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9/23/2017
1
5G Market Update and Enabling Technologies
Roger Nichols5G Program Manager
May 2017
PageWhat you should know when I’m done:
– Latest Perspective on the 5G Vision and Market Drivers
– Summary of Key Technical Work in the Market (Radio, Network, Applications)
– What is happening now and what to expect in the next year (Standards,
Regulatory, Commercial)
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Technologies
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6 Questions You Should Be Able to Answer
– True or False: 5G is focused mostly on adding high data-rate mmWave to cellular
radio.
– True or False: The majority of technology investment in 5G is related to the new air
interface (5G NR)
– How many antennas does a base station need to have to be used for massive MIMO?
– Which large company is the only one investing in nearly all facets of 5G:
semiconductors, UE/CPE, gNB, network hardware, network software, applications?
– Is “The Internet of Things” synonymous with “5G”?
– When will 5G be commercially deployed?
5G Market Update and Enabling
Technologies
50 Minutes from Now
3
May 2017
PageTopics
– 5G Context, Vision, and Requirements
– 5G Technical Status
– 5G Standards Update, Market Status and Timeline
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Technologies
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Exploring the inconsistencies in the 4G-to-5G transition
Question 1: Approximately how many mobile subscriptions exist today?
A. 20 (20)
B. 500 Million (500,000,000)
C. 4 Billion (4,000,000,000)
D. 7 Billion (7,000,000,000)
E. 7 Trillion (7,000,000,000,000)
Question 2: What percentage of these subscriptions are served by LTE?
A. 2.3%
B. 10.7%
C. 14.8%
D. 25.2%
E. 58.8%
Audience Quiz:
5
May 2017
LTE has a long way to go and will serve us for years
Source: Ericsson Mobility Report: Summer 2016
5G Market Update and Enabling
Technologies
Page
Exploring the inconsistencies in 4G-to-5G
Question 3: How much energy does it take an Question 3: How much energy does it take an operator to deliver 1GB?
A. 2.7 MJ
B. 1 Horsepower (746 W)
C. 500 WH
D. 1k WH
E. 2k WH
Question 4: What is the world’s current monthly mobile data consumption?
A. 600 TeraB 6X105 GB
B. 100 PetaB 1X108 GB
C. 600 PetaB 6X108 GB
D. 1000 PetaB 1X109 GB
E. 8 ExaB 8X109 GB
Audience Quiz:
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May 2017
Cellular communications is not “green”:
• India: 70% of the 400,000 base stations lose grid power for up to 8 hours/day. Generators for cellular consume 2B liters of diesel/year. Globally there are >3Million off-grid base stations and >7Million “bad grid”. (IEEE Comm’s: May 2016)
• China Mobile consumed 14TWh in 2012. ~70% in 1.1 Million base stations. (IEEE Comm’s: Feb 2014)
Source: Ericsson Mobility Report: Fall 2016Source: IEEE Comm’s: May 2016 and B.K. Yi, Interdigital
Giga 109
Tera 1012
Peta 1015
Exa 1018
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Seems Like a Bridge Too Far…Will the industry really get there?
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May 2017
Fun Facts–US Wireless data-traffic: (Source: Chetan Sharma)
•2007: 5TB/year•2015: 5TB every two days. > 18,000% increase
–Global Mobile Operator business: •Over the top revenues exceeded access revenues in 2014. (Source: Chetan Sharma)
•86% of all “mobile” data traffic is generated and terminated indoors (Source BK Yi, Interdigital)
•Today, 1GB costs an MNO $10 to deliver (Source BK Yi, Interdigital)
5G Market Update and Enabling
Technologies
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Great Service in a Crowd: Shinjuku Station, Tokyo
– Tokyo has > 5,000,000 railway passengers every day
– Shinjuku, Tokyo’s largest station, has 4 levels,11 lines with trains arriving/departing
every 2 minutes on each line during peak times
– This equates to just under 26,000 UE’s operating in the station at any one time
– At 200m x 500m (0.1 km2), this is about 260,000 UE/km2 or one phone that could
be exchanging information on the user data-plane for every four square meters in
an area just over 100,000 m2
– Capacity and Backhaul provisioning: Anticipated data demand in 2020 is 20Mbps
per user at any one time. This means 5.2 Tbps/km2.
