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NO-R1BS 354 TRANSPORTATION EVALUATION RESEARCH PROJECT (TERP)(U) 1/'5MWN CONCEPTS ANALYSIS AGENCY BETHESDA NOP V COYLE ET AL. JUN B? CAA-SR-B?-i±
UN a .RI SSFIEI EF//G15/5NL
NOWL':=
A-
STUDY REPORT ffit rILE GOPCA- SR-87-11(I
In
TRANSPORTATION EVALUATIONRESEARCH PROJECT
0 (TERP)
JUNE 1987 i.:L E CTE0
SOCT02 1987
PREPARED BYSTRATEGY AND PLANS DIRECTORATE
US ARMY CONCEPTS ANALYSIS AGENCY8120 WOODMONT AVENUE
BETHESDA, MARYLAND 20814-2797
L pproved for Public aeleDistribution .~xmt
k 10.11h1 *fAIls 411A.1.flCW
CAA-SR-87- 11
UNCLASSIFIEDJ
la RP SECURITY CLASSIFICATION UHOIT REDSTRIBUTION MARINGSIYO RPR
2b DECLASSIFICATION /DOWNGRAING SCHEDULE Unlimited
4 PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NUMBER(S) S MONITORIN.G ORGANIZATION REPORT NUMBER(S)
CAA-SR-87-l116a,.rMJ OF PE8FORMIN2 ORGANIZATION 6b OFFICE SYMBOL 7a. NAME OF MONITORING ORGANIZATION
AnlssAgency CSCA-SPM
15c. ADDRESS (0fy. State. and ZIP Code) 7b ADDRESS (Cii)'. State, and ZIP Code)
8120 Woodmont AvenueBethesda, MD 20814-2797
Ba NM OF FUNDING/SPONSORING 8eb OFFICE SYMBOL 9. PROCUREMENT- INSTRUMENT IDENTIFICATION NUMBERORAIZOj(if aicbe
8c_ ADDRESS (01)l State, and ZIP Cd)10. SOURCE OF FUNDING NUMBERSPROGRAM PROJECT ITASK WORK UNITE LEMIENT NO NO NO ACCESSION NO
11 TITLE (Include Security Classification)
Transportation Evaluation Research Project (TERP)(U)
12. PERSONAL AUTHOR(S)
Coyle, Philip V., LTC and Gerstein, Daniel, M., CPT13a TYPE OF REPORT 13b TIME COVERED 14DATE OF REPORT (Year, Month, Day) 15 PAGE COUNTFinal FROMNoy 86TO =n7F 879715 83
16. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTATION
17 COSATI CODES 18. SUBJECT TERMS (Continue on reverse of necesary and identify by biock number)FIELD GROUP SUB-GROUP Strategic Mobility1_____________of;____ Intertheater deployment
19; nriIntratheater deployment19 ABSTRACT (Continue on reverse if necessary and identify by bilock number)
-The study team evaluated the overall US Army Concepts Analysis Agency (CAA) needs for .
inter- and intratheater transportation analyses and recommnended the type of transoortationmodel best suited to meet those needs. Existing models within the Department of Defense(DOD) commnunity were considered as was the feasibility of development of a new model.
22a NAME OF RESPONSIBLE NOiVIDUAL .It) '-EOcirE (inlIude Area Codel X .,
CPT Daniel M. Gerstein 202-295-1082 CSC:ASP'M"DO FORM 1473. 84 MAR 83 APR ecatwn may ne used ,T C~3AC A)- S 4, E
All other editions are ooo,ete UNCLASS IF IED
: ve
STUDY REPORTCAA-SR-7-11
TRANSPORTATION EVALUATION RESEARCH PROJECT
(TERP)
UJune 1987 Accesion ForNTIS CRAWIOTIC TAB0Unannounced 0J
RE: Classified Reference, Distribution Jsiiain.....-.
UnlimitedByg %.eo
No change in the distribution statement per Dist nbuionj
Captian Daniel M. Gerstein, USACAA/CSCA-SPM
DTIr py
Prepared by
STRATEGY AND PLANS DIRECTORATE
P US Army Concepts Analysis Agency8120 Woodmont Avenue
CIS Bethesda, Maryland 20814-2797
AM # ,
CAA-SR-87- 11
This document was prepared as part of an internal CAA project.
