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albasmelter.com Aluminium for the world Q2 2011 IR PRESENTATION

Aluminium for the world - Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) Presenta… · Q2 2011 Results MARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT 100 150 200 137 169 2Q10 2Q11 Continuous Shift to Optimum

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Page 1: Aluminium for the world - Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) Presenta… · Q2 2011 Results MARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT 100 150 200 137 169 2Q10 2Q11 Continuous Shift to Optimum

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Aluminiumfor the world

Q2 2011 IR PRESENTATION

Page 2: Aluminium for the world - Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) Presenta… · Q2 2011 Results MARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT 100 150 200 137 169 2Q10 2Q11 Continuous Shift to Optimum

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This document has been prepared and issued by and is the sole responsibility of Aluminium Bahrain B.S.C. (the “Company”). The document is being supplied to you solely for your information and for use at the Company’s presentation. No information made available to you in connection with the presentation may be passed on, copied, reproduced, in whole or in part, or otherwise disseminated, directly or indirectly, to any other person. This document and its contents are directed only to the intended audience. It is being made on a confidential basis and is furnished to you solely for your information. By accepting this material the recipient confirms that he or she is a relevant person. This document must not be acted on or relied on by persons who are not relevant persons. Any investment activity to which this document relates is available only to relevant persons and will be engaged in only with relevant persons. If you are not a relevant person you should not attend the presentation and should immediately return any materials relating to it currently in your possession. Forward-looking statements speak only as at the date of this presentation and Aluminium Bahrain B.S.C. expressly disclaims any obligations or undertaking to release any update of, or revisions to, any forward-looking statements in this presentation. No statement in this presentation is intended to be a profit forecast. As a result, you are cautioned not to place any undue reliance on such forward-looking statements. You should not base any behaviour in relation to financial instruments related to the Company’s securities or any other securities and investments on such information until after it is made publicly available by the Company or any of their respective advisers. Some of the information is still in draft form and has not been legally verified. The Company, its advisers and each of their respective members, directors, officers and employees are under no obligation to update or keep current information contained in this presentation, to correct any inaccuracies which may become apparent, or to publicly announce the result of any revision to the statements made herein except where they would be required to do so under applicable law, and any opinions expressed in them are subject to change without notice. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is given by the Company, its undertakings or affiliates or directors, officers or any other person as to the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation and no liability whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents otherwise arising in connection therewith is accepted by any such person in relation to such information.

Disclaimer

2

Page 3: Aluminium for the world - Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) Presenta… · Q2 2011 Results MARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT 100 150 200 137 169 2Q10 2Q11 Continuous Shift to Optimum

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Aluminiumfor the world

Contents1- Industry Highlights

2- Alba Highlights

3- Q2 2011 Results

4- Industry Perspectives in 2011

5- 2011 Alba Priorities

3

Page 4: Aluminium for the world - Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) Presenta… · Q2 2011 Results MARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT 100 150 200 137 169 2Q10 2Q11 Continuous Shift to Optimum

INDUSTRY HIGHLIGHTS

Page 5: Aluminium for the world - Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) Presenta… · Q2 2011 Results MARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT 100 150 200 137 169 2Q10 2Q11 Continuous Shift to Optimum

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INDUSTRY HIGHLIGHTSQ2 2011

Aluminium demand still very healthy

YTD world consumption grew by 10% vs. 2010

Aluminium benefiting from being one of the less sector-dependent base metals

Europe - Industrial Production +4.6% YTD vs. 2010

Asia - solid demand despite Japan earthquake impact

MENA - demand is still driven by major investments in infrastructure; new downstream facilities will further develop local consumption

Political (MENA) and economical (Europe) uncertainties - cautious inventory management despite good order-book

5

Page 6: Aluminium for the world - Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) Presenta… · Q2 2011 Results MARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT 100 150 200 137 169 2Q10 2Q11 Continuous Shift to Optimum

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INDUSTRY HIGHLIGHTSQ2 2011

Production Evolution

China output at record level (9.1 million metric tonnes (mt), +4.1% YoY) but the threat of power shortage still very realWorld market balanced at the end of Q2 (-161 Kt with China & +201 Kt without)

LME & Premiums

Inventories stable at 4.5 million mt in June 2011 vs. 4.6 mt in March and 4.4 Mt in June 2010LME trading-range bound reflecting dollar fluctuation in a period of high uncertainties around sovereign debts in Europe. Cash-average was $2,603/t in Q2 with LME ranging between $2,465 in June 24 and $2,772 on April 28Ingot premiums remain strong with an increasing trend in Europe ($212/t for DDP Rotterdam vs. $198/t in Q1) and stable at fairly high level in Major Japanese Ports ($117/t)