This happens every day at rush-hour
8
Source: 5GMF WhitePaper: Spring 2016
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Latency: What will it take to get to 1ms
– LTE is about 20 ms best case (end-to-end)
– Maybe 80% of latency for video applications is not in the network but in compression
algorithms at either end
– In free space light travels about 300 km – (186 miles) in 1 ms – such latency will have
to be in applications that are relatively local. Must consider latency in backhaul, which
is slower than light, so may restrict distance.
9
May 20175G Market Update and Enabling
Technologies
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All founded on a
solid business model
100x Energy
Efficiency
Reliability
99.999%
1ms Latency
100x
Densification
1000x
Capacity
Amazingly fast
Great service in a crowd
Best experience follows you
Super real-time and
reliable communications
Ubiquitous things communicating
(being everwhere)
For the User*
5G Drivers and Vision
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May 2017
Massive Growth in
Mobile Data Demand
Massive Growth in No. of Connected
Devices
Exploding Diversity of
Wireless Applications
Dramatic Change in User Expectations of Network
100x Data
Rates
*Courtesy of METIS
Market Drivers 5G Vision Key Performance Indicators
5G Market Update and Enabling
Technologies
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5G: A Broad Spectrum of OpportunityThe Mobile Data Future
Today’s 2G/3G/4G NW
� Mobile data is real
� Works most of the time
ₓ Works well some of the time
ₓ WiFi works but not integrated
ₓ Don’t try this in a crowd!
ₓ Consumes 2% of WW power
Gateway to
Competing NW
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May 20175G Market Update and Enabling
Technologies
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5G: A Broad Spectrum of OpportunityThe Mobile Data Future
Today’s 2G/3G/4G NW
� Mobile data is real
� Works most of the time
ₓ Works well some of the time
ₓ WiFi works but not integrated
ₓ Don’t try this in a crowd!
ₓ Consumes 2% of WW power
Gateway to
Competing NW
Tomorrow’s 5G Network
� Great Service in a Crowd
� Amazingly Fast, Reliable, Real-time
� All Things Communicating
� Centralized and Seamless Networks
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May 20175G Market Update and Enabling
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Changing NW ArchitectureA confusing haulway of terms
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May 2017
Radio
Cellular
eNB
Modem
Rest of Network
BackhaulFronthaul
Access
Sidehaul
5G Market Update and Enabling
Technologies
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LTE Network Architecture OverviewSimplified Architecture: So You Know the Terms
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May 2017
UEUser Equipment
e-UTRAN
e-UTRANEvolved Universal Terrestrial
Radio Access Network
ePC
e-PCEvolved Packet Core PDN
Packet Data Network
Servers
PDN’sAir Interface
S1 SGi
5G RAN5G
Radio Access Network
NGCNext Generation Core5G Terms
5G Market Update and Enabling
Technologies
9/23/2017
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PageTopics
– 5G Context, Vision, and Requirements
– 5G Technical Status
– 5G Standards Update, Market Status and Timeline
– Call to Action
15May 20175G Market Update and Enabling
Technologies
PageTechnology Topic: Radio Interface
– Spectrum
– New RAT/Radio (NR)
– mmWave
– MIMO
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Spectrum: Activity for the User
