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Monthly M&A InsIderA mergermArket report on globAl m&A Activity
September 2011
Monthly M&A InsIdermergermarket
GlobAl overvIew 01
AmericAS: lAtin AmericA 06
north AmericA 11
ASiA-pAcific 16
europe 21
middle eASt & AfricA 28
About MerrIll corporAtIon 34
80 Strandlondon, Wc2r 0rlunited kingdom
t: +44 (0)20 7059 6100f: +44 (0)20 7059 [email protected]
11 West 19th Street 2nd fl.new york, ny 10011uSA
t: +1 212 686-5606f: +1 212 [email protected]
Suite 2401-3grand millennium plaza181 Queen’s road, centralhong kong
t: +852 2158 9700f: +852 2158 [email protected]
www.mergermarket.comPart of the mergermarket group
CONTENTS
Monthly M&A Insider
globAl overvieW
01
Against this backdrop, it is not surprising that at least one area of the M&A market witnessed a jump in the month: hostile takeovers. In total, six deals turned hostile in August, the highest monthly figure since October 2010. With organic growth coming under pressure and share prices for many quoted companies sinking in recent months, taking a bid hostile may be a shrewd move for companies looking to strike a quick bargain and boost earnings. On the sell-side, target shareholders can also gain in a down market, if the premium paid is sufficiently attractive for investors to go against the company’s board.
However, going hostile can be a risky strategy and often fails – roughly one-half of all such bids since 2005 have not been successful. And even for deals that are successful, taking a deal hostile can arouse national resentment and even spur regulatory reform, à la the UK, where the Kraft-Cadbury saga last year triggered a review of the country’s Takeover Code. Looking ahead, it remains to be seen whether the spate of recent hostile activity will materialise in completed transactions.
Casting a look to the most noteworthy hostile bid pending, and the largest M&A deal to come to market globally in August, SABMiller bypassed the board of Foster’s Group, the Australian beer company, in a direct offer to the company’s
shareholders at a price of A$4.9 in cash per share. The bid by the UK-listed brewer, which could be worth as much as US$11.6bn, has become increasingly contentious after the company’s first offer was rebuffed by Foster’s board in June – and more recently, the Australian Takeover Panel rejected SABMiller’s request for a review of Foster’s financial statements. Notwithstanding this, Foster’s has indicated that it is open to discuss a potential deal with SABMiller, if the company were to make a “sensible bid.”
If Foster’s shareholders accept the offer, it would be the largest hostile transaction to complete this year. This is following the failed US$13.2bn rival bid for NYSE Euronext by Nasdaq OMX Group and IntercontinentalExchange, which was rejected by the target as NYSE agreed to a planned merger with Deutsch Börse.
With many of the underlying issues affecting markets still unresolved – such as subdued growth in the US, the mounting sovereign debt crisis in Southern Europe, and growing worries about banks’ exposures to this crisis – it is unclear when we will see a revival in confidence. In general, this may prove a headwind to overall M&A activity, but it could bolster the ambitions of opportunistic investors with the ways and the means to table hostile bids.
GLOBAL OvErvIEW
head of research: Elias Latsis
editor: Felicity James
For advertising opportunities contact:
erik wickman
tel: + (1) 212 6863329 [email protected]
Global overview: Matthew Albert
latin America: Jennifer ruiz and Urna Chakraborty
north America: Jason Cozza
Asia-pacific: rus Beasley
europe: Samuel Tedjasukmana and Damien Julliard
Middle east & Africa: Yannis Papacostas and Marie-Laure Keyrouz
GlobAl overvIew
IN AUGUST, THE GLOBAL DEAL COUNT FOr ANNOUNCED TrANSACTIONS WAS DOWN BY rOUGHLY ONE-FIFTH IN vOLUME TErMS FrOM JULY TO 696 DEALS WOrTH A TOTAL US$154.5BN. CErTAINLY, THE SLOWDOWN WAS IN KEEPING WITH THE NOrMAL LULL IN SUMMErTIME DEALMAKING, BUT MOrE TEPID M&A ACTIvITY ALSO MIrrOrS THE CHANGING BUSINESS CLIMATE OF LATE, WHICH HAS SEEN A SWIrL OF UNIMPrESSIvE ECONOMIC DATA rELEASES IN COrE ECONOMIES, EMErGENT SIGNS OF A MOrE FrAGILE GLOBAL GrOWTH OUTLOOK AND SLIDING SHArE PrICES ON THE WOrLD’S MAJOr STOCK INDICES.
Monthly M&A Insider 02
globAl overvieW
TrEND GrAPHS
GlobAl M&A quArterly trend
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
Q311*
Q211
Q111
Q410
Q310
Q210
Q110
Q409
Q309
Q209
Q109
Q408
Q308
Q208
Q108
Q407
Q307
Q207
Q107
Q406
Q306
Q206
Q106
Q405
Q305
Q205
Q105
Valu
e (U
S$bn
)
Total value Mid-market value
Num
ber of deals
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
Total volume Mid-market volume
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
Q311*
Q211
Q111
Q410
Q310
Q210
Q110
Q409
Q309
Q209
Q109
Q408
Q308
Q208
Q108
Q407
Q307
Q207
Q107
Q406
Q306
Q206
Q106
Q405
Q305
Q205
Q105
Valu
e (U
S$bn
)
Buyout value Exit value
Num
ber of deals
Buyout volume Exit volume
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
GlobAl M&A AnnuAl trend GlobAl M&A AnnuAl prIvAte equIty trend
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
YTD 2011*201020092008200720062005
Valu
e (U
S$bn
)
Total value Mid-market value
Num
ber of deals
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
Total volume Mid-market volume
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
YTD 2011*201020092008200720062005
Valu
e (U
S$bn
)
Buyout value Exit value
Num
ber of deals
Buyout volume Exit volume
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
GlobAl M&A quArterly prIvAte equIty trend
Monthly M&A Insider 03
globAl overvieW
TrEND GrAPHS
GlobAl M&A sector breAkdown ytd 2011
GlobAl GeoGrAphIc breAkdown ytd 2011
vALUE
vALUE
vOLUME
vOLUME
23.4%4.5%
0.2%
2.3%4.0%1.9%
0.3%
10.1%
1.4%
12.3%
15.6%
15.9%
8.2%
Industrials & Chemicals
TMT
Consumer
Business Services
Energy, Mining & Utilities
Financial Services
Pharma, Medical & Biotech
Construction
Leisure
Transportation
Real Estate
Agriculture
Defence
1.6% 4.8%
45.6%
31.7%
16.2% Asia-Pacific
Europe
North America
Middle East & Africa
Latin America
3.1%3.7%
1.0%1.4%
9.3%
8.8%
0.3%
12.8%13.1%
14.9%
19.8%3.8%
7.9%
Industrials & Chemicals
TMT
Consumer
Business Services
Energy, Mining & Utilities
Financial Services
Pharma, Medical & Biotech
Construction
Leisure
Transportation
Real Estate
Agriculture
Defence
4.7%2.3%
32.6%
40.6%
19.9% Asia-Pacific
Europe
North America
Middle East & Africa
Latin America
Monthly M&A Insider 04
globAl overvieW
TrEND GrAPHS
GlobAl M&A deAl sIze breAkdown
vALUE vOLUME
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
H2 2011*201020092008200720062005
38.8%
15.5%
22.1%
8.5%
15.1%
43.9%
16.3%
20.4%
7.3%
12.3%
39.8%
16.9%
23.0%
7.9%
12.5%
42.7%
15.0%
19.1%
8.8%
14.3%
40.6%
16.5%
20.5%
7.9%
14.5%
27.4%
21.0%
27.6%
9.3%
14.6%
33.4%
19.8%
25.3%
9.1%
12.4%
<US$250m or undisclosed value
US$251m-US$500m
US$501m-US$2,000m
US$2,001m-US$5,000m
>US$5,001m
Per
cent
age
80
82
84
86
88
90
92
94
96
98
100
H2 2011*201020092008200720062005
<US$250m or undisclosed value
US$251m-US$500m
US$501m-US$2,000m
US$2,001m-US$5,000m
>US$5,001m
0.7%
1.0%
4.5%
4.7%
89.2%
0.7%
1.2%
5.0%
4.7%
88.4%
0.7%
1.3%
5.5%
5.1%
87.4%
0.6%
0.9%
3.9%
4.6%
90.1%
0.5%
1.0%
3.8%
3.9%
90.9%
89.1%
4.5%
4.8%
1.2%
0.4%
1.3%
5.5%
5.2%
87.4%
0.7%
Per
cent
age
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M E R R I L L D A T A S I T E
LATIN AM
ERICA
LATIN AMERICAA MERgERMARkET M&A REpoRT oN
Monthly M&A Insider 06
August’s top deal is Japan-based drinks producer kirin Holdings Co Ltd’s US$2.5bn acquisition of a majority stake in the Brazil-based beer and soft beverage business, primo Schincariol Industria de Cervejas e Refrigerantes, by acquiring all outstanding shares of Aleadri-Schinni participacoes e Representacoes S.A. Announced on 2 August 2011, this acquisition will enhance kirin’s position in the Brazilian market, while kirin expects to accelerate Schincariol participacoes’ growth by a combination of brands, distribution effort, research and marketing. This transaction is complete.
