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A Strategic Plan for Growth Fixed Income Investor Meetings Boston - New York City February 23-24, 2015

A Strategic Plan for Growth - Xcel Energyinvestors.xcelenergy.com/interactive/lookandfeel/... · 7 Streamlining Minnesota Regulation Based upon four key objectives —Lowering carbon

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A Strategic Plan for Growth

Fixed Income Investor Meetings Boston - New York City February 23-24, 2015

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Safe Harbor Except for the historical statements contained in this release, the matters discussed herein, are forward-looking statements that are subject to certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Such forward-looking statements, including our 2015 earnings per share guidance and assumptions, are intended to be identified in this document by the words “anticipate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend,” “may,” “objective,” “outlook,” “plan,” “project,” “possible,” “potential,” “should” and similar expressions. Actual results may vary materially. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made, and we do not undertake any obligation to update them to reflect changes that occur after that date. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially include, but are not limited to: general economic conditions, including inflation rates, monetary fluctuations and their impact on capital expenditures and the ability of Xcel Energy Inc. and its subsidiaries (collectively, Xcel Energy) to obtain financing on favorable terms; business conditions in the energy industry, including the risk of a slow down in the U.S. economy or delay in growth recovery; trade, fiscal, taxation and environmental policies in areas where Xcel Energy has a financial interest; customer business conditions; actions of credit rating agencies; competitive factors, including the extent and timing of the entry of additional competition in the markets served by Xcel Energy Inc. and its subsidiaries; unusual weather; effects of geopolitical events, including war and acts of terrorism; state, federal and foreign legislative and regulatory initiatives that affect cost and investment recovery, have an impact on rates or have an impact on asset operation or ownership or impose environmental compliance conditions; structures that affect the speed and degree to which competition enters the electric and natural gas markets; costs and other effects of legal and administrative proceedings, settlements, investigations and claims; actions by regulatory bodies impacting our nuclear operations, including those affecting costs, operations or the approval of requests pending before the Nuclear Regulatory Commission; financial or regulatory accounting policies imposed by regulatory bodies; availability or cost of capital; employee work force factors; and the other risk factors listed from time to time by Xcel Energy in reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), including Risk Factors in Item 1A and Exhibit 99.01 of Xcel Energy Inc.’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended Dec. 31, 2014.

3

Fully Regulated, Diverse Utility

NSP-Wisconsin (NSPW) 5-10% of earnings

NSP-Minnesota (NSPM) 35-45% of earnings

Southwestern Public Service (SPS)

5-15% of earnings

Public Service Co. of Colorado (PSCo) 45-55% of earnings

Operate in 8 States

Combination Utility 90% electric

10% natural gas

Customers 3.5 million electric

1.9 million natural gas 2015 Dividend (Annualized) = $1.28 2015 Ongoing EPS Guidance = $2.00 - $2.15

4 4

Xcel Energy Investment Merits Focused strategic plan Offering an attractive total return

— EPS growth objective of 4% – 6% * — Dividend growth objective of 5% – 7% — Dividend payout ratio target of 60% – 70%

Strong credit metrics — Unsecured credit ratings of “BBB+” to “A” — Secured credit ratings in “A” range

Proven track record of delivering on financial objectives

* Based on weather-normalized 2014 EPS of $2.00

5

Improve Utility Performance

● Close ROE gap 50 bps by 2018 ● Derive 75% of revenue from MYPs

Objectives Measurable Results Xcel Energy Strategic Plan

Drive Operational Excellence

● Manage workforce transition ● Limit annual O&M growth to 0-2%

Provide Customer Options & Solutions

● Offer more energy options ● Exceed customer expectations

Invest for the Future

● Base capital plan drives annual rate base growth of 4.7% ● Potential incremental investment in natural gas and transmission

6

Improve Utility Performance

6

Objective Close ROE

Gap by 50 bps by 2018

NSPM ~75%

SPS ~20%

PSCo & NSPW ~5%

Regulatory Lag Contribution by Jurisdiction

Existing ROE gap is approximately 100 bps

7

Streamlining Minnesota Regulation Based upon four key objectives

— Lowering carbon emissions by 40% by 2030 — Pioneering distribution grid modernization — Providing new services and product offerings — Pursuing more predictable and nimble regulation