– Determine which are available and used in the US and contrast that with what is
available in Europe and Japan respectively. This highlights several things:
• The difference between what is
- In The Standard (neatly and universally numbered frequency bands); and
- Dictated by National/International Policy (many not available to cellular, 3GPP
LTE bands that are split between carriers, and much spectrum still consumed by
legacy mobile technologies)
Look up the LTE bands that exist today—what is currently defined
17
May 2017
3GPP 36.101
Table 5.5-1
E-UTRA operating bands
E-UTRA Operating
Band
Uplink (UL) operating band BS receive
UE transmit
Downlink (DL) operating band BS transmit UE receive
Duplex Mode
FUL_low – FUL_high FDL_low – FDL_high 1 1920 MHz – 1980 MHz 2110 MHz – 2170 MHz FDD
2 1850 MHz – 1910 MHz 1930 MHz – 1990 MHz FDD
3 1710 MHz – 1785 MHz 1805 MHz – 1880 MHz FDD
4 1710 MHz – 1755 MHz 2110 MHz – 2155 MHz FDD
5 824 MHz – 849 MHz 869 MHz – 894MHz FDD
61 830 MHz – 840 MHz 875 MHz – 885 MHz FDD
7 2500 MHz – 2570 MHz 2620 MHz – 2690 MHz FDD
8 880 MHz – 915 MHz 925 MHz – 960 MHz FDD
9 1749.9 MHz – 1784.9 MHz 1844.9 MHz – 1879.9 MHz FDD
10 1710 MHz – 1770 MHz 2110 MHz – 2170 MHz FDD
11 1427.9 MHz – 1447.9 MHz 1475.9 MHz – 1495.9 MHz FDD
12 699 MHz – 716 MHz 729 MHz – 746 MHz FDD
13 777 MHz – 787 MHz 746 MHz – 756 MHz FDD
14 788 MHz – 798 MHz 758 MHz – 768 MHz FDD
15 Reserved Reserved FDD
16 Reserved Reserved FDD
17 704 MHz – 716 MHz 734 MHz – 746 MHz FDD
18 815 MHz – 830 MHz 860 MHz – 875 MHz FDD
19 830 MHz – 845 MHz 875 MHz – 890 MHz FDD
20 832 MHz – 862 MHz 791 MHz – 821 MHz FDD
21 1447.9 MHz – 1462.9 MHz 1495.9 MHz – 1510.9 MHz FDD
22 3410 MHz – 3490 MHz 3510 MHz – 3590 MHz FDD
23 2000 MHz – 2020 MHz 2180 MHz – 2200 MHz FDD
24 1626.5 MHz – 1660.5 MHz 1525 MHz – 1559 MHz FDD
25 1850 MHz – 1915 MHz 1930 MHz – 1995 MHz FDD
26 814 MHz – 849 MHz 859 MHz – 894 MHz FDD
27 807 MHz – 824 MHz 852 MHz – 869 MHz FDD
28 703 MHz – 748 MHz 758 MHz – 803 MHz FDD
29 N/A 717 MHz – 728 MHz FDD2 ...
33 1900 MHz – 1920 MHz 1900 MHz – 1920 MHz TDD
34 2010 MHz – 2025 MHz 2010 MHz – 2025 MHz TDD
35 1850 MHz – 1910 MHz 1850 MHz – 1910 MHz TDD
36 1930 MHz – 1990 MHz 1930 MHz – 1990 MHz TDD
37 1910 MHz – 1930 MHz 1910 MHz – 1930 MHz TDD
38 2570 MHz – 2620 MHz 2570 MHz – 2620 MHz TDD
39 1880 MHz – 1920 MHz 1880 MHz – 1920 MHz TDD
40 2300 MHz – 2400 MHz 2300 MHz – 2400 MHz TDD
41 2496 MHz 2690 MHz 2496 MHz 2690 MHz TDD
42 3400 MHz – 3600 MHz 3400 MHz – 3600 MHz TDD
43 3600 MHz – 3800 MHz 3600 MHz – 3800 MHz TDD
44 703 MHz – 803 MHz 703 MHz – 803 MHz TDD
5G Market Update and Enabling
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5G SpectrumSummary of New Radio Spectrum For 5G
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May 2017
Adapted from the International Wireless Industry Consortium (IWPC) 5G UE, Skyworks Mar 2017 (Dave Pehlke)
Roaming?
More bandwidth for higher
data rates
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5G: Among Many Other Things: YANAI = NRYet Another New Air Interface: WHY?
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May 2017
Modulation
Waveform
Duplexing
Multiple Access
Channel Code
Frame Structure
5G or “Pre-5G” Air Interface Specifications:
• 3GPP New RAT (5G-NR) (all bands)�This is the 3GPP Standard!
• Verizon Pre-5G Spec (Fixed Wireless mmWave)
• AT&T Pre-5G Trial (Fixed Wireless mmWave)
• KT Spec (Mobile Wireless mmWave)
• Likely others…
Terms/Clarification:
• Modulation: FM, AM, GMSK, QPSK, QAM, etc.
• Waveform: OFDM DFT-s-OFDM, FTN, FBMC etc.
