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7/21/2019 4-29-15 MASTER EBC Ocean and Coastal Resources Program - Coastal Resiliency and Marine Spatial Planning
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Environmental Business Council of New England
Energy Environment Economy
EBC Ocean & Coastal Resources Program:
Coastal Resiliency and Marine Spatial
Planning
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Payson R. Whitney III, P.E.
Chair, EBC Ocean & Coastal
Resources Committee
Vice President, Water & Coastal Engineering
ESS Group, Inc.
Environmental Business Council of New England
Energy Environment Economy
Welcome
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Leslie-Ann McGee
Program Co-Chair and Moderator
Director, Ocean and Coastal Solutions
Battelle
Environmental Business Council of New England
Energy Environment Economy
Introduction
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Harlan Doliner
Program Co-Chair
Counsel, Head of Maritime Group
Verrill Dana LLP
Environmental Business Council of New England
Energy Environment Economy
Introduction
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Steven Miller
Supervisor of Environmental Management
Systems and Sustainability
MassDOT
Environmental Business Council of New England
Energy Environment Economy
DOT Approach to Coastal
Resiliency
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Environmental Business
Council
April 29, 2015
4/29/20157
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The Central Artery/Tunnel (CA/T) system is a critical link in regional
transportation and a vitally important asset in the Bostonmetropolitan area with 160 lane miles half of them in tunnels, sixinterchanges, and 200 bridges.
Tip ONeill Tunnel Exit & Entrance Ramps Tip ONeill Tunnel Exit & Entrance Ramps Tip ONeill Tunnel Exit Ramp
Vent Building 1 Vent Building 4Detail of 15KV Electrical Conduit
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165,000 Average Daily Travel in 2014
Tip ONeill TunnelNorthernmost Portal
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Stakeholder, Technical Advisory Committee, andInstitutional Knowledge meetings were used toinform and refine the project approach.
2 Formal Stakeholder Meetings: Cities of Boston and Cambridge, TBHA,BWSC, EOEEA, DCR, CZM, MWRA, MassPort (Logan InternationalAirport), MEMA, consultant teams for Cambridge and MassPort
2 Formal Technical Advisory Committee Meetings: EPA Region 1, USACOE,
Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI), NOAA
Many IK Meetings: District 6 Operations and Maintenance, Electrical,Environmental (stormwater pump stations and outfalls)
| Leading the Nation in Transportation Excellence | www.mass.gov/massdot
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| Leading the Nation in Transportation Excellence | www.mass.gov/massdot
Project Overview
Define Geographical ScopeInventory of Assets
Surveys of Critical Areas of Central Artery
Hydrodynamic AnalysisVulnerability Assessment
Adaptation Strategy
Project report and presentations
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4/29/2015 | Leading the Nation in Transportation Excellence | www.mass.gov/massdot12
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Includes relevant physical processes (tides, storm surge, wind, waves,
wave setup, river discharge, sea level rise, future climate scenarios)
Currents
Storm Surge
Tides
Water Levels
Winds
SLR
Discharge Infrastructure
Waves
Wave Setup
Charles RiverDam
Amelia Earhart Dam
High Reso lut ion Hydrodynamic Model ing
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Amelia Earhart Dam
Model Input
Data Input Source
LiDAR and topography MassGIS, MassDOT, USGS, NOAA CSC, Site-specific surveys
Bathymetry NOAA/NGDC, USGS, Site-specific surveys
Land cover MassGIS, USGS
River flow and hydrographs BWSC, USGS, City of Cambridge, VHB
Historical high water marks USGS, Gadoury (1979)
Tides NOAA Tides and Currents
Sea level rise scenarios US National Climate Assessment (2012)
Flood control structures Massachusetts DCR, USACE, MCZM
Storm climatology - Tropical Emanuel et al. (2006), Global Climate Models
Storm climatologyExtra-Tropical (Vickery et al., 2013), (ECMWF, 2014), Myers and Malkin (1961)
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Risk Inundation Maps
Regional Output
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Depth of Inundation Maps
Regional Output
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Vulnerability Assessment
While considering exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity itbecame apparent during the IK meetings that there is a high
sensitivity to flooding to almost all structures with little redundancy inthe system any water at grade is a problem.
Therefore, all structures have an equal priority
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Adaptation Strategy
Mix of local and regional actionscoordinated with otherorganizations.
Local protection of structures with water less than 2 feet wouldconsist of relatively inexpensive temporary flood structures. 1%
storm flood depths exceeding 2 feet would require a perimeter floodwalls but will not be needed until after 2030 and beyond. Portalsare vulnerable to flooding today but could be protected withtemporary barriers. Once the 0.1% flood depths exceed 0.5 feetflood gates would be required.
Regional protection plans are still under development but will befocused on major flood pathways identified in the 2070 and 2100analysis.
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Notes:aInside (downstream) of Portal BIN62B-POR, so protected if portal protected
bOutside (upstream) of Portal BIN7UG-POR, floods if Boat Section floods
cSee note b. Also in 2030, 1% flood, there is only minor flooding of the Boat Section.
dDoor to pump station located in boat section, sou th and outs ide of Portal 7J8-POR. Portal is flooded
under 1% flood level in 2030.
Table 5-2. The vulnerability results of non-Boat Section Structures for 2013 and 20 30 flooding s cenarios.
20 13 indicates present vulnerability and 2030 indicates vulnerabili ty over the period from the just past
the present to 2030.Note: when a range of dep ths is shown, it means that flood dep th varies along the perimeter of the st ructure.
Structure_ID 2013 1 %
Depth (ft)
2030 1 %
Depth (ft)
Structure Location
D6A-DC03 0 0 to 0.3 Depot-Main Complex SMF
Rutherford Street, Charlestown
D6D-DC01 0 to 0.5 0 to 1.5 Depot-Main Complex - 93 Granite Ave, Milton
D6D-D1-B 0 to 0.4 0.7 D6 Granite Ave Building B
D6D-D1-C 0 0.2 D6 Granite Ave Building C
HOC-D6 0 0 to 0.2 Complex HOC / ES02 / I-90 ML
Mass port Haul Road, South Boston
D6-ES02-FAC 0 0 to .03 Emergency Respon se Station 2
D6-SWO4-FAC 0 Floodedd Storm Water Pump Station 4
TB03-D6 0 to 0.1 0.1 Complex TB03 / ERS07
Bulfinch Triangle, East Boston
D6-TB03-FAC 0 0.1 to 0.45 Toll Facility Building Sumner Tunnel
ERS07 0 0.25 to 0.7 Emergency Response Station 7
TA03-D6 0 to 0.1 0.1 to 0.8 Complex TA03
Havre Street, East Boston
D6-TA03-FAC 0 0.4 to 0.8 Sumner/Callahan
Tolls/Administration/Engineering
D6-VB11-FAC 0 0 to 0.25 Vent Building 11 - Liverpool Street, East Boston
D6-VB13-FAC 0 0.05 to 0.7 Vent Building 13 - Decatur Street, East Boston
D6-VB1-FAC 0 0 to 1 Vent Building 1 - 55 Dorchest er Avenue, Boston
D6-VB6-FAC 0 0.4 Vent Building 6 - 2 Fid Kennedy Drive, S. Boston
TE061W 0 0.4 Tunne l Egress 61W at VB6
MBTAAQ 0.4 0.5 to 1.5 MBTA Aquarium Station
MBTA Aquarium Station-
MBTAAQ
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Table 6-1. Number of lanes and dimensions for the portals in Table 5.3 requiring gates either now or by 2030
and material and installation costs.