Potential mechanisms

— Longer and more holistic multi-year rate plans — Seek additional riders — Use the nuclear depreciation surplus as a mitigation tool — Pursue legislation to provide clarification and authorization

8

Legislative Initiatives in Texas

Collaborating with other non-ERCOT utilities

Pursuing legislative changes to reduce regulatory lag

— Ability to implement temporary rates 35 days from filing

— Allow the addition of post test year capital additions

— Allow for the filing of a transmission rider twice a year

— Allow for generation cost recovery rider

9

Closing the ROE Gap Key Opportunity for EPS Growth

2014 Estimated Rate Base $20.7 billion $20.7 billion $20.7 billion

Equity Ratio 54% 54% 54%

ROE Improvement 25 bps 50 bps 75 bps

Net Income $28 million $56 million $84 million

Ongoing EPS $0.06 $0.11 $0.17

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10

Impact of Improved Earned ROE

Consolidated Earned ROE

10.0%

5-year EPS CAGR

4% - 5%

10.5%

11.0%

5% - 6%

6% - 7%

10

Based on Xcel Energy’s consolidated GAAP ROE

11

Improve Utility Performance Derive 75% of Revenue from Multi-Year Plans

Jurisdiction Status Rate Plan Percent of Rate Base

Minnesota Electric Pending Multi-Year Plan (2014-15) ≈ 35%

Colorado Electric Pending Multi-Year Plan (2015-17) ≈ 31%

North Dakota Electric Approved Multi-Year Plan (2013-16) ≈ 2%

Driving Operational Excellence Bending the Cost Curve

Sustainable cost control – Standardization of processes – Optimize purchasing power – Technology

Stabilization of nuclear costs Workforce transition Proactive maintenance Employee benefits programs Investing in capital to reduce O&M

Objective Annual O&M Growth

0% - 2% Drives

12

13

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019Transmission Generation Distribution Other

Dollars in millions

13

Base Capital Investment Plan Five-Year Total of $14.5 Billion

$3,375

$2,780 $2,825 $2,650 $2,850

14

Base Capital Investment Plan Drives Rate Base Growth

14

2015-2019 Base Capital Expenditures

$14.5 Billion

Drives

≈ 4.7% Rate Base

CAGR 2014 - 2019

Transmission 31%

Generation 23%

Distribution 22%

Other 24%

15 15

Investing for the Future Potential Natural Gas Investment

Take advantage of organic growth opportunities Leverage existing natural gas footprint Potential incremental investment opportunities

— Natural gas pipelines — Natural gas storage — Rate-basing of natural gas reserves

We will continue to be disciplined and thoughtful as we pursue growth

Operating Company

Miles of Gas Transmission

Number of Customers

PSCo 2,118 1,330,000

NSPM 96 493,000

NSPW 3 110,000

SPS 20 N/A

Xcel Energy 2,237 1,933,000

Sixth largest natural gas consumer in the country Annual natural gas usage ~450 Bcf Spend $1.5 - $2.0 billion annually

Xcel Energy An Experienced Natural Gas Provider

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NSPW 4%

SPS 20% PSCO

48%

NSPM 28%

2013 Natural Gas Consumption

17

Transmission: A Two-Pronged Strategy Operating Company: A low risk base business

— Driven by reliability standards & state/regional energy policies — Incumbent in areas with a substantial need for investment

Will defend using ROFR provisions when available ROFR statutes in MN, ND, and SD

Transco: Optimizing the opportunity in an evolving landscape — Expansion into broader FERC Order 1000 regions — Pursuing growth in an aggressive but disciplined manner — Making smart investments that position us well for the future

Majority of base plan is driven by reliability targets, state & regional energy policies and asset renewal

Plan is not subject to competition - minimal execution risk

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Transmission Base Capital Investment Plan

