A Global Green New Deal for Sustainable Development

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  • 8/13/2019 A Global Green New Deal for Sustainable Development

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    COMMENTARY

    Economic & PoliticalWeekly EPW August 24, 2013 vol xlvIiI no 34 17

    A Global Green New Deal forSustainable Development

    Jomo Kwame Sundaram

    The protracted global economic

    slowdown and the deep ecological

    crisis that the world finds itself in

    both call for a Global Green New

    Deal, similar to the New Deal of

    the United States that tackled

    the Great Depression. The

    21st century New Deal must

    include developing countries and

    has to be economically, socially

    and ecologically sustainable.

    Almost eight decades ago, in the

    midst of the Great Depression,

    the newly elected United States

    (US) Government of Franklin Delano

    Roosevelt introduced the New Deal. The

    New Deal consisted of a number of mu-

    tually supporting initiatives of which the

    most prominent were:

    A public works programme financedby deficit financing.

    A new social contract to achieve greatersecurity and rising living standards for

    working families programme, including

    the USsocial security system, and

    Regulation of financial markets to protectthe assets of citizens and channel financial

    resources into productive investment.

    The Citizens Conservation Corps

    created two mill ion jobs for a USpopula-

    tion then of 125 million, equivalent to

    over five million for the current popula-

    tion exceeding 300 million. The New

    Deal effectively used the fiscal stimulusfor recovery, employment, development

    as well as environment goals. Not only

    did it help ensure USeconomic recovery,

    it successfully addressed unsustainable

    agricultural practices that had caused

    widespread ecological, social and eco-

    nomic crisis in the Midwest, and helped

    usher in a new era of economic growth

    and expanding prosperity, especially in

    the relatively poorer regions.The best known public works pro-

    gramme is the Tennessee Valley Authority

    (TVA), which pioneered an integrated

    regional development programme in an

    underdeveloped region of the country,

    and laid the infrastructural foundation

    for energy provision as well as sustained

    industrial and agricultural growth in the

    region. Thus, the New Deal restored the

    ecological health of the USMidwest while

    addressing social security, food security

    and conservation objectives.

    Today, we are in the midst of another

    protracted economic slowdown, compara-

    ble to the Great Depression. This crisis also

    needs a New Deal, but one which is both

    global and sustainable. First, it has to be

    international and must include developing

    countries. The current system and crises

    are global in nature, necessitating a similar

    response to be adequate to the challenge.

    Second, it has to be sustainable, eco-

    nomically, socially and ecologically. We arein the midst of a profound environmental

    crisis, with global warming increasingly

    Jomo Kwame Sundaram ([email protected]

    )is at the UN Food and Agriculture Organisation,

    Rome.

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    recognised as the greatest threat. While

    most attention is focused on climate

    change, the sustainability of economic

    development is also threatened by air and

    water pollution, and the degradation of

    natural resources, the loss of forests and

    biodiversity, as well as sociopolitical in-

    stability due to growing inequality, glo-bally and nationally. Therefore the New

    Deal should direct public works pro-

    grammes to move countries to a different

    developmental pathway, one that protects

    the natural resource base equitably in

    the spirit of Rio, both in 1992 as in 2012.

    What Would a Global

    Green New Deal Look Like?

    Simply stated, it would have ingredients

    similar to the original New Deal, namely

    public works programmes, support for

    social protection, and measures to en-

    courage productive investments for out-

    put and job recovery.

    Developing countries are particularly

    adversely affected by the systemic biases

    of the global financial system. At lower

    levels of development, they are less resil-

    ient and more vulnerable to fluctuations

    in world markets. With fewer resources,

    they are often forced to pursue pro-

    cyclical macroeconomic policies, caus-ing greater economic instability and

    undermining long-term growth.

    The Global Green New Deal (GGND)

    should be part of the broader counter-

    cyclical response to the crisis with three

    main elements. First, national stimulus

    packages in developed and developing

    countries that aim to revive and build

    green national economies. Second, inter-

    national policy coordination to ensure

    that developed countries stimulus pack-

    ages are not only effective in creating jobs

    in the North but also generate strong deve-

    lopmental impacts in developing countries

    through collaborative initiatives bet-

    ween the governments of rich and poor

    countries. Third, financial support to de-

    veloping countries to counter the global

    economic slowdown.

    Resources would also be needed to

    strengthen social protection systems. This

    will be critical to protect billions of people

    in developing countries directly affectedby rising unemployment, higher food

    prices, declining export earnings and other

    consequences of the crisis from falling

    deeper into hunger, poverty and food in-

    security. This required fiscal response

    provides an opportunity to make long-

    term investments to reduce food insecuri-

    ty and to address climate change. Given

    the multiple environmental challenges

    faced by the world today, we need to pro-mote investments that put the global

    economy on a more sustainable pathway.

    After half a decade of economic con-

    traction and stagnation with even devel-

    oping countries slowing down in recent

    years, it is urgent for all countries to

    prioritise economic recovery measures,

    and not to hope for recovery at the ex-

    pense of others. These stimulus packages

    also provide the opportunity to lay the

    foundation for new sustainable growth.

    Given the unmet needs for infrastruc-

    ture, additional investments in such sectors

    will contribute to growth. Such investments

    must be especially targeted at poor and

    vulnerable groups and regions. In other

    words, the investment should lead to the

    revival of growth that is both ecologi-

    cally sustainable and socially inclusive.