Portal Label No. ofLanes
Width(ft)
YearInstalled
Gate($Million)
Installation($Million)
Total Cost($Million)
BIN5VA 2 38 2013 1.7 1.1 2.8
BINA07 2 29 2030 1.5 1.0 2.5
BINC00 2 28 2030 1.5 1.0 2.5
BIN7UG/BIN7MD/BIN7GC 2/4/5 180 2030 8.7 5.7 14.4
BIN7J8/7J9 4 2 130 2013 6.4 4.2 10.6
BIN7JD/7JE/7JF/7RX 1/2/2/1 178 2013 8.5 5.5 14.0
Street View of Combined Bins 7UG,
7MD, and 7GC (from Google Earth)
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Interaction with MassDOT, Regional Stakeholders, and the TAC:
MassDOT and the technical team members met weekly on a scheduledconference call and regularly in person to develop a good understanding ofthe project requirements, challenges and outputs. Besides the 2 major
meetings of the stakeholders and TAC there were regular email andtelephone conversations. A positive environment was created to seek inputon regional and scientific issues.
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MassDOT is Expanding the model to entire coast andislands:
This work will assess the vulnerability of MassDOTstransportationsystems (primarily roads, bridges, and railways) along the entireMassachusetts coastline. This 2 year project has 3 main phases:
Phase 1: Pilot-scale analysis to develop methodologies andtest modeling schemes.
Phase 2: Extension and refinement of BH-FRM to the entirecoastline. The new model will be called the MassachusettsCoastline Flood Risk Model (MC-FRM) and will be used for theregional analysis.
Phase 3: Regional scale vulnerability analysis and conceptualadaptation strategies.
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Thank you!
Steven Miller
MassDOT, Highway Division10 Park Plaza, Room 4260
Boston, MA 02116
368-857-8809
4/29/2015
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Kirk F. Bosma, P.E., M.C.E.
Team Leader / Coastal Engineer
Woods Hole Group
Environmental Business Council of New England
Energy Environment Economy
Case Studies: Technical
Approach to Coastal Resiliency
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Storm Surge Risk andCoastal EngineeringAdaptations in a
Changing ClimateKirk F. Bosma, [email protected]
April 29, 2015
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Climate Change Preparation
1. Sea Level Rise and Storm Surge Risk What is the real risk?
2. Vulnerability Assessment How do we determine what is vulnerable?
3. Preparedness Planning and Adaptations What should the plan be?
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So how do we determine what is vulnerable?
Inundation maps based on standard bathtub model donot reflect dynamic nature of coastal flooding
Does not account for joint flooding conditions Does not include effects of infrastructure (e.g., dams) Does not account for tides
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So how do we determine what is vulnerable?
Worst possible scenario for emergency planning (worststorm at MHW)no associated risk planning
Coarse modeling domain results in local inaccuracies Does not include impacts of waves Errors are relatively large (+/- 20%)
Just hurricanes
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Includes relevant physical processes (tides, storm surge, wind, waves,
wave setup, river discharge, sea level rise, future climate scenarios)
Currents
Storm Surge
Tides
Water Levels
Winds
SLR
Discharge Infrastructure
Waves
Wave Setup
Hi-Res Hydrodynamic Modeling
Charles RiverDam
Amelia Earhart Dam
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Why existing maps are not good enough
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Regional Grid Requirements
Grid covers a large regional area (North Atlantic) to capture large-scale storm
(hurricane, noreaster) dynamics.
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Boston Grid
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Focus Areas
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Amelia Earhart Dam
Data Input Source
LiDAR and topography MassGIS, MassDOT, USGS, NOAA CSC, Site-specificsurveys
Bathymetry NOAA/NGDC, USGS, Site-specific surveys
Land cover MassGIS, USGS
River flow and hydrographsBWSC, USGS, City of Cambridge, VHB
Historical high water marks USGS, Gadoury (1979)
Tides NOAA Tides and Currents
Sea level rise scenarios US National Climate Assessment (2012)
Flood control structures Massachusetts DCR, USACE, MCZM
Storm climatology - Tropical Emanuel et al. (2006), Global Climate Models
Strom climatology Extra-Tropical
(Vickery et al., 2013), (ECMWF, 2014), Myers and Malkin(1961)
Model Input
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Using Projections to Bracket Risk
Parris et al. (2012)
U. S. National ClimateAssessment.
X4
X3
X2
X1
3a
2100
2a
2070
1a
2030
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Storm Climatology - Hurricanes
Monte Carlo simulations,using a large statistically
robust set of storms(Emanuel, et al., 2006) and aphysics based approach
Present and future climatechange scenarios
Simulates storms (bothhurricane and noreaster)combined with SLR andprecipitation
A Large Statistically robustset of storms.
No need to determine jointprobabilities.
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Integration of Urban Dams
Implementation of new boundarycondition in the ADCIRC model
Allows evaluation of combinedprocesses
Amelia Earhart Dam
Charles River Dam
Flood Control Structures
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Model Validation Perfect Storm
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Example Results Winds
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Example Results - Waves
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Example Results - Hurricane
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Inundation Risk Maps
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Depth of Inundation Maps
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Example Assessment
7.33 hrs
LOCAL
LOCAL
l
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Example Assessment
10.0 hrs
LOCAL
LOCAL
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Local Assessment
Hull BMP Sites
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HullBMP Sites
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Time Variable Accretion
S
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Summary
1. The MassDOT BH-FRM model
provides high-resolution floodingresults for projected climate changescenarios.
2. The BH-FRM includes relevantprocesses, storm types, and jointprobabilities.
3. The BH-FRM provides realisticprobability based results that can bemore effectively used to assessvulnerabilities.
4. The model can be used to test
various adaptation and engineeringoptions, and can be connected toeconomic models.
5. The BH-FRM is currently beingextended to the entire coastline ofMassachusetts.
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Paul Kirshen, Ph.D.
