4.2.Hotelling Model (VERY GOOD)

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    Industrial Organization- Matilde Machado The Hotelling Model 1

    4.2. Hotelling Model

    Matilde Machado

    Industrial Organization- Matilde Machado The Hotelling Model 2

    4.2. Hotelling ModelThe model:1. Linear city is the interval [0,1]2. Consumers are distributed uniformely along this interval.3. There are 2 firms, located at each extreme who sell the

    same good. The unique difference among firms is theirlocation.

    4. c= cost of 1 unit of the good5. t= transportation cost by unit of distance squared. This

    cost is up to the consumer to pay. If a consumer is at adistance d to one of the sellers, its transportation cost istd 2 . This cost represents the value of time, gasoline, oradaptation to a product, etc.

    6. Consumers have unit demands, they buy at most oneunit of the good {0,1}

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    Industrial Organization- Matilde Machado The Hotelling Model 3

    4.2. Hotelling ModelGraphically

    0 1

    1

    Location of firm ALocation of firm B

    Mass ofconsumers =

    11

    00

    1 1 0 1dz z= = =

    x

    Industrial Organization- Matilde Machado The Hotelling Model 4

    4.2. Hotelling ModelThe transportation costs of consumer x:

    Of buying from seller A areOf buying from seller B are

    s gross consumer surplus - (i.e. its maximumwillingness to pay for the good)Lets assume s is sufficiently large for allconsumers to be willing to buy (this situation isreferred to as the market is covered). Theutility of each consumer is given by:U = s -p-td 2 where p is the price paid.

    2tx( )21t x

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    Industrial Organization- Matilde Machado The Hotelling Model 5

    4.2. Hotelling ModelWe first take the locations of the sellers as given

    (afterwards we are going to determine themendogenously) and assume firms compete inprices.

    1. Derive the demand curves for each of the sellers

    2. The price optimization problem given thedemands

    Industrial Organization- Matilde Machado The Hotelling Model 6

    4.2. Hotelling ModelIn order to derive the demands we need to derive

    the consumer that is just indifferent betweenbuying from A or from B:

    x

    2 2

    2 2

    2 2

    is defined as the location where ( ) ( )

    (1 )

    (1 )

    2

    2

    2

    =

    =

    + = +

    + = + +

    = +

    + =

    x x

    A B

    A B

    A B

    B A

    B A

    x U A U B

    s p tx s p t x

    p tx p t x

    p tx p t tx tx

    tx p p t

    p p t x

    t

    A B x

    Buy from A Buy from B

    If (p B =p A ) then the indifferent consumer is at half the distance between A and B. If(p B -p A ) the indifferent consumers moves to the right, that is the demand for firm A

    increases and the demand for firm B decreases.

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    Industrial Organization- Matilde Machado The Hotelling Model 7

    4.2. Hotelling Model

    0

    A

    1

    B

    x

    p Ap B

    Total cost toconsumer x: p A+tx 2

    p B +t(1-x) 2

    The equilibrium of the Hotelling model

    s

    U i

    i

    Industrial Organization- Matilde Machado The Hotelling Model 8

    4.2. Hotelling ModelWe say the market is covered if all consumers buy.

    Since the consumer with the lowest utility is theindifferent consumer (because it is the one whois further away from any of the sellers), we maysay that the market is covered if the indifferentconsumer buys i.e. if:

    This condition is equivalent to say that s has to behigh enough

    2

    02

    B A A

    p p t s p t

    t

    +

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    Industrial Organization- Matilde Machado The Hotelling Model 9

    4.2. Hotelling ModelOnce we know the indifferent consumer, we may

    define the demand functions of A and B.

    00

    11

    1( , ) 1

    2 2 2

    1 1( , ) 1 1 1

    2 2 2 2

    + = = = = = +

    = = = = + = +

    x x B A B A

    A A B

    B A A B B A B x

    x

    p p t p p D p p dz z x

    t t

    p p p p D p p dz z x

    t t

    Demand of firm A depends positively on the difference (p B -p A ) andnegatively on the transportation costs. If firms set the same prices

    pB=pA then transportation costs do not matter as long as themarket is covered, firms split the market equally (and the indifferent

    consumer is located in the middle of the interval ).

