heterogeneous investors without the obligation to engage with them
individually (Agrawal et al. (2014) and Mollick (2014)). Consequently, differing level of
communication leads to different signal intensity and frequency, which turn into different
signal effectiveness (Carter (2006), Fischer and Reuber (2007)). We contend that signals sent
and received during campaign’s private launch period contain more intensive communications
and should be more effective than signals received during campaign’s public launch period.
3.3 Reputation and Familiarity
Signal interpretation or calibration theories (Connelly et al. (2011)) have documented that
individuals, when faced with same signals, might come up with distinct interpretations
(Highhouse et al. (2007), Perkins and Hendry (2005), Gomulya and Mishina (2016)). This is
because people assign different strengths, weights, or even meanings to the same signal based
on their own concerns, preferences, and perspectives (Suazo et al. (2009), Branzei et al. (2004),
Ehrhart and Zieger (2005)). Previous research on syndicate partner selection has pointed out
investor linkage, or familiarity, as an important individual-level factor influencing their
decisions on whether or not to cooperate.
11
For example, the effectiveness of signals sent from syndicate candidates depends on their
existence and frequency of previous joint deal experience with the lead VC, though the strength
of which erodes over time (Hopp and Lukas (2013)). Venugopal and Yerramilli (2016) study
network formation between angels and further enrich inter-investor familiarity by considering
quality of previous collaboration, which is measured by start-up success. The authors argue
that not only larger quantity but also higher quality of previous coinvestment experience
between angels will beget further successful collaboration. Similar with research finding that
entrepreneurs count on social capital (Colombo et al. (2014)) and accumulate social capital
through the practice of fundraising (Buttice et al. (2017)), we contend that investors, especially
large investors, also care about linkage, which is measured by familiarity, or past coinvestment
experience. Moreover, the familiarity and reputation between lead and follower angels should
increase with the frequency of successful coinvestment occasions, resulting in higher level of
signal credibility (Connelly et al. (2010)).
3.4 Hypotheses Development
In the context of equity crowdfunding investment, angel reputation can be established via
providing high-quality information. Specifically, reputation of an angel leader could
accumulate as more campaigns she leads turned out to be successfully funded. If signaler
reputation helps improve perceived signal credibility, we expect that a signal sent by a
reputational angel leader will shorten the time needed for signal receiver to evaluate its
credibility. Therefore, our first hypothesis is about signaler (angel leader) reputation leading to
shorter reaction time of the signal receiver (angel follower):
H1. Better experiences of previous coinvestments are associated with quicker investments from
angel followers in reaction to angel leader’s pledge.
12
Signaling theories document that signal costliness is a main criterion for signal receiver to
evaluate signal credibility (Connelly et al. (2011), Ramaswami et al. (2010)). One fundamental
aspect of signal quality originates from signal costliness so that by sending costly signals the
signaler can differentiate oneself from others who find it difficult to imitate (Spence (1973)).
Monetary costliness, for instance, is a direct representation of signal costliness. Signal sender’s
confidence and interest towards the start-up can be (at least partially) reflected through capital
commitments. In the framework of our online equity crowdfunding platform, angel followers
are supposed to pledge more money to a campaign if the campaign’s angel leader pledges more
money.
H2a. Pledges of angel followers increase with the angel leader’s pledge.
We also notice that there can be substantial heterogeneity in the positive association between
pledges of angel followers and that of the angel leader, depending on the previous coinvestment
experience within an angel leader-follower pair. The fundamental idea of Bayesian updating
can better illustrate this heterogeneity if angel followers consider two information sources
while making their pledging decisions: Namely, angel leader’s pledge and the mutual trust
within an angel leader-follower pair. For those angel pairs without successful experience in
previous coinvestments, angel followers have no choice but interpret the campaign’s future
prospect largely relying on how much the angel leader pledges. However, for angel pairs with
fairly successful experience in previous coinvestments, angel followers can interpret the
campaign’s future prospect not only from the angel leader’s pledge but from their mutual trust
already developed via previous coinvestments. As a result, pledges of angel followers who
have experienced successful coinvestments with the angel leader are likely to be less sensitive
to how much the angel leader pledges. This the second part of Hypothesis 2.
13
H2b. The positive reaction of angel follower to investment of angel leader gets weaker as the
number of successful coinvestments between angel leader and follower increases.
Angel leader’s reputation not only influences angel follower’s reaction, but also makes
difference to her own investment behavior. For instance, higher level of reputation of an angel
leader accumulated through past successful leading experience may require lower level of
capital commitment in her next investment occasion as lead investor. The previous hypotheses
take for granted that angel followers consider the angel leader’s pledge as a signal of a
campaign’s future prospect. Nonetheless, we need to provide empirical evidence supporting
that angel leaders do have such signaling motives in the first place. Specifically, in our context,
an angel leader with better reputation is better able to attract the same level of investment from
angel followers by investing less money into a campaign compared with a less reputational
angel. Therefore, our third hypothesis is written as follows:
H3. An angel leader who has led fewer successful campaigns tends to pledge more money to
the next campaign she leads.
Angel investors are known to make habitual investments, leveraging their experience and
expertise (Wright and Westhead (1998), Maula et al. (2005), Collewaert (2012), Freedman and
Nutting (2015)). This “comfort-zone” argument indicates some persistence in angel investing,
that is, keep pledging money only to a couple of industries. However, classic portfolio theories
suggest angel investors may have motives to diversify their portfolios across different
industries as well. Mason and Landstrom (2016) argue that he easy and almost free access to a
variety of deals from different industry sectors and the low costs involved in due diligence are
likely to have stimulated angel investors to hold diversified portfolios.
