25
An Assimilating Tidal Model for the Bering Sea Mike Foreman, Josef Cherniawsky, Patrick Cummins Institute of Ocean Sciences, Sidney BC, Canada Outline: Background Tidal model & inverse Energy fluxes and dissipation Energy budget & mass conservation Summary

An Assimilating Tidal Model for the Bering Sea Mike Foreman, Josef Cherniawsky, Patrick Cummins Institute of Ocean Sciences, Sidney BC, Canada Outline:

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: An Assimilating Tidal Model for the Bering Sea Mike Foreman, Josef Cherniawsky, Patrick Cummins Institute of Ocean Sciences, Sidney BC, Canada Outline:

An Assimilating Tidal Model for the Bering Sea

Mike Foreman, Josef Cherniawsky, Patrick Cummins

Institute of Ocean Sciences, Sidney BC, Canada

Outline:

BackgroundTidal model & inverse

Energy fluxes and dissipationEnergy budget & mass conservation

Summary

Page 2: An Assimilating Tidal Model for the Bering Sea Mike Foreman, Josef Cherniawsky, Patrick Cummins Institute of Ocean Sciences, Sidney BC, Canada Outline:

Background

complex tidal elevations & flows in the Bering Sea Large elevation ranges in Bristol Bay Large currents in the Aleutian Passes both diurnal & semi-diurnal amphidromes Large energy dissipation (Egbert & Ray, 2000) Seasonal ice cover Internal tide generation from Aleutian channels (Cummins et al., 2001) Relatively large diurnal currents that will have 18.6 year modulations

Difficult to get everything right with conventional model Need to incorporate observations

data assimilation

Page 3: An Assimilating Tidal Model for the Bering Sea Mike Foreman, Josef Cherniawsky, Patrick Cummins Institute of Ocean Sciences, Sidney BC, Canada Outline:
Page 4: An Assimilating Tidal Model for the Bering Sea Mike Foreman, Josef Cherniawsky, Patrick Cummins Institute of Ocean Sciences, Sidney BC, Canada Outline:

Barotropic finite element method FUNDY5SP (Greenberg, Lynch) : linear basis functions, triangular elements e-it time dependency, = constituent frequency solutions (,u,v) have form Aeig

FUNDY5SP adjoint model development parallels Egbert & Erofeeva (2002) , Foreman et

al. (2004) representers: Bennett (1992, 2002)

The Numerical Techniques

Page 5: An Assimilating Tidal Model for the Bering Sea Mike Foreman, Josef Cherniawsky, Patrick Cummins Institute of Ocean Sciences, Sidney BC, Canada Outline:

Grid & Forcing

29,645 nodes, 56,468 triangles

variable resolution: 50km to less than 1.5km

Tidal elevation boundary conditions from TP crossover analysis

Tidal potential, earth tide, SAL

Page 6: An Assimilating Tidal Model for the Bering Sea Mike Foreman, Josef Cherniawsky, Patrick Cummins Institute of Ocean Sciences, Sidney BC, Canada Outline:

Tidal Observations from 300 cycle harmonic analysis at TP crossover

sites (Cherniawsky et al., 2001)

Page 7: An Assimilating Tidal Model for the Bering Sea Mike Foreman, Josef Cherniawsky, Patrick Cummins Institute of Ocean Sciences, Sidney BC, Canada Outline:

de-couple forward/adjoint equations by calculating representers

Representers = basis functions (error covariances or squares of Green’s functions) that span the “data space” as opposed to “state space” one representer associated with each observation

optimal solution is sum of prior model solution and linear combination of representers

Adjoint wave equation matrix is conjugate transpose of the forward wave equation matrix

covariance matrices assume 200km de-correlation scale

Assimilation Details

Page 8: An Assimilating Tidal Model for the Bering Sea Mike Foreman, Josef Cherniawsky, Patrick Cummins Institute of Ocean Sciences, Sidney BC, Canada Outline:

Elevation Amplitude & Major Semi-axis

of a sample M2 Representer

(amplitude normalized to 1 cm)

these fields are used to correct initial model calculation

Page 9: An Assimilating Tidal Model for the Bering Sea Mike Foreman, Josef Cherniawsky, Patrick Cummins Institute of Ocean Sciences, Sidney BC, Canada Outline:

Model Accuracy (cm): average D at 288 T/P crossover sites

1/ 22 20 0 0 0( cos cos ) ( sin sin )m m m mD A g A g A g A g

Page 10: An Assimilating Tidal Model for the Bering Sea Mike Foreman, Josef Cherniawsky, Patrick Cummins Institute of Ocean Sciences, Sidney BC, Canada Outline:

Corrected Elevation

Amplitudes

Page 11: An Assimilating Tidal Model for the Bering Sea Mike Foreman, Josef Cherniawsky, Patrick Cummins Institute of Ocean Sciences, Sidney BC, Canada Outline:

M2 vertically-integrated energy flux(each full shaft in multi-shafted vector represents 100KW/m)

Page 12: An Assimilating Tidal Model for the Bering Sea Mike Foreman, Josef Cherniawsky, Patrick Cummins Institute of Ocean Sciences, Sidney BC, Canada Outline:

K1 vertically-integrated energy flux(each full shaft in multi-shafted vector represents 100KW/m)