The consumer sector dominated top deals for the month of August, obtaining five of the top 10 deals spots. The first three positions were filled by the announcement of the top transaction as well as the Dufry group’s US$672m acquisition of Blaicor SA, Navinten SA, Duty Free Ecuador SA, ADF Shops CJSC and two duty free shops in Martinique, and Electrolux’s acquisition of Compania Tecno Industrial SA for US$563m. Due to these large value deals, the consumer sector had the highest deal volume in the year to date with 65 deals worth US$11.5bn, a 19% market share by volume and 16% by value.
Looking forward, China continues its ventures in the Latin American market with a group of Chinese steelmakers, together with China’s CITIC bank, purchasing 15% of Brazil’s Companhia Brasileira de Metalurgia e Mineracao (CBMM), the world’s biggest niobium producer, for US$1.9bn. Niobium is used to strengthen steel that is sold to the automotive, oil and gas pipeline and construction sectors. This transaction would allow China, the world’s biggest importer of niobium, to secure additional global supplies. CBMM has been handling relations with Asia since March when it sold a 15% stake to a group of Japanese and korean companies for another $1.95 billion. predictions pit increased niobium demand to spur acquisitions in Latin American mining companies as steelmaking production increases.
AUgUST’S LATIN AMERICAN M&A ACTIvITy SAw 37 DEALS woRTH US$6.7BN, A 5.7% INCREASE IN voLUME AND A 17.3% DECREASE By vALUE SINCE JULy. ENERgy, MININg & UTILITIES HAD THE LARgEST DEAL vALUE AT US$19.9BN AND 56 DEALS IN THE yEAR To DATE, AT 27% oF MARkET SHARE By vALUE. BRAzIL HoLDS AN ovERwHELMINg AMoUNT oF MARkET SHARE IN THE yEAR To DATE HowEvER, ovERALL MARkET SHARE NoMINALLy DECREASED IN AUgUST—20 DEALS woRTH US$3.9BN—SLIDINg To 65.5% oF THE MARkET By vALUE AND 54.5% By voLUME. THIS RESULTED IN A 0.9% DECREASE IN MARkET SHARE By voLUME AND A 0.7% DECREASE IN MARkET SHARE By vALUE.
07
LATIN AM
ERICA
Monthly M&A Insider
Top 10 LATIN AMERICAN ANNouNCEd dEALs of ThE MoNTh (Aug-11)Announced Bidder company Target company Target dominant
sectorseller company Exit multiples (x) Bid premia
1-day before
deal value
(us$m)Revenue EBITdA p/E
02-Aug-11 kirin Holdings Co Ltd primo Schincariol Industria de Cervejas e Refrigerantes (50.45% stake)
Consumer Adriano Schincariol (private investor) and Alexandre Schincarol (private investor)
2.9 155.6 - 2,553
04-Aug-11 Dufry group Blaicor SA, Navinten SA, Duty Free Ecuador SA, ADF Shops CJSC, and Two Duty Free Shops in Martinique
Consumer 7.9 - 672
22-Aug-11 Electrolux AB Compania Tecno Industrial SA
Consumer Sigdo koppers SA 1.3 7.4 10.3 -1.1% 563
10-Aug-11 westfield group Almeida Junior Shopping Centers SA (50.00% stake)
Real Estate - 465
04-Aug-11 Dufry group Interbaires SA Consumer 1.1 - 285
02-Aug-11 gol Linhas Aereas Inteligentes
webjet Linhas Aereas Transportation 0.6 8.2 15.0 - 284
26-Aug-11 Constantino Family passaro Marron Transportation Serveng Civilsan SA Empresas Associadas de Engenharia
- 250
25-Aug-11 plural Capital gestao de Recursos Ltda
Banco Modal SA Financial Services n/a n/a - 187
25-Aug-11 Carvajal Empaques SA grupo Convermex SA de Cv Consumer 0.9 - 180
05-Aug-11 Solway Investment group Limited
HudBay Minerals Inc (Fenix project)
Energy, Mining & Utilities
HudBay Minerals Inc - 170
Based on announced deals, including lapsed and withdrawn bids Based on dominant geography of target company being Latin AmericaData correct as of 02-Sep-11
Source: mergermarket
Top DEALS
LATIN AM
ERICA
Monthly M&A Insider
TREND gRApHS
LATIN AMERICAN M&A quARTERLy TRENd
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Q311*
Q211
Q111
Q410
Q310
Q210
Q110
Q409
Q309
Q209
Q109
Q408
Q308
Q208
Q108
Q407
Q307
Q207
Q107
Q406
Q306
Q206
Q106
Q405
Q305
Q205
Q105
Total value Mid-market value
Num
ber of dealsValu
e (U
S$bn
)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Total volume Mid-market volume
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
Q311*
Q211
Q111
Q410
Q310
Q210
Q110
Q409
Q309
Q209
Q109
Q408
Q 08
Q208
Q108
Q407
Q307
Q207
Q107
Q406
Q306
Q206
Q106
Q405
Q305
Q205
Q105
Valu
e (U
S$m
)
Buyout value Exit value
Num
ber of deals
Buyout volume Exit volume
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
LATIN AMERICAN M&A ANNuAL TRENd LATIN AMERICAN M&A ANNuAL pRIvATE EquITy TRENd
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
YTD 2011*201020092008200720062005
Total value Mid-market value
Num
ber of dealsValu
e (U
S$bn
)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Total volume Mid-market volume
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
YTD 2011*201020092008200720062005
Valu
e (U
S$m
)
Buyout value Exit value
Num
ber of deals
Buyout volume Exit volume
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
LATIN AMERICAN M&A quARTERLy pRIvATE EquITy TRENd
08
LATIN AM
ERICA
Monthly M&A Insider
TREND gRApHS
LATIN AMERICAN M&A gEogRAphIC BREAkdowN yTd 2011
vALUE voLUME
66.0%
10.0%
6.0%<0.1%
<0.1%0.7%
0.3%0.2%
0.2%3.0% 2.0% 4.0%
8.0%Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Dominican Republic
Ecuador
El Salvador
Guatemala
Honduras
Mexico
Panama
Peru
Uruguay
Argentina
1.2%
0.9%
7.0%
8.0%
0.6%
0.6%0.3%
0.3%
1.2%
1.0% 9.0%1.0%
54.0%
5.8%
0.9%
8.0%
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Costa Rica
Dominican Republic
Ecuador
El Salvador
Guatemala
Honduras
Mexico
Panama
Peru
Uruguay
Venezuela
Argentina
Bolivia
LATIN AMERICAN M&A sECToR BREAkdowN yTd 2011
vALUE voLUME
0.3%0.5%
17.0%16.0%
27.0%
<0.1%0.1%
3.0%
14.0%
2.0%
12.0%
1.0%
2.0%
6.0%
Consumer
Industrials & Chemicals
Energy, Mining & Utilities
Business Services
Financial Services
Pharma, Medical & Biotech
Technology
Transportation
Construction
Agriculture
Media
Telecommunicatons
Leisure
Real Estate
Defense
<0.1%
19.0%
16.0%5.0%
4.0%
4.0%
4.0%
3.0%
1.0%
2.0%2.0%
1.0%1.0%
10.0%
16.0%11.0%
Consumer
Industrials & Chemicals
Energy, Mining & Utilities
Business Services
Financial Services
Pharma, Medical & Biotech
Technology
Transportation
Construction
Agriculture
Media
Telecommunicatons
Leisure
Real Estate
Defense
09
10
LATIN AM
ERICA
Monthly M&A Insider
LATIN AMERICAN M&A dEAL sIzE BREAkdowN
vALUE voLUME
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
YTD 2011*201020092008200720062005
<US$250m or undisclosed value
US$251m-US$500m
US$501m-US$2,000m
US$2,001m-US$5,000m
>US$5,001m
17.9%
7.2%
25.8%
21.3%
27.8%
46.9%
8.3%
21.8%
10.3%
12.7%
16.2%
10.8%
31.3%
16.2%
25.5%
30.5%
20.3%
24.5%
10.0%
14.7%
9.2%
29.3%
36.7%
10.1%
14.8%9.0%
6.6%
24.5%
18.2%
41.7%
18.3%
22.2%
32.9%
12.5%
14.1%
Per
cent
age
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
YTD 2011*201020092008200720062005
0.3%
4.1%
7.1%
88.1%
1.0%
5.4%
7.4%
85.1%
0.2%
5.3%
6.4%
87.4%
0.6%
4.7%
5.3%
88.2%
0.3%
6.9%
5.4%
85.6%81.9%
6.3%
8.4%
1.4%0.3% 1.0% 0.7% 1.2% 1.8% 2.0%
7.5%
6.9%
83.6%
0.6%
Per
cent
age
1.4%
<US$250m or undisclosed value
US$251m-US$500m
US$501m-US$2,000m
US$2,001m-US$5,000m
>US$5,001m
TREND gRApHS
NORTH
AMERICA
A mergermArket m&A report on
11Monthly M&A Insider
nortH AmerICA
TMT doMInATed Top deAls for The MonTh of AugusT
For tHe montH oF August, tmt seCtor obtAIned two oF nortH AmerICA’s top FIve deAls spots: tHe ACquIsItIon oF motorolA mobIlIty HoldIngs InC by google InC For us$8.9bn And tHe ACquIsItIon oF InsIgHt CommunICAtIons CompAny InC by tIme wArner InC For us$4.7bn. due to tHe lArge deAls AnnounCed tHIs quArter, tmt reACHed A totAl us$126.6bn In totAl deAl vAlue yeAr to dAte. In 2010, by tHe end oF 31 August, deAl vAlue totAlled us$72.2bn; HenCe tHe 2011 totAl vAlue For tmt In nortH AmerICA presents A 75.3% InCreAse From 2010.