ITA116%
:21
RESEARCH PROJECT SU MMARY(TERP) jCAA- SR-87-11
THE REASON FOR PERFORMING THE STUDY is to evaluate the overall USArmy Concepts Analysis Agency (CAA) needs for inter- and intratheatertransportation analyses and to recommend the type of transportation modelbest suited to meet those needs.
THE PRINCIPAL ACCOMPLISHMENTS of the TERP Study are the determinationof:
(1) The strategic mobility analysis process which should be utilizedat CAA and the requirements for a transportation model to support thisanalysis process.
(2) The capabilities and shortfalls of existing Department of Defense(0OD) transportation models when compared to the model requirements in (1)above.
(3) Determination of whether an existing model can fully meet CAArequirements to support the strategic mobility analysis process.
(4) The hardware/software environment and the approximate resourcesassociated with the development of a new model, if required, which wouldmeet the requirements in (1) above.
THE MAIN ASSUMPTIONS of this study are:
(1) Requirements for current and near-term transportation analyses canbe adequately defined.
(2) The Agency transportation model must be compatible with the ForceEvaluation Model (FORCEM), the Agency's theater combat simulation model.
(3) The acquisition of a transportation model which requires a new -'
mainframe computer is not feasible.
THE PRINCIPAL LIMITATIONS of this work are:
(1) The capabilities and shortfalls of the mo(lels addressed in thestudy were determined from user's manuals or model operators rather thanfrom first-hand experience by the study team.
(2) The resources associated with new model development are only grossestimates that are based on general model requirements.
THE SCOPE OFTHE STUDY includes Inter- and intratheater transportationanalyses and the interface needed between a Continental United States(CONUS)/mobilization model and an intertheater model.
THE STUDY OBJECTIVES are:
(1) To determine requirements for transportation analysis at CAA andfor a model to support this analysis.
(2) To determine the adequacy of the current transportation analysisprocess at CAA to meet requirements.
(3) To provide alternate concepts, if necessary, to complement orreplace the current transportation process at CAA to meet requirements.
THE BASICAPPROACH for the study was to interview selected individualsconcerned with transportation analysis both within CAA (leadership, studydirectors, model operators) and outside CAA (Office of the Secretary ofDefense (0SD)), Joint Chiefs of Staff (JCS)) and combine their commentswith the Office of the Deputy Chief of Staff for Logistics (ODCSLOG)strategic mobility needs addressed in the Army Strategic Mobility SystemAssessment (ASMSA) Study to determine the overall need for transportation .3analysis at CAA and the requirements for a model to support the analysis.Next the model requirements were compared to the capabilities of existingtransportation models in use throughout the Army Staff, JCS, and 0S0. Theexisting models were then examined for modification feasibility andcompared to new model alternatives to determine the best course of action.
THE STUDY SPONSOR was the Director, US Army Concepts Analysis Agency.
THE STUDY EFFORT was directed by LTC Philip V. Coyle, Strategy and PlansDirectorate.
COMMENTS AND QUESTIONS may be addressed to the Director, US ArmyConcepts Analysis Agency, ATTN: CSCA-SP, 8120 Woodmont Avenue, Bethesda,Maryland 20814-2797.
Tear-out copies of this synopsis are at back cover.
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CAA-SR-87-11
CONTENTS
ANNOTATED BRIEFING Page
BACKGROUND .......................................... 1
METHODOLOGY ...................................... 6
DATA COLLECTION ..................................... 8
STRATEGIC MOBILITY ANALYSIS OBJECTIVES .............. 14
STRATEGIC MOBILITY ANALYSIS PROCESS ................. 18
MODEL REQUIREMENTS .................................. 20
MODELS TO BE CONSIDERED ............................. 44
NEW MODEL CONSIDERATIONS ........................... 68
CONCLUSIONS/RECOMMENDATIONS ......................... 72
APPENDIX
A Study Contributors .............................. A-1B Study Directive ............................... B-IC Bibliography .................................... C-I0 Distribution .................................... D-1
GLOSSARY ................................................... Glossary-i
STUDY SUMMARY (tear-out copies)
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CAA-SR-87-11
APPENDIX A
STUDY CONTRIBUTORS
1. STUDY TEAM
a. Study Director
LTC Philip V. Coyle, Strategy and Plans Directorate
b. Team Member
CPT Daniel M. Gerstein
2. PRODUCT REVIEW BOARD .
LTC Charles E. Gettig, Jr. ChairmanCPT(P) Mark DeVita .
