American Attitudes toward the Middle East July 11 Poll Release 4.pdfworld have similar needs & wants, so it is possible to find common ground Islamic and Western religious and social

American Attitudes toward the Middle East

A PUBLIC OPINION POLL BY SHIBLEY TELHAMI

.

A survey sponsored by the

Sadat Chair

for Peace and Development

at the University of Maryland

fielded by

Nielsen Scarborough

Valuable assistance was provided by The Program for Public Consultation, especially its director Steven Kull, Evan

Lewis, and Clay Ramsay. Neil Schwartz,

Scott Willoth, and Jordan Evangelista from Nielsen Scarborough also provided assistance. Brittany Kyser and Rachel

Slattery were particularly helpful.

Survey Methodology (May 2016)

The survey was conducted May 20-31, 2016 with a panel consisting of a probability-based representative sample. The panel was recruited by Nielsen

Scarborough from its larger probability-based national panel, which was recruited by mail and telephone using a random sample of households provided

by Survey Sampling International. A total of 1580 panelists completed the survey including a national sample of 855 adults, plus an oversample of 735 millennials

(18-34), making for a total sample of millennials of 863. Responses were weighted by age, gender, income, education, race, and geographic region using

benchmarks from the US Census. The survey was also weighted by partisan identification and millennials were down-weighted consistent with these groups’ incidence rate in the U.S. Census. The margins of error for the national sample

and for each subgroup is: National – 855 respondents, MoE: 3.4% Millennials –863, MoE: 3.3%

Survey Methodology (June 2016)

The survey was conducted June 24-30, 2016 with a panel consisting of a probability-based representative sample. The panel was recruited by Nielsen

Scarborough from its larger probability-based national panel, which was recruited by mail and telephone using a random sample of households provided

by Survey Sampling International. A national sample of 1312 panelists completed the survey. Responses were weighted by age, gender, income, education, race, and geographic region using benchmarks from the US Census. The survey was

also weighted by partisan identification. The margin of error is 2.7%

American Attitudes toward Islam and

Muslims

What is your attitude about each of the following?

The Muslim People

53

46

58

41

62

38

Favorable

Unfavorable

Nov. 2015 May 2016 (Pre-Orlando) June 2016 (Post-Orlando)


The Muslim People

41

58

67

31

43

53

43

55

72

27

53

47

42

57

79

20

60

39

Favorable

Unfavorable

Favorable

Unfavorable

Favorable

Unfavorable

RE

PD

EM

IND



The Muslim People

74

26

36

63

82

17

34

66

Favorable

Unfavorable

Favorable

Unfavorable

Cli

nto

n S

up

po

rte

rs

Tr

um

p S

up

po

rte

rs

May 2016 (Pre-Orlando) June 2016 (Post-Orlando)


The Muslim People


The Muslim Religion

37

61

42

57

44

55

Favorable

Unfavorable



The Muslim Religion

26

73

51

47

28

68

24

75

59

38

34

66

24

76

64

35

38

61

Favorable

Unfavorable

Favorable

Unfavorable

Favorable

Unfavorable

RE

PD

EM

IND



The Muslim Religion

59

37

19

81

66

33

16

84

Favorable

Unfavorable

Favorable

Unfavorable

Cli

nto

n S

up

po

rte

rs

Tr

um

p S

up

po

rte

rs



The Muslim Religion

Which position is closer to yours?

39

57

37

61

34

64

Islamic and Western religious andsocial traditions are incompatible

with each other

Most people in the West & the Islamicworld have similar needs & wants, soit is possible to find common ground



56

41

26

71

32

62

55

44

21

77

40

56

55

42

17

82

27

71

Islamic and Western religious andsocial traditions are incompatible with

each other

Most people in the West & the Islamicworld have similar needs & wants, so it

is possible to find common ground


each other




each other



RE

PD

EM

IND



21

78

62

37

13

85

64

33


each other




each other



Cli

nto

n S

up

po

rte

rs

Tr

um

p S

up

po

rte

rs



American Responses to the Orlando Shooting

June 2016

Based on what you have heard, is it your impression

that the Orlando shooter, Omar Mateen, was:

66

10

19

4

An American citizen born in theUnited States

An American citizen whoimmigrated to the United States

A foreigner who has been living inthe United States for some years

A foreigner who came to the UnitedStates recently

Based on what you have heard, is it your impression that the Orlando shooter, Omar Mateen, was:

June 2016

65

11

17

5

68

10

19

2

64

8

25

1

An American citizen born in theUnited States

An American citizen whoimmigrated to the United States

A foreigner who has been living inthe United States for some years

A foreigner who came to the UnitedStates recently

Based on what you have heard, is it your impression that the Orlando shooter, Omar Mateen, was:

June 2016

Republicans Democrats Independents

June 2016

Based on what you have heard, please rank your impression of each of the

following factors that may have contributed to the Orlando shooter’s behavior. Use a scale of 0-10, where 0

is not important and 10 is most important.

