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5.4 Retirement Funds
2
I see how investing in a retirement fund is an example of recursion
Abso
lute
ly
Sort
of
Not a
clu
e
100%
0%0%
1. Absolutely
2. Sort of
3. Not a clue
Explain:
5.4 Retirement Funds
3
Educated Guess **Alaysia, who is 25 years old, plans to retire at age 65. She contributes $1000 annually at 10% interest. How much will she have when she retires?
$40,000 $80,015 $120,565 $442,593
0% 0%0%
100%
1. $40,000
2. $80,015
3. $120,565
4. $442,593
5.4 Retirement Funds
4
What is the total amount that Alaysia will deposit in her account until she retires?
$40,000 $60,000 $80,000
100%
0%0%
1. $40,000
2. $60,000
3. $80,000
5.4 Retirement Funds
5
Which recursion formula calculates Alaysia’s balance?
0% 0%0%
100%
1. Ans +.10*Ans-1000
2. Ans +.10*Ans+1000
3. Ans -.10*Ans -1000
4. Ans -.10*Ans+1000
5.4 Retirement Funds
7
How much Alaysia will have if she takes an early retirement at 55? (Ans)
$40,000 $80,015 $120,565 $442,593
0% 0%0%
100%
10%
+ + =
+ $1,000
Age 55
$0 Age 25
?
1. $40,000
2. $80,015
3. $120,565
4. $442,593
5.4 Retirement Funds
8
“Alaysia”
100%
0%0%0%
1. .
2. .
3. .
4.
$
Years
$
Years
Which graph best describes the growth of Alaysia’s retirement fund?
Years
$
$
Years 1. 1
2. 2
3. 3
4. 4
5.4 Retirement Funds
9
You invest $500 at the end of each month in an account paying 5% interest. To find your balance at the end of two years you type in
500Ans + 5*500 + 1000
How many errors did you make?
1 2 3
4 o
r more
0% 0%
100%
0%
1. 1
2. 2
3. 3
4. 4 or more
5.4 Retirement Funds
1010
Annuities (APPS)
N Number of payments made – years
I% Annual interest rate – %, not a decimal
PV 0
PMT Your periodic payment – as a negative (-)
FV Value of the account after N payments
P/Y Number of payments per year
C/Y Number of compoundings per year
5.4 Retirement Funds
11
Using APPS verify that Alaysia will have $442,493
10%
+ + =
$1,000 Age 65
$0
?
N =
I% =
PV =
PMT =
FV =
P/Y =
C/Y =
5.4 Retirement Funds
1212
Volatility: Stock Market Returns Fluctuate from Year to Year S&P 500 Total Return
Source: Bloomberg
Stock Market Returns
Despite a history of outperforming other types of securities, stocks sometimes lose money. Sometimes these losses can be substantial and last for long periods.
The average annual return on stocks from 1926 to 2005 is about 10.4 percent.
5.4 Retirement Funds
1313
• From 1990 - 1999, the average stock fund gained 23.6% per year. $10,000 invested grew to $83,194
• The top 5 funds for the 10 years ending June 2000 all had quarters where they pulled back sharply with a 25% or more loss for the quarter
• “Timing the Market” - Frequent jumping from one fund to another - is a big mistake.
5.4 Retirement Funds
14
Alaysia and Rhona begin work at age 25. Each will invest $1,000 at the end of each year until they are both 65. Alaysia gets 10% interest; Rhona gets 11%. How much more will Rhona have in her account after they have made their last payment at age 65?
$97,445 $103,919 $135,867 $139,233
0% 0%0%
100%
1. $97,445
2. $103,919
3. $135,867
4. $139,233
5.4 Retirement Funds
1515
Rule 1
A slightly higher interest rate can earn substantially
more money in the long run
5.4 Retirement Funds
18
“Jill - Cigarettes”
8%
+ + =
$4.50 Age 60
$0 age 20
?
$4.50 per
pack
0%
0%
100%
0%1. $1,166
2. $48,297
3. $482,976
4. $4,829,757
Daily
5.4 Retirement Funds
19
“Jack - Cigarettes”
$205,729 $274,305 $482,976 $643,968
100%
0%0%0%
1. $205,729
2. $274,305
3. $482,976
4. $643,968
How much will Jack have when he is 60?
Big mistake. I waited until I was 30 to quit. A pack now costs $6. I’ll save the way Jill did. Deposit the money daily in an account paying 8% interest.
5.4 Retirement Funds
20
How much did Jack and Jill each deposit in their accounts over the years?
0%
100%
0%
1. Jill deposited more
2. Jack deposited more
3. They deposited the same amount
5.4 Retirement Funds
22
.
$241 $506 $3,174
0%
100%
0%
1. $241
2. $506
3. $3,174
+ + = Goalage 18
$0 10% / year
4-year tuition now $85,000 3% annual
increase
18 years later = ?
?
.
monthly
5.4 Retirement Funds
2323
Millionaire (Twice over)
Hi folks. Our guest promises that she can make your child into a “double-millionaire” painlessly. Must be a
catch.
No trick, Oprah. Just takes some time.
Time we have. Let’s get to the
details
Two steps. First, on each of her birthdays from 1 - 21 put $500 in an account earning 10% interest compounded annually.
Second step. Make no more payments. Simply leave the balance in the same account compounded annually until age 65. What could be easier?
I hear you, but I have
to see the numbers.
5.4 Retirement Funds
24
Invest $500 each year from 1-21 at 10% compounded annually. At age 21 put the balance (nearest dollar) in same account and leave to age 65 making no more payments. Would the child have $2 million at age 65?
No, $1,897,637
No, $1,927,758
Yes, $2,120,517
Yes, $2,446,854
0% 0%
100%
0%
1. No, $1,897,637
2. No, $1,927,758
3. Yes, $2,120,517
4. Yes, $2,446,854
5.4 Retirement Funds
25
What of these recursion formulas would you use to compute the child’s balance?
100%
0%0%0%
1. Ans + (.10/12)*Answer + 500
2. Ans + (10/12)*Answer + 500
3. Ans + 10*Answer + 500
4. Ans + .10*Answer + 500
5.4 Retirement Funds
26
Years ago real estate agent Brian Cohee bought a digital camera. Until then he spent $14 developing film for each of the 20 home appraisals he did each week. Now he spends no money for developing.
Each Friday Mr. Cohee set aside the money he saved from the 20 appraisals and invested it at 5% interest compounded weekly. He now has $47,101. Assume he works 52 weeks a year. How many years ago did he buy his camera?
0 00
11. A little less than 1
year
2. About 2.5 years
3. 3 years
4. None of the above
5.4 Retirement Funds
2828
$0$1,100$2,100$1,000$2,310$3,310$3,641$4,641$5,105
$1,000$1,000$1,000$1,000
10% Interest10% Interest10% Interest10% Interest10% Interest
5.4 Retirement Funds
29
Start Early Blue: yearly contributionRed: yearly earned interest
After 29 years you earn three times as much as you invest
After 23 years you earn twice as much as you invest
After 15 years you earn more interest than you invest