time warner’s acquisition is also the largest exit deal for the month with the Carlyle group as a vendor. the top three deals were all announced on 15 August, including the second largest deal – which falls into the financial sector – which is the acquisition of mbnA Canada bank by td bank group for us$7.5bn.
Q3 2011 may not end as strongly as last yearwith a month left until the end of q3 for 2011, it seems as if this year’s third quarter may not be as successful as last year. so far, q3 has a total deal value of us$164.9bn with 460 deals. this time last year there was a total value of us$111.3m, representing a 32% decrease in value and a volume of 711 deals for q3 2010 – a 35% decrease in volume. with financial services dominating both quarters, by the end of August last year, q3 had reached 89 deals overall, whereas this year the total is just 58 transactions – a 34.8% decrease.
new developments in proposed T-Mobile/ AT&T mergerIn what would have resulted in the largest telecommunications company in north America, the us$39bn acquisition of t-mobile by At&t was blocked by an antitrust lawsuit filed by the department of Justice. looking forward, sprint is also suing to stop this deal from passing. sprint claims that the proposed takeover would hurt consumers and corporate customers due to higher prices and decreased innovation, as well as strengthening and increasing At&t and verizon’s market shares whist weakening sprint and other independent wireless carriers. If At&t’s bid for t-mobile is denied by regulators, the company will be obligated to pay a break-up fee of about us$6bn to telekom, t-mobile’s parent company deutsche. the tmt sector will experience an increase in activity should At&t look to smaller independent wireless providers as possible targets for future acquisitions.
12
NORTH
AMERICA
Monthly M&A Insider
top deAls & expeCted deAls
Top 10 norTh AMerIcAn Announced deAls of The MonTh (Aug-11) Announced Bidder company Target company Target dominated
sectorseller company exit multiples (x) Bid premia
1-day before
deal value(us$m)revenue eBITdA p/e
15-Aug-11 google Inc tmt motorola mobility Holdings Inc
0.8 29.2 63.5% 8,950
15-Aug-11 td bank group Financial services mbnA Canada bank (Credit card business)
mbnA Canada bank n/a n/a - 7,570
15-Aug-11 time warner Cable Inc tmt Insight Communications Company Inc
the Carlyle group, llC, midocean partners llp and Crestview partners lp
4.5 14.7 18.7 - 4,687
04-Aug-11 blackstone group lp business services emdeon Inc general Atlantic llC 3.0 19.1 90.5 16.9% 3,013
10-Aug-11 Capital one Financial Corporation
Financial services HsbC Holdings plc (us card and retail services business)
HsbC Holdings plc n/a n/a 2.0 - 2,600
01-Aug-11 windstream Corp tmt pAeteC Holding Corp
1.3 8.9 27.1% 2,158
05-Aug-11 Hellman & Friedman llC
business services sungard Higher education Inc
sungard data systems Inc
3.5 - 1,775
02-Aug-11 Fresenius medical Care Ag & Co kgaA
pharma, medical & biotech
liberty dialysis Holdings Inc
bain Capital llC, norwest equity partners; krg Capital partners, llC and Ignition partners
1.7 - 1,700
29-Aug-11 Aurico gold Inc energy, mining & utilities northgate minerals Corporation
2.8 23.4 57.9% 1,379
16-Aug-11 general dynamics Corporation
business services vangent Inc veritas Capital Fund III l p
1.3 10.4 10.6 - 960
*Indicates lapsed deal based on announced deals, including lapsed and withdrawn bids based on dominant geography of target company being north America (us + Canada) data correct as of 07-sep-11
source: mergermarket
13
NORTH
AMERICA
Monthly M&A Insider
situation Target company sector potential bidder company
financial advisor to bidder (B); target (T); seller (s)
seller company
Market cap/ est.
value (us$m)
comments
expected deal the Clorox Company Consumer Icahn enterprises lp
goldman sachs (t), Jp morgan (t)
8,957 on 15-Jul-2011, Icahn partners lp proposed to acquire the Clorox Company at us$76.5 per share. some sources close to the situation expressed their doubts about the seriousness of Icahn's offer, given that the bidder had not secured committed financing prior to make the proposal. on 18-Jul-2011, Clorox announced that its board of directors had determined that Icahn's offer significantly undervalues the company and is thus not in its shareholders' best interest. subsequently to that announcement, Clorox adopted a stockholder rights plan and declared a dividend of one right on each outstanding share of Clorox's common stock. on 20-Jul-2011 Icahn increased its bid to us$80 per share, which was again again rejected by Clorox's board of directors. In the meantime, It has been speculated that Clorox might receive higher competing offers.
expected deal ralcorp Holdings Inc Consumer ConAgra Foods Inc Credit suisse (t), Centerview partners (b)
4,325 on 4-may-2011, ConAgra Foods made an offer to acquire ralCorp Holdings, Inc. for us$86 per share or for a total consideration of us$4.9bn, in addition to the assumption of ralCorp's debt of us$2.5bn. the expected transaction would allow ConAgra to expand its presence in the private label segment and to consolidate its position as a packaged food company. nonetheless, ralCorp's board of directors uniamously rejected the proposal and adopted a shareholder rights plan. In the meantime, ralCorp has decided to separate the main company from post Foods, ralCorp's cereal division, in a tax-free spin-off to shareholders. some sources close to the transaction say that if the spin-off does take place, ConAgra might acquire the private label business.
expected deal barnes & nobles Inc Consumer liberty media 1,054 liberty media conducted due diligence on barnes & nobles on 02-Jun-2011, although investors are banking on a higher offer. on 02-Jul-2011, liberty Chairman John malone said in an interview at Allen & Co's media conference that he is hopeful that a deal at the right price will happen. steve riggio, barnes & nobles' Chairman, stated he couldn't think of a better partner than John malone.
expected deal translantic Holdings, Inc
Financial services
national Indemn goldman sachs (t), moelis & Co llC (t)
3,099 on 11-Aug-2011, transatlantic Holdings entered into an agreement with national Indemnity and has commenced discussions on a possible merger agreement. However, later in the month Allied world made an offer to transarlantic, which was later opposed by validus Holdings.
expected deal 99 Cents only stores Consumer leonard green & partners lp and schiffer/gold family
lazard (t) 1,370 99 Cents only stores has received an acquisition proposal from the schiffer/gold family and leonard green & partners lp. the consideration in the proposal is us$19.09 per share in cash. the offer was received on 11-mar-2011. outside analysts have concluded, however, that 99 Cent only stores could receive a higher offer.