    Support for food security and agricul-

    tural productivity could be an important

    feature of national stimulus packages in

    developing countries, many of which arestill highly dependent on agriculture.

    Reinvigorating agricultural research and

    development as well as extension services

    will be key. Special attention will be needed

    for investments that promote climate smart

    and ecologically sustainable agriculture.

    There are many examples of socially

    useful public works activities in develop-

    ing countries, but priorities must be made,

    considering national conditions. Con-

    straints to economic recovery and sus-

    tainable development should be prioritised

    in most circumstances. Projects could

    improve water storage and drainage,

    contributing to agricultural productivity

    as well as climate adaptation, e g in many

    developing countries, simple storage dams,

    digging of wells and basic flood barriers/

    levees could be constructed, and existing

    drainage and canal networks rehabilitated.

    Public works programmes could target

    the construction of basic sanitation in-

    frastructure as well as the regenerationof wetland ecosystems that act as filters

    for water courses.

    After a half century of decline, except

    in the mid-1970s, real agricultural com-

    modity prices have been rising since

    around the turn of the century. The recent

    price trend reflects yield growth slowing

    in recent years, while demand has contin-

    ued to grow rapidly. Rising incomes have

    increased food demand for humans andanimal husbandry, while demand for

    feedstock for biofuels production has ex-

    panded rapidly in the last decade.

    Prices have also become increasingly

    volatile, with successively higher peaks

    in 2007-08, 2010-11 and now mid-2012.

    Recent food price volatility has some of its

    origins in climate change-related weather

    shocks in key exporting countries. Prices

    have risen due to the closer linkages

    between agricultural and energy markets

    with official promotion of first genera-

    tion biofuels. Financialisation, linking

    commodity derivatives markets with the

    prices of other financial assets, has also

    worsened price volatility.

    Policy Coordination, Collaborative

    Programmes and Initiatives

    Another component of the GGNDwould

    be collaborative initiatives of govern-

    ments of rich and poor countries simulta-

    neously to create jobs in developed coun-tries while generating strong develop-

    mental impacts in developing countries.

    Such initiatives could be pursued, in part,

    by using the resources mobilised by devel-

    oped countries stimulus packages. But

    over the longer term, the reforms of the

    international financial and multilateral

    trading systems will need to support the

    investments required to promote sustain-

    able development, e g, to promote the

    shift to low carbon economies in both rich

    and poor countries alike.

    There are several areas in which

    investment in developing countries

    could not only promote national devel-

    opment in those countries, but also pro-

    tect global public goods (such as forests

    or other environmental resources, or the

    global climate system by mitigating green-

    house gas emissions) and lead to increased

    aggregate demand in rich countries,

    thereby enhancing employment levels in

    the latter group. Initiatives with long-termhorizons should be designed to allow for a

    smooth transition, with nationally-owned

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    and implemented initiatives and program-

    mes. Some examples of such pro-

    grammes would include: (i) investments

    in public transport in developing coun-

    tries, (ii) a global feed-in-tariff regime to

    cross-subsidise and promote renewable

    energy, (iii) energy efficiency, (iv) building

    the global IThighway, (v) human skillstransfer programme and reverse outsourc-

    ing utilising the new ICTto provide expert

    services in critical areas from developed

    to developing countries, (vi) multilateral

    response to disasters, and (vii) multi-

    lateral response to food insecurity.

    Addressing Food Insecurity

    After three food price increases in five

    years, food insecurity is now recognised

    as a serious threat. Higher and more

    volatile food prices threaten the nutrition

    of billions of people. The FAOs food price

    index is now at its highest level, higher

    than in June 2008 when the food price

    spike sparked violent protests in many

    countries. There have also been signi-

    ficant drops in official development as-

    sistance for agricultural development in

    developing countries for decades. Mean-

    while, rich countries have conti nued

    to subsidise and protect their farmers,

    undermining food production in deve-

    loping countries.Food security should be treated as a

    global public good since the political and

    social consequences of food insecurity

    will have global ramifications. Hence,

    there should be a multilateral response

    to ensure food security. The green revo-

    lution of the 1960s and 1970s with con-

    siderable government and international

    not-for-profit support had led to much

    increased crop yields and food production,

    reducing hunger, starvation and poverty.

    However, the efforts in wheat, corn and

    rice were not extended to other crops,

    especially those associated with water-

    stressed agriculture in arid areas, e g in

    Sub-Saharan Africa. We need a second

    generation green revolution to promote

    sustainable, including climate smart agri-

    culture, especially for other food crops.

    Public investments with international

    assistance must provide the incentives and

    other support needed to promote the need-

    ed investments on an accelerated basis.

    To be sure, many other complementaryinterventions are urgently needed. Food

    security cannot be achieved without

    much better social protection. But sus-

    tainable social protection requires major

    improvements in public finances. While

    revenue generation requires greater na-

    tional incomes, tax collection can still be

    greatly enhanced through improved inter-

    national cooperation on tax and other

    international financial matters. Clearly,

    the agenda for a GGNDrequires not only

    bold new national developmental initia-

    tives, but also far better and more equi-

    table multilateral cooperation offered

    by a strong revival of the inclusive multi-

    lateral or United Nations system.