Research Professor
University of New Hampshire
Environmental Business Council of New England
Energy Environment Economy
Climate Change and Adaptation
Based on Vulnerability
Assessment
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Climate Change and daptation
Planning Based on Vulnerability
ssessment
Environmental Business Council of New England
Battelle Memorial InstituteNorwell MA
April 29 2015
Paul Kirshen
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All human and natural systems are sensitive toclimate: thus as climate changes, their serviceswill change. Therefore we must consider how
we will adjust to the changes, the process ofadaptation
A mix of local and regional actions
taken over space and time by publicand private organizations
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Initial Step: VulnerabilityAssessment Impacts if no
adaptation
Function of Systems
-Exposure
-Sensitivity
-Adaptive Capacity
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Built EnvironmentAdaptation
Accommodate
Protect
Retreat
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Can we assign probabilities to
these climate projections ?No (mostly)
Deep Uncertainty
US NCA, 2013)
Address Uncertainty with
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Address Uncertainty with
Strategies that:
Consider a range of future conditions (scenarios)
Are robust, and/or flexible and adjustable
Include no-regrets and co-benefit solutions
Are integrated with mitigation, regional andsustainability planning
Recognizes Adaptive Capacity (economic, social, andnatural resources, institutions, technology )
Evaluated with Multiple Criteria
Are stakeholder driven
Combine here and now and prepare and monitor
actions
Example of Here and Now
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Mechanical, electrical andemergency services on roofout of harms way
Operable windows keyed openin event of systems failure
Critical patient programs aboveground floor
Spaulding Rehabilitation Hospital, Charlestown Navy Yard, BostonArchitect: Perkins + Will Analytical diagrams P+W / Partners HealthCare
Example of Here and Now
Key floors above 2085 HighEstimate 100 Year Flood
Prepare and Monitor
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p
Portsmouth Flooding Adaptation
North Mill Pond, 13.5 ft NAVD
S l f P t th NH Pl
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Sample of Portsmouth NH Plan
T i P i t (f Th 2100)
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Trigger Points (from Thames 2100)
Mean Sea Level
Peak Surge Level
Peak River Flood
Erosion Habitat
Land Use
Public/Institutional Attitudes to Flood Risk
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Articulating Floodwall
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Articulating Floodwall
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Enhanced Natural Dunes and Vegetation
Addressing Water Quality Impacts
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Addressing Water Quality Impacts
Microbial Risks
Improved FiltrationSystems MF and UF Membranes
Advanced Disinfection
Ozone Ultraviolet
Advanced Oxidation Chemical RisksImproved Pretreatment
GAC and Ion ExchangeSorption
NF and RO Membranes
Advanced Oxidation
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http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/in_pictures/8362183.stm
Example of Staged Strategy
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/in_pictures/8362183.stmhttp://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/in_pictures/8362183.stmhttp://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/in_pictures/8362183.stmhttp://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/in_pictures/8362183.stm7/21/2019 4-29-15 MASTER EBC Ocean and Coastal Resources Program - Coastal Resiliency and Marine Spatial Planning
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Example of Staged Strategy
Figure 15. Example of parapet wall
After 2100 - Retreat
Present to 2050Local Solutions
2050 to 2100Regional Solutions
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Corollaries
Safe to Fail, not Fail Safe
Design with Nature
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78
Five Natural Lines of Defense
Inniss et al (2014)
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NYC, A Stronger,. More Resilient New York, 2013
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Scenario AnalysisLooking forreasonable solutions that work over
the range of possibilitiesTop-Down (few uncertainties)
Bottom-Up (many uncertainties)
Top-Down, Predict-then-Act
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p ,
Select multi-criteria indicators and define their sensitivity
Select scenarios of climate and other changeshigh andlow, moderate, ensemble (many)
Determine Exposure, Sensitivity, Adaptive Capacity
Define adaptation plans or policies over time and space
Test plans against the scenarios
Select plan that works most reasonably no matter whatscenario actually occurs
Check for climate and other surprisesMonitor Climate and Other Thresholds
Good for well-bounded problems
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Bottom-Up, Context-First, RobustDecision Making, Decision Scaling, etc
Define adaptation policy or plan
Identify what climate and other changes
makes the plan vulnerableInvestigate the possibilities of thesechanges occurring
Make decision
Good for complex combined scenariosand/or poorly bounded or understood
future conditions
SLR and Climate Scenarios
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SLR and Climate Scenarios
Storm Climatology (pre and post
2050)
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VulnerabilityExposureFrom WHG maps based upon annual probabilities offlooding ( include wave heights). Flood water at any part ofstructure or boat section is problem (10 9 14 IK meeting)
Sensitivity - Each structure and boat section with few exceptionsare considered critical to maintaining the operability of the CATsystem. Large consequences if most structures or tunnels fail tomeet design conditions (10 9 14 IK meeting).
Adaptive CapacityNo redundancieslow or zero adaptivecapacity
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CAT Project Design Criteria (BBP,
various dates, Volumes 13)
Tunnels1000 year floodOthers100 year flood
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Structure Protection with Wall and
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Table 5-3. Flood depths of vulnerable Boat Sections with Portals. Flood depth ranges are further defined in
notes below table.
Structure_ID
2013 0.1 %
Depth (ft)
< 2030 0.1 %
Depth (ft) Ramp Area or Roadway Area
BIN5VA-POR 0 to 1.0d 0 to 1.7e Ramp CN-SA
Central Artery Northbound to Surface Artery
Rose Kennedy Greenway Parcel 12
BIN7J8-POR
BIN7J9-POR
BIN7JD-POR
BIN7JE-PORBIN7JF-POR
BIN7RX-POR
0 to 0.9 0 to 2.9 I-90 Main Line and HOVEB
at Highway Operations Center
BIN7UG-POR
BIN7GC-POR
BIN7MD-POR
0 to 0.4g 0 to 1.4h I-93 Northbound and Southbound
Tip ONeill Tunnel Portals
at Zakim Bridge
BINA07-POR 0.3 0.7 Sumner Tunnel Entrance East Boston
BINC00-POR 0 to 0.4i 0.3 to 0.8j Callahan Tunnel Exit East Boston
Notes : dmore than 20% of perimeter at a depth >0.9 ft.emost of the perimeter is flooded at 1.1 ft.
fmost of the perimeter is flooded at 1.9 ft.gmore than 80% of the perimeter is not flooded (0.0 ft depth).
imost of the perimeter is flooded at 1.0 ftjmore than 30% of the perimeter is flooded at >0.3 ft.
Tunnel Portals - Sensitive if flooding at grade exceeds 0.5 ft at most of perimeter
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Table 5-2. The vulnerability results of non-Boat Section Structures for 2013 and 2030 flooding s cenarios.
2013 indicates present vulnerability and 2030 indicates vulnerability over the period from the just past
the present to 2030.