    Industrial Organization- Matilde Machado The Hotelling Model 10

    4.2. Hotelling ModelThe maximization problem of firm A is:

    Because the problem is symmetric pA=p B=p*

    ( ) ( )

    ( )A

    ( , ) ( , )2

    1FOC: 0 0

    2 2

    2 02

    A

    A B A A B A A A B A

    p

    B A A

    A

    B B A A

    p p t Max p p p c D p p p c

    t p p t

    p c p t t

    p t c p p t c p

    + = =

    += =

    + + + + = = Firm As

    reactioncurve

    * ** *

    2 2 2 p t c p t c

    p p t c+ + +

    = = = +Note that if t=0 (no

    productdifferentiation) we

    go back to Bertrandp*=c; *=0

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    Industrial Organization- Matilde Machado The Hotelling Model 11

    4.2. Hotelling ModelOnce the equilibrium prices are determined, we may

    determine the other equilibrium quantities:

    ( ) ( )

    *

    * * *

    * * * * *

    * * * * *

    1 (the indifferent consumer is in the middle because prices are equal)

    21

    ( , )2

    1( , ) 1 ( , )

    2

    2

    =

    = =

    = = =

    = = = + =

    A A B

    B A B A A B

    A B A

    x

    D p p x

    D p p x D p p

    t p c D t c c x

    Note: The higher is t , the more differentiated are the goods from the point ofview of the consumers, the highest is the market power (the closest consumers

    are more captive since it is more expensive to turn to the competition) whichallows the firms to increase prices and therefore profits. When t=0 (no

    differentiation) we go back to Bertrand

    Industrial Organization- Matilde Machado The Hotelling Model 12

    4.2. Hotelling ModelObservations:

    Each firm serves half the market D* A=D*B=1/2

    The Bertrand paradox disapears (note that firmscompete in prices) p A=p B>c

    An increase in t implies more productdifferentiation. Therefore, firms compete lessvigorously (set higher prices) and obtain higherprofits.t=0 back to Bertrand

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    Industrial Organization- Matilde Machado The Hotelling Model 13

    4.2. Hotelling Model

    0

    A

    1

    B x

    p A=t+c p B =t+c

    p A+tx 2

    p B +t(1-x) 2

    The equilibrium of the Hotelling model

    s

    U i

    i

    Industrial Organization- Matilde Machado The Hotelling Model 14

    4.2. Hotelling ModelHow do prices change if the locations of A and B

    change?If A=0 and B=1 there is maximum differentiationSi A=B, there is no differentiation, all consumers

    will buy from the seller with the lowest price,back to Bertrand,pA=p B=c y A= B=0.

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    Industrial Organization- Matilde Machado The Hotelling Model 15

    4.2. Hotelling ModelGeneral Case Endogenous locations:2 periods:

    In the first period, firms choose location

    In the second period firms compete in prices given theirlocations

    We solve the game backwards, starting from thesecond period.

    Industrial Organization- Matilde Machado The Hotelling Model 16

    4.2. Hotelling ModelSecond period:

    Denote by a [0,1] the location of ADenote by (1-b) [0,1] the location of B

    Note: Maximum differentiation is obtained with a =0;and 1-b=1 (i.e. b=0)Minimum differentiation (perfect substitutes)is obtained with a=1-b a+b=1

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    Industrial Organization- Matilde Machado The Hotelling Model 19

    4.2. Hotelling ModelInterpretation of the demand functions:

    ( )captive consumersto the left (own half of the consumersbackyard) between a and 1-b

    captive consumerstohalf of the consumers

    between a and 1-b

    if

    1( , )

    2

    1( , )

    2

    =

    = +

    = +

    A B

    A A B

    B A B

    p p

    b a D p p a

    b a D p p b

    ( )

    the right (ownbackyard)

    sensitivity of the demandto price difference

    if

    1( , )

    2 2 (1 )

    = + +

    A B

    B A A A B

    p p

    b a p p D p p a

    t b a

    Industrial Organization- Matilde Machado The Hotelling Model 20

    4.2. Hotelling ModelGraphically

    0 a 1-b 1

    p A

    x

    p B

    p A+t(x-a) 2

    Firm Ascaptive market

    Firm Bscaptive market

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    Industrial Organization- Matilde Machado The Hotelling Model 21

