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4G Network Evolution
Chris Pearson
President
4G Americas
www.4gamericas.org
4G Americas will advocate for and foster the advancement and full capabilities
of 3GPP mobile broadband technologies, including LTE-Advanced, throughout
the ecosystem’s networks, services, applications and wirelessly connected
devices in the Americas.
4G Americas
www.4gamericas.org
Ecosystem Evolution Value Circle
Subscribers
Things
Machines
Spectrum
Ve
nd
ors
Regulators
Application Providers www.4gamericas.org
Growth of Mobile Broadband
2000 2013
Mobile Data Traffic in 2013 was nearly 18 times the entire global Internet in 2000
Source: CISCO VNI, February 2014 www.4gamericas.org
Growth of Mobile Broadband
Mobile broadband
leads the world in
innovation and
development for
computing,
networking, and
applications.
2.4 Billion Global Mobile Broadband Subscriptions in 2Q 2014
Source: Ericsson Mobility Report Interim Update August 2014
www.4gamericas.org
Growth of Mobile Data
Source: CISCO VNI, February 2014
www.4gamericas.org
Voice
Voice Capacity
Mobile Broadband
Fast Mobile Broadband over simplified all IP network
Efficient delivery of services to humans, things and machines
Network Evolution “Mobile Broadband at the Center of the Universe of the Connected Society”
1
2
3
4
5?
Ph
ase
s
www.4gamericas.org
Flexibility Efficiency and Capacity
Experience
Throughputs rates are peak theoretical network rates for that technology release. Dates refer to expected initial commercial network deployment except 2011, which shows technologies that year. There are no public announcements of deployment of WiMAX Rel 1.5 nor IEEE 802.16m. X/Y MHz indicates X MHz used on the downlink and Y MHz used on the uplink. Source: Rysavy Research/4G Americas, 2013 www.4gamericas.org
Technology Evolution To LTE-Advanced | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018
HSPA, HSPA+
LTE, LTE-Advanced
www.4gamericas.org
Latin America &
Caribbean
45 Networks
18 Countries
Africa
25 Networks
13 Countries
North
America
49 Networks
2 Countries Asia Pacific
58 Networks
24 Countries
Data as of 5 Sept 2014
Eastern Europe
53 Networks
23 Countries
Western
Europe
73 Networks
24 Countries
Middle East
19 Networks
8 Countries
321 Networks
111 Countries
20 Networks
15 Countries
556 Networks
203 Countries 365 Networks
157 Countries
LTE
Networks &
Countries
3GPP Mobile Broadband Deployments
www.4gamericas.org
LTE-Advanced Global Deployments
Commercial Networks
Countries
Trials
Commitments
20
30+
50+
15
www.4gamericas.org
USA Global leader of LTE
Africa
Middle
East
Latin
America
Eastern
Europe Western
Europe
Asia Pacific USA / Canada
45% 36%
14% 127 Million Connections in the U.S.
280 Million LTE Connections Worldwide
100 Million Connections APAC
US Data Traffic more than doubled in 2013
Source: Ovum, WCIS+, June 2014
June 2014
www.4gamericas.org
REGULATORY INNOVATION
A New Way Of Licensing Spectrum Authorized Shared Access - ASA
Harmonization and Global Standards Drive Economies of Scale
Exclusive Use Ensures Quality of Service
Shared Use Unpredictable
Quality of Service Exclusive Shared Use Exclusive use on a shared and binary
basis in Time, Location, and/or
Frequency domains with Incumbent
(government, etc.)
Ensures Quality of Service
Complementary
License Model
Authorized Shared
Access - ASA
Unlicensed
Approach
Wi-Fi example
Mainstream,
Preferred Approach
Auctions
of Cleared Spectrum
www.4gamericas.org
Spectrum
Like water to a fish……
One of life’s essentials
www.4gamericas.org
Additional spectrum
for LTE by refarming
& re-assignment
Cleared spectrum
prioritized!
Dynamic
combination of
fragmented
spectrum
When needed,
unlock spectrum by
Authorized Shared
Access (ASA)* with
predictable QoS
Maximize Spectrum For Connectivity
3.5 GHz
Other underutilized bands? * Also referred to as Licensed Shared Access (LSA)
AWS Extension Bands
PCS 1900 MHz Extension Bands
TV Bands Incentive Auction
3.5 GHz
5 GHz
Carrier aggregation
ASA
Carrier
Aggregation
New
bands
Source: 4G Americas Member Company
www.4gamericas.org
LOOKING AHEAD
Looming on the Horizon….
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
Dec 14 Dec 15 Dec 16 Dec 17 Dec 18 Dec 19
Millio
ns o
f S
ub
scri
pti
on
s
2014-2019 – Era of HSPA/LTE
LTE
HSPA
CDMA
TD-SCDMA
GSM
GSM
www.4gamericas.org
There were 13 billion
Internet-connected
devices in 2013, and
there will be 50 billion
in 2020.
2020: The Internet of Things
www.4gamericas.org
Active wireless connected devices
will exceed 16 billion in 2014
50.9 billion are forecast for 2020
50.9 Billion in 2020
0
10
20
30
40
50
2014 2020
www.4gamericas.org
Next Generation Networks 2020
What Will Be The Wireless World of 2020?
www.4gamericas.org
THANK YOU
Chris Pearson
President
4G Americas
WWW.4GAMERICAS.ORG
