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Sam Butler
Lecturer Levin
Writing 140
12/02/11
A5
Climategate and the Role of the Internet in Climate Change Denial
In November of 2009, an anonymous hacker stole over one thousand emails
from climate scientists at the University of East Anglia in the UK and published them
online. After a few small groups of people sifted through the huge amount of data,
some emails were picked out that raised questions on whether some climate
scientists might be manipulating data on climate change. The emails were sent all
over the web and gave new life to a climate change denial movement. The scandal
was called Climategate, likened to the Watergate scandal that led to President
Richard Nixons resignation in 1974, and gave way to conspiracy theories
surrounding the legitimacy of climate change. This, occurring right before the UN
Climate Change Summit in Copenhagen, lead to a failure of the attending countries
to agree on any action in addressing climate-change, and even further, on whether
or not climate-change was man-made, or even real. Due to the nature of the emails
being easily transmitted over the Internet, dissent and doubt among climatologists
in the emails were cherry picked, taken out of context, and widely distributed,
contributing to a very misleading climate change denial movement.
This newly invigorated climate change denial movement is based on emails
that were hacked illegally from climatologists computers, taken out of context, and
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used to falsely represent climate scientists as a whole. The most largely cited email
by climate change deniers is that sent by Phil Jones of the Climate Research Unit of
East Anglia who writes, Ive just completed Mikes Nature trick of adding in the real
temps to each series for the last 20 years (ie from 1981 onwards) and from 1961 for
Keiths to hide the decline. Taken out of context this would seem as if Jones was
using tricks to manipulate data. When the email is examined closer, in the context
that it was written, the decline that Jones is trying to hide is not of global
temperatures, but of tree-ring growth. Tree-rings are often used to determine past
global temperatures, but since the 1960s, trees in higher latitudes have seen a
decline in growth making tree-ring data unreliable. The trick Jones uses is not to
manipulate data, but to mathematically integrate tree-ring and other sources of data
in order to make temperatures accurate. Since the emails were stolen, information
was released prematurely that had not followed standard scientific procedures for
publication and therefore could not make this clarification. This, being expected by
casual emails between colleagues, allowed for bloggers and many climate change
skeptics to jump to false conclusions about the intentions of scientists. Any
vagueness or clarification needed for the data would easily have been cleared up by
a formal publication of the scientists findings in a scientific journal.
Scientific journals, however, are not nearly as accessible or easy to read as
emails. The digital nature of emails allows for rapid dissection and retransmission of
information all across the Internet without fact checks. Before the onset of the
internet, almost all news consumed by the public came from books, television,
magazines and newspapers, all of which require some sort of journalistic fact check
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or peer review process. Information on the Internet and transmitted through emails
requires no such procedures, and sanctions quick forwarding and re-posting of
sometimes misguided information. The one thousand climategate emails were
quickly picked apart and degraded to a few juicy gotcha quotes thatwould inspire
doubt in accepted scientific theory. These tidbits of information were easy to
understand and gained the trust of much of the public. Formal scientific
publications on the other hand, are usually many pages long and require thorough
reading and basic understanding of the topic. Since most people are more inclined to
read small tidbits of information they come across on the internet, than pages of
complex scientific journals, the informal and unofficial climategate emails won out
over at least three independent studies, the most recent being the Berkeley Earth
Surface Temperature study, aimed at retesting the existence and causes of climate
change (NPR). Even though these studies came in the wake of climategate and
vindicated the climate scientists from any misconduct, belief in the existence of
climate change in the US has dropped 14%, from 71% to only 57%, much due to the
climategate incident (Pew Research Center).
Since climategate, a growing number of Americans have come to regard
climate change as simply an elaborate hoax. Even after a statement from 18
different scientific associations, including the American Meteorological Society and
the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration that concludes Observations
throughout the world make it clear that climate change is occurring, and rigorous
scientific research demonstrates that the greenhouse gases emitted by human
activities are the primary driver," Americans continue to be skeptical of the issue. In
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information at the speed of light can have terrible consequences. The prime example
of the major effects of climategate, is the utter failure of the UN Climate Change
Summit in Copenhagen in 2009 to make any sort of progress in combating global
warming. In the months leading up to the conference, high hopes were set for an
agreement by the countries of the world to reduce the carbon dioxide emissions that
cause climate change. Lumumba Di-Aping, chief negotiator for the G77 group of 130
developing countries, said the deal had "the lowest level of ambition you can
imagine. It's nothing short of climate change skepticism in action. Not surprisingly,
this skepticism came from the doubt raised by many countries over the legitimacy of
climate change in the wake of the climate gate emails.
Skepticism of climate change based on the climategate emails is more than
unreasonable. Countless studies have been done confirming the existence of climate
change for decades with three confirmations by independent studies done directly
after the climategate incident. The sad truth is that these studies will never convince
many people of the realness of climate change. The phrase climategate itself is
instantly is associated with the alleged wrong doing of many climate scientists. Just
like the Nixon Administration after Watergate, many climatologists will never have
the credibility to regain some peoples trust, but unlike Watergate, the scientists are
the victims. The scientists are the ones that had their information illegally taken
from them, but because of our inability to distinguish fact from fiction on the
Internet, it will ultimately be us to face the consequences of a changing climate.