Note: when a range of depths is shown, it means that flood depth varies along the perimeter of the st ructure.
Structure_ID 2013 1 %
Depth (ft)
2030 1 %
Depth (ft)
Structure Location
D6A-DC03 0 0 to 0.3 Depot-Main Complex SMF
Rutherford Street, Charlestown
D6D-DC01 0 to 0.5 0 to 1.5 Depot-Main Complex - 93 Granite Ave, Milton
D6D-D1-B 0 to 0.4 0.7 D6 Granite Ave Building B
D6D-D1-C 0 0.2 D6 Granite Ave Building C
HOC-D6 0 0 to 0.2 Complex HOC / ES02 / I-90 ML
Massport Haul Road, South Boston
D6-ES02-FAC 0 0 to .03 Emergency Response Station 2
D6-SWO4-FAC 0 Flooded Storm Water Pump Station 4
TB03-D6 0 to 0.1 0.1 Complex TB03 / ERS07
Bulfinch Triangle, East Boston
D6-TB03-FAC 0 0.1 to 0.45 Toll Facility Building Sumner Tunnel
ERS07 0 0.25 to 0.7 Emergency Response Station 7
TA03-D6 0 to 0.1 0.1 to 0.8 Complex TA03
Havre Street, East Boston
D6-TA03-FAC 0 0.4 to 0.8 Sumner/Callahan
Tolls/Administration/Engineering
D6-VB11-FAC 0 0 to 0.25 Vent Building 11 - Liverpool Street, East Boston
D6-VB13-FAC 0 0.05 to 0.7 Vent Building 13 - Decatur Street, East Boston
D6-VB1-FAC 0 0 to 1 Vent Building 1 - 55 Dorchester Avenue, Boston
D6-VB6-FAC 0 0.4 Vent Building 6 - 2 Fid Kennedy Drive, S. Boston
TE061W 0 0.4 Tunnel Egress 61W at VB6
MBTAAQ 0.4 0.5 to 1.5 MBTA Aquarium Station
MBTA Aquarium Station-
MBTAAQ
Other Structures
Flooding can be managed with small scale means up to 2 ft
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Table 6-1. Number of lanes and dimensions for the portals in Table 5.3 requiring gates either now or by 2030
and material and installation costs.
Portal Label No. of
Lanes
Width
(ft)
Year
Installed
Gate
($Million)
Installation
($Million)
Total Cost
($Million)
BIN5VA 2 38 2013 1.7 1.1 2.8
BINA07 2 29 2030 1.5 1.0 2.5
BINC00 2 28 2030 1.5 1.0 2.5
BIN7UG/BIN7MD/BIN7GC 2/4/5 180 2030 8.7 5.7 14.4
BIN7J8/7J9 4 2 130 2013 6.4 4.2 10.6
BIN7JD/7JE/7JF/7RX 1/2/2/1 178 2013 8.5 5.5 14.0
Street View of Combined Bins 7UG,
7MD, and 7GC (from Google Earth)
Adaptation Strategy: Example of Old
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Adaptation Strategy: Example of Old
Orchard Beach, Maine
Expected Value Net Benefits of Adaptation at Old Orchard BeachME (present to 2050)
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(p )
SLR
Scenario
Adptation
Action
Expected
Value of
Residual
Damages
$million
Adaptation
Cost
$million
Total
Damage
andCost
$million
Damages
Avoided
(Benefit)
$million
Net
Benefits
$million
No SLR
No Action
680
0
680
0
-680
100 +
0
60
60
680
620
50 +
3.4
52.4
55.8
676.6
620.8
Low
No Action
899.3
0
899.3
0
-899.3
100 +
0
60
60
899.3
839.3
50 +
28.3
52.4
80.7
871
790.3
High
No Action
1016.6
0
1016.6
0
-1016.6
100 +
37.6
60
97.6
979
881.4
50 +
67.8
52.4
120.2
948.8
828.6
Thank you
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Thank you
94
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Robbin E. Peach, MPA
Program Manager of Resiliency
Capital Programs and Environmental Affairs
Massport
Environmental Business Council of New England
Energy Environment Economy
MassportsApproach to Coastal
Resiliency and Marine Planning
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ResiliencyMassport
A pathway to a more resilient future
EBC 4.29.15
Overview of Massport
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Massport is an independent authority
governed by a board of directors,
appointed by the states governor
Massport owns and operates
Boston-Logan International Airport
Hanscom Field, Bedford, MA
Worcester Airport Conley Container Terminal
Black Falcon Cruiseport
Various real estate assets
Boston Logan International Airport
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Port of Boston
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Port of Boston
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Oldest continually active port
in Western Hemisphere (400 years)
New Englands maritime hub
Supports 34,000 jobs
$2 billion to local, regional,
and national economies
Paul W. Conley Container Terminal
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Privately owned petroleum and
liquefied natural gas terminals
Supplies more than 90% ofMassachusetts' heating and fossil fuel
needs.
Two ship repair yards,
Public and private ferry operations,
Marinas,
Coast Guards Sector Boston
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Cruiseport Boston
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Connects New England with premier tourist destinations along the NorthAtlantic, Canada, Bermuda, the Caribbean and beyond.
Secure and Resilient Massport on Boston Harbor
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DRIVERS
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DRIVERS
For Action
Resiliency and National Security
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Climate (extreme weather, drought, sea level rise)
as global threat multiplier Food and water shortages
More poverty
Forced migrations
Higher unemployement
Atlantic Ocean Increased frequency of storms
Destablize U.S. Fleets and ships
Stressed weapon systems
Damage to ports
Increased calls for military assistance
Vulnerabilities
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Vulnerabilities
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Vulnerabilities
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Preparation for Superstorm Sandy
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Resident Engineers on-site inspections Construction scaffolding removed
Tie-downs on bridge
Cleaned screens for storm drains
FOD removed before (and after) Secure doors
Hazardous Waste
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Hazardous waste moved inside Hazardous waste moved inside
Monitoring
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Massport essential personnel
Fire
Safety
Operations
Resident Engineers
Term-contractors on-site Roofing
Electrical
Mechanical
Pumping
Cleaning
Assessing Damage
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Solar panels destroyed
Terminals flooded Standards and signs blown over
Vehicles destroyed
Roofing membranes peeled off
Possible Impacts
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Airports
Logan Airport prolonged closureregional/national, internationaltransportation/economic impacts
Passenger, business, critical goods, and commerce disruption
Lack of ability to serve area-wide storm recovery efforts
Maritime
Major facility and equipment loss leading to long term closure Loss of cruise & container business
Real Estate Financial risks associated with tenant disruptions/recovery
Disruptions to local/regional transportation system
Agency-wide Loss of human resources
Greater recovery cost
GOALS
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Resiliency
GOALS
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Program Manager of Resiliency
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First position of its kind at Massport and possibly
at any national port authority. Directs and coordinates resilience assessment and
adaptation preparedness activities of Massport.