4.4

6.66.93

7.277.52

Feelingrejected as a

Muslim inAmerica

Self-hate ofhis own

sexuality

Mental illness MilitantIslamistideology

Hate for LGBTCommunity

[On a 0-10 scale, where 0 is not important and 10 is most important]Based on what you have heard, please rank your impression of each of

the following factors that may have contributed to the Orlando shooter’s behavior (mean):

June 2016

June 2016

Now, in your opinion, which one of these is the most

important factor that may have contributed to the

Orlando shooter’s behavior?

16

19

2

33

21

Hate for LGBT Community

Self-hate

Feeling rejected as a Muslim inAmerica

Militant Islamist ideology

Mental illness

Now, in your opinion, which one of these is the most important factor that may have contributed to the Orlando shooter’s

behavior?

June 2016

June 2016

Based on your impression, was the Orlando shooter

acting:

8

57

34

Under the direction of ISIS

Independently, but inspired byISIS ideology

Independently, for reasonsunrelated to ISIS, but claiming

links to ISIS for boasting

Based on your impression, was the Orlando shooter acting:

June 2016

13

71

16

4

45

51

7

57

35

Under the direction of ISIS

Independently, but inspired by ISISideology

Independently, for reasonsunrelated to ISIS, but claiming

links to ISIS for boasting

Based on your impression, was the Orlando shooter acting:

June 2016


June 2016

How much do you approve or disapprove of the

following leaders’ reactions to the Orlando shooting?

52

50

42

47

49

57

President Obama

Hillary Clinton

Donald Trump

Approve DisapproveJune 2016

How much do you approve or disapprove of the following leaders’ reactions to the

Orlando shooting?

June 2016

How would you rate the effectiveness of the following

actions in reducing the chance of an Orlando-like shooting? Please rate on a scale of 0-10 where 0 is

not effective and 10 is most effective.

5.46

5.75

7.24

7.32

7.84

Closely monitoring Mosques andMuslim American groups

Banning the sale of assault rifles,that is a rifle that fires rapid bursts

of bullets

Fighting ISIS and similar groupsabroad more effectively

Better security at public venues

Banning the sale of any weapons topeople on terrorist and criminal

watch lists

[On a 0-10 scale, where 0 is not effective and 10 is most effective]How would you rate the effectiveness of the following actions in

reducing the chance of an Orlando-like shooting (mean)?

June 2016

June 2016

Now, of these actions, which would be the most likely to

reduce the chance of an Orlando-like shooting?

25

23

17

12

12

10

Banning the sale of any weaponsto people on terrorist and criminal

watch lists

Banning the sale of assault rifles,that is a rifle that fires rapid

bursts of bullets

Better security at public venues

Other

Fighting ISIS and similar groupsabroad more

Closely monitoring Mosques andMuslim American groups

Now, of these actions, which would be the most likely to reduce the chance of an Orlando-like shooting?

June 2016

Foreign Policy

May 2016

On a scale of 1-10, where ten is very important and one is not important, how important are

the following issues in American global priorities:

On a scale of 1-10, where ten is very important and one is not important, how important are the following issues in American

global priorities (mean)?

5.04

5.2

5.91

6.17

6.72

6.87

6.91

6.92

7.41

7.77

8

8.36

The Civil War in Yemen

The Civil War in Libya

Relations with Egypt and Saudi Arabia

The Israeli-Palestinian Conflict

The Assertiveness of Russia

North Korea

Iran

The Rise of China

Trade Deficit

The War on al-Qaeda

U.S. Immigration Policy

The War on ISIS

May 2016

May 2016

Which of the following issues should be America’s

top global priorities? (Please select two)

9

5

10

7

25

7

61

11

1

1

41

2

19

The rise of China

The assertiveness of Russia

North Korea

Iran

Trade Deficit

The Israeli-Palestinian Conflict

The War on ISIS

The War on al-Qaeda

The Civil War in Libya

The Civil War in Yemen

U.S. Immigration Policy

Relations with Egypt and Saudi Arabia

Other Issue

Which of the following issues should be America’s top global priorities?

(Please select two)

May 2016

May 2016

[Open-Ended Question]Please name a national or world leader you admire

most:

14

6

4

40

5

3

9

6

6

Benjamin Netanyahu

Ronald Reagan

Barack Obama

Barack Obama

Pope Francis

Justin Trudeau

Barack Obama

Angela Merkel

Vladimir Putin

RE

PD

EM

IND

[Open-Ended Question]Please name a national or world leader you

admire most:

May 2016

June 2016

In your opinion, which one of the following two factors do

you think has been most important in the emergence

and growth of ISIS?