6

Page 7: Aluminium for the world - Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) Presenta… · Q2 2011 Results MARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT 100 150 200 137 169 2Q10 2Q11 Continuous Shift to Optimum

ALBA HIGHLIGHTS

Page 8: Aluminium for the world - Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) Presenta… · Q2 2011 Results MARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT 100 150 200 137 169 2Q10 2Q11 Continuous Shift to Optimum

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Alba HighlightsQ2 & H1 2011 - Operational Achievements

Human Resources ManagementOne-time social cost of $22 million recorded in Q2 impacting EBITDA by 3.4%

STAR Operational Improvement Program Additional recurrent savings of $44 million recorded in H1 ahead of target by $9 millionAlba was able to increase production by 3.5% and sales by 4.3% in the first half of 2011 H1 Sales of Value-Added products reached 67% of total shipments versus 62% for the same period in 2010European sales office in Zurich up and running

Raw Materials100% of 2011 Raw Material needs have been secured through multi sourcing

Future Growth Ongoing feasibility studies to determine optimum energy & technology solutions for Line 4, 5 Creep and Line 6 expansion projects

8

Page 9: Aluminium for the world - Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) Presenta… · Q2 2011 Results MARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT 100 150 200 137 169 2Q10 2Q11 Continuous Shift to Optimum

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9

Alba HighlightsQ2 & H1 2011 - Financial Key Performance Indicators

Adjusted EBITDA up by LME & continuous improvementQ2: US$175 million up by 20% YoY H1: US$350 million up by 23% YoY

Net Income impacted by unrealized derivative gains in Q2 partially offset by strong overall performance

Q2: US$185 million down by 22% YoYH1: US$273 million down by 11% YoY

Healthy Cash Flow thanks to strong EBITDA and efficient Working Capital Management

Q2: US$213 million - stable YoYH1: US$300 million up by 16% YoY

Interim DividendThe board proposed to distribute interim Cash Dividend of 27 Fils per share which is $102 million

Page 10: Aluminium for the world - Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) Presenta… · Q2 2011 Results MARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT 100 150 200 137 169 2Q10 2Q11 Continuous Shift to Optimum

Q2 2011 RESULTS

Page 11: Aluminium for the world - Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) Presenta… · Q2 2011 Results MARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT 100 150 200 137 169 2Q10 2Q11 Continuous Shift to Optimum

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Aluminiumfor the world

Q2 2011 ResultsMARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT

Sales Analysis 2Q11 vs. 2Q10 (000’s MT)Solid increase in LME and higher overall Sales Volume

2Q11 vs. 2Q10 - Metal Sales Bridge (US$M)

250

450

650

519

636

Sales 2Q10 LME Product Mix Pricing Power Volume Sales 2Q11

11

4*52106

* Higher throughput & sales resulted in a $11 million direct benefit to the bottom line

Page 12: Aluminium for the world - Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) Presenta… · Q2 2011 Results MARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT 100 150 200 137 169 2Q10 2Q11 Continuous Shift to Optimum

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Aluminiumfor the world

Q2 2011 ResultsMARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT

100

150

200

137

169

2Q10 2Q11

Continuous Shift to Optimum Product Mix Maximize Value Added Sales and Leverage Pricing Power

200

230

260

227 228

Sales 2Q10 Value Added Liquid Metal Commodity Sales 2Q11

12

171

14

Premium Above LME Trend USD (Per MT)2Q11 vs. 2Q10 - Sales by Product line Bridge (000’s MT)

Page 13: Aluminium for the world - Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) Presenta… · Q2 2011 Results MARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT 100 150 200 137 169 2Q10 2Q11 Continuous Shift to Optimum

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Aluminiumfor the world

Q2 2011 Results MARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT

Cost Analysis 2Q11 vs. 2Q10: One-Time Social Costs

2Q11 vs. 2Q10 - Direct Costs Bridge (US$M)

300

375

450

348

414

Direct Cost 2Q10 RM Price RM Consumption Energy Price Energy Consumption Inventory Ch. Cost Savings One-Time Costs Direct Cost 2Q11