expected deals based on confirmed announcements by companies involved
pIpelIne of norTh AMerIcAn expecTed deAls
top deAls & expeCted deAls
14
NORTH
AMERICA
Monthly M&A Insider
trend grApHs
norTh AMerIcAn M&A QuArTerly Trend
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Q311*
Q211
Q111
Q410
Q310
Q210
Q110
Q409
Q309
Q209
Q109
Q408
Q308
Q208
Q108
Q407
Q307
Q207
Q107
Q406
Q306
Q206
Q106
Q405
Q305
Q205
Q105
Valu
e (U
S$bn
)
Total value Mid-market value
Num
ber of deals
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
Total volume Mid-market volume
0
50
100
150
200
250
Q311*
Q211
Q111
Q410
Q310
Q210
Q110
Q409
Q309
Q209
Q109
Q408
Q308
Q208
Q108
Q407
Q307
Q207
Q107
Q406
Q306
Q206
Q106
Q405
Q305
Q205
Q105
Valu
e (U
S$bn
)
Buyout value Exit value
Num
ber of deals
Buyout volume Exit volume
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
norTh AMerIcAn M&A AnnuAl Trend norTh AMerIcAn M&A AnnuAl prIvATe eQuITy Trend
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
YTD 2011*201020092008200720062005
Total value Mid-market value
Num
ber of dealsValu
e (U
S$bn
)
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
Total volume Mid-market volume
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
YTD 2011*201020092008200720062005
Valu
e (U
S$bn
)
Buyout value Exit value
Num
ber of deals
Buyout volume Exit volume
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
norTh AMerIcAn M&A QuArTerly prIvATe eQuITy Trend
15
NORTH
AMERICA
Monthly M&A Insider
trend grApHs
norTh AMerIcAn M&A secTor BreAkdown yTd 2011
vAlue volume
14.0%
1.5%1.8% 8.0%
3.0%
27.0%
6.0%
13.0%
10.0%
8.0%
0.5%1.0%
5.0%0.4% 0.2%
Industrials & Chemicals
Technology
Business Services
Pharma, Medical & Biotech
Financial Services
Energy, Mining & Utilities
Consumer
Media
Leisure
Construction
Transportation
Telecommunications
Real Estate
Defense
Agriculture
17.0%
15.0%
13.0%
2.7%
12.0%
10.0%
3.0%
3.0%
9.0%
10.0%
0.8%1.8%
0.8%
Industrials & Chemicals
Technology
Business Services
Pharma, Medical & Biotech
Financial Services
Energy, Mining & Utilities
Consumer
Media
Leisure
Construction
Transportation
Telecommunications
Real Estate
Defense
Agriculture
norTh AMerIcAn M&A deAl sIze BreAkdown
vAlue volume
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
YTD 2011*201020092008200720062005
<US$250m or undisclosed value
US$251m-US$500m
US$501m-US$2,000m
US$2,001m-US$5,000m
>US$5,001m
46.6%
15.8%
18.0%
7.0%
12.6%
51.6%
15.0%
17.3%
6.4%
9.7%
42.9%
19.0%
21.8%
6.6%
9.6%
49.3%
13.8%
17.5%
7.2%
12.2%
58.8%
13.3%
13.2%
5.4%
9.2% 12.5%
9.6%
27.6%
18.1%
32.2%
44.1%
20.9%
18.1%
7.7%
9.3%
Per
cent
age
75
80
85
90
95
100
YTD 2011*201020092008200720062005
0.9%1.3%
4.5%
4.9%
88.5%
1.0%
1.5%
5.4%
5.3%
86.8%
1.1%
1.8%
6.3%
5.3%
85.6%
0.9%
3.7%
4.1%
90.6%
1.0%
3.5%
3.8%
91.0%
87.5%
5.2%
5.6%
1.1%1.0%
1.9%
5.6%
6.2%
85.3%
0.7% 0.7% 0.6%
<US$250m or undisclosed value
US$251m-US$500m
US$501m-US$2,000m
US$2,001m-US$5,000m
>US$5,001m
Per
cent
age
ASIA-PAcIfIc
A mergermArket m&A report on
Monthly M&A Insider 16
ASIA-pAcIfIc
Large transactions…the financial Services sector topped the list with the highest activity in terms of value. With 15 transactions totalling US$16bn, the sector witnessed some large transactions that accounted for 34% of total value. the largest transaction in question involved Bank of America announcing its intent to sell a 5.44% stake in china construction Bank’s H-shares to a group of investors including temasek Holdings and cItIc Securities for US$8.3bn – completion is expected to take place in the third quarter of 2011. In addition to this transaction, ping An Insurance has agreed to acquire 18.85% stake in Shenzhen Development Bank. Both china-based companies, the transaction is valued at US$3.1bn, making it the third largest deal across all geographies and sectors.
on the other hand, the consumer sector also saw vigorous activity with 23 transactions accounting for 32.9% of deal value in the Asia-pacific region. case in point, Uk-based SAB miller, the world’s second-largest brewer, announced its takeover bid for Australia-based foster’s group after a previous rejection by foster’s board. the offer is valued at US$11.6bn, making it the month’s largest deal. the second largest transaction in the sector involved yet another food and beverage deal, when Japan-based Asahi group announced its intent to acquire new Zealand-based flavored Beverages group in a deal valued at US$1.3bn.
…in major marketsIn light of these large deals, 74% of deal value seen in August involved acquisitions of chinese and Australian targets. However, in terms of volume, these two locations accounted for almost half of transactions as well. over the month, china attracted the largest deal volume with 54 transactions valued at approximately US$18bn, with purchases spanning a number of sectors including Automotive, financial Services, Industrials, energy & mining, and consumer quite evenly. After the stake acquisition of china construction Bank, the financial Services sector realised the greatest value.
Australia closely trailed china over the month with 31 deals valued at US$17bn. While six of the top ten largest deals took place in the energy & mining sector, a few other sectors gained attention. In addition to the aforementioned SAB miller deal in the consumer sector, private equity played a large role in Australian m&A in August. In particular, Bain capital, the US-based private equity firm and the management of mYoB, the Australia-based business software developer, agreed to acquire an undisclosed majority of mYoB from a consortium led by Archer capital, the Australia-based private equity firm, for an estimated value of US$1.2bn.
Mining M&A still burning hotLooking ahead, m&A in the energy & mining sector is set to remain strong throughout Asia despite volatile commodity prices. According to mergermarket proprietary intelligence, San miguel corporation, the philippines-based conglomerate, is reported to be actively seeking out coal companies in order to complement its growing portfolio of power generation plants. the company prefers to acquire in Indonesia, which is geographically closer to the philippines, as opposed to other coal hotspots in Asia-pacific like Australia or mongolia. In another potential coal deal, thailand-based Banpu announced a US$504m takeover offer for the remaining 86% of shares in mongolia-based Hunnu coal in order to develop larger operations in mongolia. Banpu is also reportedly planning further acquisitions in Indonesia, Australia, china and possibly Africa.
AUgUSt experIenceD A reSUrgence of DeALS AcroSS ASIA-pAcIfIc m&A mArketS After montHS of tepID ActIvItY. In termS of voLUme, m&A reBoUnDeD SIgnIfIcAntLY SeeIng 181 DeALS, mArkIng A 27.5% gAIn over tHe prevIoUS montH. m&A vALUeS for AUgUSt totALeD US$47Bn, A 60% IncreASe from tHe prevIoUS montH AnD ALmoSt A 50% IncreASe over tHe montHLY AverAge YeAr-to-DAte. LookIng At voLUme AnD vALUe In tAnDem, BIDDerS Spent An AverAge of US$260m per DeAL over tHe montH, reSULtIng In A 41.5% IncreASe from tHe YeAr-to-DAte fIgUre.