The key question we hope to address regarding angel investors’ portfolio holdings is on the
relative strength of portfolio diversification motives over angels’ expertise considerations. We
14
conjecture that angel followers are more likely to invest in a new industry they have never
pledged to before if they receive high-quality private information via personal conversations
with the campaign’s founders and co-founders. That is, portfolio diversification motives are
more likely to dominate angels’ expertise considerations when angel followers receive high-
quality private information regarding the campaign’s future prospect.
H4a. Angel followers tend to pledge to campaigns of a new industry sector if they have direct
communications with campaign founders and co-founders.
H4b. Better experiences of previous coinvestments with the angel leader results in higher
likelihood for angel follower to invest in campaigns from a familiar industry sector.
Finally, we think about the participants in angel investing communities by putting them into a
real-life situation where it is not the obligation of one angel investor to always share her own
private information about investable campaigns. We conjecture that angel investors have their
own “circles”, or networks, to communicate valuable information about investable campaigns.
That is, angel investors may actually take turns, from time to time, to share their own private
information with their angel peers. The angel leader of a campaign can invite her angel peers
to have personal conversations with the campaign’s founders and co-founders, substantially
increasing the chances of receiving pledges from her angel followers.6 Those angel followers
invited for personal conversations with the campaign’s founders and co-founders are expected
to be more likely to act as the angel leader in future campaigns. We also allow the strength of
this role-switching motive to be heterogeneous across angel pairs with different levels of
previous coinvestment experiences.
6 It could be the case that an angel leader is regularly engaged with the entrepreneurial community and looking
for investable start-ups, or founders and co-founders of promising start-ups are actively seeking interested capital
of angel financing from prestigious and influential angel investors. These two cases stand for two opposite
directions of information flow between the angel leader and campaign founders, and the specific direction of
information flow is beyond our paper’s scope.
15
H5. An angel follower, within an angel leader-follower pair, is more likely to act as the angel
leader in future campaigns if she pledged moeny during the private launch in their last
coinvested campaign.
4. Angel Identification and Data Filteration
We study angel coinvestment behavior using investment data for 50,999 unique investors and
1,151 campaigns from July 2012 up until September 2017 at a leading UK ECF platform.7 In
terms of size, type, and business model, the platform is fairly similar to other ECF platforms
such as Crowdcube and Crowdfunder. So far, the platform has successfully attracted start-up
ventures across 14 sectors, with financial service, food & drink, digital media, entertainment,
and technology being the most popular ones. Similarly, other industry leaders, for example,
Crowdcube, has comparable sector coverage. The platform also attracts a large number of
investors, ranging from crowd investors to sophisticated and high-net-worth investors. Since
investors use multiple platforms, leading ECF platforms are likely to have similar investors.8
Therefore, we are confident that the insights generated through our analyses can be well
generalized to other equity crowdfunding platforms.
4.1 Angel Identification
We observe heterogeneity among investors in terms of portfolio size (1 to 696 campaigns) and
investment amount (10 GBP to 14.4m GBP). More importantly, the CEO of the platform
confirmed the presence of angels alongside crowd investors on the platform. Although there is
great heterogeneity across angels in terms of demographic and behavioral characteristics, it is
almost always the case that angels are wealthy individuals that typically invest large amounts
of money. We hence pick the top 1% of investors in terms of total amount pledged (i.e., total
7 An NDA prohibits us from disclosing the identity of this UK online equity crowdfunding platform. 8 The CEO of this UK equity crowdfunding platform notes: “… platforms (at least the major ones) certainly
compete with each other for deals; we also compete for investors, although many investors use multiple platforms.”
16
amount pledged greater than 66,000 GBP), and observe that the behavior of the top 1% of
investors appears similar to that of business angels outlined in two recent surveys on UK angels
(BBB and UKBAA (2017), Wright et al. (2015)). We present a comparison of several key
behavioral metrics. For example, they have similar investment frequency, size, and portfolio
breadth, and comparable level of geographical concentration and industry focus. Furthermore,
to validate our angel classification, we randomly picked a sample of 153 investors from the top
1% of investors and reviewed their LinkedIn profiles. We checked whether an investor met at
least one of the following criteria to be classified as angel: (1) having successfully founded
start-ups, (2) having taken any chief executive level roles (CEO, CFO, COO, etc.) in companies
that they do not own; (3) claiming oneself as a professional/angel investor, and (4) being a fund,
a syndicate, or an investment organization. We found at least 118 (77%) investors can be
qualified as angels based on the criteria that the literature typically uses to profile angels.
Therefore, we category the 510 investors as angel investors (N=510), while the rest as crowd
investors (N=50,489). Given that we identify angel investors based on their total amount
pledged, our approach accounts for angels who make few very large pledges and angels who
make a larger number of smaller pledges.
Moreover, the current regulatory framework requires investor self-certification as high-net-
worth, sophisticated, or everyday (crowd) investors. However, we found that a quarter of
investors classified as high-net-worth individuals made less than 500 GBP over the data period,
while 2% of those classified as crowd investors have invested more than 66,000 GBP (i.e., our
threshold for identifying angels), raising concerns regarding the reliability of the accuracy of
client self-assessment.