Page 13: An Assimilating Tidal Model for the Bering Sea Mike Foreman, Josef Cherniawsky, Patrick Cummins Institute of Ocean Sciences, Sidney BC, Canada Outline:

Energy Flux Through the Aleutian Passes

Page 14: An Assimilating Tidal Model for the Bering Sea Mike Foreman, Josef Cherniawsky, Patrick Cummins Institute of Ocean Sciences, Sidney BC, Canada Outline:

Energy Flux Through the Aleutian Passes & Bering Strait

(Vertically integrated tidal power (GW) normal to transects)

Page 15: An Assimilating Tidal Model for the Bering Sea Mike Foreman, Josef Cherniawsky, Patrick Cummins Institute of Ocean Sciences, Sidney BC, Canada Outline:

M2 Dissipation from Bottom Friction (W/m2)

Mostly in Aleutian Passes & shallow regions like Bristol Bay Bering Sea accounts for about 1% of global total of 2500GW

Page 16: An Assimilating Tidal Model for the Bering Sea Mike Foreman, Josef Cherniawsky, Patrick Cummins Institute of Ocean Sciences, Sidney BC, Canada Outline:

K1 Dissipation from Bottom Friction (W/m2)

K1 dissipation accounts for about 7% of global total of 343GW Mostly in Aleutian Passes, along shelf break, & in shallow regions

• Strong dissipation off Cape Navarin as shelf waves must turn corner • enhances mixing and nutrient supply • significant 18.6 year variations

Page 17: An Assimilating Tidal Model for the Bering Sea Mike Foreman, Josef Cherniawsky, Patrick Cummins Institute of Ocean Sciences, Sidney BC, Canada Outline:

Ratio of average tidal bottom friction dissipation: April 2006 vs April 1997.

Page 18: An Assimilating Tidal Model for the Bering Sea Mike Foreman, Josef Cherniawsky, Patrick Cummins Institute of Ocean Sciences, Sidney BC, Canada Outline:

Energy Budget & Mass Conservation

Energy budget can be derived by taking dot product of

with discrete version of 3D momentum equation(neglecting tidal potential, earth tide, SAL)

where are bottom & vertically-integrated velocity, k is bottom friction, H is depth, ρ is density, g is gravity, f is Coriolis, η is surface elevation.

Hu

/ ( / ) 0bu t f u g k H u

,bu u

Page 19: An Assimilating Tidal Model for the Bering Sea Mike Foreman, Josef Cherniawsky, Patrick Cummins Institute of Ocean Sciences, Sidney BC, Canada Outline:

Energy Budget & Mass Conservation

Re-expressing gradient term

gives

Customary to use continuity to replace 1st term on rhs

( )g H u g Hu Hu

0.5 / bH u u t g Hu g Hu ku u

Page 20: An Assimilating Tidal Model for the Bering Sea Mike Foreman, Josef Cherniawsky, Patrick Cummins Institute of Ocean Sciences, Sidney BC, Canada Outline:

Energy Budget & Mass Conservation But finite element methods like QUODDY, FUNDY5,

TIDE3D, ADCIRC don’t conserve mass locally. need to include a residual term

Making this substitution & taking time averageseliminates the time derivatives

Finally, taking spatial integrals & using Gauss’s Theorem

where is unit vector normal to boundary

/ ( ) ct Hu r

Hu x y Hu n s

n

Page 21: An Assimilating Tidal Model for the Bering Sea Mike Foreman, Josef Cherniawsky, Patrick Cummins Institute of Ocean Sciences, Sidney BC, Canada Outline:

Energy Budget & Mass Conservation

We get the energy budget

which has an additional term due to a lack of local mass conservation

c bg H u n s g r ku u x y

Page 22: An Assimilating Tidal Model for the Bering Sea Mike Foreman, Josef Cherniawsky, Patrick Cummins Institute of Ocean Sciences, Sidney BC, Canada Outline:

Energy Budget & Mass Conservation

Spurious rc term can be significant

Page 23: An Assimilating Tidal Model for the Bering Sea Mike Foreman, Josef Cherniawsky, Patrick Cummins Institute of Ocean Sciences, Sidney BC, Canada Outline:

Energy Budget & Mass Conservation

With original FUNDY5SP solution for M2, energy associated with rc is 23% of bottom friction dissipation

assimilation of TOPEX/Poseidon harmonics can reduce this contribution to 9%

But it can never be eliminated unless mass is conserved locally

Page 24: An Assimilating Tidal Model for the Bering Sea Mike Foreman, Josef Cherniawsky, Patrick Cummins Institute of Ocean Sciences, Sidney BC, Canada Outline:

Summary

• many interesting physical & numerical problems associated with tides in the Bering Sea

• Adjoint has been developed for FUNDY5SP & applied to Bering Sea tides

• representer approach is instructive way to solve the inverse problem

Page 25: An Assimilating Tidal Model for the Bering Sea Mike Foreman, Josef Cherniawsky, Patrick Cummins Institute of Ocean Sciences, Sidney BC, Canada Outline:

Summary (cont’d):

• If mass is not conserved locally, there will be a spurious term in the energy budget

It will disrupt what should be a balance between incoming flux & dissipation

The imbalance can be significant

• Yet another reason that irregular-grid methods should conserve mass locally

• More details in Foreman et al., Journal of Marine Research, Nov 2006