    4.2. Hotelling Model2. Finding the reaction functions

    ( ) ( ) ( )

    ( )( )

    ( )

    ( )

    1( , )

    2 2 (1 )

    1 1FOC: 0 0

    2 2 (1 ) 2 (1 )

    122 (1 ) 2 2 (1 )

    1(1 ) 2 2 (1 )

    (1 )

    A

    A B A A A A B A p

    A B A

    A A

    A B

    A B

    A

    b a p p Max p c D p p p c a

    t b a

    b a p pa p c

    p t b a t b a

    b a p p ca

    t b a t b a

    b a p p cat b a t b a

    t p at b a

    = = + +

    = + + + = +

    = + +

    + = + +

    = + ( )2

    1

    2 2 Bb a p c ++

    Firm As reactionfunction

    Industrial Organization- Matilde Machado The Hotelling Model 22

    4.2. Hotelling Model2. Finding the reaction functions

    ( ) ( ) ( )

    ( ) ( )

    ( )

    1( , )

    2 2 (1 )

    FOC: 0

    1 10

    2 2 (1 ) 2 (1 )

    1 20

    2 2 (1 )

    B

    B A B B B A B B

    p

    B

    B

    A B B

    A B

    b a p p Max p c D p p p c b

    t b a

    p

    b a p pb p c

    t b a t b a

    b a p p cb

    t b a

    = = + +

    =

    + + + =

    + + + =

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    Industrial Organization- Matilde Machado The Hotelling Model 23

    4.2. Hotelling Model2. 2. Finding the reaction functions

    ( )

    ( )

    ( )

    1 2 1 10

    2 2 (1 ) 2 2 2 (1 )

    13 3 1 10

    4 (1 ) 2 2 4

    3 3 34 (1 ) 4 (1 ) 4 4 4

    3 (1 )3

    (1 ) 1 y (13

    B B

    B

    B

    B

    A

    b a p c b a p cb a

    t b a t b a

    b a p c b ab a

    t b a

    p c b at b a t b a

    t b a b a p c

    b ac t b a p c t b

    + ++ + + + + =

    + + + + + =

    = + +

    + = +

    = + + = + ) 1

    3a b

    a +

    Industrial Organization- Matilde Machado The Hotelling Model 24

    4.2. Hotelling Model2. 2. Finding the reaction functions

    Note that prices are maximum when differentiation ismaximum (a=b=0; p A=p B=c+t) and minimumwhen there is no differentiation (a+b=1 (samelocation) and p A=p B=c)

    * *( , ) (1 ) 1 and ( , ) (1 ) 13 3 B A

    b a a b p a b c t b a p a b c t b a

    = + + = + +

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    Industrial Organization- Matilde Machado The Hotelling Model 27

    4.2. Hotelling Model3. 1st period, simultaneous choice of a and b

    ( ) ( )

    ( ) ( ) ( )

    ( ) ( )

    2

    2

    *

    3( , ) 1

    18

    3 2 3( , )FOC: 1

    18 18

    3 1 3 0 018

    A

    a

    A

    b a Max a b t a b

    b a b aa bt t a b

    at

    b a b a a

    + =

    + += +

    = + + + < =

    Industrial Organization- Matilde Machado The Hotelling Model 28

    4.2. Hotelling Model3. 1st period, simultaneous choice of a and b

    ( ) ( )

    ( )( )

    ( )

    ( )( )

    2

    2

    * *

    3( , ) 1

    183 2 3( , )

    FOC: 118 18

    3 1 3 0 0 1 118

    B

    b

    B

    b a Max a b t a b

    b a b aa bt t a b

    bt

    b a b a b b

    + =

    + + = +

    = + + + < = =

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    Industrial Organization- Matilde Machado The Hotelling Model 29

    4.2. Hotelling ModelConclusion: Firms choose to be in the

    extremes i.e. they choose maximumdifferentiation.

    For firm A, for example, an increase in a (movementto the right):Has a positive effect because it moves towardswhere the demand is (demand effect)Has a negative effect (competition effect)If transportation costs are quadratic, thecompetition effect is stronger than the demandeffectand firms prefer maximum differentiation.