Furthermore, in line with existing research on angel behavior (Landström and Mason, 2016;
Wallmeroth et al., 2018), we observe heterogeneity amongst the identified angels. For example,
17
28% of angels made investments less than 100 GBP, while 3% invested higher than GPB 1m
per pledge. While 61% made fewer than five investments, 5% made more than 90 during the
entire data period. We also observe differences in the timing of investments: for instance, 342
(67%) angels made pledges prior to the public launch of the campaign while 428 (84%) made
investments during the public launch. According to the CEO of the platform, entrepreneurs
often “soft circle part of their round through offline angels” before publically launching
campaigns. It is thus likely that these offline angels treat ECF as an asset class similar to
traditional offline investments. However, investors who invest exclusively through the online
channel during the public launch may treat ECF as a different asset class. Unlike offline angels
these angels likely seek the convenience of the platform and may not be as hands-on with the
venture. Such heterogeneity amongst angels could thus lead to differences in investment
behavior. In contrast, we observe significant differences between investment behavior of angels
and crowd investors. For instance, in large campaigns angels make approximately 6 times the
pledges and pledge around 130 times the amount of crowd investors.
4.2 Summary Statistics: All Launched Campaigns
Panel A of Figure 1 presents the quarterly number of all launched campaigns in this leading
online equity crowdfunding platform in the UK. Fundraising campaigns via equity
crowdfunding, with an average fundraising goal of GBP 326,752 and pre-money valuation of
GBP 5,729,347, are usually subject to larger scales compared to those via reward-based
crowdfunding as described in Mollick (2014). Panel B of Figure 1 provides the quarterly
aggregate of money raised from all successful campaigns launched in this platform. We can
see the nominal value of this equity crowdfunding platform was somewhat quiet for a year or
18
two starting from 2012Q3, but on the track to “escalate very quickly” as predicted by Dr.
Richard Swart9 for the US counterpart of equity crowdfunding.
Panel A of Figure 2 presents the quarterly summary statistics for the funding target. We can
observe a significant upward-sloping trend for the funding target in nominal value (GBP). The
associated summary statistics of campaign valuation can be found in Panel B of Figure 2. The
campaigns in our dataset on average offer 8.6% ownership stake of the firm to equity
crowdfunding investors. Panel C of Figure 2 provides P25, Median and P75 regarding the
percentage of ownership offered. Moreover, a campaign on average receives around 16 pledges
from angel investors and around 274 pledges from non-angel retail investors. We note that a
significant portion (61.2%) of fundraising goal is fulfilled by a small number of angel investors
during the private launch period, indicating the critical and influential role played by angels
even in a seemingly democratic and crowd-based platform.10
4.3 Final Dataset for Analysis
To construct the data for model analyses, we first drop all pledges from non-angel investors
from the full dataset. We then group all angels into pairs and then keep the pairs with more
than one coinvestments records. Having coinvested in more than one campaign is necessary in
our empirical framework. Having a full time series of investor pledges for each campaign that
covers both private and public launches, we identify the angel investor that makes the first
pledge to a campaign during the campaign’s private launch period as the angel leader.11 The
other angels pledging to the same campaign are classified as her angel followers. This empirical
9 Director of Research, the Program for Innovation in Entrepreneurial and Social Finance at UC Berkeley. 10 Detailed summary statistics at the levels of campaign, angel investor, retail investor, or industries are not
reported in this paper for brevity. These summary statistics are available upon request. 11 The median number of angel investors per campaign is 3. Some campaigns may not receive any pledges from
angel investors during private launch.
19
strategy is largely based on conventions that the angel leader of a campaign has sufficient
communication and close connection with the campaign’s founder and co-founders.
Furthermore, we drop the observations where both the angel leader and follower make
investments in a campaign’s public launch period. That is, we only keep observations with a
campaign’s angel leader pledging during the private launch. As a result, our final data for
analysis consists of 5,481 observations at the level of angel leader-follower pairs per campaign,
covering 450 angel investors and corresponding to 2,276 angel pairs across 343 campaigns
from July 2012 to September 2017.12
We also find rich heterogeneity across angel pairs in many aspects of coinvestment dynamics.
For instance, the angel leader of a campaign on average contributes 18.5% to the campaign’s
fundraising target. In response to the angel leader’s pledge, angel followers on average make
investments to the same campaign approximately 21 days (median 12 days) after the angel
leader’s pledge. Rather than passively making modest investments, angel followers on average
make investments that count for 6.5% of the goal of the same campaign.
5. Empirical Evidence
5.1 Pledge Timing and Coinvestment Experience
We have developed a hypothesis of forming mutual trust within a pair of angel investors via
their previous coinvestment experience. Our dependent variable in this subsection measures
how quickly an angel follower pledges relative to the angel leader’s pledge. This variable is
expected to measure the time gap between the two pledging moments of the angel leader and
the angel follower, respectively. To absorb any unobservable features of pledging within an
12 Among 343 campaigns in our dataset, 68.5% of them (i.e. 235) are successfully funded. These campaigns span
14 industry sectors.
20
angel pair, we take the first-order difference of “time gap”: the time gap in the current campaign
minus the time gap in the previous campaign for the same pair of angel investors.
Our main explanatory variable is a proxy for mutual trust within an angel leader-follower pair.
We measure the extent of how much mutual trust has been built within an angel pair by the
cumulative number of successful coinvested campaigns (Cumulative No. of Successful
Coinvestments). We also check the result if angel pairs have “short memories” and purely focus
on the outcome of their most recent coinvested campaign. The coefficient is supposed to be
negative.
We follow the literature on crowdfunding and control for campaign level attributes, namely the
level of funds sought (Campaign Fundraising Target) and ownership stake offered to equity
crowdfunding investors (Campaign Equity Offered). Detailed variable definitions can be found
in Table 1. Besides, we control for angel leader characteristics because angel leaders may differ
from each other in many ways, possibly resulting in very different reactions from angel
followers regardless of their coinvestment experiences. Finally, taking the unobservable
heterogeneity across angel pairs into account, we include pair-level fixed effect wherever
applicable.