Reliability Driven 67%

Regional Expansion 17%

SW Oil Patch 16%

Transmission CapEx of $4.5 billion 2015 – 2019

19

Pending Regulatory Cases

Monticello EPU/LCM prudence review - expected decision 2015 Q1

19

Rate Case Requested Increase Requested ROE Expected Decision

Minnesota Electric $221 million Over Two Years 10.25% 2015 Q1

South Dakota Electric $16 million 10.25% Mid-2015

Texas Electric $65 million 10.25% Mid-2015

Colorado Electric Settlement Reached $53 million 9.83% 2015 Q1

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Colorado 2015 Electric Rate Case Requested a 2015 rate increase of $107 million (3.8%), based on a 2015 test

year, an ROE of 10.25%, an equity ratio of 56%, a rate base of $6.39 billion

Settlement agreement reached in January 2015: — Establishes a multi-year regulatory plan covering 2015-2017 — Increases PSCo rates by $53 million (1.9%) — Reflects an ROE of 9.83% and an equity ratio of 56% — Includes the implementation of a forward-looking CACJA rider and a

forward-looking transmission rider — Includes an earnings test (50/50 sharing between 9.84% - 10.48%) — No material changes to depreciation rates — Includes a rate case stay-out provision through 2017

CPUC decision and implementation of final rates expected in first quarter

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Minnesota Multi-Year Electric Rate Case NSP-Minnesota filed a two-year, electric rate case seeking a

revised net increase of $221 million over two years

The filing is based on a requested ROE of 10.25%, a 52.5% equity ratio, a 2014 average rate base of $6.67 billion and an additional average rate base of $0.412 billion in 2015.

MPUC approved interim rates of $127 million effective Jan. 2014

ALJ recommended a net rate increase of $192 million over two years, based on an ROE of 9.77% and equity ratio of 52.5%

Commission deliberation – March 26, 2015

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22

Monticello EPU/LCM Prudence Filing Original estimate was $320 million and final cost was $665 million

Monticello uprate & life extension was a sound investment — Rebuilt plant provides customer value through 2030 — Essential for carbon reduction commitment — Our experience is in line with industry performance

In July 2014, the DOC recommended a disallowance of $72 million for Minnesota - the equivalent of $94 million for all jurisdictions

In August 2014, the OAG recommended a disallowance of $321 million In February 2015, the ALJ recommended a disallowance of $72 million

for Minnesota - the equivalent of $94 million for all jurisdictions, consistent with the DOC recommendation

Commission deliberation – March 6, 2015

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Texas 2015 Electric Rate Case Requested a 2015 electric rate increase of $64.75 million (6.7%)

— Based on a June 2014 historic test year with known and measurable adjustments

— ROE of 10.25% and equity ratio of 53.97% — Electric rate base of $1.56 billion

Includes $442 million post-test year investment

Parties have agreed rates will become effective June 2015

A PUCT decision is anticipated in mid-2015 — Intervenor Testimony April 1, 2015 — Staff’s Testimony April 8, 2015 — SPS Rebuttal Testimony April 24, 2015 — Hearings Begin May 11, 2015

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24

South Dakota 2015 Electric Rate Case

Seeking a 2015 electric rate increase of $15.6 million, or 8.0% — Requested ROE of 10.25% and equity ratio of 53.86% — Average rate base of $433 million — 2013 historic test year with known and measurable

adjustments for 2014 and 2015 — Transfers $9.0 million from rider to base rates

Interim rates went into effect in January 2015 Final rates expected to go into effect in mid-2015

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Strong Credit Ratings and Liquidity

44% equity ratio as of December 31, 2014 $2.75 billion credit line with a maturity of October 2019

Moody’s * S&P Fitch Xcel Unsecured A3 BBB+ BBB+ NSPM Secured Aa3 A A+ NSPW Secured Aa3 A A+ PSCo Secured A1 A A+ SPS Secured A2 A A-

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Equity $ 10,214 44.4 Current Portion LT Debt 258 1.1 Short-Term Debt 1,020 4.4 Long-Term Debt 11,500 50.0 Total Capitalization $22,992 100.0