Mr. Joel S. GordonMr. Steven Khan
4-
CAA-SR-87-11
APPEND IX 8
STUDY DIRECTIVE
DEPARTMENT OF THE ARMYUS ARMY CONCEPTS ANALYSIS AGENCY
8120 WOODMONT AVENUE
BETHESDA, MARYLAND
20814-2797
0 9 FEB 1997CSCA-SP
MEMORANDUM FOR ASSISTANT DIRECTOR, STRATEGY, CONCEPTS AND PLANS DIRECTORATE %
SUBJECT: Transportation Evaluation Research Project (TERP)
1. PURPOSE OF STUDY DIRECTIVE. This directive requires the Strategy,Concepts, and Plans Directorate to conduct a study to evaluate the overallAgency needs for inter and Intratheater transportation analyses and torecommend the type of transportation model best suited to meet those needs.
2. BACKGROUND.
a. The Strategy, Concepts, and Plans Directorate (SP) currently usesTransportaticn Model (TRANSMO) to provide strategic deployment analysissupport to many CAA studies. TRANSMO was developed in 1973 as an evolutionaryvariant of the Preliminary Force Designer - Simulation Allocation Model (PFD-SAM) which was a low resolution strategic mobility model used to provide anestimated force closure schedule. Since its initial development, TRANSMO hasundergone many revisions in order to continue to meet the needs of its users.
b. The evolution in the needs of TRANSMO users and assorted CAA modelsplus advances in computer software and hardware capabilities have necessitatedthat the requirements for a revised transportation modeling environment beexamined.
3. STUDY SPONSOR. US Army Concepts Analysis Agency."% ',
4. STUDY AGENCY. Strategy, Concepts, and Plans Directorate, CAA.
5. TERMS OF REFERENCE.
a. Scope. The study will encompass an investigation of the strategicmobility process required at CAA in support of force design, development andcapability studies as well as independent transportation studies. The studywill examine intra/intertheater strategic mobility analytic requirements.
b. Objective. This study has three objectives: -w
(1) To determine requirements for transportation analysis at CAA andfor a model to support this analysis.
(2) To determine adequacy of the current transportation analysisprocess at CAA to meet requirements.
8-1
N N N N
CAA-SR-87-11
-A
CSCA-SPSUBJECT: Transportation Evaluation Research Project (TERP)
(3) To provide alternative concepts if necessary to complement orreplace the current transportation process at CAA in order to meetrequirements.
c. Assumptions.
(1) Requirements for current and near term transportation analysys canbe adequately defined. /
(2) The Agency transportation model must be compatible with FORCEM. _,4-
(3) The acquisition of a transportation model which requires a newmainframe computer is not feasible.
d. Essential Elements of Analysis (EEA).
(1) What are the requirements for a model to support the strategicmobility analysis process at CA? 4
(2) To what extent do existing models satisfy these requirements?
(3) What are the alternatives which satisfy the requirementsdetermined in EEA 1, and what are the required resources associated with each?
(4) What is the recommended alternative and the rationale?
(5) What are the requirements for a CONUS mobilization model which
will interface with the alternative chosen in EEA 4?
e. Environmental and threat guidance.
(1) No threat guidance is needed for this study.
(2) No environmental consequences are envisioned, however, the studyagency is required to surface and address any environmental considerationsthat develop during the course of the study effort.
f. Estimated cost savings and other benefits. A cost-benefit analysis of
the possible options will be conducted.
6. RESPONSIBILITIES:
a. SP. Conduct the study; analyze the study results; makerecommendations concerning the agency's strategic mobility analysisrequirements, write and publish a study report.
b. FO. Determine the Agency's requirements for a CONUS mobilizationmodel and provide the requirements to the study director for inclusion in thestudy report.
2
1-2.