Our conjecture is that an angel pair form a stronger relationship of mutual trust if they have
experienced a larger number of successful campaigns. Column 1 in Table 4 supports this
conjecture by the negative coefficient before Cumulative No. of Successful Coinvestments. That
is, as the number of successful campaigns coinvested with the angel leader increases, angel
followers tend to pledge sooner to the next campaign she leads. We further confirm this
statistical association by focusing on the fundraising outcome of an angel pair’s most recent
21
coinvested campaign. That is, an angel follower tends to pledge sooner by more than one day
if the most recent campaign was successful.13
One interesting result regarding an angel leader’s network size indicates that substantial growth
of lead angels’ connections with other angels may actually dilute the “tightness” or the
“strength” of her angel investment network. Holding other factors constant, angel followers
tend to pledge slightly later for an increase in the angel leader’s network size. This finding is
consistent with a limited attention story where an angel leader with high network size in fact
spread her time and effort more thinly among all angel followers within her network.
5.2 Pledge Sensitivity and Coinvestment Experience
Beyond simply looking at timing patterns of angel investment, we also look into how
sensitively angel follower investment would respond to angel leader’s investment. Specifically,
we use “log-log” regressions to directly capture the elasticity of angel follower-leader
investment. Angel followers can interpret the angel leader’s pledge as a signal of campaign
quality and make investment decisions based on their own interpretation of this signal. When
making investment decisions, angel followers without personal trust formed via previous
coinvestment experiences with an angel leader would have to only rely on the angel leader’s
pledge to infer the true quality of the campaign. As a result, such angel followers respond more
sensitively to the angel leader’s pledge.14 Thus, we hypothesize that pledges of angel followers
respond differentially sensitively to the angel leader’s pledge, depending on their previous
coinvestment experiences with the angel leader.
13 The economic significant of this finding can be better evaluated given the summary statistics of private launch:
P25, Median, P75 are 1, 4, and 13 days, respectively. 14 This is consistent with a Bayesian updating framework where an agent relies on two information sources to
make her decision: The agent relies more on the information source with a higher precision.
22
We use the natural logarithm of how much an angel follower pledges (Angel Follower Pledge)
as the dependent variable. We use the natural logarithm of the angel leader’s cumulative
amount of investment to a certain campaign (Angel Leader Pledge) as the main explanatory
variable.15 Besides the control variables already included, we also add an interaction term
between the angel leader’s pledge and the cumulative number of successful campaigns
coinvested with an angel follower. Further, we controlled for individual investment capacity
and portfolio considerations by including cumulative amount of investment made by angel
follower and leader across all investments (Lead Angel Cumulative Amount of Investments and
Angel Follower Cumulative Amount of Investments), respectively.
The first two columns in Table 5 show that pledges of angel followers are positively responsive
to the angel leader’s pledge, and this effect is robust to controlling for their coinvestment
experience and other covariates. This result indicates that angel leaders can use how much they
invest in a campaign as a signal to their angel followers regarding campaign quality. We further
include the interaction term between angel leader pledge and the angel pair’s coinvestment
experience. Interestingly, our evidence indicates that angel followers with better coinvestment
experiences with an angel leader tend to respond less sensitively to the angel leader’s pledge.
The negative coefficient of the interaction term is statistically significant at the 10% level. This
empirical finding indicates that angel followers with no successful coinvestments experience
with an angel leader, when making pledging decisions, rely more on how much the angel leader
pledges to a campaign.
5.3 Angel Leader’s Signaling Motives
The empirical findings in section 5.2 are interpreted on the ground of angel leaders using their
pledges as a signal of campaign quality in the first place. When exploring the interactions
15 Note that investors may make multiple pledges to the same campaign over time, our dependent variable is
“updated” once a top-up investment is made by the angel leader.
23
between angel leaders and angel followers, we are particularly interested in the signaling
motives for angel leaders to determine how much to invest in the current campaign. This section
aims to provide evidence for such signaling motives. Specifically, we want to investigate
whether an angel leader’s investment decision for the current campaign is affected by her
record of fundraising outcomes for past campaigns she led.
Our hypothesis is based on a signaling story where an angel leader uses how much she pledges
to a campaign as a signal to her angel followers regarding the quality of this campaign. We
conjecture that the angel leader’s signaling motives are stronger if facing bad fundraising
outcomes of the past campaigns she led. That is, we expect, on average, angel leaders tend to
pledge more money for the current campaign if her past campaigns did not manage to hit the
funding target.
We use the nominal value of an angel leader’s pledge (Angel Leader Pledge) to measure angel
leader investment behavior. These capture how much angel leader’s level of capital
commitment when leading a new campaign. The main explanatory variable is Cumulative
Successful Led Investments serving as a proxy for the angel leader’s fundraising record. To
capture the quality of the most recent information sharing from angel leader to follower, we
additionally include an indicator variable Lag Coinvestment Successful that takes value of one
if the last campaign coinvested was successfully funded, and zero otherwise.
Table 6 shows that an angel leader tends to pledge more money to a campaign if she has a less
successful record of fundraising in the past campaigns she led. Put differently, when leading a
campaign, an angel leader with a more successful record of campaign fundraising tends to
pledge less. This is consistent with our conjecture that angel leaders use their pledge as a signal
of campaign quality to angel followers. We further include the fundraising outcome of the most
recent campaign an angel leader has led. Conditional on her past fundraising record, an angel
24
leader with a successful fundraising outcome of her most recent campaign tends to pledge 27%
less. This supplementary evidence suggests that an angel leader’s signaling motive is
particularly stronger upon the fundraising outcome of her most recent campaign.