Pursues two complementary objectives: Making the resilience plan and its principles part of
business strategy and operations everywhere; and
Facilitating cooperation among internal staff
External stakeholders promoting partnership
&collective action.
THOUGHT PROCESSES
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OUR
PROCESS
Defining Resiliency
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Resiliency is the ability of a system to withstand a major
disruption within acceptable degradation parameters, recover
within an acceptable time, and balance composite costs and
risks.
How to protect Massport facilities against long-term sea-levelrise, storm surges, intense storm events, other unplanned
events and threats?
How to maintain and restore operational capabilities duringand after disruptive events?
How to implement a balanced composite cost and risk plan?
Summary of Projects in the Region
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Client Project Climate ImpactsDisaster and Infrastructure Resiliency
Plan
SLR, storm surge, precip, temp,
wind
Cambridge Vulnerability Assessment SLR, storm surge, precip, temp
South Shore Communities SLR and Storm Surge study SLR, storm surge
MA Army National Guard Vulnerability Assessment SLR, storm surge, precip, temp
BWSCDrainage Master Plan, including climate
projectionsSLR, storm surge, precip
Vulnerability Assessment and
Adaptation for the Central ArterySLR, storm surge, precip
Preparing for the Rising Tide SLR, storm surge
Army Corps of Engineers, with
FEMA/MEMA
Multi-state Hurricane Evacuation Study
and Hurricane Surge Inundation
Mapping
Storm surge
FEMA Risk Maps for Suffolk CountyUpdated FIRM flood maps
without CC considerations
Boston Redevelopment Authority Article 80 proposed amendmentQuestionnaire for CC building
considerations
Building Resiliency in BostonBuilding guidelines; planning
horizons
Resiliency Working Group
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Logan
Maritime
Worcester
Hanscom
Corporate
Working Group Charge
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Identification Threat event
Threat level
Impacted facilities
Effect of impact
Critical facilities needing protection
Devise a Plan Avoid, minimize, recover
Short term
Long term
Methodology
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Step 1 Step 2 Step 3 Step 4 Step 5
Findings
Identify resolutions
to minimize or
eliminate the gap
Resiliency
Redundancy
Development
Identify Threats and
Hazards
Natural
Technological
Human Caused
Based on historical
occurrences and
probability models.
Assess Probabilityand Impact of each
threat/ hazard
Assess Vulnerabilities
Functionality
Structural Integrity
Environmental
Considerations
Accessibility
Current and Planned
Activities
Vulnerabilities
already being
addressed
External
coordination
Shortrange and
CapitalImprovement plans
Gap Analysis
Gap between CI/KR
requirement and
existing or planned
capability
Identify Critical
Infrastructure and Key
Resources (CI/KR)
What the CI/KR is
required to do
Identify
dependencies and
interrelationships
Step 6
Modified DHS Threat and Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment (THIRA) Model
Threats & Hazards to Critical Infrastructure
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NATURAL TECHNOLOGICAL HUMAN-CAUSED
Resulting from acts of nature Involves accidents or the
failures of systems and
structures
Caused by the intentional
actions of an adversary
Earthquake
Flood*
High winds*
Hurricane*
Sea Level Rise*
Tornado
Tsunami
Fire Winter Storm*
* Addressed in Kleinfelder Study forLogan and Maritime
Data Loss
Power Loss
Fire/Accident
Sabotage
Terrorism Acts (Bomb Blast)
Critical Infrastructure/Key Resources
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Utilities Transportation
Electrical/Vaults/Sub Stations/Distribution etc.
Drainage
Generators
Water
Parking
Surface Roads
Elevated Roads
Tunnels
Bridges
Transit
Taxi
Shuttle
Rental Car
Fuel Systems Human Capital
Aviation Fuel
Ground Fuel
Generator Fuel
Workforce
HR Functions
Qualified Maintenance
Security
IT Equipment/Buildings
ATCTower
Telecommunications
Network
Software
HardwareEnterprise
Terminals
Runway/Taxiway
Apron
Tower
Security GatesBerths
Operating Cranes
Processing Gates
Probability
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High Probability/High Impact
Natural Technological Human-Caused
Flood
High Winds
Hurricane
Fire
Extreme Temps
Data Loss
Low Probability/High Impact
Natural Technological Human-Caused
Tsunami
Tornado
Earthquake
Terrorism
Sabotage
Epidemic
Disaster Infrastructure Resiliency Planning (DIRP)
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Goals of the project:
Understand Massports vulnerability to climate impacts
Develop short-term and long-term resiliency strategies
Project approach:
Climate projections Vulnerability and risk assessment Adaptation planning
& design
Probability of occurrence
Conseque
nceofimpact
1 2 3
Climate Study Area
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Logan Airport Maritime Facilities
Historic Occurrence of HurricanesBoston (1858-2013)
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SUB/TROPICAL STORMS
& DEPRESSIONS
CATEGORY 1
HURRICANECATEGORY 2
HURRICANES
CATEGORY 3
HURRICANES
Hurricane Sandy[1]:
October 29-30, 2012
Hurricane Bob:
August 16 - 29, 1991
Hurricane Esther:
September 10 - 27, 1961
Great Atlantic Hurricane of 1944:
September 9 - 16, 1944
Hurricane Gloria:
September 27,1985
Hurricane of 1869:
September 79, 1869
Unnamed (1936):
September 8 - 25, 1936
Hurricane Donna:
September 12, 1960
Unnamed (1924):
September 27 - 30, 1924
Hurricane Edna:
September 11, 1954
Hurricane of 1916:
July 10 - 22, 1916
Hurricane Carol:
August 31, 1954
Unnamed (1904):
September 8 - 15, 1904
Great New England
Hurricane:
September 21, 1938
Unnamed (1896):
August 30 - September 11, 1896
Unnamed(1924):
August 16 - 28, 1924Unnamed (1894):
October 1 - 12, 1894
Unnamed (1869):
October 4 - 5, 1869
Unnamed (1893):
August 15 - 26, 1893
Unnamed (1888):
September 23 - 27, 1888
Unnamed (1885):
September 17 - 23, 1885
Unnamed (1879):
August 13 - 20, 1879
Unnamed (1858):
September 14 - 17, 1858
[1]All storms listed above tracked within 150 miles of Boston, except Hurricane Sandy.