• Duplexing: FDD, TDD
• Multiple Access: TDMA, CDMA, OFMDA, SC-FDMA,
NOMA, SCMA
• Channel Code: TBCC, Turbo Code, Dirty-Paper Code,
Polar Code, Low Density Parity Check (LDPC)
• Frame Structure—well, that needs another 20 slides…
5G requirements
New generation requires new air-interface
5G Market Update and Enabling
Technologies
Page
NR vs. Other Work @ Verizon and KTTechnical Highlights
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May 2017
Verizon 5GTF Spec (KT 5G) 3GPP 5G-NR
Duplexing Dynamic TDD FDD, Dynamic TDD
Beamforming Yes Yes
Frequency bands 28 GHz, 39 GHz Up to 100 GHz
Waveform OFDM OFDM (DL&UL), DTF-OFDM (opt UL (SC-OFDMA)), other waveforms for mMTC & high freq
Modulation Up to 64QAM Up to 256QAM (1024QAM?)
Use cases eMBB fixed access (mobility) eMBB, mMTC, URLLC
Network deployment Standalone (& non-standalone) Standalone, Non-standalone
Multiplexing of different numerologies
No Yes
Spectrum Licensed Licensed, unlicensed, sharedaccess
Channel coding TBCC, LDPC, Turbo Code (optional/not-supported)
TBCC, LDPC (for eMBB), Turbo Code (TBD), Polar Code (TBD)
5G Market Update and Enabling
Technologies
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5G Technologies: mmWaveOr—Anything Greater than 6GHz. What are we up against?
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May 2017
High Frequency
High Bandwidth
High Path Loss
High Data Rate
High Frequency High Bandwidth High Path Loss High Data Rate
Phase Stability High IF Converters (use 2nd Nyquist)
Directional Antennas Usually Required
Power consumption
Amplifier Efficiency I and Q channel match over frequency
Large codebook space for Beam Steering
Algorithm Complexity
Output Power Integrated Noise Power
Beam forming complexity
Prototyping (FPGA’s usually not fast enough)
Antenna Complexity IF/RF Flatness Robust Modulationand Coding (MCS)
IO (memory,interfaces to CPU’s etc.)
Quadrature Errors (Homodyne)
A/D and D/A Converters(power consumption)
Discovery and Tracking affect MAC and MCS
High sample-ratedata to/from converters
5G Market Update and Enabling
Technologies
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5G Technologies: mmWaveOr—Anything Greater than 6GHz. What are we up against?
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May 2017
High Frequency High Bandwidth High Path Loss High Data Rate
Calibration
Amplifiers
Antennas
IF Flatness
Noise Power
Fast Data
Conversion
Antenna
Codebook
Modulation
Power
(RF and BB)
BIG Data
Throughput
5G Market Update and Enabling
Technologies
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mmWave: Why Phased Array Antennas?
For illustration: 0dB of Total Antenna Gain at 1km. Path Loss is:
At 1.8 GHz: ~98 dB ( 82 dB + 16 dB )
At 28 GHz: ~121 dB ( 82 dB + 39 dB )
So that’s 23 dB of base-line additional link-budget needed (or a factor of 200X more power). And this does not include atmospheric or other channel conditions.
23
Distance Frequency
Free-space Path Loss
May 20175G Market Update and Enabling
Technologies
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mmWave: What do we see happening?
HAPPENING NOW! ☺☺☺☺
• Prototype UE, CPE, g-Node-B on display and in trials
• Verizon to commercialize fixed 28/39GHz in 2017
• KT to demonstrate mobile 28GHz in 2018
• DOCOMO claims 28GHz commercialization in 2020
• Most radio customers want our mmWave help
It Will Never Work! ����
• Some claims are with reservations
• Questionable business model
• Mobility and cost extremely difficult
• Propagation model poorly understood
Just How Serious Is The Industry?
24
May 2017
Intel prototype 28GHz “UE”. IEEE Wireless Communications
& Networking Conference (WCNC) March 2017 …AND customers are spending money…
5G Market Update and Enabling
Technologies
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mmWave: What do we see happening?
HAPPENING NOW! ☺☺☺☺
• Prototype UE, CPE, g-Node-B on display and in trials
• Verizon to commercialize fixed 28/39GHz in 2017
• KT to demonstrate mobile 28GHz in 2018
• DOCOMO claims 28GHz commercialization in 2020
• Most radio customers want our mmWave help
It Will Never Work! ����
• Some claims are with reservations
• Questionable business model
• Mobility and cost extremely difficult
• Propagation model poorly understood
Just How Serious Is The Industry?