5.4 Pledging to New Sectors
Angel investors tend to invest in the industries where they can make the best use of their
previous working experience, existing social networks or professional expertise; therefore, it
is not surprising to observe angel investors having their investment clustered within a couple
of industries. However, classic portfolio choice theory indicates that investors also consider
diversifying their investment across different instruments, asset classes, or even different
industries. That is, besides making best of their expertise, angel investors also tend to diversify
their portfolios of campaign investment.
Conditional on their investment histories, whether angel investors may want to stay within their
familiar industries (i.e. expertise considerations) or invest in a new industry they never have
before (i.e. diversification motives) depends on the relative strength of these two motives. In
particular, we argue that portfolio diversification motives are stronger for angel followers to
invest in a new industry if receiving high-quality private information about this new-industry
campaign. That is, portfolio diversification motives are more likely to dominate expertise
considerations when angel followers are invited to have personal conversations with the
entrepreneurs.
We generate an indicator variable Follower New Sector that takes value of one if the angel
follower invests in a campaign from a sector she has never invested in before at the equity
crowdfunding platform. Our main explanatory variable is an indicator Current In-In that equals
one if the current coinvestment is made within a campaign’s private launch, and zero otherwise.
Current In-In being equal to one stands for high-quality private information, because angel
25
followers who pledge during the private launch are almost surely to have the opportunities and
talk to entrepreneurs in personal conversations before the public launch.
Column (1) in Table 7 shows that it is 9% more likely for angel followers to pledge to a new
industry they have never invested in before when pledging during the private launch of a
campaign. The coefficient of the variable Cumulative No. of Successful Coinvestments in
Column (2) is negative and statistically significant, indicating the persistence of investing in
industries within their “comfort zone”. Put different, angel followers tend to avoid pledging to
a new industry they never have before when they have had a successful coinvestment
experience with the angel leader. These patterns qualitatively remain once we include both
Current In-In and Cumulative No. of Successful Coinvestments into the model.
5.5 Role-Switching Motives within Angel Pairs
An angel follower in one campaign can be the angel leader in another campaign, and this
subsection focuses on the patterns of angel investors taking turns to share their own private
knowledge of investment opportunities and lead the campaigns they believe to be good. Our
conjecture is based on a framework where angel investors have their professional and personal
networks, or their own “circles”, to share private information of investable campaigns. It’s not
the obligation of an angel leader to always provide her private knowledge of investment
opportunities for her angel peers. To maintain good relationships with other angels within their
networks, angel investors need to consider taking turns to share valuable information of
investable campaigns with their peers, at least from time to time.
In particular, when looking at angel leader-follower pairs, we want to explore the determinants
for an angel follower in a previous coinvestment relationship with the lead angel to choose the
angel-leader role in their next coinvested campaign. That is, an angel follower chooses to
provide such valuable information and act as the angel leader in the next campaign. This is a
26
role-switching pattern of angel follower turning into angel leader. We conjecture that an angel
investor’s role-switching motives are largely influenced by her previous coinvestment
experience as an angel follower and the information sharing activities within an angel pair. The
hypothesis is that, within an angel leader-follower pair, an angel follower in a previous
coinvested campaign as an information receiver during private launch is more likely to take the
angel-leader role in their next coinvested campaign.
To capture this role-switching pattern, we restructure our data so that all the coinvested
campaigns involving two angel investors are grouped into one pair without distinguishing the
lead-follower order. Next, we order all the coinvested campaign chronically so that the leader
and follower roles of the first observation is treated as the “starting values”. We then construct
an indicator variable Lead-Follow Switch that equals one if the leader-follower order is
switched in their next coinvested campaign. We used Lag In-In and Cumulative No. of
Successful Investments as our main explanatory variables. We further introduce their
interaction term to explore the channel through which this role-switching pattern works.
The empirical evidence in Column (1) of Table 8 suggests that, within an angel leader-follower
pair, an angel follower is more likely to take the role of lead angel in their next coinvestment
by 2.25 percentage points if she pledged during the private launch of their most recent
coinvested campaign. This effect remains after including Cumulative No. of Successful
Coinvestments into the model as shown in Column (3). The negative coefficient indicates that
being an angel follower in campaigns led by an angel leader generates coinvesting persistence
with this angel leader as an angel follower.
When further including the interaction term between Lag In-In and Cumulative No. of
Successful Coinvestments, we find that this role-switching pattern actually works through the
channel of previous successful coinvestment experience. The coefficient of the variable Lag
27
In-In turns statistically insignificant, suggesting that receiving private information in the
previous campaign does not affect an angel follower’s role-switching decision if this angel
follower has no successful coinvestment experience with the angel leader.
Column (4) shows that the probability differential of this role-switching pattern within an angel
pair actually depends on how many successful campaigns they have coinvested in the past. Lag
In-In has statistically insignificant effect on the probability of an angel follower’s role-
switching decision once including the interaction term in Column (4) of Table 8. That is, when
there is no previous successful coinvestment within an angel pair, the strength of such role-
switching motives is statistically insignificantly different from zero. However, if there is at
least one previous successful coinvested campaign, Lag In-In can statistically significantly
increase the probability of an angel follower’s role-switching decision for the next coinvested
campaign. Furthermore, the effect of increasing the role-switching probability grows as the
number of previous successful coinvested campaign increases. Put differently, pledging money
in the previous campaign’s private launch provides angel followers a stronger motive to switch
to the angel leader position for the next campaign as they have experienced larger numbers of
successful campaign with their angel leader.