N = Number of OccurrencesP = Annual Probability
0
10
20
30
40
50
N = 34
P = 0.22
N = 13
P = 0.08N = 8
P = 0.05 N = 2
P = 0.01
NumberofOccurrences
Tide Levels at Peak Hurricane Storm Surge -
Boston (1923-2013)
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MLW MSL MHW MHHW HAT
Category 1 1 2 0 0 0
Category 2 2 3 2 0 0
Category 3 0 1 0 0 0
0
1
2
3
4
Number
ofOccurences
MLW = Mean Low Water (-4.36 ft)MSL = Mean Sea Level
MHW = Mean High Water
MHHW = Mean Higher High Water
HAT = Highest Astronomical Tide (7.73 ft)All tidal elevations are in NGVD29 datum
Sandy made final landfall near Atlantic City, NJ on 10/30/2012 00:00 GMT as a Category 1 hurricane at MHW
(NOAA, 2013)
Sea Level Rise Projections
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Global mean sea level rise scenarios provided by NOAA as part of the
National Climate Assessment report published in December 2012.
Logan - Flooding from Category 2 Hurricane at MHHW
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Logan - Flooding from Category 3 Hurricane at MHHW
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South Boston - Flooding from Category 2 Hurricaneat MHHW
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South Boston - Flooding from Category 3 Hurricaneat MHHW
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Terminal A
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Terminal A - Satellite
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Fish Pier
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Fish Pier EastDesign Flood Elevations
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GROUND FLOOR
EL. = 11.11
CAT. 3 HURRICANE (MHHW)
FLOOD EL. = 20.46CAT. 2 HURRICANE (HAT)
EST. FLOOD EL. = 18.28
FEMA BFE (2009)
FLOOD EL. = 9.81
FEMA BFE (2013)
FLOOD EL. = 13.81
- All elevations are in NGVD.
Fish Pier EastDesign Flood Elevations
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CAT. 3 HURRICANE (MHHW)
FLOOD EL. = 20.46
CAT. 2 HURRICANE (HAT)
EST. FLOOD EL. = 18.28
GROUND FLOOR
EL. = 10.61
FEMA BFE (2009)
FLOOD EL. = 9.81 - All elevations are in NGVD.
FEMA BFE (2013)
FLOOD EL. = 13.81
Fish Pier EastDesign Flood Elevations
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Fish PierResiliency Objectives
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Resiliency Performance Objectives:
Allow the first floors of buildings to flood
Prevent damage to critical electrical and fire protectionsystems and building elevator machinery
Prevent flooding of underground waste storage tanks and
associated pump systems
Prevent structural failure of the building due to flooding
Fish PierPotential Recommendations (I)
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Fish PierPotential Recommendations (II)
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Conley Terminal
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Conley Terminal - Overview
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Conley Terminal - Vessel Berths
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Conley Terminal Vessel BerthsPotential Recommendations
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Conley TerminalVessel Cranes
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Risk-Based Prioritization
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Probability ofFlooding
Determined based on Inundation Model results
Flooded in more storm scenarios higher probability, higher priority
Consequenceof Flooding
Criticality Score X Occupancy Category
Higher consequencehigher priority
Depth ofFlooding
Further distinguish among assets with
same Probability and Consequence
Higher depthhigher priority
Based on role in
disasterpreparedness,
response, recovery
Based on ASCE/SEI 24-05
Standard for Flood ResistantDesign and Construction
Consequence: Criticality Score
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Description Criticality Score
Assets required for bare-bones
functionalityfor disaster
preparedness, response, and
recovery
3
Assets required for disaster
responsein the immediate
aftermath of a flood event
2
Assets required for facility to
recover to acceptable level of
service
1
Prioritizing Investments
Facility Asset Name(s) Critical FunctionsEstimated
Capital CostsFacility Asset Name(s) Critical Functions
Estimated
Capital Costs
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Capital CostsTIER 1HIGHER PROBABILITY
HIGHER CONSEQUENCEConley Site Switch House Electrical $ 140,000
ConleyWharf Switch Houses No. 1-3, Marine
Operations Center
Electrical $ 254,000
Logan Fire-Rescue II (L79) Public Safety $ 15,000
Logan Marine Fire-Rescure (L85) Public Safety $ 345,000
Logan Wood Island Substation (L02)* Electrical $ 359,000
Logan Porter Street Substation (L41)* Electrical $ 474,000
SUBTOTAL $ 1,587,000
INTERMEDIATE CONSEQUENCE
Fish PierFish Pier Berths, East Building, West Building,
ElectricalMultiple $ 790,000
Conley Berths 11-12 Access $ 500,000
Conley Rubber Tire Gantry Cranes Cargo $ 190,000
Conley Vessel Cranes 1-6 Cargo $ 1,650,000
SUBTOTAL $ 3,130,000
LOWER CONSEQUENCEConley Interchange Facility Cargo $ -
Conley
Reefer Building and Yard
Electrical
$ 200,000SUBTOTAL $ 200,000
TIER 1 TOTAL $ 4,917,000
TIER 2INTERMEDIATE PROBABILITY
INTERMEDIATE CONSEQUENCEConley Fuel Island and USTs Fuel $ 70,000
SUBTOTAL $ 70,000
LOWER CONSEQUENCEBlack
FalconGangway / FMT Passenger $ 150,000
SUBTOTAL $ 150,000
TIER 2 TOTAL $ 220,000
TIER 3LOWER PROBABILITY
HIGHER CONSEQUENCELogan ATC Tower, Substation, and Generator (L26) Aviation $ 61,000
Logan MPA Administration Building / Boutwell (L25) Administration $ 882,000
Logan Bird Island Flats Substation (L67) Electrical $ 187,000
Logan Airfield Lighting Vault (L66) Aviation $ 296,000
Logan Harborside Substation (L32) Electrical $ 74,000
Conley Gate Switch House Electrical $ 340,000
Logan Logan Office Center (L65) Administration $ 749,000
LoganMPA Pumping Station, Electrical Building,
Generator (L06A/B)Water $ 854,000
Logan State Police & TSA Building (L11) Public Safety $ 822,000
Logan Central Heating Plant / Facilities I (L18) Utilities $ 895,000
Logan Boston EMS Station (L43) Public Safety $ -
Logan Fire-Rescue I (L78) Public Safety $ 426,000
SUBTOTAL $ 5,686,000
Capital CostsTIER 3LOWER PROBABILITY
INTERMEDIATE CONSEQUENCELogan Facilities II Maintenance $ 278,000
Conley Administration Building, Substation Administration $ 235,000
Logan
BOSFuel Operations Building, Tank Farm,Fuel Island (L46) Fuel $ 503,000
Conley Administration Building Generator Electrical $ 300,000
Black
FalconMain Terminal Building Passenger $ 252,000
LoganTerminal E and West Baggage S creening
Room (L19, L73)Passenger $ 1,356,000
Logan Terminal C (L20-L24) Passenger $ 3,695,000
Logan Terminal A (L31, L32) Passenger $ 827,000
Logan Terminal B (L27, L29) Passenger $ 3,067,000
Logan West Outfall (Bar Screen Building) Drainage $ 13,302,000
Conley Operations Building Maintenance $ 200,000
Conley Massport Police Pro Shop Building Public Safety $ 78,000
Conley Massport Police Main Gate Guard House Public Safety $ 5,000
LoganTunnel T18C (Tunnel Intersection to
Terminal C)
Utilities $ 200,000
Logan Facilities III (L04) Maintenance $ 792,000
Logan North Gate (L44) Public Safety $ 8,000
Logan South Gate Public Safety $ 7,000
SUBTOTAL $ 25,105,000
LOWER CONSEQUENCELogan Fire Training Facility (Hazardous Waste) Environmental $ -
Logan Large Vehicle Storage Building (L15) Maintenance $ 302,000
Logan Water Shuttle Pier (L74) Access $ -
Conley Reefer Substation Electrical $ 800,000
Logan Tunnel T18E (CHP to Terminal E) Utilities $ 194,000
Logan Tunnel T31B (Terminal A to Terminal B) Utilities $ 154,000
Logan Tunnel T18A (Intersection to Terminal A) Utilities $ 170,000
Haul Road Haul Road Sump Pump Drainage $ -
Logan Tunnel T18B (CHP to Intersection) Utilities $ 200,000
Logan
Tunnel T18D (Old CHP Tunnel - PartlyAbandoned)
Utilities
$ 50,000
LoganTunnel T31A (Termina A Main to
Satellite)Utilities $ 132,000
SUBTOTAL $ 2,002,000
TIER 3 TOTAL $ 32,793,000
