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Andrew V. Newman, Grant. T. Farmer, Abhijit Ghosh, Andrew V. Newman, Grant. T. Farmer, Abhijit Ghosh, Amanda Thomas, Jaime ConversAmanda Thomas, Jaime Convers
Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USAGeorgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA
Seismic and Seismic and GeodeticGeodetic Characteristics Characteristics of the Middle America Trench: Focus of the Middle America Trench: Focus on Northern Costa Rica and on Northern Costa Rica and NicaraguaNicaragua
Susan SchwartzSusan SchwartzUniversity of California Santa Cruz, CA, USA.University of California Santa Cruz, CA, USA.
Heather DeShonHeather DeShonUniversity of Memphis, TN, USA.University of Memphis, TN, USA.
J. Marino Protti, Victor GonzalesJ. Marino Protti, Victor GonzalesUniversidad Nacional Costa Rica (OVSICORI)Universidad Nacional Costa Rica (OVSICORI)
Timothy H. Dixon, Kim PsencikTimothy H. Dixon, Kim PsencikUniversity of Miami, Miami, FL, USA.University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA.
Edmundo NorabuenaEdmundo NorabuenaInstituto Geofisico del Instituto Geofisico del
Peru, Lima, Peru.Peru, Lima, Peru.
09/23/200809/23/2008
• Nicoya CRSEIZE overview
• Identifying the updip limit of seismicity– Thermally effected– Transient shifts
• Microseismicity as an indicator of coupling
• Long-term Seismic Coupling Efficiency
• MAT Interface Model (Subduction Zone Geometry)
• Direction for MARGINS SEIZE …we must get to where the action is
12/99 –06/2001 - 20 land (18 mo) - 14 OBS (1st 6 mo) Mw=6.4 Outerrise EQ occurred just
after OBS recovered. Main-shock and aftershocks were
poorly located by our network
Nicoya-CRSEIZE
Analysts:
(UCSC) - self (postdoc) - Heather DeShon (Grad) - Matt Densmore (UG) - Martin Valle (Grad) - Megan Avants (UG) - Dev Gobalkrishnan (UG) - Christina Bernot (UG)
(OVSICORI) - Victor González - Marino Protti
(GT) - Abhijit Ghosh (Grad) - Amanda Thomas (UG) - Alice Koerner (UG) - Jaime Convers (Grad) - Grant Farmer (UG/Grad)
>10,000 regional events located
About 50% at GT in past 3 years
After initial location in 1D velocity model, events are relocated using 3D Vp, Vp/Vs from Deshon et al., 2006.
Along-strike seismicity and Geodetic Locking
After Norabuena et al., 2004
Along-strike seismicity
No vertical exaggeration
•North (left) seismicity is below 20 km
• South (right) updip seismicity begins about 10-14 depth.
Red earthquakes are only upper portion of the seismogenic zone (avoiding crustal events).
Newman et al., 2002
Cocos Plate origins from magnetic anomalies
EPR = East Pacific Rise CrustCNS-1 = Cocos-Nazca Spreading Center Crust before rotationCNS-2 = Cocos-Nazca Spreading Center Crust after rotation
Cocos plate origin
- East Pacific Rise (EPR) in NW Nicoya
- Cocos-Nazca spreading center (CNS) Origin in SE
Subducted crusts are similar age butperpendicular production Direction.
Cocos plate seismicity
CNS heat flow is appropriate for 20 Ma crust (~140 mW/m2),
EPR heat flow is very low (~10 mW/m2)
- Heat flow drops rapidly at transition from CNS to EPR
- Extreme gradient in NW EPR from ~10 up to 650 mW/m2
with heat flow
Getting updip seismicity in Southern Nicaragua
Nicoya and Nicaragua seismicity and networks
Overlapping seismicity in space and time
Nicaragua data: 1975-1982; 1993-recent
Nicoya-CRSEIZE data: Late-1999 - mid-2001
Representative velocity profilefrom CRSEIZE
After DeShon et al., GJI, 2006
Cross-network relocations
Relocations of earthquakes identified in both Nicoya and Nicaragua networks
Green: Nicoya locationsMagenta: Nicaragua locations
Red: Joint locations
Farmer et al., in prep
A Transient updip limit to seismicity?
Nicaraguan updip limit is very shallow
Updip limit: Fundamentally different?
or
Transient postseismic from 1992 shallow rupturing Tsunami Earthquake?
Farmer et al., in prep
Seismically Defined MAT interfaceSeismically Defined MAT interface
- Remove crustal events
- Define normal to a priori surface
- Select minimum cylinder containing n (35) events
- bin results normal to functional form
- Determine new 3D position from only maximum seismicity bin
Interface Modeling (maximum seismicity method):
By minimizing error associated with poor locations, it should well approximate interface <~40 km depth (intra-slab events deeper)
Interface Modeling (maximum seismicity method):
Using seismicity rates to infer Using seismicity rates to infer lockinglocking
S. Stein and M. Wysession, 2003
Earthquake frequency-magnitude Earthquake frequency-magnitude distributiondistribution
Log10 N = a – b M M = Magnitude N = # earthquakes > M a = activity
b = slope
b-value: • ratio of number of smaller to
larger earthquakes• global average ~1
– 10x more events with unit M decrease
• high b: more small events• low b: more larger events
b-value in Nicoya
Ghosh et al., 2008
Norabuena et al., 2004
Relation to geodetically derived Relation to geodetically derived lockinglocking
Ghosh et al., 2008
Relation to geodetically derived Relation to geodetically derived lockinglocking
Ghosh et al., 2008
Interface mapping of Interface mapping of bb-value-value
EPR CNS
EPR CNS
Moment Content with Magnitude
Coupling efficiencyCoupling efficiency
108 year of seismicity- Pacheco and Sykes, 1992- globalcmt.org
Convergence between 79 and 90 mm/yr
Assumed-100 km wide fault - 30 GPa rigidity
-------
Highly variable, but mostly less than 20%. … or is it??
Coupling efficiency Coupling efficiency
M 7+
M 5.5+
Seismicity from 1900-1976: Pacheco and Sykes, 1992
1976-present: global CMT
• Nicaragua and Costa Rica are seismically very active: – Coupling efficiency is hugely variable.
• Updip limit seems to be controlled by subducted slab– Possible temperature or topographic control– May be time-dependent: suggested by offset in Nicaragua
• b-value mapping vs. geodetic locking– Corresponds with GPS locking and ETS event location– Useful because it can maintain better resolution away from land (either at depth,
or offshore with OBS measurements)
• High b-values indicates large component of moment release from small earthquakes.
• Interface modeling: Subduction zone geometry– Still preliminary, but shows offset in EPR-CNS transition
Summary
Constraining shallow locking:
Constraining shallow locking:
Intensive Ocean-bottom seismic and geodetic deployments are necessary to characterize seismicity and strain accumulation.
Gagnon et al., 2005
Non-volcanic tremor Non-volcanic tremor and episodic slipand episodic slip
in Nicoyain Nicoya
Psencik, unpublished
Protti et al., 2004
Schwartz, unpublished
June 2007 event
Duration [s]
Global Seismic Hazards Assessment Program
Regional Seismic Hazards
www.seismo.ethz.ch/gshap
Costa Rican Subduction zoneCosta Rican Subduction zone
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Cocos
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Nicoya dataset