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Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences Rutgers University, New Brunswick, New Jersey USA [email protected]. edu http://envsci.rutgers.edu/~ robock Climate Dynamics 11:670:461 Lecture 6, 9/23/13

Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences Rutgers University, New Brunswick, New Jersey USA

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Lecture 6, 9/23/13. Climate Dynamics 11:670:461. Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences Rutgers University, New Brunswick, New Jersey USA. [email protected]. http://envsci.rutgers.edu/~ robock. Stronger polar vortex Winter warming - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences Rutgers University, New Brunswick, New Jersey  USA

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental Sciences

Rutgers University, New Brunswick, New Jersey USA

[email protected]

http://envsci.rutgers.edu/~robock

Climate Dynamics11:670:461

Lecture 6, 9/23/13

Page 2: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences Rutgers University, New Brunswick, New Jersey  USA

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental

Sciences

The Arctic OscillationThompson and Wallace (1998)

Stronger polar vortex

Winter warming

Positive mode is the same as the response to volcanic aerosols.

Page 3: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences Rutgers University, New Brunswick, New Jersey  USA

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental

SciencesFig. 4.1

Page 4: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences Rutgers University, New Brunswick, New Jersey  USA

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental

SciencesFig. 4.2

Page 5: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences Rutgers University, New Brunswick, New Jersey  USA

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental

SciencesFig. 4.3

Page 6: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences Rutgers University, New Brunswick, New Jersey  USA

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental

SciencesFig. 4.4

Page 7: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences Rutgers University, New Brunswick, New Jersey  USA

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental

SciencesFig. 4.5

Page 8: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences Rutgers University, New Brunswick, New Jersey  USA

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental

SciencesFig. 4.6

Page 9: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences Rutgers University, New Brunswick, New Jersey  USA

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental

Sciences

A = p r2

r

A = 4p r2

Greenhouse Effect

Ts

Emission = sTe

4

S0 = 1368 W m-

2

a

a = planetary albedo (0.30)

Sun

Earth

Page 10: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences Rutgers University, New Brunswick, New Jersey  USA

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental

Sciences

Global Energy Balance

Incoming Energy = Outgoing Energy

pr2 S0 (1-a) = 4pr2 sTe4

r = radius of Earth S0 = solar constant (1368 W/m2)a = planetary albedo (0.30)s = Stefan-Boltzmann constant

(5.67 x 108 W m-2 K-4)Te = effective temperature of the EarthTs = observed global average surface temperature

Greenhouse Effect

Ts = 288 KTe = 255 K

33 K (33C° = 59F°)

Greenhouse

Effect K 255 14

ST 4 0e α

σ

Page 11: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences Rutgers University, New Brunswick, New Jersey  USA

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental

Sciences

S0 = “solar constant” = 1368 W/m2

a = planetary albedo = 0.30Te = effective temperatureTs = surface temperature

)(14S0 a

Greenhouse gases

Greenhouse Effect

sTs4

sTe4

Ts = 288K = 15°C (Observed)

Sensible and latent heat

sTe4

Ts = Te = 255K = -18°C

)(14S0 a

esTe4

Greenhouse Effect

Page 12: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences Rutgers University, New Brunswick, New Jersey  USA

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental

Sciences

Page 13: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences Rutgers University, New Brunswick, New Jersey  USA

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental

Sciences

Page 14: Alan Robock Department of Environmental Sciences Rutgers University, New Brunswick, New Jersey  USA

Alan RobockDepartment of Environmental

SciencesRobock (1983)

SMEOSIRIS

SAGE II, III