17Monthly M&A Insider
ASIA-PAcIfIc
top DeALS
Top 10 AsIA-pAcIfIc Announced deALs of The MonTh (Aug-11)Announced Bidder company Target company Target dominant
sectorseller company exit multiples (x) Bid premia
1-day beforedeal value
(us$m)Revenue eBITdA p/e
17-Aug-11 SABmiller plc foster's group Limited consumer 4.6 13.6 9.1 -0.6% 11,630
17-Aug-11 ping An Insurance (group) company of china Ltd
Shenzhen Development Bank co Ltd (18.85% stake)
financial Services
n/a n/a 8.8 -1.4% 3,132
08-Aug-11 fc residential Investment corporation
Ichigo real estate Investment corporation
real estate n/a n/a - 2,225
16-Aug-11 Southwest Securities company Ltd
guoDu Securities co Ltd financial Services
n/a n/a 32.0 - 1,765
26-Aug-11 consortium for coal & Allied Industries Limited
coal & Allied Industries Limited (14.09% stake)
energy, mining & Utilities
5.1 9.6 15.2 6.1% 1,591
18-Aug-11 Asahi group Holdings Ltd
flavoured Beverages group Holdings Limited
consumer pacific equity partners; and Unitas capital pte Ltd
- 1,270
21-Aug-11 Bain capital LLc mYoB Limited (undisclosed majority stake)
tmt Harbourvest partners LLc; and Archer capital pty Ltd
- 1,249
01-Aug-11 Hainan Airlines group company Limited; and Bravia capital Hong kong Limited
ge Seaco SrL financial Services
ge capital corporation; and Seaco Ltd
n/a n/a - 1,049
29-Aug-11 china Zhengtong Auto Services Holdings Limited
ScAS Investment co Ltd consumer 8.9 - 862
11-Aug-11 power corporation of canada; china South Industry Asset management co Ltd; and Shandong rural economy Investment & Development coLtd
china Amc (31.00% stake) financial Services
cItIc Securities co Ltd
n/a n/a - 805
Based on announced deals, including lapsed and withdrawn bids Based on dominant geography of target company being Asia-pacific Data correct as of 05-Sep-11
Source: mergermarket
18
ASIA-PAcIfIc
Monthly M&A Insider
trenD grApHS
AsIA-pAcIfIc M&A quARTeRLy TRend
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Q311*
Q211
Q111
Q410
Q310
Q210
Q110
Q409
Q309
Q209
Q109
Q408
Q308
Q208
Q108
Q407
Q307
Q207
Q107
Q406
Q306
Q206
Q106
Q405
Q305
Q205
Q105
Valu
e (U
S$bn
)
Total value Mid-market value
Num
ber of deals
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Total volume Mid-market volume
0
5
10
15
20
25
Q311*
Q211
Q111
Q410
Q310
Q210
Q110
Q409
Q309
Q209
Q109
Q408
Q308
Q208
Q108
Q407
Q307
Q207
Q107
Q406
Q306
Q206
Q106
Q405
Q305
Q205
Q105
Valu
e (U
S$bn
)
Buyout value Exit value
Num
ber of deals
Buyout volume Exit volume
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
AsIA-pAcIfIc M&A AnnuAL TRend AsIA pAcIfIc M&A AnnuAL pRIvATe equITy TRend
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
YTD 2011*201020092008200720062005
Total value Mid-market value
Num
ber of dealsValu
e (U
S$bn
)
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
Total volume Mid-market volume
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
YTD 2011*201020092008200720062005
Valu
e (U
S$bn
)
Buyout value Exit value
Num
ber of deals
Buyout volume Exit volume
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
AsIA-pAcIfIc M&A quARTeRLy pRIvATe equITy TRend
19
ASIA-PAcIfIc
Monthly M&A Insider
trenD grApHS
AsIA-pAcIfIc M&A geogRAphIc BReAKdoWn yTd 2011
vALUe voLUme
Australia
China
Hong Kong
India
Indonesia
Japan
Malaysia
Singapore
South Korea
Taiwan
Other
23.0%
3.0%
2.0%
10.0%
3.0%
10.0%
4.0%
9.0%
2.0%
8.0%
26.0%
Australia
China
Hong Kong
India
Indonesia
Japan
Malaysia
Singapore
South Korea
Taiwan
Other
17.0%
4.0%3.0%9.0%
4.0%
14.0%
3.0%
11.0%
2.0%7.0%
26.0%
AsIA-pAcIfIc M&A secToR BReAKdoWn yTd 2011
vALUe voLUme
17.0%
15.0%
5.0%
3.0%
15.0%
17.0%
3.0%
4.0%
3.6%
3.2%
5.0%4.0%
0.8%
4.0%
Industrials & Chemicals
Consumer
Business Services
Technology
Financial Services
Energy, Mining & Utilities
Pharma, Medical & Biotech
Transportation
Construction
Leisure
Real Estate
Media
Telecommunications
Agriculture
20.0%
13.0%
10.0%
11.0%
9.0%
4.0%
4.0%
6.0%
10.0%
4.3%2.9%
2.7%1.6%1.0%
Industrials & Chemicals
Consumer
Business Services
Technology
Financial Services
Energy, Mining & Utilities
Pharma, Medical & Biotech
Transportation
Construction
Leisure
Real Estate
Media
Telecommunications
Agriculture
20
ASIA-PAcIfIc
Monthly M&A Insider
AsIA-pAcIfIc M&A deAL sIze BReAKdoWn
vALUe voLUme
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
YTD 2011*201020092008200720062005
<US$250m or undisclosed value
US$251m-US$500m
US$501m-US$2,000m
US$2,001m-US$5,000m
>US$5,001m
23.0%
18.8%
28.6%
9.4%
20.2%
19.2%
22.2%
27.1%
10.9%
20.7%
15.7%
17.1%
30.3%
12.6%
24.2%
29.6%
15.9%
22.1%
11.9%
20.5%
19.9%
16.5%
30.8%
11.2%
21.6% 20.9%
10.3%
27.5%
29.6%
11.7% 14.5%
15.9%
35.8%
12.5%
21.3%
Per
cent
age
75
80
85
90
95
100
YTD 2011*201020092008200720062005
1.0%
5.1%
4.6%
89.0%
1.1%
4.8%
4.8%
88.9%
0.9%
5.0%
5.4%
88.3%
0.9%
4.4%
5.7%
88.5%
0.9%
5.5%
5.3%
87.9% 88.5%
4.9%
4.7%
1.7% 0.9%
6.0%
5.8%
87.0%
0.3% 0.3% 0.2%0.4% 0.3%0.4% 0.4%
<US$250m or undisclosed value
US$251m-US$500m
US$501m-US$2,000m
US$2,001m-US$5,000m
>US$5,001m
Per
cent
age
trenD grApHS
21Monthly M&A Insider
europe
A mergermArket m&A report on
eUrope
Industrials & Chemicals remains the most active sector in the region for the YtD 2011, with 691 deals announced, worth €63.6bn. Uk also remains the most active country in terms of m&A deals with 630 deals announced on the territory, for a total value of €61.9bn. Deals valued between €501m and €2bn represents most of the value of m&A deals in the region: €102.3bn.
Berlin prepares to take stake in EADS:the german government is set to take a stake in european aerospace company eADS after no buyers came forward for a portion of Daimler’s holding. Berlin has been seeking buyers for the 7.5% stake – a third of the holding controlled by the german car manufacturer – since February, but a senior official has now admitted the ongoing search is “hopeless”. the government views Daimler’s holding as a counterweight to the 22.5% held by the French government and French media group Lagardère – and a guarantee that production will stay in germany as well as France.
Daimler suggested its government intervene last February, after it could find no buyer. While Chancellor Angela merkel’s Christian Democrats were in favour, their free-market Free Democrat partners demanded another search. the government recently widened the hunt to include financial investors alongside strategic ones. But even one senior Free Democrat admitted to the Financial times that the “kfW-option” was now “the most likely”.
to maintain germany’s stake, kfW, the state-run development bank, would spend about €2.5bn buying Daimler’s 7.5% share and an additional 7.5% for the share that the carmaker wants to sell next year. A third of its stake is currently held by banks that have the right to sell it back to Daimler next year.
mr. Dieter Zetsche, Daimler’s Ceo, demanded in June that Berlin halt the “endless discussions” about the stake, indicating he wanted a deal before year-end – a deadline Berlin is now working towards. over the past few years, Daimler and successive governments have failed to rouse germany’s biggest companies, many of whom, for historical reasons, are wary of getting into the defence business.
But even proponents of the kfW-option view it as fraught and, at best, temporary. With a third of eADS in state hands, the company could find selling defence equipment to other governments tough. Berlin also fears losing Daimler’s expertise with the reduction of its stake.
officials expect Lagardère to sell its 7.5% stake after next spring’s French presidential election, freeing up Daimler to follow suit. mr. Louis gallois, eADS’ Ceo, said in June it was time to reform the shareholder structure. eADS needed “a solution that is sustainable in the long term”, which could include a bigger free float.
german officials said they would like to use Daimler’s cutting of its stake as a first step towards a “more sustainable ownership structure” - though it is not clear what they may have in mind. over the past years, germany and France have looked at creating a golden share for each government. However, they ditched the idea, fearing it would contravene legal rules in the netherlands, where eADS is incorporated.
Bank of Georgia set for full London listing:the London Stock exchange is set to get its first full listing of a company from the former Soviet republic of georgia: the Bank of georgia, the republic’s main bank.