25
May 2017
Intel prototype 28GHz “UE”. IEEE Wireless Communications
& Networking Conference (WCNC) March 2017 …AND customers are spending money…
But this is
NOTMIMO
5G Market Update and Enabling
Technologies
Page
MIMO: How Many Antennas Does it Take to be “Massive”
When you encounter more than eight antennas you are most likely encountering one of
three things. They are all different and should not be confused.
Take Care: The Industry is Sloppy With the Terminology
26
May 2017
– mmWave Beam Management: Required to maintain a link budget with high
frequencies. This is not MIMO. If in doubt, see previous slides.
– LTE-Advanced Full-Dimension (FD) MIMO: In the 3GPP Standard as of R13 and being
deployed today
– “Marzettian” (based on Dr. Thomas Marzetta’s work at Nokia Bell Labs) “Massive
MIMO”: Being researched/developed/trialed for use in 5G
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If It Looks Like MIMO and Smells Like MIMO…
mmWave BeamManagement
3GPP LTE-AFD-MIMO
“Marzettian” Massive MIMO
Is it MIMO? No Yes Yes
Is it Standardized No Yes No
Is it Deployed Yes (not yet in cellular) Yes (just starting) Trials Under Way
How Many Antennas? 16-64 or multiples (arrays of arrays)
64 Gravitating to 128(>> # of UE’s/cell)
Channel State Information Process
TBD DL Estimated(Calculated by the UE)
UL Measured(Calculated by the eNB)
Compatible With LTE/LTE-A
TBD Yes (R13) Not yet
Uses Beamforming Yes “Yes” (See Next Page) “Yes” (See Next Page)
A Table For Your Reference
27
May 2017
Often called “Massive MIMO”
5G Market Update and Enabling
Technologies
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“Beamforming”
Beamforming uses multiple antennas to control the direction of a
wave-front by appropriately weighting the magnitude and phase of
individual antenna signals in an array of multiple antennas.
What Does This Mean?
28
May 2017
LTE-A has 10 Transmission Modes
Only 2 of these perform beamforming
(TM7 & TM8) and these reduce the
number of streams to less than 2.
LTE-A has 10 Transmission Modes
Only 2 of these perform beamforming
(TM7 & TM8) and these reduce the
number of streams to less than 2.
“Marzettian” Massive MIMO
Looks like
beamforming in
the trivial case
(single user)
Looks like
beamforming in
the trivial case
(single user)
Somewhat
more complex
with scattering.
And this is only
one layer.
Somewhat
more complex
with scattering.
And this is only
one layer.
200 antenna elements
UE2
UE3
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May 2017
Technology: Radio Access Network and Core Network
29
5G Market Update and Enabling
Technologies
Page
Virtualization
– Large operators are virtualizing
their ePC
– Each major entity is being
implemented as a software entity
running on a flexible number of
CPU’s depending upon demand
– AT&T’s Tom Keithley stated in
New York in April 2016 that their
ePC was “now completely
virtualized”
The Evolved Packet Core (ePC)
30
May 2017
Toe-UTRAN
ToPDN/Servers
Toe-UTRAN
S1-U
S1-MME
MME
MME
SGW PGW
HSS(subscriber Info)
S10
S11
SGiS5/S8
S6A
Signals
Traffic
MME: Mobility Management Entity
HSS: Home Subscriber Server
SGW: Serving Gateway
PGW: Packet Data Network (PDN) Gateway
See this link for more info.