55

41

Going to war with Iraq in2003

Withdrawing most U.S.troops from Iraq

Which one of the two factors do you believe is most important?

June 2016

34

61

74

22

53

44

Going to war with Iraq in2003

Withdrawing most U.S.troops from Iraq

Which one of the two factors do you believe is most important?

June 2016


American Attitudes on the Arab-Israeli

Conflict

May 2016

As you may know, the United States has been acting as a mediator between the Israeli government and the

Palestinian Authority, with the aim of reaching an agreement in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Whether or not these efforts succeed, there is a question about what kind of future for Israel and the Palestinians the

U.S. should be supporting over the long term, and many analysts feel that time is running out for some options. Here are four possible approaches that are frequently discussed. Please select the one you think

the U.S. should support.

35

31

10

17

34

33

13

16

A two-state solution

A one-state solution

Annexation without equalcitizenship

Maintain the occupation

Nov. 2015 May 2016

Please select the one you think the U.S. should support.

27

28

16

23

41

37

9

8

30

34

11

18






May 2016


36

40

9

12

34

32

15

15

32

28

13

19






May 2016

18-34 35-54 55+

25

24

18

25

39

43

5

8

40

37

12

8






May 2016

Favor Trump Favor Clinton Favor Sanders

May 2016

Which of the following statements is closer to your view if a two-state

solution is not an option?

22

72

26

69

I favor the Jewishness of Israelmore than its democracy

I favor Israel's democracy morethan its Jewishness

Nov. 2015 May 2016

Which of the following statements is closer to your view if a two-state

solution is not an option?

39

57

16

81

24

67



Which of the following statements is closer to your view if a two-state solution is not an option?

May 2016


19

78

29

68

31

63




May 2016

18-34 35-54 55+

42

52

14

83

14

84




May 2016


May 2016

In general, what role do you want the United States to

play in mediating the Israeli-Palestinian conflict?

Should the United States:

29

3

66

32

4

63

Lean toward Israel

Lean toward the Palestinians

Lean toward neither side

Nov. 2015 May 2016

In general, what role do you want the United States to play in mediating the Israeli-

Palestinian conflict? Should the United States:

52

2

46

15

6

78

30

3

65

Lean toward Israel



In general, what role do you want the United States to play in mediating the Israeli-Palestinian conflict?


May 2016


25

7

68

31

4

64

40

2

57

Lean toward Israel





May 2016

18-34 35-54 55+

55

1

43

14

5

80

15

6

78

Lean toward Israel





May 2016


May 2016

As you may know, there have been suggestions that the UN Security

Council should endorse the establishment of a Palestinian state.

This idea has received some support in Europe, but opposition in Israel. If the UN Security Council considers such a

plan, what do you think the U.S. should do as a member of the UN Security

Council?

27

26

43

27

35

35

Vote in favor of endorsing theestablishment of a Palestinian

state

Vote against endorsing theestablishment of a Palestinian

state

Abstain from voting

Nov. 2015 May 2016

What do you think the U.S. should do as a member of the UN Security Council?

15

53

29

39

19

37

20

29

48


state


state

Abstain from voting


May 2016


29

27

41

24

38

33

28

37

31


state


state

Abstain from voting


May 2016

18-34 35-54 55+

11

56

31

44

18

35

35

20

39


state


state

Abstain from voting


May 2016


May 2016

One of the issues of tension between the United States and Israel has been its construction of Israeli

settlements in the territories occupied by Israel in the 1967 war. These settlements are considered illegal by most of the international community and have been

opposed by every U.S. administration, both Republican and Democratic. The Israeli government has continued to build settlements arguing that they

have the right to do so, or that these are not obstacles to peace. How do you believe the U.S. should react to

new settlements?

How do you believe the U.S. should react to new settlements?

58

37

59

39

Do nothing/Limit U.S. oppositionto words

Impose some economicsanctions/Take more serious

action

Nov. 2015 May 2016

73

26

47

51

56

40

Do nothing/Limit U.S.opposition to words


action


May 2016


52

46

59

39

64

34



action


May 2016

18-34 35-54 55+

74

24

44

54

48

50



action


May 2016


May 2016

How much influence do you believe the Israeli

government has on American politics and

policies?

18

37

44

16

41

42

Too little influence

Too much influence

About the right level ofinfluence

Nov. 2015 May 2016

How much influence do you believe the Israeli government has on American politics and policies?

23

27

48

8

53

38

21

46

34


Too much influence



May 2016


13

43

43

11

48

40

23

32

43


Too much influence



May 2016

18-34 35-54 55+

24

27

47

6

48

44

12

57

29


Too much influence

About the right level of influence


May 2016


Documents

American Attitudes toward the Middle East July 11 Poll Release 4.pdfworld have similar needs & wants, so it is possible to find common ground Islamic and Western religious and social