Bank of georgia, which has more than a third of its local banking market, is intending to shift from having global depository receipts quoted on the LSe to a full premium listing, and to reincorporate as a Uk holding company. It is part of the flood of companies from former Soviet republics, mostly russia and kazakhstan, which have listed in London in recent years.
tHe top eUropeAn DeAL LASt AUgUSt WAS tHe ACqUISItIon oF AUtonomY CorporAtIon, tHe Uk BASeD provIDer oF InFrAStrUCtUre SoFtWAre, BY tHe US It gIAnt HeWLett-pACkArD – A trAnSACtIon vALUeD At ABoUt €7.15Bn. eUrope SAW 214 m&A DeALS WortH €29.9Bn In AUgUSt, A 12.8% DeCreASe In vALUe to JULY (€34.3Bn), AnD A 45% DeCreASe In voLUme (391 DeALS): It HAS Been tHe qUIeter montH oF tHe YeAr So FAr.
22
europe
Monthly M&A Insider
However, while many companies from the former Soviet region are dominated by single shareholders or “oligarchs” – in some cases leading to controversy and governance disputes – Bank of georgia is 95% institutionally held. With US$2.5bn in assets, the bank has grown rapidly in recent years, and now accounts for 36% of the georgian market by assets and loans and almost 35% by client deposits. It has about 860,000 retail clients in a country of 4.6m people and is also the leading corporate bank. the new Uk-based holding company would issue ordinary shares to existing gDr holders. the move from gDrs - which were listed in 2006 - to a premium listing is seen as a way of raising the bank’s appeal to Uk and international investors, according to people familiar with the situation.
It is hoped the listing will boost the liquidity of the shares from a trading volume of about $1m a day and increase market capitalisation from US$450m, as well as helping to position the bank for future membership of the FtSe 250 index.
the economy grew by 6.4% in 2010 and is forecast to expand by another 5.5% this year. modern banking services such as credit and debit cards have gone from being virtually unknown a decade ago to being commonplace. But there are still only 18,000 mortgages in the country – almost half provided by Bank of georgia. total loans in the country amount to only 29% of gross domestic product, compared with over 100% in developed markets. Bank of georgia, founded in pre-revolutionary times but nationalised during the Soviet era, has increased its assets a total of10 times over the past seven years. Its market value has risen by just US$20m over the same timeframe.
eUrope
23
europe
Monthly M&A Insider
top DeALS & expeCteD DeALS
Top 10 EuropEAn AnnouncED DEALS of ThE MonTh (AuG-11) Announced Bidder company Target company Target dominated
sectorSeller company Exit multiples (x) Bid premia
1-day before
Deal value(€m)revenue EBITDA p/E
18-Aug-11 Hewlett-packard Company
Autonomy Corporation plc technology 11.8 24.7 47.3 63.7% 7,154
02-Aug-11 Cheung kong Infrastructure Holdings Limited
northumbrian Water group plc
energy, mining & Utilities
6.5 11.5 13.8 5.6% 5,483
15-Aug-11 transocean Ltd Aker Drilling ASA energy, mining & Utilities
6.8 14.3 28.7 98.4% 1,566
15-Aug-11 Cargill Inc provimi Holding Bv Consumer permira 0.9 10.3 1,500
01-Aug-11 Astrium nv vizada SAS telecommunications Apax partners SA 960
23-Aug-11 polskie gornictwo naftowe i gazownictwo SA
vattenfall Heat poland SA energy, mining & Utilities
vattenfall AB 880
24-Aug-11 Spx Corporation CLYDeUnIon pumps Limited
Industrials & Chemicals
Clyde Blowers Limited 2.9 18.7 857
23-Aug-11 tauron polska energia SA
vattenfall Distribution poland SA
energy, mining & Utilities
vattenfall AB 842
09-Aug-11 the european Bank for reconstruction and Development; and Luna Inc
ooo Lenta (43.2% Stake) Consumer August meyer (private Investor)
835
29-Aug-11 Alpha Bank SA eFg eurobank ergasias SA Financial Services -21.6% 751Based on announced deals, including lapsed and withdrawn bids Based on dominant geography of target company being europe Data correct as of 05-Sep-11
Source: mergermarket
24
europe
Monthly M&A Insider
pIpELInE of EuropEAn ExpEcTED DEALSSituation Target company Sector potential bidder
companyfinancial adviser to bidder (B); target (T); seller (S)
Seller company Market cap/est.
value (€m)
comments
potential takeover target
SC energonuclear SA energy, mining & Utilities
BkB Co; Arcelormittal SA; enel SpA
government of romania
4,000 BkB Co, a South korea-based investment firm, is interested in acquiring a stake in energonuclear, the romanian power project company. However, a recent report noted that both enel and Arcelormittal could exercise the option of doubling their stakes in energonuclear to 18.3% and 12.4% respectively. the spokesperson did not comment on the possibility that BkB might end up with just 29.3% stake in the project
expected deal
energias de portugal SA energy, mining & Utilities
Centrais eletricas Brasileiras SA
morgan Stanley (t); Caixa Banco de Investimento (S); perella Weinberg partners (S)
government of portugal
1,748 eletrobras [eLet3, eLet6: BZ] may be close to choosing a financial advisor for the portuguese government’s sale of a 20% stake in eDp [eDp pL], said a sector source claiming knowledge of the matter.
expected deal
LCH.Clearnet Ltd Financial Services
London Stock exchange (LSe) plc; markit group Limited
1,000 London Stock exchange has revived talks over a €1bn offer for LCH.Clearnet. LSe faces stiff competition from markit which is reported to have already made an offer of around €500m
rumoured takeover
Derby Cycle Ag Consumer Accell group nv 198 Derby Cycles has dismissed as “implausible” Dutch rival Accell’s declared plan to hold no more than 22% of the listed german premium and electric bike maker
potential takeover target
Highview power Storage energy, mining & Utilities
matrix group (t) 100 Highview power Storage (Highview), the private British energy storage developer, is looking to raise £10m over the next six months, Chief executive officer gareth Brett said. the company has appointed matrix group as advisor, he added
note: expected deals based on confirmed announcements by companies involved Source: mergermarket
top DeALS & expeCteD DeALS
europe
Monthly M&A Insider 25
trenD grApHS
EuropEAn M&A quArTErLy TrEnD
0
100
200
300
400
500
Q311*
Q211
Q111
Q410
Q310
Q210
Q110
Q409
Q309
Q209
Q109
Q408
Q308
Q208
Q108
Q407
Q307
Q207
Q107
Q406
Q306
Q206
Q106
Q405
Q305
Q205
Q105
Valu
e (€
bn)
Total value Mid-market value
Num
ber of deals
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
Total volume Mid-market volume
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
Q311*
Q211
Q111
Q410
Q310
Q210
Q110
Q409
Q309
Q209
Q109
Q408
Q308
Q208
Q108
Q407
Q307
Q207
Q107
Q406
Q306
Q206
Q106
Q405
Q305
Q205
Q105
Buyout value Exit value Buyout volume Exit volume
Valu
e (€
bn)
Num
ber of deals
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
EuropEAn M&A AnnuAL TrEnD EuropEAn M&A AnnuAL prIvATE EquITy TrEnD
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
YTD 2011*201020092008200720062005
Total value Mid-market value
Num
ber of deals
Valu
e (€
bn)
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
Total volume Mid-market volume
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
YTD 2011*201020092008200720062005
Valu
e (€
bn)
Buyout value Exit value
Num
ber of deals
Buyout volume Exit volume
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
EuropEAn M&A quArTErLy prIvATE EquITy TrEnD
europe
Monthly M&A Insider 26
trenD grApHS
EuropEAn M&A GEoGrAphIc BrEAkDown yTD 2011
vALUe voLUme
UK
CEE
Iberia
France
Nordic
Germany
Benelux
Italy
Others
8.6%
6.1%
7.4%
17.9%
14.2%
11.1%
14.1%
10.8%
9.9%
11.7%
9.1%
9.4%
5.5%20.4%
11.7%
12.0%
6.3%
13.9%
UK
CEE
Iberia
France
Nordic
Germany
Benelux
Italy
Others
EuropEAn M&A SEcTor BrEAkDown yTD 2011
vALUe voLUme
3.7%
20.3%
10.6%
5.8%
1.4%
2.5%
6.7%
0.1%
18.4%
10.3%
0.2%
1.4%2.1%
1.9%
Energy, Mining & Utilities
Pharma, Medical & Biotech
Construction
Leisure
Transportation
Media
Telecommunications
Real Estate
Agriculture
Defence
Industrials & Chemicals
Consumer
Business Services
Technology
Financial Services
14.6%8.3%
6.0%
7.0%
4.5%
7.2%
0.2% 1.0%
22.4%
15.4%
14.4%
4.3%
3.7%
3.2%
1.4%1.1%
Energy, Mining & Utilities
Pharma, Medical & Biotech
Construction
Leisure
Transportation
Media
Telecommunications
Real Estate
Agriculture
Defence
Industrials & Chemicals
Consumer
Business Services
Technology
Financial Services
europe
Monthly M&A Insider 27
trenD grApHS
EuropEAn M&A DEAL SIzE BrEAkDown
vALUe voLUme
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
YTD 2011*201020092008200720062005
<€250m or undisclosed value
€251m-€500m
€501m-€2,000m
€2,001m-€5,000m
>€5,001m
15.1%
23.9%
10.1%
17.9%
33.0%
17.7%
23.2%
8.4%
15.7%
35.1%
16.4%
22.4%
8.3%
13.7%
39.2%
14.5%
19.9%
8.8%
16.6%
40.3%
20.3%
23.7%
9.0%
20.3% 16.9%
9.2%
29.9%
20.4%
26.7% 23.6% 22.6%
22.1%
29.6%
10.0%
15.7%
Per
cent
age
88
90
92
94
96
98
100
YTD 2011*201020092008200720062005
3.3%
0.7%
3.9%
91.6%
3.8%
0.9%
3.5%
91.4%
4.0%
0.9%
3.9%
90.8%
2.7%
0.6%
3.2%
93.1%
2.1%
0.6%
2.2%
94.9%
93.0%
2.8%
3.3%
0.7% 0.8%
3.7%
3.1%
92.1%
0.5% 0.5% 0.3%0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2%
<€250m or undisclosed value
€251m-€500m
€501m-€2,000m
€2,001m-€5,000m
>€5,001m
Per
cent
age
28
Mid
dle east &
africa
A mergermArket m&A report on
Monthly M&A Insider
In August, the meA regIon sAw 22 deAls worth us$466m In deAl vAlue, A 72.6% decreAse In vAlue And A 54.5% decreAse In volume relAtIve to August 2010. thIs Is the lowest ever m&A ActIvIty result for August sInce 2002.