CAA-SR-87-11
SUBJECT: Transportation Evaluation Research Project (TERP) a7. LITERATURE SEARCH. The literature search will include the followingareas:
a. Agency studies: ASMSA I, SRA, OMNIBUS, MRFS, LRFS, PFCA, JPAM, TRAC. e
b. Models: FORCEM, FASTALS, TRANSMO, MIDAS, MOVER, SHAKER, MODES, SITAP.
c. Defense Technical Information Center (DTIC).
8. REFERENCES:
a. AR 5-5, Army Studies and Analysis, Oct 81.
b. DA PAM 5-5, Guidance for Army Study Sponsor, Sponsor's Study Directors,Study Advisory Groups, and Contracting Officer Representation, Apr 82.
c. CAA, Study Director's Guide, May 86.
9. ADMINISTRATION
a. Support. Funding, facilities, ADPE, and administrative support to beprovided by CAA.
b. Milestone schedule.
(1) Final results will be briefed to ARB NLT 31 March 1987.
(2) Study report will be completed NLT 15 May 1987.
c. Study Team is responsible for preparing and submitting DD Form 1498and final study documents to DTIC.
r W3"
E. B. VANDIVER IIIDirector
",%3 % .
B-3
&AA-"
d ~ , .. .
CAA-SR-87-11
APPENDIX C
BIBLIOGRAPHY
Army Strategic Mobility System Assessment (ASMSA), Study ReportCAA-SR-86-25, September 1986
Contingency Force Analysis System (CFAS), Volume I, DocumentationCAA-D-84-12, July 1984
Deployment Methodology User's Guide (Short Title: REDEM User'sGuide), Documentation CAA-D-84-12, July 1984
Functional Aggregation and MRMATE Formulation, Technical Report bySchool of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute ofTechnology, Atlanta, Georgia, April 1986
User's Manual for Force Analysis Simulation of TheaterAdministrative and Logistic Support (FASTALS) Model, DocumentationCAA-D-83-4, May 1984
Model for Intertheater Deployment by Air and Sea (MIDAS), User's '
Manual, General Research Corporation, January 1984
Models and Concepts: System Closure Optimization Planning andEvaluation (SCOPE), Technical Report by School of Industrial and .-. ,;Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, Georgia,June 1983
MODES (Model), Subsystem Specification, Volume 1, Joint DeploymentAgency, September 1985
MODES (Model), Subsystem Specification, Volume 2, Joint DeploymentAgency, September 1985
Network Aggregation Concepts, Technical Report by School ofIndustrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology,Atlanta, Georgia, April 1985 ,* ,,
Rapid Intertheater Deployment Simulation (RAPIDSIM) Model, User's .%
Manual (Draft Version), Joint Data Systems Support Center, September1985
SEACOP: Algorithm Description for the SEACOP Scheduler Subsystem,Mantech International Corp., September 1985
Scenario Unrestricted Mobility Model for Intratheater Simulation(SUMMITS), User's Manual (Draft Version), General Research Corporation,January 1984 _
Simulation for Transportation Analysis and Planning (SITAP) User'sManual (Draft Version), Command and Control Technical Center, September1977 .'
C-1
CAA-SR-87-11 A
TAC Thunder Lift, Stand-Alone Logistics User's Manual, CACI, Inc.- .Federal, July 1986
Transportation Model Comparison (TRAC), Technical Paper CAA-TP-85-6,May 1985 (SECRET)
TRANSMO User's Manual Addendum, Documentation CAA-D-83-8, November1983
Transportation Model (TRANSMO) Software Documentation, User'sManual, Documentation CAA-D-83-1, January 1983
, ',
"C-- 2-
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,"."," " ," -¢ -.- w- .- - .,,- ,, . .- , -,-.-. *. .- 4".