6. Concluding Remarks
Online equity crowdfunding platforms, serving both retail investors and sophisticated angels,
have emerged as an increasingly important alternative to traditional private-equity markets.
Instead of considering the whole pool of online equity crowdfunding investors as homogeneous,
our paper identifies and focuses exclusively on angel investors out of the crowd, and provides
first-hand empirical evidence to document how angel leader-follower pairs coinvest and
exchange information. Overall, all empirical findings are consistent with a framework where
angel pairs form mutual trust, make pledging decisions, and maintain their positions within
28
angel investing communities through their previous coinvestment records and sharing private
information of investment opportunities.
Specifically, we find that angel followers tend to pledge sooner in a campaign if they have
better coinvestment experiences with the angel leader. This evidence indicates that angel
leader-follower pairs build mutual trust via previous coinvestment experiences. Besides, our
empirical evidence shows that pledges of angel followers with better coinvestment experiences
with an angel leader are less sensitive to that of the angel leader. This evidence is consistent
with our conjecture that mutual trust formed via previous coinvestment experiences helps angel
followers to better interpret the angel leader’s signal.
We also find that angel followers are more likely to pledge to industries they never have when
receiving private information regarding a campaign’s future prospect. Such private information
can be largely obtained via personal conversations with the campaign’s founders and co-
founders. Angel investors tend to invest in a couple of industries where they have professional
expertise and social network. However, portfolio diversification motives may encourage angel
followers to pledge to a new industry they have never invested in before. Our empirical
evidence indicates that angel followers face the trade-off between portfolio diversification and
their own professional expertise when making pledging decisions. The relative strength of these
two driving forces depends on whether angel followers’ private information about the
campaign under consideration.
Furthermore, we explore whether previous campaign outcomes could affect an angel leader’s
pledging decision in future campaigns she leads. We find that an angel leader tends to pledge
more money to the next campaigns she leads when facing less successful fundraising records.
This effect remains if we further include the fundraising outcome for her the most recent past
campaign. This evidence confirms the angel leader’s signaling motive regarding her next
29
campaign’s prospect. An angel leader with less successful fundraising records rationally
chooses to pledge more money in her next campaign, showing her confidence and sending a
stronger signal to her angel followers. Future research may dig deeper into the signaling games
between angel leaders and followers from a theoretical perspective.
Finally, we explore the role-switching patterns within angel leader-follower pairs. Our
conjecture is based on real-world situations where angel investors need to maintain good
relationships with their angel peers and take turns to provide valuable information about
investable campaigns. That is, angel investors have their own circles of communicating
information and take turns to share valuable information. Our empirical evidence supports this
idea. We find that, within an angel leader-follower pair, the follower is more likely to take the
role of angel leader in their next coinvested campaign if she pledged during the private launch
in their most recent coinvested campaign. In particular, further evidence confirms this role-
switching motive actually works through the channel of previous coinvestment outcomes. The
better an angel pair’s previous coinvestment records, the stronger this role-switching motive.
Overall, our paper provides first-hand empirical evidence for angel investors in the disruptively
emerging industry of online equity crowdfunding. We contribute to the literatures of angel
investors and online equity crowdfunding by exploring the interactions of angel leader-follower
pairs using our unique dataset from a leading UK equity crowdfunding platform. Nonetheless,
with digital resources rapidly developing and data collection capacity fast growing, we expect
future research to exploit big data of social media and conduct textual analyses (e.g. Chen et
al. (2014)) upon the messages digitally communicated within the online equity crowdfunding
communities.
30
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Table 1. Variable Definitions
Variable Name Definition
Lead-Follow Switch Dummy variable that takes value of one if angel follower takes the lead instead in the current co-
investment, zero otherwise
Cumulative No. of Successful Coinvestments Cumulative number of successful co-invested campaigns per pair of angel
Lag Coinvestment Successful Dummy variable that takes value of one if the previous co-invested campaign was successfully
funded, zero otherwise
Lag In-In Dummy variable that takes value of one if angel follower made investment in campaign's private
launch period in the previous co-investment
Current In-In Dummy variable that takes value of one if angel follower made investment in campaign's private
launch period in the current co-investment
