4-05 SPC Interpretation

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    Company ConfidentialCopyright NN, Inc. 2004

    SPC: Interpretation of ControlSPC: Interpretation of Control

    ChartsCharts

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    Company ConfidentialCopyright NN, Inc. 2004

    Interpretation of Control ChartsInterpretation of Control Charts

    INTRODUCTION

    Proper interpretation of control charts is essential in

    order forSPC to be effective.

    Control charts provide us with a graphical record of

    process behavior over a given period of time.

    After establishing proper control limits that take into

    account inherent variation, the control chart should

    reveal any process that is out of control.

    You must determine if the patterns you see are related to

    Common orSpecial Causes.

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    Interpretation of Control ChartsInterpretation of Control Charts

    RANDOM CAUSES OF VARIATION

    & If the data on the control chart forms a natural pattern, the points will fluctuate

    at random and tend to cluster around the centerline. A few points may spread out

    toward the control limits, however, none of the points should exceed the control

    limits.

    Examples:

    - The X-barchart is a measure of the average. A random X-barchart

    pattern indicates that the process average did not change during the time

    plotted and that most of the parts were near the average.

    -A stable pattern on an R chart is an indication of process uniformity. It

    could represent the operators technique on the machine. It can comparedifferent operators or different machines. The R chart is a measure of

    the spread of the distribution.

    -A stable pattern on a p chart is an indication that there was a constant

    percentage of non-conforming parts and that the sampling was random.

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    Interpretation of Control ChartsInterpretation of Control Charts

    & Control charts with common patterns indicate there is a steady,

    stable process running that is not being disturbed by special

    causes.

    Common Pattern

    RANDOM CAUSES OF VARIATION

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    Interpretation of Control ChartsInterpretation of Control Charts

    SPECIAL CAUSES OF VARIATION

    & Data that fluctuates too widely or fails to balance itself around the centerline

    is characteristic of special case patterns. Several types of special case patterns

    have been classified.

    Identified Patterns ofSpecial Causes of Variation:

    & Trends

    & Cycles

    &Grouping

    & Strays

    & Sudden Shift in Level

    & Mixture

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    Interpretation of Control ChartsInterpretation of Control Charts

    PATTERNS OF SPECIAL CAUSES OF VARIATIONTRENDS

    & Trends: Defined as a long series of points that lack a change of

    direction. There is a continuous movement of points up or down the

    control chart. Points will move toward one side of the centerline.

    Trends

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    Interpretation of Control ChartsInterpretation of Control Charts

    Typical causes of trend patterns:

    Tool wear / thread wear

    Aging

    Seasonal effects

    Operator fatigue

    Change in standards

    Inadequate maintenance Gradual introduction of

    new material

    Something loose

    Gradual wear

    Dulling of tool

    Gradual change in

    operator technique

    or skill level Effect of process

    controls in other areas

    Introduction of different

    material / tools

    Tightening / loosening of

    requirements

    Better / poorer work

    Increased / decreasedskill of operators

    X-Bar Chart R Chart p Chart

    PATTERNS OF SPECIAL CAUSES OF VARIATIONTRENDS (cont.)

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    Interpretation of Control ChartsInterpretation of Control Charts

    & Cycles: Defined as short trends in the data that occur in repeated

    patterns, so that the pattern becomes predictable or systematic. There is

    an indication of an assignable cause because a characteristic of a random

    pattern is that it does not repeat. The cause of cycles are processing

    variables that come and go on a regular basis.

    Cycles

    PATTERNS OF SPECIAL CAUSES OF VARIATIONCYCLES

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    Interpretation of Control ChartsInterpretation of Control Charts

    Typical causes of cycle patterns:

    Seasonal effects

    Worn threads on locking

    devices

    Gage differences

    Voltage fluctuations

    Maintenance schedule

    Rotation on fixtures or

    gages

    Wear of tool or die

    Differences between shifts

    Sorting practices

    Sampling practices

    Differences between

    suppliers

    X-Bar Chart R Chart p Chart

    PATTERNS OF SPECIAL CAUSES OF VARIATIONCYCLES (cont.)

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    Interpretation of Control ChartsInterpretation of Control Charts

    & Grouping: Occurs when measurements cluster together in a non-random

    pattern. This clustering can be indicated by an introduction of a different system

    of causes. For example, if a box of rejected parts gets thrown in accidentally,

    bunching may be observed on the control chart.

    & Strays: Result from a single measurement that is greatly different from the others.

    Occasionally, an apparent stray is the result of a plotting error. Strays are among

    the easiest of the patterns to recognize because they are so different from the other

    readings in the process.Grouping or Strays

    PATTERNS OF SPECIAL CAUSES OF VARIATIONGROUPING AND STRAYS

    Grouping Stray

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    Interpretation of Control ChartsInterpretation of Control Charts

    Typical causes of Grouping patterns:

    Measurement difficulty

    Different person making

    measurements Change in calibration of

    a measuring instrument

    Mixture of different lots Change in technique of

    classification

    Changes in sorting ofproduct

    X-Bar Chart R Chart p Chart

    Typical causes ofStray patterns:

    Wrong setting corrected

    immediately

    Error in measurement /

    plotting

    Omitted / incomplete

    operation

    Damage in handling

    Incomplete / omitted

    operation

    Setup parts included

    in data

    Mathematical error

    Variations in sample size

    Sampling from different

    distributions

    A very good or bad lot

    X-Bar Chart R Chart p Chart

    PATTERNS OF SPECIAL CAUSES OF VARIATIONGROUPING AND STRAYS (cont.)