CAA-SR-87-11
APPENDIX D
'- '0DISTRIBUIONr
No of
Addressee copies
Deputy Chief of Staff for Logistics 1.AHeadquarters, Department of the ArmyATTN: DALO-ZAWashington, DC 20310
Deputy Chief of Staff for Logistics 1Headquarters, Department of the ArmyATTN: DALO-PLFWashington, DC 20310
Commander 1US Army Logistics CenterFort Lee, VA 23801
Deputy Under Secretary of the Army(Operations Research) 1
Washington, DC 20310
Director 1US Army TRADOC Analysis CenterWhite Sands Missile Range, NM 88002
DirectorUS Army Materiel Systems Analysis
ActivityAberdeen Proving Ground, MD 21005-5071
Commander 1Army Research Institute5001 Eisenhower AvenueAlexandria, VA 22333
D'-
D-1
CAA-SR-87-11
No ofAddressee copies
" I
CommanderUS Army Logistics Evaluation AgencyNew Cumberland Army DepotNew Cumberland, PA 17070
DirectorDefense Logistics Studies Information
ExchangeUS Army Logistics Management CenterFort Lee, VA 23801 -w,
Defense Technical Information Center 2ATTN: DTIC-DDACameron StationAlexandria, VA 22314-6145
The Pentagon Library (Army Studies 1Section) . "
ATTN: ANRAL-RSThe PentagonWashington, DC 20310
PresidentNational Defense UniversityATTN: NDU-LD-CDC ,Washington, DC 20319-6000
Commander 1US Military Traffic Management
CommandATTN: MT-OPC5611 Columbia PikeFalls Church, VA 22041-5050 : :"
0-2I--
°
'f
CAA-SR-87-11
No ofAddressee copies
CINC, US REOCOMATTN: RCSTA
,~.
Mac~ill Air Force Base, FL 33608-6001
Internal Distribution: '-
Unclassified Library 2
F %
D-3 *
CAA-SR-87-11
GLOSSARY
ABBREVIATIONS, ACRONYMS, AND SHORT TERMS
AFPDA Army Force Planning Data and Assumptions
ASMSA Army Strategic Mobility System Assessment
APOD aerial port of debarkation
APOE aerial port of embarkation
ASP ammunition supply point
CAA US Army Concepts Analysis Agency
CAMP Computer Assisted Match Program
CFAM Contingency Force Analysis Methodology
CONUS Continental United States
CS/CSS Combat Support/Combat Service Support
EEA Essential Elements of Analysis
FAS force tape
FASTALS Force Analysis Simulation of Theater Administrativeand Logistic Support (model)
FORP first destination reporting point 41
FORCEM Force Evaluation Model
GRC General Research Corporation
GSU general support unit
JCS Joint Chiefs of Staff
JDA Joint Deployment Agency
JPAM Joint Program Assessment Memorandum -,
KEE Knowledge Engineering Environment (Intellicorppropiertary software)
LAD latest arrival date
LOTS logistics over the shore
MAC Military Airlift Command
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CAA-SR-87- 11
MAPS Mobilization Asset Planning System
MIDAS Model for Intertheater Deployment by Air and Sea
MMC Materiel Management Center
MOB mobilization ".'
MODES Mode Optimization and Delivery Estimation System
MSC Military Sealift Command
MTMC Military Traffic Management Command
NATO North Atlantic Treaty Organization
NICP national inventory control point " "
ODCSLOG Office of the Deputy Chief of Staff for Logistics
ODCSOPS Office of the Deputy Chief of Staff for Operationsand Plans
OMNIBUS US Army Operational Readiness Analysis i ""
OSO Office of the Secretary of Defense
PAX passenger(s)
PFT Program Force Type Unit Characteristics File .
POMCUS prepositioning of materiel configured to unit setsPOO port of debarkation-
POE port of embarkation
POR processing overseas replacements for movement
PSM professional staff month(s)
RAPIDSIM Rapid Intertheater Deployment Simulation
ROD required delivery date
SEACOP Strategic Sealift Contingency Planning System . ,
SIMKIT Intellicorp proprietary software
SITAP Simulation for Transportation Analysis and Planning
SPOD seaport of debarkationGsr.f
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CAA-SR-87-11
SPOE seaport of embarkation
SRA Support Requirements Analysis A
STRATMOB strategic mobility
SUMMITS Scenario Unrestricted Mobility Model for N-Intratheater Simulation % %
SWA Southwest Asia
TOE table of organization and equipment .,.-
TPFDD Time-Phased Force Deployment Data
TRANSMO Transportation Model
TUCHA Type Unit Characteristics File NY
UIC unit identity code
UE unit equipment
UFSS Ultra Fast Sealift Study
USAF United States Air Force
WWMCCS Worldwide Military Command and Control System
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