13

55

4 3 0

50

130

22

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Aluminiumfor the world

14

Q2 2011 ResultsMARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT

0

25

50

75

17.5

35.07.5

9.0

52.570.0

Q1 YTD Q3 Target Year End Target

Target Above Target Year-End Target

STAR Saving - YTD vs. Target 2011:

YTD vs. Target 2011 - STAR Cumulative Savings (US$M)

$19 million - additional savings generated in Q2 (product mix & pricing power of $7.5 million, sales volume of $1 million, additional metal produced in working progress of $10 million)

Page 15: Aluminium for the world - Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) Presenta… · Q2 2011 Results MARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT 100 150 200 137 169 2Q10 2Q11 Continuous Shift to Optimum

100

150

200

250

300

147175

EBITDA 2Q10 Metal Sales Other Sales Direct Cost Derivatives Selling Expenses EBITDA 2Q11

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Aluminiumfor the world

Q2 2011 ResultsMARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT

Adjusted EBITDA Bridge Gap Analysis 2Q11 vs. 2Q10:Adjusted EBITDA Margin at a 27% rate

2Q11 vs. 2Q10 - EBITDA Bridge (US$M Adjusted)

15

118

866

7 8

Adjusted EBITDA includes the impact of actual realised Derivatives

EBITDA 27.5%

EBITDA 27.2%

(Adjusted)

Page 16: Aluminium for the world - Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) Presenta… · Q2 2011 Results MARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT 100 150 200 137 169 2Q10 2Q11 Continuous Shift to Optimum

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Q2 2011 ResultsMARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT

Cash Flow Bridge 2Q11 vs. 2Q10:Achieving a consistent Cash Flow trend

Free Cash Flow (USD M)

100

175

250

213 213

2Q10 2Q11

Opera.ng  and  Inves.ng  Cash  Flow  Trend

2Q10 to 2Q11 Cash Flow Bridge (USD M)

150

325

500

247 210WC

ChangesCF from

Operations Balance

1Q11

16

182

34 3

166

85

CAPEXSpent

Payment toShareholders

Net DebtService

Cash2Q11

Page 17: Aluminium for the world - Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) Presenta… · Q2 2011 Results MARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT 100 150 200 137 169 2Q10 2Q11 Continuous Shift to Optimum

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Q2 2011 ResultsWorking Capital Trend as Percentage of Sales:Efficient Working Capital Management

Working Capital As percentage of Sales

18%

22%

25%

22%

20%

End Q2 2010 End Q2 2011

Percentage

17

Page 18: Aluminium for the world - Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) Presenta… · Q2 2011 Results MARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT 100 150 200 137 169 2Q10 2Q11 Continuous Shift to Optimum

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Aluminiumfor the world

Q2 2011 ResultsMARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT

Financial Summary Q2 2011 Q2 2010 H1 2011 H1 2010

Sales 645 534 1,222 991

Adjusted EBITDA 175 147 350 285

Adjusted EBITDA % 27.2% 27.5% 28.6% 28.7%

Net Income 185 237 273 307

Net Income % 28.7% 44.3% 22.3% 30.9%

Published LME Cash AVG (USD/MT) 2,603 2,096 2,552 2,130

18

Net Income represents comprehensive accounting profit including all derivatives (realized and unrealized)

2Q11 vs. 2Q10; 1H11 vs. 1H10Sound Performance with an upward trend in Sales

Page 19: Aluminium for the world - Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) Presenta… · Q2 2011 Results MARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT 100 150 200 137 169 2Q10 2Q11 Continuous Shift to Optimum

INDUSTRY PERSPECTIVES IN 2011

Page 20: Aluminium for the world - Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) Presenta… · Q2 2011 Results MARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT 100 150 200 137 169 2Q10 2Q11 Continuous Shift to Optimum

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Industry Perspectives in 2011Demand to remain healthy

Key factors to be observed: MENA still bullish driven by Turkey, KSA as well as widespread infrastructure projectsChinese slow-down could dampen slightly the mood but Japanese recovery will kick-off in Q4 US recovery phase very much in question with disappointing unemployment figuresLME will continue to be volatile with the impact of US and European debts concernsPrice to remain in average around $2,500/t in H2 sustained by increased energy costs

20

Page 21: Aluminium for the world - Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) Presenta… · Q2 2011 Results MARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT 100 150 200 137 169 2Q10 2Q11 Continuous Shift to Optimum

2011 ALBA PRIORITIES

Page 22: Aluminium for the world - Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) Presenta… · Q2 2011 Results MARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT 100 150 200 137 169 2Q10 2Q11 Continuous Shift to Optimum