Campaign Fundraising Target Campaign's pre-set fundraising target
Campaign Equity Offered Campaign's percentage of ownership (equity share) offered to crowdfunders
Angel Leader Network Size Cumulative number of angel followers that a lead angel has co-invested with
Angel Leader Pledge Amount of first investment that lead angel invests in a certain campaign
Angel Follower Pledge Amount of investment by angel follower
Cumulative No. of Angels per Campaign Cumulative number of angel investors making investments in a campaign
Cumulative % Raised per Campaign Cumulative percentage of fundraising target fulfilled of a campaign
No. of Active Campaigns per Day Number of other fundraising (active) campaigns on the same day
Cumulative Amount Invested per Angel Cumulative amount invested by lead angel across all pairs and campaigns
No. of Days until Campaign Expiration Number of days until campaign expiration date
Cumulative No. of Unique Sectors per Investor Cumulative number of unique industry sectors that an investor has financed via ECF
35
Investor Cumulative No. of Unique Sectors
Invested
Dummy variable that takes value of one if an angel follower makes investment in a new industry
sector, zero otherwise
Δ Lead-Follow Gap Time change (in days) angel follower's reaction time to lead angel from previous to current co-
investment
Valuation Natural Log of Inferred Campaign Valuation, equal to Campaign Fundraising Target/Campaign
Equity Offered
36
Table 2. Summary Statistics
Variable Obs Mean Std. Dev. Min Max
Lead-Follow Switch 4,441 0.026 0.160 0 1
Cumulative No. of Successful Coinvestments 4,441 0.600 0.822 0 4.025
Lag Coinvestment Successful 4,441 0.866 0.340 0 1
Lag In-In 4,441 0.132 0.339 0 1
Current In-In 4,441 0.280 0.449 0 1
Campaign Fundraising Target 4,441 15.149 1.252 11.513 19.449
Campaign Equity Offered 4,441 2.136 0.600 0.087 3.928
Angel Leader Network Size 4,441 2.804 1.034 1.099 5.375
Angel Leader Pledge 4,441 9.342 3.344 0 15.016
Angel Follower Pledge 4,441 6.686 2.239 0.713 14.902
Cumulative No. of Angels per Campaign 4,441 2.114 0.780 0 4.382
Cumulative % Raised per Campaign 4,441 1.307 2.630 0 41.376
No. of Active Campaigns per Day 4,441 23.764 6.287 4 44
Cumulative Amount Invested per Angel 4,441 10.501 2.731 0 16.256
No. of Days until Campaign Expiration 4,441 2.888 1.635 0 5.765
Investor Cumulative Number of Unique Sectors Invested 4,441 1.488 0.891 0 2.890
Angel Follower Investing in New Industry Sector 4,441 0.160 0.367 0 1
Δ Lead-Follow Gap 4,441 2.409 14.818 -148.0618 145.708
37
Table 3. Pairwise Correlation Structure
This table contains the pairwise correlation for regressors included in the following tables. Variable definitions are available in Table 1.
38
Table 4. Pledge Timing and Coinvestment Experience
The lead-follow gap is the difference between the two time points when an angel leader and an angel follower pledges to a campaign, respectively. The dependent
variable is the first-order difference of the lead-follow gap within an angel pair. The included regressors are defined in Table 1. Angel pair fixed effects are
included in all regressions.
Column 1 Column 2
VARIABLES Δ Lead-Follow Gap Δ Lead-Follow Gap
Cumulative Number of Successful Coinvestments -0.707***
(0.222)
Lag Coinvestment Success
-1.096* (0.595)
Current In-In -1.898*** -1.853*** (0.439) (0.441)
Campaign Fundraising Target -0.626** -0.501 (0.303) (0.307)
Campaign Equity Offered -0.417 -0.414 (0.392) (0.393)
Angel Leader Network Size 0.0212*** 0.0133** (0.00612) (0.00571)
Cumulative No. of Angels per Campaign 2.109*** 2.034*** (0.321) (0.321)
Cumulative Percent Raised per Campaign -0.0822 -0.0880 (0.120) (0.121)
Number of Active Campaign per Day -0.00701 -0.00543 (0.0212) (0.0212)
Cumulative Amount Invested per Angel -0.157 -0.320** (0.138) (0.130)
Number of Days until Campaign Expiration -0.365*** -0.276*** (0.0973) (0.0927)
Observations 1,857 1,857
Adj R2 0.125 0.120
39
Table 5. Pledge Sensitivity and Coinvestment Experience
The dependent variable measures how much an angel follower pledges to a campaign. The included regressors are defined in Table 1. Angel pair fixed effects
are included in all regressions.
Column 1 Column 2 Column 3
VARIABLES Angel Follower Pledge Angel Follower Pledge Angel Follower Pledge
Angel Leader Pledge 0.0611** 0.0595** 0.0693** (0.0284) (0.0285) (0.0290)
Cumulative No. of Successful Coinvestments
-0.00720 0.0103 (0.00804) (0.0133)
Angel Leader Pledge X Cumulative No. of Successful Coinvestment
-0.00327* (0.00198)
Campaign Fundraising Target 0.255*** 0.256*** 0.254*** (0.0683) (0.0683) (0.0683)
Campaign Equity Offered 0.185* 0.189** 0.183* (0.0945) (0.0946) (0.0947)
Angel Leader Network Size -0.00379** -0.00346** -0.00330** (0.00155) (0.00159) (0.00159)
Cumulative No. of Angels per Campaign -0.0801*** -0.0786*** -0.0807*** (0.0291) (0.0292) (0.0292)
Cumulative Percnt Raised per Campaign 0.0193*** 0.0193*** 0.0192*** (0.00628) (0.00628) (0.00628)
Number of Active Campaign per Day -0.00968 -0.00820 -0.00596 (0.0142) (0.0143) (0.0143)
Cumulative Amount Invested per Angel 0.0215 0.0161 0.0123 (0.0272) (0.0279) (0.0279)
Number of Days until Camapign Expiration 0.0776 0.0804 0.0906 (0.0619) (0.0620) (0.0622)
Observations 4,441 4,441 4,441
Adj R2 0.024 0.024 0.026
40
Table 6. Angel Leader Pledge as Signal of Campaign Quality
The dependent variable measures how much the angel leader of a campaign pledges. The included regressors are defined in Table 1. Angel pair fixed effects
are included in all regressions.