the mIddle eAst & AfrIcA
In August, financial services was the most active sector by volume in the me&A region with three deals in total. the most active sector saw Bnp paribas sA, the france based banking and financial services provider, make the cross border acquisition of a 60% stake in cadiz securities, the south Africa based securities and derivatives broker, from cadiz holdings limited, the south Africa based financial services company, for a deal value of us$22m.
however, the top deal of the month occurred in the consumer sector which, in turn, was pushed to the number one sector by deal value. After participating in public auctions, heineken n.v., the listed netherlands based beer brewer that owns and manages a portfolio of beer brands, reached a mile step in conquering the African beer market after the ethiopian government agreed to sell its two national breweries to the company. As it was reported earlier in 2011, dutch company heineken had planned to make two bids for the state owned breweries, for us$85m and us$78m, which turned out to be the highest. heineken decided to take the ethiopian investment in what is a relatively stable and growing beer market, and where there is lower malt-drink consumption than in neighbouring countries. this transaction comes at a time when ethiopia seems to be a promising investment market for various types of industries. features like political stability, improving economy, and the largest population among the African countries all contribute to ethiopia being an attractive opportunity for investors and large corporations interested in penetrating and expanding in the African market.
other two significant deals, in terms of value, occurred in the transportation sector. the government of sudan has acquired a 49% stake in sudan Airways, the sudan based airlines firm for a deal value of us$100m, and the services sector where visa Jordan card services company (vJcs), the Jordan based Atm services provider, was acquired by the uk based private equity firm Actis llp, via emerging markets payments holdings (emph), the uk based acquisition vehicle for a deal value of us$87m.
Russia’s Middle Eastern oil production expansion plans failinggazprom neft, part of the state-controlled gazprom group, has been excluded from the exclusive negotiations regarding a joint venture for the development of Iranian Azar and changuleh oil fields. After signing a memorandum of understanding in late 2009 and pursuing further negotiations for the us$1.5bn-us$2bn project development, the parties did not come to a mutual agreement in relation to the investment conditions. the russian company has been experiencing cooperation problems since the very beginning of the negotiations, one of the issues being gazprom neft’s investments strategy, were the economic sanctions imposed by un on Iran. the authorities of Iran are suffering difficulties in finding strategic long term investors for their energy investments. the country is under un sanctions for its nuclear programs. After the lapsing of the negotiations, gazprom will have to revise its strategy of oil production diversification. the company was planning to relocate 10% of its oil production outside of russian territory (e.g. by entering joint ventures with oil-rich countries in middle east to sell the oil on the european market) and gazprom neft was planning to increase the oil output by 40bn tones to 100bn tones, by 2020. russia is one of the world’s top three oil producers however, due to depleted fields in the russian west-siberia, it has to face forthcoming challenges in exploring new oil deposits. In relation to the middle east expansion, a possible development would be to start using the domestic fields in low populated russian far east regions of yakutia, magadan, chukotka. these fields are located around 4000 kilometres east from russia’s capital, moscow.
29
Mid
dle east &
africa
Monthly M&A Insider
Expected M&A activity several expected deals in the coming months involve the industrial, media, pharmaceuticals and financial services sectors.
the saudi-listed industrial firm, saudi vitrified clay pipe company, is expected to sign a final agreement to acquire all shares of Arabian company for water pipe Industry ltd. the companies have already signed a memorandum of understanding at the end of August and are still evaluating the deal. the final agreement is expected to be reached after receiving the approval by the shareholders and the entities concerned.
the uAe-listed state owned financial services firm, mubadala development, which has us$27bn in assets under management, is expected to invest in the media and pharmaceuticals sectors with the aim of further diversifying its revenues.
the Israeli financial firm, dexia Israel, is still looking for a sale as its board has turned down the offer of about €105m made by Bank of Jerusalem at the end of may to buy the company.
santam, the south African short-term insurance company owned by sanlam, is in process to acquire three companies in ghana, nigeria and malawi this year for up to us$28m. negotiations are expected to end by december this year.