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    Interpretation of Control ChartsInterpretation of Control Charts

    & Sudden Shift in Level: A sudden shift in level is shown by a change

    in one direction. A number of points will appear on one side of the control

    chart.

    Sudden Shift in Level

    PATTERNS OF SPECIAL CAUSES OF VARIATION

    SUDDEN SHIFT IN LEVEL

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    Interpretation of Control ChartsInterpretation of Control Charts

    Typical causes ofSudden Shift in Level patterns:

    Change of material

    New operator / inspector

    New machine setting

    Shift change

    Different gage

    New tools Change in process

    method

    New operator / equipment

    Change of material

    Inadequate / improved

    maintenance

    Decreased / increased

    material uniformity Change in process method

    New lot of material

    Change from one

    machine / operator to

    another

    Change in gage calibration

    Change in process method

    X-Bar Chart R Chart p Chart

    PATTERNS OF SPECIAL CAUSES OF VARIATION

    SUDDEN SHIFT IN LEVEL (cont.)

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    Interpretation of Control ChartsInterpretation of Control Charts

    & Mixture: Mixture patterns fall near the control limits, with an absence of

    points near the centerline. This pattern can be recognized by the unnatural

    length of the lines joining the points to create a sawtooth effect. A mixture is

    actually a combination of two different patterns on the same chart - one at a high

    level and one at a low level.

    Mixture

    PATTERNS OF SPECIAL CAUSES OF VARIATION

    MIXTURE

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    Interpretation of Control ChartsInterpretation of Control Charts

    Typical causes of Mixture patterns:

    Differences in operators

    Differences in gages

    Over adjustment of

    process

    Output from two or more

    machines mixed together

    Chart placed too far

    downstream

    Different lots of material /

    machines / operator

    Differences in gages

    Too much play in fixture

    Tool needs sharpening

    Non-random sampling

    techniques

    Lots from two or more

    sources

    X-Bar Chart R Chart p Chart

    PATTERNS OF SPECIAL CAUSES OF VARIATION

    MIXTURE (cont.)

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    Interpretation of Control ChartsInterpretation of Control Charts

    WESTERN ELECTRIC RULES TODETECT PROCESS CHANGES

    A

    B

    C

    C

    B

    A

    UCL

    LCL

    Zones Centerline

    68%

    95%

    99.7%

    3

    2

    1

    The Western Electric Rules are based on probability theory. Specifically,

    the probability of getting certain plot point patterns is so low that the

    situation needs investigation and the process may be out of control.

    Special Causes of Variation:

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    Interpretation of Control ChartsInterpretation of Control Charts

    POINTS BEYOND THE CONTROL LIMITS& Points beyond the control limits indicate a special cause that is acting on the

    process and causing it to act abnormally.

    One Point Falls Beyond Zone A

    A

    B

    C

    C

    B

    A

    UCL

    LCL

    Zones Centerline

    & Some Possible Causes:

    - error in calculation or plotting

    - change in measurement system

    - deterioration in process performance ( over time or at that moment)

    Special Causes of Variation:

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    Interpretation of Control ChartsInterpretation of Control Charts

    TWO OUT OF THREE CONSECUTIVEPOINTS IN ZONE A OR BEYOND

    & The probability of the two points happening together in Zone A is

    determined by multiplying their individual probabilities. ( 1/40 x 1/40 = 1/1,600).

    This is very, very unlikely to happen due to inherent variation with a

    controlled process. Most likely a shift has occurred in the process average.

    2 out of 3 points in Zone A

    A

    B

    CC

    B

    A

    UCL

    LCL

    Zones Centerline

    Special Causes of Variation:

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    Interpretation of Control ChartsInterpretation of Control Charts

    FOUR OUT OF FIVE CONSECUTIVEPOINTS IN ZONE B OR BEYOND

    &Through probability analysis statisticians have decided that when 4

    out of five points land in the outer 1/3 of the control region, the process

    has shifted.

    4 out of 5 points in Zone B or Beyond

    A

    B

    C

    C

    B

    A

    UCL

    LCL

    Zones Centerline

    Special Causes of Variation:

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    Interpretation of Control ChartsInterpretation of Control Charts

    RUN OF SEVEN POINTS ON ONESIDE OF CENTERLINE

    &Short runs of a few consecutive points are to be expected and will occur

    frequently with a controlled process. However, long runs of many consecutive

    points are abnormal in a controlled process. In particular, a run of seven or more

    points in a row all on the same side of the centerline is sufficient evidence

    that the process has changed and action is required.

    Run of seven points on the same side of the centerline

    A

    B

    C

    C

    B

    A

    UCL

    LCL

    Zones Centerline

    Special Causes of Variation: