3 S Sivakumar Agribusiness Investments in India ICRIER 30 Apr 2007

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    AgribusinessInvestmentsinIndia

    SSivakumar,ITCLimited

    SeminaronUS-IndiaAgriculturalKnowledgeInitiative

    ICRIER,NewDelhi,30th

    April2007

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    WhatstheBigDeal?

    TheAgribusinessSectoroffersgreatscope

    tocreateTripleBottomLine*

    *Economic,SocialandEnvironmental

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    PresentationSequence

    1. TrendsinIndianAgriculture/Agribusiness

    2. PolicyGoalsofIndianAgriculture

    3. OpportunitiesinAgribusinessInvestments

    4. ChallengesinValueCapture

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    1.TrendsinIndianAgriculture/Agribusiness

    IllustratedthroughFoodEconomyDynamics(SimilarlogicexistsforFibre &Energytoo)

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    CompositionofDietisdiversifyingacross

    consumergroups

    120.810.64.8100.03.81.9Meat,Egg,Fish

    30.7117.289.730.620.515.7Milk

    148.418.26.4162.54.21.6Fruits

    39.390.865.249.753.936.0Vegetables

    87.713.77.376.94.62.6Edible Oil

    -6.216.617.7-9.26.97.6Pulses

    -20.4154.6194.3-10.0132.4147.1Cereal

    %

    Change

    1999-

    2000

    1983%

    Change

    1999-

    2000

    1983

    Upper Income Group (30%)Lower Income Group (30%)Annual PerCapita FoodConsumption(Kg)

    Source: Kumar & Mruthyunjaya (2002) using NSSO Data

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    inducedby

    Sustained economic growth andrisingpercapitaincomes

    Supportingaffordability

    Demandingquality&safety

    Urbanisation andglobalisation

    Seekingvariety&convenience

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    Production System Responded well

    1.71.81.4Redmeat

    4.03.02.6Fish

    44.435.932.5High-value

    3.22.21.6Poultry

    17.615.412.9Dairy

    17.913.514.0Horticulture

    6.78.56.6Oilseeds

    26.831.833.0Foodgrains

    TE2002/03E1992/93E1982/83Share of VOP

    Source:Birthal etal2006usingCSOdata

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    despiteapredominantlysmallfarmerbase

    81.0

    12.26.8

    0.7

    2.74

    6.97

    010

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    Small Medium Large

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    % households land holding (ha)

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    with the base continuously expanding

    2.3 1.82 1.55 1.41 1.37Ave Size

    Source: Gulati (IFPRI) using data from Agricultural Census Division, India

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    1970-71 1980-81 1990-91 1995-96 2000-01

    Area of Holdings

    Less than 2 hectares 2-4 hectares 4 and above hectares

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    1970-71 1980-81 1990-91 1995-96 2000-01

    Number of holdings

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    ButAgri GDPgrewslowerthantheAggregate

    6.0

    3.4

    6.7

    5.5

    7.6

    9.0

    3.2

    1.3

    4.7

    2.1 2.3

    4.1

    0.0

    1.0

    2.0

    3.04.0

    5.0

    6.0

    7.08.0

    9.0

    10.0

    Seventh

    Plan

    (1985-90)

    Annual

    Plan

    (1990-92)

    Eighth

    Plan

    (1992-97)

    Nine Plan

    (1997-

    2002)

    Tenth Plan

    (2002-

    2007)

    Eleventh

    Plan*

    (2007-

    2012)

    Ann

    ualAverage(%)GrowthRate(atconstantprices)

    Overall Agriculture & Allied

    PreparedbyDrGulati usingvariousGoI documents

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    Resultinginsignificantlylowerpercapita

    incomeforfarmersVsrestofIndians

    00.5

    11.5

    22.5

    33.5

    4

    4.5

    Farmers Rest ofIndians

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    Onadifferentnote,

    Technologyiscatalysing cross-industryblur!

    Traditionallyindependentindustriesareconverging

    such as Farm Inputs, Food Production, Nutrition,

    Pharmaceuticals, Food Processing, Packaging &

    LogisticsIndustries

    Ontheotherhand,farmsarebecomingfactories

    withGPSaidedprecisionfarming,and

    biotechnologyinducedspecialtraits

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    High soil erosion, leading to reduction in fertility and

    productivityofland

    Alarmingdegradationof forests&commons, aggravatingtopsoillossesandsurfacerun-off

    Groundwaterrechargedecliningdangerously

    While,intensivefarmingincreased

    stressonnaturalresources

    Moisture StressDeforestation

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    AsIndiaintegrateswithglobalmarkets

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    2.

    PolicyGoalsofIndianAgriculture

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    PolicyGoalsforIndianAgriculture

    Demand SideFood&NutritionSecurity

    MeetingthechangingFoodHabits

    Supply SideGlobalCompetitivenessEcologicalSustainability

    The Means and The EndsEffectivelinkagesofproductionsystemswith

    processingandconsumption

    EmploymentGeneration&PovertyAlleviation

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    ReformAgenda

    GlobalTradeIntegration

    Importsmanagedthroughtariffs

    APMCAct DirectMarketing,ContractFarming,PrivateMarkets

    Taxation

    UniformacrossStates&Moderate FoodLaws

    MoveawayfromRecipetoRestriction&Labelling

    RiskManagement

    Futures&Options,WeatherInsurance

    Credit

    WarehouseReceiptNegotiability,SHG/mFI

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    3.