the mIddle eAst & AfrIcA
30
Mid
dle east &
africa
Monthly M&A Insider
top deAls
Top 10 MIddlE EAsTERn & AfRIcAn AnnouncEd dEAls of ThE MonTh (AuG-11) Announced Bidder company Target company Target dominated
sectorseller company Exit multiples (x) Bid premia
1-day before
deal value(us$m)Revenue EBITdA p/E
22-Aug-11 endeavour mining corporation
Adamus resources limited
energy, mining & utilities
281.2 3.8% 292
11-Aug-11 heineken nv Bedele Brewery share company; and harar Brewery share company
consumer government of ethiopia
163
28-Aug-11 government of sudan sudan Airways (49.00% stake)
transportation Aref Investment group
100
16-Aug-11 emerging markets payments holdings
visa Jordan card services company
Business services
87
01-Aug-11 g capital limited; gurmen group
Adabank As financial services
turkish savings deposit Insurance fund
75
01-Aug-11 Incredimail ltd. smilebox Inc tmt 40
25-Aug-11 salesforce.com Inc navajo systems computer software
Jvp media labs; dan gross (private Investor); david movshovitz (private Investor); and doron Abram (private Investor)
30
05-Aug-11 luxottica group spA erroca consumer michael wolf (private Investor); and yosef wolf (private Investor)
0.8 29
21-Aug-11 frutarom Industries ltd Aromco limited consumer keith Brown (private Investor)
1.9 25
05-Aug-11 china African precious metals (pty) ltd
pamodzi gold limited (orkney mine)
energy, mining & utilities
22
04-Aug-11 Bnp paribas sA cadiz securities (60.00% stake)
financial services
cadiz holdings limited
22
Based on announced deals, including lapsed and withdrawn bids Based on dominant geography of target being middle east or Africa data correct as of 05-sep-11
source: mergermarket
31
Mid
dle east &
africa
Monthly M&A Insider
trend grAphs
MIddlE EAsTERn & AfRIcAn M&A quARTERly TREnd
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
Q311*
Q211
Q111
Q410
Q310
Q210
Q110
Q409
Q309
Q209
Q109
Q408
Q308
Q208
Q108
Q407
Q307
Q207
Q107
Q406
Q306
Q206
Q106
Q405
Q305
Q205
Q105
Valu
e (U
S$m
)
Total value Mid-market value
Num
ber of deals
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
Total volume Mid-market volume
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
Q311*
Q211
Q111
Q410
Q310
Q210
Q110
Q409
Q309
Q209
Q109
Q408
Q308
Q208
Q108
Q407
Q307
Q207
Q107
Q406
Q306
Q206
Q106
Q405
Q305
Q205
Q105
Buyout value Exit value Buyout volume Exit volume
Num
ber of dealsValu
e (U
S$m
)
0
5
10
15
20
25
MIddlE EAsTERn & AfRIcAn M&A AnnuAl TREnd
MIddlE EAsTERn & AfRIcAn M&A AnnuAl pRIvATE EquITy TREnd
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
YTD 2011*201020092008200720062005
Total value Mid-market value
Valu
e (U
S$bn
)
Num
ber of deals
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Total volume Mid-market volume
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
YTD 2011*201020092008200720062005
Buyout value Exit value Buyout volume Exit volume
Valu
e (U
S$bn
)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Num
ber of deals
MIddlE EAsTERn & AfRIcAn M&A quARTERly pRIvATE EquITy TREnd
32
Mid
dle east &
africa
Monthly M&A Insider
trend grAphs
MIddlE EAsTERn & AfRIcAn M&A GEoGRAphIc BREAKdoWn yTd 2011
MIddlE EAsTERn & AfRIcAn M&A sEcToR BREAKdoWn yTd 2011
vAlue
vAlue
volume
volume
15.3%
0.4%0.1%
0.3%
19.7%
16.0%
5.1%
5.5%
2.3%
0.5%
0.7%
5.0%
29.2%
Industrials & Chemicals
Consumer
Energy, Mining & Utilites
TMT
Financial Services
Business Services
Pharma, Medical & Biotech
Transportation
Construction
Real Estate
Leisure
Defence
Agriculture
1.0%
21.9%
3.3%2.4%
0.5%1.8%
0.3%0.3%
0.1%
0.5%
9.9%
11.7%
4.8%4.2%
4.3%
2.2%
3.9%
9.5%
9.1%
4.9%
2.3%
1.2%
South Africa
Israel
United Arab Emirates
Saudi Arabia
Nigeria
Egypt
Morocco
Kuwait
Jordan
Qatar
Kenya
Tunisia
Ghana
Sudan
Ethiopia
Iraq
Mozambique
Zimbabwe
Algeria
Libya
Namibia
Swaziland
3.4%3.4%
1.7% 1.1%0.6%
3.4%
13.2%
16.1%
16.7%
8.6%
8.6%
10.9%
12.1%
Industrials & Chemicals
Consumer
Energy, Mining & Utilites
TMT
Financial Services
Business Services
Pharma, Medical & Biotech
Transportation
Construction
Real Estate
Leisure
Defence
Agriculture
37.2%
2.6%
4.9%
2.7%
5.5%
20.6%
7.7%
3.7%
0.7%
0.7%
0.9%3.2%
0.5%
2.7%2.2%
<0.1%<0.1%
0.4%3.0%0.1%
South Africa
Israel
United Arab Emirates
Saudi Arabia
Nigeria
Egypt
Morocco
Kuwait
Jordan
Qatar
Kenya
Tunisia
Ghana
Sudan
Ethiopia
Iraq
Zimbabwe
Algeria
Libya
Namibia
33
Mid
dle east &
africa
Monthly M&A Insider
trend grAphs
MIddlE EAsTERn & AfRIcAn M&A dEAl sIZE BREAKdoWn
vAlue volume
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
YTD 2011*201020092008200720062005
12.1%
21.5%
54.8%
5.1%5.0%
86.4%
13.3%
11.3%
67.2%
17.5%
19.0%
47.7%
19.2%
13.2%
53.2%
67.0%
11.6%
11.0%
14.6%
10.3%3.1%
7.3%14.1% 12.9% 9.3%
11.8%
9.3%
63.3%
1.3% 0.4% 0.9% 1.7% 1.6% 1.1% 1.1%
<US$14.9m or undisclosed value
US$15m-US$100m
US$101m-US$250m
US$251m-US$500m
>US$501m
Per
cent
age
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
YTD 2011*201020092008200720062005
34.8%
10.7%
8.6%
5.6%
34.0%
14.2%
6.2%
9.2%
32.6%
15.4%
5.7%
7.2%
36.8%
11.2%
5.7%3.8%
32.4%
13.2%
4.1%3.4% 5.8%
5.1%
33.4%
11.3%10.3%
5.7%
40.3%36.4%
39.1%42.5% 47.0% 44.4% 43.7%
31.0%
9.2%
<US$14.9m or undisclosed value
US$15m-US$100m
US$101m-US$250m
US$251m-US$500m
>US$501m
Per
cent
age
Monthly M&A Insider 34
aBO
Ut M
err
ill cOr
POr
atiON
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35Monthly M&A Insider
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Track all activity accurately. Auditing and reporting tools provide a verifiable account of each individual’s time spent viewing both documents and specific pages – information that adds negotiating leverage.
need to work remotely?no problem. whether you’re working in Beijing or new york, you can view your documents online without having to navigate through internal firewalls and email restrictions that often exist for outside company connections and which delay the due diligence process.
security is our highest prioritymerrill has been a trusted provider of secure information to the financial and legal industries for more than 40 years. our employees execute letters of confidentiality and we are audited annually (internal and third-party) to make certain our It infrastructure and processes remain sound. merrill
datasite was the first virtual data room to receive the Iso 27001 certification for its comprehensive Information security management system (Isms).
the Iso 27001 standard, developed by the International organization for standards to establish international requirements for information security and certification of Isms, is designed to ensure effective protection of information assets in foreign markets, as well as across national and regional boundaries.
The best tool in the industrymerrill datasite technology allows for the fastest conversion of soft and hard copy documents to the electronic viewing platform. As a result, designated administrators are able to review documents the moment they are available.
through secure, simultaneous access, full text search capabilities and robust reporting tools, both archival and transactional due diligence processes are streamlined. As a result, merrill datasite gives you more insight and control, and dramatically reduces transaction time and costs.
As a leading provider of vdr solutions worldwide, merrill datasite has empowered nearly 2 million unique visitors to perform electronic due diligence on thousands of transactions totaling trillions of dollars in asset value.
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Monthly M&A Insider 36
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ExEcuTIvE MAnAGEMEnT
Ed Bifulk president tel: +1 212 229 6563
paul hartzell senior vice president tel: +1 212 367 5950
ExEcuTIvE sAlEs
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shelle Martin regional director, new york tel: +1 212 229 6613
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Matthew Mezzancello regional director, new york tel: +1 917 934 7346
steve piccone vice president, new york tel: +1 212 229 6883
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paul Kleinkauf regional director, southeast tel: +1 404 602 3251
scott haugen regional director, minnesota tel: +1 651 632 4375
Anthony crosby regional director, chicago tel: +1 312 674 6511
Mark plaehn regional director, chicago tel: +1 312 674 6527
Brian Gilbreath regional director, omaha tel: +1 404 934 8085
nicholas Renter regional director, dallas tel: +1 214 754 2100
Andrew Buonincontro regional director, palo Alto tel: +1 650 493 1400
Erik sandie regional director, palo Alto tel: +1 650 493 1400
dan phelan regional director, los Angeles tel: +1 213 253 2139
Jay loyola regional director, Irvine tel: +1 949 622 0663
hans schumann regional director, san diego tel: +1 760 635 0830
david yeary vice president, datasite life sciences tel: +1 415 307 4414
James snaza director, life sciences tel: +1 651 632 4585
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this publication contains general information and is not intended to be comprehensive nor to provide financial, investment, legal, tax or other professional advice or services. this publication is not a substitute for such professional advice or services, and it should not be acted on or relied upon or used as a basis for any investment or other decision or action that may affect you or your business. Before taking any such decision you should consult a suitably qualified professional adviser. whilst reasonable effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication, this cannot be guaranteed and neither mergermarket nor any of its subsidiaries nor any affiliate thereof or other related entity shall have any liability to any person or entity which relies on the information contained in this publication, including incidental or consequential damages arising from errors or omissions. Any such reliance is solely at the user’s risk.
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The following notes pertain to data contained in this publication:
• deals are included where the deal value is greater than or equal to €5m.
• where no deal value has been disclosed, deals are included if the turnover of the target is greater than or equal to €10m.
• deals are included in the graphs and top deals in each section based on the dominant geography and dominant sector of the target company. data underlying the league tables are based on deals where the bidder, target or parent geography of either is that of the geography in focus.
• ytd 2011 refers to the period 01-Jan-11 to 31-Aug-11. Q3 2011 refers to the period 01-Jul-11 to 31-Aug 11.