Millions Percent

Strong Balance Sheet As of December 31, 2014

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$0

$400

$800

$1,200

$1,600

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Hold Co NSPM NSPWPSCo SPS

Manageable Debt Maturities Dollars in millions

27

28

$14,480

$11,500

$0

$2,995$2,605$375

Modest Financing Needs Financing Plan 2015-2019

Cap Ex

CFO * New Debt

DRIP & Benefits

Equity **

Funding capital expenditures

Refinanced Debt

$ millions

* Cash from operations is net of dividend and pension funding ** No external equity required during 5-year plan

Financing plans are subject to change

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Financing Plan for 2015

Issuer Security Amount (millions) Timing

Hold Co Senior Unsecured $500 Second Quarter

NSP-M First Mortgage Bonds $600 Third Quarter

PSCo First Mortgage Bonds $250 Second Quarter

NSP-W First Mortgage Bonds $100 Second Quarter

SPS First Mortgage Bonds $250 Third Quarter

Financing plans are subject to change, depending on capital expenditures, internal cash generation, rating agency views, market conditions and other factors

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$0.86

2005

2014

$0.89 $0.92 $0.95 $0.98 $1.01 $1.04 $1.08 $1.12

Annual Dividend Increase

Proven Track Record of Delivering Value Consistent Dividend Growth

2015

$1.20

Annual Dividend Growth Objective = 5-7% Dividend Payout Ratio Target = 60-70%

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$1.28 Dividend growth CAGR 2005-2015 = 4.1% Dividend growth CAGR 2013-2015 = 6.9%

2013

31 * Reconciliation of Ongoing EPS to GAAP EPS included in appendix

Proven Track Record of Delivering Value Consistent Ongoing EPS Growth

2005

$1.15

$2.03

2015 Ongoing Earnings Guidance Range 2015E

31

Ongoing EPS Annual Growth Objective = 4-6%

$2.00-$2.15

Ongoing EPS CAGR 2005-2014 = 6.5%

2014

32

Proven Track Record Delivering on Financial Objectives

2005 Achieved

2006 Achieved 2007 Exceeded

2008 Achieved

2009 Achieved

2010 Achieved

2011 Achieved

2012 Achieved

2013 Achieved

2014 Achieved

EPS Guidance

33

Appendix

33

34

Reconciliation – Ongoing EPS to GAAP EPS 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Ongoing EPS $1.15 $1.30 $1.43 $1.45 $1.50 $1.62 $1.72 $1.82 $1.95 $2.03

PSRI-COLI $0.05 $0.05 $(0.08) $0.01 $(0.01) $(0.01) - - - -

Prescription Drug Tax Benefit - - - - - - - $0.03 - -

SPS FERC Order - - - - - - - - $(0.04) - Cont. Ops $1.20 $1.35 $1.35 $1.46 $1.49 $1.61 $1.72 $1.85 $1.91 $2.03

Discont. Ops $0.03 $0.01 - - $(0.01) $0.01 - - - -

GAAP EPS $1.23 $1.36 $1.35 $1.46 $1.48 $1.62 $1.72 $1.85 $1.91 $2.03

Xcel Energy’s management believes that ongoing earnings provide a meaningful comparison of earnings results and is representative of Xcel Energy’s fundamental core earnings power. Xcel Energy’s management uses ongoing earnings internally for financial planning and analysis, for reporting of results to the Board of Directors, and when communicating its earnings outlook to

analysts and investors.

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35

Projected Rate Base Growth Dollars in billions

$26.1$25.2$24.5$23.5

$22.5$20.7

$19.2$17.6$16.9

$15.2

$10.8$11.7

$14.4$13.3$12.5

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

CAGR 2005 – 2013 = 7.5%

CAGR 2014 – 2019 = 4.7%

Estimate 35

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2014 Weather-Adjusted Retail Electric Sales

Better Than Expected 2014 Sales Growth

0.6%1.2%

3.3%

2.3%

1.3%

XcelEnergy

NSPM PSCo NSPW SPS

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Capital Expenditures by Function

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Total Electric Generation $1,190 $630 $620 $415 $450 $3,305