    OpportunitiesinAgribusinessInvestments

    (buttheContextfirst)

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    FoodEconomyinIndia:ThePast

    TheContext:Shortages

    SolutionsDeployed:

    Focus>FoodGrains

    Production&Productivity>GovernmentResearch&Extension (Efforts primarily oriented towards yield

    improvements)Procurement>Food Corporationof India (Minimum

    SupportPriceSchemeeventuallymadeGovernmentthebuyeroffirstchoiceinRice&Wheat)

    Storage, Handling & Processing > Combination oftraditional & modern infrastructure (Focus onsafekeeping, wastage reduction and basicconversion)

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    And,theImplications

    Supply-DrivenValueChain

    Production (Farmers grow multiple varieties to suit

    varyingagro-climaticzones)

    Storage & Handling (Grain loses its source identity

    afteraggregationinFCI/byVillagetraders)

    Exchange process along the chain (Disconnectbetweenthewayfarmersells,processoraddsvalue

    and the consumer buys viz. physical properties,

    chemical properties and rheological / organoleptic

    propertiesrespectively)

    The Result : Suited that context, but created Lemons

    Problem forthenewvaluechainparadigm

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    FoodEconomyinIndia:TheFuture

    TheContext:ConsumerCentricMarketEconomy

    TheNeed:

    Multiplesegmentsofconsumers(preferdifferentiated

    productstosuittheirtastes)

    Information about consumer preferences (to flow

    seamlesslyalongthechainfortheproductionsystemtorespond)

    Infrastructure (equipped with traceability systems to

    preserveidentityofthesource)

    Demand-driven production, processing & marketing

    systems

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    TheFoodValueChain

    Primary Production Processing Retail

    ClimateSoil / Water

    Ag Inputs

    MillingCuring

    Preserving

    GradingPackaging

    Merchandising

    Market Functions

    ExchangeBuyingSelling

    PhysicalStorage

    TransportationProcessing

    Facilitating

    FinancingInformationRisk bearing

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    TheWayitOperatesinIndiatoday

    Primary Production Processing Retail

    ClimateSoil / Water

    Ag Inputs

    MillingCuring

    Preserving

    GradingPackaging

    Merchandising

    Market Functions

    ExchangeBuyingSelling

    PhysicalStorage

    TransportationProcessing

    Facilitating

    FinancingInformationRisk bearing

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    TheChangeRequired

    Primary Production Processing Retail

    ClimateSoil / Water

    Ag Inputs

    MillingCuring

    Preserving

    GradingPackaging

    Merchandising

    Market Functions

    ExchangeBuyingSelling

    PhysicalStorage

    TransportationProcessing

    Facilitating

    FinancingInformationRisk bearing

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    RoutesforValueCreation

    1. InnovationattheConsumerendoftheChain:

    Product & Purchase experience improvementsthrough processing, packaging & retail formatinnovations > delivering variety, quality, foodsafety, shopping convenience, better shelf life,readytoeatetc

    Demandgrowth,pricepremiums

    2. Efficiencyalongthewholechain:

    Lowerindustrycoststructuresthroughintegration,coordination, disintermediation, infrastructureinvestmentsetc

    Pricingflexibility,traceability

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    4.

    ChallengesinValueCapture

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    Challenges

    Majorityofthefarmersaresmall&resource-poor

    they need to be inducted in to the new structure

    responsibly

    Physicalinfrastructure&newmarketinstitutionsarestill

    evolvingThisneedstobeappropriatelyfactoredin

    Understanding of most of theagri business players isinsufficient

    Governmenthasasignificantroletoplay

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    Butitsdoable!

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    Illustrationthrough

    ITCHorti investmentsLeveragingtheITCGroupwideStrengths

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    ITCHorti inMarket:

    ChoupalFreshRetailinIndia

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    ITCHorti inMarket:

    ChoupalFreshExports

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    ITCHorti inMarket:

    BrandedProcessedFoods

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    ITCHorti inMarket:

    ProcessedFoodExportsinPrivateLabels

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    ITCHorti attheBackend

    SupportedbyGMED(setupbyACDI/VOCAwithUSAIDs assistance)

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    ITCHorti attheBackend:

    CropCalendaringforFarmersintheCluster

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    ITCHorti attheBackend:

    AreaSpecificImprovedVarietal Selection

    ITC H i h B k d

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    ITCHorti attheBackend:

    SupportthroughEquipment

    ITC H ti t th B k d

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    ITCHorti attheBackend:

    QualityImprovementthroughNurseries

    ITC H ti t th B k d

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    ITCHorti attheBackend:

    HappyFarmerwithBetterQualityProduce

    Name: Bhupal Reddy (ITC Lead Farmer near Hyderabad); Land: 2 acre

    Farming experience: 20 years

    Tomato Yields: Increased from 10-15 ton/acre to 25-30 tons/acre

    Saved 40 percent on fertilizer and pesticide costs

    Saved 10 % on commissions, etc. paid to mandi traders through direct selling to ITC

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    ThankYou