    Industrial Organization- Matilde Machado The Hotelling Model 30

    4.2. Hotelling Model

    The social optimum solution is the onethat minimizes costs (or maximizesutility) and it would be a=1/4 and 1-b=3/4. Therefore, from a social pointof view the market solution leads totoo much differentiation.

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    Industrial Organization- Matilde Machado The Hotelling Model 31

    4.2. Hotelling ModelThe social planners problem is:

    Surplus of consumer x is:s-t(x-a) 2-pA if he buys from As-t(x-(1-b)) 2-pB if he buys from B

    For each consumer, the sellers profit ispA-c firm ApB-c firm B

    Prices are therefore pure transfers between consumers and sellers(note that here it is important the assumption that the market iscovered that is that s is sufficiently high), the total surplusassociated with a given consumer x is:

    s-t(x-a) 2-pA+p A-c= s-t(x-a) 2-c if he buys from As-t(x-(1-b)) 2-pB+p B-c= s-t(x-(1-b)) 2-c if he buys from B

    Industrial Organization- Matilde Machado The Hotelling Model 32

    4.2. Hotelling ModelTo derive the social optimum we must first derive

    the indifferent consumer :

    [ ]

    ( )

    2 2

    2 2

    2 2 2 2

    2 2

    2 2

    ( ) ( (1 ))

    ( ) ( (1 ))

    2 (1 ) 2(1 )

    2 (1 ) 2(1 )

    2 1 (1 )

    (1 )(1 ) (1 )half the distance bweteen a and 1-b

    2 1 2

    =

    =

    + = +

    =

    =

    + + = = =

    s t x a c s t x b c

    x a x b

    x a ax x b b x

    a ax b b x

    x b a b a

    b a b a b a x

    b a

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    Industrial Organization- Matilde Machado The Hotelling Model 33

    4.2. Hotelling ModelThe planner has to max total surplus which is

    the same as minimize transportation costs

    11 12

    2 2 2 2

    ,10 1

    2buy from Abuy from B

    ( ) ( ) ((1 ) ) ( (1 ))

    +=

    + =

    + + + b a

    xa b

    a bb aa b x

    Min t a z dz t z a dz t b z dz t z b dz

    0 a 1-b 1 x

    Industrial Organization- Matilde Machado The Hotelling Model 34

    4.2. Hotelling Model

    11 12

    2 2 2 2

    ,10 1

    2buy from Abuy from B

    13 3

    ,0

    ( ) ( ) ((1 ) ) ( (1 ))

    ( ) ( )3 3

    +=

    + =

    + + +

    +

    b a

    xa b

    a bb aa b x

    a

    a ba

    Min t a z dz t z a dz t b z dz t z b dz

    a z z a Min

    1 13 32

    11

    2

    3 33 3

    ,

    (1 ) ( (1 ))3 3

    1 1 1 13 3 2 3 2 3

    +

    +

    +

    + + +

    b ab

    b ab

    a b

    b z z b

    a b a b a b Min

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    Industrial Organization- Matilde Machado The Hotelling Model 35

    4.2. Hotelling Model

    The FOC:

    3 33 3

    ,

    1 1 1 13 3 2 3 2 3a ba b a b a b

    Min

    + + +

    ( )

    ( )

    ( )

    22

    22

    2 2 2 2

    22 * *

    0 4 1 0 (A)

    0 4 1 0 (B)

    (A)-(B):

    4 4 0

    replacing in (A) implies that:

    1 34 1 0 ;(1 )

    4 4

    a b aa

    b b ab

    a b a b a b

    a a a a b

    = =

    = =

    = = =

    = = =

    Industrial Organization- Matilde Machado The Hotelling Model 36

    4.2. Hotelling ModelThe basic conclusion of the Hotelling model is the principle

    of differentiation: firms want to differentiate as much aspossible in order to soften the price competition.

    It may happen that some forces will lead firms to locate in

    the same location, usually the center (minimumdifferentiation):1) Firms may want to locate where demand is (i.e. in the

    center)2) In the case of no price competition (for example if prices

    are regulated) firms may want to locate in the centerand split the market 50-50.