Upload
others
View
0
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
ADB 8078-THA: Supporting Thailand Railway Sector Reform
Summary of ADB Technical Assistance
Focus of Technical Assistance
• Only concerned with current Thailand railway system
• Other future systems will all depend on a strong base foundation on which to build
1
Thailand’s Railway System The Basics
• The Thailand Railway System serves three useful purposes;
– A prime component of the intercity public transport system;
– A key mode for long distance goods movement and a key link in Thailand’s transport logistics structure;
– Serves as a hub for the region through which most of the other regional rail traffic will be channeled.
2
Thailand’s Railway System The Financial Challenge
• Passenger traffic has declined 40% since 1992;
• Freight traffic has declined 30% since 2002;
• 25% of SRT losses are from operation;
• 25% are from debt service costs;
• 25% are from excess asset costs;
• 25% are from pension obligations.
3
Thailand’s Railway System The Future
• Increased intra-regional trade between China and Southeast Asia;
• The role of Thailand as a regional economic and transportation hub for economic and trade linkages;
• Integrated, multi-modal transport networks and services to support trade;
• Railways can offer a strong backbone to such trade opportunities, but the existing structure and future relevant services are critical.
4
ADB 8078-THA: Supporting Thailand Railway Sector Reform
• Technical Assistance began in August 2012 • Objective: define practical options for structural reform of the
railway sector; • Based on the need to revitalize the railway system to overcome
many years of declining standards of infrastructure, equipment and thus service;
• Reviewed all past literature and project reports related to railway restructuring;
• Consulted all agencies with a responsibility for some aspect of railway system development and operations;
• Focus on achieving consensus about the end point of railway reform; and
• Focus on the railway system enabling environment to allows reform to take place, not on specifics of changes to SRT operations.
5
6
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Should SRT
be made
debt free and
with new
working
capital?
Gov’t
Responsibility
for railway
Infrastructure
Implement
responsibility
with SRT or
new SOE?
Can transfer
of land asset
offset debt
relief and
new SRT
capital ?
Non Core
Assets with
SRT or in new
land manage
SOE?
Should rev
from non core
land be used
to cover
ongoing
pensions?
Should rights
and benefits
of union be
maintained in
new railway
SOEs?
Should
Thailand
have an
Open
Access
Policy?
Gov’t
willing to
subsidize
ongoing
infra costs?
Allow
special
JVs to
serve
special
railway
needs?
Create a
railway
regulatory
body?
Maintain
low cost
passenger
rail service
with PSO
subsidy
payments?
Is
passenger
service or
freight
service
more
important?
Should
passenger
and freight
operations
be
separated?
Should gov’t
invest in
HSR or left to
PPP?
State
Enterprise
Policy Office
Debt free.
SRT
submission
Treat as Public
Utility as per
constitution
Create new
SOE. Cabinet
Res. 2007
Yes, agreed
as per SRT
long term
plan
New SOE.
Cabinet 2000
and 2009
Yes revenue
can cover
pensions
Yes, maintain
rights. State
Enterprise
Relations Act
Create
Open
Access
Cab. 2007
Subsidize
but
increase
charges to
offset
costs.
Yes
support
JVs.
Cabinet
res. 2007
Separate
body is
needed.
Maintain
with PSO
but
gradually
red.
subsidy
Passenger
short term
and freight
longer
term.
Separate as
per Cabinet
res. 2000
and 2009
Support PPP
as per
Cabinet res
2007
Public Debt
Management
Office
Change to
debt free but
fix
accounting
problems
Government
should be
responsible
Create a new
SOE
Government
can lease or
transfer
assets.
Current BU
should be
upgraded to
an SOE
Land assets
can be used
to cover
pension or
also SRT
profits in
future
Union
agreements
will need to
be
renegotiated
Create
open
Access
Gov’t will
subsidize in
beginning
but access
charges
can help
cover costs
Yes,
support
JV’s as
way of
serving
special
needs.
Separate
body is
needed like
power
sector.
Gradually
reduce
subsidies
and pay
support to
poor via
non distorting
means
Reduced
logistics
cost is
critical and
Thailand
needs to
improve freight
service
Long term
need to
restructure
services
under open
access
approach
Government
will need to
make the
investment
and use PPP
for rail
operation and mtc.