TIERS 1-3 TOTAL $ 37,930,000
Probability
Lower Intermediate Higher
Risk Based Prioritization Results
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Lower Intermediate Higher
Consequenc
e
Higher
Logan Airport: ATC Tower, Substation & Generator
Major NSTAR Substations
Airfield Lighting Vault
Data Centers
Central Heating Plant
Water Pumping Station
Police, Fire-Rescue, and EMS Stations
Conley Terminal: Gate Switch House
Logan Airport:
Fire-Rescue Stations 2 & 3
Major NSTAR Substations*
Conley Terminal:
Site Switch House
Wharf Switch Houses 1-3
Intermediate
Logan Airport: Terminals
Fuel Farm Facilities Buildings
Security Gates
Stormwater Drainage Facility
Conley Terminal: Administration & Operations Buildings
Police Facilities
Black Falcon Terminal:
Main Terminal
Conley Terminal: Fuel Island and USTs
Conley Terminal: Berths 11-12
Vessel Cranes 1-6 RTG Cranes
Fish Pier: East Building
Electrical
Berths
Lower
Logan Airport: Utility Tunnels
Large Vehicle Storage Building
Water Shuttle Pier
Conley Terminal:
Reefer Substation
Haul Road: Sump Pump
Black Falcon Terminal: Gangway/FMT
Conley Terminal: Interchange Facility
Reefer Building & Yard
Design Flood Elevations
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Comparison of SLOSH & BH-FRM Flood ElevationsLogan Airport
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Common RecommendationsPedestrian Doors
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Common RecommendationsOverhead Doors
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Common RecommendationsHydrostatic Relief Valve for Slabs
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Common RecommendationsSump Pump System to Remove Water
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Common RecommendationsShut-Off Valve for Sewer and Drainage
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Prevent backflow intoflood-protected areas
Common RecommendationsSeal Electrical Conduits Entering Building
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Common Resiliency RecommendationsTemporary Flood Walls
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New Construction
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New Construction
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Expansion Solutions
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West Garage Expansion
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Existing and New
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Green/Blue Infrastructure
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UMass Boston IGERT Fellows
Potential role of eelgrass beds to increase resiliencyprosand cons
Best type and size of bed to slow storm surges and stabilizesea bottom
Appropriate locations Best management practices for planting and maintenance Environmental factors to consider Other ecosystem services provided by eelgrass
What went wrong last timeenlightened speculation Plan moving forward
Federal:
Monitoring and Engaging in Other Efforts
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Federal: FEMA Flood maps
Biggert-Waters Flood Insurance Reform Act of 2012
EPA Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation
Regional: Climate Leaders Summit
State: MA Legislation Chapter 21 P (CAMP)
EEEA Climate Change Adaptation Advisory Comm.
NGO Climate Adaptation Coalition
Local: BRA Re-modeling FEMA transects
Academia MIT, UMB, NE, UNH
Other: Related Agencies (MBTA, Mass DOT, etc.)
Resiliency Program
Next Steps:
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Near and long-term priorities identified
Cost estimates and capital program planned
Education
Speaker series for lessons learned and best management practices
Invite colleagues from other port authorities, as well as local experts
Technical training for planners, architects and engineers
Create resiliency planning and design standards
Integrate resiliency considerations early into review process
Engage tenants through TAA process
Collaboration Convene task force of internal and external partners to share knowledge, inform plans, and explore
collaborative opportunities
Continued collaboration
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Enhance Operational Resiliency
Update the Continuity of Operations Plan
Engage tenants
Improve airside materials storage practices
Collaborate with Other Agencies
Demonstrate leadership through collaborating with, supporting,
and learning from other complementary transportation entities
Create a Resiliency Task Force Participate in external
committees efforts at federal, state, and local level Sponsor Research/Share Lessons Learned
Questions
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Networking Break
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Environmental Business Council of New England
Energy Environment Economy
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Massachusetts
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Office of Coastal Zone Management:
Advancing resilience ofcoastal communities and ecosystems
MA CZM Lead policy and planning
agency on coastal and
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ocean issues within EEA
Networked coastal
program
Provide direct support,
coordination, and
technical assistance to
coastal communities
5 CZM regions
Regional Coordinatorsserve as liaisons to locals
Host two National Estuary
Programs
Key CZM program areas
Ocean management
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StormSmart Coasts
Coastal habitat
Water quality Waterfront, port and harbor
planning
Project review
GIS / data management
Ocean management CZM serves as lead agency in
implementing reviewing and
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implementing, reviewing, and
updating the Massachusetts OceanManagement Plan
Comprehensive work to map and
characterize marine habitats
Federal offshore wind process Regional ocean partnerships
Northeast Regional Planning Body
Northeast Regional Ocean Council
Gulf of Maine Council Northeast Regional Association of
Ocean Observing Systems
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StormSmart Coasts Technical information, data, maps,
and decision support tools:
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and decision support tools:
Shoreline change & characterization Sea level rise
Coastal structure inventory
Provide hands-on technical andfinancial assistance to communities
Coastal Community ResilienceGrants
Green Infrastructure for ResilienceGrants
StormSmart Properties fact sheets
Training and workshops
Coastal habitat CZM works to monitor, protect, and
restore coastal habitats and the
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essential services they provide Project to examine vulnerability ofsalt marshes to SLR; model scenariosand forecast effects
Provide Coastal Pollutant RemediationGrants for local coastal water qualityrestoration and boat pump-outs
Work with MassDEP & UMass on
developing and implementing coastalwetland habitat assessment methods
Monitor marine invasive species;emphasis on detecting new invasions
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For more information:
mass.gov/czm/
Massachusetts Office of Coastal
Zone Management: Planning and
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Marc Carullo
GIS / Environmental Analyst
MA CZM
Environmental Business Council of New England
Energy Environment Economy
g g
Resiliency Efforts
Modeling Sea Level Rise in Coastal Wetlands:Predicted Impacts and Implications for Management in Massachusetts
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Marc Carullo
Massachusetts Office of Coastal Zone Management
Photo credit: Mike McHugh, MassDEP
Coastal Wetlands
Salt marsh
Intertidal emergent wetland dominated by grasses
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Intertidal emergent wetland dominated by grasses,
forbs, and shrubs that are tolerant to salinity rangesfrom moderate to that of sea water (18-30 ppt).