eNB
5G Market Update and Enabling
Technologies
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Centralized RAN (or Cloud RAN)A Conceptual Model including RAN As-A-Service (RANaaS)
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May 2017
Adm/ConfigControl
RRM
MAC
PHY
RF
Network Management
Centra
lly E
xecute
dE
xecu
ted
At R
RH
Adm/ConfigControl
RRM
MAC
PHY
RF
Network Management
Execute
d a
t B
SC
en
trall
yE
xecu
ted
ConventionalC-RAN
(BB Pooling)
RANaaS
Example: Partly Centralized(inter-cell) RRM
Flexible Functional Split
Source: IEEE Communcations Magazine: May 2014
5G Market Update and Enabling
Technologies
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Centralized RAN (or Cloud RAN)A Conceptual Model including RAN As-A-Service (RANaaS)
32
May 2017
Adm/ConfigControl
RRM
MAC
PHY
RF
Network Management
Centra
lly E
xecute
dE
xecu
ted
At R
RH
Adm/ConfigControl
RRM
MAC
PHY
RF
Network Management
Execute
d a
t B
SC
en
trall
yE
xecu
ted
ConventionalC-RAN
(BB Pooling)
RANaaS
Example: Partly Centralized(inter-cell) RRM
Flexible Functional Split
On-Demand Provisioning
Scalability
Resource Pooling
Elasticity
Service Metering
Multi-Tenancy
Source: IEEE Communcations Magazine: May 2014
5G Market Update and Enabling
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5G Network Architecture OptionsHow will legacy and new interact?
33
May 2017
ePC
LTE-A RAN
NGC
5G RAN
LTE Control Plane
LTE User Plane
NR Control Plane
NR User Plane
Stand Alone LTE RAN
5G RANNon Stand Alone
“LTE Assisted”
“5G Assisted”
With ePC
With NG Core
Reference: 3GPP RP-161266 (Deutsche Telekom AG)
5G Market Update and Enabling
Technologies
PageTopics
– 5G Context, Vision, and Requirements
– 5G Technical Status
– 5G Standards Update, Market Status and Timeline
– Call to Action
34May 20175G Market Update and Enabling
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5G Use Cases: The Killer Application?
35
May 2017
En
ha
nce
d M
ob
ile B
roa
db
an
d
(eM
BB
)
• Lightning-fast downloads
• Augmented/ Virtual/ Immersive Reality
• High-Speed Rail Connectivity
• High-Data facets of Connected Cars
• Really high definitely cat videos
Ma
ssiv
e M
ach
ine
Co
mm
un
ica
tio
n
(mM
TC
)
• Smart Parking
• LTE V2X• Massive Data
Acquisition for farming, traffic management, light-rail, mobile or other geographically spread industries
• Insurance management U
ltra
re
liab
ility
an
d lo
w
late
ncy (
uR
LL
C)
• Navigation Aids for “Autonomous” vehicles
• Connected Sea-port (logistics
• Remote emergency medical
• Augmented non-Emergency Medicine (Virtual house-call)
eMBB mMTC uRLLC
* Mostly 3GPP R12, 13, 14
5G Market Update and Enabling
Technologies
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5G Use Cases with 4G Foundations: 3GPP* Today
36
May 2017
En
ha
nce
d M
ob
ile B
roa
db
an
d
(eM
BB
)
• Carrier Aggregation
• FD MIMO• LTE-U & LAA
• D2D--Proximity• Dual
Connectivty
• COMP and NAICS
• Small-Cell & HetNet
• Joint FDD/TDD• New Spectrum
(50 Bands!)
Ma
ssiv
e M
ach
ine
Co
mm
un
ica
tio
n
(mM
TC
)
• NB-IoT
• MTC CAT M• D2D Relay for
IoT
• LTE V2X
Ultra
re
liab
ility
an
d lo
w
late
ncy (
uR
LL
C)
• COMP and NAICS
• MC-PTT• LTE for Public
Safety
• LTE V2X
eMBB mMTC uRLLC
* Mostly 3GPP R12, 13, 14
5G?
5G Market Update and Enabling
Technologies
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Page
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 20212020 2022
2018 MilestonesFeb: Winter Olympics South KoreaSummer: FIFA World Cup, Russia,
2018 MilestonesFeb: Winter Olympics South KoreaSummer: FIFA World Cup, Russia,
2015 MilestonesSept: 3GPP 5G WorkshopNov: ITU WRC 15Dec: 3GPP RAN Plenary
2015 MilestonesSept: 3GPP 5G WorkshopNov: ITU WRC 15Dec: 3GPP RAN Plenary
2019 MilestoneNov (Likely): ITU-WRC 19
2019 MilestoneNov (Likely): ITU-WRC 19
2020 MilestoneJuly/Aug: Summer Olympics JapanSummer (Likely): 1st 5G Commercial
2020 MilestoneJuly/Aug: Summer Olympics JapanSummer (Likely): 1st 5G Commercial
2022 MilestoneSummer (Earliest): 2nd
5G Commercial
2022 MilestoneSummer (Earliest): 2nd
5G Commercial
3GPP “Phase 1”3GPP “Phase 2”
R15R14R13
Some claim 5G commercialization here
2017 MilestoneQ4: Verizon to Launch 28Ghz Fixed Wireless
2017 MilestoneQ4: Verizon to Launch 28Ghz Fixed Wireless
You A
re H
ere
5G Timing: Drivers
– 3GPP: RAN TWG focused on 5G now—less so on 4G items. March 2017 decision to accelerate NSL 5G “New Radio” standard
– Commercialization announcements:
• Verizon fixed mmWave 2017
• AT&T fixed mmWave 2018;
• KT “5G” in 2019
• DOCOMO 5G in 2020.