Office of
Transport
Policy
Change to
debt free and
recapitalize
Gov’t should
be responsible
Create a new
public entity
Yes, but only
core assets
Leave with
SRT to decide
Yes, as per
SRT
Leave with
SRT to
manage
Create
Open
Access
Subsidize
but use
access
charges
Yes
support
JVs with
open
access
Separate
body is
needed but
may be
limited
Yes, Gov’t
will pay
PSO
Free
market will
decide.
SRT can
compete for PSC.
Free
market.
Operators
will control
service structure
Support HSR
with PPP.
State Railway
of Thailand
Change to
debt free and
recapitalize
but not sure
the size of working
capital
needed
Infrastructure
should be
under
Government
SRT needs
separate BU
and
Accounting
System
Needs
Cabinet
decision.
Can be all or
part. MRTA is example
SRT can
manage this
with BU
SRT has tried
to do this but
not enough
revenue yet.
Yes, but
should apply
to all
employees,
not just labour
SRT only
operator
now. Not
possible
without changes to
operations
NA NA
There are
too many
players
now. One
body would be OK.
NA
Both are
important.
PSO
should be
cleared.
Yes, but at
the
moment,
the system
is not available to
do so.
NA
SRT Union Yes but
should
remain as an
SOE
Yes, treat as a
public utility
like roads
Gov’t should
pay but SRT
can manage
and Gov’t needs to
create full
multimodal
structure
No should
not transfer
land.
Non core can
remain in SRT
but with new
independent management
company.
Pensions are
responsibility
SRT as per
Act 2494 Art. 43
Yes or
improved
No. Do not
agree to
have new
companies like HSR.
Better to
improve
SRT track.
Yes
If JVs are
needed
Union
should be consulted
on case
basis
No need for
a separate
regulator
Yes Should
focus
mainly on
passenger service
No don’t
separate
operations.
Accounts can be
separated.
Gov’t should
not invest in
HSR
National
Economic and Social
Development
Board
Change to
debt free and recapitalize
Gov’t should
be responsible
Establish a
new SOE with regulation.
Yes that is
one plausible option.
Transfer to a
new company with SRT
input.
Yes as part of
overall debt restructuring.
Yes, for
current members.
New
members
could be
different.
Create
open access
structure
Yes, that is
consistent with Gov’t
policy
Yes,
support JVs as
part of
Gov’t
policy
Separate
body is needed.
Yes, pay
PSO but use service
agreement
to prioritize
Yes, pass
initially but better track
will allow all
traffic to
benefit
Keep
together initially.
Separate as
needed in
future.
Focus of
investment should be via
PPP
Consensus
View
SRT should
become debt free and
recapitalized.
Government
should be responsible.
Implementation
needs to be done by a new
public entity
but consistent
with SRT
requirements.
Land can be
transferred to another
company.
But SRT and
unions need
to have input.
Non core
assets need to be
managed
independently
in new
organization.
Yes non core
land revenue can be used
to cover
pension
obligations.
Yes rights of
union members
should be
maintained in
new
organizations
With good
regulation an open
access
policy is
appropriate.
Yes, this
fits with ongoing
government
policy.
JVs good
idea if needed
but must
include
union
input
Yes,
independent regulator is
needed.
Yes, pay
PSO but key
payments
to service
agreement.
Pass.
Initially important
but freight
longer term
critical.
The market
can define when to
separate.
Leave to
SRT plan.
Minimize
gov’t investment
and use PPP
to lead
Endpoint – Survey Results
Railway Transport Policy Mission
The Government is committed to providing the people of Thailand with an integrated transport system whereby they can choose the means of transport that most appropriately moves people and goods, cost effectively, efficiently, safely and with sound environment standards.
7
Priority 1: SRT Debt Relief and Recapitalization
• A debt free business with a viable capital base and agreed Public Service Obligation (PSO) or Public Service Contract (PSC) payments
• SRT becomes a viable, productive and competitive enterprise.
• Suggestion: Transfer Baht 100 billion SRT debt to Government and recapitalize SRT with B 3 billion working capital.
8
Priority 2: Reduce Infrastructure Costs
• SRT cannot pay for infrastructure and be a viable enterprise. Full maintenance of track in good condition will cost Baht 6.5 billion/yr. Total revenue in 2010 is about Baht 10 billion. Lack of ability to fund track maintenance for 30 years has led to poor current condition.