Brackish marsh
Intertidal emergent wetland dominated by grasses,
forbs, and shrubs that are tolerant to salinities from
slight to moderate (0.5 to 18 ppt).
Mass. Coastal Watersheds
USDA Natural Resources Conservation Service
Salt Marsh Ecosystem Services
Flood Protection
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Flood Protection
Erosion Control
Wildlife Habitat
Commercial Fisheries
Water Quality
Recreation
Carbon Sequestration
USFWS
Salt Marsh Status & Trends
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Photo: National Park Service
Photo: National Park Service
Photo: Bertness LabBrown University
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Project Goals
1 Id tif t ti l h t tl d t lt f l l i
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1. Identify potential changes to wetland types as a result of sea level rise.
2. Identify barriers to and opportunities for landward marsh migration.
3. Communicate results via web-based maps, reports, and workshops.
4. Explore adaptation strategies to address potential SLR impacts to
coastal wetlands.
5. Establish a network of long-term monitoring stations to measure
impacts of sea level rise and potential marsh migration.
Sea Level Affecting Marshes Model(SLAMM), Version 6.2
Simulates the dominant processes involved in
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p
wetland conversions and shoreline modificationsduring long-term SLR.Warren Pinnacle Consulting, Inc.
*Data from NOAA Office for Coastal Management
Current MHHW* Current MHHW + 6 ft SLR*
North and South
Rivers in Marshfield
and Scituate
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SLAMM 6 2
Additional model inputs
Digital Elevation Model
(lidar-derived)
Model Inputs
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Additional model inputs
Dam locations Dam crest elevations
SLR historic trend
Beach sedimentation rate
Freshwater Parameters (flow, etc.)
Wetland Map Data
Impervious Surface
Erosion Rates (horizontal)
Accretion Rates (vertical)
GD Tide Range (MHHW-MLLW)
Salt Elevation (+ MTL)
Marsh Equilibrium Model(MEM) accretion rates*
*For select areas
SLAMM-MEM Pilot Site
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Compare 2 m and 5 m grids
Parameter Sensitivity Analysis
Elevation Uncertainty Analysis
SLAMM
Statewide
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Time Variable Accretion
DRAFT
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DRAFT
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DRAFT
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DRAFT
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DRAFT
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DRAFT
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Barriers to (and opportunities for) marsh migration
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2070High SLR w/MEM
Draft Pilot
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Legend
Transitional Marsh/Scrub Shrub
Reguarly Flooded Marsh
Irregularly Flooded Marsh
2070High SLR w/MEM
Draft Pilot
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Legend
Transitional Marsh/Scrub Shrub
Reguarly Flooded Marsh
Irregularly Flooded Marsh
Impervious Surface
2070High SLR w/MEM
Draft Pilot
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Legend
Coastal Structure
Transitional Marsh/Scrub Shrub
Reguarly Flooded Marsh
Irregularly Flooded Marsh
Impervious Surface
2070High SLR w/MEM
Draft Pilot
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Legend
Coastal Structure
Transitional Marsh/Scrub Shrub
Reguarly Flooded Marsh
Irregularly Flooded Marsh
Impervious Surface
SlopeHigh : 60.5003
Low : 0
2070High SLR w/MEM
Draft Pilot
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Legend
Coastal Structure
Transitional Marsh/Scrub Shrub
Reguarly Flooded Marsh
Irregularly Flooded Marsh
Impervious Surface
Assessor Parcels
SlopeHigh : 60.5003
Low : 0
Anticipated OutcomesOutreach and Education
Public outreach and education on the fate of coastal wetlands using the
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Public outreach and education on the fate of coastal wetlands using the
latest SLR projections and local data.
Better integration of salt marshes into CZMs StormSmart Coasts program.
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Anticipated OutcomesRestoration
Determination of priority coastal wetland restoration areas.
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Determination of priority coastal wetland restoration areas.
Information to assess future objectives in ecological restoration.
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Anticipated OutcomesSpecies and habitat conservation
Comparison or update of the coastal adaptation analysis used in BioMap2.
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Saltmarsh Sparrow nest
Photo credit: David Johnson
Saltmarsh Sparrow
Illustration credit:
Massachusetts Audubon Society
Potential habitat loss due
to high marsh conversionto low marsh or tidal flat.
Saltmarsh Sparrow
Anticipated Outcomes
Land Management
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Identification of sites for land acquisition,
conservation restrictions, and/or changes
in land management practices.
Improved management of hardened coastal
structures (proposal, maintenance, or removal).
CZM Grant Programs(1) Coastal Community Resilience and (2) Green Infrastructure
Municipal Coastal Resiliency Plans*Ipswich River Watershed Association and National Wildlife Federation
Restoring Resiliency to the Great Marsh*Various partners
*USFWS Hurricane Sandy Recovery Projects
Anticipated OutcomesEmerging Concept: Blue Carbon Market
Massachusetts Global Warming Solutions Act
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Clean Energy and Climate Plan for 2020 Update
Bringing Wetlands to Market initiative
InVEST Blue Carbon Model
Aboveground
living biomass
Belowground
biomass
Soil Soil
Adapted from The Blue Carbon Initiatives Coastal Blue Carbon: Methods for assessing
Set up 20-40 salt marsh monitoring stations
Marsh Migration Monitoring
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statewide based on model results andstakeholder participation.
Track the movement of plant community
structure, especially in the marsh-upland
ecotone.
Collect physical data on hydroperiod, surfaceelevation, relative vertical accretion/erosion,
and soil characteristics.*
*Possible addition at select sites
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Massachusetts Office of Coastal
Zone Management: Planning and
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