Cardinal Dates still intact in spite of hype
37
May 20175G Market Update and Enabling
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5G Key Market Makers to Watch
Customers What they are up to
Mobile Network Operators (MNO):
Verizon, AT&T, DOCOMO, CMCC, KT
• Aligning on key performance indicators, vertical businesses, and Intellectual
Property related issues
• Commercialize by 2020 or earlier
• Technology & concept trials � system-level trials
Networks:
Huawei, Nokia, Ericsson
• Partnered with key operators
• Developing mmWave, Massive MIMO, Cloud Radio Access Network (CRAN),
and Mobile Edge Computing (MEC) Technology
MODEMs:
Qualcomm, Intel, Samsung, Huawei
• Early NR and VZW-capable MODEMS (for trials)
• Heavy Engagement in 3GPP
Devices:
Samsung, Huawei, LGE
• Technology research
• Early engagement with Modem suppliers
Dark Horses:
Facebook, Google, Amazon, etc.
• Could change the market perspective
• “Non MNO” business model
Who are the significant players, what are they up to?
38
May 20175G Market Update and Enabling
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Page
5G Updates from Keysight
Timing
– WW Trials focused on showcase events
and initial commercialization
– General commercial deployment >=18
months after 3GPP R15. But some will
go early with “pre-5G” (e.g. mmWave
FWTTH.)
– 5G NR Acceleration: NSL opt.3 (eMBB
NR RAN � LTE ePC) complete Dec
2017. Remaining R15 due Sept. 18
– <=2020 Commercialization: <6GHz
focused on increased efficiency &
flexibility. >6GHz on FW before 2022.
– 2022 Commercialization >6GHz focused
on eMBB, Automotive/Industrial, & next
steps in new NW.
Recent Observations and Conclusions: March 2017
39
Verizon and KT) driving changes to
Technologies:
– Virtualizing the core and the RAN
– Higher-order 3D and Massive MIMO
– Air Interface: Pre-5G specs (e.g. Verizon and KT) driving changes to standards process
• Stand alone vs. non-stand-alone complexity
• LTE-like with flexible numerology & coding.
• Universal and flexible frame structure for all frequencies/bands
– Significant effort on open-source for network virtualization
Policy
Spectrum:
– Shared spectrum and “5G equivalent” of LAA will drive significant technical work
– mmWave bands: US FCC: 28,37,39 GHz for eMBB. 7GHz extension of unlicensed v-band.
– OfCOM and CEPT leaning to 24.5-27.5GHz and 32GHz
– Japan/Korea will likely showcase 28GHz—not clear about formal license
– China focus is <6GHz: ~3.5GHz especially
May 20175G Market Update and Enabling
Technologies
Page
6 Questions You Should Be Able to Answer
– True or False: 5G is focused mostly on adding high data-rate mmWave to cellular
radio.
– True or False: The majority of technology investment in 5G is related to the new air
interface (5G NR)
– How many antennas does a base station have to have to be used for massive MIMO?
– Which large company is the only one investing in nearly all facets of 5G:
semiconductors, UE/CPE, gNB, network hardware, network software, applications?
– Is “The Internet of Things” synonymous with “5G”?
– When will 5G be commercially deployed?
50 Minutes from Now
40
May 2017
Lots
>> UEs
5G is an enabler for IoT
Huawei
5G Market Update and Enabling
Technologies
9/23/2017
21
Page 41
Thank You !!!
Find more information:
www.keysight.com/find/5G
www.keysight.com/find/5G-Insight
May 20175G Market Update and Enabling
Technologies