Electric Transmission $875 $780 $905 $975 $1,000 $4,535

Electric Distribution $605 $630 $640 $650 $680 $3,205

Natural Gas $370 $370 $305 $355 $380 $1,780

Nuclear Fuel $90 $120 $120 $65 $150 $545

Other $245 $250 $235 $190 $190 $1,110

Total $3,375 $2,780 $2,825 $2,650 $2,850 $14,480

Dollars in millions

38

Capital Expenditures by Company

Dollars in millions

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Total

NSPM $1,625 $990 $975 $845 $950 $5,385

PSCO $950 $820 $815 $885 $1,010 $4,480

SPS $570 $710 $735 $595 $565 $3,175

NSPW $230 $260 $300 $325 $325 $1,440

Total $3,375 $2,780 $2,825 $2,650 $2,850 $14,480

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SPP Scoring Methodology

Engineering Design – 200 pts Project Management – 200 pts Operating Ability – 250 pts Cost Analysis – 225 pts Creditworthiness – 125 pts Project proposal bonus – 100 pts

Accomplished development team Skillful project execution Seasoned operator Proven low cost leader Industry leading Balance Sheet Submitted ~15% of proposed SPP projects

Criteria Xcel Energy Brings

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Proven Low Cost Leader – 345 kV Lines

$0.0

$0.5

$1.0

$1.5

$2.0

$2.5

Xcel Energy Average

$1.72

SPP Average

$1.76

ERCOT Average

$1.80

MISO Average

$2.22

WECC Average

$2.11

* Adjusted to 2013 dollars using the Handy Whitman Construction Cost Index

Average Cost per Mile, Adjusted *

13 25 55 12 35 # of projects

Overall Average = $2.1 million/mile

Dollars in millions per mile

Source: Analysis uses data from FERC, State Commissions, Regional Transmission Organizations, EEI publications and other publicly available data sources

41

Regulatory vs. Authorized ROE - 2013 OPCO Jurisdiction

Rate Base ($ millions)

Authorized ROE

W/A Earned ROE Regulatory Plan

NSPM

MN Electric $6,719 9.83% 8.22% 2014-2015 MYP Filed MN Gas 436 10.09 9.76 ND Electric 389 9.75 9.54 2013-2016 MYP ND Gas 43 10.75 11.39 SD Electric 409 Black box 7.28

PSCo CO Electric 5,922 10.00 11.32* 2012-2014 MYP CO Gas 1,483 9.72 9.01 2013 Rate Case

SPS TX Electric 1,256 Black box 10.11** 2014 Rate Case NM Electric 456 Black box 6.58** 2014 Rate Case

NSPW

WI Electric 777 10.40 10.23 2013 Rate Case WI Gas 85 10.40 9.81 2013 Rate Case MI Electric 17 10.30 7.57 2014 Rate Case MI Gas 3 11.25 (11.58) Wholesale 1,225 N/A N/A

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* Before customer refund based on earnings test. PSCo earned 10.27%, after customer refund. ** Actual ROE, not weather-normalized

42

2014 Q4

2015 Q1

2015 Q2

2015 Q3

2015 Q4

Minnesota Regulatory Calendar

MN 2014 – 2015 Rate Case

Monticello Case

MN Legislative Session

MN Regulatory Filing

Resource Plan Filing

Alternative Plan: 2016 – 2018 Rate Case Filing

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Minnesota Multi-Year Electric Rate Case

* The ALJ recommended that the MPUC accept the DOC and NSPM agreement to true up the sales forecast to W/N actual sales and to a limited true-up mechanism for property taxes.

(millions of dollars) 2014

ALJ DOC Surrebuttal

NSP-M Rebuttal

NSP-Minnesota’s original request $192.7 $192.7 $192.7 Monticello EPU (31.3) (33.9) (12.2) Sales forecast* (15.8) (43.2) (15.8) ROE (DOC = 9.64%, ALJ = 9.77%) (28.4) (36.2) - Health care, pension and other benefits (1.9) (11.4) (1.9) Property taxes* (9.0) (9.0) (9.0) Prairie Island EPU (5.1) (5.1) (5.1) Other, net (5.2) (8.0) (6.5) Recommended 2014 rate increase (unadjusted) $96.0 $45.9 $142.2 Sales forecast - estimated true-up adjustment (22.7) 4.7 (22.7) Property tax - estimated true-up adjustment (4.2) (4.2) (4.2) Total Recommended rate increase (adjusted) $69.1 $46.4 $115.3

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Minnesota Multi-Year Electric Rate Case

* In July 2014, the Minnesota Department of Commerce (DOC) recommended a cost disallowance of approximately $71.5 million on a Minnesota jurisdictional basis which equates to a total NSP System disallowance of approximately $94 million. This would reduce NSP-Minnesota’s revenue requirement by approximately $10.2 million in 2015. ** Adjustment relates to timing differences and/or methodology of accelerating amortization of the excess depreciation reserve over three years.