• Railways with low traffic volume such as SRT cannot cover infrastructure costs with operating revenues
(Swedish Railway only covers 10% of its infrastructure cost)
• Suggestion: Separate infrastructure ownership and
operation, and transfer infrastructure assets to a separate organization such as Department of Railway within MOT.
9
Priority 3: Pension Obligations
• Current pension obligations account for 25% of SRT’s losses
• Other countries have designated railway pension obligations as the government’s responsibility. Fully capitalized SRT Provident Fund will need injection of about Baht 50 billion.
• SRT’s non core land revenue is large enough to reimburse governments capitalization of pension obligations over time
• SRT’s return on assets in 2010 was -6.7%. (should be >10%). Current asset management is poor.
• Suggestion: Assets should be professionally managed by an asset management company.
10
Priority 4: Establish a Railway Regulator
• SRT safety record is poor. Improved safety is essential. Other countries regulate safety through the MOT. Safety standards are needed.
• “Open access” to the infrastructure will be introduced to promote the development of competitive transport options for freight shippers and passengers. Licensing will be needed.
• Service providers will contribute to the maintenance and renewal of infrastructure through access charges. Fairness in pricing will be needed.
• A revised “PSO” payment framework will be introduced that will provide direct compensation to service providers (initially SRT) for operating uneconomic passenger rail services in the public interest. Compensatory PSO levels may require adjudication.
• Suggestion: Establish a safety regulator in MOT. Establish an independent economic regulator for other economic issues .
11
Priority 5 Create a Time Bound Implementation Plan
• The proposed reform agenda requires:
– A champion;
– A high caliber multi-agency implementation team;
– A clear mandate, the authority to carry it out, and sufficient capital to finance the key elements such as setting up a PMU;
– A reporting relationship directly to the Cabinet through MOT/MOF;
– Done within 1 year.
12
Reform Implementation Key Players
Champion • Minister of Finance and Minister of Transport
Implementation Coordination Committee (ICC) • Director General – OTP – Ministry of Transport;
• Director – Public Debt Management Office;
• Director – State Enterprise Policy Office;
• Director – Budget Bureau;
• Director Planning – State Railway of Thailand.
The final decision on the implementation team will be made following further consultation with senior ministry staff.
13
Organization Structure for Reform
14
Restructuring Implementation Costs
Costs – SRT Debt Relief Baht 100 billion; – SRT Recapitalization “ 3 billion; – Urgent infrastructure recovery “ 176 billion; – Provident Fund Capitalization “ 55 billion; – Infrastructure maintenance “ 121 billion;
• Revenue – Land revenue “ 55 billion +.
• ICC Technical Support Unit $1 million/ 1 yr • PMU Infrastructure Development and Operation Organization $250 million/5 yrs • SRT Restructuring Technical Support Unit $15 million/5 yrs
15
Impact on Key Players SRT
• SRT becomes debt free and recapitalized SOE;
• Cost for infrastructure reduced considerably;
• No obligation for pension payments going forward;
• PSO or PSC agreement in place;
• Focus on railway operations and service quality;
• Railway services may be offered by other organizations – infrastructure and operations.
16
Impact on Key Players SRT Union
• No change in Union conditions of service;
• Some staff may be transferred to Dept. of Railways or new SOE;
• Under Thai law, options will be offered to those staff;
• Pension obligations capitalized through funding of Provident Fund;
• Non core land allocated to separate independent management company.
17
Impact on Key Players MOT
• Establish Department of Railways;
• Assume responsibility for infrastructure ownership, renewal, maintenance and operations;
• Establish a safety regulatory authority within the MOT;
• Lead the reform process through the Implementation Coordination Committee.
18
Impact on Key Players MOF
• Clear SRT Debt;
• Recapitalize SRT;
• Capitalize Provident Fund;
• Finance rehabilitation and infrastructure development program;
• Finance ongoing maintenance cost of infrastructure;
• Oversee reform activity through the Implementation Coordination Committee.
19
Impact on Key Players Thailand Railway Authority
• Newly established with mandate to regulate economic issues;
• Registration of new companies in railway sector;
• License operations and establish standards for training and operations;
• Approve track access charges and mediate disputes regarding PSO/PSC;
• Enforce performance standards and other regulations.
20
Thank you