Column 1 Column 2
VARIABLES Angel Leader Pledge Angel Leader Pledge
Cumulative Successful Led Investments -0.691*** -0.683*** (0.0604) (0.0605)
Lag Coinvestment Successful
-0.270* (0.154)
Valuation 1.138*** 1.125*** (0.0549) (0.0554)
Campaign Equity Offered 1.091*** 1.071*** (0.100) (0.101)
Cumulative % Raised per Campaign 0.00105 0.00218 (0.0182) (0.0182)
No. of Active Campaigns per Day 0.0369*** 0.0370*** (0.00926) (0.00925)
No. of Days until Campaign Expiration -0.0912** -0.0850** (0.0361) (0.0363)
Cumulative No. of Angels per Campaign 0.680*** 0.691*** (0.107) (0.107)
Angel Leader Network Size -0.749*** -0.745*** (0.100) (0.100)
Observations 2,276 2,276
Adj R2 0.389 0.389
41
Table 7. Pledging to New Sectors and Information Quality
The dependent variable is an indicator that equals one if an angel follower pledges to a new sector she has never invested in before, and zero otherwise. The
included regressors are defined in Table 1. Angel pair fixed effects are included in all regressions.
Column 1 Column 2 Column 3
VARIABLES Follower New Sector Follower New Sector Follower New Sector
Current IN-IN 0.0912***
0.0326*
(0.0210)
(0.0190)
Cumulative No. of Successful Coinvestments
-0.413*** -0.409***
(0.0175) (0.0177)
Investor Cumulative No. of Unique Sectors Invested -0.0239*** -0.000633 -0.00174
(0.00405) (0.00370) (0.00375)
Campaign Fundraising Target 0.00277 0.0170 0.0166
(0.0148) (0.0132) (0.0132)
Campaign Equity Offered 0.0116 -0.00932 -0.00297
(0.0260) (0.0230) (0.0233)
Angel Leader Network Size 0.000191 0.00347*** 0.00344***
(0.000419) (0.000400) (0.000401)
Observations 2,988 2,988 2,988
Adj R2 0.352 0.480 0.481
42
Table 8. Role-Switching Motives within Angel Leader-Follower Pairs
The dependent variable is an indicator that equals one if, within an angel leader-follower pair, an angel follower in her last campaign switches to act as the angel
leader in the next campaign. The included regressors are defined in Table 1. Angel pair fixed effects are included in all regressions.
Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4
VARIABLES Lead-Follow Switch Lead-Follow Switch Lead-Follow Switch Lead-Follow Switch
Lag In-In 0.0225***
0.0265*** -0.00836 (0.00737)
(0.00746) (0.0129)
Cumulative No. of Successful Coinvestments
-0.00877*** -0.0106*** -0.0134*** (0.00314) (0.00318) (0.00329)
Lag In-In X Cumulative No. of Successful
Coinvestments
0.0355***
(0.0107)
Campaign Fundraising Target 0.00136 0.00102 5.11e-05 -5.93e-05 (0.00229) (0.00231) (0.00232) (0.00232)
Campaign Equity Offered 0.00279 0.00371 0.00425 0.00369 (0.00433) (0.00435) (0.00435) (0.00435)
Angel Leader Network Size 0.000218 0.000206 0.000279 0.000218 (0.000940) (0.000940) (0.000939) (0.000938)
Cumulative No. of Angels per Campaign 0.000200 0.000320 0.000285 0.000282 (0.000397) (0.000398) (0.000397) (0.000397)
Cumulative Percent Raised per Campaign 0.00343*** 0.00405*** 0.00398*** 0.00414*** (0.000883) (0.000898) (0.000897) (0.000898)
Number of Active Campaign per Day 0.000243 -0.000595 3.78e-05 -1.70e-05 (0.00154) (0.00153) (0.00154) (0.00154)
Cumulative Amount Invested per Angel -0.0276*** -0.0294*** -0.0277*** -0.0254*** (0.00391) (0.00388) (0.00390) (0.00396)
Number of Days until Camapign Expiration 0.0204*** 0.0243*** 0.0224*** 0.0207*** (0.00277) (0.00278) (0.00283) (0.00286)
Observations 4,441 4,441 4,441 4,441
Adj R2 0.0284 0.0281 0.0694 0.0332
43
Figure 1. Launched Campaigns, 2012Q3 – 2017Q3
Panel A presents the quarterly number of all campaigns launched in a leading UK online equity
crowdfunding platform for the period 2012Q3 – 2017Q3. Any launched campaign may or may not
reach its target funding, and campaigns not reaching their own target are classified as unsuccessful.
Investors get fully refunded from the unsuccessful campaigns which they have pledged to. Panel B
provides the quarterly aggregate of money raised from all successful.
Panel A. Quarterly Number of Launched Campaigns
Panel B. Quarterly Aggregate of Money Raised (Billions of GBP)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Successful Unsuccessful
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
44
Figure 2. Funding Target and Valuation, 2012Q3 – 2017Q3
This figure includes all campaigns launched in a leading UK online equity crowdfunding platform for
the period 2012Q3 – 2017Q3. Funding Target in Panel A and Valuation in Panel B are both in nominal
values (1000s GBP). Median and the 25th and 75th percentiles are provided in each graph. Any launched
campaign may or may not reach its target funding. Campaigns not reaching their own target are
classified as unsuccessful. Investors will get fully refunded from the unsuccessful campaigns which
they have pledged to. Percentage Equity Offered in Panel C is the ratio of Funding Target and Valuation
per campaign.
Panel A. Quarterly Summary Statistics of Funding Target (1000s GBP)
Panel B. Quarterly Summary Statistics of Valuation (1000s GBP)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
P25 Median P75
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
P25 Median P75
45
Panel C. Quarterly Summary Statistics of Percentage Equity Offered
0
5
10
15
20
25
P25 Median P75