(millions of dollars) 2015

ALJ DOC Surrebuttal

NSP-M Rebuttal

NSP-Minnesota’s original request $98.5 $98.5 $98.5 Monticello EPU * 29.1 18.9 11.7 Excess depreciation reserve adjustment ** - (22.7) - Depreciation - (17.5) - Property taxes (3.3) (3.3) (3.3) Production tax credits to be included in base rates (11.1) (11.1) (11.1) DOE settlement proceeds 10.1 10.1 10.1 Other, net (0.9) (6.4) 0.1 Recommended 2015 step increase $122.4 $66.5 $106.0

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Colorado 2015 Electric Rate Case (Millions of Dollars) Staff OCC PSCo

Rebuttal Settlement Agreement

PSCo’s filed rate request 136.0 136.0 136.0 136.0

Transfer from transmission cost adjustment rider to base rates 19.9 19.9 19.9 19.9

PSCo’s filed revenue requirement deficiency 155.9 155.9 155.9 155.9

Lower ROE (Staff = 9.11%, OCC = 9.10%, settlement = 9.83%) (69.1) (66.5) (6.2) (27.9)

Capital structure (Staff equity ratio of 51.24%, OCC = 52.7%, settlement = 56%) (20.9) (23.7) - -

Rate base adjustments (largely the removal of prepaid pension asset) (20.8) 2.3 - -

Adjustment to a historic test year (82.5) (82.5) - (23.9)

Adjustment to use 13-month average rate base (26.1) (22.0) - -

Rate base adjustments for known and measurable plant through September 2014 21.9 - - -

Operation and maintenance expense adjustments (7.2) (16.6) - -

Depreciation - (3.8) - -

Property taxes - (12.1) (5.3) (5.3)

Remove CACJA from base rates (62.4) - (98.7) (98.7)

Updated sales forecast - - (15.2) (15.2)

Prepaid pension amortization - - - 9.5

Non-specified settlement adjustments - - - (31.7)

Other, net 0.1 0.1 (2.1) (2.1)

Total base rate (decrease) increase (111.1) (68.9) 28.4 (39.4)

CACJA rider mechanism 54.2 - 98.7 97.0

Transmission cost adjustment rider mechanism – 2015 forecasted test year - - - 15.6

Transfer from transmission cost adjustment rider to base rates (19.9) (19.9) (19.9) (19.9)

Total revenue impact $(76.8) $(88.8) $107.2 $53.3 45

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Minnesota Resource Plan Filing

In January 2015, NSP filed its resource plan, which recommends:

— Adding 600 MW of wind by 2020 and 1,200 MW by 2027

— Adding 187 MW of large scale solar by 2016 and 1,700 MW by 2030

— 500 MW of customer-driven, small-scale solar

— 1,750 MW of new natural gas capacity

— Run Sherco Units 1 and 2 with decreasing reliance through 2030

Next Steps:

— Stakeholder input

— Supplemental filing

— MPUC final decision expected in 2016

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23%

12% 56%

1%5%3%

23%

11%

15%46%

1%4%

Proactive Environmental Leadership Fuel Mix Based on Energy

2005 2020 2013

18%

12%

43%22%

2%3%

Coal Natural Gas Nuclear Wind Hydro Other

48 48

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

Proactive Environmental Leadership Emission Reductions

CO2 Emissions Million tons

~30% Reduction 2005-2020

2020 0

1,000

2,000

3,000

2005 2007 2009 2011 2012

Mercury Emissions (lbs/MWh)

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Sulfur Dioxide Emissions (lbs/MWh)

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Nitrogen Oxide Emissions (lbs/MWh)

2005 2006 2008 2010

49 49