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2011 Alba Priorities

22

Continuous Improvement & Preparation for Future Growth

DuPont Sustainable SolutionsSafety Excellence Program to be launched in Q3

2011 STAR Program:Deliver on our action plans & sustain the resultsSix Sigma Program to kick-off in SeptemberMaintain Value-Added sales above 67% in H2

Future GrowthComplete feasibility studies to determine optimum energy and technology solutions for Line 4, 5 Creep and Line 6 Expansion plans by year-end 2011

Page 23: Aluminium for the world - Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) Presenta… · Q2 2011 Results MARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT 100 150 200 137 169 2Q10 2Q11 Continuous Shift to Optimum

APPENDIX

Page 24: Aluminium for the world - Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) Presenta… · Q2 2011 Results MARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT 100 150 200 137 169 2Q10 2Q11 Continuous Shift to Optimum

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Aluminiumfor the world

H1 2011 ResultsMARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT

Sales Analysis 1H11 vs. 1H10 (000’s MT)Solid increase in LME and higher overall Sales Volume

1H11 vs. 1H10 - Metal Sales Bridge (US$M)

800

1,000

1,200

970

1,199

Sales 1H10 LME Product Mix Pricing Power Volume Sales 1H11

24

42*

123

172

* Higher throughput and sales resulted in a $20 million direct benefit to the bottom line

Page 25: Aluminium for the world - Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) Presenta… · Q2 2011 Results MARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT 100 150 200 137 169 2Q10 2Q11 Continuous Shift to Optimum

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Aluminiumfor the world

H1 2011 ResultsMARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT

100

140

180

132

167

1H10 1H11

Continued Shift to Optimum Product Mix Maximize Value Added Sales and Leverage Pricing Power

400

440

480

427

445

Sales 1H10 Value Added Liquid Metal Commodity Sales 1H11

25

32

620

Premium Above LME Trend USD (Per MT)1H11 vs. 1H10 - Sales by Product line Bridge (000’s MT)

Page 26: Aluminium for the world - Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) Presenta… · Q2 2011 Results MARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT 100 150 200 137 169 2Q10 2Q11 Continuous Shift to Optimum

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H1 2011 ResultsMARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT

Cost Analysis 1H11 vs. 1H10: One-Time Social Costs & Exceptional Expenses due to Recent Events

1H11 vs. 1H10 - Direct Costs Bridge (US$M)

600

700

800

649

770

Direct Cost 1H10 RM Price RM Consumption Energy Price Energy Consumption Inventory Ch. Cost Savings One-Time Costs Direct Cost 1H11

26

55

14 5 3

104

24

9

28

Page 27: Aluminium for the world - Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) Presenta… · Q2 2011 Results MARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT 100 150 200 137 169 2Q10 2Q11 Continuous Shift to Optimum

200

300

400

500

285350

EBITDA 1H10 Metal Sales Other Sales Direct Cost Derivatives Selling Expenses EBITDA 1H11

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Aluminiumfor the world

H1 2011 ResultsMARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT

Adjusted EBITDA Bridge Gap Analysis 1H11 vs. 1H10:Adjusted EBITDA Margin at a 28% rate

1H11 vs. 1H10 - EBITDA Bridge (US$M Adjusted)

27

229

1

121

26

17

Adjusted EBITDA includes impact of actual realised derivatives payments

EBITDA 28.7%

EBITDA 28.6%

(Adjusted)

Page 28: Aluminium for the world - Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) Presenta… · Q2 2011 Results MARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT 100 150 200 137 169 2Q10 2Q11 Continuous Shift to Optimum

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H1 2011 ResultsMARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT

Cash Flow Bridge 1H11 vs. 1H10:Healthy Cash generation to maximize Shareholder Value Creation

Free Cash Flow (USD M)

0

200

400

259 300

1H10 1H11

Opera.ng  and  Inves.ng  Cash  Flow  Trend

1H10 to 1H11 Cash Flow Bridge (USD M)

0

275

550

154 210

WC Changes

CF fromOperations

Balance1Q11

28

369

3633

166

79

CAPEXSpent

Payment toShareholders

Net DebtService

Cash2Q11

Page 29: Aluminium for the world - Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) Presenta… · Q2 2011 Results MARKET CONSOLIDATION & CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT 100 150 200 137 169 2Q10 2Q11 Continuous Shift to Optimum